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Forex Forum Archive for 12/28/2018

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
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Mtl JP 21:59 GMT December 28, 2018
Underwater

CB 20:38 with deeper water you ll be able to float your heavier yacht
the one with bigger draft *..^

HK [email protected] 21:03 GMT December 28, 2018
Gold: Prices were forcibly driven up as plot of Fear-Engineering.
Reply   
.
In fact no demand for gold jewelries or gold bars this Xmas from the public.
Gold prices were forcibly driven up, as a plot of Fear-Engineering.
Without PPT approval gold prices will never surge, as they are the one engineering gold prices ever since, using unlimited amounts of paper gold.

Simultaneously Stox were crashed down forcibly too, and were bought by big funds.

There is too much money around the Mkt. ready for bargain hunting.
So coming days will reveal the truth about this big scale robbery.

Trump no wonder was outraged, as what happened dented the confidence in his administration.
Calling openly to members of the PPT, exposed them, and likely embarassed them in return.




dc CB 20:38 GMT December 28, 2018
Underwater
Reply   
with the rains today I'm now officially UnderWater.
74.29 inches since Jan 1 --- and a bit more on the way before the year closes out Monday nite.
I'm 6'1" ---73 inches tall. In over my head.
Cheers

GVI Trader john 20:18 GMT December 28, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 28 December 2018

December 22, 2018: During the shutdown of the federal government, the Commitments of Traders report will not be published.

When the federal government operations return to normal, CFTC will resume publication of the Commitments of Traders report.

dc CB 20:09 GMT December 28, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 28 December 2018

...annnnnnd scene.

GVI Forex Blog 20:06 GMT December 28, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 28 December 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 28 December 2018

dc CB 19:59 GMT December 28, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 28 December 2018

zerohedge
19m19 minutes ago
There were 3x 1631 or higher TICK prints in under 10 minutes. That's three of the biggest buy orders in history.

18m18 minutes ago
And another: 1747; Priors TICKs were 1735 1691, 1655, 1631

17m17 minutes ago
And there it is: record TICK 1775

4m4 minutes ago
3 minutes of net sell orders in past hour.

GVI Trader john 19:48 GMT December 28, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

DJ +158
10s 2.74%

dc CB 19:25 GMT December 28, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 28 December 2018

"Will they, or won't they" - that's the question on every trader's mind.

In the last two days, massive buy orders driven by pension reallocation trades sent stocks soaring (something even Bloomberg now admits was the catalyst for the surge) in late day trading, and with less than 2 hours left to go in today's session, all traders wanted to know is whether pensions funds would make it a three-peat.

And while we don't know if it is indeed pensions, or someone merely frontrunning today's forced buying - or perhaps just pretending to be them - at precisely 2:05pm, the NYSE TICK - an indicator showing relative strength of buy and sell orders - just hit 1,735, the second highest reading on record, as an absolutely gargnatuan buy order hit, and sent stocks surging higher.

ZeroHedge.

GVI Trader john 18:07 GMT December 28, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Baker Hughes Rig Count


NEWS ALERT
U.S.
Total: 1083 vs. 1080 (+3) prev.
Oil: 885 vs. 883 (+2) prev.
Canada: 70 vs. 131 (-61) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Trader john 17:53 GMT December 28, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 28 December 2018

2.732%
+49
$45.34

Mtl JP 17:01 GMT December 28, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 28 December 2018

To add amplitude to the market wavelets what is likely needed is some juicy headline around trade, brexit or some new element

Mtl JP 16:52 GMT December 28, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 28 December 2018

now back to approx even

Mtl JP 16:09 GMT December 28, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 28 December 2018

earlier DJ uP 100 , now down 100..

GVI Trader john 16:00 GMT December 28, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts






NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: -0.500 vs. -2.900 exp vs. -0.500 prev.
Distillates: 0.00 vs. -1.200 exp vs. -4.200 prev.
Gasoline: +3.000 vs. +0.300 exp vs. +1.800 prev.



Weekly Petroleum Status Report



TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 15:57 GMT December 28, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Pending Homes Sales Weaker in November 2018

CB 15:43 what is the mil rate ?

Mtl JP 15:45 GMT December 28, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Pending Homes Sales Weaker in November 2018

so what
bottom line is prospective number of title transfers is down
and all that matters to the r/e peddlers

In some ways the fact that less folks be putting a debt albatross around their neck is not a bad idea either

dc CB 15:43 GMT December 28, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Pending Homes Sales Weaker in November 2018

So, in the town where I grew up, today the property taxes on a single family home range from $15K to the mid $40s.
Hudson Valley - want to buy a house there???

dc CB 15:39 GMT December 28, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Pending Homes Sales Weaker in November 2018

Y-Y number reflects the Tax changes that went into effect this year. That is a Cap on the deduction for State and Local taxes(Property) from yr Federal Return ---- to $10,000.

Mtl JP 15:34 GMT December 28, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Pending Homes Sales Weaker in November 2018

weaker ... = is understatement
1) pending means only folks at best trying to qualify for a mortgage
2) pending is real-estate pedlers' hopium rubbing hnds at prospect of commissions

7.7% drop from same month reading a yr ago is nasty number from the point of view of the r/e peddlers.

Bottom Line
Folks who are currently in a home are asking too high a price and
folks who are trying to get a mortgage albatross around their neck dont look too appetizing risk to the would-be lender.

For house sales to pick up those things will have do to some re-balancing.

GVI Trader john 15:30 GMT December 28, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

EIA U.S. Natural Gas

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
(BCF) -48 vs: -52 expected

TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Forex Blog 15:16 GMT December 28, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Pending Homes Sales Weaker in November 2018
Reply   
November 2018 Pending Homes Sales weaker than expected.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Pending Homes Sales Weaker in November 2018

Livingston nh 15:13 GMT December 28, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 28 December 2018

STOX futures were weakening all morning pre-market so the opening was shaky - now we see // 10 yr yield is still voting NO Confidence

Mtl JP 15:10 GMT December 28, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 28 December 2018

USDCAD 1.3649
fwiw 1.3660 = minor 2x top current res

GVI Trader john 15:01 GMT December 28, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

PHS miss

GVI Trader john 15:00 GMT December 28, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. Pending Homes Sales November, 2018



ALERT
-0.7% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. -2.60% (r ) prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 14:55 GMT December 28, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 28 December 2018

didnt check but usually when stocks go uP
yield goes down

Mtl JP 14:47 GMT December 28, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 28 December 2018

DJIA currently uP about 100pts (+0.45%)

GVI Trader john 14:46 GMT December 28, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Chicago PMI December 2018



NEWS ALERT
65.4 vs. 61.0 exp. vs. 66.4 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

dc CB 14:33 GMT December 28, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 28 December 2018

$18bil QT on the last day of the Year

Soma --- Notes and Bonds Tab

Mtl JP 14:20 GMT December 28, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 28 December 2018

CB 13:17 - of late much pollution is being spewed about "uncertainty" and how players do not like uncertainty. I say to that some players LOVE uncertainty.
john posted that "Odds 25bp funds hike on Jan 30, 2019 = 48% (48%)" (11:13 December 27). But when asked about odds of a CUT: 0% (i.e certainty)

ZH posted an interesting chart (curtesy DB) relating the relative speed between running away from risk and running towards supposed safety. If u click the link u ll note that the speeds are not in balance.

I maintain that jerome is on a mission to make sure that "money"
1) does not go into wrong hands and
2) that which is already there gets taken away
(based on ref to john's 0% odds of a cut)

Bottom Line
48% of a hike is close near perfect un-certainty (which 50-50 odds would be). In my book that means that stock players - the "wrong hands" - should show selves more skittish yet and accelerate their running speed into the deep, liquid and allegedly safe(er) pool of us paper pool.

ps / controlling risk is an individual responsibility

Beirut Abb 14:12 GMT December 28, 2018
..
Reply   
it s seems usdcad want 1.375-1.379-1.382..let s see

Mtl JP 13:56 GMT December 28, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 28 December 2018

CB 13:44 - not a good idea to underestimate Pres T:
something will give, have no fear - JP 13:31

dc CB 13:53 GMT December 28, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 28 December 2018

GVI: Keep an eye on stocks.

Keep an eye on the Clock for Program Trades hitting the tape. On the 15/30/hour.

4th Biggest Buy Program Of All Time Sends Dow Soaring Over 900 Points - reads the header on ZeroHedge summing up yesterday's action.
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-12-27/another-massive-buy-program-sends-dow-soaring-over-900-points

Livingston nh 13:48 GMT December 28, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 28 December 2018



This ritual by both parties is easier to resolve this time because it is a single line item issue -- the politics of the shutdown this time don't favor Pelosi or Schumer so nothing to be gained by next week
___
A comment about Fed expectations = the chart is quarterly CPI and 10 yr yield w/a 2.5% offset (normal) - when the two lines converge it is a normal spread - the FED will not pause until these lines meet // my bias is that inflation will increase in the service based economy and the 10 yr will chase it // more than 2 hikes next year

dc CB 13:47 GMT December 28, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 28 December 2018


We will be forced to close the Southern Border entirely if the Obstructionist Democrats do not give us the money to finish the Wall & also change the ridiculous immigration laws that our Country is saddled with. Hard to believe there was a Congress & President who would approve!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) December 28, 2018

Trump Threatens To Close Southern Border If Dems Don't Cave On Wall Funding

dc CB 13:44 GMT December 28, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 28 December 2018

" soon freaking out the millions stuffing gizzards on food stamps"

More voters to Hate Trump --- there is zero incentive on the part of "The Resistance" to end the shutdown. Collecting voters for 2020.

GVI Trader john 13:44 GMT December 28, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 28 December 2018

10s 2.757%
DJ +126
CO $44.99

Keep an eye on stocks

Mtl JP 13:31 GMT December 28, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 28 December 2018

re ...no end in sight...
be soon freaking out the millions stuffing gizzards on food stamps

something will give, have no fear

GVI Trader john 13:23 GMT December 28, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 28 December 2018

U.S. Advance Trade and Wholesale inventories have been delayed due to government shutdown. Private data is still being released. Shutdown continues with no end in sight.

Mtl JP 13:19 GMT December 28, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 28 December 2018

euro 1.1450
puppy s got a bid bias on the s/t chart (Pivot = 1.1417)
Should pick uP only IF
it gets over 1.1485-90 (some think the 85/90 level is Res to sell)

dc CB 13:17 GMT December 28, 2018
Just wondering if this bear market, was really crashing, OR..

I believe according to the evidence that the central banks are motivated by ideological zealotry with the core purpose of total global centralization of economic and political power into the hands of a select group of elitists. This agenda is really just a modern “reboot” of feudalism or totalitarianism. They sometimes refer to the plan in public as the “new world order,” or the “global economic reset.” I often refer to the encompassing ideology as “globalism” for the sake of expediency.

To attain this goal, central bankers must influence mass psychology using traumatic events. Fear opens doors to centralization of power. This is simply a fact of social behavior and history. The more afraid a population is, the more willing they will be to give up freedoms in exchange for safety and security. Therefore, the most effective weapon at the disposal of the globalists and their central banking counterparts is engineered economic crisis

Brandon Smith: The Fed Is A Suicide Bomber With A Deeper Agenda

Mtl JP 13:10 GMT December 28, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 28 December 2018

holiday-thinned trading volumes (should ramp up next week) = increased opps for hanki-panki chop-chop w/prices.

element of govvy shutdown means delay of economic reports
aka this morn's oil inventory normally scheduled for 15:30GMT but apparently

The Energy Information Administration will release its official report at 11 a.m. Eastern Time Friday. Both inventory reports are delayed because markets were closed for Christmas on Tuesday.

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:29 GMT December 28, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 28 December 2018



Even if you are not trading during this time of year and just popping in, it is time to prepare for the coming year. One look at this Amazing Trader EURUSD 1 hour chart will give you a glimpse of how versatile and useful our program is for trading.

The gold is how we show you strategies to use our program to trade but the trading lines by themselves, as you can see by this chart where the 1.1474 target came close but is so far capping the upside.

I suggest reading these reviews and then decide for yourself.

Amazing Trader Reviews

HK [email protected] 12:19 GMT December 28, 2018
Just wondering if this bear market, was really crashing, OR..
Reply   
.
Engineered for big funds buying cheap at year end?

There is lot of money which has been accumulating for long time out of the Mkt. Also a possible intervention, which didn't happen up to now.
Looks more like a multi-billion robbery of reduced prices stox.
Seems like good foundation for bottom building.

GVI Trader john 12:07 GMT December 28, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 28 December 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:
NEUTRAL
Spot EURUSD: 1.1464
Pivot Point: 1.1417

This Week: 1.1352-1.1473
Fri: 1.1427-1.1473
Thu: 1.1353-1.1454
Wed: 1.1355-1.1422
Tue: 1.1366-1.1425
Mon: 1.1362-1.1439

20-day avg: 1.1369
50-day avg: 1.1374
100-day avg: 1.1475
200-day avg: 1.1674

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Odds 25bp funds hike on Jan 30, 2019 = 48% (48%).

10-yr Bonds
US: 2.761% +1.2bp
DE: 0.234% +0.6
GB: 1.283% -2.1
JP: 0.001% -2.8

DAX: +197
Implied Open
DJ: +168
SP: +21.9



See the Amazing Trader Live!

GVI Forex Blog 11:45 GMT December 28, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 28 December 2018
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 28 Dec 2018
A 16:00 - EIA Crude


GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 31 Dec 2019
Various Holidays
Tue 1 Jan 2019
New Years Day Holiday
Wed 2 Jan 2019
A All Day Final Mfg PMIs
Thu 3 Jan 2019
A 13:15 US- ADP Jobs
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 16:00 US- EIA Crude
Fri 4 Jan 2019
A All Day Final Mfg PMIs
A 08:55 DE- Jobless
A A 08:55 EZ- Flash HICP
AA 13:30 US- Employment/Trade


Friday Trading Checklist For 28 December 2018

GVI Jay 11:35 GMT December 28, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 28 December 2018

As posted on the Amazing Trader private forum

EURUSD 1.1472

AT has 3 resistance levels looming above: 1.1474 (held first test),1.1485 and 1,1499

Worth noting is USDJPY is weaker despite firmer stocks and risk on, suggesting this general dollar weakness. US yields are a touch lower. End of year flows dominating.

The Amazing Trader

Mtl JP 11:10 GMT December 28, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 28 December 2018

European stocks are uP atm
US stocks look twisty and wishi-washi
i.e odds r for chop-chop w/some bias uP
--------------------------------------------
angelina jolie thinking about going into politics
dreaming of run at us presidency

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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