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Forex Forum Archive for 04/02/2018

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Livingston nh 22:48 GMT April 2, 2018
Dead Horse File

jp -- hahahehehe -- so simple if we only knew /// maybe it would work at the TRACK

Mtl JP 22:40 GMT April 2, 2018
Dead Horse File

As much as I hate to admit ignorance I just had to look-up

"Log-Periodic Power Law Singularity"

Livingston nh 21:49 GMT April 2, 2018
Dead Horse File

The trapped money came in at the close
- so we shall see on the Open

Livingston nh 21:20 GMT April 2, 2018
Dead Horse File

CB - CNBC appeals to the Great Unwashed // rates rates rates applies to the market -all markets

Guys like Gartman should KNOW this but think they are smarter or trying to sell something

That's why charts fail at the turn because there too many folks on one side of the boat

Mtl JP 21:09 GMT April 2, 2018
Dead Horse File

geez some momentary gap-py arguing around the yen around NY close

dc CB 21:07 GMT April 2, 2018
Dead Horse File

Google
Trump, NAFTA, Summit of the Americas in Peru on April 13-14.
CAD$
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
CNBC is a great platform ??? for taking a header into an empty concrete pool.

Mtl JP 21:01 GMT April 2, 2018
Dead Horse File



nh I say your buddy - one trick export oriented pony poloz - is done;
the magic is in trump-et / powell / munchkin's USD "rates rates rates" all in

Above 1.3123 says I am wrong

Livingston nh 20:46 GMT April 2, 2018
Dead Horse File
Reply   
Rates Rates Rates -- focus on the Fed /do not be distracted

Livingston nh 20:35 GMT April 2, 2018
BTFD

cb -- talkin' your book -- CNBC is a great platform

OIL is the great book talker commodity

dc CB 20:27 GMT April 2, 2018
BTFD

mystical = some religious belief
mythical = folk tale .

hard to believe, but applying the George Costanza Principle to this CNBC "Guru" choice of market direction...produces over 75% winning trade. HARD TO BELIEVE but true. And He's Still on the Air and In Bidness.

Wrong more Often than Right

Mtl JP 20:25 GMT April 2, 2018
BTFD

CADYEN 82.00ish
I am biased to
buy up to 25pip dip

Mtl JP 20:15 GMT April 2, 2018
BTFD

nh so how do u trade "Poloz" ?
-
mystical = some religious belief
mythical = folk tale

either way what matters is what players perceive that moves prices

Livingston nh 20:11 GMT April 2, 2018
BTFD

par - Kashkari is an irrelevant -- he may be proved right but he is non voter // put 4.2% into your 10 yr model and see what the Fed funds is?

dc CB 20:10 GMT April 2, 2018
BTFD

as noted...1st of the Month 1st day of 2nd quarter Incoming 401K/IRA/ETC flows...

Next Ques to be anwsered---How will Europe react, having to play catch-up to the carnage.

First trading day of the 2nd Quarter

Livingston nh 20:07 GMT April 2, 2018
BTFD

JP - imo USD/CAD is rate/inflation sensitive - Poloz can't keep up

Mtl JP 20:04 GMT April 2, 2018
BTFD



usdcad correlation in last 10-15 minutes of us stox

Bottom Line
I am biased:
to keep on selling usdcad rallies

PAR 20:03 GMT April 2, 2018
BTFD

Kashkari to rescue markets overnight ? Yes he can .

Livingston nh 20:01 GMT April 2, 2018
BTFD

Par - CHART POINTS OR FUNDAMENTALS -not some mystical group of buyers

Livingston nh 19:52 GMT April 2, 2018
BTFD

HOW do you know it's the LOW of the year?

There is no Unicorn PPT to save your AZZ!!

PAR 19:51 GMT April 2, 2018
BTFD

PPT BTFD.

GVI Trader john 19:50 GMT April 2, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 3 April 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO Bias:

NEUTRAL

This Week: 1.2282-1.2346
Mon: 1.2282-1.2346
Fri: 1.2292-1.2332
Thu: 1.2283-1.2358
Wed: 1.2300-1.2422

Spot EURUSD: 1.2300
Pivot Point: 1.2309

20-day avg: 1.2339
50-day avg: 1.2345
100-day avg: 1.2135
200-day avg: 1.1935

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Jun 13: 80% (80%)

PAR 19:49 GMT April 2, 2018
BTFD
Reply   
Did you buy S&P near the low of the year ?

Mtl JP 19:32 GMT April 2, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 3 April 2018

favorite pet-peeve: counting the "may"s "could"s and past tense verbs by ?-no-skin-in-the-game-? Charles Schwab analysts:

Why stock investors should be welcoming the return of volatility

Livingston nh 19:28 GMT April 2, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 3 April 2018

As Brexit enters the "endgame phase" Donald Davis will be made out to be a MOPE unless he morphs into a giver of conditions // Cable will take a hit as this non-negotiation between davis and EU rolls on// will BoE back off as the ineptitude surfaces?

Mtl JP 19:17 GMT April 2, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 3 April 2018

105.85
usdyen - on the 5min - looks like is starting an uP ladder

PAR 19:07 GMT April 2, 2018
VIX

Short VIX 22.00 .

GVI Forex Blog 18:59 GMT April 2, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 2 April 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 2 April 2018

dc CB 18:54 GMT April 2, 2018
S&P

coming into the EFT hour...First of the Month, manditory contribution 401K money needs a place to go.
Bond funds or SToX Funds...

hk ab 18:48 GMT April 2, 2018
PPT
Reply   
Obama's PPT seems much outperform Trump's one......

Mtl JP 18:39 GMT April 2, 2018
S&P

This looks like good mountain to dig into next:

Homeowners are sitting on $5.4 trillion in ready cash, the most ever
The amount of equity today's homeowners are able to tap is at the highest level on record. - cnbc

The collective amount of tappable equity is now an estimated $5.4 trillion, which is 10 percent more than at the pre-recession peak in 2005.
Unlike during the last peak, homeowners today are far more conservative.

PAR 18:33 GMT April 2, 2018
S&P

Mnuchin will be out by friday . Foing really bsd.job. Stock market should go up not down . What is that Mnuchinguy doing .

Livingston nh 18:32 GMT April 2, 2018
S&P

jp - the sheep make noise when they get scared but they don't change - nobody cares about "PRIVACY" - the illiterates just hit the fkin "AGREE" button

Until the government starts killin' folks for hacking or file extortion or bitcoin or whatever -- it's easier than robbing banks // put a BOUNTY on these guys and they'll turn on each other

Except for GRISWOLD privacy wouldn't even be on the radar

dc CB 18:31 GMT April 2, 2018
S&P

I'll say it again --- The Black Swan is Trump/Pollytics/ElectionWars -- the BigData Cos wud have escaped any scrutiny at all IF HRC had won, because they were all skewing towards her. AND If she had just lost and gone away instead of cooking up MUH RUSSIA and banging that drum for a year and a half, Da Law Writers, here and abroad, wud not be coming after them with such vehemence.

Livingston nh 18:24 GMT April 2, 2018
SPAM

JOHN - NUKE'M

Mtl JP 18:23 GMT April 2, 2018
S&P

nh I saw this earlier:

"Before this month, investors were looking for the next Facebook. They still are, but with a completely different set of criteria. Where previously they were seeking companies with soaring popularity and addictive products, now they’re looking for malfeasance and other potential landmines. Does Google have data privacy issues that will come back to bite it? Has Amazon antagonized the president enough to be slapped with a national sales tax? Did Apple over-price its latest phone to the point that customers don’t want it?

Virtually no one outside of a tiny, long-suffering group of short sellers had been asking these questions. Now everyone is.

And that, in a nutshell, is how markets morph from bull to bear. It’s not about fundamentals, but about which fundamentals are seen to matter. And generally it takes a high-profile object lesson to shift investor psychology from one extreme to the other. During the 2000s housing bubble, for instance, stock prices held up even as mortgage defaults were surging. Then Lehman Brothers collapsed and all anyone wanted to know was “which bank is next.” " ...

on ZH

Livingston nh 18:16 GMT April 2, 2018
S&P

cb - mopes are looking at the little daily stuff -- the BIG stuff that affects markets is absent // 4+% 10 yr -- unemployment back above 5.4% -- war w/ NK - but something that THE MOPES HAVEN'T DISCOUNTED

dc CB 18:14 GMT April 2, 2018
S&P



Wave 3 on the horizon

dc CB 18:06 GMT April 2, 2018
S&P

nh
me thinks we're going for 1K + DOW(N)

dc CB 18:05 GMT April 2, 2018
SPAM

thanks :)

GVI Trader john 18:04 GMT April 2, 2018
SPAM

I was blocking him the lazy (quick) way.

dc CB 17:57 GMT April 2, 2018
SPAM
Reply   
GV seems to be pretty inept at blocking this SPAM bot

Livingston nh 17:57 GMT April 2, 2018
S&P

cb - ryzen AMD chip is also a problem for intel -- APPLE caved the last time (maybe they should buy AMD)

dc CB 17:54 GMT April 2, 2018
S&P



that hurt
APPLE MAC CHIP MOVE IS SAID TO BEGIN AS SOON AS 2020

APPLE IS SAID TO PLAN MOVE FROM INTEL TO ITS OWN MAC CHIPS

Livingston nh 17:22 GMT April 2, 2018
oil
Reply   
Despite the good mfg PMIs oil can't get a grip -- ARAMCO deal may have been a tip-off but demand can't be goosed even though OPEC supply cuts thru next year are touted by concerned parties // NATIONALIZATION in Saudi autocracy is BIG risk for ARAMCO (once burnt twice learnt)

GVI Forex Blog 16:56 GMT April 2, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 3 April 2018
Reply   

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader


GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium


Tue 3 Apr 2018
A Various Final PMIs
AA 03:00 AU- RBA Decision
A 06:00 DE- Retail Sales
Wed 4 Apr 2018
AA 09:00 EZ- flash HICP
AA 12:15 US- ADP Private Payrolls
A 13:45/14:00 US- Service PMIs
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
AA 18:00 US- Fed Policy Minutes
Thu 5 Apr 2018
A Various Final PMIs
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 12:30 US- Trade
Fri 6 Apr 2018
A 12:30 US/CA- Employment


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Tuesday Trading Checklist 3 April 2018

dc CB 16:56 GMT April 2, 2018
S&P

crack open another bottle

Mtl JP 16:55 GMT April 2, 2018
VIX

usdcad in tight correlation w/usd/stocks
1.2920/25 still relevant

Livingston nh 16:50 GMT April 2, 2018
VIX

This may be the Lunchtime rally - see what happens into the close (eod forced buying/selling) - Asia and EU (closed) stox before tomorrow open

Cable setting for a test of rising wkly 21ma (~1.38) and EUR another test of 1.22 /// oil right at 21 dma

PAR 16:48 GMT April 2, 2018
S&P
Reply   
No way Trump will allow S&P to close below 2500 . If it does Powell will be fired .

Mtl JP 16:45 GMT April 2, 2018
VIX

ya... agree VIX is a complicated options puppy to trade

PAR 16:43 GMT April 2, 2018
VIX

VIC futures dropping like a stone.a Trump.orders intervention ?

PAR 16:40 GMT April 2, 2018
VIX

Mtl . You can not trade the cash index

PAR 16:38 GMT April 2, 2018
VIX

Stop on VIX futures 21.70 and let it collaps into the close on central bank selling

Livingston nh 16:33 GMT April 2, 2018
PPT

SPX should be washout here -- a break of prior low (Super bounce Friday) w/ a close below 2540 today or tomorrow

10 yr yield hasn't broken down as STOX collapse so this may be the 10 yr low for now (~2.73)

Mtl JP 16:29 GMT April 2, 2018
VIX

VIX
Last Updated: Apr 2, 2018 11:13 a.m. CDT
23.81

CBOE Volatility Index

Manama KaL 16:22 GMT April 2, 2018
Today's Close ranges

USDCAD Shorts from 1.2940 adds every 16 pips
tgt 1.2860

PAR 16:21 GMT April 2, 2018
PPT
Reply   
Trump ordering Powell to start.buying .

Powell orders PPT and all US banks to start buying .

Lets see last 30 minutes .

PAR 16:18 GMT April 2, 2018
VIX
Reply   
Short VIX 22,00. Trump loves AMZN , MEXICO , CHINA and last but not least RUSSIA , NORTH KOREA and IRAN.

dc CB 16:11 GMT April 2, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 2 April 2018

The issue for these big players is the fact that they will have to deal with several issues. First, they have a very classical issue in a monopoly situation; they are huge players. At a point of time–but I think it will be a US problem, not a European problem–at a point of time, your government, your people, may say, “Wake up. They are too big.” Not just too big to fail, but too big to be governed. Which is brand new. So at this point, you may choose to dismantle. That’s what happened at the very beginning of the oil sector when you had these big giants. That’s a competition issue.

Today the GAFA [an acronym for Google, Apple, Facebook, and Amazon] don’t pay all the taxes they should in Europe. So they don’t contribute to dealing with negative externalities they create. And they ask the sectors they disrupt to pay, because these guys, the old sectors pay VAT, corporate taxes and so on. That’s not sustainable.

Emmanuel Macron Talks to WIRED About France's AI Strategy

Mtl JP 16:01 GMT April 2, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 2 April 2018

SnP at 2,583.20 ie under 200 ma at 2,589.93
lets see if just temporary

Mtl JP 16:01 GMT April 2, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 2 April 2018

SnP at 2,583.20 ie under 200 ma at 2,589.93
lets see if just temporary

Mtl JP 15:33 GMT April 2, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 2 April 2018

1.2913-ish
short - see if usdcad 1.2920/25 holds

dc CB 15:21 GMT April 2, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 2 April 2018




Donald J. Trump

@realDonaldTrump

Only fools, or worse, are saying that our money losing Post Office makes money with Amazon. THEY LOSE A FORTUNE, and this will be changed. Also, our fully tax paying retailers are closing stores all over the country...not a level playing field!
9:35 AM - Apr 2, 2018

Mtl JP 15:16 GMT April 2, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 2 April 2018

SnP 200-day moving average at 2,589.93

Mtl JP 15:12 GMT April 2, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 2 April 2018

DJ -318 -1.32%
fast mover

SnP 2,594.67 -46.20 -1.75%
--
makes me think of professional money types who not long ago used to gloat when they made 10%..... on yearly basis

GVI Trader john 15:02 GMT April 2, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 2 April 2018

Equities continue to fall, but forex initial correlation has broken down as 10-yr yield has stabilized @ 2.763%..

DJIA -250...

Manama KaL 14:30 GMT April 2, 2018
Today's Close ranges

Silver shorts
Max Max Avg Max Avg Min Min Min
16.6879 16.5986 16.2083 16.0045

Gold as well
Max Max Avg Max Avg Min Min Min
1347.4043 1338.6576 1315.5917 1303.4172

Mtl JP 14:19 GMT April 2, 2018
Breaking News

prices are rising = "inflation" ... yellen's dream ya ?
praise trump-et man

Livingston nh 14:15 GMT April 2, 2018
Breaking News

Another strong performance - But Manufacturing is hitting bottleneck problems -- prices are rising and labor is in short supply // comments about metal prices -- next is bidding for workers

GVI Forex Blog 14:11 GMT April 2, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Manufacturing PMIs For March 2018 Weaker.
Reply   
March 2018 U.S. ISM Mfg PMI weaker than expected. Final Markit PMI revised lower. ISM report much more important.

U.S. Manufacturing PMI's Chart><br>



<p>
		<a href=BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Manufacturing PMIs For March 2018 Weaker.

Manama KaL 14:06 GMT April 2, 2018
Today's Close ranges

Oil Recommended Long
Max Max Avg Max Avg Min Min Min
66.0529 65.6069 64.1217 63.4278

GVI Trader john 14:00 GMT April 2, 2018
Breaking News

U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI March 2018

U.S. Data Charts




News ALERT

59.3 vs. 60.0 exp. vs. 60.8 prev.
RELEASE: ISM Manufacturing PMI


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 13:53 GMT April 2, 2018
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

April 02 2018 - some publicly traded CBs:
SWISS NATIONAL BANK trading around 7540CHF
BELGIUM NATIONAL BANK trading around 2,980.00 EUR
BANK OF JAPAN trading around 35,050.00 JPY

GVI Trader john 13:45 GMT April 2, 2018
Breaking News





ALERT
55.6 vs. 55.7 exp. vs. 55.7 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Manama KaL 13:37 GMT April 2, 2018
Today's Close ranges
Reply   
EURUSD 1.2386 to 1.2264
Cable
Max Max Avg Max Avg Min Min Min
1.4092 1.4081 1.4009 1.3918

EURJPY
Max Max Avg Max Avg Min Min Min
131.4368 131.2927 130.7402 130.4193

Mtl JP 13:10 GMT April 2, 2018
Extra Extra Read All About It.

French unions vs Macron:
"Macron has no idea when he takes on the railroad unionists" screams a union "leader"

Mtl JP 12:34 GMT April 2, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 2 April 2018

I was wrong - Canada is open

Mtl JP 11:47 GMT April 2, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 2 April 2018

Monday NY trade session
Europe and Canada CLOSED
US opened
-
Today should be 10-15pips stealing day for playful sharks

GVI Trader john 11:33 GMT April 2, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 2 April 2018

10-yr 2.755% +0.5bp
DJ -57

GVI Trader john 11:26 GMT April 2, 2018
Breaking News
Reply   
China, Japan PMIs March 2018
Japan:
53.1 vs. 53.2 exp. vs. 53.2 prev.
Japan PMI Chart




China:
Caixin 51.0 vs. 51.7 exp vs. 51.6 prev.
China Caxin PMI Chart

GVI Trader john 09:42 GMT April 2, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 2 April 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO Bias:

NEUTRAL

Last Week: 1.2283-1.2477
Mon: 1.2310-1.2333
Fri: 1.2292-1.2332
Thu: 1.2283-1.2358
Wed: 1.2300-1.2422

Spot EURUSD: 1.2330
Pivot Point: 1.2314

20-day avg: 1.2341
50-day avg: 1.2344
100-day avg: 1.2128
200-day avg: 1.1931

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Jun 13: 80% (80%)

10-yr Bonds
US: 2.764% +1.8bp

Implied Open
DJ: -15
SP: -5.8

GVI Forex Blog 09:27 GMT April 2, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 2 April 2018
Reply   


GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 2 Apr 2018
Holiday in Europe
A Various Final PMIs
AA 12:30 US- GDP
Tue 3 Apr 2018
A Various Final PMIs
AA 03:00 AU- RBA Decision
A 06:00 DE- Retail Sales
Wed 4 Apr 2018
AA 09:00 EZ- flash HICP
AA 12:15 US- ADP Private Payrolls
A 13:45/14:00 US- Service PMIs
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
AA 18:00 US- Fed Policy Minutes
Thu 5 Apr 2018
A Various Final PMIs
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 12:30 US- Trade
Fri 6 Apr 2018
A 12:30 US/CA- Employment


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Monday Trading Checklist 2 April 2018

Manama KaL 09:13 GMT April 2, 2018
Averages / Max and Min

Gold
Date ---- Max Max Avg Max Avg Min Min Min
4/2/2018 1,370 1,344 1,311 1,300
4/3/2018 1,373 1,366 1,320 1,315
4/4/2018 1,359 1,356 1,314 1,307
4/5/2018 1,353 1,351 1,301 1,298
4/6/2018 1,352 1,348 1,299 1,296
Grand Total 1,373 1,354 1,309 1,296


GBPAUD is up to something

Date=== Max Max Avg Max Avg Min Min Min
4/2/2018 1.8480 1.8368 1.8155 1.8081
4/3/2018 1.8894 1.8726 1.8288 1.8199
4/4/2018 1.8860 1.8792 1.8208 1.8081
4/5/2018 1.8727 1.8679 1.8041 1.7977
4/6/2018 1.8638 1.8609 1.7946 1.7925
Grand Total 1.8894 1.8651 1.8126 1.7925

Manama KaL 08:58 GMT April 2, 2018
Averages / Max and Min

USDJPY
shorts start from 107.25
otherwise next day 106.98


Date Max Max Avg Max Avg Min Min Min
4/2/2018 107.87 107.25 105.93 105.21
4/3/2018 107.47 106.98 104.71 104.49
4/4/2018 106.96 106.81 104.62 104.40
4/5/2018 106.76 106.67 104.27 103.64
4/6/2018 106.60 106.42 103.26 103.15
Grand Total 107.87 106.81 104.49 103.15

Manama KaL 08:50 GMT April 2, 2018
Averages / Max and Min

Cable
Date---- Max Max Avg Max Avg Min Min Min
4/2/2018 1.4207 1.4097 1.3931 1.3856
4/3/2018 1.4354 1.4314 1.4016 1.3942
4/4/2018 1.4345 1.4338 1.4037 1.3953
4/5/2018 1.4319 1.4295 1.3883 1.3857
4/6/2018 1.4277 1.4277 1.3868 1.3868
Grand Total 1.4354 1.4272 1.3969 1.3856

Manama KaL 08:39 GMT April 2, 2018
Averages / Max and Min

EURUSD Auto Orders
Between Avg Min to Min Min...Longs

Date---- Max Max Avg Max Avg Min Min Min
4/2/2018 1.2466 1.2372 1.2241 1.2174
4/3/2018 1.2483 1.2463 1.2257 1.2235
4/4/2018 1.2490 1.2467 1.2246 1.2230
4/5/2018 1.2481 1.2469 1.2209 1.2186
4/6/2018 1.2479 1.2462 1.2178 1.2165
Grand Total 1.2490 1.2450 1.2225 1.2165

dhaka MKS 04:31 GMT April 2, 2018
USDCAD
Entry: Target: Stop:

hi, its very good and commercial. thankyou.

Manama KaL 04:22 GMT April 2, 2018
Averages / Max and Min
Reply   
For example EURUSD
All this week GTD Friday (Grand Total)
Shorts 1.2492 to 1.2451
Longs 1.2224 to 1.2158

Monday
Shorts 1.2490 1.2401
Longs 1.2244 1.2158
...etc

Levels

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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