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Forex Forum Archive for 04/26/2018

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dc CB 23:36 GMT April 26, 2018
US CORPORATE EARNINGS

JP
There's no limit to the amt of money you can make banking on the laziness and stupidity of the average consumer.

Amazing

Mtl JP 22:58 GMT April 26, 2018
US CORPORATE EARNINGS

CB - hope u dont feel like a major loser
because frankly...
I feel like one when I look at Jeff
haha up $12 billion on the day... arg arg..ah-woooo

dc CB 22:31 GMT April 26, 2018
US CORPORATE EARNINGS

Suppose you had one billion dollars.You could spend $5,000 a day for more than 500 years before you would run out of money.

A Single Billion in 25 years: you would have to spend 40 million dollars each and every year.That would mean spending over 3 million dollars each month. Breaking it down even farther, it means you would have to spend over $100,000 every day for the next 25 years in order to spend one billion dollars.

"More Please. I don't have enough." Jeff Bezos

dc CB 22:10 GMT April 26, 2018
US CORPORATE EARNINGS

AMAZON.COM CFO SAYS EFFECTIVE MAY 11, GOING TO INCREASE PRICE OF U.S. ANNUAL PLAN FROM $99 TO $119 FOR NEW MEMBERS

(now that there's no other place to shop and that Evil Trump wants to take away the subsidized shipping...hahahahahahahahaha...You got to pay one way or the other....loser...hahahahahaha)

dc CB 21:17 GMT April 26, 2018
US CORPORATE EARNINGS

PAR 20:17 GMT April 26, 2018
Just amazing how much money these US companies are making .

More to the point...Just amazing how much One Person can make in 2 Hours.

Earlier we broke down Amazon's latest blockbuster earnings, but here is the only number that matters. With Amazon stock jumping 6% after hours, rising to a new all time high of $1,616, Jeff Bezos' net worth as of this moment is $134 billion, up $12 billion on the day. ZeroHedge

Mtl JP 21:04 GMT April 26, 2018
Equities Lower. 10-yr Yields Mixed. FX: USD Up & EUR Mixed

Mtl JP 16:38 GMT April 25, 2018
Equities Lower. 10-yr Yields Mixed. FX: USD Up & EUR Mixed: Reply
TIA to all who would
Indulge me :
U.S. government bonds are considered the world’s safest asset.
True
False
----------------
(safest in this context:
Rising yields can cause heartburn for investors. After all, U.S. government bonds are considered the world’s safest asset, which means that moves can send ripples through global financial markets.)

BofA: The 10Y Treasury Is No Longer A "Safe Asset", Here's Why

dc CB 21:00 GMT April 26, 2018
US CORPORATE EARNINGS

AWS(Amazon Web Services) was 73% of Amazon operating income
Effective tax rate:
Q1 2018: 15%
Q1 2017: 24%

another way of looking at that: Amazon's putting-retailers-out-of-business is a Low Margin part of our operation.

GVI Forex Blog 20:22 GMT April 26, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 27 April 2018
Reply   

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

Fri 27 Apr 2018
AA 03:00 JP- Bank of Japan
A 08:00 DE- Employment
A 08:30 GB- GDP
A 14:00 US- University of Michigan


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Friday Trading Checklist For 27 April 2018

PAR 20:17 GMT April 26, 2018
US CORPORATE EARNINGS
Reply   
Just amazing how much money these US companies are making .

Mtl JP 20:14 GMT April 26, 2018
AMZN vs DB

hopefully in your wallet too

PAR 20:10 GMT April 26, 2018
AMZN
Reply   
Price target raised to 2000 ?

PAR 20:08 GMT April 26, 2018
AMZN vs DB

New record highs everywhere . What a difference a day makes .

dc CB 20:04 GMT April 26, 2018
AMZN vs DB

AMZN Boffo stock up $110

PAR 19:33 GMT April 26, 2018
ECB
Reply   
Unconventional monetary policy becomes the ECB s trade mark .

Be careful what you wish . Weimar Republic monetary policy was unconventional .

GVI Forex Blog 19:17 GMT April 26, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 26 April 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 26 April 2018

PAR 19:09 GMT April 26, 2018
AMZN vs DB
Reply   
Good stock picking is mega important.

PAR 19:04 GMT April 26, 2018
DB

DB trades 87% below its 2007 high.

dc CB 17:47 GMT April 26, 2018
Equities Higher. 10-yr Yields Lower. FX: EUR Down And USD Up

AMZN after the close.

PAR 17:23 GMT April 26, 2018
DB
Reply   
Deutsche bank is the GE from the banking sector. Big and.no strategy .

PAR 17:20 GMT April 26, 2018
VIX
Reply   
Taking profit on short VIX from 18.20.

Out at 16.90. We'll see.


dc CB 17:04 GMT April 26, 2018
Equities Higher. 10-yr Yields Lower. FX: EUR Down And USD Up

7Y: 2.952%, WI 2.958%

dc CB 16:55 GMT April 26, 2018
Breaking News

US Senate approves Mike Pompeo as secretary of state

dc CB 16:36 GMT April 26, 2018
Equities Higher. 10-yr Yields Lower. FX: EUR Down And USD Up

last US auction of the week
7Y at the top of the hour.
seems the relief valve was opened on inflating rates.

in other news DB---rumored to be the most exposed to derivatives is scaling back its US operations.
Deutsche Bank Fires 400 US Bankers

dc CB 16:14 GMT April 26, 2018
ECB DRAGHI= PONZI

wacko theory or not?

Belgium: First Islamic State in Europe?

PAR 15:55 GMT April 26, 2018
ECB DRAGHI= PONZI
Reply   
ECB will never return to normal conventional monetary policy Constancio said before he will leave the bank .

This citef as reason for small Euro drop.

london red 15:51 GMT April 26, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 26 April 2018

barrier at 121 now done and some stops along with it. would be more comfortable to see 12092 touched, the prev high before bounce tradeable. may need to move to towards 50% fib by 12050 b4 bounce seen.

Det tm 15:40 GMT April 26, 2018
DXM18
Reply   
FWIW, 200 dma 10 points above @ 91.45
& June Euro 200 dma about 15 points below @ 1.2131

Much closer than FX, being almost a penny away

Mtl JP 15:37 GMT April 26, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 26 April 2018

1.21
will it ...
wont it ...
red 14:26 how large the lrg barriers also at 121
tia

PAR 15:07 GMT April 26, 2018
MEGA SHORT SQUEEZE

VIX futures and LME metals perfect for me at the moment .

Mtl JP 14:49 GMT April 26, 2018
MEGA SHORT SQUEEZE

earlier on GVI:
Thursday Trading Checklist
Mtl JP 11:03 GMT 04/26/2018
...
think and make some executive decisions:
- on which instrument(s) to focus - for movement expectations
- which time frames for trade signals
- go heavy or light ...
-------------------------
PAR IF u hunger for more volatile and need more risk management
suggest to go heavy / increase leverage
it does not get easier

PAR 14:43 GMT April 26, 2018
MEGA SHORT SQUEEZE

For the moment forex is the least volatile of all asset classes .


Stocks and commodities are way more volatile and need more risk management .

Mtl JP 14:35 GMT April 26, 2018
MEGA SHORT SQUEEZE

PAR that depends on your entry point and leverage
hard to believe u r asking that on FF

Fukuoka joyya 14:33 GMT April 26, 2018
long jpy!
Reply   
Sell EURJPY
Entry: Target: Stop:

finaly eurusd broken down side so expecting for nice move....

happy trade,

GVI Trader john 14:30 GMT April 26, 2018
Breaking News

EIA U.S. Natural Gas

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
(BCF) -18 vs: -10 expected

TTN: Live News Special Offer


PAR 14:30 GMT April 26, 2018
MEGA SHORT SQUEEZE
Reply   
Mega short squeeze to continue for a few days . What if you were short FB ?

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 14:26 GMT April 26, 2018
Science of Trading


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london red 14:26 GMT April 26, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 26 April 2018

1.2092 prev high. further sup by 12065 and 12035. v lrg 122 barrier came off today, clearly supported price given reaction post top of hour. lrg barriers also at 121 and bigger 120. i would expect a bounce at 12092, certainly before moves under 12035 if intends to.

Mtl JP 14:21 GMT April 26, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 26 April 2018



1.2120
some potential price lines

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 14:03 GMT April 26, 2018
Amazing Trader Update
Reply   


See this chart for an typical Amazing Trader pattern that we see all the time and one you can get access to by clicking below:

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PAR 13:59 GMT April 26, 2018
RISK ON
Reply   
US tech rules the world . FB mega profits . Amazon and MSFT will even be better . Expecting mega results .

Mtl JP 13:59 GMT April 26, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 26 April 2018

do not despair - new AA risk opps tom:
27/04/18 8:30 AA GB GDP QQ 0.30% 0.40%
27/04/18 8:30 AA GB GDP YY 1.40% 1.40%
27/04/18 12:30 AA US GDP 2.00% 2.90%

PAR 13:36 GMT April 26, 2018
ALUMINUM

Looks like Russians have enough from US and European sanctions .

Russia survived Napoleon and Hitler , so Trump is only a minor problem .

PAR 13:33 GMT April 26, 2018
Draghi

Draghi has become a lame duck . Everybody realizes he has been a complete disaster for European citizens and has nothing new to offer .

Time for regime change at ECB .

PAR 13:31 GMT April 26, 2018
ALUMINUM
Reply   
Oleg Deripaska is said to plan on keeping control of Rusal #aluminium

Mtl JP 13:18 GMT April 26, 2018
Draghi

parameterized price-action tells you all u need to trade
marios blather un-important unless one likes to play armchair would-be policymaker
traders trade

GVI Trader john 13:11 GMT April 26, 2018
Draghi

Draghi surprising me. I had expected him to be more dovish. I wonder if he is being more hawkish than expected because he feels the need to "cheer lead" the economy? He has been steering clear of questions about the end date of QE, which might be telling us more.

GVI Forex Blog 13:02 GMT April 26, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Falls
Reply   
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims fall further.

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims Chart
<Click on chart for over seventeen-year history

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Falls

Mtl JP 12:59 GMT April 26, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 26 April 2018



bearish
risk well defined

london red 12:55 GMT April 26, 2018
Draghi

not as bearish as expected so 12215 and 12245 at risk. but if stays below the latter, euro stil under pressure. abv 12250 neutral.

PAR 12:50 GMT April 26, 2018
Draghi
Reply   
Diplomatically saying European economy unexpectedly collapsing everywhere .

Mtl JP 12:43 GMT April 26, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 26 April 2018

mario be needing to peddle things getting better
without blatantly pointing to US growing deficits

Bottom Line
propaganda battle of perceptions between euro vs dlr bears

GVI Trader john 12:31 GMT April 26, 2018
Breaking News

US Weekly Jobless Claims



ALERT

209K vs. 230K exp vs. 230K (r. 233K) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer




++++++++++++++++++


Durable Goods Orders March 2018




NEWS ALERT
Headline:+2.60% vs. +1.10% exp. vs. +3.00% (+3.50%) prev.
Ex-Trans:0.80% vs. +0.40% exp. vs. +1.00% )).90% prev.






TTN: Live News Special Offer





+++++++++++++++



BREAKING NEWS: U.S. (USD bn) Advance Goods Balance February 2018



ALERT
-68.0 vs. -74.7 exp. vs. -75.9 prev.
U.S. Balance on Goods and Services


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 12:29 GMT April 26, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 26 April 2018

IF u ache for

marios blab

PAR 12:29 GMT April 26, 2018
Reinvesting ECB
Reply   
Reinvesting the € 4.5 trillion balance sheet comes to about €450 billion bond buying / year ?

Mtl JP 12:25 GMT April 26, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 26 April 2018

1.2155 = 3ple low (current support) on weekly
probably every predator highly conscious and alert
can u feel the fever... tongues hanging out...
like mongoose vs cobra

PAR 12:21 GMT April 26, 2018
European Banks
Reply   
Consequence of Draghi s policies have been the dwarfing of European banks versus the American banks .

American banking rules the world

Mtl JP 12:09 GMT April 26, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 26 April 2018



Trade off the Cretins !
re ECB: "we have expressed our intention to continue with our chosen pace of monthly purchases until we see �a sustained adjustment in the path of inflation consistent with our inflation aim�

Our assessment will be based on three criteria for the inflation outlook: convergence, confidence and resilience." praet 29 January 2018
-
I guess ... no convergence, confidence and resilience LoL
praise the meddlers
==
Chart promising bit more than 1-5min bar

PAR 11:58 GMT April 26, 2018
Breaking News

Mario to be super dovish . Never to stop QE . He build the €4.5 trillion ECB balance sheet so that he can keep doing QE by reinvesting maturing bonds and interest payments .

He build a permanent QE machine difficult to dismantle .

Better and bigger than PONZI . Draghi

Mtl JP 11:56 GMT April 26, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 26 April 2018

07:54
Nasdaq-100 futures up 0.7% MarketWatch
Dow futures up 0.2%; S&P 500 futures rise 0.3%
- MarketWatch

GVI Trader john 11:47 GMT April 26, 2018
Breaking News

as expected nada new

GVI Trader john 11:45 GMT April 26, 2018
Breaking News

European Central Bank (ECB) April 26, 2018





NEWS ALERT

Refi Rate Steady at 0.00%
Marginal Lending Rate steady at 0.25%
Deposit Rate steady At -0.40%

Asset Purchases (QE) per mo unchanged at 30bn

Press Release: ECB Decision



TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 11:30 GMT April 26, 2018
Science of Trading

Jay what about -a day like today-
higher odds of getting killed OR
getting filthy rich ?

Mtl JP 11:18 GMT April 26, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 26 April 2018



nh - robot lurking for yellow line trigger
well defined risk - awesome potential

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 11:11 GMT April 26, 2018
Science of Trading

Perfect for a day like today:

We approach trading as a science rather than gambling or speculation, and have put our logic to work in a formal presentation called Science of Trading This includes a live Q&A where you can ask questions or submit them beforehand.

Click on the link below to request details.

Contact us for details

Livingston nh 11:10 GMT April 26, 2018
Equities Lower. 10-yr Yields Mixed. FX: USD Up & EUR Mixed

jp - an interesting trade the 5/10, especially its timing -- the spread has tightened modestly this quarter (~3) but is less than half of last April // so is this near bottom (19) or a pause in trend to take it down to 10? Dehoarding at the FED pushing yields and inflation higher

the bobl/bund trade will be a casebook study in negative rate policy - too bad there is no single EU/EUR FI instrument

PAR 09:46 GMT April 26, 2018
ECB - NPL s

ECB and befriended hedge funds buying bonds ahead of Draghi 's press conference .

PAR 09:39 GMT April 26, 2018
ECB - NPL s
Reply   
Biggest decision by ECB today will be to postpone or even cancel actions on the solving of its € trillion NPL problem .

Draghi is a major expert on creating NPL ' s and he no longer wants to talk about it . If there is a problem , let the taxpayer pay .

GVI Trader john 09:19 GMT April 26, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 26 April 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO Bias:

NEGATIVE

This Week: 1.2155-1.2245
Thu: 1.2155-1.2189
Wed: 1.2173-1.2239
Tue: 1.2181-1.2225
Mon: 1.2197-1.2290

Spot EURUSD: 1.2174
Pivot Point: 1.2194

20-day avg: 1.2303
50-day avg: 1.2317
100-day avg: 1.2214
200-day avg: 1.2009

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Jun 13: 94% (94%)

10-yr Bonds
US: 3.015% -0.5bp
DE: 0.618% -1.2bp
GB: 1.515% -2.4bp

DAX: +2
Implied Open
DJ: +7
SP: +5.0



Sydney ACC 09:11 GMT April 26, 2018
AUD
Reply   
Two items published in today's Sydney Morning Herald.
1, House prices in Sydney fall 2.6% in the March quarter. Predictions of a further 5% this year and another 5% next year.

https://www.domain.com.au/news/house-prices-in-sydney-drop-26-per-cent-over-march-quarter-domain-group-data-20180426-h0z5p4/?utm_campaign=strap-masthead&utm_source=smh&utm_medium=link&ref=pos1

2. Bank stocks dived as UBS referred to a Price Waterhouse report released at the royal commission that suggests serious deficiencies in the banks mortgage portfolio. For example where some borrowers stated loan to income ratios of four per cent they are in fact greater than 7.5 times. Westpac's sharte price fell 4.5% while other banks' share prices fell in tandem.

https://www.smh.com.au/business/banking-and-finance/westpac-dives-as-ubs-raises-loan-concerns-advises-to-sell-the-stock-20180426-p4zbsx.html

PAR 08:51 GMT April 26, 2018
Currencies
Reply   
Too boring to watch or to for now . Luckily there are other futures to trade .

GVI Forex Blog 08:51 GMT April 26, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 26 April 2018
Reply   

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader


GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium


Thu 26 Apr 2018
AA 11:45 EZ- ECB Decision
A 12:30 US- Durable Goods
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 27 Apr 2018
AA 03:00 JP- Bank of Japan
A 08:00 DE- Employment
A 08:30 GB- GDP
A 14:00 US- University of Michigan


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Thursday Trading Checklist For 26 April 2018

PAR 06:48 GMT April 26, 2018
How surrealistic low has ECB put Euro interest rates ?
Reply   
"Good morning on ECB day from Germany where the main interest rate should actually be 3.55% acc to Taylor rule, way above ECB rate of ZERO, given record low unemployment rate and the risk of an overheating economy."

PAR 06:45 GMT April 26, 2018
Macron
Reply   
Oil prices rise as Macron said he believes Trump will pull out of Iran nuclear accord.

STG AndersenBands 01:17 GMT April 26, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis



Highlights going into Thursday, , 26 April-

The short-term momentum heatmap has continued to define the price action (see prior posts).

Short-term momentum remains intact for the leader (USD) and the laggard (NZD). However, both of these have moved significantly and are at extreme levels. The risk has elevated for new positions and would suggest tightening profit stops.

Range expansion is anticipated soon for $AUDCHF $AUDJPY $EURGBP $GBPJPY and $NZDJPY. Some of these could be explosive.

Price range relative to typical levels is fairly low across the board. This can be seen with an excerpt from the daily dashboard in the image with this post. The values show price range in percentage of what is typical.

Make it a great day!

dc CB 01:16 GMT April 26, 2018
Equities Lower. 10-yr Yields Mixed. FX: USD Up & EUR Mixed

fwiw
the 5 ended the CASH session at 2.835
I don't have a link to today's LIBOR to give but Yest the
USD LIBOR - 3 months 2.36167 %

http://www.global-rates.com/interest-rates/libor/american-dollar/american-dollar.aspx

go figure. bu this can't go on with this trajectory

Mtl JP 00:45 GMT April 26, 2018
Equities Lower. 10-yr Yields Mixed. FX: USD Up & EUR Mixed

Livingston nh courtesy zh : beyond just theory and prognostication here is someone with beef in the burger

Mystery Bond Trader Makes Massive Bet On Transatlantic Yield Curve Reversal

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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