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Forex Forum Archive for 02/09/2018

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GVI Trader john 22:50 GMT February 9, 2018
Markets Dealing With Extreme Turmoil

John M. Bland, MBA, co-founder, Global-View.com


Equity Markets Volatile As Prices Correct Following an extended period with no correction, share markets finally paused after fixed income markets started to worry about rising market interest rates in the U.S. as expectations for a rising U.S. budget deficit mount. The benchmark 10-yr bond yield has decisively broken out of its previous well- worn 2.70%-2.80% fluctuation range to a new level supported at 2.80%. Late this week the 2.90% level was approached and many feell that the 3.00% line will be seen fairly soon.

As equities went through periodic levels of adjustment, bonds saw a “flight-to-safety” bid for U.S. securities, which drove bond yields back lower, but...MORE

Markets Dealing With Extreme Turmoil

Tallinn viies 21:57 GMT February 9, 2018
eurusd
Reply   
done at 53. sq now.
trying long doesnt pay my bills I must admit.
next week seller again.
1,2092 target, nice w/e

Mtl JP 21:47 GMT February 9, 2018
DOW JONES

dc CB but IF Fidelity has a mountain of cash on hand, going after it using the FTC is just another way of trying to get some $$$$
in the land of litigants

Mtl JP 21:45 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

This one , imo, takes the cake : the detective hopes they will find more victims ! EMMA MCINTOSHStaff Reporte

reports EMMA MCINTOSHStaff Reporter:

Five Torontonians lose $5.1 million in new phone-based scam

Based on the number of calls police believe were made, Nichol said there are likely other victims, and encouraged them to get in touch with Toronto police.

“We just follow the leads we have,” he Det.-Sgt. Ian Nichol said.

“Hopefully this will generate some more.”

dc CB 21:37 GMT February 9, 2018
DOW JONES

JP
first I have no association with Fidelity.

second, the instrument to which I refer XIV and SVXY - have written in their Perspectus, the conditions at which they will "Blow Up". a certian percentage move in the underlying in a trading day.

Third, it was just a wise-ass comment Fidelity wanting to protect their customers. Too little and way too late.

Mtl JP 21:26 GMT February 9, 2018
DOW JONES

dc CB 21:12 -- IF you think you a valid case

Truth In Advertising
When consumers see or hear an advertisement, whether it’s on the Internet, radio or television, or anywhere else, federal law says that ad must be truthful, not misleading, and, when appropriate, backed by scientific evidence. The Federal Trade Commission enforces these truth-in-advertising laws, and it applies the same standards no matter where an ad appears – in newspapers and magazines, online, in the mail, or on billboards or buses. The FTC looks especially closely at advertising claims that can affect consumers’ health or their pocketbooks – claims about food, over-the-counter drugs, dietary supplements, alcohol, and tobacco and on conduct related to high-tech products and the Internet. The FTC also monitors and writes reports about ad industry practices regarding the marketing of alcohol and tobacco.

When the FTC finds a case of fraud perpetrated on consumers, the agency files actions in federal district court for immediate and permanent orders to stop scams; prevent fraudsters from perpetrating scams in the future; freeze their assets; and get compensation for victims.

I HIGHLY encourage you to dig at their mountain of cash and

Submit a Consumer Complaint to the FTC

dc CB 21:17 GMT February 9, 2018
Commitment Of Traders Report for 6 February 2018 Data

As they were lined-up ...BTH - Feb 2018. (Before The Hosing)

ES - COT sides

GVI Forex Blog 21:12 GMT February 9, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 9 February 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 9 February 2018

dc CB 21:12 GMT February 9, 2018
DOW JONES

JP- re Fidelity

Yes the Product you are attempting to Trade no longer exists as a Tradeable Instrument, it was wiped out on Tuesday.
Sorry for the inconvenience.

PS. Sorry for locking you out of your accn't earlier this week when Our WebSite went down. Our Bad.

Fidelity, the Most Trusted Name in Retail.

london red 21:07 GMT February 9, 2018
eurusd

yes nice rally but taken in perspective youre right. but dont think we close under 200dma initially even if go 50-100 points under intraday.

Israel Dil 21:03 GMT February 9, 2018
DOW JONES

to be continued...

last chapter probably early next week.

Dil :-)))

Tallinn viies 20:58 GMT February 9, 2018
eurusd
Reply   
it is still bad close for spx. below 100 day sma.
next week 200 day again. with this bad close now weekly also reallu bad. if new weekly low next week then millions of stops again on the run

Mtl JP 20:53 GMT February 9, 2018
DOW JONES

In the land of (not so) free

Fidelity prevents retail clients from trading short volatility products

PAR 20:49 GMT February 9, 2018
DOW JONES
Reply   
Up 1000 from.earlier lows. TGIF
.

No more margin calls.

GVI Trader john 20:43 GMT February 9, 2018
Commitment Of Traders Report for 6 February 2018 Data
Reply   

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: EUR, JPY, CHF, GBP


Net EUR JPY COT Positions



Click on chart for EUR COT Details






Click on chart forJPY COT Details



X+++++
Net GBP and CHF COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details




Net AUD and CAD COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details




G+++++

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: CAD, AUD, Gold, Oil


Net Crude, Gold, S&P and 10-yr Positions







Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details






-----------------------------------------------------------


forex rate database image


Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.


Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


PAR 20:39 GMT February 9, 2018
USDJPY
Reply   
Long USDJPY 108.70

Nikkei limit up on US budget deal . Japan to lower taxes and interest rates . Increase defense spending tenfold

london red 20:39 GMT February 9, 2018
stox

channel line going back to 2014 at 260x depending on daily/weekly. looks like we close on it.

london red 20:28 GMT February 9, 2018
stox

spoos double b. 4 hr chart indicates best. a break below while expected to be v sharp, may be worth buying if seen monday as mkt will be oversold at that point. it could of course go straight up monday, but its unclear on what.

PAR 20:27 GMT February 9, 2018
stox

WallStreet closes higher to avoid margin calls .

lkwd jj 20:06 GMT February 9, 2018
stox
Reply   
time for toboggan !!

london red 19:41 GMT February 9, 2018
eurusd

better to be lucky than unlucky in this game.
they got 20 mins to get s&p back to within 10% of current hours high otherwise it'll fizzle out.

Tallinn viies 19:33 GMT February 9, 2018
eurusd
Reply   
brent closed now. luckily with small profit.
it closed below 100 day sma. oh dear this is going to be bad next week. over 700k contract net long positons to liquidate.
doesnt look good for euro and stocks..
sp500 must sell below 2630 I think

bahbah

london red 19:29 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

stox look to have rolled over again. might be it for upside.

Tallinn viies 19:27 GMT February 9, 2018
eurusd
Reply   
will close my brent exactly at settlemtn in 4 min

london red 19:26 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

get abv c 2620 and they can put on 50pts. 2590 now a dwnside pivot

london red 19:11 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

fwiw stox rallying and yields going up...

dc CB 19:10 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

correct that
Today so far 2530.25

london red 19:10 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

yen gone ballistic not coming dwn so far so stox have a chance to add to bounce.

dc CB 19:08 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

2/6 - Emini Low 2529
Today so far 2520.25
that goes there's not much until 2500

lkwd jj 19:08 GMT February 9, 2018
usdjpy
Reply   
Red is boj playing with it?

lkwd jj 19:05 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

83 is 10ma on hourlies...... held it so far....

GVI Trader john 19:04 GMT February 9, 2018
U.S. Fixed Income After Equity Uncertainty
Reply   


Rate markets turned cautious on the Fed after the equity sell-off. Fed hike still expected in March. Use green line (2-yr) as your indicator.

london red 18:55 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

here it comes, hard to say how far maybe 2590/2608/2613

london red 18:53 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

s&p. they are trying to rally, 68/70 hourly close gives then a double tail on hourlies.

GVI Trader john 18:52 GMT February 9, 2018
U.K. Rates post BOE decision
Reply   


You can see in the U.K. interest rate chart attached how the markets had not been priced for the BOE rate hike signal on Thursday.

Tallinn viies 18:49 GMT February 9, 2018
eurusd
Reply   
brent got smashed.
bought at 63,33 now added 62.06.
this real disaster right now but I expect it to rebound before settlent in 42 minutes. bulls can not let brent to close below 100 day sma or else...

Tallinn viies 18:46 GMT February 9, 2018
eurusd
Reply   
eurusd made new low but so far stop not hit.
sell order to 1,2253

london red 18:43 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

cash tapped tuesday low and rebounded

miigun joyya 18:42 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

spx follow bitcion....

miigun joyya 18:41 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

it will go Red san huge correction....

lkwd jj 18:40 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

so far someone standing in the way......

london red 18:39 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

2529/38 last line in sand, goes frm $hit to worse below there.

miigun joyya 18:37 GMT February 9, 2018
long jpy!

beautiful session nice drop happy...

lkwd jj 18:27 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Red it blew out lower.....

NY JM 18:25 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

These are liquidating markets where some are forced to sell winners to cover their margin calls elsewhere.

miigun joyya 18:25 GMT February 9, 2018
long jpy!

as going into close more panic much lower close....

london red 18:25 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

watch that last hours low now on s&p. a break below likely runs lower hard while a double tap sets up late rally.

lkwd jj 18:24 GMT February 9, 2018
nikkei 225
Reply   
new lows below 20700.

nw kw 18:24 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

market uses sectors in oil

25 new producing well heads / , go trump.

https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/drilling/

Caribbean! Rafe... 18:24 GMT February 9, 2018
EUR/USD

Red// I posted a 16100 call on EUR/USD yesterday, the trend is on the right track.

london red 18:22 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

almost perfect correlation on the 10, euro and stox with yen in there too.

london red 18:21 GMT February 9, 2018
EUR/USD

i think you can forget trend velocity if under 11915. as viies mentioned below record imm longs means lots of pain and they wont come back to it so soon so one can forget 130 this year and probably even 126 barrier will be safe. still i expect 120 no touch will be ok on this downside run unless we get a proper rout in stox, which hasnt happened yet (1/2/3/4/5% doesnt count)

Caribbean! Rafe... 18:20 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

besides we have been seeing horrible weather in Paris, so well that is just another reason.

Caribbean! Rafe... 18:18 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Crude always goes through the rigmaroles, AND hurricane season is months away. So we can expect to see a lot of uncertainty in coming months.

dc CB 18:10 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

ah yes, all that oil the "commercials" floward sold to the specs at over 60-65.
"Ok Boys, you can fire up those rigs now."

GVI Trader john 18:04 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Large increases in U.S. Rigs. CO weaker. Canada falls. .

Caribbean! Rafe... 18:04 GMT February 9, 2018
EUR/USD

Red// 11921 lvl just a few hundred pips away, not much to consider unless 1 pip equals 1 mio, eyes on 116-113xx for the big bids to come out and save euro.

GVI Trader john 18:03 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Baker Hughes Rig Count


NEWS ALERT
U.S.
Total: 975 vs. 946 (+29) prev.
Oil: 791 vs. 765 (+26) prev.

Canada:
Total 325 vs. 342 (-17)


TTN: Live News Special Offer

london red 18:03 GMT February 9, 2018
tail on hourly s&p candle. chance to rally. if they dont, then expect new bar to close below last hours low and we get under 200 dma. so this is their chance to rally. this will be todays only chance as i dont expect a move today back abv 200dma once/if goes below.

nw kw 18:02 GMT February 9, 2018
EUR/USD

aud might hold for its a usd holder // s eur aud top?

nw kw 18:00 GMT February 9, 2018
EUR/USD

room for soft eur day rages.

nw kw 17:59 GMT February 9, 2018
EUR/USD

are they selling gold to razes capital trend shifts up away from eur.

london red 17:57 GMT February 9, 2018
EUR/USD

think 11915 is the v last sup after which you are looking at a deeper correction maybe dwn to 115. while abv 11915 think u can argue for reasonable quick ascent as before. im looking at 12167/12092 but stox crashes can induce a flash low 11915-12092. if stox hit bear then euro clearly can see under 11915.
as for stox keep eye on futures induced low of 2529 as a trigger below 200dma of 2538

Caribbean! Rafe... 17:51 GMT February 9, 2018
EUR/USD
Reply   
The trend is upwards, however for the time being over the next few sessions, it may be safe to buy dips to 11921. If 11921 gives way we can expect further moves to around 11659, which if breached moves down to 113 levels, but not further than that because it's designed to clear out the weak longs. Regarding the uptrend euro is at a cross roads which has seen defenders @ 12450 levels. So once we get closer to that 12450 level again we can expect ferocious stop hunts, at which point I expect the market to meander before continuing it's up trend clearing out the weak positions each time.

Any opinions appreciated.

GL GT.

london red 17:48 GMT February 9, 2018
long jpy!

yen key 10732 big stops below. 10650/70 an area for a flash low bounce on stop runs in fx/stox. euro 12167/12092 cable 13670.

miigun joyya 17:46 GMT February 9, 2018
long jpy!

Sell EURJPY
Entry: 137.37 Target: Stop:

more more panic

miigun joyya 17:45 GMT February 9, 2018
long jpy!

usdjpy taken last week low.....

london red 17:45 GMT February 9, 2018
long jpy!

2538 200dma big big pivot

miigun joyya 17:40 GMT February 9, 2018
long jpy!

cleared your main support?

miigun joyya 17:38 GMT February 9, 2018
long jpy!

so far 2545 70points aways from 2475......Red san whats your view now?

miigun joyya 17:16 GMT February 9, 2018
long jpy!

spx today min another 75/100 go down 2450/2475

Fukuoka joyya 17:15 GMT February 9, 2018
long jpy!

go go go....

miigun joyya 17:10 GMT February 9, 2018
long jpy!

monday morning more intesting....

miigun joyya 17:05 GMT February 9, 2018
long jpy!

Sell EURJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

into close more panic...usdjpy dead cat...

miigun joyya 16:46 GMT February 9, 2018
rinse wash repeat

yes JJ san indeed...

lkwd jj 16:42 GMT February 9, 2018
rinse wash repeat
Reply   
selling euro has worked all week same for stox. keep it up until it stops.....

dc CB 16:39 GMT February 9, 2018
STOX

the selloff in the last 30mins is because of the dominance of ETFs, various Index based ETFs which each hold many of the same stocks. If stocks are going into the last hour, these ETFs will sell adding to the selling....etc...etc, until the market closes at 4PM

lkwd jj 16:35 GMT February 9, 2018
euro
Reply   
AT has 2x bottom on 15min frame fwiw.

miigun joyya 16:31 GMT February 9, 2018
STOX

Livingston nh 16:29 GMT 02/09/2018
NH san 100% agree todays close confirm trend...

Livingston nh 16:29 GMT February 9, 2018
STOX

The close today will be important because 3 days this week the passive investors have been sold out in the last 15 to 30 mins // a hard sell-off and BAD Monday open could see the recovery beginning next week

miigun joyya 16:25 GMT February 9, 2018
long jpy!

JP san 8300ish was 61.8%....

london red 16:25 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

its in the US JP, i dont see a subject matter? any info

Mtl JP 16:20 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

london red cunliffe yaks at 1/4 to

miigun joyya 16:19 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

london red 16:18 GMT 02/09/2018
Red san i think 1.35 area for cable support...

Mtl JP 16:18 GMT February 9, 2018
long jpy!

joyya no. I think I might have been watching for that 8300-ish gap tho
why ?

miigun joyya 16:18 GMT February 9, 2018
long jpy!

again markeet clears small stop and down ding dong...

london red 16:18 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

cable. couple of converging fibs by 138 no hourly close below so far. if manges it sup shud slip away until 13650/70 where id expect pretty strong interest to buy (fib/last high prior to breakout)

miigun joyya 16:17 GMT February 9, 2018
long jpy!

time for panic sale of stox...

london red 16:16 GMT February 9, 2018
Trump V SToX

fwiw get below that 2557 prev low today and we shud see a test of 200dma pretty quick. also yest close was first below daily cloud base since nov 2016.

Paris ib 16:06 GMT February 9, 2018
Bitcoin
Reply   
.

Long Paper I haven't read on Bitcoin

dc CB 16:05 GMT February 9, 2018
Trump V SToX

red
Long Stox, Short Vol, Long Crude. The trades that got blown up this week. Crude was the last to crumble.

miigun joyya 16:03 GMT February 9, 2018
long jpy!

bitcoin 72% correction...i said bitcoin 62% correction in dec i wanted to short bitcoin JP san remember i asked you?

Paris ib 16:03 GMT February 9, 2018
Trump V SToX

On what grounds? Seriously we impeach because we don't like the way he talks, his hair, his daughter and the fact that he won the election. These shameless fools have absolutely NO LIFE and an undeclared agenda.

On the plus side for stocks we have that gap at 2850 or so on the SandP which maybe has to be filled but longer term.... it's hard to make a case for more gains.

london red 16:02 GMT February 9, 2018
Trump V SToX

WTI broken last months low, could go dwn to test broken neck of inverse shs by 50 bucks

miigun joyya 16:00 GMT February 9, 2018
long jpy!

1st bitcoin now spx dow jpn225 going down in same fashion?

dc CB 16:00 GMT February 9, 2018
Trump V SToX

Feb - The Battle for Your 401K...Unlike the usual Window Dressing for Money Manager's Bonuses. This will WinDress for the Voter's Acct...first shot in the 2018 Election cycle...that's got a long way to go.
Remember, if the Democrats take the House in the fall elections, the first thing they'll do is try for IMPEACHment.

Paris ib 15:58 GMT February 9, 2018
Trump V SToX

CB.... oh my goodness love it. Yeah watch the losers in the main stream media beat that horse to death. Must be fun in that particular bubble.

london red 15:57 GMT February 9, 2018
STOX

2557 a prev physical low...

lkwd jj 15:55 GMT February 9, 2018
STOX

s&p futures 2555.87 200ma low today was 2556. then in took off, lets see how long for...

dc CB 15:53 GMT February 9, 2018
Trump V SToX
Reply   
I predict the entire weekend the US Main Stream Media will push the idea the Trump was lying about the strenth of the eCONomy as witnessed by the TRUTH now being told by the SToX MaRkIT.

miigun joyya 15:51 GMT February 9, 2018
long jpy!

usdjpy going to take 107.3 most likely this uss session....

Paris ib 15:51 GMT February 9, 2018
This Ends Badly
Reply   
Funny how the pundits trot out all this blah about how this is a correction and don't worry it will all be OK. Yeah right.

Ducks lined up: huge levels of debt pretty much everywhere, no room to cut rates from current levels, Governments and Central Banks can not step in, geopolitical tensions and the U.S. President and the U.S. in general is out of favour and, more importantly, no longer in control.

Buckle up.

Don't tell Tony

miigun joyya 15:49 GMT February 9, 2018
long jpy!

i see big correction in stox 20/50%

miigun joyya 15:47 GMT February 9, 2018
long jpy!

i see weekly close much lower

miigun joyya 15:46 GMT February 9, 2018
long jpy!

SaaR KaL 15:44 GMT 02/09/2018
Kaal san thanx do not buy this drop hard tonight....

dc CB 15:46 GMT February 9, 2018
Crude
Reply   
into the $59 handle

today's COT may show that there were ever more longs added ---COT stats = From Tuesday, that is taken before Crude got hit this Wed

Last week's CL COT

miigun joyya 15:45 GMT February 9, 2018
long jpy!

break of 147 gbpjpy tonight

SaaR KaL 15:44 GMT February 9, 2018
long jpy!

Nice call J
Will buy
108.71 to 108.6358
Close today
109.1144 108.6843

lkwd jj 15:44 GMT February 9, 2018
STOX

looks more like deep markdowns for clearance like in the dollar store.....

miigun joyya 15:40 GMT February 9, 2018
long jpy!

expecting for nice drop in stox now jpy up....eurusd heading to 1.2 cable 1.35

dc CB 15:34 GMT February 9, 2018
STOX



As we detailed last night, as the 4:30 ET call began, Ed Tilly, the CEO of Cboe, hopped on an analyst call Wednesday afternoon to dispel certain "misconceptions" about the events of Monday, which left many retail traders totally wiped out and forced the liquidation of one popular short-VIX ETF.:::

"""During the unprecedented surge, VIX and VIX-related ETPs continued to work as designed, said Tilley. Funds that were long volatility benefited, while those who were short suffered, Tilly said.
Of course, as we've noted in the past, there were formerly $22 trillion across all trading strategies and asset classes piled into the short volatility trade.
"Trading in our products was orderly and liquid, and they overall worked as designed," Tilley said.

Furthermore, he framed the selloff as "an opportunity to educate investors about how to trade volatility products."

Notes from a Baskin and Robbers distributor

SaaR KaL 15:33 GMT February 9, 2018
Cale Close range

EURUSD Close
1.2275 1.2231

Tallinn viies 15:32 GMT February 9, 2018
eurusd
Reply   
brent is nearing to 100 day sma. plan to go long at 63,33.

lkwd jj 15:31 GMT February 9, 2018
STOX

i'm trying to grasp the mentality of a healthy 10% correction. stocks go on sale "10%off" like in macys or sfa every now and then ? who decides when and why to make the "sale"?

SaaR KaL 15:31 GMT February 9, 2018
Cale Close range

EURJPY Longs
133.0056 133.1691

Close Range 133.8364 133.0918

Mtl JP 15:29 GMT February 9, 2018
eurusd

some swine read my 15:18 sl

dc CB 15:25 GMT February 9, 2018
STOX



as comnted by ZeroHedge

Seriously!

GVI Forex Blog 15:25 GMT February 9, 2018
Markets Dealing With Extreme Turmoil
Reply   

John M. Bland, MBA, co-founder, Global-View.com


Equity Markets Volatile As Prices Correct Following an extended period with no correction, share markets finally paused after fixed income markets started to worry about rising market interest rates in the U.S. as expectations for a rising U.S. budget deficit mount. The benchmark 10-yr bond yield has decisively broken out of its previous well- worn 2.70%-2.80% fluctuation range to a new level supported at 2.80%. Late this week the 2.90% level was approached and many feell that the 3.00% line will be seen fairly soon.

As equities went through periodic levels of adjustment, bonds saw a “flight-to-safety” bid for U.S. securities, which drove bond yields back lower, but...MORE

Markets Dealing With Extreme Turmoil

SaaR KaL 15:21 GMT February 9, 2018
Cale Close range
Reply   
IMO Closes inside
1.3793 1.3740
will short now
1.3830 t o 1.3817

london red 15:18 GMT February 9, 2018
STOX

early days. wed 50 dma capped, yest they couldnt get close. today initially they may look to 100dma, but that may fail too. think need to see cash physical test of 200dma (futs did so in asia i forget which day it was now)

Mtl JP 15:18 GMT February 9, 2018
eurusd

4 x test of 1.2250 Pivot holding
joining in a long viies, but with lesser allowance (12 pips below pivot)

Livingston nh 15:17 GMT February 9, 2018
STOX

no

Mtl JP 15:14 GMT February 9, 2018
STOX

nh do u wish to amend 19:25 GMT February 8, 2018
STOX: Reply
Markets don't bottom on fridays
?

Mtl JP 15:03 GMT February 9, 2018
eurusd

phew... I was hoping it would not be about your dealer obligating some minimum number of trades

GVI Trader john 15:00 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Wholesale Inventories December 2017




ALERT
+0.40% vs. +0.20% exp. +0.20% 0% prev


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Tallinn viies 14:57 GMT February 9, 2018
eurusd
Reply   
or I say to myself... "told you so"

Mtl JP 14:52 GMT February 9, 2018
eurusd

viies "must" else _ ?

Tallinn viies 14:46 GMT February 9, 2018
eurusd
Reply   
I must try once again. yesterday it didnt work out. maybe today.
bought at 1,2251 stop at 1,2201.

Mtl JP 14:41 GMT February 9, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 9 February 2018

but not just for Feb 9 2018 - Heed the old wolves:

Forex Pivot Points
DEFINITION of 'Forex Pivot Points'
A forex pivot point is an indicator developed by floor traders in the commodities markets to determine potential turning points, also known as "pivots." Forex pivot points are calculated to determine levels in which the sentiment of the market could change from "bullish" to "bearish." Currency traders see pivot points as markers of support and resistance.

Day traders will use pivot points as a way to determine when market sentiment has gone from bullish to bearish or vice versa.

BREAKING DOWN 'Forex Pivot Points'
Because pivot points are thought to work well in very liquid markets, the spot forex market may be the perfect place to use them. Day traders use the calculated pivot points to determine levels of entry, stops and profit taking by trying to determine where the majority of other traders may be doing the same. Forex pivot point calculators are available free of charge across the internet through retail forex brokers and third-party websites.

Pivot points can be points that correspond to trend lines, Fibonacci levels, moving averages, previous highs/lows or closes and many more indicators, depending on the trader's philosophy.

Investopedia

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 14:36 GMT February 9, 2018
eurusd

EURUSD has been setup to run stops the past few days including today and each time has run into selling to disappoint. Levels are obvious using the Amazing Trader at 1,2287 and 1.2295 but so far a tepid attempt.

Mtl JP 14:29 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

more on that academic marvin goodfriend for a seat on the FED

Trump’s Fed pick in danger of being rejected by Senate

Mtl JP 14:19 GMT February 9, 2018
eurusd

I am thinking euro needs to see low 1.21xx and see what is hiding there before it ll have a hope of uP

Pivot 1.2250

Sup 1 1.2203
Sup 2 1.2165
Sup 3 1.2118

Mtl JP 14:13 GMT February 9, 2018
eurusd

viies your morning numbers are similar to
gv chartpoints:
Res 3 1.2373
Res 2 1.2335
Res 1 1.2288

Pivot 1.2250

Sup 1 1.2203

Mtl JP 14:03 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: Canada Employment Data Falls sharply In January 2018

1.2564 usdcad

Pivot 1.2590

Sup 1 1.2564
Sup 2 1.2518
gv chartpoints
tells you most of what you need to know to trade

Tallinn viies 13:55 GMT February 9, 2018
eurusd
Reply   
seems euro have a plan to take out 1,2295. then 1,2320 next and 1,2370/80 big one.

Mtl JP 13:54 GMT February 9, 2018
Equites Lower. 10-yr yields Mixed. USD Up and EUR Mixed

nothing worth-while left on the econ calendar
eyes on options and bonds and yields and... incidentals

GVI Trader john 13:49 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Twilight zone trading today...

GVI 13:48 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Reportedly Japan govt set to reappoint Kuroda as Gov of BOJ (as expected) - Kyodo News

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Mtl JP 13:46 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: Canada Employment Data Falls sharply In January 2018

john 13:43 - written like by an economist *.v.*

GVI Trader john 13:45 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: Canada Employment Data Falls sharply In January 2018

JP- great call to sell the pop.

Mtl JP 13:43 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: Canada Employment Data Falls sharply In January 2018

usdcad likely heading for 1.2550-ish test
if short reasonable target

GVI Trader john 13:43 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: Canada Employment Data Falls sharply In January 2018

Besides all the decline being in Canadian P-T employment, I would guess the seasonals were suspect as well.

GVI Forex Blog 13:41 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: Canada Employment Data Falls sharply In January 2018
Reply   
Canada Jobs: Big decline in part-time employment in January 2018.

BREAKING NEWS: Canada Employment Data Falls sharply In January 2018

Mtl JP 13:31 GMT February 9, 2018
Equites Lower. 10-yr yields Mixed. USD Up and EUR Mixed

sell the pop

GVI Trader john 13:30 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Canada EMPLOYMENT January 2018



NEWS ALERT

Jobs: -88K vs. -9.0K exp. vs. +78.6K prev.
Rate: 5.90% vs. 5.70% exp. vs. 5.70% prev.



RELEASE: StatCan Monthly Employment Report





TTN: Live News Special Offer


Mtl JP 13:22 GMT February 9, 2018
Equites Lower. 10-yr yields Mixed. USD Up and EUR Mixed

1.2613

canadian employment numbers at bottom of hour

100dma at 1.2616

I am biased down

Mtl JP 13:19 GMT February 9, 2018
Equites Lower. 10-yr yields Mixed. USD Up and EUR Mixed

GBPUSD capped 1.4 and now recent low 1.3790-ish

In light of Bank of England's "likely to raise interest rates sooner and by more" Thursday's "forward guidance"

Qtn: time to start building a long or wait some more for lower ?

HK [email protected] 13:12 GMT February 9, 2018
ECB should raise European interest rates asap or the market will do it for them
Reply   
.
Who cares.
That is what we have, and act in accord.
Criticizing can cause you heart attack:)

PAR 13:08 GMT February 9, 2018
ECB DRAGHI=PONZI=MAFIA

ECB should raise European interest rates asap or the market will do it for them . Already ECB facing huge losses on its ,,,,€ 5 trillion balance sheet

PAR 13:03 GMT February 9, 2018
TRUMP

Baby Trump Macron turning France into Greece

PAR 13:02 GMT February 9, 2018
TRUMP
Reply   
Turning America into Greece

GVI Trader john 12:56 GMT February 9, 2018
Equites Lower. 10-yr yields Mixed. USD Up and EUR Mixed

DAX -215
DJ -98
sp -5.5

10-yr 2.829% -2.6bp

miigun joyya 12:47 GMT February 9, 2018
long jpy!
Reply   
Sell GBPJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

panic selling tonight...

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 12:10 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

06:43 (EU) EU chief Brexit negotiator Barnier: Have yet to be update on the UK's future relationship plan; transparency is important in negotiations

- Transition is NOT a given if disagreements persist; substantial differences remain on terms
- Irish-border solution must be precise and clear; unambiguous; will include an Irish fallback option in the legal text
- Aiming for Oct or Nov for withdrawal agreement
- UK has to apply any new EU rules during transition
- Meeting on future relationship was cancelled due to diary
- Meetings with UK counterparts to continue- Says his attitude is not vindictive; no wish to punish the UK

- Source TradeTheNews.com

london red 12:06 GMT February 9, 2018
eurusd

all good stuff their viies. agree on the s&p key level today. as for euro a test of 12167/12092 would be healthly and folks will only be worried below 11915.
btw sterling lower on barnier comments re transition not a certainty

Tallinn viies 11:51 GMT February 9, 2018
eurusd
Reply   
talking about eurusd perspectives then it is not possible to skip other markets. from 2-nd quarter of 2017 eurusd moved up in tandem with crude oil and sp500.
during february profit taking starte on stock market. sp500 below previous month low and tested 50 day simple moving average at 2719 currently, after falling below tested 100 day sma at 2638. jumoed from there up to 50 day sma and then fell again previous low and closed below 100 day yesterday. it is possible that today market will test 200 day sma at 2538.
it is friday and anything could happen. weak close very dangerous for next week.
on eurusd previous month low 1,1916. we are not even close to it. 50 day sma currently at 1,2072. 100 day sma at 1,1914 and 200 day sma at 1,1716. so those are the levels when panic starts. most likely eurusd guys do not panic before sp500 crashing further down. if stocks manage to close in plus today then eurusd safe.
on crude oil same charts as on stocks. brent crude 50 day sma at 66,65. this was taken out on wednesday. right now on the move to 100 day sma at 63,24. and then 200 day sma is too far waya at 56,93 currently.

all those markets may come to extreme selling pressure next week if stocks can not recover today. close at the bottom of the week will be really really bad sign.
lets not forget that specs positions are the highest in history. on oil and euro.

GVI Trader john 10:58 GMT February 9, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 9 February 2018

At the moment, the DJIA is seen +286 pts (futures adjusted for "fair value") at the open. Its certain that will change. A short while ago, the morons in Washington approved a new budget. Does anyone care anymore?

GVI Forex Blog 10:24 GMT February 9, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 9 February 2018
Reply   

See the Amazing Trader Live


EUR symbolRanges:
Likely Stop levels:
Stops above HOD and below LOD. Key Ranges:
This Week: 1.2211-1.2476
Fri: 1.2240-1.2288
Thu: 1.2211-1.2295

Key Market Profiles--
10-yr & Stocks
Equities: Mixed to Lower
U.S. 10-yr Yield at 2.860%, +0.5bp
2.80%-2.90% Range

Remaining Calendar Today:
Light- CA- Employment US- Wholesale Inventories, Rigs,COT


AT charts often presage market momentum shifts. AT support (red) and resistance (blue) levels can change before sentiment.

Friday Trading Checklist For 9 February 2018

Tallinn viies 10:10 GMT February 9, 2018
eurusd
Reply   
eurusd is in a process of forming a short term bottom. can not rule out that still one more push lower to 1,2165 will be seen today or tommorow but in principle eurusd came too far from the top of the month just within 1 week.
what has been interesting during this week is massive euro put options buying all this week. it slowed wednesday but yesterday started again. I guess it will cool down after euro can above previous day high. today it is important to take out 1,2295. if this done. slow move toward 1,2380 starts.
if to think about range for this month I assume monthly high 1,2523 is in place. if to check average monthly moves in february then from the launch of euro average monthley range has been 4,07% or 479 pips. so far current month range is 311 pips and 2,55%. so more downside still will be seen but in a slower pace I guess. plan to go long near 1,2165. sail slowly toward 1,2380 and then back again to 1,2090 and lower.

Mtl JP 09:41 GMT February 9, 2018
markets

PAR 09:06 - not what I asked ...
but re "loose huge amounts of money"
note: learning a lesson is directly proportional to the degree of pain.
and nothing to do with elevating intellect to genius level

PAR 09:34 GMT February 9, 2018
ECB DRAGHI=PONZI=MAFIA
Reply   
ECB was way too late in lowering rates and is now way too late in raising rates.

According to normal econometric models European interest rates should be slightly higher than US interest rates not at -0.40.

Luckily Draghi and a lot of other ECB dummies are out next year . European commission should be very careful not to appoint new idiots to the ECB.

GVI Trader john 09:33 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

UK Output December 2017




-- NEWS ALERT --

Industrial: -1.30% vs. -0.90% exp. vs. +0.40% (r +0.30%) prev.
Manufacturing: +0.30% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.40% prev (r +0.20% )



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trader john 09:31 GMT February 9, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

UK Trade December 2017




-- NEWS ALERT --

Total: -13.6 vs. -11.6 exp. vs. -12.2 (r -12.5) prev



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Blog 09:21 GMT February 9, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 9 February 2018
Reply   


Trading Ideas for 9 February 2018

Upgrade Your Trading. Try The Amazing Trader


GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 9 Feb 2018
B 08:30 GB- Output
A 13:30 CA- Employment



John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Friday Trading Checklist For 9 February 2018

Mtl JP 09:16 GMT February 9, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 9 February 2018

1.3947
bottom of hour GBP trade opp in reaction to Manuf Production numbers release
gbpusd or its yen/eur cross
your pick

Mtl JP 09:12 GMT February 9, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 9 February 2018

"rages" probably a bit too strong a word

European stocks head for worst week in 2 years as global selloff rages on

PAR 09:06 GMT February 9, 2018
markets

Dalio only uses models and lots of inside info from ECB , IMF worldbank .

I read his book Principles and it reminded me of. The art of the deal.

He made tremendous amounts of money and that seems to make him a genius. Before managing money for the IMF and the Worlbank he also managed to loose huge amounts of money .

Mtl JP 08:48 GMT February 9, 2018
markets



Ray Dalio is famous for a bunch of reasons , not least of which is his concept of radical truth and radical transparency. Now there is talk of folks asking if Bridgewater's "risk-parity" investing tactic (Summit) is to blame for the volatility.

Can someone please provide an update on

JP 16:45 GMT January 23, 2018
markets: Reply
‘If you’re holding cash, you’re going to feel pretty stupid.’
according to Ray Dalio, Bridgewater Associates founder

Ray Dalio says market surge may be ahead: 'If you're holding cash.

PAR 08:16 GMT February 9, 2018
Deutsche Bank
Reply   
After paying € billions in bonusses DBK shares are back at crisis levels and may need taxpayers help. Good we have an ECB to sleep at the wheel .

PAR 08:05 GMT February 9, 2018
BOJ INTERVENTION
Reply   
BOJ intervention in forex and stock index futures manages to stabilize
world markets. Japanese cookie monsters keep buying emini S&P futures
to show loyalty to Trump.

As to US budget deal one wonders what is worst,

A bad deal or no deal at all ?

Seems Trump knows a lot about Schumer and Pelosi as they always capitulize .

London 07:31 GMT February 9, 2018
Markets Roundup by Scandinavian Capital Markets

The Great Britain Pound (GBP) inched higher against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, increasing the price of GBPUSD to more than 1.3900 following some key economic events. The technical bias remains bullish because of a higher low in the recent downside move.

GBP/USD Technical Analysis

As of this writing, the pair is being traded near 1.3935. A hurdle may be noted around 1.4262 (a major horizontal resistance zone) ahead of 1.4300 (a psychological level) and then 1.4343 (another major resistance area).

On the downside, a support can be noted around 1.3000 (a psychological number) ahead of 1.2634 (the low of the last major downside move) and then 1.2500 (the confluence of horizontal support as well as psychological number) as demonstrated in the given above chart. The technical bias shall remain bullish as long as the 1.2700 support area is intact.

BoE Interest Rate

The Bank of England said on Thursday it was likely to raise interest rates sooner and by more than it thought only three months ago, because Britain’s slow-moving economy is getting a boost from the global recovery.

The BoE’s rate-setters gave themselves time to assess how Britain is coping with the approach of Brexit by voting unanimously to hold Bank Rate at 0.5 percent, as expected.

But Governor Mark Carney and his colleagues said they saw a growing need to keep a grip on inflation, echoing other central banks which are moving toward tighter monetary policy a decade after the financial crisis.

Trade Idea

Considering the overall technical and fundamental outlook, selling the pair around current levels may be a good strategy in short to medium term.

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 06:58 GMT February 9, 2018
Three W's of Trading

Register for the Amazing Trader

Contact us


SaaR KaL 05:55 GMT February 9, 2018
Straight Forward Trends

EURUSD Tgt 1.2160...from there Bullish to 1.2600

SaaR KaL 05:39 GMT February 9, 2018
Straight Forward Trends
Reply   
EURUSD sell
AUDUSD Sell
Cable Sell
Oil Sell
Gold Sell

USDCAD Buy---1.28 tgt
EURCAD Buy

Sydney ACC 05:05 GMT February 9, 2018
HKD
Reply   
Its at times such as these markets focus once again on the USD/HKD peg.

One weakness in the peg is comparative inflation rates between the two currencies . The CPI in Hong Kong has for ywears been higher thean that in the USA.

Hong Kong
2012 - 4.1%
2013 - 4.3%
2014 - 4.4%
2015 - 3.0%
2016 - 2,4%

USA
2012 - 2.1%
2013 - 1.5%
2014 - 1.6%
2015 - 0.1%
2016 - 1.3%

Hong Kong Monetary Authority has succeeded in defending the peg.

lkwd jj 05:04 GMT February 9, 2018
nikkei 225
Reply   
no posts tonight . im short as i posted earlier, judging by the markets movement , so far, looking good.

Dillon AL 03:33 GMT February 9, 2018
Funds

Re LJM Preservation and Growth Fund
from their website

Fund Goals
Aim to profit in various market conditions including range bound, flat, orderly rising, and especially orderly eroding markets

No doubt they would claim that the current erosion was not orderly thereby letting them off the hook

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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