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Forex Forum Archive for 05/14/2018

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
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Mtl JP 21:38 GMT May 14, 2018
Extra Extra Read All About It.

it is putin

dc CB 21:37 GMT May 14, 2018
Extra Extra Read All About It.

the earth is angry, my friends, the earth is angry

WaPo afternoon edition:
ĎWidespread damaging windsí, possible derecho, could affect the Washington region this evening
Wind gusts up to 75 mph are possible, in addition to torrential rain, lightning and hail

Mtl JP 21:36 GMT May 14, 2018
EURUSD

nh 18:47 Wilbur Ross with his Not all trade deficits are the same
is actually ore bang on than ost realize
can u imagine us without trade deficit ieeha

Mtl JP 21:29 GMT May 14, 2018
VIX

PAR 20:24 lol sherlock ...

long time ago wizard interviewer Schwager observed that There are a million ways to make money in the markets. The irony is that they are all very difficult to find.

dc CB 21:20 GMT May 14, 2018
Extra Extra Read All About It.

photoshop fun (as seen in a tweet)

The Diner

PAR 20:54 GMT May 14, 2018
ZTE
Reply   
ZTE

Lies and half truths .

PAR 20:40 GMT May 14, 2018
ITALY
Reply   
Agreement on Italian government was FAKE NEWS.

NO deal at all

PAR 20:24 GMT May 14, 2018
VIX

Yield diff pro dollar . Twin deficits against dollar .

Forex can be difficult.

GVI Trader john 20:06 GMT May 14, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 15 May 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO Bias:

NEGATIVE

Last Week: 1.1822-1.1997
Mon: 1.1935-1.1996
Fri: 1.1891-1.1968
Thu: 1.1842-1.1947

Spot EURUSD: 1.1936
Pivot Point: 1.1958

20-day avg: 1.2082
50-day avg: 1.2231
100-day avg: 1.2236
200-day avg: 1.2023

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Jun 13: 100% (100%)

Mtl JP 20:01 GMT May 14, 2018
EURUSD



EURO
technically still in early uP
-
tia for arguments

Mtl JP 19:56 GMT May 14, 2018
VIX

PAR how about yield prospects diffs

GVI Forex Blog 19:53 GMT May 14, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 14 May 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 14 May 2018

PAR 19:49 GMT May 14, 2018
VIX
Reply   
Falling VIX supporting USD ?

Mtl JP 19:49 GMT May 14, 2018
EURUSD

EURO Friday 11 close : 1.1945
GVI Forex Database: Free Forex Historical Data

Mtl JP 19:16 GMT May 14, 2018
EURUSD



euro sofar vs day before

Mtl JP 19:12 GMT May 14, 2018
EURUSD

admittedly I d feel a bit better if euro were to pop uP over 1.1950 and +

Livingston nh 18:47 GMT May 14, 2018
EURUSD

jp - the EM trade (article) opinion seems to be the opposite of Powell's belief ("it's different this time") - a lot of complacent talk about inflation after last week's April CPI (the unadjusted was 2.5, last May's CPI with declining energy costs came in at unadjusted 1.6) so we'll see in a couple of weeks if the unadjusted kicks the slow but steady FED

Mtl JP 18:30 GMT May 14, 2018
EURUSD

bet the farm short USDCAD
tight s/l

Mtl JP 18:21 GMT May 14, 2018
EURUSD

as is USDCAD 20day 1.2799

Mtl JP 18:20 GMT May 14, 2018
EURUSD

1.1935 = nailbiter

london red 18:07 GMT May 14, 2018
EURUSD

sup at 11925/35, critical by 11890. below 11860 tgts new low and 11710. if buyers to come in i suggest it has to be within half a fig or game over. us retail sales may have a say.

GVI Forex Blog 18:05 GMT May 14, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 15 May 2018
Reply   

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 15 May 2018
AA 08:30 GB- Employment
A 09:00 DE- ZEW Survey
AA 09:00 EZ- GDP
Wed 16 May 2018
A 09:00 EZ- final HICP
A 12:30 US- House Starts/Permits
A 13:15 US- Industrial Production
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 17 May 2018
AA 01:30 AU- Employment
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 14:00 US- Leading Indicators
Fri 18 May 2018
A 12:30 CA- CPI/Retail Sales


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Tuesday Trading Checklist 15 May 2018

Mtl JP 18:03 GMT May 14, 2018
EURUSD

EURO
Pivot 1.1935

Sup 1 1.1902
Sup 2 1.1859
Sup 3 1.1826

Mtl JP 17:53 GMT May 14, 2018
EURUSD

POOF EURUSD 1.1950 support
see if 1.1940 holds

PAR 16:41 GMT May 14, 2018
ITALY
Reply   
Government formation runs into difficulties. More time needed .

Mtl JP 16:20 GMT May 14, 2018
Equities Higher. 10-Yr Bond Yields Up. FX: USD And EUR Mixed

bullard still yakking ??

PAR 16:17 GMT May 14, 2018
Equities Higher. 10-Yr Bond Yields Up. FX: USD And EUR Mixed

Ideal moment for US companies to increase share buy back ahead of Bullard .

singapore Td 15:35 GMT May 14, 2018
EURUSD

1.1990-1.2020 all sell levels this week stop 1.2057. If stopped can still try short 1.21-1.2150 with stop 1.2193

Mtl JP 14:50 GMT May 14, 2018
Extra Extra Read All About It.

so non-voter bullard appears to not like competing ccies

Cryptocurrencies are pulling the U.S. back to the 1830s, Fed official says

Mtl JP 13:33 GMT May 14, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 14 May 2018

Econ calendar empty BUT...
my oh my raining cretins
non-voting Bullard yaks
Praet yaks at 1/4 past NY noon
1/4 to two NYT yaks Coeure

Mtl JP 12:58 GMT May 14, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 14 May 2018



forgot trgt:
assuming 20 (or 21) day holds look for 100+ pips south
naturally: no guarantees

Mtl JP 12:47 GMT May 14, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 14 May 2018

nh still dabbling in USDCAD ?
plan short against 1.279-ish (fwiw 20 day at 1.2799) +/-
at u r risk naturally

Mtl JP 12:42 GMT May 14, 2018
EURUSD

nh some good reasoning why

the usd is on the way to h3ll

Livingston nh 12:36 GMT May 14, 2018
EURUSD

EU will have a problem w/ the strange bedfellows in Italy because of the fiscal situation (can't risk punitive action) - the ECB is ending QE purchases in September?? But who is going to buy all the NEW Italian debt??

Does the EU fold to Bolton's sanctions comment or protect it's economy?? And UK may actually take a position on the Customs Union??

Mtl JP 12:31 GMT May 14, 2018
EURUSD

IF... u want a plausible reason why the usd is not catching a s/t bid
note the 10yr: 2.981% +1.0bp
still capped under 3.04%

Mtl JP 12:25 GMT May 14, 2018
EURUSD

IF u r looking for something more immediate than EURUSD MACRO Bias: NEGATIVE suggest to look at 1.194-5-ish for support and while price action above it for 1.2015-ish trgt
-
u r an adult: respecting your risk = your responsibility

Mtl JP 12:13 GMT May 14, 2018
EURUSD

Dubai MA / what do you think of john 09:48 post
what is good about it
what is it missing

Dubai MA 12:02 GMT May 14, 2018
EURUSD

Anyone long or looking for levels to go short?

Mtl JP 11:54 GMT May 14, 2018
ZTE - US SANCTIONS

PAR legality is useless if it is unenforceable against the guilty party.
-
US stock futures point to a green opening.
Soe Chinese types will be in Washington for more trade talks (tomorrow).
US companies federations and associations will be testimoaning about effects of President Trump's tariffs of Chinese goods.

PAR 11:45 GMT May 14, 2018
ZTE - US SANCTIONS
Reply   
Is there no legal framework to impose or remove US sanctions or is it just the US president who does that as he pleases.

Mtl JP 11:41 GMT May 14, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 14 May 2018



Sentiment heading into NY session

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 11:36 GMT May 14, 2018
Tuesday Online Meeting: Has the Dollar Topped Out?
Reply   
For your Tuesday Calendar:

Last week we discussed Why the Dollar Has Turned Bid. In this week's online meeting, we will be discussing Has the Dollar Topped Out? I will also be discussing a shift in fundamentals that could impact the dollar and forex trading in general going forwards.

New Meeting starts promptly at
Tue, May 15, 2018

11:00 GMT (7:00 AM EDT ) - 11:30 GMT (07:30 EDT)
-
Please join my meeting from your computer, tablet or smartphone.

https://global.gotomeeting.com/join/204692605

Please let me know if you plan to attend although you can just pop in without an invite.

If you canít attend, send me an EMAIL requesting a recording of the meeting.

Regards

Jay Meisler

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 10:01 GMT May 14, 2018
Amazing Trader Update
Reply   
EURUSD 1.1978

For AT subscribers, note EURUSD resistance zone layered starting at 11995 with key support at 1.1968. Details posted on GVI Forex.

The Amazing Trader

GVI Trader john 09:48 GMT May 14, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 14 May 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO Bias:

NEGATIVE

Last Week: 1.1822-1.1997
Mon: 1.1940-1.1990
Fri: 1.1891-1.1968
Thu: 1.1842-1.1947

Spot EURUSD: 1.1983
Pivot Point: 1.1935

20-day avg: 1.2104
50-day avg: 1.2239
100-day avg: 1.2235
200-day avg: 1.2022

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Jun 13: 100% (100%)

10-yr Bonds
US: 2.981% +1.0bp
DE: 0.600% +4.0bp
GB: 1.483% +4.1bp

DAX: -21
Implied Open
DJ: +115
SP: +8.8



GVI Forex Blog 09:09 GMT May 14, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 14 May 2018
Reply   

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 15 May 2018
AA 08:30 GB- Employment
A 09:00 DE- ZEW Survey
AA 09:00 EZ- GDP
Wed 16 May 2018
A 09:00 EZ- final HICP
A 12:30 US- House Starts/Permits
A 13:15 US- Industrial Production
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 17 May 2018
AA 01:30 AU- Employment
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 14:00 US- Leading Indicators
Fri 18 May 2018
A 12:30 CA- CPI/Retail Sales


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Monday Trading Checklist 14 May 2018

PAR 08:35 GMT May 14, 2018
EURUSD

This chart shows why Euro is rising despite #Italy pol risk. Only 5% of Italian bonds are held by non-euro area investors. Less exposure by non-euro area investors mean less of Euro selling when Italian bonds sold, Nomura says. Does not expect Euro to react much to IT politics.

9:47 AM - May 14, 2018

PAR 07:23 GMT May 14, 2018
EURUSD
Reply   
Euro moves higher as Italy and Catalunya form new governments .

Buy any dip.

A deluge of central bank speakers could cause some volatility.

STG AndersenBands 05:38 GMT May 14, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis



Daily list of top 5 and bottom 5 short-term and long-term momentum rankings out of 28 primary currency pairs and crosses:

Top 5 short-term momentum: $AUDNZD $CADCHF $AUDCHF $UDSCHF $EURNZD

Bottom 5 short-term momentum: $NZDUSD $EURCAD $GBPUSD $NZDCAD $GBPCAD

Top 5 long-term momentum: $USDCHF $EURCHF $CADCHF $GBPCHF $EURNZD

Bottom 5 long-term momentum: $NZJPY $NZDUSD $AUDUSD $AUDCAD $CHFJPY

STG AndersenBands 05:19 GMT May 14, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis



Highlights going into Monday, 14 May-

Short-term price volatility was significantly elevated for most of last week. However, Friday was much quieter.

Short-term momentum has been confirmed positive for $AUDJPY and negative for $GBPCHF.

Long-term momentum has been confirmed positive for $AUDNZD.

Price range has been significantly compressed with volatility expected to increase for $GBPAUD, $GBPCHF, $NZDCAD, and $NZDUSD

Price structure has turned positive for $AUDJPY $AUDNZD $AUDUSD and negative for $GBPAUD.

Similar to the past few days, the image with this post highlights the daily range as a percentage of the normalized typical range for the 8 major currencies.
Values shaded in blue exceed 1 standard deviation above typical range.
Values shaded in orange exceed 1 standard deviation below typical range.
Values highlighted in yellow exceed 2 standard deviations above or below typical range.
Bold black values are highest or lowest of at least 20 days.
Underlined values are lower than prior day.


Make it a great day!

dc CB 01:19 GMT May 14, 2018
Extra Extra Read All About It.

Mtl JP 17:53

Wilford Brimley NEVER lies. His best creepy performance was in The Firm...staring Tom Cruise. the film directed by the American Genius Sidney Pollack

Wilford (seared into the minds of most of Americans---on the Big Screen and DVD)

dc CB 00:00 GMT May 14, 2018
Extra Extra Read All About It.



Iranís Foreign Ministry Spokesman Hossein Jaberi Ansari has just warned Western politicians that if they do not put pressure on the Trump administration the Iranian regime will leak the names of all officials who accepted bribes to pass the disastrous deal in the first place!

ran Threatened To Name Politicians Who Took Bribes To Pass Nuclear Deal

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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