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Forex Forum Archive for 04/29/2018

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nw kw 23:00 GMT April 29, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 30 April 2018

BNN, markets on big banana
bonds can it, 10y hold 3%
Nikkei on 28y top r
crb. ind. at big resistance
cad. ind. at 10y top resitance
oil to 100.0 ngas soft
its all on s/p bigger support has to hold for all this to bracke out in weekly charts

cheers to s/p baNNa /// bets

cot bond chart wut side is the bets on, sos

dc CB 19:58 GMT April 29, 2018
AMAZON

and in addition,Bezos is shopping around to a location for his New 2nd Headquarters and state and county and local governments are falling over themselves offering Billions in Tax Breaks

Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan details Amazon pitch with $3 ...
Maryland Gov. Larry Hogan details Amazon pitch with $3 billion in tax credits, $2 billion in transportation projects

(as if Bezos really need $5bln more)

Balt Sun

dc CB 19:49 GMT April 29, 2018
AMAZON

AWS is essentially partially subsidized by the US Taxpayer....But then so are all the companies that serve the war machine. Lockheed, Raytheon, etc.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
The AWS Secret Region will allow the 17 intelligence agencies to host, analyze and run applications on government data classified at the secret level through the company’s $600 million C2S contract, brokered several years ago with the CIA. AWS already provides a region for the intelligence community’s top secret data.

Amazon Web Services

Mtl JP 19:22 GMT April 29, 2018
AMAZON

Livingston nh 17:26 re Cloud is only Simple Server efficiency - wait'll that gets HACKED.

To me - after multi-decades in IT - it is scandalous in 2018 that

TMX says the outage was caused by a "hardware failure in a central storage appliance."

Mtl JP 18:50 GMT April 29, 2018
Stoic Mario Draghi Does Little Positive For The Euro

re Stoic Mario Draghi Does Little Positive For The Euro -- oh what agony !

Draghi says ECB didn’t discuss monetary policy ‘per se’

GVI Trader john 17:41 GMT April 29, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 30 April 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO Bias:

NEGATIVE

Last Week: 1.2055-1.2245
Fri: 1.2055-1.2127
Thu: 1.2095-1.2211
Wed: 1.2173-1.2239
Tue: 1.2181-1.2225

Spot EURUSD: 1.2123
Pivot Point: 1.2102

20-day avg: 1.2283
50-day avg: 1.2306
100-day avg: 1.2221
200-day avg: 1.2013

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Jun 13: 94% (94%)

Livingston nh 17:26 GMT April 29, 2018
AMAZON

PAR - adapt or perish -- many European innovations in the 18th and 19th century were not embraced because of the craftsmen and luddites - so America picked up the slack, eventually we got bored with the UK (my ancestors got shipped here from Ireland - see BREXIT for Irish problem 'cause nothing changes)

SO NOW - retail can adapt or perish -- my money is on Wal-Mart w/ AMAZON moving to specialization (Cloud is only Simple Server efficiency - wait'll that gets HACKED) - in business, like LOVE and WAR, there is NO "fair"

Mtl JP 13:50 GMT April 29, 2018
Breaking News

HEEL !!! ... else:

3 hrs ago
Trump: 'EU was formed to take advantage of the US'
http://www.heraldscotland.com/news/16191996.Trump____39_EU_was_formed_to_take_advantage_of_the_US__39_/

‘It’s not fair’: Trump vows to take on the EU over trade
https://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/it-s-not-fair-trump-vows-to-take-on-the-eu-over-trade-kczszvqqz

'We're NOT doing business with these guys' Donald Trump THREATENS EU
DONALD Trump blasted the EU and other nations at a rally in Michigan by threatening to "take on" the bloc and claims it takes “advantage” of the US.
https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2018/04/29/donald-trump-says-will-meet-kim-jong-un-next-three-four-weeks/

“Not anymore, we told them that yesterday, actually the exact same words, not anymore, those days are over,” Trump said to a round of cheers in michigan

"We are asking of everyone: quotas if not tariffs," US Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross said Friday

On the other side of the coin:
“A trade war is a losing game for everybody,” Belgian Finance Minister Johan Van Overtveldt

“The EU has to be ready to take all the appropriate decisions if the American administration decides to raise tariffs on the EU." - French Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire said

GVI Forex Blog 13:09 GMT April 29, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 30 April 2018
Reply   

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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 30 Apr 2018
A 06:00- DE- Retail Sales
AA 12:30 US- PCE Deflator/Personal Income
Tue 1 May 2018
May Day Holidays
AFinal Mfg PMIs
AA 04:30 AU- Reserve Bank of Australia
Wed 2 May 2018
AFinal Mfg PMIs
AA 09:00 EZ- GDP
A 12:15 US- ADP Payrolls
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
AA 18:00 US- Fed Policy Decision
Thu 3 May 2018
AFinal Service PMIs
AA 09:00 EZ- flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 12:30 US/CA- Trade
Fri 4 May 2018
AFinal Service PMIs
A 08:00 DE- Employment
AA 08:30 US- Employment


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Monday Trading Checklist 30 April 2018

PAR 12:52 GMT April 29, 2018
AMAZON

AWS and PRiME make money . E commerce and retail lose money.

AWS is a super cash cow without serious competition subsidizing the rest of AMZN .

PAR 12:49 GMT April 29, 2018
AMAZON
Reply   
Opinion: Is Amazon a fundamentally unfair company? It certainly looks that way

https://www.marketwatch.com/story/is-amazon-a-fundamentally-unfair-company-it-certainly-looks-that-way-2018-04-27


The engine for Amazon earnings growth has nothing to do with e-commerce

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 12:15 GMT April 29, 2018
Science of Trading
Reply   
Are you looking to elevate your trading? Are you looking to take the guesswork and gambling out of your trading? Click below and then scroll down for details on the Science of Trading.

Science of Trading

Mtl JP 11:42 GMT April 29, 2018
WEDNESDAY: AA USFRB Fed Rates 1.75% 1.75%
Reply   
In 3 days an opp to trade off the cretins:
02/05/18 18:00 AA USFRB Fed Rates 1.75% 1.75%

one could try a bunch of estimates odds.
for ex.:
- three-month LIBOR/fed funds
- Daily Treasury Yield Curve Rates
(https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=yield)
- CME FedWatch Tool says
1.50 - 1.75 93.8%
1.75 - 2.00 6.2%
(https://ca.investing.com/central-banks/fed-rate-monitor)

or consider this zh piece

There Is Now A Non-Trivial Chance Of Rate Hike Next Week

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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