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Forex Forum Archive for 04/15/2018

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GVI Trader Jay Meisler 23:33 GMT April 15, 2018
Amazing Trader Testimonial

The following is an unsolicited email from one of our subscribers and speaks for itself::


"After my extended evaluation, I have concluded that AT is worthy of my time and money, and I will continue to be a subscriber after my 3 months are up. I especially appreciate that slanted red line that tells me as much, if not more than the horizontal lines that people take to mean support and resistance. I don't know what algorithm(s) you are using to draw all that stuff, but it works for me and I'm glad to have it."

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STG AndersenBands 22:36 GMT April 15, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis



Daily highlights going into Monday, 16 April-

Short-term momentum reversed up for two pairs/crosses: $EURUSD, $GBP/NZD and one major: AUD. There were no changes in long-term momentum.

However, $GBPCHF ranked #1 for both ST and LT momentum is at an extreme level and not likely to continue. Similarly, EURCHF is ranked #2 for both ST and LT momentum and is also at unsustainable extreme levels.

Daily price ranges for $EURUSD and $GBPCAD were extremely low on Friday and likely to increase.

3-day price ranges for $GBPAUD, $GBPCAD, $NZDUSD, and $USDCAD were also extremely low as of Friday and likely to increase. Also noteworthy of that bunch - $GBPCAD is on the weekly, daily and 3-day price range list for being at extreme lows. Additionally, $USDCAD has the lowest Short-term momentum rank (#28) which is a high risk factor for reversing the recent selloff.

Another method of detecting price range breakouts is RPM which looks at statistical volatility combined with price range. Current daily RPM levels suggest imminent breakouts for $EURUSD, $EURCHF, and $GBPCAD.

3-day RPM signals are for $EURJPY, $GBPAUD, $NZDUSD, and $USDCAD

Daily pivot ranges for $AUDCAD, $EURUSD, $GBPCAD, and $USDCHF are low and price is likely to increase in volatility from the published pivot levels. Also of note- $GBPCAD had a pivot range compression 4 consecutive days which increases the likelihood of increased price action.

There are several 3-day pivot ranges at extremely tight levels as highlighted on the dashboard. Some of these include $AUDCAD, $EURJPY, $NZDCHF, $CADCHF, $EURCAD. Most notable is AUD with 5 of 7 pairs/crosses showing low 3-day pivot ranges.

$AUDNZD and $CHFJPY currently show daily pivot reversals to the upside.

$AUDCAD, $AUDNZD, $GBPCAD currently show 3-day pivot reversals to the upside.

The image with this post is shows the highest (1) to lowest (8) short-term momentum of the 8 major currencies.

STG AndersenBands 22:30 GMT April 15, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis



Weekly Highlights going into Monday, 16 April-

Weekly price range compression for $AUD/CAD, $NZDCAD, and $USDJPY reached significant levels and are likely to rebound.

$AUDUSD developed a weekly pivot reversal to the upside.

The weekly pivot ranges are very low for the following pairs which are likely to lead to significant price movement and increased volatility- $EURUSD, $GBPCAD, $AUDCAD, and $USDJPY.

Additionally, a few of the interesting correlation relationships-

$EURAUD currently has a 30-day correlation of 93% with $GBPCAD, yet the 120-day correlation is only 50%.

$GBPAUD currently has a 30-day inverse correlation of -94% with $CADJPY yet the 120-day correlation is only -24%.

$USDJPY currently has a 30-day inverse correlation of -91% with $EURAUD yet the 120-day correlation is only -12%.

30-day correlation matrix from the weekly is included with this post for additional observation.

nw kw 22:26 GMT April 15, 2018
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

context this week good aud and jpy soft gl. or long u/j and audjpy

nw kw 22:22 GMT April 15, 2018
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

context usa coal bypasses export limitation from shipping it out ca. bc.

Mtl JP 21:51 GMT April 15, 2018
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

to put things in context a bit:

from earlier rtrs piece:
....Toronto-Dominion Bank (TD.TO) Deputy Chairman Frank McKenna, a member of Alberta�s pipeline advisory task force, said he raised the issue with Trudeau in a recent call and that Ottawa has to �provide deal certainty ... a backstop�.

�That could be something in the nature of an indemnity agreement or a guarantee against potential losses that would come from political instability and not based on normal construction risk,� said McKenna, a former premier of New Brunswick.

TD Bank is Kinder Morgan Canada�s biggest lender. �At the end of the day this pipeline can�t be allowed to fail, it would be a huge blow to the leadership of the country and to the image of the country.�

and so now justin pretty hair and sox

Trudeau promises money, legislation to 'remove the uncertainty' and make Trans Mountain happen

Mtl JP 21:43 GMT April 15, 2018
Trade Off The Cretins Corner

Trump to Impose New Sanctions on Russia Over Support for Syria ...

NYT 56 mins ago

Mtl JP 21:32 GMT April 15, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 16 April 2018

USDCAD
200 day 1.2624
just a reminder
rest is in Archive

Mtl JP 21:16 GMT April 15, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 16 April 2018



Gap - for me too small to play atm
but watching

Manic Monday 21:11 GMT April 15, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 16 April 2018

The Bangles - Walk Like an Egyptian

firm Brent might be top in gbpusd

dc CB 19:47 GMT April 15, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 16 April 2018



WTI Last 67.39
Brent Last 72.62

99 Luftballons

GVI 19:39 GMT April 15, 2018
BREAKING NEWS
Reply   
SNB's Jordan: its not the right time to change Swiss monetary policy; changes in monetary policy in other countries could give the SNB more room to maneuver - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Blog 18:43 GMT April 15, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 16 April 2018
Reply   

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader


GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium


GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 16 Apr 2018
AA 12:30 US- Retail Sales
Tue 17 Apr 2018
AA 08:30 GB- Employment
A 09:00 DE- ZEW Survey
A 12:30 US- House Starts/Permits
A 13:15 US- Industrial Production
Wed 18 Apr 2018
AA 01:30 AU- Employment
AA 14:00 CA- BOC Decision
AA 14:30 GB- EIA Crude
Thu 19 Apr 2018
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 14:00 US- Leading Indicators
Fri 20 Apr 2018
A 12:30 CA- CPI/Retail Sales


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Monday Trading Checklist 16 April 2018

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 14:31 GMT April 15, 2018
Amazing Trader Testimonial
Reply   
The following is an unsolicited email from one of our subscribers and speaks for itself::


"After my extended evaluation, I have concluded that AT is worthy of my time and money, and I will continue to be a subscriber after my 3 months are up. I especially appreciate that slanted red line that tells me as much, if not more than the horizontal lines that people take to mean support and resistance. I don't know what algorithm(s) you are using to draw all that stuff, but it works for me and I'm glad to have it."

Register for a free trial

Contact us

GVI Trader john 14:20 GMT April 15, 2018
Equities Mixed Late In Europe. 10-yr Yields Mixed. FX: USD And EUR Mixed

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO Bias:

NEUTRAL-POSITIVE

Last Week: 1.2260-1.2397
Fri: 1.2306-1.2347
Thu: 1.2299-1.2380
Wed: 1.2346-1.2397

Spot EURUSD: 1.2338
Pivot Point: 1.2330

20-day avg: 1.2323
50-day avg: 1.2325
100-day avg: 1.2180
200-day avg: 1.1977

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Jun 13: 88% (88%)

10-yr Bonds
US: 2.825% +0.4bp

Mtl JP 12:28 GMT April 15, 2018
MT4 tech and tacticals

MT4 Sunday School
Stop Levels

Stop-Levels are - first and foremost - a way for dealer to protect self from volatility and liquidity related risk.

The So What
it means - is that u r not be able to set your StopLoss or TakeProfit or Pending Order closer than a specific minimum number of Pips from the current market price.

To find out what the Stop Level is for a specific instrument press CTRL+U, choose your instrument and click “Properties” and note the number of digits and Stop Level in number of Pips.

Mtl JP 12:11 GMT April 15, 2018
MT4 tech and tacticals

Tactical Tool: Stoploss and Takeprofit

There is a difference between using number of pips vs a specific numerical 4 / 5 digit price

Mtl JP 12:10 GMT April 15, 2018
MT4 tech and tacticals
Reply   
MT4 Sunday School

Tactical Stuff for MT4
MT's speed negatively affected by
- Number of MT4 running
- Number of Charts opened
- How long MT4 has been running

Posi-effects on speed:
- reduce number of Max bars in history
- disable news
- restart MT

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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