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Forex Forum Archive for 05/20/2018

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dc CB 23:05 GMT May 20, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

US Treas Auctions this week: 2s, 5s, 7s. Tue, Wed Thurs.

STG AndersenBands 23:04 GMT May 20, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis

Daily list of top 5 and bottom 5 short-term and long-term momentum rankings out of 28 primary currency pairs and crosses:

Top 5 short-term momentum: $USDJPY $USDCHF $AUDJPY $CHFJPY $CADJPY

Bottom 5 short-term momentum: $NZDUSD $EURAUD $EURCHF $GBPUSD $EURUSD

Top 5 long-term momentum: $USDCHF $CADCHF $USDJPY $GBPCHF $EURCHF

Bottom 5 long-term momentum: $GBPUSD $EURUSD $NZDUSD $CHFJPY $AUDCAD

USA HH 22:55 GMT May 20, 2018
Treasury, USTR Send Mixed Messages Over Tariffs on Chinese Imports​
Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer made conflicting statements on Sunday over whether the Trump administration plans to move forward with tariffs on Chinese merchandise entering the U.S.

Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said Sunday morning that the Trump administration would “put the trade war on hold,” and delay tariffs on Chinese imports to the U.S., while the two countries hammer out details of a deal to reduce the yawning U.S. merchandise trade deficit with China.

And yet, hours later, U.S. trade representative Robert Lighthizer released a statement that seemed to contradict Mr. Mnuchin. Washington may still resort to tariffs, as well as other tools including investment restrictions and export regulations, unless China makes “real structural change” to its economy, Mr. Lighthizer said.

Treasury, USTR Send Mixed Messages Over Tariffs on Chinese Imports​

Boston RS 22:51 GMT May 20, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

Reuters) - U.S. stock future opened higher on Sunday after Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said on Sunday that the United States and China agreed to drop their tariff threats to work on a wider trade agreement.

STG AndersenBands 22:45 GMT May 20, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis

Highlights going into Monday, 21May-

Short-term momentum for $EURNZD has turned negative.

There are no changes in long-term momentum.

There are no changes structure for today

Weekly analysis is showing an increase in volatility is likely relatively soon for $USDCHF and $NZDUSD.

Daily analysis is suggesting an increase in volatility is anticipated soon for for $AUDUSD and $EURGBP.

The image with this post is a 30-day correlation matrix for the 28 primary pairs and crosses we follow. Relatively strong correlation is highlighted in green, significant inverse correlation is highlighted in red and lack of correlation is highlighted in yellow.

Make it a great day!

dc CB 22:21 GMT May 20, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

methinks the China trade pause has something to do with Kimmy and The Donald making nice nice. Kimmy gets his orders from Xi, does he not?

Mtl JP 22:17 GMT May 20, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

CB munchkin - aka modern day Pope Benedict XV - displaying surprising (to me) flair for poetry if not drama: reminds me of Christmas Truce of 1914 in World War I - which did pissoff the top brass

Mtl JP 21:56 GMT May 20, 2018
Online Meeting: How to Trade with Inside Information

would not a large buy (or sell) order be split among a few banks (or one bank's centers around the world) and possibly be even farmed out and split over a few days so as optimize stealth by a savvy currency manager?

And not to be confused with Options plays.

Mtl JP 21:40 GMT May 20, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

a small - ~10pip - gap uP on dlryen
a small - ~18pip - gap Down on usdcad

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 20:52 GMT May 20, 2018
Online Meeting: How to Trade with Inside Information
For your Tuesday Calendar:

With banks no longer permitted to pass on order flow information, there is a growing need for ways to identify when there is a market imbalance and a buy or sell order is being executed.

We have come up with a way to identify such flows and some have said it is like having inside information.

I will be discussing how you can get access to such “inside information” at Tuesday’s meeting.

New Meeting (meeting starts promptly)
Tue, May 22, 2018 11:00 – 11:30 GMT (7:00 AM - 7:30 AM EDT

Please join my meeting from your computer, tablet or smartphone.

We expect a good turnout and while you can just show up, we have limited space so if you plan to attend, send me an EMAIL to reserve your spot.

If you cannot attend, contact me to request a recording of the meeting.


Jay Meisler

GVI Trader john 19:53 GMT May 20, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!



This Week: 1.1764-1.1854
Fri: 1.1789-1.1823
Thu: 1.1777-1.1838
Wed: 1.1764-1.1854

Spot EURUSD: 1.1775
Pivot Point: 1.1782

20-day avg: 1.1975
50-day avg: 1.2188
100-day avg: 1.2231
200-day avg: 1.2023

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Fed 25bp hike odds for Jun 13: 100% (100%)

dc CB 19:46 GMT May 20, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

Event of the Week
file it under
"can't touch me"

dc CB 19:08 GMT May 20, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

Donald J. Trump
‏Verified account @realDonaldTrump

I hereby demand, and will do so officially tomorrow, that the Department of Justice look into whether or not the FBI/DOJ infiltrated or surveilled the Trump Campaign for Political Purposes - and if any such demands or requests were made by people within the Obama Administration!
10:37 AM - 20 May 2018

dc CB 19:06 GMT May 20, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said Sunday that China and the US were putting a trade war "on hold" as the two sides work to hammer out a comprehensive trade agreement that will be acceptable to both sides.

GVI Forex Blog 14:08 GMT May 20, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 21 May 2018
AA EZ/CH/CA- Holiday
Wed 23 May 2018
AFlash PMIs
AA 08:30 GB- CPI
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
AA 18:00 Fed Policy Minutes
Thu 24 May 2018
AA 08:30 GB- Retail Sales
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
Fri 25 May 2018
AA 08:30 GB- GDP
A 12:30 US- Durable Goods
A 14:00 US- Final University of Michigan
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner,

Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

Mtl JP 12:14 GMT May 20, 2018
Dollar Breaks Higher Through a Major Psychological Turning Point

WSJ May 10, 2018:
Economists See Fed Raising Rates in June, Then September
Forecasters surveyed by WSJ increasingly expect four Federal Reserve rate increases in 2018


Mitigating Contagion Potential ?

IMF Begins Work on Bailout for Argentina, With a U.S. Blessing
Its peso has fallen drastically as it struggles to emerge from years of budget deficits, high inflation and trade imbalances
Updated May 18, 2018

The International Monetary Fund moved on Friday to formally begin negotiations on a bailout of Argentina, without any objection from the Trump administration.

GVI 12:04 GMT May 20, 2018
China agrees to purchase more US goods in effort to avoid trade war, but refuses to commit to US demand to narrow trade gap by $200B - press
- China declines to put a dollar amount on the effort to narrow the trade gap- The White House said “There was a consensus on taking effective measures to substantially reduce the United States trade deficit in goods with China.” China will “significantly increase purchases” of US goods and services to aid America’s economic growth and to meet China's own growing consumption needs.
- US to send a team to China to work out details

- Source

dc CB 04:03 GMT May 20, 2018
Deutsche Bank

Mtl JP 12:05 GMT May 19, 2018
dc CB 18:04 do u see that different from / complementary to See Something, Say Something™ ?
to answer that look back to what happened to HSBC when it was caught laundering money for drug cartels...slapped in the wrist/fine. Then move on to other bank(ster) "mistakes" LIBOR manipulation for HowManyYears thro'ing cities like Baltimore in the trashheap by screwing with the mortgage markets.

By definition: Corruption.
But back then the standing non executive order as Articulated by Obama's Attny Gen Eric Holder, was Going After such large (crimes) misdeeds risked upsetting the system and therefore Prosecution was Off Limits.

This ExecOrder now allow for the same kind of Assest Seizure that has been applied to The Average Joe who get's found with what some cop considers to be TooMuch Cash in his pocket. Just google that to get really scared about the Rule of Law.

The rub is: Will it be used against such large entities who employ an army of lawyers. None the less, it's on the books now. Or is that still Off Limits

dc CB 03:38 GMT May 20, 2018
Dollar Breaks Higher Through a Major Psychological Turning Point

James Grant of Grant's Interest Rate Observer fields questions concerning the current rally in the US dollar, Fed policy, the bond market and the future of gold prices. vid 25mins

also bonus chuckle chart, if you've seen the latest in the MUH RUSSIA saga stateside.



Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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