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Forex Forum Archive for 05/04/2018

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
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GVI Forex Blog 22:22 GMT May 4, 2018
Commitment Of Traders Report For 1 May 2018 Data
Reply   

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

Forex trading is all about stops. The Commitment of Traders Report (COT) can be an imperfect, but often useful, "sampling" of market positioning. I would prefer more frequent and precise readings, but we have to live with what we get. The data work for the purpose of getting an idea if traders are positioned long or short and if they are in large or small. Where and how large the stops may be is critical trading intelligence.

The data we monitor are the positioning of large traders who usually are thought of as the "smart money". These data usually may not correlate well with the the various retail trader statistics. Each set of data tells you different things about potential stops.

Commitment Of Traders Report For 1 May 2018

GVI Trader john 19:57 GMT May 4, 2018
Commitment Of Traders Report for 1 May 2018 Data
Reply   

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: EUR, JPY, CHF, GBP


Net EUR JPY COT Positions



Click on chart for EUR COT Details






Click on chart forJPY COT Details



X+++++
Net GBP and CHF COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details




Net AUD and CAD COT Positions





Click on chart for COT Details







Click on chart for COT Details




G+++++

Commitment of Trader Report Charts Trader Positions: CAD, AUD, Gold, Oil


Net Crude, Gold, S&P and 10-yr Positions







Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details










Click on chart for COT Details




GVI Forex Blog 19:17 GMT May 4, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 4 May 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 4 May 2018

london red 19:15 GMT May 4, 2018
s&p

2712 today a longest of shots but upper channel of sideways traingle is at 2700 nxt wk. any early foray to upside likely to meet heavy res there. even a break higher i would be cautious of as a wkly close abv is reqd - a long wick to wkly candle nxt wk would be a nice bull trap.

dc CB 19:04 GMT May 4, 2018
TRUMP

Beobachter Daily Headlines
_______________________________________________
“I don’t see what relationship this indictment has with anything the special counsel is authorized to investigate,” U.S. District Judge T.S. Ellis III in the Eastern District of Virginia said.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trump-russia-manafort/u-s-judge-questions-special-counsels-powers-in-manafort-case-idUSKBN1I51WE

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
A federal judge on Friday harshly rebuked Special Counsel Robert Mueller’s team during a hearing for ex-Trump campaign chairman Paul Manafort – suggesting they lied about the scope of the investigation, are seeking “unfettered power” and are more interested in bringing down the president.

"You don't really care about Mr. Manafort,” U.S. District Judge T.S. Ellis III told Mueller’s team. “You really care about what information Mr. Manafort can give you to lead you to Mr. Trump and an impeachment, or whatever."

Further, Ellis demanded to see the unredacted “scope memo,” a document outlining the scope of the special counsel’s Russia probe that congressional Republicans have also sought.

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2018/05/04/federal-judge-accuses-muellers-team-lying-trying-to-target-trump-cmon-man.html


lkwd jj 18:51 GMT May 4, 2018
s&p
Reply   
100ma 2670 testing from below this time, but way this train is moving since yesterday, dont know if it will contain. 80 points off 2591.....

Mtl JP 18:49 GMT May 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

2:46 All three U.S. stock benchmarks have turned positive for the week with Friday's rally - MarketWatch

GVI 17:47 GMT May 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Fed's Williams (moderate, voter): jobs report today was consistent with what we've been seeing; wage growth is on an upward trend - CNBC interview - Does not see any rapid inflation on the horizon - His view on neutral Fed funds rate is 2.5% - Sees inflation dropping to 3.5% and inflation modestly overshooting target- Happy to see volatility turn up this year - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 17:04 GMT May 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS


Baker Hughes Rig Count


NEWS ALERT
U.S.
Total: 1032 vs. 1021 (+11) prev.
Oil: 834 vs. 825 (+9) prev.

Canada: 86 vs. 85 (n/a)


TTN: Live News Special Offer

PAR 16:38 GMT May 4, 2018
VIX
Reply   
Out of short VIX at 16.20. We'll see next week .

london red 16:32 GMT May 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

euro earlier briefly printed a marginal new low for 2018 before rebounding. cable hasnt yet (13457), but it does have elections going for it today. i thing we've washed out longs for now and we will build tails on the dailies today. weve done nearly ten figs in cable without a proper bounce. we are probably due. elections helping also fact that boe meet is close. they wont hike but that means they can be more hawkish with their tone.

Mtl JP 16:24 GMT May 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

red 13:37 .. 13535 would ease downside pressure
here we are ...
lets see 1.3540 200day close

london red 16:24 GMT May 4, 2018
Crude

monthly inverse shs rough tgt was around 80 bucks. thats a move from 52 bucks. even if only sees 100mma by 75 bucks/61.8 by 76 bucks, its still 50% move.

Mtl JP 16:17 GMT May 4, 2018
Crude

is not vlad all smiles too

lkwd jj 16:13 GMT May 4, 2018
Crude

.07 high was 69.93

dc CB 16:07 GMT May 4, 2018
Crude
Reply   
the Saudi king is all smiles.
who cares about the DOE numbers or the rig count

$70 is -$7 away

Mtl JP 16:01 GMT May 4, 2018
Amazing Trader US Jobs Report Preview

or where eagle dares

Mtl JP 15:59 GMT May 4, 2018
Amazing Trader US Jobs Report Preview

jj I ll name my next robot Penguin in Bondage (Frank Zappa)

lkwd jj 15:52 GMT May 4, 2018
Amazing Trader US Jobs Report Preview

my post was directed to gvi jay meisler calling double top in usdcad in 4hr chart.

Mtl JP 15:38 GMT May 4, 2018
Amazing Trader US Jobs Report Preview

jj 15:31 what names for what birds

Mtl JP 15:33 GMT May 4, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 4 May 2018

ACHTUNG - at noon NY
12:00 Dudley (FOMC voter - BUT riding off to join janet on the garbage heap of history) - On challenges ahead for financial policy

lkwd jj 15:31 GMT May 4, 2018
Amazing Trader US Jobs Report Preview

4hour not textbook double top, but fail on a retest. double top needs confirmation of break below midpoint... which here didnt happen. never the less a tradeable chart, with defined risk. names are for the birds...

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 15:26 GMT May 4, 2018
Amazing Trader US Jobs Report Preview



I was just asked whether there was a sign on AT for a USDCAD top above 1.29.

This 5 minute chart answers your question and if you looked at an AT 4 hour chart you would have seen a failure and double top at the high, which we call an old line that gave support to the directional change.

The Amazing Trader

dc CB 15:01 GMT May 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

search
Apple's hedge fund Reno NV

Mtl JP 14:56 GMT May 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

apple should become a lending bank
put their cash hoard out at risk and for interest

dc CB 14:50 GMT May 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

TRUMP SAYS HAS DATE, LOCATION SET FOR MEETING WITH NORTH KOREA'S KIM, WILL ANNOUNCE SOON - RTRS

lkwd jj 14:47 GMT May 4, 2018
nikkei 225
Reply   
22385 resistance

dc CB 14:46 GMT May 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

dow futures UP 250pt in 45minutes

dc CB 14:40 GMT May 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

icymi
Buffett Bought 75M Apple Shares During Q1; Total Stake Now Worth $42.5B
APPL up over $6.50 ---- big driver across the indices

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 14:40 GMT May 4, 2018
Amazing Trader US Jobs Report Preview



Look at this AT chart. At a minimum it would have kept you from being short after the low at at best indicated a shift in risk to the upside.

We want you to trade with odds on your side. Just click below

The Amazing Trader

Mtl JP 14:28 GMT May 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

red re GBP (atm 1.3519)
200 day 1.3540 - makes it easy to trade
as risk is well and easily defined
-
for uP I d need to see 1.358x ++

PAR 14:22 GMT May 4, 2018
Happy Friday
Reply   
Tout va très bien, Madame la Marquise,
Tout va très bien, tout va très bien.
Pourtant, il faut, il faut que l'on vous dise,
On déplore un tout petit rien :


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T5WdpSPeQUE

Mtl JP 14:21 GMT May 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS



usdcad - the "more" words:
if it wont go uP
it ll go down
trgt: apprx pink line
----------------------
U r n adult. Risk control is your resp *v*

Mtl JP 14:07 GMT May 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS



usdcad
pic worth 1000 words
maybe more

london red 13:37 GMT May 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

poss we have seen the highs for usd on euro and cable pairs. a lot seems to have been washed out on this leg lower. recovery abv 11936 and 13535 would ease downside pressure. a yard of 119 expiries at the cut today.

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 13:31 GMT May 4, 2018
Amazing Trader US Jobs Report Preview

I can only speak for myself but in the heat of battle I don't know of any program that paints a clearer picture and gets you on the right side to trade with levels and patterns to trade..

One mission accomplished is EURUSD reaching the AT target at 1.1915. The key day resistance is now at 1.1938.

The Amazing Trader

Mtl JP 13:27 GMT May 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

would try a careful usdcad short on break down of 1.29
if seen

london red 13:26 GMT May 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

cable barrier at 135 busted. support by 13480. euro sup 11910 held for now further by 11895/97, old fib by 11936 caps

Mtl JP 13:07 GMT May 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

almost looking like heros pussygrabber and munchkin "stand ready to impose further trade tariffs on Chinese products if Beijing walks away from agreed-upon commitments, according to a reporter at the Wall Street Journal."

Mtl JP 13:03 GMT May 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

munchkin - waving to the media - claiming good conversations in China... reporting word is that big trade deal "is unlikely to happen," as

US reportedly lays down a list of trade demands to China

london red 12:52 GMT May 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Employment Data Soft in April 2018

10y c2.87 30/50dma

GVI Forex Blog 12:50 GMT May 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Employment Data Soft in April 2018
Reply   
April 2018 U.S. payroll employment misses street estimates. Average Hourly Earnings 0.1% (2.60% y/y)


Click on chart for more than 10-yr history

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Employment Data Soft in April 2018

london red 12:49 GMT May 4, 2018
yen

*10876/82

london red 12:48 GMT May 4, 2018
yen
Reply   
fade yen 10872/86 stop over 109 for tight bet on test of sup by 10820/108/10775

london red 12:47 GMT May 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

some profit taking took place yest by 11936 fib but reaction so far suggestive of little spec short euro possies to be cleared. there are lot of 11950-120 expiries today esp lrg 1.20 around 1.5 yards. may draw. think while 11936 holds euro has chance to do topside stops. mkt clearly has other ideas right now/dont fight the tape.

london red 12:40 GMT May 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

12055/12035 11936/11910

Mtl JP 12:37 GMT May 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

short eur 1.1995 for 1.1940/20
aboe 1.20/2020 kills it

PAR 12:35 GMT May 4, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 4 May 2018

Bad news is good news . USA needs to borrow mega amount of money next week . So lower bond yields is great help.?

Manipulation ?

GVI Trader john 12:35 GMT May 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Employment April 2018







ALERT

NFP Jobs:
+164K vs. +185K exp. vs. +103K (r +135K) prev.
Rate: 3.90% vs. 4.00% exp. vs. 4.10% prev.

Avg earnings: +0.10% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.30% prev.
BLS: Employment Situation Summary


TTN: Live News Special Offer

london red 12:33 GMT May 4, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 4 May 2018

theyve bought the usd dip but think will be tough to move usd higher without running a few stops first.

london red 12:31 GMT May 4, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 4 May 2018

soft numbers watch reaction. euro stops over 20/35 but 12055 prob will hold.

GVI Trader john 12:31 GMT May 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

nfp:+164
rate:3.9%
AHE: +0.1%

Mtl JP 12:20 GMT May 4, 2018
TRUMP

nh mortal danger... lol
-
only mortal danger is to trump-et man IF he tries to grab 05:47 Ri Sol Ju s p***y (mortal danger from melania).

Livingston nh 12:16 GMT May 4, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 4 May 2018

IF two sub 100k numbers in a row USD falls and 2 yr yield collapses

Livingston nh 12:14 GMT May 4, 2018
TRUMP

This is the biggest con job since Hitler/Stalin deal -- SK is in mortal danger and President Trump is following in the footsteps of his predecessors

Mtl JP 12:12 GMT May 4, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 4 May 2018

Looking for HIGH PROBABILITY nfp trade setup
tia!

HK [email protected] 12:10 GMT May 4, 2018
TRUMP

*
Probably those steps were agreed at pre-negotiations.
It comes to create an atmosphere of trust between the parties.

PAR 12:07 GMT May 4, 2018
TRUMP

And ... we can build a few Trump hotels in N. Korea ?

PAR 12:03 GMT May 4, 2018
TRUMP
Reply   
The art of the deal . I withdraw US troops out of South Korea and we agree to meet ?

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 11:05 GMT May 4, 2018
Amazing Trader US Jobs Report Preview
Reply   
Key levels to watch on both sides ahead of the US jobs report



Register for a free Amazing Trader Trial

Contact us

GVI Trader john 09:51 GMT May 4, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 4 May 2018

10-yr 2.937%
DJ +2

GVI Trader john 09:07 GMT May 4, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 4 May 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO Bias:

NEGATIVE

This Week: 1.1938-1.2141
Fri: 1.1958-1.1996
Thu: 1.1947-1.2009
Wed: 1.1938-1.2032
Tue: 1.1981-1.2085


Spot EURUSD: 1.1963
Pivot Point: 1.1984

20-day avg: 1.2230
50-day avg: 1.2281
100-day avg: 1.2230
200-day avg: 1.2019

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Jun 13: 98% (98%)

10-yr Bonds
US: 2.938% -0.6bp
DE: 0.533% -0.3bp
GB: 1.377% -2.3bp

DAX: +56
Implied Open
DJ: +12
SP: +1.7




kl shawn 08:26 GMT May 4, 2018
usdcad bullish flag
Reply   
looks like bullish flag for usdcad, next leg up should give minimum 1.3150

GVI Trader john 08:04 GMT May 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

EZ, GE and FR final Service PMIs downward German ans EZ revisions for April 2018.


Eurozone Final Service PMIs Chart

GVI Trader john 08:00 GMT May 4, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Final Service PMIs March 2018





ALERT

EZ- Final Service PMI April 2018
54.7 vs. 55.0 exp. vs. 55.0 (flash)
Germany
53.0 vs. 54.1 exp. vs. 54.1 (flash)

France
57.4 vs. 57.4 exp. vs. 57.4 (flash)
Markit PMI Press Release



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Blog 07:47 GMT May 4, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 4 May 2018
Reply   

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 4 May 2018
AFinal Service PMIs
A 08:00 DE- Employment
AA 08:30 US- Employment


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Friday Trading Checklist For 4 May 2018

Mtl JP 06:50 GMT May 4, 2018
Introduction

Ri... u r definitely at the right forum
u friends w/melania ?

be looking to learn from u a thing or two
and vice versa just ask
pssstt.. those rumours about dennis rodman...
crazy: y/n ?

kl shawn 06:04 GMT May 4, 2018
buy usdjpy
Reply   
bought 109.13 for 109.33-38

Pyongyian Risole Jew 05:47 GMT May 4, 2018
Introduction
Reply   
My name is Ri Sol Ju.
I am new to trading and would like to connect with fellow traders.
I am specialist in trading North Korean crosses.
thank you.

STG AndersenBands 01:01 GMT May 4, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis



Highlights going into Friday, 4 May-

Several of the pairs that we have been anticipating big price ranges for have done so. $EURJPY and $CHFJPY experienced daily price ranges exceeding 2 standard deviations of their typical ranges at 169% and 166% respectively. While not as extreme, $GBPJPY and $USDJPY also experienced ranges significantly beyond what is typical. Additionally, JPY exceeded 2 standard deviations at 145%. However, $GBPCHF coiled tightly and is likely to expand soon.

$EURNZD switching to bearish is the sole possible structure change.

The image with this post is a short-term/ long-term momentum rank for the top 5 and bottom 5 of the 28 primary pairs we follow. We utilize a statistically-based method of calculating momentum that is robust enough to adapt to fast or slow moving markets, while being normalized so the outputs can be directly comparable and sorted from one pair/cross to another.

The current rank (Thursday) is flanked by yesterday's "Prior Rank" (Wednesday) to illustrate shift in strength or weakness. A value of "1" reflects the strongest (bullish) and a ranking of "28" reflects the weakest (bearish) momentum. Values highlighted in blue indicate a top 5 ranking while values in orange highlight a bottom 5 ranking yesterday.

Make it a great day!

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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