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Forex Forum Archive for 02/06/2018

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Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


GVI Trader Jay Meisler 23:10 GMT February 6, 2018
Don't Be Complacent
Reply   

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Contact us


GVI Trader john 22:50 GMT February 6, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 7 February 2018

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI Trading Statistical Market BIAS Indicators--

EUR symbol The Fed Funds Market Sentiment Barometer reflects current sentiment about a future change in Fed policy.
Odds for one 25bp rate hike on March 21, 2018 are 82% (78%).

EURUSD MACRO statistical Bias: Positive
This Week: 1.2314-1.2476
Spot EURUSD: 1.2373
Pivot Point: 1.2374


20-day avg: 1.2306
50-day avg: 1.2051
100-day avg: 1.1906
200-day avg: 1.1697

Israel Dil 22:06 GMT February 6, 2018
NZD/USD

to be continued you old man....

Mtl JP 22:01 GMT February 6, 2018
NZD/USD



not much of a yoyo
more like a S-400 missile

dc CB 21:59 GMT February 6, 2018
STOX

somebody will teach a class someday and use these charts
SAVE file. ZeroHedge

Volmageddon -6000pt swing

Mtl JP 21:57 GMT February 6, 2018
NZD/USD

of course ...
what was I thinking ?

Israel Dil 21:56 GMT February 6, 2018
NZD/USD

trade also the other side

it's a YoYo trade... deflation in income means ultra bearish RBNZ 22hrs from now.... program the tobogán right

Mtl JP 21:52 GMT February 6, 2018
Crude

nh 21:34 dil can't buy it now
dropped a ton on nzd

Mtl JP 21:50 GMT February 6, 2018
NZD/USD

this qualifies as AA category reaction
~50 pips in less than 2 minutes

Mtl JP 21:47 GMT February 6, 2018
NZD/USD

4.5% vs expected 4.7%

Mtl JP 21:46 GMT February 6, 2018
Crude

to NZD I mean

Mtl JP 21:45 GMT February 6, 2018
Crude

wow hoo -- good violent price reaction

dc CB 21:44 GMT February 6, 2018
Crude

API
Crude: -1.050MM
Gasoline: -0.227MM
Distillate: 4.552MM
Cushing: -0.633M

Israel Dil 21:38 GMT February 6, 2018
Crude

sure nh

dc CB 21:38 GMT February 6, 2018
STOX

Some things never change.
the SEC under Arthur Levit during the DotCom Bubble.
Enforcement against Stock Manipulators...like Mary Meker, Henry Blodget, et al.

As chronicled by Michael Lewis in the NYTime Sunday Mag.

SEC motto: Hose the Little Guy

15yo Market Manipulator

Livingston nh 21:34 GMT February 6, 2018
Crude

Dil - you want to buy my 'global warming' induced Hudson Bay Citrus Plantation?

Israel Dil 21:34 GMT February 6, 2018
NZD/USD

0.7308

t/p limits @ .727x

Israel Dil 21:32 GMT February 6, 2018
Crude

ROFL

1. upload the letter
2. share what followed
3. you nice sort of crazy

Mtl JP 21:28 GMT February 6, 2018
Crude

nh I wrote to The Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers (CAPP) demanding they issue order to gas retailers to NOT sell gasoline to hybrid cars... stop pulling the carpet from under their feet and MY energy holdings... I ll spare you what followed

dc CB 21:26 GMT February 6, 2018
STOX

Top ZeroHedge Tweet of the day

re - XIV

Livingston nh 21:24 GMT February 6, 2018
Crude

jp - the problem for OPEC is demand not supply

Mtl JP 21:22 GMT February 6, 2018
Crude

In light of the higher count of rigs and if I had to make a guess : there will be more oil

I let robot play usdcad

Mtl JP 21:15 GMT February 6, 2018
Crude

so not good opp for a sniper
I finally got robot to place / close orders at a rate of 2-3/second given my all round setup, speed that I can control if only I had better roundtrip communication capacity between me and dealer

dc CB 21:09 GMT February 6, 2018
Crude

JP
I never place real $$ in the API release as it hits in thin Globex market and just a half hour before Globex shuts for the reset ---1 Hour--- for the New trading Day.
The EIA hits while the COMEX pit is open along with full Globex partcipation.

I screwed up the Nat Weather link.

Link

Mtl JP 21:07 GMT February 6, 2018
Crude

CB ok forget that duh... API at half past, nzd at 1/4 to

Mtl JP 21:02 GMT February 6, 2018
Crude

63.49
CB some bias would be nice ... *..*
tia
still low tech here, my current robot can only play one release at a time so have to make manual choices

dc CB 20:59 GMT February 6, 2018
Crude

Natty Gas
Mar contract low this AM 2.695
On GFS outlook. Image of the Day in link

NG Weather

dc CB 20:56 GMT February 6, 2018
Crude
Reply   
round and round it goes, where it stops nobody knows.
API in about a half hour.
Red or Black...place your bets ladies and germs

Mtl JP 20:50 GMT February 6, 2018
NZD/USD



7299
IF you like playing triangles breakouts

Israel Dil 20:48 GMT February 6, 2018
NZD/USD

sell the pops for weekly close/print sub 0.7200

Dil

Mtl JP 20:38 GMT February 6, 2018
NZD/USD

nh still time to get your sniper ready
NZD unemployment digits out only at 16:45NYT / 4.7% exp vs 4.6% last
some rate it "high" risk trade opportunity

PAR 20:29 GMT February 6, 2018
USDJPY
Reply   
Long USDJPY 109.45. Target 111.00.

Livingston nh 20:28 GMT February 6, 2018
NZD/USD
Reply   
No dog in this fight but NZD just poked above 21 dma -- CB meeting coming up and comments may not be supportive

GVI Forex Blog 20:21 GMT February 6, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 6 February 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 6 February 2018

london red 20:08 GMT February 6, 2018
STOX

50 dma s&p initial res. if they get abv there no falling back today. so its a potential selling point for those wanting to get out.

lkwd jj 19:58 GMT February 6, 2018
gold
Reply   
gold market is ignoring weaker usd vs euro....

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 19:50 GMT February 6, 2018
3 W's of Trading

WHAT, WHEN, WHERE

1) WHAT side to trade (more than half the battle)

2) WHEN to enter a trade (timing can improve odds of success0

3) WHERE to place a stop (a key to trading)

If this makes sense to you (which it should) then a way to add the 3 W's to your trading mix is by trading using the Amazing Trader as our strategies will show you what, when and where. .

Get access to the Amazing Trader now

lkwd jj 19:44 GMT February 6, 2018
DEBT

Tesla has developed solar shingles instead of giant panels contracted to sell at home depot. theyre made in good ol' us of a so theres no issue with tarriffs but on the contrary if theres a trade war with china theirs will still be available.

PAR 19:40 GMT February 6, 2018
DEBT

Or buying Tesla shares with it.

Tallinn viies 19:27 GMT February 6, 2018
eurusd
Reply   
when german coalition talks should end? was deadline today?

Israel Dil 19:27 GMT February 6, 2018
DEBT

debt is funny thing, at least what people do with debt. take buying Tesla for example.

PAR 19:18 GMT February 6, 2018
DEBT
Reply   
Too much debt is the world biggest problem. Everything is financed with debt so a 1 % rise in interest rates will bankrupt a lot of countries , companies and individuals .

Livingston nh 18:30 GMT February 6, 2018
STOX

The market internals are much better -- I wonder if anybody has algos turned on w/all the whipsaw moves // Look at February 2016 or August 2015 for a double bottom pattern on a LOG chart -- Bottom #1 may be in and a close tomorrow above 2700 might carry into Thursday// BUT everybody has a different CAUSE of this so there will be no Bells ringing "ALL CLEAR" on Friday // the 40 dma is probably the resistance to set up a test of the lows

This may take a while but as long as the Panic doesn't spread to FX or FI the ranges 2500 to 2800 will hold

(as always CAVEATS apply)


Mtl JP 18:22 GMT February 6, 2018
Equites Lower. 10-yr yields Mixed. USD Mixed and EUR Up

1.23999
Pivot 1.2416
trade accordingly

Israel Dil 18:18 GMT February 6, 2018
STOX

conclusion: US trade deficit is good news for stocks

dc CB 18:12 GMT February 6, 2018
STOX

that use first, second, third MONTH Forward etc VIX futures.

Mtl JP 18:10 GMT February 6, 2018
STOX

Post-fact advice, explanation or rationalization here there everywhere
Bottom Line
It is only generational
(so insures that trade opportunities repeat)

This guy just lost $10,000 trying to time the market — using his credit card

dc CB 18:10 GMT February 6, 2018
STOX

there were 2 ETF/ETNs based on a Short VIX formula that "rebalanced" the fund at the end of each day. In other words more or less, if the VIX rose the Fund had to Buy to cover short exposure. These are complicated instruments that use first, second, third etc VIX futures.

XIV,the Credit Suisse product went to 0

What they really were was a way for retail to make a Bet. similar to the way CDS, CDS squared, cubed, etc were designed to allow "sophisticated investors" to bet on the mortgage market way back before the implosion in 2007-2008

Mtl JP 18:02 GMT February 6, 2018
STOX

Abelask yourself who is paying the old wolf to lend his name to the headline or what is his interest that stox do not continue to crap

PAR 18:00 GMT February 6, 2018
Stock buy backs
Reply   
Every company does a few billion share buy backs and Trump looks great again . Under Hilary the market would have gone down 50 % .

I really believe that .

Mtl JP 17:58 GMT February 6, 2018
STOX

with "one still standing" do you think it is only the crappier - like say 3-rd tier - quality "investments" that are tasting market's vaccination ?

PAR 17:48 GMT February 6, 2018
PPT ViX
Reply   
VIX declines > vix trader buy stock index futures > VIX declines >. etc.

Credit Suisse always makes money , the clients that 's another story.

dc CB 17:48 GMT February 6, 2018
STOX



one still standing

Mtl JP 17:42 GMT February 6, 2018
STOX

Perfect example of the negativity of verbs in past tense:
typically feeling(s) of vague or regretful longing, sad or melancholic wistful expression(s) about nostalgia for the old days

XIV trader: ‘I’ve lost $4 million, 3 years of work and other people’s money’

Jkt Abel 17:30 GMT February 6, 2018
STOX

So who is buying cashin's 50year experience?

GVI Forex Blog 17:23 GMT February 6, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 7 February 2018
Reply   

Trading Ideas for 6 February 2018

Upgrade Your Trading. Try The Amazing Trader


GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Wed 7 Feb 2018
A 15:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 8 Feb 2018
AA 12:00 GB- Bank of England Decision
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 9 Feb 2018
B 08:30 GB- Output
A 13:30 CA- Employment



John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Wednesday Trading Checklist 7 February 2018

Israel Dil 17:22 GMT February 6, 2018
Mnuchin

No way coke, it's more a psychodal mushroom

PAR 17:19 GMT February 6, 2018
Mnuchin
Reply   
Mnuchin confirming the stock market is up a lot since Trump was elected and he expects market to move much higher.

Meanwhile Atlanta fed cust Q1 growth dramatically from 5.4 to 4 % .
Atlanta fed seems to be using coke instead of looking at the figures ?

Mtl JP 17:00 GMT February 6, 2018
STOX

typically eyesight degrades with age, but
"Art Cashin: I've been on Wall Street for 50 years and this looks like a market bottom"

thinks he is an exception

Israel Dil 16:53 GMT February 6, 2018
STOX

if the next crash is scheduled for potus 45th term, I am almost certain the algos chief cpu to be named Hillary :-)))

Dil

dc CB 16:50 GMT February 6, 2018
STOX

"Ths is the way the next crash will likely come. The need for yield for pension funds to actually pay their retirees makes them prime targets for bank ideas to create yield. Ideas like "just sell vol". And like those old school sellers of strangles to capture premium, they have been right almost 5 years running. But it takes only 1 time to be wrong, and that pension will blow up."

Walkthrough on Exactly How the XIV is Ripping People's Faces Off.

Israel Dil 16:49 GMT February 6, 2018
gbp

just sell 13950+ and place limit 200 pips lower

Dil

Mtl JP 16:45 GMT February 6, 2018
gbp

stops hunt N of 1.2357 breakout

UK GB 16:44 GMT February 6, 2018
gbp
Reply   
Is there any news why it turned bid?

Israel Dil 16:42 GMT February 6, 2018
euro

your fib 50% ~12225 target train to start the journey soon, for real this time :-)))

stop above today's high with extension... let Mr. to get his food from other sources than your account.

Dil

Israel Dil 16:38 GMT February 6, 2018
euro

your fib 50% ~12255 target train to start the journey soon, for real this time :-)))

Dil

Israel Dil 16:16 GMT February 6, 2018
euro

breaking news as an excuse for 12377

3-2-1....

Israel Dil 16:14 GMT February 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

ROFL

also the estimates marketplace turned volitile.... or simply manipulation powerhouse

clowns

Mtl JP 16:14 GMT February 6, 2018
euro

1.2357 still s/t res
trade accordingly

GVI 16:13 GMT February 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

random number generator.

GVI 16:12 GMT February 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Atlanta Fed cuts Q1 GDP estimate to 4.0% from 5.4% on Feb 1st

- Source TradeTheNews.com

dc CB 16:11 GMT February 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Today's Homer Simpson D'OH insight
from The Treasury Dept:
MNUCHIN SAYS ALGORITHMIC TRADING HAD IMPACT ON MARKET MOVES

lkwd jj 16:07 GMT February 6, 2018
euro
Reply   
this is from Action Forex who i've been following for quite a while.
------------------------------------------------------------------
EUR/USD is still staying in consolidation below 1.2537 and intraday bias remains neutral. As long as 1.2222 support holds, further rise is in favor. Sustained break of 1.2494/2516 will target 100% projection of 1.0569 to 1.2091 from 1.1553 at 1.3075 next. However, break of 1.2222 will indicate rejection from 1.2494/2516, on bearish divergence condition in 4 hour MACD, and turn near term outlook bearish for 1.1915 support first.
-----------------------------
macd divergence is very reliable when they mention it.

Israel Dil 16:05 GMT February 6, 2018
s&p

IF so started the sentence...

enjoy switching trains, the premium on the express is giving more pips to Mr. Market.. he is long and not USD :-)))

lkwd jj 15:59 GMT February 6, 2018
euro
Reply   
GVI 15:30 Jp

so you agree with my trade ?

lkwd jj 15:58 GMT February 6, 2018
s&p
Reply   
Israel Dil 23:54 GMT February 1, 2018
s&p: Reply
jj - if major correction is not the case then we cannot go lower than 2750 and followed by rally to 3k
-------------------------------------
where do we stand now ?

GVI Forex Blog 15:56 GMT February 6, 2018
GVI Data Calendar 8 February 2018
Reply   

Forex Data Calendar For Traders

February 6, 2018 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for February 7, 2018

  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: DE- Industrial Output
  • Americas: US- Mortgages, EIA Crude, 10-yr Auction, API

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Wed 7 Feb 2018
A 15:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 8 Feb 2018
AA 12:00 GB- Bank of England Decision
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 9 Feb 2018
B 08:30 GB- Output
A 13:30 CA- Employment


GVI Data Calendar 8 February 2018

Israel Dil 15:55 GMT February 6, 2018
euro

12365 is certain as the sunrise this round... not sure me seller there

Dil

Mtl JP 15:46 GMT February 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

10:27 Mnuchin says Treasury is monitoring stock market, says it is functioning 'very well' - MarketWatch

Mtl JP 15:45 GMT February 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

10:38 Fidelity suffers temporary outage amid volatile markets
MarketWatch

lkwd jj 15:42 GMT February 6, 2018
euro

somewhere above 1.24. :>)))

lkwd jj 15:40 GMT February 6, 2018
euro

no i sold euro futures 1.2452 which was when eur/usd was 1.2324

Mtl JP 15:40 GMT February 6, 2018
euro

jj do u dare post sl on that short ?
like painting dev!l on the wall

lkwd jj 15:39 GMT February 6, 2018
S&P

ES on think or swim same for Interactive

Israel Dil 15:39 GMT February 6, 2018
euro

short USD now, that's what you mean jj?

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 15:37 GMT February 6, 2018
S&P
Reply   
We are looking to add the S&P to the Amazing Trader but one issue is there is not one standard symbol for it on MT4 as is the case with currencies.

Please post what symbol your broker uses so we can see if there is one most commonly used.

The one I see is US500

lkwd jj 15:32 GMT February 6, 2018
euro

looks like i missed the local , so will grab the express. short now !!!

Mtl JP 15:23 GMT February 6, 2018
PPT

janet stands 5'3"

courtesy LPL Financial

Det tm 15:22 GMT February 6, 2018
E-mini March
Reply   
Been drawing trendlines on 1 min. chart (ESH18) & working well on breaks. March stopped @ 200 dma spot on. Viva la Volitalia!

dc CB 15:20 GMT February 6, 2018
STOX

JP
Yr 13:58 GMT
see that they rolled out Bullard...going for Bullard's Bottom v.02_18????

PAR 15:17 GMT February 6, 2018
PPT

Is Jerome Powell even shorter than Yellen ? That should mean big problems .

Mtl JP 15:15 GMT February 6, 2018
STOX

"acceleration event" haha who is the literary genius that coined the term ?
-
more importantly: "Credit Suisse .CSGN.S, the issuer of the VelocityShares ETN (XIV.P), in which it has a 32 percent stake, said it had not suffered any loss on the product." - rtrs

GVI Forex Blog 15:15 GMT February 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. JOLTS Survey For December 2017 Weaker Than Forecast
Reply   
Fed's preferred Jobs statistic. Data topping out?

U.S. JOLTS Survey

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. JOLTS Survey For December 2017 Weaker Than Forecast

dc CB 15:12 GMT February 6, 2018
Equites Lower. 10-yr yields Mixed. USD Mixed and EUR Up

Bill Blain of Mint Partners

Pity Powell. Market Crash is a volatility driven VALUE AT RISK Event.

You have to feel sorry for new Fed Head Jerome Powell starting his new job yesterday: Powell is going to find he has three jobs: Inflation, Jobs, and managing Trump who might well think a falling stock market is a Fed Plot to discredit him. Does that increase the risk of a policy mistake?

"Trump Might Think The Crash Is A Fed Plot To Discredit Him"

dc CB 15:09 GMT February 6, 2018
STOX

dc CB 22:13 GMT February 5, 2018
I SCREAM --- multi Levered most like Flavor of 2017-2018. Baskin and Robbers
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
XIV, SVXY Halted, News Pending

"ETPs had to buy 282,000 VIX futures to rebalance their short gamma: this is the largest VIX buy in history, dwarfing Friday’s previous record of 78,000."

Credit Suisse: "Since the intraday indicative value of XIV on February 5, 2018 was equal to or less than 20% of the prior day’s closing indicative value, an acceleration event has occurred."

It took 6 years for XIV to go from $11 to $144 and one day for it to implode to zero

Mtl JP 15:09 GMT February 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

john I am thankful that you have dropped the Canadian Ivey PMI
data as useful as a nipple on a male

GVI Trader john 15:01 GMT February 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. BLS JOLTS Survey December 2017

U.S. Data Charts





ALERT
mln: 5.811 vs. 5.900 exp. vs. 5.880 prev (r 5.978) rev.

BLS: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 14:59 GMT February 6, 2018
Equites Lower. 10-yr yields Mixed. USD Mixed and EUR Up

U.S. 10yr 2.777 +0.0705

Mtl JP 14:55 GMT February 6, 2018
Equites Lower. 10-yr yields Mixed. USD Mixed and EUR Up

DJIA 24,697.18 +351.43 +1.44%

Mtl JP 14:47 GMT February 6, 2018
euro

previous Sup 1 1.2357 now res

lkwd jj 14:45 GMT February 6, 2018
euro

1.2360-65

Mtl JP 14:44 GMT February 6, 2018
PPT

PPT theme song:

Randy Newman Short People
"Short people got no reason
Short people got no reason
Short people got no reason
To live…"

from Little Criminals album

but that is only for equities.
FX folks are indifferent to short or long

PAR 14:42 GMT February 6, 2018
CREDIT SUISSE = BEAR STEARNS

Looks like Credit Suisse really messed up . See how vix is dropping and markets are rising . What did you expect ?

nw kw 14:37 GMT February 6, 2018
Another short-term spending bill

sector shift was lame year bet appal stop doing heavy lifting still room for s/p add 1/3 to top

PAR 14:35 GMT February 6, 2018
PPT
Reply   
PPT doing great job . No more sellers to be found .

Mtl JP 14:34 GMT February 6, 2018
Equites Lower. 10-yr yields Mixed. USD Mixed and EUR Up

U.S. stocks open sharply lower; Dow drops 521 points

Israel Dil 14:31 GMT February 6, 2018
euro

some like the feeling of missing a train

Mtl JP 14:31 GMT February 6, 2018
euro

jj and what "moment" would that be - sub 1.2305 ?
(but 1.2305 is not a moment, just a price)

Mtl JP 14:20 GMT February 6, 2018
Equites Lower. 10-yr yields Mixed. USD Mixed and EUR Up

09:15 S&P 500 index off 0.2%
09:15 Nasdaq-100 futures up 0.1%
09:15 Dow futures slip 157 points or 0.7% lower
09:15 Stock-market futures pare losses but still looking at mostly lower open
- MarketWatch

lkwd jj 14:03 GMT February 6, 2018
euro
Reply   
trailing stop hit. i still think 1.2222 is in the cards , so will rejoin the party when i see the moment.

Mtl JP 14:03 GMT February 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

says strong labor market doesn’t mean a spike in inflation is around the corner

PAR 14:00 GMT February 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Bullard cheerleading the stock market higher .

Mtl JP 13:58 GMT February 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

08:50 Bullard sees economy slowing a bit but says there could be tax-driven investment boom MarketWatch
08:50 Bullard: Fed interest rates policy stance 'is closer to neutral today' MarketWatch
08:50 Fed's Bullard: More job growth is unlikely to translate into 'meaningfully' higher inflation MarketWatch

Israel Dil 13:52 GMT February 6, 2018
Trump and Trade

that 12 month figures about US trade deficit is less than twice the amount of cash AAPL got.

the point is, with globalization trade deficit is not an accurate source for data.

Mtl JP 13:49 GMT February 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

fwiw non voter bullard yaks in 2 mins

PAR 13:41 GMT February 6, 2018
Trump and Trade
Reply   
U.S. trade deficit in Trump’s first year soars to 9-year high of $566 billion

GVI Forex Blog 13:39 GMT February 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Trade Deficit for December 2017 Widens
Reply   
U.S. Trade Deficit deteriorates in December 2017. Larger deficit suggests U.S.growth. Bad for GDP calculations.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Trade Defici for December 2017 Widens

Mtl JP 13:37 GMT February 6, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 6 February 2018

with nothing left on the data calendar
be time for hunting whales' option plays into 10:00am

gut says magnet around 1.24 seeing as 1.2335 not piercing down

GVI Trader john 13:31 GMT February 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. (USD bn) & Canada (CAD bn) Trade December 2017

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
-53.1 vs. -52.0 exp. vs. -50.5b (r -50.5) prev.
Canada Trade C$ bln
-3.2 vs. -2.30 exp. vs. -2.54 (r -2.470prev.

U.S. Balance on Goods and Services

Canadian Trade Balance


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 13:05 GMT February 6, 2018
eurusd

1.2328

a casual headline nega-comment from some EU "source" would be nice just about now ...

PAR 13:04 GMT February 6, 2018
Another short-term spending bill
Reply   
The House of Representatives plans to vote on legislation today to keep federal agencies operating beyond Feb. 8. It will likely include a full year of defense spending, two years of funding for community health centers, but nothing related to DACA or a border wall. The measure would also mark the fifth short-term spending bill, known as a continuing resolution, that Congress will have considered since last fall.

Mtl JP 12:57 GMT February 6, 2018
Equites Lower. 10-yr yields Mixed. USD Mixed and EUR Up

Powell , the sly fox, used the plural of "I" (our, we)

“Today, unemployment is low, the economy is growing and inflation is low,” ... ... “Through our decisions on monetary policy, we will support continued economic growth, a healthy job market and price stability.” - in a brief video statement on the FED's website

You could think Powell is a democratic consensual team player rather than a fearless and inspirational leader

GVI Trader john 12:50 GMT February 6, 2018
Equites Lower. 10-yr yields Mixed. USD Mixed and EUR Up

This amounts to a "Taper Tantrum" for new Fed Chair Powell. Is he going to capitulate or stand up to the markets? This is a major test of the new guy.

Israel Dil 12:43 GMT February 6, 2018
global media chart
Reply   


the global media according to Julian Assange...

when you serious about which book/portfolio is the market's theme.

Dil

Mtl JP 12:33 GMT February 6, 2018
Equites Lower. 10-yr yields Mixed. USD Mixed and EUR Up

all sorts of opportunities all-over and everywhere

All 30 Dow stocks fall in early active trade

Israel Dil 12:31 GMT February 6, 2018
Equites Lower. 10-yr yields Mixed. USD Mixed and EUR Up

markets are not crashing, market commentary stinks and that's all the story.

Dil

Livingston nh 12:28 GMT February 6, 2018
Equites Lower. 10-yr yields Mixed. USD Mixed and EUR Up

non-equity markets have been relatively calm - Treasurys didn't really move until late yesterday -- BUT the speed of the drop and the extent created margin pressure and mutual fund (ETF) selling late -- SO now other market margin becomes a factor as STOX margin call require cash

Everybody has a personal bogeyman villain to blame for STOX but this time there is no geopolitical (Brexit China back to back) cause just plain old vals/vols - a lot of "money" went poof and isn't available for BTD ("Ray Dalio runs Bridgewater, the world’s biggest hedge fund, and he has a message for those freaking out about the recent selloff: Relax... for now.
“These big declines are just minor corrections in the scope of things,” he wrote in a LinkedIn post. “There is a lot of cash on the side to buy on the break.” ) Remember the Sweet Spot 2 wks ago

Today, things will look better LATER but see how much expectation there is for a Fed hike in March -- everybody wants a crutch // if the FOMC in March gets taken off the radar the USD will get hit

PAR 12:28 GMT February 6, 2018
PPT
Reply   
Jerome Powell calls the PPT . He 'll show he is loyal to Trump and that he will defend Trumps beloved Dow Jones .

Tallinn viies 12:21 GMT February 6, 2018
eurusd
Reply   
covered short euro at 1,2355.

GVI Trader john 12:10 GMT February 6, 2018
Equites Lower. 10-yr yields Mixed. USD Mixed and EUR Up

Equities just took a leg down. 10-yr sub-2.70%

Mtl JP 11:57 GMT February 6, 2018
Bitcoin



Notes from an "expert" - who obviously has never missed a meal - and who thinks it his duty to not only educate plebeians but also force certain behaviors:

Lecture by Mr Agustín Carstens, General Manager of the BIS

Money in the digital age: what role for central banks?

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 11:50 GMT February 6, 2018
3 W's of Trading
Reply   
WHAT, WHEN, WHERE

1) WHAT side to trade (more than half the battle)

2) WHEN to enter a trade (timing can improve odds of success0

3) WHERE to place a stop (a key to trading)

If this makes sense to you (which it should) then a way to add the 3 W's to your trading mix is by trading using the Amazing Trader as our strategies will show you what, when and where. .

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Mtl JP 11:47 GMT February 6, 2018
Equites Lower. 10-yr yields Mixed. USD Mixed and EUR Up

which - do you think - 2-yr or 10-yr paper is in BoD ?
not for you personally, but for market players as a mass

GVI Trader john 11:44 GMT February 6, 2018
Equites Lower. 10-yr yields Mixed. USD Mixed and EUR Up

volatile, choppy. Its reacting to equity futures changes.

Mtl JP 11:41 GMT February 6, 2018
Equites Lower. 10-yr yields Mixed. USD Mixed and EUR Up

john 11:0 what does "all over the place" mean ?

london red 11:34 GMT February 6, 2018
eurusd

for stox as yest, watch what they do with the opening gap. yest it got filled and it rolled over. if not filled early on they could fill later after a retest of lows.

Tallinn viies 11:26 GMT February 6, 2018
eurusd
Reply   
everybody talking about stocks sell-off (basically sell off of indexs futures). so far it is common understanding that last night sell-off in Asia, after NYC close was wash out and panic and whatever the words are...

SP500 panic move down yesterday started after index moved below 50 day sma. then within next hour index touched 100 day sma and closed luckily above it. after hours futures sold down to 200 day simple moving average and basically from there it is jumped back almost to 100 day sma where cash market ended yesterday.

so if stocks able to close today again above 100 day sma then eurusd may skip test of previous week low at 1,2335. if spx starts to fall again in panic mode then eurusd will follow. after 1,2335 next important chart point is 1,2230 and 1,2092.
also crude oil will follow down.

GVI Trader john 11:06 GMT February 6, 2018
Equites Lower. 10-yr yields Mixed. USD Mixed and EUR Up

10-yr 2.721% all over the place but still have a flight to safety bid.

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 11:02 GMT February 6, 2018
Webinar: Why the Hard Trade is the Right Trade
Reply   

For those who missed our webinar and would like a copy, send me an EMAIL

GVI Trader john 11:00 GMT February 6, 2018
Equites Lower. 10-yr yields Mixed. USD Mixed and EUR Up

Updates
DAX -204
DJ +15
SP+15.3

10-yr 2.711 -2.6bp

PAR 10:42 GMT February 6, 2018
CREDIT SUISSE = BEAR STEARNS
Reply   
Credit Suisse Shares Slide Amid Concern Over Pre-Market Plunge in VIX ETN
Credit Suisse says there will be no "material" impact to its business from the VelocityShares Daily Inverse VIX Short Term ETN after it plunges 85% in pre-market trading.

One of the bank's risk products, an exchange traded note known a the Credit Suisse AG - VelocityShares Daily Inverse VIX Short Term ETN, was marked nearly 85% lower in pre-market trading Tuesday. The note is designed to mimic, in reverse, moves in futures contracts tied to the broader market's key benchmark for near-term volatility, the CBOE's VIX index. Its declines have raised concerns about a so-called termination event if the losses persist throughout today's session in order to prevent the note from having a negative value.

PAR 10:37 GMT February 6, 2018
Central Bank Intervention

As usual ECB just buying more bonds.

As everybody knows buying something is easy , selling it afterwards can become extremely complicated .

Draghi is crazy . Crazy Mario .

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 10:26 GMT February 6, 2018
Amazing Trader Update
Reply   


EURUSD: Keep an eye on the Amazing Trader down trendline in 15, 30 and 1 hour. Trendline capped the upside in all 3 time frames dead on at the 1.2434 high.

See the Amazing Trader live now

GVI Forex Blog 10:19 GMT February 6, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 6 February 2018
Reply   

See the Amazing Trader Live


EUR symbolRanges:
Likely Stop levels:
Stops above HOD and below LOD. Key Ranges:
This Week: 1.2350-1.2475
Tue: 1.2350-1.2435
Mon: 1.2365-1.2475

Key Market Profiles--
10-yr & Stocks
Equities: Lower
U.S. 10-yr Yield at 2.753%, +1.6bp
2.80% pivotal (Note new higher level)

Remaining Calendar Today:
CA/US Trade, US- JOLTS Survey, 3-yr Auction, API Crude


AT charts often presage market momentum shifts. AT support (red) and resistance (blue) levels can change before sentiment.

Tuesday Trading Checklist 6 February 2018

GVI Trader john 09:19 GMT February 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

EZ Retail PMI Weaker in January 2018...


Eurozone Retail PMI graph

GVI Trader john 09:11 GMT February 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Retail PMI January 2018





ALERT
50.8 vs. n/a exp. vs. 53.0 prev.

Markit PMI Press Release



TTN: Live News Special Offer

PAR 09:02 GMT February 6, 2018
Central Bank Intervention

Central banks selling VIX .

GVI Forex Blog 08:57 GMT February 6, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 6 February 2018
Reply   


Trading Ideas for 6 February 2018

Upgrade Your Trading. Try The Amazing Trader


GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 6 Feb 2018
A 03:30 AU- Reserve Bank Decision
B 13:30 US/CA- Trade
Wed 7 Feb 2018
A 15:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 8 Feb 2018
AA 12:00 GB- Bank of England Decision
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 9 Feb 2018
B 08:30 GB- Output
A 13:30 CA- Employment



John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Tuesday Trading Checklist 6 February 2018

PAR 08:47 GMT February 6, 2018
US BUDGET
Reply   
https://www.forbes.com/sites/stancollender/2018/02/05/this-is-the-real-reason-the-gop-doesnt-want-to-do-a-budget-this-year/#71f9fe625e08

This Is The Real Reason The GOP Doesn't Want To Do A Budget This Year

House and Senate Republicans, who should be jonesing to pass a budget this year, are instead running away from doing that as fast as they possibly can. In spite of the legal requirement that Congress adopt an annual budget resolution, the GOP is increasingly likely to violate federal law by refusing to do one this year.

So why isn't the GOP going to do a budget? Because the vote on the 2019 budget — the last one Congress will consider before the 2018 midterm elections — will reveal that all the Republican promises on the deficit and debt, including its blind belief on dynamic scoring, were completely bogus.

Tallinn viies 08:24 GMT February 6, 2018
eurusd
Reply   
shorted euro at 1,2430. stop at 1,2480. above previous day high should be enough. I expect euro to test bbelow 1,2335 last week low today or tommorow.

PAR 08:21 GMT February 6, 2018
Central Bank Intervention

Mega buying in emini S&P futures , looks like central banks .

PAR 08:18 GMT February 6, 2018
CREDIT SUISSE = BEAR STEARNS
Reply   
Trouble with Credit Suisse ETF s ?

PAR 08:10 GMT February 6, 2018
Central Bank Intervention
Reply   
Expect central banks to intervene to stabilize the stock markets .

BOJ , SNB , ECB , FED

Markets must go up to help the 1% and Donald Trump .

PAR 07:54 GMT February 6, 2018
VIX ETN / CRERIT SUISSE / LIQUIDATION
Reply   
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-02-06/volatility-jump-has-traders-asking-about-poison-pill-in-vix-note

Futures indicate 80% drop that could trigger liquidation
VIX front-month future surged more than 100% on Monday
The Cboe Volatility Index’s biggest rally ever is raising thorny questions about the future of exchange-traded products tied to the gauge.

PAR 07:38 GMT February 6, 2018
DOW FUTURES WILD NIGHT
Reply   
Night range. While we were sleeping .

Low 23088

High 24218

miigun joyya 04:14 GMT February 6, 2018
N225

my jpy going up up up...

Mtl JP 03:28 GMT February 6, 2018
N225

could not make it up if I tried ....

" Japanese investment bank Nomura said Tuesday it would close one such fund early after the underlying index plunged 80% Monday, hitting a condition for early redemptions.

“We apologize from the bottom of our hearts for causing great inconvenience for the holders,” the fund said in a statement."

miigun joyya 01:38 GMT February 6, 2018
N225

Dil San i am joyya...

Israel Dil 01:35 GMT February 6, 2018
N225

Joyya san... it feels I know you w/another name. :-)))

look at HKG33

Dil

miigun joyya 01:32 GMT February 6, 2018
N225

me too long jpy vs majors...

miigun joyya 01:31 GMT February 6, 2018
N225

Dil san lets see i think 15/17k not very difficult target if this happen usdjpy 100 eurjpy 120 gbpjpy 135 i closed half shorts now 50% shorts keep stop now BE....made nice pips...happy trade

Israel Dil 01:29 GMT February 6, 2018
N225

I am flat nikkei since this a.m. and still long JPY

Dil

Israel Dil 01:25 GMT February 6, 2018
N225

joyya

the lagging JPY makes me to hesitate a little. EUR/JPY prints below 132.70 are crucial to avoid from 21.5k-23.5k range from here.

miigun joyya 01:18 GMT February 6, 2018
N225

Israel Dil 01:02 GMT 02/06/2018
Dil san i think 15/17k this thing will go...

Israel Dil 01:02 GMT February 6, 2018
N225

weekly close above 21.7k signals end of the down move and to 21.5k-23.5k

sub 21k stop should hold from here if toying with the idea of playing longs

Israel Dil 00:48 GMT February 6, 2018
N225
Reply   
weekly close below 21.4K and things my turn extremely ugly.

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 00:34 GMT February 6, 2018
STOX

DC your post was deleted in error. Just did the same to one of mine on the GVI side. It's been a long day.

miigun joyya 00:27 GMT February 6, 2018
long jpy!

wow jpy going well...what haappen to stox?

dc CB 00:21 GMT February 6, 2018
STOX

sure Jay anything you say.
Politics has nothing to do with this recent market action.
See you around.

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 00:08 GMT February 6, 2018
STOX

DC, let's keep politics off this forum unless it has market impact

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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