STG AndersenBands 23:50 GMT May 24, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis
Daily list of top 5 and bottom 5 short-term and long-term momentum rankings out of 28 primary currency pairs and crosses:
Top 5 short-term momentum: $AUDNZD $AUDCAD $USDCAD $AUDUSD $AUDCHF
Bottom 5 short-term momentum: $EURCHF $EURUSD $GBPUSD $GBPAUD $EURAUD
Top 5 long-term momentum: $USDCHF $AUDNZD $USDJPY $CADCHF $AUDCHF
Bottom 5 long-term momentum: $NZDJPY $CHFJPY $NZDUSD $EURUSD $GBPUSD
STG AndersenBands 23:39 GMT May 24, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis
Highlights going into Friday, 25 May-
Volatility has generally remained elevated and is not likely to persist.
However, price ranges have compressed significantly for $EURUSd and $NZDUSD and are anticipated to increase relatively soon.
Short-term momentum changes:
Positive - $AUDCAD
Negative - $CADCHF, $CADJPY, $CHFJPY, $USDJPY
Long-term momentum changes:
Positive - none
Negative - none
The structure has turned negative for $CADJPY, $CHFJPY, $EURJPY $NZDJPY
The image with this post ranks short-term momentum for the majors. The strongest momentum is ranked "1" in dark green and "8" is the weakest or most negative. This gives you a visual representation of strength and weakness to construct trades with corresponding pairs and crosses that represent buying strength and selling weakness. The most opportunistic trades tend to be when there is a shift in trend moving toward the top or bottom of the momentum ranks (See JPY).
Make it a great day!
GVI Forex Blog 17:40 GMT May 24, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 25 May 2018
Reply
GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium
Fri 25 May 2018
A 08:00 DE- IFO Survey
AA 08:30 GB- GDP
A 12:30 US- Durable Goods
A 14:00 US- Final University of Michigan
GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium
Mon 28 May 2018
AA GB/US- Holiday
Tue 29 May 2018
A CB Consumer Confidence
Wed 30 May 2018
AA 12:15 US- ADP Private Payrolls
A 12:30 US- GDP
A 14:00 CA- Bank of Canada
Thu 31 May 2018
A 06:00 DE- Retail Sales
A 09:00 EZ- flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
AA 12:30 US- Core PCE Deflator
A 14:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
A 15:00 US- EIA Crude
Fri 1 Jun 2018
A Various Final PMIs
A 08:30 GB- GDP
A 12:30 US- Durable Goods
AA 12:30 US- Employment
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com
Friday Trading Checklist For 25 May 2018
PAR 17:06 GMT May 24, 2018
RISK ON
Trump.doesn't want to.play golf with.the stock market.down.
Bad for his handicap .
dc CB 17:05 GMT May 24, 2018
RISK ON
7Y high yield 2.930%, WI 2.935%,
10Y current 2.975
PAR 16:49 GMT May 24, 2018
RISK ON
PPT coming with huge buy orders. The great leader wants a strong stock market to make America great again .
PAR 16:14 GMT May 24, 2018
RISK ON
One more FED speaker and US markets close sharply higher.
Another great week for world stock markets .
dc CB 15:46 GMT May 24, 2018
RISK ON
red
Mutual Self Destruction....same thing applied during the Cold War and Nukes.
dc CB 15:44 GMT May 24, 2018
RISK ON
not the printers of fiat.
Bill Clinton, Rubin, Summers, who changed to rules at the turn of the Century, allowing "off the books" trades along with tearing down that Wall...Glass Steg..
See why she was the Queen Apparent..and how her loss really upset soooooooo many
london red 15:42 GMT May 24, 2018
RISK ON
if i was on the other side of those derivatives it would be in my interests to force them over the cliff. im surprised its not happened yet.
Mtl JP 15:33 GMT May 24, 2018
RISK ON
Caveat : I dont have the source handy atm so fwiw:
recently read that DB;s pile of derivatives and crap financials sum-totals ~$46 t r i l l i o n. for perspective US gross GDP is approx 50% of that.
Bottom line thanks should be sent to all the printers of fiat.
dc CB 15:08 GMT May 24, 2018
RISK ON
fwiw
methinks that DB is scaring the markets more than the Tweeter in Chief. DB is sitting on the cancer that has been metassizing since before 2007. ---
Mtl JP 15:06 GMT May 24, 2018
RISK ON
Sheeesh ... what is wrong with President Trump ?
addressing his letter to Kim as His Excellency
Livingston nh 15:03 GMT May 24, 2018
RISK ON
Markets getting Presidential Karate Kid treatment (wax on wax off) - we have a trade agreement we don't have, we have a summit we don't have
london red 15:02 GMT May 24, 2018
RISK ON
key fib sup for usdjpy 108.78, then 108-108.30
Livingston nh 14:58 GMT May 24, 2018
RISK ON
jp - barring a nuclear attack the FED hikes June 13 (and we get new DOTS) - the MAY CPI is released the day before so there may be some 24 hour media squalls // Bostic seemed to be a bit dovish so maybe September gets marked down by Market
dc CB 14:49 GMT May 24, 2018
RISK ON
PAR 14:12
BTFD
not a good idea .
Mtl JP 14:45 GMT May 24, 2018
RISK ON
red 14:23 how comfortable r u w/players being 100% certain of june jerome hike
PAR 14:44 GMT May 24, 2018
Deutsche Bank
Reply
Deutsche bank.CoCo s. If ECB forces Italian , Portugese and Spanish banks.to clean up the mess. ECBshould take.the same actions on.German banks .
Nobody seems to have any.idea of the derivatives positions of DB .
Belgrade Knez 14:41 GMT May 24, 2018
RISK ON
eurusd nicely bounce off of WO and last week low (1.1750) ..... hope it continues to fall.
london red 14:38 GMT May 24, 2018
RISK ON
sorry that low on the 10 last week was 2.953
Mtl JP 14:35 GMT May 24, 2018
RISK ON
PAR do u realize that your money (on deposit) is in the same book-keeping column as employee salary overhead cost ?
reduce both and bingo .... bank looks sunnier
Mtl JP 14:28 GMT May 24, 2018
BREAKING NEWS
CB 14:10 in the peddler of used homes world often the gross qtn asked is not what can the aspiring buyer afford but a more refined one asking what monthlies can the prospect afford . gimme $1/week payments and I sign an infinite deal type thing. But it is not exclusive to just home peddlers - recently some country issued 100-yr bond *-*
and found takers
PAR 14:26 GMT May 24, 2018
RISK ON
Deutsche Bank . 10.23 Multi decade low.
I want my money back and I want it.now.
Counterparties getting nervous. Clients getting nervous .
Employees gettin fired .
london red 14:23 GMT May 24, 2018
RISK ON
10y prev wk low 2.975. if goes under then poss we could see deeper correction to 2.90-2.70..
usdyen appears to be failing at 10920 sup looks good to 10850-80 where could be worth a long.
PAR 14:21 GMT May 24, 2018
RISK ON
Long EURUSD ftom yesterday @ 1.1690.
Stop at entry level .Stay long EURUSD as long as ECB keeps buying all that peripheral junk.
Mtl JP 14:20 GMT May 24, 2018
RISK ON
lets see...
voter bostic at bottom of hour
carney at 1300NYT
nv harker one hour after carny
villeroy (ecb suit) one hour after harker
london red 14:15 GMT May 24, 2018
RISK ON
euro channels at 11766 and 11809. inbetween that old fib 11790 hampered trade. if 66 channel doesnt hold then 11790-11830 shud be good fade. recent high 11831 can sheild stop as any higher and you look to 200dma.
PAR 14:12 GMT May 24, 2018
RISK ON
Reply
Plenty of FED speakers to talk US markets higher .
BTFD
HK [email protected] 14:12 GMT May 24, 2018
Having reportedly seen 200 North Koreans die following the collapse of a tunnel at the Punggye-ri
Reply
*
Way of Dictators.
Conceal the evidence:)
Reminds me in manila many years ago:
Two months before the deadline set by Imelda, the sixth floor collapsed on an unknown group of workers in November 1981. Work reportedly did not stop for the recovery of the bodies and they were buried along with the cement and debris.
The number of those killed remained unclear due to heavy censorship at the time. Baltazar Endriga, former CCP chair, once estimated it in previous reports at 30, while a group of psychics claimed it could be more than 100.
Read more: http://business.inquirer.net/236962/imelda-marcos-edifice-complex#ixzz5GQcRJQ1E
Follow us: @inquirerdotnet on Twitter - inquirerdotnet on Facebook
dc CB 14:10 GMT May 24, 2018
BREAKING NEWS
D'OH!!!!!
NAR: "home prices keep climbing above what many home shoppers are able to afford.”
dc CB 14:02 GMT May 24, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018
10Y --- 2.964
so what's more impt to Trump et al. The price of money or talks with a defanged RocketBoy.
--------------------------------------------------------
Having reportedly seen 200 North Koreans die following the collapse of a tunnel at the Punggye-ri nuclear test site earlier in the year, Kim Jong-Un has officially (and intentionally) imploded the mountain-side facility overnight. ZH
Test site no more
HK [email protected] 13:46 GMT May 24, 2018
Turkish Lira
*
The Sultan still have many days to election.
Trying "One Thousand and One Nights" verbal methods to stabilize his Lira.
Meanwhile over 5 USD/TRY is likely.
And the Turks put the blame on outsiders manipulating their currency.
The only solution for the Turkish fork, buy USD or Gold.
GVI Trader 13:46 GMT May 24, 2018
BREAKING NEWS
09:44 (KR) Pres Trump sends letter to North Korea's Kim: says inappropriate to have summit at this time; looks forward very much to meeting some day
- Says Kim should call or write if he changes his mind
- Source TradeTheNews.com
Mtl JP 13:09 GMT May 24, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018
nh 01:31 basically I figure players have discounted june hike so that being baked in dlr's gains support from that corner should be limited
meaning I ll be needing to see a breakout of that old range I mentioned before (1.2730 - 1.2930) In the meantime I maintain my preferred bias to sell usd rallies
Yield - 9:01:49 AM EDT
2.981 %
US 10-YR (US10Y:U.S.)
Mtl JP 12:49 GMT May 24, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Higher
in a follow-up So What lets see what if any effect more jobless claimants will have on existing home sales which are coming out next in little more than an hour
dc CB 12:13 GMT May 24, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 24 May 2018
At exactly 7AM the Crude was hit with selling knocking it into the 70 handle - 50 cents in 15 mins.
Will we see the 69 handle before the end of trading Friday.
This of course will have zero effect on the price of gasoline at the pump as the Memorial day travel-a-thon shifts into high gear.
GVI 11:47 GMT May 24, 2018
BREAKING NEWS
ECB ACCOUNT OF THE MONETARY POLICY MEETING (APR MINUTES): Broadly agree that inflation progress was insufficient; caution needed as economic outlook is more uncertain - Q1 slowdown partly due to one-off factors but broad-based - More pronounced weakening of demand cannot be ruled out as capacity constraints are more pronounced - Reiterates view that inflation to rise towards target in the medium term; strengthening nominal wage providing some comfort - Trade woes could trigger disorderly FX moves and volatility
- Source TradeTheNews.com
dc CB 10:59 GMT May 24, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 24 May 2018
last full trading day in US for the week --- unofficially.
WashPost: More than 1 million people who live in and around Washington say they plan to head elsewhere this Memorial Day weekend, the official kickoff of summer, according to AAA, and if you are one of them you might want to pick a time other than Thursday afternoon to hit the road.
PAR 10:50 GMT May 24, 2018
Deutsche Bank
Reply
DB shares tumble to decade low on subtle profit warning .
Can DB survive or are taxpayers on the hook as usual in Europe .
Melbourne 10:43 GMT May 24, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 24 May 2018
hello, i am new here and if you want Assignment help then please click on the link.
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Mtl JP 09:38 GMT May 24, 2018
VIX
naiiii-ss .... day at work eh ?
GVI Trader john 09:12 GMT May 24, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 24 May 2018
For AT Trading
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GVI EURUSD MACRO Bias:
NEGATIVE
This Week: 1.1676-1.1830
Thu: 1.1691-1.1746
Wed: 1.1676-1.1789
Tue: 1.1757-1.1830
Mon: 1.1717-1.1779
Spot EURUSD: 1.1740
Pivot Point: 1.1789
20-day avg: 1.1907
50-day avg: 1.2151
100-day avg: 1.2223
200-day avg: 1.2024
Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points
Fed 25bp hike odds for Jun 13: 100% (100%)
10-yr Bonds
US: 3.003% -0.3bp
DE: 0.516% +1.2bp
GB: 1.439% -0.3bp
DAX: +9
Implied Open
DJ: -18
SP: -0.6
london red 08:40 GMT May 24, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis
appears euro and cable will get a reprieve today and poss hit key res today then get run down. 13380-134 stop 13345 tgt 13450 ahead of tenkan and 10dma. might work.
london red 08:33 GMT May 24, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis
bad weather in march likely to have helped april but not bad nevertheless. may will be imp as periods around easter v diff to extrapolate.
GVI Forex Blog 08:15 GMT May 24, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist For 24 May 2018
Reply
GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium
Thu 24 May 2018
AA 08:30 GB- Retail Sales
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
Fri 25 May 2018
AA 08:30 GB- GDP
A 12:30 US- Durable Goods
A 14:00 US- Final University of Michigan
GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium
Mon 28 May 2018
AA GB/US- Holiday
Tue 29 May 2018
A CB Consumer Confidence
Wed 30 May 2018
AA 12:15 US- ADP Private Payrolls
A 12:30 US- GDP
A 14:00 CA- Bank of Canada
Thu 31 May 2018
A 06:00 DE- Retail Sales
A 09:00 EZ- flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
AA 12:30 US- Core PCE Deflator
A 14:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
A 15:00 US- EIA Crude
Fri 1 Jun 2018
A Various Final PMIs
A 08:30 GB- GDP
A 12:30 US- Durable Goods
AA 12:30 US- Employment
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com
Thursday Trading Checklist For 24 May 2018
london red 08:15 GMT May 24, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis
key sup by 13275/87 and 133 ahead of that. poss 10dma/daily tenkan 13455/60 an area to fade if sales beat.
london red 07:44 GMT May 24, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis
that said if euro is going to be supported today it will be tough for cable to move lower and stay lower. eurgbp would be a good fade around 8800-05. only abv 8840 does the picture change.
london red 07:38 GMT May 24, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis
uk retail sales. brc april sales where down 4.2% y/y, the lowest since 2005. while not always perfectly correlated, the risks are to the downside particularly given the earlier easter this year.
PAR 07:34 GMT May 24, 2018
TARIFF s
Reply
Stock markets rally as Trump wants to introduce new tariff's .
Tariff's are good as US companies make more money .
london red 07:25 GMT May 24, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis
euro moving abv hourly kijun can extend to 11750 on an hourly close abv. thinning hourly cloud whose base is by 11773 may well be as far as it gets. a further extension to 11790-11831 poss if cloud base breached. only abv 11831 can you look to 200dma. while below 200dma u shud still be fading rallies imo.
bali sja 07:07 GMT May 24, 2018
Turkish Lira
it is also more about political reason, some want Erdogan to be toppled out, but that's another forum to talk about
Sydney ACC 07:06 GMT May 24, 2018
Turkish Lira
And probably more important if there is a meltdown, it is adjacent to the EU.
Belgrade Knez 06:59 GMT May 24, 2018
Turkish Lira
london red
thank you.
london red 06:56 GMT May 24, 2018
Turkish Lira
The lira is in the EM sphere which is pressurised by rising US rates/usd (one eg is a lot of bonds issued in usd which become more expennsive to pay). Eventually collapsing EM assets hit DM stocks and commodities. There comes a point of no return. We are close but not there yet, hence eyes on Turkey to do whats need, raise rates and make changes to their economy.
Belgrade Knez 06:45 GMT May 24, 2018
Turkish Lira
why is Turkish Lira so important that everyone talks about it?
does it effect major currency movement, or simply interested to those that trading Turkish Lira?
PAR 06:45 GMT May 24, 2018
RISK ON
Reply
Risk on as the great US cheerleader will appear on Fox & Friends.
Sydney ACC 06:41 GMT May 24, 2018
Turkish Lira
Reply
Down 3% in the last two hours since Europe kicked in.
Texas City 06:18 GMT May 24, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis
The US Dollar, though concluded Wednesday's session cautiously far and wide afield along, pulled serve some of its gains as the FOMC meeting minutes crossed the wires. Heading into the official pardon of the document, the markets were already widely anticipating a rate hike at the Feds moreover-door-door monetary policy flyer in June. In fact, this months merged rate decision prepped the markets for it as the central bank upgraded its views in this area inflation.
This in incline made officials expectations on prices arguably the most important aspect of the declaration as the markets gauge the likelihood of new tightening thereafter. On this front, policymakers noted that it was premature to conclude that inflation would remain at levels in the region of 2 percent. In append, members noted that a modest inflation overshoot could be obliging.
The US giving out goodwill yields from all ends of the maturity date spectrum declined to signal ebbing hawkish Fed rate hike expectations. Stocks concerning the calculation hand climbed bearing in mind the S&P 500 closing not quite 0.32% progressive. It seems that the comments indicated that Federal Reserve officials are perhaps in no hurry to tighten more speedily. But do save in mind that in the US, well along rates are still utterly much likely concerning the enlargement this year.
It is furthermore important to note that the Fed is back to monitoring the current global trading atmosphere. The minutes showed that in regards to trade policies, a number of participants viewed the range of attainable outcomes for economic ruckus and inflation to be particularly broad. They noted that uncertainty surrounding trade issues could wet issue sentiment and spending.
Speaking of that, as the markets transitioned into Thursday's session, US President Donald Trump was behind weighing Section 232 to believe to be tariffs of occurring to 25% in this area auto imports. The justification for it was via national security grounds.
Mtl JP 04:32 GMT May 24, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018
yo kids ... note that :
@realDonaldTrump
Follow Follow @realDonaldTrump
Will be interviewed on @foxandfriends tomorrow morning at 6:00 A.M. Enjoy!
ithaca sjm 03:33 GMT May 24, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis
Lots of numbers...…
don't have a Phd in quantum physics, but short usd against Yen, gbp & eur within last hour, 1 month timeframe. 5 % s/l.no interest in loonie until >1.3150 or below 1.25. $ is done.
bali sja 03:31 GMT May 24, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018
i share your sentiment nh re. usd
ultimately rates are the determining factor, everybody is looking after yield which is a rare thing lately
for buy and hold play and less stress usd is the choice, of course intraday and short term noises at overbought levels can produce some two way action but ultimately usd is still going strong on longer time frame
still looking for DX 100
STG AndersenBands 02:54 GMT May 24, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis
Daily list of top 5 and bottom 5 short-term and long-term momentum rankings out of 28 primary currency pairs and crosses:
Top 5 short-term momentum: $AUDNZD $USDCHF $USDJPY $USDCAD $AUDJPY
Bottom 5 short-term momentum: $GBPCAD $EURAUD $EURUSD $GBPAUD $GBPUSD
Top 5 long-term momentum: $USDCHF $USDJPY $CADCHF $AUDNZD $AUDCHF
Bottom 5 long-term momentum: $CHFJPY $AUDCAD $NZDUSD $EURUSD $GBPUSD
STG AndersenBands 02:53 GMT May 24, 2018
Daily Trading Ideas And Analysis
Highlights going into Thursday, 24 May-
Volatility has increased substantially. All 8 of the major currencies exceeded 100% of the normalized typical range (see image).
Short-term momentum changes:
Positive - $USDCAD
Negative - $USDCAD
Long-term momentum changes:
Positive - none
Negative - $NZDCHF
The structure has turned negative for $AUDCHF $AUDJPY $USDJPY
The image with this post highlights the daily range as a percentage of the normalized typical range for the 8 major currencies. Values shaded in blue exceed 1 standard deviation above typical range. Values shaded in orange exceed 1 standard deviation below typical range. Values highlighted in yellow exceed 2 standard deviations above or below typical range. Bold black values are highest or lowest of at least 20 days. Underlined values are lower than prior day.
Make it a great day!
Livingston nh 01:41 GMT May 24, 2018
Extra Extra Read All About It.
NK has been the poster boy over the last 40 yrs for BAD negotiation - like extramarital affairs never negotiate DOWN -- WHAT has the US gained? What's the upside for US?
Livingston nh 01:31 GMT May 24, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 23 May 2018
jp - re:CAD - the intraday moves of the past two weeks has been frustrating (and costly for selling/buying around flat 21 dma) - I still believe rates conquer all so 1.31 is still first target
re: USD - the move since April is modest given the decline in 2017 - the earlier taper move was based on talk, now we have a tightening Fed - the wkly chart is still in a strong uptrend (the yen is still a weight but...) -- what can go wrong?
GVI Trader Jay Meisler 01:17 GMT May 24, 2018
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April 2018 U.K. Retail Sales Data bet m/m street estimates. GBP gains.
