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Forex Forum Archive for 12/12/2018

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Sydney ACC 21:32 GMT December 12, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Nevertheless the Brexit agreement as it stands is stil toasted.

With over 100 Tories voting for May's removal the bill won't pass the House.

london red 21:28 GMT December 12, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

dup have said they wont support a vote of no confidence in gov. so for now labour cannot make a move. thats supportive.

GVI 21:15 GMT December 12, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Classic buy the rumor sell the fact reaction to a discounted event.

GVI 21:02 GMT December 12, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

PM May survives the Conservative Party confidence vote (as expected) - Vote was 200 to 117 - Having survived the vote, May cannot be subject to another party challenge for 1 year. She did reportedly promised Conservatives that she would not run as the head of the party in the next election and would step aside after the Brexit process is completed. - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 20:47 GMT December 12, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 13 December 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:
Neutral
Spot EURUSD: 1.1366
Pivot Point: 1.1356

This Week: 1.1306-1.1443
Wed: 1.1315-1.1388
Tue: 1.1306-1.1400
Mon: 1.1351-1.1443

Fri: 1.1361-1.1423
Thu: 1.1322-1.1361

20-day avg: 1.1363
50-day avg: 1.1407
100-day avg: 1.1507
200-day avg: 1.1725

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Dec 19: 74% (72%).

10-yr Bonds
US: 2.863% +1.9bp
DE: 0.241% +0.8
GB: 1.203% +1.4
JP: 0.059% +1.2

DAX: +100
Implied Open
DJ: +233
SP: +25.8



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GVI 20:29 GMT December 12, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Reportedly final headcount is 176 Tory MPs declared support for PM May; rest are not known - UK's Telegraph - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Blog 20:17 GMT December 12, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 12 December 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 12 December 2018

GVI 20:07 GMT December 12, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Brexiteers count 86 Tory members as voted that they have no confidence in PM May leadership (far short of number needed to oust May) - UK's Telegraph - Source TradeTheNews.com

Mukalla Muk 18:05 GMT December 12, 2018
euro/gbp
Reply   
will contiue it is uptrend...now it is under correction pressure.

Mukalla Muk 17:52 GMT December 12, 2018
Gbp uptrend
Reply   
Gbp gave us indication @ med day gbo said good by for the level 1.2505 travelling to high level.

Mukalla Muk 17:34 GMT December 12, 2018
Gbp uptrend
Reply   
as muklla said @ 04:20 today gbp psssed 1.2505 and would not return back to this level it is of the past event

GVI Forex Blog 16:47 GMT December 12, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 13 December 2018
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Thu 13 Dec 2018
AA 7:30 CH- SNB Decision
AA 12:45 EZ- ECB Decision
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 23:50 JP- Tankan Survey
Fri 14 Dec 2018
AAll Day Flash PMIs
AA 13:30 US- Retail Sales
A 14:15 US- Industrial Production


Thursday Trading Checklist 13 December 2018

NY JM 16:01 GMT December 12, 2018
Cable Chaos

Depends on the currency. Right now look at EURGBP, boosting GBPUSD while EURUSD follows with a lag or periodically diverging.

London Trader 15:38 GMT December 12, 2018
Cable Chaos

Any usd bears out there?

hk on 15:31 GMT December 12, 2018
Cable Chaos

Can gbpusd reach 1.2740 (hope so)>

GVI Trader john 15:31 GMT December 12, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts






NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: -1.200 vs. -2.900 exp vs. -7.000 prev.
Distillates: -1.500 vs. +1.700 exp vs. +3.800 prev.
Gasoline: -2.100 vs. +2.500 exp vs. +1.700 prev.



Weekly Petroleum Status Report



TTN: Live News Special Offer

Livingston nh 15:26 GMT December 12, 2018
Cable Chaos
Reply   
Tonight will not put an end to the UK's Brexit problem nor will it resolve any political issues --if MP MAY says she steps down before next election and wins her Tory challenge, then she may face a Labour call for no confidence and trigger a new election -- for a disgruntled group of Tories who lose the Party challenge tonight it may come to them to cast their lot w/ a new election, thus removing MAY

Politics is a BLOOD sport -- politicians vote for national interest, party interest and self interest (no order of importance) -- BUT very few vote against their own re-election // embittered MPs on both sides of Brexit may see the dumping of MAY as good for all three interests but most especially self interest

Cable is still at risk for new lows

GVI Trader john 15:18 GMT December 12, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 12 December 2018

10s 2.902%
DJ +345
CO $52.24

Risk-On

GVI Forex 15:15 GMT December 12, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

10:13 (UK) Reportedly 185 MPs publicly support PM May ahead of the 'no confidence' vote today

*NOTE: PM May would need 158 votes to survive (simple majority out of 315 Conservative MPs). The ballot is secret so MPs may vote counter to their public statements.

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:39 GMT December 12, 2018
Amaing Trader Update
Reply   
GBPUSD 1.2630

We set a target for GBPUSD much earlier at 1.2638 and 1.2650 so getting close. 1.2650 will dictate whether this rebound has more legs.

Amazing Trader Reviews

Livingston nh 14:02 GMT December 12, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

A LAME DUCK -- the next election may be sooner rather than later

GVI 13:57 GMT December 12, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

So this is her last shot?

GVI 13:56 GMT December 12, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Reportedly PM May to tell lawmakers she will not fight the next election - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Blog 13:38 GMT December 12, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. CPI In November 2018 In Line
Reply   

U.S. CPI Chart
U.S. CPI in November 2018 exactly as expected.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. CPI In November 2018 In Line

GVI Trader john 13:33 GMT December 12, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

CPI dead on market forecasts.

GVI Trader john 13:31 GMT December 12, 2018
U.S. CPI November 2018



ALERT
Headline:
m/m: +0.0% vs. +0.00% exp. v +0.30% pre
y/y: +2.20% vs. +2.20% exp. v +2.10% pre
Core:
y/y: +2.20% vs. +2.20% exp. v +2.50% pre


RELEASE: Consumer Price Index


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Livingston nh 13:06 GMT December 12, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 12 December 2018



For reference -- the Fed usually likes a Fed Funds cushion ABOVE CPI -- of course, it may be different this time

GVI Forex 12:58 GMT December 12, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

EURUSD dips on this (more headline whipsaw roulette)

07:54 (IT) Italy PM Office said not will not confirm revised 2019 budget deficit figure

- Source TradeTheNews.com

haifa ac 12:47 GMT December 12, 2018
Will we have Christmas Rally?!
Reply   
Weekly stochastic says: Possible.

Livingston nh 12:45 GMT December 12, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Italy should have waited until it could play the MACRON budget card

GVI Forex 12:39 GMT December 12, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

EURUSD popped on this

07:36 (IT) Italy Govt said to propose 2.0% budget deficit to GDP target in revised budget - financial press

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Livingston nh 12:34 GMT December 12, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

jp - he's probably in the same unknown place as the former Interpol chief

Mtl JP 12:30 GMT December 12, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

nh those who need to understand - like justin - understand

China says it has no information on detained ex-Canadian diplomat

haifa ac 12:23 GMT December 12, 2018
PM May Departure Could Be Imminent

"What time is May confidence vote?"

Drecksit time.

Livingston nh 12:23 GMT December 12, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

jp - Trump has indirectly endorsed "hostage taking" -- is the arrest a "fortunate coincidence" or a negotiating tactic from the playbook of NK and Iran

GVI 12:19 GMT December 12, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

PM May Leadership Challenge: Reportedly 153 Conservative MP's have publicly stated they will back PM May with 3 against - BBC Tweet **Note: PM May would need 158 votes to survive (simple majority). The ballot is secret so they can say anything in public. - Source TradeTheNews.com

Livingston nh 12:06 GMT December 12, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 12 December 2018

Today's CPI and 10 yr auction may be more important to data dependent Fed than labor market of President's tweets

GVI Trader john 11:47 GMT December 12, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 12 December 2018

Early:
10s 2.896%
DJ +202
CO $52.74

Risk-On

GVI Trader john 11:08 GMT December 12, 2018
PM May Departure Could Be Imminent

There are 316 Conservative MPs. May needs 158 votes (50%) to survive. If she wins there cannot be another Party confidence vote for 12 months. The vote is expected at 18:00 GMT (13:00 ET). That is not a precise time. The outcome will not be known at least for an hour later 19:00 GMT (14:00 ET). Results could come as late as 21:00 GMT (16:00 ET) .

Ironically her position could be strengthened if she survives because of the 12 month rule, although some say she would be expected to resign if there are 100 votes against her. Current expectations are that she will win because many Tory MPs are "Remainers".

Belgrade Knez 10:45 GMT December 12, 2018
PM May Departure Could Be Imminent

Brussels BR
---------------------
UK Leadership Contest Ballot To Be Held 1800 2000 GMT December 12 -Announcements Will Be Held As Soon As Possible In The Evening
---------------------

Brussels BR 10:42 GMT December 12, 2018
PM May Departure Could Be Imminent

What time is May confidence vote?

Some hedging in gbp against risk she can win.

GVI Trader john 09:49 GMT December 12, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 12 December 2018


For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:
Neutral
Spot EURUSD: 1.1327
Pivot Point: 1.1344

This Week: 1.1306-1.1443
Wed: 1.1315-1.1334
Tue: 1.1306-1.1400
Mon: 1.1351-1.1443

Fri: 1.1361-1.1423
Thu: 1.1322-1.1361

20-day avg: 1.1361
50-day avg: 1.1410
100-day avg: 1.1510
200-day avg: 1.1731

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Dec 19: 72% (68%).

10-yr Bonds
US: 2.863% +1.9bp
DE: 0.241% +0.8
GB: 1.203% +1.4
JP: 0.059% +1.2

DAX: +100
Implied Open
DJ: +233
SP: +25.8



See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI Forex Blog 09:27 GMT December 12, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 12 December 2018
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Wed 12 Dec 2018
A 13:30 US- CPI
A 15:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 13 Dec 2018
AA 7:30 CH- SNB Decision
AA 12:45 EZ- ECB Decision
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 23:50 JP- Tankan Survey
Fri 14 Dec 2018
AAll Day Flash PMIs
AA 13:30 US- Retail Sales
A 14:15 US- Industrial Production


Wednesday Trading Checklist 12 December 2018

PAR 08:08 GMT December 12, 2018
ECB DRAGHI PONZI MAFIA
Reply   
10 years after the financial crisis started in the USA , Europe s financial system is still in crisis thanks to Mario Draghi and the insane policies of the ECB .

#ECB balance sheet keeps rising. Total assets rose by another 2.7bn, hit fresh life-time high at 4,663bn ahead of Thu's ECB meeting. ECB balance sheet now equates to 41.6% of Eurozone GDP vs <20% in the US.

Mtl JP 07:09 GMT December 12, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

nh in the justin we are a rule of law society trudeau s world B.C. Supreme Court Justice William Ehrcke ordered Meng Wanzhou be released on $10-million bail while she awaits a formal extradition request from the great indispensable satan.

Funny how a justice can be made sensitive to a political message. I suspect ehrcke is breathing easier to have gotten rid of the mess out of his courtroom.

President Trump said on Tuesday he would intervene with the U.S. Justice Department in the case against a Chinese telecommunications executive if it would help secure a trade deal with Beijing.

If I think its good for the country, if I think its good for what will be certainly the largest trade deal ever made which is a very important thing whats good for national security I would certainly intervene if I thought it was necessary,

I suspect trudeau s pissing vinegar.

Mtl JP 06:42 GMT December 12, 2018
PM May Departure Could Be Imminent

could ... could not
loves me ... loves me not

cmon Sja u can do better than that

Mukalla Muk 04:20 GMT December 12, 2018
Gbp uptrend
Reply   
Gbp will pass 1.2505 at least

Bali Sja 01:35 GMT December 12, 2018
PM May Departure Could Be Imminent

Yes, pretty stupid move by May actually. How many times do you expect to go back and forth to Brussels? That is a cracking sign as far as EU is concerned, they will step up their game against brexit. You wanna get out? you better be sure you can do it confidently and swiftly, no begging. Otherwise, dont do it at all.

Dillon AL 00:25 GMT December 12, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

$7.5 mio bail

Huawei

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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