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Forex Forum Archive for 02/12/2018

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
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Dillon AL 23:56 GMT February 12, 2018
USDJPY

surely they should be trying to regulate Crypto not FX

Mtl JP 23:53 GMT February 12, 2018
USDJPY

February 13, 2018 2:54 am JST
Japan eyes tighter leverage cap on forex trading - nikkei.com

Proposal before regulator would lower limit on gearing from 25 to 1 to 10 to 1

dc CB 23:04 GMT February 12, 2018
Trump VS....

DHS Statement On NBC News Coverage Of Election Hacking

WASHINGTON - Today, Jeanette Manfra, National Protection and Programs Directorate (NPPD) Assistant Secretary for the Office of Cybersecurity and Communications, released the following statement regarding the recent NBC news coverage on the Department of Homeland Security’s efforts to combat election hacking.

“Recent NBC reporting has misrepresented facts and confused the public with regard to Department of Homeland Security and state and local government efforts to combat election hacking. First off, let me be clear: we have no evidence – old or new - that any votes in the 2016 elections were manipulated by Russian hackers. NBC News continues to falsely report my recent comments on attempted election hacking – which clearly mirror my testimony before the Senate Intelligence Committee last summer – as some kind of “breaking news,”

"NBC’s irresponsible reporting, which is being roundly criticized elsewhere in the media and by security experts alike, undermines the ability of the Department of Homeland Security, our partners at the Election Assistance Commission, and state and local officials across the nation to do our incredibly important jobs

Dept of Homeland Security -- NBC NUZ

Dillon AL 22:09 GMT February 12, 2018
Equites Higher. 10-yr YIelds Up. FX: USD Up And EUR Down

and 1984 is not here.

GVI Trader john 21:59 GMT February 12, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist
Reply   

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI Trading Statistical Market BIAS Indicators--

EUR symbol The Fed Funds Market Sentiment Barometer reflects current sentiment about a future change in Fed policy.
Odds for one 25bp rate hike on March 21, 2018 are 82% (88%).

EURUSD MACRO statistical Bias: NEUTRAL
This Week: 1.2234-1.2298
Spot EURUSD: 1.2235
Pivot Point: 1.2260

20-day avg: 1.2335
50-day avg: 1.2082
100-day avg: 1.1919
200-day avg: 1.1723

dc CB 21:43 GMT February 12, 2018
Equites Higher. 10-yr YIelds Up. FX: USD Up And EUR Down

Mtl JP 17:38
re Amazon layoffs...what that story did not even note, is that AmaZon wants to push Alexa to service its customers...therefore it is eliminating CustomerService jobs. Bezos wants to an a Alexa in every home to Monitor its "customers" 24/7/365

dc CB 21:39 GMT February 12, 2018
S&P

SnP. remem this is OPEX week. Premiums on puts on ETF, Indexes, single Stox along with calls on VIX associated ETN and Negatively correlated products went thru the roof last week.

Mtl JP 21:12 GMT February 12, 2018
eurusd

red ... c any potential for price-subverting possibilities out of events in 19:25 link ?

london red 21:08 GMT February 12, 2018
eurusd

s&p needs to close abv 50dma to call an end to the downside, until then folks will be uneasy. for euro we have a shed load of 122/123 expiries over nxt 2 days so expect a tight range within that ahead of key us cpi. this cannot be understated how imp wed cpi will be (also sterling gets cpi tom morn, will be fun) for usd AND stox sentiment. a beat is certain to kill stox dead and one would think give a boost to usd but risk off may end up sapping usd (certainly usdjpy at risk here) although one can be certain to get an initial strong spike on usd if cpi beats. an as f/c or soft cpi likely to boost risk assets significantly and again usd prob doesnt suffer too much by end of session.

dc CB 20:43 GMT February 12, 2018
Trump VS....
Reply   
TinHat or ???
Testing the public reaction to Stage X?

Trump Jr.’s wife rushed to hospital after white powder scare

GVI Forex Blog 20:39 GMT February 12, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 12 February 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 12 February 2018

Mtl JP 20:37 GMT February 12, 2018
Brexit

dc CB - soros is the kind that is the easiest type to get along with ... as long as things get done his way: he shouts his belief in the importance of open societies in which folk elect their leaders but when they instruct their leader thru a referendum to reclaim independence george calls that a "fatal error” because he claims “referenda often lead to bad decisions”.

He is also meddling with

Netanyahu (who) Says George Soros Funding Campaign Against Israeli Plan to Deport Asylum Seekers - haaretz

Tallinn viies 20:36 GMT February 12, 2018
eurusd
Reply   
SP500 not very strong. would have thought if previous day high taken out everybody will rush to buy bloody cheap stocks but not the case.
it seems they plan to test 2705-2715 area tommorow. so eurusd plan to test 1,2370-80 will need to wait also till tommorow.

Mtl JP 20:24 GMT February 12, 2018
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

more comical irony from windbag trump-et man:

after feeding over $700 billion per year to delivery machines and makers of bombs bullets calls something that "could save $214 billion over a decade ... .. ...substantial savings”

Trump’s budget proposal

dc CB 20:17 GMT February 12, 2018
Brexit

CNBC
The tycoon had been heavily criticized after it was revealed that, through one of his foundations, he had donated a sizable amount of funds to the Best for Britain campaign.
Writing in the Mail on Sunday newspaper, Soros said: "I consider Brexit a tragic mistake. … Brexit is a lose-lose proposition both for Britain and for Europe."

George Soros hits back at 'toxic, personal criticism' and defends donation to anti-Brexit campaign

SaaR KaL 19:35 GMT February 12, 2018
Asia / Europe and USA
Reply   
all relative to NY Time


AUD/USD(Close)
Mon 12/Feb/18 10:00 PM 0.7883 0.7778
Tue 13/Feb/18 09:30 AM 0.7872 0.7769
Tue 13/Feb/18 04:30 PM 0.7866 0.7762
Tue 13/Feb/18 10:00 PM 0.7861 0.7757
Wed 14/Feb/18 09:30 AM 0.7847 0.7743

GBP/USD(Close)
Mon 12/Feb/18 10:00 PM 1.3866 1.3747
Tue 13/Feb/18 09:30 AM 1.3849 1.3729
Tue 13/Feb/18 04:30 PM 1.3838 1.3719
Tue 13/Feb/18 10:00 PM 1.3830 1.3711
Wed 14/Feb/18 09:30 AM 1.3827 1.3707
Wed 14/Feb/18 04:30 PM 1.3818 1.3699


USD/JPY(Close)
Mon 12/Feb/18 10:00 PM 108.9155 108.2377
Tue 13/Feb/18 09:30 AM 108.8068 108.1296
Tue 13/Feb/18 04:30 PM 108.7402 108.0635
Tue 13/Feb/18 10:00 PM 108.7273 108.0506
Wed 14/Feb/18 09:30 AM 108.7187 108.0420
Wed 14/Feb/18 04:30 PM 108.6205 107.9445

EUR/USD(Close)
Mon 12/Feb/18 10:00 PM 1.2332 1.2199
Tue 13/Feb/18 09:30 AM 1.2315 1.2182
Tue 13/Feb/18 04:30 PM 1.2303 1.2170
Tue 13/Feb/18 10:00 PM 1.2293 1.2160
Wed 14/Feb/18 09:30 AM 1.2274 1.2142
Wed 14/Feb/18 04:30 PM 1.2259 1.2127

PAR 19:34 GMT February 12, 2018
USDJPY

BOJ intervention. BOJ buying stocks., BOJ buying.bonds BOJ.selling VIX .

All this.while Japanese debt is 250% of gdp.

When Japan collapses UDSJPY can reach 200.

Mtl JP 19:25 GMT February 12, 2018
Brexit



gbpusd 1.3828
so far players appear to have confidence in

Scotland Yard police probe after four MPs receive Brexit death threat letters

Mtl JP 19:14 GMT February 12, 2018
USDJPY

108.72
PAR 08:32 what motivates the long usdyen trade ?
seems like a waste of capital and time resource in light of the low volatility

PAR 19:00 GMT February 12, 2018
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

White house good news show going in overdrive.

Mtl JP 18:10 GMT February 12, 2018
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

It is comedy time boyz n gurlz

White House sees U.S. growth 50% faster than the Fed does

The latest projections show that the gap between what the Office of Management and Budget and the Federal Reserve projects for gross-domestic-product growth is as wide as 50%.

GDP growth	2017	2018	2019	2020
White House 2.5% 3.1% 3.2% 3.1%
Fed 2.5% 2.5% 2.1% 2%

PAR 17:45 GMT February 12, 2018
Equites Higher. 10-yr YIelds Up. FX: USD Up And EUR Down

US equities have now rallied 5% since lunch time lows made during the last trading session on Friday.

Mtl JP 17:38 GMT February 12, 2018
Equites Higher. 10-yr YIelds Up. FX: USD Up And EUR Down

nh 16:41 does not player reaction to the "news" matter more than the "news" itself ?

like to this good / bad? news for example:

Amazon laying off hundreds of employees, primarily in consumer retail: report

PAR 17:20 GMT February 12, 2018
S&P

Out at 2660.

GVI Forex Blog 17:07 GMT February 12, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist For 13 February 2018
Reply   


Trading Ideas for 13 February 2018

Upgrade Your Trading. Try The Amazing Trader


GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 13 Feb 2018
AA 08:30 GB- CPI
Wed 14 Feb 2018
AA 00:30 AU- Employment
A 10:00 EZ- GDP
AA 13:30 US- CPI & Retail Sales
A 15:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 15 Feb 2018
00:00 CN- Holiday
A 13:30 US- Empire PMI & Philly Fed
A 14:15 US- Industrial Production
Fri 16 Feb 2018
00:00 CN- Holiday
AA 09:30 GB- Retail Sales
A 13:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
A 15:00 US- University of Michigan



John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com


Tuesday Trading Checklist For 13 February 2018

PAR 16:59 GMT February 12, 2018
S&P

Raise stop on all S&P to 2645 and let profits run .

PAR 16:56 GMT February 12, 2018
White House
Reply   
White house forecasts higher budget deficits and lower interest rates .
Voodoo economics .

PAR 16:45 GMT February 12, 2018
S&P
Reply   
Add to long S&P at 2643 . Stop 2638 .

PAR 16:42 GMT February 12, 2018
TRUMP
Reply   
TRUMP SAYS HE WILL PROPOSE RECIPROCAL TAX THIS WEEK: BBG

Livingston nh 16:41 GMT February 12, 2018
Equites Higher. 10-yr YIelds Up. FX: USD Up And EUR Down

First, it's a drop in the bucket - second, the states that need help can't afford it
But the problem is not in the Senate; it's in the looney bin, the House

Mtl JP 16:31 GMT February 12, 2018
Equites Higher. 10-yr YIelds Up. FX: USD Up And EUR Down

a quick breakdown of how the $200 billion would be spent:

• $100 billion for grants to spur extra funds from states and the private sector. The White House says the money would be aimed at projects like airports, passenger rail, drinking water facilities and Superfund sites.

• $50 billion for capital investments in rural infrastructure projects.

• $20 billion for what the White House calls the “Transformative Projects Program,” or projects that have unique technical characteristics “that otherwise deter private sector investment.”

• $10 billion for a new federal capital “revolving fund,” which the White House says will go toward purchasing federal property.

• $20 billion split between expanding existing credit programs and private activity bonds.

Attention to semantics: "would" is not "will"
why ?

“Because infrastructure policy will require 60 votes in the Senate, and because Republicans hold only 51 seats, we are highly skeptical that the Administration’s plan can garner the necessary support to become law,”

GVI Forex Blog 16:11 GMT February 12, 2018
GVI Data Calendar 13 February 2018
Reply   

Forex Data Calendar For Traders

February 12, 2018 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for February 13, 2018


  • Far East: No Major Data
  • Europe: GB- CPI
  • Americas: No Major Data

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 13 Feb 2018
AA 08:30 GB- CPI
Wed 14 Feb 2018
AA 00:30 AU- Employment
A 10:00 EZ- GDP
AA 13:30 US- CPI & Retail Sales
A 15:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 15 Feb 2018
00:00 CN- Holiday
A 13:30 US- Empire PMI & Philly Fed
A 14:15 US- Industrial Production
Fri 16 Feb 2018
00:00 CN- Holiday
AA 09:30 GB- Retail Sales
A 13:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
A 15:00 US- University of Michigan


GVI Data Calendar 13 February 2018

PAR 16:07 GMT February 12, 2018
European Yields
Reply   
European yields decline on heavy ECB buying .

PAR 16:00 GMT February 12, 2018
S&P
Reply   
Long S&P 2633,00 .Target 2670. Stop 2619 .

Mtl JP 15:38 GMT February 12, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 12 February 2018

usdcad 1.2600
Pivot: 1.2612
gv chartpoints

exercise in decision making

Mtl JP 15:31 GMT February 12, 2018
markets

Ray Dalio on February 12, 2018:
Where We Are

We know that we are ..
but we don’t know precisely where we are—i.e., we don’t know exactly...
...though it is clear that we are ...
squinting and doing calculations to try to figure that out...
we won’t get it precisely right...
but we hope to get it as by-and-large right as we have in past times...

the calculations we are doing, classically, if the

Fukuoka joyya 15:22 GMT February 12, 2018
stocks

Sell USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

lkwd jj 15:03 GMT 02/12/2018
yes thiis week go down more fast...stay long jpy short stox no change even next few months till summer...

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 15:17 GMT February 12, 2018
Monday Open House

Open House: We will be discussing trading strategies for an increased volatility market and be available to discuss anything to do with forex trading. No invite is needed, just come by.

All attendees will receive a copy of my latest report, How to Trade in a Higher Volatility Market

If you can’t attend send me an email to request a copy of the report

Monday Feb 12

Time: 15:30-17:00 GMT (10:30-12:00 EST)

Open House url: https://www.gotomeet.me/JMeisler

I look forward to seeing you there.

Regards,

Jay Meisler

lkwd jj 15:17 GMT February 12, 2018
stocks

just hit the sell button and the snooze !!!!

lkwd jj 15:03 GMT February 12, 2018
stocks
Reply   
looking at the 15 min s&p mini's, showing head fake over the recent overnight range, only to drop lower

Mtl JP 14:54 GMT February 12, 2018
TRUMP = LE ROI.SOLEIL

PAR it is alleged that the windbag "will propose spending $200 billion over 10 years, most in the form of new, competitive grants designed to encourage states and cities to raise their own money for improving rails, airports, highways and water systems. The proposal also would expand federal loan programs for such projects.

The White House expects the spending to spark hundreds of billions more from local governments and private investors to pay for the upgrades, resulting in $1.5 trillion in new investment." .../..

Probably most of the juiciest trade opps have already been bagged however (sorry for that) but instead of focusing on some "propose(al) spending $200 billion over 10 years + "hope"" one would be better off off the

two-year deal that would set defense spending at $700 billion for 2018 and $716 billion for 2019

Mtl JP 14:38 GMT February 12, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 12 February 2018

wanna chase the rabbit?
Dow industrials up 250 points early Monday

Mtl JP 14:36 GMT February 12, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 12 February 2018



actually... I can
a more immediate price-point to help with deciding when to join the train

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 14:23 GMT February 12, 2018
Monday Open House

Open House: We will be discussing trading strategies for an increased volatility market and be available to discuss anything to do with forex trading. No invite is needed, just come by.

All attendees will receive a copy of my latest report, How to Trade in a Higher Volatility Market

If you can’t attend send me an email to request a copy of the report

Monday Feb 12

Time: 15:30-17:00 GMT (10:30-12:00 EST)

Open House url: https://www.gotomeet.me/JMeisler

I look forward to seeing you there.

Regards,

Jay Meisler

Mtl JP 14:21 GMT February 12, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 12 February 2018

1.2597
100 day 1.2618 Resistance
srce.: gv chartpoints

Can't do more 4 u other than try to keep things simple and highlight low risk price-point trade opportunity

Fukuoka joyya 14:16 GMT February 12, 2018
long jpy!
Reply   
Sell USDJPY
Entry: 108.55 Target: 50/150pips Stop: 50pips

quick trade sold now...

Fukuoka joyya 14:12 GMT February 12, 2018
long jpy!
Reply   
Sell EURJPY
Entry: 137.35 Target: Stop:

lets see wat stox do this week....i think down again more badly then last week.....friday recover some loses....

Mtl JP 14:04 GMT February 12, 2018
nat gas



The case of a charmingly beautiful price chart, one month later

- no need to look at self in mirror (not even sure why one would want to)
- no need to smoke anything beside clean air

Bottom Line
Take-away for next year:
Natgas pops (above 3 bux this year) after mid-January is sell.

"It is the big swing that makes the big money for you."
"It never was my thinking that made the big money for me. It always was my sitting" (Dillon AL)

SaaR KaL 13:52 GMT February 12, 2018
EURJPY and GBPJPY Shorts
Reply   
Will short them this week
134.00 tgt 129.5
151.8 tgt 145

SaaR KaL 13:44 GMT February 12, 2018
USDJPY A sell this week
Reply   
USD/JPY(Close)
Mon 12/Feb/18 09:30 AM 109.0286 108.1547
Mon 12/Feb/18 05:00 PM 108.9913 108.1176
Tue 13/Feb/18 09:30 AM 108.6348 107.7640
Tue 13/Feb/18 05:00 PM 108.5559 107.6858
Wed 14/Feb/18 09:30 AM 108.4486 107.5793
Wed 14/Feb/18 05:00 PM 108.4828 107.6133
Thu 15/Feb/18 09:30 AM 108.5658 107.6956
Thu 15/Feb/18 05:00 PM 108.6167 107.7461
Fri 16/Feb/18 09:30 AM 108.3414 107.4729
Fri 16/Feb/18 05:00 PM 108.0728 107.2065

SaaR KaL 13:41 GMT February 12, 2018
Oil wants 55 by Friday IMO
Reply   
I am short

Dubai MA 13:36 GMT February 12, 2018
Equites Higher. 10-yr YIelds Up. FX: USD Up And EUR Down

Is there any euro (down) or usd (up) news?

GVI Trader john 13:34 GMT February 12, 2018
Equites Higher. 10-yr Yields Up. FX: USD Up And EUR Down

DAX +223
Futures (fair value) implied open
DJ +290 (-10) 330 implied open
SP +30 (-1) +31

Mtl JP 13:32 GMT February 12, 2018
Equites Higher. 10-yr YIelds Up. FX: USD Up And EUR Down

earlier this morning - around 8am - 10-yr was paying 2,892%
now it is off a bit around 2.873%

U.S. 10 Year Treasury Note

SaaR KaL 13:27 GMT February 12, 2018
Cable shorts 1.3950 would be nice
Reply   
GBP/USD(Close)
Mon 12/Feb/18 09:30 AM 1.3956 1.3726
Mon 12/Feb/18 05:00 PM 1.3938 1.3708
Tue 13/Feb/18 09:30 AM 1.3880 1.3651
Tue 13/Feb/18 05:00 PM 1.3896 1.3667
Wed 14/Feb/18 09:30 AM 1.3913 1.3683
Wed 14/Feb/18 05:00 PM 1.3895 1.3666
Thu 15/Feb/18 09:30 AM 1.3865 1.3636
Thu 15/Feb/18 05:00 PM 1.3862 1.3634
Fri 16/Feb/18 09:30 AM 1.3794 1.3567
Fri 16/Feb/18 05:00 PM 1.3758 1.3531

SaaR KaL 13:25 GMT February 12, 2018
EURUSD Selling Tues
Reply   
NY Time.. highs and Lows
EUR/USD(Close)
Mon 12/Feb/18 09:30 AM 1.2317 1.2213
Mon 12/Feb/18 05:00 PM 1.2324 1.2219
Tue 13/Feb/18 09:30 AM 1.2319 1.2215
Tue 13/Feb/18 05:00 PM 1.2318 1.2213
Wed 14/Feb/18 09:30 AM 1.2274 1.2170
Wed 14/Feb/18 05:00 PM 1.2244 1.2140
Thu 15/Feb/18 09:30 AM 1.2198 1.2094
Thu 15/Feb/18 05:00 PM 1.2198 1.2095
Fri 16/Feb/18 09:30 AM 1.2164 1.2061
Fri 16/Feb/18 05:00 PM 1.2148 1.2045

PAR 13:22 GMT February 12, 2018
TRUMP = LE ROI.SOLEIL
Reply   
Trump wants to build an.American.Versaillesas part of his infrastuctue plan. Is thinking.about ecpanding Mar-a-Lago.

Would be really.great

Mtl JP 13:06 GMT February 12, 2018
Equites Higher. 10-yr YIelds Up. FX: USD Up And EUR Down

there is always money: but at a price
depends on how badly one wants/needs it

NY JM 12:41 GMT February 12, 2018
Equites Higher. 10-yr YIelds Up. FX: USD Up And EUR Down

There is no money left for infrastructure.

Livingston nh 12:39 GMT February 12, 2018
Equites Higher. 10-yr YIelds Up. FX: USD Up And EUR Down

See if Treasurys respond to "infrastructure" (remember "shovel ready" ??) and USD effect of rates // on top of tax bill the Blue states take another hit from "shared" infrastructure funding - but Congress attention span is short as elections loom

GVI Trader john 12:01 GMT February 12, 2018
Equites Higher. 10-yr YIelds Up. FX: USD Up And EUR Down

DAX +198
futures:
DJ +266
SP +27

10-yr 2.878% +6.0bp

London 10:49 GMT February 12, 2018
Markets Roundup by Scandinavian Capital Markets

Gold inched higher on Monday, increasing the price of yellow metal to more than $1300.00 an ounce after some key economic releases. The technical bias remains bullish because of a higher high in the ongoing upside move.

XAU/USD Technical Analysis

As of this writing, the precious metal is being traded near $1325.46 an ounce. A hurdle can be noted near $1365, a key psychological level ahead of $1373, the high of the last major upside rally on the daily chart and then $1400, the psychological level. A break and daily closing above the $1400 level shall trigger renewed buying interest, validating a rally towards the $1440 resistance zone.

On the downside, a support may be noted around $1311, an immediate horizontal support ahead of $1300, the psychological level as well as another key horizontal support area and then $1250, a major psychological number. The technical bias shall remain bullish as long as the $1200 support area is intact.

China Consumer Price Index

China’s consumer inflation cooled to 1.5 percent in January, in line with economists’ forecasts, official data showed on Friday.
The consumer price index (CPI) had been expected to moderate from a 1.8 percent gain in December.

The producer price index (PPI) rose 4.3 percent from a year earlier, also cooling from the previous month’s rise of 4.9 percent, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) said on its website.

Analysts polled by Reuters had predicted producer inflation would ease to 4.4 percent in January.

Trade Idea

Considering the overall technical and fundamental outlook, buying the precious metal around current levels appears to be a good strategy in short to medium term.


GVI Forex Blog 10:45 GMT February 12, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: Swiss CPI in December 2018 Contained
Reply   
EARLIER: Swiss CPI January, 2018 (y/y) 0.7%. Contained.

BREAKING NEWS: Swiss CPI in December 2018 Contained

GVI Forex Blog 09:51 GMT February 12, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 12 February 2018
Reply   


Trading Ideas for 12 February 2018

Upgrade Your Trading. Try The Amazing Trader


GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 12 Feb 2018
A 07:15 CH- CPI
Tue 13 Feb 2018
AA 08:30 GB- CPI
Wed 14 Feb 2018
AA 00:30 AU- Employment
A 10:00 EZ- GDP
AA 13:30 US- CPI & Retail Sales
A 15:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 15 Feb 2018
00:00 CN- Holiday
A 13:30 US- Empire PMI & Philly Fed
A 14:15 US- Industrial Production
Fri 16 Feb 2018
00:00 CN- Holiday
AA 09:30 GB- Retail Sales
A 13:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
A 15:00 US- University of Michigan



John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Monday Trading Checklist 12 February 2018

SaaR KaL 09:23 GMT February 12, 2018
Oil shorts
Reply   
PI for Open and close
USOil(Close)
Mon 12/Feb/18 09:30 AM 60.0871 57.6053
Mon 12/Feb/18 05:00 PM 59.9145 57.4399
Tue 13/Feb/18 09:30 AM 58.9507 56.5158
Tue 13/Feb/18 05:00 PM 58.8547 56.4239

PAR 08:48 GMT February 12, 2018
S&P
Reply   
Long S&P 2647,00 . Stop 2637,00. Target 2670,00 .

Tallinn viies 08:44 GMT February 12, 2018
eurusd
Reply   
last two trades have been trying to play euro long side but no convncing upmove so far.
will try today again if market offers it.
Plan to go long euro near 1,2165 - 1,2215 area. if not going lower within next 24-48 hours then market just doesnt want to buy euro anmymore. if market is moving higher today then I try to sell euro near 1,2370 area. gl

PAR 08:32 GMT February 12, 2018
USDJPY
Reply   
Long USDJPY 108.60. Target 111.00 .

PAR 07:41 GMT February 12, 2018
INSIDER TRADING
Reply   
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-02-11/economist-it-appears-market-conspiracy-theorists-were-right

The Economist: It Appears Market Conspiracy Theorists Were Right

Three new recently published scientific papers seem to confirm what many have claimed for years: the "efficient markets" are not only inefficient - from an informational standpoint - they are also badly rigged. Of the three papers, the Economist reports, one argues that well-connected insiders profited even from the financial crisis, while the other two go so far as suggesting the entire share-trading system is rigged.

Unlike conventional insider trading cases - which traditionally require fortuitous tip-offs and extensive, expensive investigations, involving the examination of complex evidence from phone calls, e-mails or informants wired with recorders - the papers make imaginative use of pattern analysis from data to find that insider trading is probably pervasive, according to the Economist.

The approach reflects a new way of analyzing conduct in the financial markets. It also raises questions about how to treat behaviour if it is systemic rather than limited to the occasional rogue trader.

The first paper starts from the private meetings American government officials held during the crisis with financial institutions. As discussed here years ago, what was not made public at the time were critical details about the infamous TARP program (which incidentally was created and administrated by current Minneapolis Fed president Neel Kashkari who paradoxically rages every day against bailouts of Too Big To Fail banks), notably how much money would be involved and how it would be allocated. This mattered hugely as the very survival of some institutions was at stake; in the end, hundreds of billions of dollars were pledged. Knowing the structure and scope of the bail-out in advance would have been a vitally important piece of information for investors during this period.

PAR 07:35 GMT February 12, 2018
S&P
Reply   
S&P buying monster reappeared overnight buying 650 emini S&P futures right from the opening . If it looks like intervention , smells like intervention it most likely is intervention .

Markets are rigged

SaaR KaL 04:58 GMT February 12, 2018
US Open and Close ranges

USOil(Close)
Mon 12/Feb/18 09:30 AM 60.0491 57.5855
Mon 12/Feb/18 05:00 PM 59.9040 57.4463
Tue 13/Feb/18 09:30 AM 58.9298 56.5120
Tue 13/Feb/18 05:00 PM 58.8400 56.4260

AUD/USD(Close)
Mon 12/Feb/18 09:30 AM 0.7874 0.7826
Mon 12/Feb/18 05:00 PM 0.7891 0.7843
Tue 13/Feb/18 09:30 AM 0.7870 0.7823
Tue 13/Feb/18 05:00 PM 0.7853 0.7806

SaaR KaL 04:45 GMT February 12, 2018
US Open and Close ranges

Typo...Sorry about that
EUR/USD(Close)
Mon 12/Feb/18 09:30 AM 1.2345 1.2234
Mon 12/Feb/18 05:00 PM 1.2335 1.2224
Tue 13/Feb/18 09:30 AM 1.2347 1.2236
Tue 13/Feb/18 05:00 PM 1.2332 1.2221

SaaR KaL 04:27 GMT February 12, 2018
US Open and Close ranges
Reply   
My estimates of the highs and low @ open and Close

EUR/USD(Close)
Mon 12/Feb/18 09:30 PM 1.2340 1.2227
Mon 12/Feb/18 05:00 PM 1.2334 1.2221


GBP/USD(Close)
Mon 12/Feb/18 09:30 PM 1.3850 1.3653
Mon 12/Feb/18 05:00 PM 1.3833 1.3637


USD/CAD(Close)
Mon 12/Feb/18 09:30 PM 1.2592 1.2513
Mon 12/Feb/18 05:00 PM 1.2592 1.2512

XAU/USD(Close)
Mon 12/Feb/18 09:30 PM 1,332.0607 1,313.6707
Mon 12/Feb/18 05:00 PM 1,332.4090 1,314.0142

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 03:01 GMT February 12, 2018
Amazing Trader Update

Amazing Trader so far showing the way.

High so far 1.2285. 1.2295 is the key level with potential stops.

Mtl JP 02:40 GMT February 12, 2018
Bitcoin

Ieeee - HA !

Bitcoin hackers hijack thousands of UK government computers with visitors’ machines also infected by virus that helps criminals ‘mine’ digital currencies - DailyMail

Websites, including those belonging to the Information Commissioner’s Office, Student Loans Company and Scottish NHS helpline, were infected with a virus
As a result visitors had their computers used to help criminals make more money
The cyber criminals planted a virus called Coinhive in the websites' software
When users clicked on the sites the virus was transferred to their own computers
Up to 4,700 websites have been affected worldwide.

As a result unsuspecting visitors have had their computers and phones commandeered to help criminals make more money.

dc CB 01:45 GMT February 12, 2018
Trump --- Budget



Submitted by Adam Andrzejewski
The only thing the bureaucratic resistance hates more than President Trump is the disclosure of their own salaries. It’s a classic case of the bureaucracy protecting the bureaucracy, underscoring the resistance faced by the new administration.

Open the Books filed a Freedom of Information Act request with the U.S. Office of Personnel Management for all federal employee names, titles, agencies, salaries, and bonus information.
We’ve captured and posted online this data for the past 11 years. For the first time, we found missing information throughout the federal payroll disclosures.

The Swamp: Feds Redact 255,000 Salaries

dc CB 01:38 GMT February 12, 2018
Bitcoin

The Senate Bill 1091, which intends to enable cryptocurrencies for tax payment, was introduced Jan. 10, 2018 and passed by the Senate Finance Committee by a 4-3 vote on Jan. 24. On Feb. 8, the Senate passed the bill by a 16-13 margin, with one no-vote.
The bill has now been sent to Arizona’s House of Representatives.

If the bill is adopted, Arizona would become the first state in the U.S. to accept cryptocurrency tax payments by the year of 2020, as stated on the public record. The bill would allow taxpayers of the state to use “a payment gateway, such as Bitcoin, Litecoin or any other cryptocurrency recognized by the department, using electronic peer-to-peer systems.”

Arizona Senate Passes Bill To Allow Tax Payments In Bitcoin

dc CB 01:26 GMT February 12, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 12 February 2018

ZeroHedge:
In the last week of January - just as the S&P was set to hit all time highs ahead of its sharp, 10% correction as vol finally woke up - we were discussing the looming monthly pension fund rebalancing sale of stock as a risk factor to equities. While there is more to it, the reason for this boiled down to the following: as a result of pension fund mandates and quotas, due to the persistent outperformance of stocks over bonds, in recent months pension funds had been forced to repeatedly reduce their equity exposure - or alternatively increase their allocation to bonds - at month end to maintain their stock/bond exposure limits. In other words, as long as stocks were on a tear, pension funds would be natural buffers to this meltup, periodically selling stocks while buying Treasurys.

This was ironic because just 3 weeks later, everything has changed, and after last week's dramatic stock market correction, suddenly the pension mandate has flipped, with the relative performance between stocks and bonds now meaning that pension funds have shifted from buyers to sellers of bonds.

Commenting on this regime shift over the weekend, Deutsche Bank's credit strategist called it an "enormous problem" for the following reason:

An Unexpected Consequence Of Last Week's Selloff

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 01:14 GMT February 12, 2018
Amazing Trader Update
Reply   
Equities open higher

Key AT EURUSD levels: 1.2280-87-95, exposed if it can hold 1.2250+

See the Amazing Trader Live

dc CB 01:07 GMT February 12, 2018
Trump --- Budget
Reply   
he's supos'd to annc a $1.5 Trillion Infastructure plan Monday.

ps, the entire Batimore Metro Subway system will shut down for 4 months...annc'ed today...for repairs.. inspections this weekend found all track needed to be repaired or replaced.
The Balt system Opened in 1983, with more lines open'g thru 1987.

dc CB 01:00 GMT February 12, 2018
Central Banks (Fed and ECB) Continue To Roil The Markets

Livingston nh 18:06
and this is an OPEX week.

Mtl JP 00:16 GMT February 12, 2018
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

rewarding incompetence (and extending future trading opps off the cretin)

Japan PM Abe to Keep BOJ Governor Kuroda for Second Term
Sputnik International-5 hours ago

apparently

his job fighting the threat of disinflation isn't deemed over.

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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