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Forex Forum Archive for 12/17/2018

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


Livingston nh 21:26 GMT December 17, 2018
Pick a End Year Target for S n P

SPX 2685+

Livingston nh 21:24 GMT December 17, 2018
Tuesday Trading Strategy 18 December 2018

Hmm, Fed Follows Oil -- nearly broke 49 -- watch Asia markets for clues// imagine if Fed loses nerve this month
__
Turnaround Tuesdays have been negative so we see tomorrow if markets can recover
___
Today's Moratorium on silly Brexit commentary will be only a brief interlude if Labour has its way -- will any disgruntled Tories join in DUMP MAY?
___
And here in US the Wall and the Tea Party remnants should have a go this week

GVI Trader john 21:11 GMT December 17, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 17 December 2018

Late Monday
DJ -507
SP -54
10s 2.855%
CO $49.48

GVI Trader john 21:03 GMT December 17, 2018
Tuesday Trading Strategy 18 December 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:
Neutral
Spot EURUSD: 1.1348
Pivot Point: 1.1317

This Week: 1.1300-1.1358
Mon: 1.1300-1.1358

Fri: 1.1270-1.1365
Thu: 1.1312-1.1389
Wed: 1.1315-1.1388
Tue: 1.1306-1.1400


20-day avg: 1.1358
50-day avg: 1.1400
100-day avg: 1.1500
200-day avg: 1.1716

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Dec 19: 68% (73%).

GVI 20:38 GMT December 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Govt reportedly plans to allow no confidence vote against Prime Min to proceed tomorrow; has yet to be confirmed by PM's office - BBC - No. 10 still insists it has yet to make a decision - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Blog 20:22 GMT December 17, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 17 December 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 17 December 2018

PAR 20:11 GMT December 17, 2018
TRUMP

If Trump thinks Powell is a wacko he just should fire him.

Words are cheap

GVI Forex Blog 19:37 GMT December 17, 2018
Tuesday Trading Strategy 18 December 2018
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 18 Dec 2018
A 09:00 DE- IFO Survey
A 13:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
Wed 19 Dec 2018
AA 09:30 GB- CPI
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
A 16:00 US- EIA Crude
AA 19:30 US- Fed Bank Decision
Thu 20 Dec 2018
01:30 AU- Employment
AA 03:00 JA- BOJ Decision
AA 09:30 GB- Retail Sales
AA 12:00 GB- BOE Decision
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 21 dec 2018
AA 09:30 GB- GDP
AA 13:30 CA- Retail Sales
A 13:30 US- Durable Goods
AA 13:30 US- GDP/PCE Deflator
A 15:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


Tuesday Trading Strategy 18 December 2018

Paris ib 19:06 GMT December 17, 2018
Australia Aims to Crash the Property Market

From a little speech by the Assistant Governor (Financial Markets), at Australia's Reserve Bank:

"The primary channel through which foreign interest rates influence Australian conditions is through the exchange rate.... A depreciation of the Australian dollar in turn will tend to enhance the competitiveness of our exporters, including those services priced in Australian dollars like tourism and education. Through various channels, exchange rate depreciation can also loosen financial conditions in Australia"

discussing Australia's reliance on foreign capital (hedged in Australian dollar terms) and the impact of the housing market debacle.

All up it seems the RBA prefers the heavy lifting to be done by the exchange rate. That is they will let the AUD go..... down. :-)

The RBA will let the AUD take the hit

dc CB 19:04 GMT December 17, 2018
Pick a End Year Target for S n P

for rest of it see ZeroHedge

Bear it is

Paris ib 19:00 GMT December 17, 2018
Pick a End Year Target for S n P

When do we get real panic? Looks like we are going out on the low for the year on the S and P.

Paris ib 18:57 GMT December 17, 2018
The Big SPLAT

So anyone care to forecast year end close for S and P ?

PAR 18:24 GMT December 17, 2018
TRUMP

The Trump bear market . Trump does not understand economics and is leading the US economy into disaster.

GVI 18:11 GMT December 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Opposition Labour Party Corbyn to put forward no-confidence motion against PM May ** Reminder: A 'no confidence' vote in PM May would be a political reprimand but would not trigger an election (differs from calling a confidence vote against the govt) - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 18:10 GMT December 17, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 17 December 2018

Risk-Off
10s 2.862%
DJ -228
CO $50.59

GVI Jay 17:57 GMT December 17, 2018
Amazing Trader Update; S&P

I was watching USDJPY as stocks staged a rally ( stalled below the Amazing Trader target zone) and it was not correlating strongly. This was s clue to be cautious on the stock rally.

Livingston nh 17:28 GMT December 17, 2018
Equities Mixed. 10-yr Yields Mixed. FX: EUR And USD Mixed. WTI Down

Lunchtime rally needed to bring SPX up to 2620 - WTI threatening to go below $50 this afternoon // only surprise from Fed (no hike) will be BAD for markets - but 2 days to go

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 16:25 GMT December 17, 2018
Amazing Trader Update; S&P
Reply   


We are working on adding additional indices to the Amazing Trader as we find our program works well with them. See this S&P intra-day chart, where the Amazing Trader signaled a bullish pattern and the move up came close to the target zone.

The Amazing Trader

Jkt Abel 16:13 GMT December 17, 2018
TRUMP

Dow has bottomed? 23900 important close to hold

Livingston nh 15:53 GMT December 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Another "warning" to the FED from WARSH and DRUCKENMILLER in WSJ (join Gundlach) -- it was never going to be easy leaving the MONEY SWAMP -- BUT c'mon there are a lot of culprits besides interest rate levels affecting stats// Does anybody really think rates are HIGH? e.g, Real estate -- location location, insufficient infrastructure (including labor), high price for land, regulation and BANKS scared by prior experience of overvaluation restricting credit -- the low rates of last few years have moved PRICES to unsustainable level so buyers and banks pull back (sub 5% mortgage rate STILL - too high?)

Ignore the headlines and failed expectations -- look inside the numbers for reasons other than the FED -- rates are still too LOW




GVI Forex 15:40 GMT December 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

PM May: To hold Brexit vote the week of January 14

She also said if this deal is voted down there is no other deal.

GVI Trader john 15:01 GMT December 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Another weak number.

GVI Trader john 15:00 GMT December 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. NAHB Index November 2018



NEWS ALERT
56.0 vs. 60.0 exp. vs. 60.0 (r) prev.

RELEASE: NAHB Index


TTN: Live News Special Offer

london red 14:56 GMT December 17, 2018
TRUMP

usdjpy is yet to roll over properly from 104 uptrend, so suggests further correction for equities, likely double t play out fully on s&p

UK JY 14:54 GMT December 17, 2018
TRUMP

Clearest correlation is risk off -- lower usdjpy

Dubai MA 14:34 GMT December 17, 2018
TRUMP

Is anyone trading?

PAR 14:02 GMT December 17, 2018
TRUMP

Trump wants a duo job ?

PAR 13:45 GMT December 17, 2018
TRUMP

Trump causing drop in USD and US markets .

Trump wants a lower Dow Jones ?

NY JM 13:43 GMT December 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

If Trump wants the Fed NIT to raise rates he should keep his mouth shut.

By pressuring the Fed in public Trump raises the risk the Fed will raise rates so it will not be seen as succumbing to political pressure to stay pat.

It is amateur hour on the big stage.

PAR 13:43 GMT December 17, 2018
TRUMP
Reply   
It is incredible that with a very strong dollar and virtually no inflation, the outside world blowing up around us, Paris is burning and China way down, the Fed is even considering yet another interest rate hike. Take the Victory!

PAR 13:40 GMT December 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Too low rates are hurting the world stock markets .

Trump Co has huge debt so Trump needs low rates .

What you say depends on where you sit .

GVI Trader john 13:33 GMT December 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Trump: incredible Fed considering a hike -- tweet

GVI Trader john 13:31 GMT December 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Empire PMI weak.

GVI Trader john 13:31 GMT December 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Empire PMI December, 2018



NEWS ALERT
10.9 vs. 20.0 exp. vs. 23.3 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trader john 13:12 GMT December 17, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 17 December 2018

10s 2.880%
DJ -98
CO $51.83

Mtl JP 12:42 GMT December 17, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 17 December 2018

Whatever players do to stocks or equities is NOT Jerome s doing
rather it is self-inflicted by player wishful thinking of what the FED will or not do.

PAR 12:32 GMT December 17, 2018
US DOLLAR
Reply   
US Dollar down on FED leaks ?

haifa ac 12:32 GMT December 17, 2018
Deep fake technology outpacing security countermeasures
Reply   
You want to TRADE THE NEWS???
"YOU CANNOT HANDLE THE NEWS!"

biometric deception technology market is growing by leaps and bounds and is threatening other DEEP LEARNING projects.

....Rubio warned, “I believe that this is the next wave of attacks against America and Western democracies … the ability to produce fake videos that … can only be determined to be fake after extensive analytical analysis,” which, going forward, poses a formidable threat....

https://www.biometricupdate.com/201812/deep-fake-technology-outpacing-security-countermeasures

GVI Trader john 12:13 GMT December 17, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 17 December 2018

10s 2.882%
DJ -28
CO $52.12

Mixed Risk

haifa ac 12:13 GMT December 17, 2018
Will we have Christmas Rally?!

LOL
When WSJ starts prayinig-- the odds diminish drastically

U.S. Stocks Need a Santa Claus Rally to Avoid a Losing Year

Investors hoping to avoid the first annual decline for major U.S. stock indexes since 2015 are dreaming of a Santa Claus rally.

Since 1969, the S&P 500 has averaged a gain of 1.3% over the seven-day period that encompasses the last five sessions of the year and the first two trading days of the new year, according to Dow Jones Market Data.
.....

https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-stocks-need-a-santa-claus-rally-to-avoid-a-losing-year-11545022860

Mtl JP 11:57 GMT December 17, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 17 December 2018

Globally equity markets mixed wishi-washi
ahead of FOMC this week

US stocks looking to open slightly down

GVI Trader john 10:17 GMT December 17, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 17 December 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:
Neutral
Spot EURUSD: 1.1335
Pivot Point: 1.1317

Last Week: 1.1270-1.1443
Mon: 1.1300-1.1344

Fri: 1.1270-1.1365
Thu: 1.1312-1.1389
Wed: 1.1315-1.1388
Tue: 1.1306-1.1400


20-day avg: 1.1358
50-day avg: 1.1400
100-day avg: 1.1500
200-day avg: 1.1716

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Dec 19: 73% (74%).

10-yr Bonds
US: 2.884% -0.2bp
DE: 0.280% -0.8
GB: 1.252% -0.1
JP: 0.037% -0.7

DAX: -16
Implied Open
DJ: +20
SP: +4.1



See the Amazing Trader Live!

GVI Jay 10:11 GMT December 17, 2018
Amazing Trader Update

Stops above 1.1331

GVI Forex Blog 10:06 GMT December 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: E.Z. Final HICP Revised Down Slightly In November 2018
Reply   
EZ final November 2018 HICP (CPI) revised down slightly.

final Eurozone HICP Chart

BREAKING NEWS: E.Z. Final HICP Revised Down Slightly In November 2018

GVI Trader john 10:00 GMT December 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:
Reply   
Eurozone final HICP (CPI)
November 2018





ALERT
Headline
yy: +1.90 vs. +2.00% exp. vs. +2.00% prev.
CORE
yy: +1.00% vs. +1.00% exp. vs. +1.00% prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Jay 09:46 GMT December 17, 2018
Amazing Trader Update
Reply   
EURUSD 1.1327

Watch 1.1331. = Last Friday’s breakdown level and high so far today

Amazing Trader

GVI Forex Blog 09:35 GMT December 17, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 17 December 2018
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 17 Dec 2018
No Major Data
Tue 18 Dec 2018
A 09:00 DE- IFO Survey
A 13:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
Wed 19 Dec 2018
AA 09:30 GB- CPI
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 15:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
A 16:00 US- EIA Crude
AA 19:30 US- Fed Bank Decision
Thu 20 Dec 2018
01:30 AU- Employment
AA 03:00 JA- BOJ Decision
AA 09:30 GB- Retail Sales
AA 12:00 GB- BOE Decision
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 21 dec 2018
AA 09:30 GB- GDP
AA 13:30 CA- Retail Sales
A 13:30 US- Durable Goods
AA 13:30 US- GDP/PCE Deflator
A 15:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


Monday Trading Checklist 17 December 2018

Amman wfakhoury 06:46 GMT December 17, 2018
GBPUSD 12570-12600 moving area

Amman wfakhoury 10:13 GMT 12/14/2018

GBPUSD is moving between 12570-12600..any rise above 12600 will return to it ..any decline below 12570 will return to it.
buy at 12570 or below it tp 12600
Sell around 12600 or above it tp 12570.
____________________________
Price moved according the above signal


The only one in the world who confirms the next level and every hour movement

dc CB 01:03 GMT December 17, 2018
Braking NUZ

Wrench thrown into the gearworks. ????
"Trading HollyDay MarkITs"

Sit on Hands with NO postitions. Desperado times. (lose the firm, lose the house, lose the wife, lose the porsche/tesla/lambor)
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

IMHO: Preview of 2019: It Weren't US, It WUZ Da Machines.
Sue us; see you in court. Ya'll run out of Money first so save URself the pain and Walk Away.

S&P Futures Break As CME Reports Globex Connectivity Issues

dc CB 00:07 GMT December 17, 2018
Braking NUZ
Reply   

Entry: Braking NUZ Target: Stop:

Oh Oh OH --- this JUSTin...LOL

"the Communist Party made clear that this is only the beginning, and that Canada should expect "further escalation" as Beijing has no intentions of backing down - and every intention of sending a message to US allies that they should stay out of the still-simmering dispute between the world's two largest economies."
ZeroHedge.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Bejing taking a cue from Mueller - "take out his associates and soon standing alone he will be" (Yoda--StarWars 7)

China Press Warns To "Prepare For Escalation Of Conflict With Canada"

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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