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Forex Forum Archive for 05/1/2018

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dc CB 21:43 GMT May 1, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis

Timber--small market
does not show confidence in a robust New Homes market going forward.

Backwardization

nw kw 21:42 GMT May 1, 2018
Crude

xaumxn cheap for swing trade to get new gov.

fre trade agre to dis or sisagry?

nw kw 21:39 GMT May 1, 2018
Crude

mxn mover in 30day gold spreads, can soft mxn influence oil , isent mxn oil and drug xports.

nw kw 21:33 GMT May 1, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis

cad. bank is a fool // 2 weeks ago it was no hike //
markets trading on same page,
so aud bank yak to hike. short eur/aud???

dc CB 21:28 GMT May 1, 2018
Crude

PS
USD was 8950ish mid April...today 9250ish
BUT Crude still in that 6500-6950 range however Via USD it has already crossed the 70 line and More.

dc CB 21:21 GMT May 1, 2018
Crude

suspect that these nums were out early during closed Europe and the momo jsut kept going...call it Anti Front Running BiBi's End of the World trade.
NB, no sell off on the Numbers

Wait to seen EIA/DOE ....but I think 6950ish seems to be top of the range and a short can be put on with small stop. Below 6600 Line in Sand---

Speaking of Sand. there is another game here "wanting 80-100" the New Saudi Dude sez.... make him happy ---drop some bombs?

If it crosses 70 the who knows...If I think this so will many Stops think this.
It's Got Politics included. imho TinHat ForCasting...LOL


Mtl JP 21:12 GMT May 1, 2018
Crude

so more crude...
what do u think will happen to $67.45 from here
tia

dc CB 20:35 GMT May 1, 2018
Crude
Reply   
Crude +3.427MM
Gasoline +1.602MM
Distillate -4.083MM
Cushing +0.725MM

dc CB 20:33 GMT May 1, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

APPLE REPORTS NEW $100B BUYBACK PROGRAM,
BOOSTS DIVIDEND BY 16%

everthing else takes a back seat to this

GVI 19:30 GMT May 1, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Bank of Canada's Poloz: current policy rate is well below neutral rate; moving too slowly on rate hikes would mean further accumulation of household debt and rising vulnerabilities
- Higher rates will cool demand more effectively than before
- More confident that less stimulus will be needed over time
- NAFTA talks and tougher mortgage rules won't last forever; as they fade the need for stimulus will shrink
- Outlook for inflation is good in spite of household debt; good reason to think we can continue to manage risks of debt successfully
- Policy stimulus leads to a buildup of debt over time, whether public or private; excessive debt levels create a vulnerability

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Blog 19:23 GMT May 1, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 2 May 2018
Reply   

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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Wed 2 May 2018
AFinal Mfg PMIs
AA 09:00 EZ- GDP
A 12:15 US- ADP Payrolls
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
AA 18:00 US- Fed Policy Decision
Thu 3 May 2018
AFinal Service PMIs
AA 09:00 EZ- flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 12:30 US/CA- Trade
Fri 4 May 2018
AFinal Service PMIs
A 08:00 DE- Employment
AA 08:30 US- Employment


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Wednesday Trading Checklist 2 May 2018

GVI Forex Blog 19:11 GMT May 1, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 1 May 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

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Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 1 May 2018

Mtl JP 19:07 GMT May 1, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis

although disingenuous understandably poloz can not go out outright and explicitly talk about how nasty riski the debt is making him shake in his shoes so bravely hoping no one notices his lack of conviction he claims that "our financial system is resilient, and the new mortgage rules mean that it is becoming progressively more so".

March
"BIS qtrly review" gave canada banking sector a "high" risk flag of banking crisis (pages 40 & 41)

February
More evidence of fraud in Canadian mortgages, warns ratings agency S&P - Canadian Press

S&P ups economic risk rating for banking sector amid mortgage fraud worries - Canadian Press
----
personally I am currently still looking at 1.2830 for bias

Mtl JP 18:28 GMT May 1, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis



the red line is 200day
the instrument is USDX

Mtl JP 18:14 GMT May 1, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis

at bottom of hour:
BoC poloz yaks (about one of three things by his own word keeping poor stephen awake at night)

on Household Debt: How Big Is the Problem?

Mtl JP 16:50 GMT May 1, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis

White House says assertion that Iran has a robust nuclear-weapons program resulted from clerical error

The �has,� the White House later said, was errant. It meant �had.� The statement was revised, with the verb tense changed, within a couple of hours.

Mtl JP 16:44 GMT May 1, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis



ID trick is to figure out which is leading which and then trade off the reverse corr

EU ID 16:30 GMT May 1, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis

Odds eurusd close above the 200 day mov av?

Mtl JP 16:20 GMT May 1, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis

What exactly does the FED do w/the fines it collects - do they support a charity like say The Shriners ?

Seems like a nice racket: risk-free loads of assured revenue.

dc CB 16:14 GMT May 1, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis

zerohedge
‏ @zerohedge
Because of Stolper's trade recommendations?

GOLDMAN SACHS AGREES TO PAY $110 MILLION OVER FOREX CONDUCT

From the archive

Mtl JP 16:09 GMT May 1, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis

Fed fines Goldman Sachs $54.75 million for unsafe forex trading practices - MarketWatch

Like trading without a stop ?

lkwd jj 15:59 GMT May 1, 2018
s&p
Reply   
2612 on radar...

Mtl JP 15:54 GMT May 1, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis

Evidence of higher inflation is popping up everywhere. Here�s the latest warning signs - Businesses are paying more for labor, steel, oil and other supplies (MarketWatch)

except at DALLAS Fed:

U.S. Economy Trimmed Mean PCE Inflation Rate

dc CB 15:52 GMT May 1, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis

Missey May Missey May
Need to drop some bombs today
BiBi sez that's the way
Need to save the pound today
Talley Ho Hey hey

Mtl JP 15:42 GMT May 1, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis

GBP 1.36..
only 500-ish pips left to go
PUKE mofo... puke

Mtl JP 15:38 GMT May 1, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis



RE Where are the dollar bulls

what is the mystery ?

dc CB 15:04 GMT May 1, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis

along with the hysterical The Dollar Is Dead Buy Gold and save yourselves --- trade. Eyes on 1300

dc CB 15:01 GMT May 1, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis

the entire BiBi's Armageddon Crude spike that started yest morning is gone ---$2 worth and still falling.

UK JY 14:59 GMT May 1, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis

Where are the dollar bulls? Celebrating May Day> Big price moves today.

Mtl JP 14:51 GMT May 1, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis

I also keep tabs on up/down of premium for protection against strengthening YEN

2yr pread usd - yen

STG AndersenBands 14:37 GMT May 1, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis



Mtl JP 14:10 GMT 05/01/2018

I look at sentiment from a momentum perspective.
The attached image shows momentum rank for the majors from highest momo (1) to lowest (8).

JPY has been strengthening shorter-term and neutral longer-term.
Hope this helps in some small way.
GT!

GVI Forex Blog 14:19 GMT May 1, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI Misses Estimates In April 2018
Reply   
April 2018 U.S. ISM Mfg PMI weaker than expected. Final Markit PMI unrevised. ISM report much more important.

U.S. Manufacturing PMI's Chart><br>


<p>
		<a href=BREAKING NEWS: U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI Misses Estimates In April 2018

Livingston nh 14:18 GMT May 1, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis

SPX filled last Thursday's 2640 gap, 2580 test? - ISM (MFG) has prices at 79.3 and employment down w/ shortage of skilled labor pool - The FOMC may want to float idea of Pressers at every meeting just to make the markets aware

lkwd jj 14:12 GMT May 1, 2018
nikkei 225
Reply   
looks like yen weakness keeping floor in the index....

Mtl JP 14:10 GMT May 1, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis

AndersenBands 13:24 tks
I am trying to gage sentiment around YENs strength

Mtl JP 14:06 GMT May 1, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis

eur now JUBBSing 200 day mva 1.2015 early adopters ...

Mtl JP 14:04 GMT May 1, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis

still very unfortunate:
10-year yield at 2.968%;
2-year yield at 2.504%

GVI Trader john 14:00 GMT May 1, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI April 2018

U.S. Data Charts




News ALERT

57.3 vs. 58.5 exp. vs. 59.3 prev.
RELEASE: ISM Manufacturing PMI


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 13:58 GMT May 1, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis

potential trouble w/13:35 is that it is soooo obvious to every trading mofo

GVI Trader john 13:45 GMT May 1, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Markit final Mfg PMI April 2018





ALERT
56.5 vs. 56.5 exp. vs. 56.5 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 13:41 GMT May 1, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis

EURUSD 1.2012

First time below the 200 day mva (1.2015) since April 2017 so watch how it closes vs. this level and the obvious 1.20 level. AT target remains at 1.1915 following the breakout below 1.2153

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 13:38 GMT May 1, 2018
Amazing Trader Update

For those who attended our Science of Trading Q&A, not thwe failed early EURUSD correction *high 1.2037), the 1.2042 level to place your stop, and what happened afterwards.

It is consistent with the logic of the Science of Trading.

The Amazing Trader

Mtl JP 13:35 GMT May 1, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis

short euro sub 1.2030 = low risk trade
as sl well defined

london red 13:31 GMT May 1, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis

I would bet against a close below 200dma pre fed. Eurgbp key zone 8835/40

GVI Trader john 13:30 GMT May 1, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Canada Markit Mfg PMI April 2018





ALERT
55.5 vs. n/a exp. vs. 55.7 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

STG AndersenBands 13:25 GMT May 1, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis

In case you missed it earlier-

STG AndersenBands 01:14:46 GMT - 05/01/2018

"...Structure changes have potentially changed for the following:
Bullish- $EURGBP
Bearish- $GBPCAD $GBPCHF $GBPJPY "

Mtl JP 13:25 GMT May 1, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis



EUR 1.2022-ish
not much in terms of defence ahead of low 1.19 IF 1.2000 breaks down

STG AndersenBands 13:24 GMT May 1, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis

Mtl JP 13:09:15 GMT - 05/01/2018

JP my studies suggest EURJPY remains biased to the downside under 132.70.

GT!

Mtl JP 13:09 GMT May 1, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis



IF u look at EURYEN ... what do u discern about YENs prospects

Mtl JP 12:59 GMT May 1, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis

GBP likely heading much much lower from here
thinking of low 1.30_ _

Mtl JP 12:41 GMT May 1, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

and the so-what ____ is...
that dream of breaking thru Pivot 1.2830
still just that: a dream

GVI Trader john 12:31 GMT May 1, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Canada: GDP February 2018





ALERT
m/m +0.40% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. -0.10% prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 12:29 GMT May 1, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 1 May 2018

at bottom of hr:
12:30 A CA GDP mm con: 0.30% pre: -0.10%

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 11:02 GMT May 1, 2018
Amazing Trader Update
Reply   
My personal endorsement is that anyone not using the Amazing Trader is missing out. But rather than take my word, see below:

The following is an unsolicited email from one of our subscribers and speaks for itself:

"After my extended evaluation, I have concluded that AT is worthy of my time and money, and I will continue to be a subscriber after my 3 months are up. I especially appreciate that slanted red line that tells me as much, if not more than the horizontal lines that people take to mean support and resistance. I don't know what algorithm(s) you are using to draw all that stuff, but it works for me and I'm glad to have it."

The Amazing Trader

GVI Trader john 10:50 GMT May 1, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 1 May 2018

10-yr 2.953%
DJ +1

GVI Trader john 09:18 GMT May 1, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

EARLIER: Australia April PMI
58.3 vs. n/a exp. vs. 63.1 prev.


Mtl JP 08:45 GMT May 1, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis

GBP
200 day 1.3533

GVI Forex Blog 08:38 GMT May 1, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Manufacturing PMI Misses In April 2018
Reply   
April 2018 U.K. Manufacturing PMI misses widely. U.K. PMI Data Chart

BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Manufacturing PMI Misses In April 2018

GVI Trader john 08:30 GMT May 1, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

GB Manufacturing PMI April 2018

U.K. Charts







-- NEWS ALERT --

53.9 vs. 54.8 exp. vs. 55.1 (r 54.9 ) prev.





TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Blog 08:20 GMT May 1, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 1 May 2018
Reply   

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 1 May 2018
May Day Holidays
AFinal Mfg PMIs
AA 04:30 AU- Reserve Bank of Australia
Wed 2 May 2018
AFinal Mfg PMIs
AA 09:00 EZ- GDP
A 12:15 US- ADP Payrolls
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
AA 18:00 US- Fed Policy Decision
Thu 3 May 2018
AFinal Service PMIs
AA 09:00 EZ- flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 12:30 US/CA- Trade
Fri 4 May 2018
AFinal Service PMIs
A 08:00 DE- Employment
AA 08:30 US- Employment


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Tuesday Trading Checklist 1 May 2018

london red 07:50 GMT May 1, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis

also barriers at 12050 and lrg at 1.20 which is just below 200dma

london red 07:50 GMT May 1, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis

euro stops below 12055. sup by 12038 and 12010. fade any eurgbp strength if uk numbers weak. however talk that boosted by better weather. if any case 8783 a good fade if seen. while cable holding 6 month trendline for now.

Dillon AL 05:19 GMT May 1, 2018
Commonwealth Bank

That almost sounds like a personal vendetta

Sydney ACC 03:57 GMT May 1, 2018
Commonwealth Bank
Reply   
A report by the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority into CBA's culture released on Tuesday found the board of the bank had "inadequate oversight" of non-financial risks and a "culture of complacency" following a series of money laundering and terrorism financing scandals.

"It found there was a complacent culture, dismissive of regulators, an ineffective board that lacked zeal and failed to provide oversight, a lack of accountability and ownership of key risks by senior executives, a remuneration framework that had no bite and they were reactive, slow, and had under resourced systems and processes internally."

Link - SMH

Syd 02:18 GMT May 1, 2018
DEUTSCHE Bank's shares decreased dramatically after a new strategy was implemented leaving employees
Reply   
Deutsche Bank stocks went down dramatically on Friday after CEO Mr Sewing announced a new bank strategy.

Shareholders expressed their disapproval causing the Frankfurt bank to come under massive pressure in the stock market.

DEUTSCHE Bank's shares decreased dramatically after a new strategy was implemented leaving

STG AndersenBands 01:14 GMT May 1, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis



Highlights going into Tuesday, 1 May-

Short-term momentum leaders and laggards have changed little since late last week (see the heatmap of the majors included with this post.)
Long-term momentum has switched to the downside for $GBPUSD.

Structure changes have potentially changed for the following:
Bullish- $EURGBP
Bearish- $GBPCAD $GBPCHF $GBPJPY

Range expansions and breakouts are at elevated levels for:
$EURCHF $NZDJPY $NZDUSD $$AUDJPY $CADJPY

The top three short-term momentum primary pairs/crosses are:
1. $CADCHF 2. $USDCHF 3. $USDJPY
The bottom three are:
26. $AUDUSD 27. $NZDUSD 28. $AUDCAD

The image with this post is the short-term momentum heatmap for the 8 major currencies ranked highest (1) to lowest (8).

Make it a great day!

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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