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Forex Forum Archive for 04/27/2018

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Livingston nh 20:34 GMT April 27, 2018
Breaking News

When sheep and wolves come together it doesn't usually turn out well for the sheep

GVI Trader john 20:23 GMT April 27, 2018
Stoic Mario Draghi Does Little Positive For The Euro

John M. Bland, MBA, co-founder, Global-View.com


Draghi Puts A Strong Face On a Slowing EZ Economy Markets were setting up for a dovish ECB President Draghi on Thursday after the majority of analysts were saying that he would be forced to take account of what appears to be a global slowing of economic activity. Furthermore, Draghi has a reputation of being a policy dove. However, he surprised many of us as the markets had been expecting him to be more dovish in his commentary. While he acknowledged that both “hard” and “soft” data, e.g. government statistics and PMI reports, were flashing signs of an economic slowdown, the EZ economic recovery remains on a solid footing and that any soft patch likely would be only temporary.

Mtl JP 20:12 GMT April 27, 2018
VIX

INDEXCBOE: VIX
15.46 −0.78
--------------
DJIA 24,311.19 -11.15 -0.05%
S&P 500 2,669.91 +2.97 +0.11%

Mtl JP 20:06 GMT April 27, 2018
Breaking News

makes me wonder about de-americanization of the peninsula
what with / where to the 10s of thousands of us freedom deliverers next

GVI 20:06 GMT April 27, 2018
Breaking News

Fitch affirms United Kingdom sovereign rating at AA; outlook Negative - Source TradeTheNews.com

PAR 20:04 GMT April 27, 2018
VIX
Reply   
Mega low close !

Mtl JP 20:02 GMT April 27, 2018
Breaking News

leaders of North and South Korea have pledged to jointly eliminate the risk of war and work together to achieve complete denuclearization of the Korean Peninsula. - cnbc
--
trump says U.S. won’t be ‘played’ in talks with North Korea

GVI Trader john 19:47 GMT April 27, 2018
Commitment Of Traders Report for 24 April 2018 Data
Reply   

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: EUR, JPY, CHF, GBP


Net EUR JPY COT Positions



Click on chart for EUR COT Details






Click on chart forJPY COT Details



X+++++
Net GBP and CHF COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details




Net AUD and CAD COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details




G+++++

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: CAD, AUD, Gold, Oil


Net Crude, Gold, S&P and 10-yr Positions







Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details




Mtl JP 19:39 GMT April 27, 2018
Breaking News

03:33 Toronto, Montreal stock exchanges shut down early due to tech glitch - MarketWatch

Mtl JP 19:37 GMT April 27, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 27 April 2018



well well well looksee here what do we have
red dotted line --- coming to / in line with my nega-iew of the dlr
-
views dis/agreements opinions insults kudos ... all welcome
tia

Mtl JP 19:03 GMT April 27, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 27 April 2018

Livingston nh - according to Ashworth, chief U.S. economist at Capital Economics: Everyone thinks

that

Mtl JP 18:44 GMT April 27, 2018
rig count

jj the Rig Counts are an important business barometer for the drilling industry and its suppliers. The active rig count acts as a leading indicator of demand for products used in drilling, Oil output seems secondary

fwiw u may want to note that china is shutting down at least 10 - ten - oil refineries for may/june

Mtl JP 18:25 GMT April 27, 2018
Deutsche Bank = Lehman

PAR r u trying to set off a panic ?
suggest to mask your IP - watch out and around for black vans and men in dark glasses jumping out - become and remain highly mobile

PAR 18:02 GMT April 27, 2018
Deutsche Bank = Lehman

Greece to help Deutsche Bank . I don't think so .

PAR 18:00 GMT April 27, 2018
Deutsche Bank = Lehman
Reply   
A new Lehman in the making . I want my money back ... Immediately !

lkwd jj 17:11 GMT April 27, 2018
rig count
Reply   
how much of a supply increase comes with each added rig ?

GVI Trader john 17:07 GMT April 27, 2018
Breaking News

Baker Hughes Rig Count


NEWS ALERT
U.S.
Total: 1021 vs. 1013 (+8) prev.
Oil: 825 vs. 820 (+5) prev.

Canada: n/a vs. 93 (n/a)


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Bali Sja 17:00 GMT April 27, 2018
eur

Sell euro with good r/r. I dont think it will cross 12130.

gc dd 16:03 GMT April 27, 2018
eur
Reply   
just the wrong day for these - better wait for 1.2150-55 on Monday .. seems was too much profit in the short positions to not TP today and wait for a little bigger bounce to sell.

* AT subscribers, as I noted earlier, keep an eye on 1.2097 as your next key res.

* AT directional indicator pointed down (at 1.2113)

1.2095 break would be needed to confirm or use as a target.

1.2113 negates

Mtl JP 15:38 GMT April 27, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 27 April 2018

nh as is now common knowledge on FF the only use I have for cretins is to try to fatten my wallet (by co-opting) off them. I am no mario whisperer but it seemed to me that he was attempting to avoid to create volatility.
It is my gut that their big worry is setting off a massive market puke fest with their end of meddling with assets. (as they will)

It is MHO that players have over-reacted to Mario with their euro dump - as my earlier examination of my standard indicators conflicting across various time frames suggested (suggested non-one-mindedness) that I had posted.

PAR 15:34 GMT April 27, 2018
GREEK DEBT RELIEF

ECB puts pressure on Berlin to agree debt relief for Greece

https://t.co/2XvqyyEBZq

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 15:30 GMT April 27, 2018
Amazing Trader Update

AT directional indicator pointed down (at 1.2113)

1.2095 break would be needed to confirm or use as a target.

1.2113 negates

The Amazing Trader

PAR 15:26 GMT April 27, 2018
GREEK DEBT RELIEF
Reply   
Redistribution of wealth from savers to governments seems now official #ECB policy. Outgoing ECB Vice President says that there is no return to simple old school monetary policy. Real rates fall deeper into negative territory.


https://t.co/fiA7Le6FzI via @welt

Livingston nh 14:57 GMT April 27, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 27 April 2018

jp - good heads-up on the shorter timeframes

GVI Forex Blog 14:07 GMT April 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. University of Michigan Survey Final April Data Revised Higher
Reply   
University of Michigan Sentiment Survey. Final April, 2018 data revised higher. Data basically flat for a year.

University of Michigan Survey Chart

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. University of Michigan Survey Final April Data Revised Higher

Mtl JP 14:03 GMT April 27, 2018
US CORPORATE EARNINGS

haha... Suppose you had one billion dollars.You could spend ...
suppose lol

Amazon's stock jumps 7% to a record at the open - MarketWatch

GVI Trader john 14:00 GMT April 27, 2018
Breaking News

University of Michigan Sentiment Index Final April 2018



ALERT
98.8 vs. 96.0 exp. vs. 97.8 preliminary

RELEASE: Index of Consumer Sentiment


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 13:45 GMT April 27, 2018
Breaking News

Mark Carney speech: Launch of the Bank of England EconoME programme, Bank (to be published at 15:00

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 13:37 GMT April 27, 2018
Amazing Trader Update

AT subscribers, as I noted earlier, keep an eye on 1.2097 as your next key res.

The Amazing Trader

GVI Forex Blog 13:35 GMT April 27, 2018
Stoic Mario Draghi Does Little Positive For The Euro
Reply   

John M. Bland, MBA, co-founder, Global-View.com


Draghi Puts A Strong Face On a Slowing EZ Economy Markets were setting up for a dovish ECB President Draghi on Thursday after the majority of analysts were saying that he would be forced to take account of what appears to be a global slowing of economic activity. Furthermore, Draghi has a reputation of being a policy dove. However, he surprised many of us as the markets had been expecting him to be more dovish in his commentary. While he acknowledged that both “hard” and “soft” data, e.g. government statistics and PMI reports, were flashing signs of an economic slowdown, the EZ economic recovery remains on a solid footing and that any soft patch likely would be only temporary.

Stoic Mario Draghi Does Little Positive For The Euro

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 13:25 GMT April 27, 2018
Amazing Trader Update
Reply   
AT subscribers, look at the pause on your EURGBP charts.

Mtl JP 13:14 GMT April 27, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 27 April 2018

EUR 1.2085
Res 1 1.2178
Pivot 1.2138
Sup 1 1.2064

GVI Forex Blog 12:44 GMT April 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. GDP for 1Q18 Beats Estimates
Reply   
1Q18 GDP higher than expected.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. GDP for 1Q18 Beats Estimates

Mtl JP 12:35 GMT April 27, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 27 April 2018

eur trapped 1.2050 - 1.21

Mtl JP 12:32 GMT April 27, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 27 April 2018

GDP +2.3% vs +2.0% exd

GVI Trader john 12:31 GMT April 27, 2018
Breaking News

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. GDP 1Q18




ALERT
+2.30% vs. +2.00% exp. vs. +2.90% prev.

RELEASE: U.S. GDP


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 12:21 GMT April 27, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 27 April 2018

eur above 1.21 /1.2120 would be clarifying

GVI Trader 12:18 GMT April 27, 2018
Breaking News

08:10 (US) Preview: Advance Q1 GDP Annualized and Personal Consumption due at 08:30ET (12:30 GMT)
**Consensus expectations:
- Advance GDP Annualized QoQ: 2.0%e v 2.9% prior
- Personal Consumption: 1.1%e v 4.0% prior
- GDP Price Index: 2.2%e v 2.3% prior
- Core PCE QoQ: 2.5%e v 1.9% prior Related ()

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Mtl JP 12:18 GMT April 27, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 27 April 2018

nh and shorter 5-60-4hr bar frames signals conflicting
time to be bit more prudent imo

Livingston nh 12:12 GMT April 27, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 27 April 2018

At these levels on wkly charts both Cable and EUR are below 21ma - GBP has support on wkly ema 144, EUR has a lot of white space down to rising wkly ema 55 (~1.1840) and since last Friday AM EUR/USD has broken thru 21 to 144 DMAs


GVI Trader Jay Meisler 11:12 GMT April 27, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 27 April 2018

GBPUSD 1.3760

As I posted earlier on GVI Forex

Friday Trading Checklist
GVI Trader Jay Meisler 09:56 GMT 04/27/2018 - My Profile
AT shows GBPUSD 1.3781 and 1.3710 (key level) as next supports. 1.38 will set its tone today.

Watch EURGBP .8791 (cited earlier as key AT res)

Livingston nh 11:08 GMT April 27, 2018
Equities Lower. 10-yr Yields Mixed. FX: USD Up & EUR Mixed

jp - this fellow from BoA makes the implicit assumption that the Fed hikes rates on a bootstrap rather than because of inflation -- inflation makes cash "unsafer" than FI

AND safety is ALWAYS a relative concept - do I jump out a 3 story window or wait in a burning building for rescue??

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 10:51 GMT April 27, 2018
Science of Trading
Reply   
Are you looking to elevate your trading? Are you looking to take the guesswork and gambling out of your trading? Click below and then scroll down for details on the Science of Trading.

Science of Trading

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 09:45 GMT April 27, 2018
Breaking News



There must be large EURGBP shorts that were used as a way to short the EUR and now getting squeezed. Offsets are keeping EURUSD above its 1.2064 low while GBPUSD is pressured lower.

See one hour chart and the sharp bounce off .8680 (double bottom in red)

Res (in blue) .8751 (broken), .8760/66/75/91

Most significant is .8775 and .8791

See it iive on the

The Amazing Trader

Mtl JP 09:34 GMT April 27, 2018
DB

PAR they do not necessarily tell (you... me) what they see.
What Jay Calls In the Circle - u r either in or not.
Most likely not.

GVI Trader john 09:33 GMT April 27, 2018
Breaking News

Strong reaction to the 1Q18 GB GBP miss. I don't see the miss as major. It could be erased in subsequent data revisions. However, it came on the heels of the Carney signal that a BOE May rate hike may not be inevitable any more. GBPUSD slow to recover.

PAR 09:15 GMT April 27, 2018
DB
Reply   
Down another 4.5 %. ECB didn't see that one coming.
As usual .

london red 08:41 GMT April 27, 2018
Breaking News

eurgbp prev high by 8750. shud find natural sellers and those wanting to leave long euro trade. any high and we can extend towards just under 88 cents. abv 88 cents this downside move on eurgbp neutralised but you would then expect eurusd pair to have bottomed (lot of sup by 1.20-12050 which is unlikely to break on closing basis on inital test)

GVI Forex Blog 08:39 GMT April 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. GDP Misses for 1Q18
Reply   
U.K. 1Q18 GDP misses.
U.K. GDP chart

BREAKING NEWS: U.K. GDP Misses for 1Q18

GVI Trader john 08:32 GMT April 27, 2018
Breaking News

UK GDP-- 1Q18




-- NEWS ALERT --

QQ +0.10% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.40% prev.
YY +1.20% vs. +1.40% exp. vs. +1.40% prev.


RELEASE: U.K. GDP


TTN: Live News Special Offer

london red 08:29 GMT April 27, 2018
Equities Higher. 10-yr Yields Down. FX: USD Up And EUR Mixed

re uk gdp mkt prob looking for 0.2 rather than the 0.3 f/c. so downside may be bought, certainly you may find eurgbp sellers after initial spike if data 0.2.

GVI Forex Blog 08:01 GMT April 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: German Unemployment Data Weaker Than Forecast For April 2018
Reply   
German April 2018 Jobless data weaker than expected. (lower is better). Unemployment rate steady.

BREAKING NEWS: German Unemployment Data Weaker Than Forecast For April 2018

GVI Trader john 07:56 GMT April 27, 2018
Breaking News

German Unemployment April 2018




NEWS ALERT
Rate: 5.30% vs. 5.30% exp. vs. 5.30% prev.
Change: v-7K vs. -15K exp. vs. -19K (r ) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Blog 07:46 GMT April 27, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 27 April 2018
Reply   

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

Fri 27 Apr 2018
AA 03:00 JP- Bank of Japan
A 08:00 DE- Employment
A 08:30 GB- GDP
A 14:00 US- University of Michigan


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Friday Trading Checklist For 27 April 2018

kl fs 07:37 GMT April 27, 2018
sell euro rallies

euro crash mode

kl fs 06:57 GMT April 27, 2018
sell euro rallies
Reply   
looks like euro will stay under pressure, unless above 1.2240 by close today, i doubt it

PAR 06:15 GMT April 27, 2018
What Draghi forgot to tell at his press conference
Reply   
What Draghi forgot to tell and no journalist dared to ask !


In case you missed it. Draghi faced Nowotny plea to discuss #ECB policy. Austrian governor said to have wanted debate on future path. Nowotny received rare public riposte this month from ECB.

https://t.co/e3t2mhhtFd

STG AndersenBands 03:12 GMT April 27, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis



Highlights going into Friday, 27 April-

Similar to the past several days, the short-term momentum heatmap has continued to define the price action.

As such, the short-term momentum remains intact for the leader (USD) and the laggard (NZD). However, both of these have moved significantly and are at extreme levels. The risk has elevated for new positions and would suggest tightening profit stops.

Long-term momentum also remains intact with little change over the past several days.

The top three short-term momentum primary pairs/crosses are:

1. $USDCHF 2. $USDJPY 3. $CADCHF

The bottom three are:

26. $EURUSD 27. $AUDUSD 28. $NZDUSD

Price range volatility cycling from high to low can be clearly seen with the image attached to this post. The image shows a normalized measurement of price range volatility expressed as a percentage of the typical range for the 8 major currencies. Values less than or greater than one standard deviation are highlighted in orange and blue respectively.

Make it a great day!

dc CB 01:52 GMT April 27, 2018
Breaking News

tweet

sign-in

dc CB 01:41 GMT April 27, 2018
Breaking News

Started June 25, 1950 and ended in Panmunjom on July 27 1953
with a Cease Fire.

Korean War

Odds

dc CB 00:33 GMT April 27, 2018
Breaking News

Impeach Trump....LOL

History

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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