Forex Forum Archive for 12/20/2018

GVI Trader john 21:22 GMT December 20, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 14 December 2018

Late Thursday
DJ -464
10s 2.796%
CO $46.16

GVI Forex Blog 20:08 GMT December 20, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 20 December 2018
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Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 20 December 2018

GVI Forex Blog 19:04 GMT December 20, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 14 December 2018
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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Thu 20 Dec 2018
Fri 21 dec 2018
AA 09:30 GB- GDP
AA 13:30 CA- Retail Sales
A 13:30 US- Durable Goods
AA 13:30 US- GDP/PCE Deflator
A 15:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

Friday Trading Checklist For 14 December 2018

Amman wfakhoury 17:25 GMT December 20, 2018
GBPUSD1.2695

Amman wfakhoury 12:25 GMT 12/20/2018

The only one in the world who confirms the next level and every hour movement
GBPUSD scalp buy till 12695.
any decline below 12670 will return to it.
make big money Christmas is coming.
_________________________
GBPUSD again at 12670 from 12625 as the above signal

GVI Forex Blog 17:12 GMT December 20, 2018
Equities Lower. 10-yr Yields Down. FX: USD Mixed & EUR Up. WTI Down
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Equities Lower. 10-yr Yields Down. FX: USD Mixed & EUR Up. WTI Down

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 16:56 GMT December 20, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

11:42 (US) Treasury Sec Mnuchin: market was disappointed by Fed Chair comments but has overreacted to them
- If we maintain low inflation, the Fed rate path may change
- Computerized trading and Volcker rule are contributing to volatility
- Not appropriate to comment on whether Fed made right move
- Can't just look at the median projection; have to look at the range of dots
- Clearly there are people on the Fed who think interest rates don't need to go much higher
- Fed is data dependent; won't speculate on Fed moves; Fed's projections are substantially below our own - We believe we'll hit 3% or higher growth
- Downsizing the balance sheet gives the Fed capacity to respond to weakness later
- Believes there will be a rebalancing out of bonds into equities

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 15:02 GMT December 20, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. Leading Indicators November 2018

U.S. Data Charts



NEWS ALERT
+0.20% vs. +0.00% exp. vs. +0.10% (r) prev.

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TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:54 GMT December 20, 2018
Amazing Trader Update

EURUSD 1.1452

Held a test of 1.1442, which I cited in this throead but would need to get back abive 1.1460-63 to negate the current momentum/downside risk as indicted on the Amazing Trader. Next Amazing Trader support is at 1.1425.

The Amazing Trader

GVI Trader john 13:43 GMT December 20, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Take note another weak sentiment figure.

GVI Trader john 13:41 GMT December 20, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims rise.

<Click on chart for over seventeen-year history

GVI Forex Blog 13:41 GMT December 20, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Rise
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BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Rise

GVI Trader john 13:33 GMT December 20, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

US Weekly Jobless Claims

ALERT

214K vs. 220K exp vs. 206K (r. ) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer



-----------------------

U.S. Philly Fed Index December 2018



NEWS ALERT

+9.4 vs. +15.0 exp. vs. +12.9 prev.

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TTN: Live News Special Offer

Livingston nh 12:36 GMT December 20, 2018
Thursday Trading Strategy 20 December 2018

"Let's give'm sumthin' to talk about" -- FOMC teases both the easy money addicts and the Saturday night heroes who talked the good fight about normalization but aren't so tough when it shows up

So the 2/10 curve is down to 10/11 and the 5 is inverted // stox should be the first to recover because it's the market w/ the shortest attention span

haifa ac 12:33 GMT December 20, 2018
Tsurres!
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Financial Times names George Soros 'Person of the Year,' 'standard bearer of liberal democracy'

https://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2018/dec/19/george-soros-named-financial-times-person-year-hes/

Like TIME declaring Charles Manson person of the year.

Sickening!

Amman wfakhoury 12:25 GMT December 20, 2018
GBPUSD1.2695
Reply   

The only one in the world who confirms the next level and every hour movement
GBPUSD scalp buy till 12695.
any decline below 12670 will return to it.
make big money Christmas is coming.

Mtl JP 12:16 GMT December 20, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:



and so pound heaves some
probably what the rockstar of banking wanted

GVI Trader john 12:02 GMT December 20, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

December 20, 2018 Bank of England Policy Decision

-- NEWS ALERT --
Policy: Repo rate steady at 0.75%
Vote: 9-0
Bank of England

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TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 11:55 GMT December 20, 2018
Thursday Trading Strategy 20 December 2018

Japan - nikkei at lowest in 14 months
HK - down
Europeans - down
US approx flat / tiny bit uP
Oil 46.58

Mtl JP 11:41 GMT December 20, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:



This - Stefan Ingves - is the genius at Sveriges Riksbank
behind the negative rate policy


How has and is it working out Stefan ?

GVI 11:40 GMT December 20, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Govt spokesperson: Reiterates govt stance that was not plausible to hold a 2nd referendum - Cabinet members have been clear in their support behind PM May's Brexit agreement - EU has been very clear that a managed no-deal Brexit is not available - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 11:37 GMT December 20, 2018
Thursday Trading Strategy 20 December 2018

10s 2.771%
DJ +7
CO $46.62

Low Risk Profile at the moment

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:37 GMT December 20, 2018
Amazing Trader Update

As posted on the GVI Fore/Amazing Trader forum. Note we have added S&P to the Amazing Trader.

Thursday AT Trading Checklist
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:15 GMT 12/20/2018 - My Profile

S&P 2500 is one of those magic levels and needs to establish above it after the sharp opening Asia drop and close with a higher high to break the lower closing pattern Al mentioned to suggest a low may be in for now. Long time to the closing bell.

The Amazing Trader

Mtl JP 11:33 GMT December 20, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

In a stupid experiment ...

Sweden's Riksbank hikes interest rates to -0.25% from -0.50%, first increase in seven years

GVI Trader john 11:13 GMT December 20, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

EARLIER: Australia November 2018 Employment data up vs. forecasts. Headline +37.0K. Full-time Employment up 42.3K. Unemployment rate 5.10% vs. 5.00%.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:02 GMT December 20, 2018
Amazing Trader Update
Reply   
EURUSD 1.1475

It took a circuitous route but now trading according to the Amazing Trader road map once 1.1442 was taken out. (see below)

1.15 looms above as a key obstacle and needs to hold 1.1439-42 to keep the bid, stronger bid if it can stay above 1,1470-72 but anything other than 1,15+ would keep it in its existing range.

As posted here yesterday

Amazing Trader resistance at 1.1428 stands in front of the key level at 1.1442 (stops?). Other key Amazing Trader resistance at 1.1472 and 1.1500

Amazing Trader Reviews

PAR 09:42 GMT December 20, 2018
EURUSD
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Short EURUSD 1.1465. Stop 1.1565. Target 1.1000.

GVI Forex Blog 09:40 GMT December 20, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Retail Sales Beat Strongly in November 2018
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November 2018 U.K. Retail Sales Data beat m/m street estimates.

BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Retail Sales Beat Strongly in November 2018

GVI Trader john 09:32 GMT December 20, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

UK Retail Sales Beat.

GVI Trader john 09:31 GMT December 20, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

U.K. Retail Sales November 2018

-- NEWS ALERT --
x-fuel & autos
mm: +1.40% v +0.20% exp. vs. -0.40% (r ) prev.
Headline
mm: +1.20% v +0.20% exp. vs. -0.50% (r -0.40% ) prev.

RELEASE: UK Retail Sales

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GVI Trader john 09:25 GMT December 20, 2018
Thursday Trading Strategy 20 December 2018


For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!

GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:
POSITIVE
Spot EURUSD: 1.1458
Pivot Point: 1.1393

This Week: 1.1300-1.1461
Thu: 1.1370-1.1461
Wed: 1.1361-1.1439
Tue: 1.1337-1.1402
Mon: 1.1300-1.1358

20-day avg: 1.1352
50-day avg: 1.1391
100-day avg: 1.1490
200-day avg: 1.1701

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

10-yr Bonds
US: 2.762% -5.0bp
DE: 0.214% -3.0
GB: 1.240% -4.0
JP: 0.028% -1.1

DAX: -122
Implied Open
DJ: -85
SP: -16.1

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See the Amazing Trader Live!

london red 09:20 GMT December 20, 2018
Thursday Trading Strategy 20 December 2018

uk sales. High street dreadful in november. Some internet retailers have begun deep discou ting in december but this may not have affected november sales. All in all, risks may be to the downside.

GVI Forex Blog 09:04 GMT December 20, 2018
Equities Lower. 10-yr Yields Down. FX: USD Down & EUR Up. WTI Lower
Reply   

Equities Lower. 10-yr Yields Down. FX: USD Down & EUR Up. WTI Lower

GVI Forex Blog 08:54 GMT December 20, 2018
Thursday Trading Strategy 20 December 2018
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Thu 20 Dec 2018
01:30 AU- Employment
AA 03:00 JA- BOJ Decision
AA 09:30 GB- Retail Sales
AA 12:00 GB- BOE Decision
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 21 dec 2018
AA 09:30 GB- GDP
AA 13:30 CA- Retail Sales
A 13:30 US- Durable Goods
AA 13:30 US- GDP/PCE Deflator
A 15:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

Thursday Trading Strategy 20 December 2018

PAR 07:08 GMT December 20, 2018
MARGIN CALL
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Stock buy backs turn into margin call calamity.

PAR 07:06 GMT December 20, 2018
Crude
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While citizens all over the world are benefitting from lower enerrgy prices European politicians push energy prices higher with environmental taxes just to collect more and more money .

Taxes are not helping the climate. Carbon taxes are just destroying the economy . Green politicians are a citizens nightmare .

Singapore JP 06:19 GMT December 20, 2018
Trade ideas?

Target for usdjpy?

London Trader 05:44 GMT December 20, 2018
Trade ideas?
Reply   
Those still trading were setup for dovish rate hike. Fed disappoints.

Forex has been pretty calm relatively unless long commodity currencies.

Any thoughts for today?

dc CB 05:23 GMT December 20, 2018
Winners and Losers

PS: presaged in the 1980's ----er 1984/85.
in need of some tweeking? only took 35 or so years.

Meet Max Headroom

dc CB 05:16 GMT December 20, 2018
Winners and Losers

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