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Forex Forum Archive for 12/31/2018

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GVI Trader john 21:35 GMT December 31, 2018
Tuesday Trading Highlights 1 January 2019


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GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:
NEUTRAL
Spot EURUSD: 1.1449
Pivot Point: 1.1447

This Week: 1.1421-1.1466
Mon: 1.1421-1.1466

Fri: 1.1422-1.1473
Thu: 1.1353-1.1454
Wed: 1.1355-1.1422
Tue: 1.1366-1.1425


20-day avg: 1.1381
50-day avg: 1.1373
100-day avg: 1.1478
200-day avg: 1.1664

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Odds 25bp funds hike on Jan 30, 2019 = 50% (48%).

dc CB 21:29 GMT December 31, 2018
Today in weather history
Reply   
so as the rain has stopped - just shy of 75".
Is this a Black Swan Event?
As normal for a year is 40".
Near the end of July ( 6 and a half mos into the year) the Total rainfall was just below "normal" -- so 21-23 inches since Jan 1.

Summa CUM Loud: 50 inches in 5 plus Mo's
Is That a Black Swan Event?
More to the point...it's a Nature(al) Event.

EeSops Fables for the New Year Trading.

Cheers

GVI Forex Blog 20:58 GMT December 31, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 31 December 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 31 December 2018

GVI Trader john 18:05 GMT December 31, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 31 December 2018

10s 2.684%
+225
CO 45.38

GVI Trader john 17:31 GMT December 31, 2018
Tuesday Trading Highlights 1 January 2019

U.S. Fixed Income markets close at 18:00 GMT. today. Normal close for equities.

Mtl JP 17:16 GMT December 31, 2018
Tuesday Trading Highlights 1 January 2019

20 years ago
euro coins and banknotes
entered into circulation on 1 January 2002

GVI Forex Blog 17:09 GMT December 31, 2018
Tuesday Trading Highlights 1 January 2019
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 1 Jan 2019
New Years Day Holiday
Wed 2 Jan 2019
A All Day Final Mfg PMIs
Thu 3 Jan 2019
A 13:15 US- ADP Jobs
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 16:00 US- EIA Crude
Fri 4 Jan 2019
A All Day Final Mfg PMIs
A 08:55 DE- Jobless
A A 08:55 EZ- Flash HICP
AA 13:30 US- Employment
AA 15:15 US- Powell, Bernanke & Yellen panel


Tuesday Trading Highlights 1 January 2019

haifa ac 16:52 GMT December 31, 2018
NOVY GOD
Reply   
Novy God to all traders
May 2019 be good to you
and may my algo beat your algo.

Mtl JP 16:13 GMT December 31, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 31 December 2018

john 16:05 - just pigeons and cats
Brexit vote only in week 2 in jan

Mtl JP 16:09 GMT December 31, 2018
2019 Dollar Outlook
Reply   


2018 dollar strength has peaked.
December is looking decidedly down.
Most of good news is priced in (referring to the Fed now - turning scardy)

Bottom Line
After the GAP gets filled and we see possibly some early enthusiasm for the Dollar
I am expecting USD weakness in 2019.

dc CB 16:08 GMT December 31, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 31 December 2018

Like Louis, Macron has shown no understanding or sympathy for the sufferings of ordinary people crushed beneath his absurd, unnecessary policies. Like Louis, his mask of liberalism and civilized compassion vanished as soon as his own people dared to disagree with him. Like Louis his only answer now is repression. Like Louis, he does not have a clue.

The Yellow Vest protestors are not going away.

Return of Louis XVI: Emmanuel Macron, Roi de L’Ancien Regime

GVI Trader john 16:05 GMT December 31, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 31 December 2018

Brexit news?

GVI Trader john 14:56 GMT December 31, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 31 December 2018

DJ 202
10s 2.732%
CO $45.48

Mtl JP 14:43 GMT December 31, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 31 December 2018

NH - have no fear. instead suggest ponder next trade for juicing profit from the fractional fiat bankers (ref john 11:54) or the revolutionary visionary Musk's inventions to save the world as AI algo's are not yet developed nuff to offer better than 85% odds of what price move (direction and magnitude) is coming next.

On the highest 2019 concerns about risk should be taking measures against more aggressive gov't seizures as it will try to take care of the masses. (ref advent of alexandria O-C)

Ponder (and act) on Gold vs gov't Promissory Note.

Livingston nh 13:39 GMT December 31, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 31 December 2018

As we close out the year a lot of the usual suspects banging the Climate Change (nee WARMING) Apocalypse Drum again -- oil trying to get off the mat and the USD taking its Holiday Break - My twin fears are the Witches becoming the New Puritans and the bid for freedom by the AI, Robot, Algo Alliance (Stupid Humanz!)

Mtl JP 12:58 GMT December 31, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 31 December 2018

re Implied Open DJ: +197
players cashing in on Pres Trump's earlier tweet about progress w/china on trade despite chinese definite lack of displaying similar enthusiasm

GVI Trader john 11:54 GMT December 31, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 31 December 2018

Add to your calendar
1/4/2019 Friday 15:15 GMT- Powell, Yellen and Bernanke appear together on a panel

GVI Trader john 11:11 GMT December 31, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 31 December 2018

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GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:
NEUTRAL
Spot EURUSD: 1.1449
Pivot Point: 1.1447

Last Week: 1.1421-1.1473
Mon: 1.1421-1.1453

Fri: 1.1427-1.1473
Thu: 1.1353-1.1454
Wed: 1.1355-1.1422
Tue: 1.1366-1.1425


20-day avg: 1.1376
50-day avg: 1.1373
100-day avg: 1.1478
200-day avg: 1.1669

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Odds 25bp funds hike on Jan 30, 2019 = 50% (48%).

10-yr Bonds
US: 2.732% -0.8bp
DE: 0.246% +1.2
GB: 1.278% +1.0
JP: =0.001% -0.5

DAX: +178
Implied Open
DJ: +197
SP: +20.0



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GVI Forex Blog 11:08 GMT December 31, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 31 December 2018
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 31 Dec 2019
Various Holidays
Tue 1 Jan 2019
New Years Day Holiday
Wed 2 Jan 2019
A All Day Final Mfg PMIs
Thu 3 Jan 2019
A 13:15 US- ADP Jobs
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 16:00 US- EIA Crude
Fri 4 Jan 2019
A All Day Final Mfg PMIs
A 08:55 DE- Jobless
A A 08:55 EZ- Flash HICP
AA 13:30 US- Employment/Trade


Monday Trading Checklist 31 December 2018

HK [email protected] 03:10 GMT December 31, 2018
One comment on Youtube says:
Reply   
.
"Australia GDP is construction and real estate, if that goes which it will i think. Back to stoneage".

Is it true? And if so; Are Australians talking about real estate only?
Is their main occupation selling houses to each other?

Indeed a fantastic land :>)

Syd 02:52 GMT December 31, 2018
The far-reaching consequences of Opal Tower

The Media are out in force with their dire predictions , but if reports are to be believed .. there is no way RBA can raise rates with the Aud suffering

Bricks and slaughter: Part one - Exposing Australia's housing crisis - 60 Minutes Australia
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=smPR0s2W-Ck&app=desktop


Also
Leading economists and real estate analysts predicting ongoing construction and the rise of so-called zombie blocks will pull prices lower.

Ghost Cities and Zombie Blocks Invading Sydney and Melbourne

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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