GVI Forex Blog 18:15 GMT February 15, 2018
GVI Data Calendar 16 February 2018
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February 15, 2018 (global-view.com) UPCOMING DATA HIGHLIGHTS for February 16, 2018
- Far East: CN- Holiday
- Europe: GB- Retail Sales
- Americas: US- Housing Starts/Permits, Import Prices, prelim Univ of Michigan, Rigs, COT
GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium
Fri 16 Feb 2018
00:00 CN- Holiday
AA 09:30 GB- Retail Sales
A 13:30 US- Housing Starts/Permits
A 15:00 US- University of Michigan
GVI Data Calendar 16 February 2018
PAR 18:02 GMT February 15, 2018
stox
FAANG + BAT lead markets.higher
dc CB 17:39 GMT February 15, 2018
school shooting
just another added to the list:
The Nightclub shooter in Fla.
The Sarnov Bros: aka the Boston Marathon Bombers.
Fukuoka joyya 17:34 GMT February 15, 2018
long jpy!
sleep now good night,
lkwd jj 17:32 GMT February 15, 2018
school shooting
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BREAKING: FBI Says They Were Warned About Alleged Shooter Nearly 5 Months Ago
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fire all those idiots.....
i know its not market related but couldn't help myself
Fukuoka joyya 17:32 GMT February 15, 2018
long jpy!
Sell USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:
sold 106.8
Mtl JP 17:19 GMT February 15, 2018
stox
da tovarisch - like dis pic ?
lkwd jj 17:02 GMT February 15, 2018
stox
Jp charting 101. look at 4hour chart and you see the peak after the first drop to 2529. it went up to 2726 then came down again 2530 before ripping back up to where it is now. looks like a big W....when it goes above the middle its called a breakout from the double bottom. comrende amigo ?
lkwd jj 16:58 GMT February 15, 2018
stox
and there were plenty sold im sure......
Mtl JP 16:58 GMT February 15, 2018
stox
jj 16:40 bro u have managed to confused me u make
above "above gives a double bottom with a break above the middle peak.. wthek is "middle peak" and why does it matter rofl
e mini snp
PAR 16:56 GMT February 15, 2018
stox
Stocks always rally into option expiration making all the puts people bought in the down move WORTHLESS and WallStreet rich .
Simple comme bonjour . We'll see next week .
lkwd jj 16:46 GMT February 15, 2018
stox
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2016 is also the daily 20ma....
lkwd jj 16:40 GMT February 15, 2018
stox
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key level in emini s&p is 2726 above that gives hourly and 4 hour charts a double bottom with a break above the middle peak..came close at 2719 this morning...
Paris ib 16:19 GMT February 15, 2018
INFLATION
Rising yields are a reflection of more bond sellers than bond buyers. The reason why that may be can be inferred as a consequence. It could be a 'hot' economy..... ho ho, higher inflation, capital flight.... the pundits can make up whatever convenient explanation they like. But the bottom line is that there are more sellers than buyers of the paper.
Fukuoka joyya 16:16 GMT February 15, 2018
long jpy!
Sell AUDJPY
Entry: 84.08 Target: open Stop: 84.58
sold now some eurjpy closed lets see....happy trade,
Fukuoka joyya 16:02 GMT February 15, 2018
long jpy!
sliping area for aud...1000pips in session?
Fukuoka joyya 15:56 GMT February 15, 2018
long jpy!
euraud breaking so aud go faster...
Fukuoka joyya 15:47 GMT February 15, 2018
long jpy!
love my jpy all reason to love jpy...
Fukuoka joyya 15:37 GMT February 15, 2018
long jpy!
but i think audjpy go much faster from here...
Fukuoka joyya 15:35 GMT February 15, 2018
long jpy!
Sell EURJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:
today heavly sold eurjpy 133.15 stop 133.55 now....eurusd short closed do not like usd long....expecting for big move tonight...
Livingston nh 15:20 GMT February 15, 2018
USDJPY
Seems to me that BoJ/MoF criteria is disorderly market - this one isn't, - widespread market disruption (GBP, EUR, AUD and now CNY) besides USD - this one isn't, - and the NEW US attitude argues against single currency intervention
So far - no problem - BUT jawboning, and phone calls maybe unless Nikkei keeps dropping
Fukuoka joyya 15:20 GMT February 15, 2018
USDJPY
early april cud jpy peak last year also april was good for jpy...
hk ab 15:10 GMT February 15, 2018
USDJPY
Don't think March repatriation is a valid excuse for the massive move on yen any more in the past 10 years.
I traded that miracle day from 135 to 126.30 in 2001.
Mtl JP 15:03 GMT February 15, 2018
USDJPY
is not march 31 japanese year-end ?
maybe we are seeing repat flows already
Fukuoka joyya 15:00 GMT February 15, 2018
yen
hk ab 14:56 GMT 02/15/2018
AB san so many bad news in europe etc chf and jpy up again long term good currencies....
hk ab 14:56 GMT February 15, 2018
yen
Reply
Joyya, you think the move could be caused by no catalyst?
Fukuoka joyya 14:54 GMT February 15, 2018
USDJPY
eurjpy go below 95 gbpjpy break 116 next 100/85 range...
Fukuoka joyya 14:52 GMT February 15, 2018
USDJPY
Mtl JP 14:49 GMT 02/15/2018
Honestly i think this go to 75/85 in few months break 75 35years down trend.......
SaaR KaL 14:52 GMT February 15, 2018
USDJPY
want 101 in 4 weeks IMO
Mtl JP 14:49 GMT February 15, 2018
USDJPY
joyya would not everyone jumping on a massiv-o-rapid YEN buy to flush it to sub 101.50 to spurr n wake up MoF/BoJ instead ? ^..^
Fukuoka joyya 14:46 GMT February 15, 2018
USDJPY
japan have no problem with 95/100 balace rate for import/export...
Fukuoka joyya 14:46 GMT February 15, 2018
USDJPY
lets go to 95...
Fukuoka joyya 14:37 GMT February 15, 2018
USDJPY
all gv member send request to boj via email phone or fax esp Par san haha here all are always long usdjpy...no thing can be up al the time..
SaaR KaL 14:34 GMT February 15, 2018
Cable
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cable wants 1.4350??
anyone has this target?
lkwd jj 14:31 GMT February 15, 2018
USDJPY
JP send email to BOJ and ask them...if they say we intervened, it will be after to fig move.. i remember that day.... but dont remember when it happened though, too much water under the bridge. otherwise its just a yen or two but its in 10 min similiar to nzd rocket last week. would you be a seller if theyre were buying ??
GVI Trader john 14:17 GMT February 15, 2018
Breaking News
Production weaker than expected.
NY JM 14:11 GMT February 15, 2018
USDJPY
JP, we have no proof but have always suspected the BoJ intervenes either covertly or through surrogates.
Mtl JP 14:05 GMT February 15, 2018
USDJPY
i.e under what conditions ?
(the tsunami ?)
Mtl JP 14:04 GMT February 15, 2018
USDJPY
Trivia Q
when (if) - in living memory - did Japan last intervene in YEN ?
Fukuoka joyya 13:58 GMT February 15, 2018
USDJPY
Par san buy for 110/120....
Mtl JP 13:55 GMT February 15, 2018
INFLATION
rising yields are a reflection of a hot economy getting hotter
finance types get paid first financing investment in infrastructure, plant and equipment and higher salaries
UK JY 13:52 GMT February 15, 2018
INFLATION
but rising yields works against stocks and the economy.
PAR 13:51 GMT February 15, 2018
INFLATION
Reply
Inflation is good for stocks , hyperinflation is even better .
Look at stocks during Weimar republic.
Collapsing currency rising stocks.
Mtl JP 13:45 GMT February 15, 2018
USDJPY
PAR u ll need to pop over 107.60 first
assess the odds as yield does not appear to matter
PAR 13:38 GMT February 15, 2018
USDJPY
Reply
See you again above 110.00 by monday ?
Fukuoka joyya 13:08 GMT February 15, 2018
long jpy!
Sell EURUSD
Entry: 1.2483 Target: 1.20 Stop: 100pips
sold...happy trade,
Fukuoka joyya 12:56 GMT February 15, 2018
long jpy!
stops now 108 eurjpy 134.5 gbpjpy 152 audjpy 86.5
Fukuoka joyya 12:54 GMT February 15, 2018
long jpy!
Sell USDJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:
i think no one can stop this thing droping stay short...
Fukuoka joyya 12:46 GMT February 15, 2018
long jpy!
Sell EURJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:
Red san and JP san thanx,
Still short usdjpy eurjpy gbpjpy audjpy....
I think jpy climb more not finished yet...
usdjpy in few days or month 95.....
happy trade,
Mtl JP 12:43 GMT February 15, 2018
usdjpy
PAR 12:39 = just coz things do not tactically work out according to your strategy ?
PAR 12:39 GMT February 15, 2018
BOJ INTERVENTION
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No intervention. Yes we can . Japanese hate it when non japanese make money . Crooks and criminals in Tokiyo ?
Mtl JP 12:09 GMT February 15, 2018
long jpy!
thky red.
as the little at great disadvantage sea lion I look for any angle of advantage to injure the Orcinus orca which is just an oversized Dolphin (according to Dillon AL)
london red 12:02 GMT February 15, 2018
long jpy!
weekly close +/- 10650 key, so level to watch tomorrow on close. a couple of forays below so far but lets see at todays close and tomorrow. lrg barriers at 105 also some at 106 but no other expiries really of any size. apart from a barrier way abv mkt today nothing for euro but plenty tomorrow at each nearby fig and half fig.
GVI Trader Jay Meisler 10:37 GMT February 15, 2018
Live Discussion: 3 Steps for Aggressive Trading
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In today’s live discussion I will be showing you a 3 step approach you can use for aggressive trading. We will be holding two separate discussions to accommodate those in different time zines,
If you can’t attend send me an email to request a copy of the live discussion
Thursday Feb 15: Two times
Times:
11:00-11:15 GMT (6:00-6:15 EST)
17:00-17:15 GMT (12:00-12:15 EST)
Live discussion url:
Live Discussion: 3 Steps for Aggressive Trading
PAR 10:30 GMT February 15, 2018
US PPI
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US PPI should be more moderate than CPI . Could even be somewhat lower than expected . Buy treasuries ?
PAR 10:06 GMT February 15, 2018
$ - US Stocks
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Dollar falling for 5 days , US stocks up 5 days in a row . Make it simple.
Mnuchin's weak dollar policy as explained in ELLE . LOL
Paris ib 10:00 GMT February 15, 2018
Capital Flight, Debt Crisis and the USD
Rising yields and a falling currency is what capital flight looks like.
This is still very early days with regards to the United States but note that the pundits have had to drop the spurious idea that rising yields NECESSARILY lead to a stronger currency. THAT only happens when confidence in the currency is solid. Market movements suggest that that is no longer the case in regards to the USD.
Don't blame Trump, blame the main stream media spoilers who have not accepted the outcome of the last Presidential election in the United States and have sought relentlessly to undermine the Trump Administration. Reminds me of Samson, bringing down the roof over his own head.
Well done morons
Paris ib 09:59 GMT February 15, 2018
Capital Flight, Debt Crisis and the USD
Rising yields and a falling currency is what capital flight looks like.
This is still very early days with regards to the United States but note that the pundits have had to drop the spurious idea that rising yields NECESSARILY lead to a stronger currency. THAT only happens when confidence in the currency is solid. Market movements suggest that that is no longer the case in regards to the USD.
Don't blame Trump, blame the main stream media spoilers who have not accepted the outcome of the last Presidential election in the United States and have sought relentlessly to undermine the Trump Administration. Reminds me of Samson, bringing down the roof over his own head.
Well done morons
Fukuoka joyya 09:17 GMT February 15, 2018
long jpy!
Reply
Sell EURNZD
Entry: 133.030 Target: Stop:
today sold while driving...happy trade,
Sydney ACC 08:35 GMT February 15, 2018
Trump suggests 25 cent increase in gas tax, senator says
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President Donald Trump suggested Wednesday that a 25 cent increase in gas and diesel taxes would be needed to help pay for the administration's new infrastructure plan, according to Democratic Sen. Tom Carper.
In a bipartisan meeting with lawmakers at the White House, Trump noted that the federal gas tax hasn't been raised since 1993, said Carper, the top Democrat on the Environment and Public Works Committee.
Link
PAR 07:27 GMT February 15, 2018
German don't trust banks anymore .
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https://www.ft.com/content/3427b652-116e-11e8-8cb6-b9ccc4c4dbbb
#Euro hoarding on the increase, Bundesbank says. Nine out of 10 euro banknotes issued in #Germany are never used in payments but hoarded at home and abroad as a store of value in the era of ultra-low interest rates and poor returns.
https://t.co/qDZwTsMrQy
London 06:33 GMT February 15, 2018
Markets Roundup by Scandinavian Capital Markets
The Australian Dollar (AUD) inched higher against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, increasing the price of AUDUSD to more than 0.7900 following some key economic releases. The technical bias shall remain bullish because of a higher high in the recent upside move.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
As of this writing, the pair is being traded around 0.7932. A support can be noted around 0.7500, an immediate horizontal support ahead of 0.7450 the psychological number and then 0.7367, another key horizontal support as demonstrated in the given below chart.
On the upside, a hurdle can be noted near 0.8090, an immediate horizontal resistance level ahead of 0.8100, the psychological level and then 0.8249, the high of the last major upside rally as demonstrated in the given above chart. The technical bias shall remain bearish as long as the 0.8024 resistance area is intact.
Australia Trade Balance
Australia has slipped to a heavy trade deficit in December after imports surged during the month.
The trade balance for the month fell to a deficit of $1.36 billion, down from a revised $36 million surplus in November and against market expectations for a surplus of $200 million.
Exports were up by $510 million or 2.0 per cent for the month led mainly by an increase in shipments of iron ore and coal, the country’s top two export earners, the Australian Bureau of Statistics said.
However, imports jumped by $1.9 billion or 6.0 per cent during the month, mainly on account of a surge in imports of fuel as well as machinery and equipment.
Trade Idea
Considering the overall technical and fundamental outlook, selling the pair around current levels may be a good strategy in short to medium term.
SaaR KaL 06:32 GMT February 15, 2018
Cable Longs
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1.4050 1.3842
1.4097 1.3798
SaaR KaL 06:28 GMT February 15, 2018
USDCAD Longs
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added more usdcad
1.2621 1.2465
1.2657 1.2431
SaaR KaL 06:22 GMT February 15, 2018
usdjpy
Still bearish USDJPY
107.5751 106.2509
107.8270 105.8981
Mtl JP 04:45 GMT February 15, 2018
usdjpy
jj u once posted link to nat gas weather
another one for your toolbox
here
lkwd jj 04:34 GMT February 15, 2018
usdjpy
i'm surprised the stronger yen not affecting the nikkei as usual....2and 1/2 yen in a week...
Mtl JP 04:25 GMT February 15, 2018
usdjpy
kuroda out earlier still fighting and scratching trying to climb out of deflation. this turkey's insistence at persisting doing the same thing over and over expecting a different result is, simply, remarkable.
the fact that numbnuts abe continues to keep him around is no less amazing.
Mtl JP 04:16 GMT February 15, 2018
usdjpy
YEN trading opportunity at bottom of hour off JPN Indust Production m/m
Mtl JP 04:11 GMT February 15, 2018
usdjpy
Aso out earlier sharing that yen not rocketing fast enough to deserve intervention
Mtl JP 01:30 GMT February 15, 2018
eurusd
viees ... just snagged a short euro at 72
lkwd jj 01:30 GMT February 15, 2018
ozzy
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just logged in a hit the ask .7931....
