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Forex Forum Archive for 05/21/2018

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Mtl JP 23:43 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018



IF things follow US in Asia ...
potential gap play from Mondays open
still alive

Mtl JP 23:24 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

and here is the other side of kabuki theater that is jerome's FED:

(non-voter) Fed's Kashkari warns colleagues

'not to overdo it' with interest-rate hikes

Mtl JP 21:03 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

I do not know IF or WHO reads john's COT charts but my own So What perception about USDX 's rocket is that its rally particularly vs the major pups was/is tad too much.

As eurdlr hits 1.1788, dlrcad down some = maybe the lopsided positioning is not so lopsided anymore

dc CB 20:36 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

Mtl JP 19:48 GMT

WTI ...+ Dollar broke above 94 and cud not hold....but mainly WTI solidly above 7150

Mtl JP 20:26 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

nh I beg your pardon - I did not consider u d still be long from may 16th was it ?

Livingston nh 19:52 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

jp - first you help me -- 1.31

Mtl JP 19:48 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

c'mon nh HELP me
tits the USDCAD to 1.2750-ish *>.

Livingston nh 19:44 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

wow - I go out on a beautiful day for an extended lunch and I return to DOOM

First - I'd like to say you should ignore guys like Hatzius (well intentioned though he may be) - enter the WayBack Machine and listen to how many times you hear this over the last 60 years // they don't understand becuz they learned under a generation of folks who grew up in a widget based economy // the big problem of DEBT is that the money is not used for Capital purposes but for Lifestyle maintenance

Second - Pompeo's demands indicate that he has never practiced divorce law negotiations -- filter all of that tripe and ask "what does he really want?" - sanctions only work, if everybody involved agrees

Third - REAL war w/ Iran is neither an option nor desire of US -- so oil is plentiful and will remain so -- OPEC has indeed cut back supply BUT it is taking longer to be "effective" because the Demand side, that was projected when the Saudis sold this bag of beans to its colleagues, has fallen short (Strong USD + high interest rates = higher or lower oil price?)

I'm watching inflation, NK, EU, and BREXIT for DANGER !!

Mtl JP 19:44 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

I keep scratching my noggin 1) how do folks like this get the job in the first place and 2) how come they get to keep it. At least hrkr is non-voter

(RTRS) Harker could back 3 more Fed rate hikes in face of U.S. inflation

“That could be as early as June, I don’t know,” added Harker

GVI Trader john 19:36 GMT May 21, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

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GVI EURUSD MACRO Bias:

NEGATIVE

This Week: 1.1717-1.1779
Mon: 1.1717-1.1779
Fri: 1.1789-1.1823
Thu: 1.1777-1.1838


Spot EURUSD: 1.1772
Pivot Point: 1.1756

20-day avg: 1.1953
50-day avg: 1.2176
100-day avg: 1.2228
200-day avg: 1.2024

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Jun 13: 100% (100%)

dc CB 19:20 GMT May 21, 2018
Irony (not pressing a crease in your slacks)
Reply   
jp
recall the DB/Exec Order posting from last week?
Well don't spit-up in your soup.

Eric Holder
‏Verified account @EricHolder

Trump demand for DOJ investigation is dangerous/democracy threatening. DOJ response is disappointing.There is no basis/no predicate for an http://inquiry.It ’s time to stand for time honored DOJ independence.That separation from White House is a critical part of our system.
9:10 AM - 21 May 2018

GVI Forex Blog 19:13 GMT May 21, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 21 May 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

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Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 21 May 2018

Mtl JP 18:21 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

here is one disingenuous blab if I ever saw one
but not surprising as it is from

Goldman Sachs: The fiscal outlook for the US 'is not good

dc CB 17:50 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

meanwhile WTI takes out last week's high and is on the road to 73,then 74....DOE shows a draw this week and off to the races.

as you always say...how do I make pips?????

dc CB 17:43 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

what no planeloads of Swiss Francs and 500Euro Cash on palates...need to pay more than Obummer...he sent under $2bln in untraceable cash...we need you to top that Trump...how 'bout $5bln...cash...Yuan this time. lol

Mtl JP 17:26 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

Pomp-eo's 12 basic demands for New Iran Deal:
•Close heavy water reactors
•Allow IAEA inspectors everywhere
•End ballistic missile
•Release US citizens
•End support to Hezbollah, Hamas, IJ, Houthis, Taliban
•Iran must withdraw from Syria
•Iran must support Iraq Gov, disarm Shia militias

else... 'The sting of sanctions will be painful... These will be the strongest sanctions in history when complete'

I suppose the irony of “We acknowledge Iran’s right to defend its people. But not its actions which jeopardize the world’s citizens.”

is lost on pompeo

Mtl JP 17:06 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

CB nevermind his exit to left: and even more nevermind his alleged 6% of polled folks as long as there are the PARs of the world u.s. structural fiscal misconduct is and will be taking center stage at various points in time as it is scheduled to only grow both in nominal as well as percentage metrics.

Mtl JP 16:58 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

nh murrikan hegemony is rapidly diminishing
president trump's diktates are already sounding ridiculous; as they are already being challeged soon they will be challenged more.

dc CB 16:57 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

nh
will 3 get you to 5? dowwise this afternoon?

Livingston nh 16:52 GMT May 21, 2018
sell euro, buy usd

sja - the Pound is testing my "lotta white space below" (1.3111) theory on wkly chart so it should underperform EUR

dc CB 16:45 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

jp
not sure what that link is...however Corker is one of those who decided to Exit Stage Left. He's out of the game, not running.

Livingston nh 16:37 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

jp - stox didn't get any bad news post OPEX so the "Trade War on Hold" was jumped on // Hope is not a plan

In trade the EU response to US sanctions is more important - stay tuned

Mtl JP 16:23 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

dc CB re debt and financing thereof :

Fiscal responsibility? ‘Nobody cares’ and Senator Bob Corker is totally ‘over it’

‘Yeah, I’m over it... it’s just not going to happen. The American people today are not interested in it.’

Mtl JP 16:15 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

next dlrcad support (or target) 1.28 - 1.2790 zone

dc CB 16:07 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

today's auctions
6 mo bill 2.800%
3 mo bill 1.895%

for reference current 5Y yield - 2.902% --- 5ver on the block Wed.

Mtl JP 16:02 GMT May 21, 2018
Trump

huh - male slut gets a million / female slut 130K ?

Mtl JP 15:52 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

usdcad slide finds support at 20day 1.2831
bears watching BUT if us stocks continue to go down usdcad will have difficulty breaching south

Mtl JP 15:47 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

nh 13:39 is that a heads up that profit takers ("what does not maim or kill you disappoints me") lurk ?

DJ now down somewhat at 24,977 from 25,086.49 HoD

GVI Forex Blog 15:46 GMT May 21, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018
Reply   

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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Wed 23 May 2018
AFlash PMIs
AA 08:30 GB- CPI
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
AA 18:00 Fed Policy Minutes
Thu 24 May 2018
AA 08:30 GB- Retail Sales
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
Fri 25 May 2018
AA 08:30 GB- GDP
A 12:30 US- Durable Goods
A 14:00 US- Final University of Michigan
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Tuesday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

Livingston nh 15:24 GMT May 21, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Iran has the NK Playbook - the die is cast // see if NK pulls another rabbit out of the hat in Singapore

Mtl JP 15:21 GMT May 21, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

and what might those pompeo demands be inquiring minds might ask:

{American exceptionalism representative} Pompeo vows US won't allow Iran to develop a nuclear weapon: 'Not now, not ever' - on cnbc

GVI 15:13 GMT May 21, 2018
BREAKING NEWS
Reply   
Iranian Parliament Member: US Sec of State Pompeo demands on Iran are US 'dreams' - press - Another Iranian official says the Pompeo statement shows the US is seeking regime change - Source TradeTheNews.com

Mtl JP 15:13 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

at bottom hour yaks bostic
risk to wallet should not go more than +/- 25pips big max

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 14:19 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

AT directional indicator indicating a top is in the EURUSD as long as 1.1780 stays intact.

The Amazing Trader

Livingston nh 13:39 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

jp - stox appear to be up on hot air and hope

Mtl JP 13:37 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

5 mins in DJ cruising uP +281pts / +1.14%

Mtl JP 12:59 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

usdcad 1.2858
Pivot 1.2863

Sup 1 1.2800
Sup 2 1.2730
Sup 3 1.2667
Pivot Points by the pros at Global-View.com
-
ps canada is closed for Vict Day holiday

Mtl JP 12:50 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

Mnuchin on CNBC:
We've made 'very meaningful progress' with China on trade issues
-
There are still 'some very significant, open issues' to a new NAFTA

Dubai MA 12:49 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

can eurusd reach 1.1790?

HK [email protected] 12:40 GMT May 21, 2018
Trump is great just great:)))
Reply   
*
China has agreed to buy massive amounts of ADDITIONAL Farm/Agricultural Products - would be one of the best things to happen to our farmers in many years!

And Euro per my suggestion few days ago, has good chance to have a rebound from a bottom at 1.1712 . That is when sirens of BUUUY USD seeeell Euro dound.

Mtl JP 12:20 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

usdcad 1.2876
Pivot 1.2863
50 day 1.2816
200 day1.2646

short-term res at 1.2890

Mtl JP 11:41 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

it flat 10-yr probably reflects player ambivalence about eh-quities earlier enthusiasm about munchkin pausing trade war w/china

bonds bit like wendy asking where is the beef

Mtl JP 11:36 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

heading into NY session 10-yr yielding 3.07
i.e. currently what might be called flat

dc CB 10:12 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

fyi.
When the Dow Cash opens it will be not to far from the May high 50-60pts.
Bond/Note futures roll this week into the Sept contract.
Memorial Day Weekend is this weekend. Normally trading drops to near nothing Friday afternoon.
Stock cash won't reopen until Tues the 29th. Some who have made their month will just phone it in and return on June 4. But with Tweeter in Chief vs the MuellerMan, it may be risky to take the week off.

bali sja 09:50 GMT May 21, 2018
sell euro, buy usd

yes old man JP, give us some hints, you prefer gbp or eur go to toilet first?

GVI Trader john 09:40 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

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See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO Bias:

NEGATIVE

Last Week: 1.1764-1.1854
Mon: 1.1717-1.1760
Fri: 1.1789-1.1823
Thu: 1.1777-1.1838


Spot EURUSD: 1.1737
Pivot Point: 1.1782

20-day avg: 1.1975
50-day avg: 1.2188
100-day avg: 1.2231
200-day avg: 1.2023

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Jun 13: 100% (100%)

10-yr Bonds
US: 3.076% +0.70bp
DE: 0.558% -1.2bp
GB: 1.488% -1.4bp

Implied Open
DJ: +234
SP: +15.8



Mtl JP 09:22 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

Sentiment:
‘Sense of relief in equity markets is palpable’ — analysts assess U.S.-China trade truce

link for analysts names

Mtl JP 09:22 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

Sentiment:
‘Sense of relief in equity markets is palpable’ — analysts assess U.S.-China trade truce

link for analysts names

GVI Forex Blog 09:12 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018
Reply   

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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 21 May 2018
AA EZ/CH/CA- Holiday
Wed 23 May 2018
AFlash PMIs
AA 08:30 GB- CPI
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
AA 18:00 Fed Policy Minutes
Thu 24 May 2018
AA 08:30 GB- Retail Sales
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
Fri 25 May 2018
AA 08:30 GB- GDP
A 12:30 US- Durable Goods
A 14:00 US- Final University of Michigan
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

Mtl JP 09:09 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018



one of my fav puppies: udcad
one of top 3 technical players

Mtl JP 08:39 GMT May 21, 2018
sell euro, buy usd

kids... maybe you should be betting on the euro vs gbp race
race into the toilet

jkt abel 08:36 GMT May 21, 2018
sell euro, buy usd

just be careful of what you wished for....has seen many times in the past

kl fs 08:34 GMT May 21, 2018
sell euro, buy usd
Reply   
unless we have a 2-4 figs up day, euro is going down still, sell on rallies
currently 11760ish for 11660-80

Mtl JP 08:34 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

sja huh - r using a straight line protraction ?

Mtl JP 08:33 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

The so-what:
according to some equities influence bond yields.
bond yields affect the uP and DOwn of the USD.

which is a bit like a tail wagging the dog since bond market is bigger than equities market. This means that when bonds take over the leader spot is when the real fun begins.

bali sja 08:32 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

JP, DX --> 100

Fukuoka joyya 08:30 GMT May 21, 2018
long euro!

Buy GBPUSD
Entry: 1.3415 Target: open Stop: 100pips

bought cable....happy trade,

Fukuoka joyya 08:28 GMT May 21, 2018
long euro!
Reply   
Buy EURUSD
Entry: 1.1730 Target: open Stop: 100pips

just bought.....happy trade,

Mtl JP 08:17 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

currently DJ looking to open uP ~200pts

Mtl JP 08:15 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

DLRX 93.948 ytd and HoD
usd still wanted in some places

london red 07:48 GMT May 21, 2018
sell euro, buy usd

i think since we are going straight down today, there is the high risk of squeezing higher. at very least euro needs to trade to 11790 this week and the sooner the better, to avoid making a doji on the weekly chart. there are some big stops below the 38.2% fib at 11710 but expect buy orders 11660-80 and that could be a flash low which could work a move towards the 200dma. it is of course poss for a fast move to extend to 115/11550 but the huge amount of stops under 11710/117 suggests the mkt will be too imbalanced to continue further with a rebalancing of possies.

bali sja 07:13 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

tell her stop being stupid, get over it while her health still allows
she coulda been in prison

Mtl JP 07:09 GMT May 21, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 21 May 2018

stocks in europe:
France's CAC 40 index opens 0.2% higher at 5,627.
U.K.'s FTSE 100 opens 0.4% higher at 7,814.62
Stoxx Europe 600 opens 0.2% higher at 395.28
- MarketWatch

bali sja 06:39 GMT May 21, 2018
sell euro, buy usd

euro 1.1680 then 1.1550
another monday, another high made for the week?

bali sja 06:37 GMT May 21, 2018
sell euro, buy usd

so quiet this monday morning? shocked? hoping? praying? shoulda, coulda?
JP, your cable may meet 1.3350-70 and 1.30-1.31

bali sja 02:47 GMT May 21, 2018
sell euro, buy usd
Reply   
wonderful, new lows everyday
thanks red for the recommendation last friday
over 90% chance seeing euro low early this week..cheers

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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