Forex Forum Archive for 06/18/2018

lkwd jj 23:56 GMT June 18, 2018
stox
Reply   
whats the news sending jpy stronger and stox lower ?

Livingston nh 23:13 GMT June 18, 2018
Bank of England Thursday

It's doubtful that Carney is willing to be hanged on the Brexit Gallows

Mtl JP 23:00 GMT June 18, 2018
Bank of England Thursday



I was wondering ... what /who was going to make me smack my forehead today. Now that know I ll go to sleep a bit smarter for it ^o^

Livingston nh 22:58 GMT June 18, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 19 June 2018

I mentioned the 10 yr cycle of financial crisis last week - take a look at the Thai Baht // since Donnie met Kimmie there's been a bit of turmoil in the KRW, TWD and others in the area

Powell has basically cut off the EM folks - "not our problem"
Probably nuthin'
__
Merkel and MAY are fine, they'll survive -- probably nuthin'
__
South America is melting down but no common thread - Brazil, Argentina and venezuela -- probably nuthin'

Can't worry about every little thing

GVI Trader john 22:37 GMT June 18, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 19 June 2018

10-yr late 2.917% barely changed
DJ -103

lkwd jj 22:34 GMT June 18, 2018
euro
Reply   
whats upside target for euro to sell against , take profit on contra trade?

GVI Trader john 22:22 GMT June 18, 2018
Bank of England Thursday

any questions about the importance of prospective BOE policy should be self-evident to anyone paying attention.

GVI Trader john 20:16 GMT June 18, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 19 June 2018

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GVI EURUSD MACRO Bias:

NEGATIVE


Spot EURUSD: 1.1614
Pivot Point: 1.1601

Last Week: 1.1565-1.1624
Mon: 1.1565-1.1624
Fri: 1.1543-1.1627
Thu: 1.1590-1.1852
Wed: 1.1726-1.1809

20-day avg: 1.1697
50-day avg: 1.1927
100-day avg: 1.2137
200-day avg: 1.2005

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Fed 25bp hike odds for Sep 26: 72% (72%)

Mtl JP 19:42 GMT June 18, 2018
Bank of England Thursday

GBP 1.3241
and the So What __ is...
that GBP has a slight down bias

amazing lazy summer: around NY open level was 1.3250
wont last tho altho went the rabbit will bolt is impossible to predict

GVI Trader john 19:21 GMT June 18, 2018
Bank of England Thursday
Reply   


The line to watch is the green one 2-yr gilt). It is showing no signs of pressure for an imminent rate hike on Thursday or immediately afterwards.

GVI Forex Blog 19:11 GMT June 18, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 18 June 2018
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Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 18 June 2018

GVI Forex Blog 18:08 GMT June 18, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 19 June 2018
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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 19 June 2018
A 12:30 US- House Permits/Starts
Wed 20 June 2018
A 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 21 June 2018
AA 11:00 GB- Bank of England Decision
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 22 June 2018
AFlash PMIs

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

---

Tuesday Trading Checklist 19 June 2018

PAR 17:20 GMT June 18, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

VIX hitting sessions low.

GVI Trader john 17:14 GMT June 18, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

So here is a "dove" supporting higher interest rates.

GVI 17:13 GMT June 18, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Fed's Bostic (voter, dove): I don't think we are quite at neutral interest rate; not certain how many more hikes it will take to get there - Sees output growing moderately above trend this and next year - Business confidence is fading on tariff worries - Inflation and wages don't seem to be headed for unsustainable pace of increase; inflation will likely stay around 2% target - Recent strength tied more to temporary factors; does not see major shift in momentum - Source TradeTheNews.com

Mtl JP 17:07 GMT June 18, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 18 June 2018

bostic yakking
at bottom hour draghi's turn

GVI Trader john 17:02 GMT June 18, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 18 June 2018

10-yr 2.926%
DJ -154

Yield creeping higher.

GVI Forex Blog 16:02 GMT June 18, 2018
Equities Lower. 10-yr Yield Us. FX: USD & EUR Mixed
Reply   

Equities Lower. 10-yr Yield Us. FX: USD & EUR Mixed

Bali Sja 15:57 GMT June 18, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 18 June 2018

Dont fight the trend. Momentum not on your side.

Mtl JP 15:46 GMT June 18, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 18 June 2018

USDCAD 1.3225
see if level holds res

Mtl JP 15:13 GMT June 18, 2018
IMMIGRATION EUROPE

For the "Trump will never ever let the market go down" record:
DJ ~24923
SnP ~ 2774

PAR 14:52 GMT June 18, 2018
IMMIGRATION EUROPE

BTFD . Do you really think Trump will let the stock market go down because of a trade war with China . Trump will never ever let the market go down .

lkwd jj 14:51 GMT June 18, 2018
usdjpy
Reply   
i would expect usdjpy to rise once risk aversion theme dissipates as stox rebound but not getting signal....yet

Mtl JP 14:49 GMT June 18, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 18 June 2018

if euro loses test of 1.1624 it ll hop to 1.1650 in a flash

Livingston nh 14:08 GMT June 18, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 18 June 2018

A break in Cable to 21 mth ma (1.3120) takes the EUR down too - US stox have a gap sub spx 2740 (2685 support)

GVI Trader john 14:00 GMT June 18, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. NAHB Index June 2018

NEWS ALERT
68 vs. 70.0 exp. vs. 70.0 (r) prev.

RELEASE: NAHB Index

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TTN: Live News Special Offer

Livingston nh 13:57 GMT June 18, 2018
IMMIGRATION EUROPE

Took a long for the birds on a wire to lock onto Italy's political turmoil - watch for the move

PAR 13:53 GMT June 18, 2018
IMMIGRATION EUROPE

Markets don't care about Merkel . Markets care about money and profits .

Mtl JP 13:51 GMT June 18, 2018
IMMIGRATION EUROPE

PAR 13:16 and what is that: lose power like angela is about to lose ?
politicians r temporary and disposable.
only useful purpose they offer is to try to make a few $$ off them / their policies

PAR 13:50 GMT June 18, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 18 June 2018

BTFD . Trading made simple .

Mtl JP 13:37 GMT June 18, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 18 June 2018

DJ off about -260pts bit more than 1%
sofar dlr zzzs, relatively speaking

Mtl JP 13:23 GMT June 18, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 18 June 2018

EURO 1.1597:
1.1593 low of the NY session
sub 1.1580 risks a woosh to 1.1540-ish
in my optique

PAR 13:16 GMT June 18, 2018
IMMIGRATION EUROPE

Trump

We don’t want what is happening with immigration in Europe to happen with us!

Mtl JP 13:15 GMT June 18, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 18 June 2018

that despite US 10-YR Yield - 9:09:36 AM EDT
2.91 % -0.014

Mtl JP 13:11 GMT June 18, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 18 June 2018

currently DJ looks to open ~ -200 down

Livingston nh 13:02 GMT June 18, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 18 June 2018

Swissy looks to be favored so far

Mtl JP 12:57 GMT June 18, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 18 June 2018

which makes it a fast in/out low spread artist (scalpers) steal what u can trading environment

Mtl JP 12:54 GMT June 18, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 18 June 2018

as long as euro is inside Fri: 1.1543-1.1627 (john 09:28)
market zzzs

Livingston nh 12:52 GMT June 18, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

The good and the great have always misunderstood the motivations of the Great Unwashed - change is disruptive

GVI 12:38 GMT June 18, 2018
BREAKING NEWS
Reply   
Germany Chancellor Merkel: We agree CSU and CDU have common goal of better organising immigration into this country and significantly reducing number of people entering Germany
- Supports 62 of 63 points of Seehofer's plan- We believe that unjustified turning away of people at our borders could lead to undesired domino effects
- I have been assured support for seeking bilateral agreements ahead of the end-June EU summit
- Got strong negotiating mandate from CDU and CSU today
- Has been a serious debate, but we want to act together with the CSU

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Livingston nh 12:18 GMT June 18, 2018
IMMIGRATION EUROPE

There's a ferry service running between North Africa and Europe - this is an economic flight - Do gooder social policy in the EU encourages this

Merkel's problem in her coalition is she is out of touch w/ many people in Germany re: immigrants

We're having similar discussions in the US -- the 1990s post Berlin Wall euphoria and the new ERA of globalisation is receding and these cross border conflicts will intensify

So get ready

Mtl JP 12:16 GMT June 18, 2018
ECB Forum on Central Banking
Reply   
PAR --- click the 2018 Forum — Speakers link and you ll see the roster of all who are allegedly "enemy of the people" , all conveniently gathered in one place:

2018 ECB Forum on Central Banking - Sintra, Portugal 18-20 June 2018

PAR 12:01 GMT June 18, 2018
IMMIGRATION EUROPE
Reply   
Europe s problems caused by American wars in Iran and Afghanistan .
American plans for regime change in Syria and Iran .

USA and France sponsored removal of Gaddafi and the resulting chaos in Lybia .


Non of this is Europe s fault , but Europe has to pay for the consequences and the refugees .

SO UNFAIR .

SaaR KaL 10:25 GMT June 18, 2018
Trades

AUDJPY Longs
82.3553 81.2459
for possible
84.6866

Mtl JP 09:28 GMT June 18, 2018
BIS says
Reply   
According to the BIS sherlock

The bigger Cryptocurrencies get, the worse they perform: BIS

LONDON (Reuters) - Cryptocurrencies are not scalable and are more likely to suffer a breakdown in trust and efficiency the greater the number of people using them, the Bank of International Settlements (BIS)said on Sunday in its latest warning about the rise of virtual currencies.

GVI Trader john 09:28 GMT June 18, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 18 June 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!

GVI EURUSD MACRO Bias:

NEGATIVE


Spot EURUSD: 1.1605
Pivot Point: 1.1594

Last Week: 1.1543-1.1824
Mon: 1.1565-1.1611
Fri: 1.1543-1.1627
Thu: 1.1590-1.1852
Wed: 1.1726-1.1809

20-day avg: 1.1705
50-day avg: 1.1941
100-day avg: 1.2140
200-day avg: 1.2087

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Fed 25bp hike odds for Sep 26: 72% (72%)

10-yr Bonds
US: 2.910% +0.6bp
DE: 0.395% -4.8bp
GB: 1.309% +0.1bp
IT: 2.619% +0.2bp

DAX: -108
Implied Open
DJ: -130
SP: -11.0

---

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GVI Forex Blog 09:14 GMT June 18, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 18 June 2018
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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 19 June 2018
A 12:30 US- House Permits/Starts
Wed 20 June 2018
A 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 21 June 2018
AA 11:00 GB- Bank of England Decision
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 22 June 2018
AFlash PMIs

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

---

Monday Trading Checklist 18 June 2018

GVI Forex Blog 09:11 GMT June 18, 2018
Equities Lower. 10-yr Yields Mixed. FX: USD & EUR Mixed
Reply   

Equities Lower. 10-yr Yields Mixed. FX: USD & EUR Mixed

SaaR KaL 06:25 GMT June 18, 2018
Trades

GBPAUD Shorts very recommended
Friday close expected
1.7544 1.7325

SaaR KaL 05:47 GMT June 18, 2018
Trades

Oil reversal
From below
62.6756

friday close
65.2247 63.8921

SaaR KaL 05:42 GMT June 18, 2018
Trades

Expecting friday close
Cable
1.3237 1.3083
will short above 1.3376

EURUSD
1.1637 1.1472
will short from
1.1765

SaaR KaL 04:43 GMT June 18, 2018
Trades
Reply   
Now into Shorts USDCAD
Long AUDUSD
Long NZDUSD
Shorts GBPAUD and GBPNZD
Longs Gold