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Forex Forum Archive for 06/25/2018

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


dc CB 23:37 GMT June 25, 2018
Election Pressing



“This assessment is based on specific and credible threats that have been levied against certain DHS employees and a sharp increase in the overall number of general threats against DHS employees,” said Claire Grady, acting deputy secretary of Homeland Security in a Saturday letter to employees.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

There is YUGE Money on both sides of this. And YUGE Money that will profit no matter what.

There Will Be Blood
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

By threatening to secure the border, President Trump is threatening a Washington DC-based business model that makes money for a lot of connected interests.

analysis:
https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2018-06-25/not-reunification-center-attorneys-flock-border-protect-law-breaking-illegal

Burned & Decapitated Animal Carcass Left On DHS Employee's Porch

dc CB 23:24 GMT June 25, 2018
Extra Extra Read All About It.

NEW YORK ( TheStreet) -- The CME Group ( CME) is raising margin requirements on crude oil futures for the first time since March 4, effective the end of trading on Tuesday, May 10.

The initial margin -- the requirement for new positions -- on WTI light sweet crude futures will increase to $8,438 from $6,750 after the close on Tuesday. The maintenance margin -- the margin required for existing positions -- will increase to $6,250 from $5,000.

The margin increases are more significant than the last round of changes in early March. At that time, the initial margin for WTI futures contracts was increased from $6075 to $6750, while the maintenance margin was increased from $4500 to $5000.

Mtl JP 23:03 GMT June 25, 2018
Extra Extra Read All About It.

CME just made trading oil a bit more difficult

Performance Bond Requirements: Energy Margins - Effective June 26, 2018

dc CB 22:41 GMT June 25, 2018
Election Pressing

dc CB 20:25 GMT June 25, 2018
Mtl JP 18:44 GMT 06/25/2018
from your Q last nite ...What it the Risk?
Violence.

Find Profit here

dc CB 21:35 GMT June 25, 2018
Election Pressing

dc CB 20:25 GMT June 25, 2018
Mtl JP 18:44 GMT 06/25/2018
from your Q last nite ...What it the Risk?
Violence.

That was Quick

Trump aides urged to get a gun

dc CB 21:29 GMT June 25, 2018
Election Pressing

if you want the wind to stop ripping the hair off you head...assuming you have hair.
Lionel 'splans what happening South of The(your) Border.
if not put on a hat

Lionel

dc CB 20:41 GMT June 25, 2018
Election Pressing

Conflict Escalation

James Kuntsler

Mtl JP 20:40 GMT June 25, 2018
Election Pressing

CB u dont trust the pres to choke the instigator (JP 18:44) before her cackle goes contagious / systemic ?

dc CB 20:25 GMT June 25, 2018
Election Pressing

Mtl JP 18:44 GMT 06/25/2018
from your Q last nite ...What it the Risk?
Violence.

from ZeroHedge earlier today.
Of the 857 million guns owned by civilians, the Small Arms Survey says 393.3 million are held in the United States, which is “more than those held by civilians in the other top 25 countries combined.”

To clarify - there are more civilian-owned guns in the US than there are people.

imho: All political factions and Non-polticials(who just want to protect themselves, ie survive)

TDS

GVI Trader john 19:57 GMT June 25, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 26 June 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO Bias:

NEGATIVE-TO-NEUTRAL

Spot EURUSD: 1.1707
Pivot Point: 1.1683

Last Week: 1.1629-1.1713
Mon: 1.1629-1.1713
Fri: 1.1601-1.1675
Thu: 1.1509-1.1633

20-day avg: 1.1679
50-day avg: 1.1854
100-day avg: 1.2092
200-day avg: 1.1997

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Sep 26: 84% (84%)

Mtl JP 19:39 GMT June 25, 2018
STOX

SnP = nasty moves down up down up
with 20 minutes left

GVI Forex Blog 19:05 GMT June 25, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 25 June 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 25 June 2018

Mtl JP 19:02 GMT June 25, 2018
Monday trades

corr 35.37 should be 35.37% jump

Mtl JP 19:00 GMT June 25, 2018
Monday trades

VIX at ~35.37
started the day at around 16
makes for a nice day for some

Mtl JP 18:44 GMT June 25, 2018
Election Pressing

CB 23:28 GMT June 24
the pres

tweeted love note maxine

Mtl JP 18:40 GMT June 25, 2018
STOX

maybe things will speed up into NY close

Mtl JP 17:29 GMT June 25, 2018
STOX

ahw well, maybe some other day :
Arms Index shows no panic in the stock market's selloff

the Arms Index suggests investors aren't acting in an overly fearful and panicky way.

london red 17:21 GMT June 25, 2018
Monday trades

prob one more day of euro gains. 11720-11750 while eurgbp is about to close by its 200dma. expect tomo a move higher towards 8850 but an eventual close at or below the 200dma (8818). this will form a st topping formation taking both it and euro lower. only a break abv channel line marking 2018 high and june 14th peak, currently 11756 can argue for 11820-50 and poss a 115-120 summer range.

Mtl JP 16:55 GMT June 25, 2018
STOX

hn = nh -- pardon typo

Mtl JP 16:55 GMT June 25, 2018
STOX

hn ya dont think 2,702.04 the LoD will hold ?

Livingston nh 16:42 GMT June 25, 2018
STOX

End of Quarter trades probably can't bail out June performance - SPX 2690 below

Mtl JP 16:34 GMT June 25, 2018
Monday trades

well kids ... not sure what it will take for the dollar to drop into the toilet.
I had hopes for fairly quick ride to 1.1750ish once the puppy broke N of 1.1675 but so far it is nothing but struggle.
Nevertheless it still seems to me that the dollar is vulnerable.

dc CB 16:25 GMT June 25, 2018
Today in History
Reply   
June 25, 1950. Korean War begins.

Mtl JP 16:22 GMT June 25, 2018
Monday trades

euro 1.17
Res 3 1.1763
Res 2 1.1719
Res 1 1.1689
Pivot 1.1645
Pivot Points by the pros at Global-View.com

Mtl JP 16:17 GMT June 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

IF true (“In the West you have the notion that if somebody hits you on the left cheek, you turn the other cheek,” the Chinese leader said, according to the people. “In our culture we punch back.”) Xi misunderstands western culture.

That is primarily canadian character feature. (lets sit down, have some tea and biscuits and talk about it)

Mtl JP 16:09 GMT June 25, 2018
STOX

2704. --
POOF goes SnP 2708

GVI Trader 15:56 GMT June 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

11:48 (CN) China Pres Xi reportedly told various CEOs last week that Beijing plans to strike back against punitive American tariffs; says "In our culture we punch back" - press
- Xi has also told senior officials recently to promote China’s global role in order to supplant U.S.'s position

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Blog 15:55 GMT June 25, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 26 June 2018
Reply   

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 26 Jun 2018
A 14:00 US- CB Consumer Confidence
Wed 27 Jun 2018
A 12:30 US- Durable Goods
A 14:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 28 June 2018
A 06:00 DE- Retail Sales
AA 12:30 US- GDP
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 29 Jun 2018
AA 07:55 DE- Jobless
AA 09:00 EZ- HICP
A 12:30 US- PCE Deflator
A 14:00 US- Final University of Michigan


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Tuesday Trading Checklist 26 June 2018

Mtl JP 15:44 GMT June 25, 2018
STOX

2715
SnP Low: 2,709.40
puppy s resillient

Mtl JP 15:29 GMT June 25, 2018
Monday trades

euro HoD 1.17004 sofar

Mtl JP 15:20 GMT June 25, 2018
Monday trades

Steven Mnuchin
‏@stevenmnuchin1
Follow Follow @stevenmnuchin1
On behalf of @realDonaldTrump, the stories on investment restrictions in Bloomberg & WSJ are false, fake news. The leaker either doesn’t exist or know the subject very well. Statement will be out not specific to China, but to all countries that are trying to steal our technology.
-
Ok Steven: what about those who not just try but actually do ?
and 2) what will you do when countries develop their own stuff rather than steal yours and thus deprive you of a back-door huh ?
what then ?

Mtl JP 15:07 GMT June 25, 2018
STOX

to go around "metoo" soon someone gonna think to start wearing a dog costume

I feel less stressed as soon as I am in the presence of an animal,”

Livingston nh 14:54 GMT June 25, 2018
STOX

jp last weeks intraday rallies off opening lows started around 11 AM-- on Thursday the rally failed to hold the morning lows and made a new low in afternoon so the pattern broke

I don't think we fill anymore gaps below today but 2735 is likely too far above

Mtl JP 14:37 GMT June 25, 2018
Monday trades

seeing as 1.1675 probed but not followed thru
odds getting better puppy runs N towards 1.1750 and +

Mtl JP 14:34 GMT June 25, 2018
STOX

nh 2720 = ___ (bod?)

Mtl JP 14:30 GMT June 25, 2018
Monday trades

My pivot trading robot is proposing buy stop on 1,1689 sl 73

Mtl JP 14:23 GMT June 25, 2018
Monday trades

EURO 1.1675
testing all traders with nerves of steel
at least those who do trade

Mtl JP 14:19 GMT June 25, 2018
STOX



IF it goes to 2690 then thr gap to last Fr will only get bigger
miam miam

Livingston nh 14:12 GMT June 25, 2018
STOX
Reply   
SPX 2740 filled on open - below 2720 is gap to 2708 and then another down to 2690

Mtl JP 14:12 GMT June 25, 2018
Monday trades

10:03 10-year yield at 2.869%;
2-year yield at 2.525%;
30-year yield at 3.021%
-
DJ off -310pts -1.26% (still not a babson break)

GVI Forex Blog 14:10 GMT June 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S.New Home Sales in May 2018 Mixed
Reply   
May 2018 New Homes Sales. Data beat. Previous data revised lower.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S.New Home Sales in May 2018 Mixed

Mtl JP 14:09 GMT June 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

new house sales:
barely a 5 pip reaction

GVI Trader john 14:04 GMT June 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. New Home Sales May, 2018



ALERT
689K vs. 665K exp. vs. 662K (r 645K) prev.


New Residential Sales


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 14:03 GMT June 25, 2018
Still Bullish EURUSD

Buying eurusd today with 29 pips drops all the way down to... ___

SaaR KaL 14:03 GMT June 25, 2018
Still Bullish EURUSD

AUDJPY Longs
TGT > 82

SaaR KaL 13:53 GMT June 25, 2018
Still Bullish EURUSD

ET I am Buying eurusd today with 29 pips drops
NDX will make a new high Imo > 7350 next week

Mtl JP 13:51 GMT June 25, 2018
Monday trades

We need a new blast of bullsh!t (BoB) from President Trump to send new and additional fear about growth to the hearts and minds of traders

NYC ET 13:51 GMT June 25, 2018
Still Bullish EURUSD

Kal, do you use a stop ans right now you are looking to catch a falling knife.

SaaR KaL 13:44 GMT June 25, 2018
Still Bullish EURUSD
Reply   
I am still long and will buy with dips

Now Buying NDX 100 with dips
tgt 724 or higher

SP 500 Long under 2738
tgt > 2748

Mtl JP 13:36 GMT June 25, 2018
Monday trades

c/paste saves typing
-
09:32 Nasdaq falls 0.8% at 7,629
09:32 Dow down 0.6%, or 150 points, at 24,419: S&P 500 slips 0.5% at 2,741
09:32 U.S. stocks open lower as trade worries weigh on global equities
09:31 U.S. stocks open firmly lower, Dow off 140 points, as trade fears linger
09:30 Trade retaliation worries push Japan’s yen higher, as dollar dips
- MarketWatch
----------------
Some pundits (usually not traders) are asking what would it to get President Trump to reverse his harsh trade barrier belligerence.

Mtl JP 13:20 GMT June 25, 2018
Monday trades

At top of the hour
14:00 A US New Home Sales con: 665 pre: 662
-
This is a 2nd tier data release.
Unlikely worth the effort to game

Mtl JP 12:58 GMT June 25, 2018
Monday trades

Feel the tension around 1.1675 ?
rewards will go to not only the brave but those not repeating mistakes

Mtl JP 12:46 GMT June 25, 2018
Monday trades

I am too lazy to do own calcs so fwiw a copy/paste:
-
08:32 Nasdaq-100 futures off 0.8% to 7,172
08:32 Dow futures down 0.7% to 24,436
08:32 S&P 500 futures down 0.5% to 2,746
- MarketWatch

Mtl JP 12:41 GMT June 25, 2018
Monday trades



do u really need some deep economic analysis ? really ?
-
as long as 1.1675-ish holds gun for 1.1750 and +

Mtl JP 12:36 GMT June 25, 2018
Monday trades

asia stox: down
eur stox: down
us futures: down
-
euro has uP bias on a bunch of metrics:
rejection of 1.15
abouve Pivot
players probably ready to dump their long usds on expectation / sign President Trump (or data) about to impinge on "growth" perceptions.

Livingston nh 12:33 GMT June 25, 2018
Monday trades

But CNY seems to be the focus - and it is not even in the index --- THE EUR/USD is carrying the load and I don't know why
_____

Turkey -- Lira bouncing back and forth so far on a clean sweep for Erdogan but the pesky kurds are in Parliament

Mtl JP 12:28 GMT June 25, 2018
Monday trades

do not worry about CNY
it is not in the index

Livingston nh 12:24 GMT June 25, 2018
Monday trades

Not a fan of that indicator - very narrow - today yen and EUR are stronger but CAD, GBP, AUD weaker and CNY % is weaker than EU stronger- ???

Mtl JP 12:20 GMT June 25, 2018
Monday trades

nh 12:16 why EUROphoria ? why not dlrdumpobia ?
hourly or smaller bar dlrx tells u what u need to know

Mtl JP 12:16 GMT June 25, 2018
Monday trades

as per JP 23:07
robot is now long euro (1.16887)

Livingston nh 12:16 GMT June 25, 2018
Monday trades

What's driving the EUROphoria this AM? -- Juncker's little meeting bombed -- Merkel likely to get a Fudge bar from the Heads of State later BUT probably not enough to save her coalition - ??

Mtl JP 12:14 GMT June 25, 2018
Monday trades

2744.-ish
My feed showing a gap on SnP to 2752.40

Mtl JP 12:00 GMT June 25, 2018
Monday trades

furthermore EURO 20 day 1.1675

Mtl JP 11:47 GMT June 25, 2018
Monday trades



sentiment towards the Dollar

Mtl JP 11:41 GMT June 25, 2018
Monday trades

EURO 1.1682
Res 1 1.1689 - high sofar 1.1686 res holding
Pivot 1.1645
Sup 1 1.1615
Pivot Points by the pros at Global-View.com
got to chose side wisely lol
wise is only after the fact tho :(

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 11:21 GMT June 25, 2018
AT Trading Tips: Forex Trading Pattern
Reply   
Look at an AT chart. When a currency moves straight up or down it generally indicates real money buying or selling.

In this case it was buying that ran the stops at 1.1675. So far 1.1680 = 50% of 1.1852-1.1508 holding. 1.1720 = 61.8%

The Amazing Trader

Mtl JP 09:54 GMT June 25, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 25 June 2018

ohhhhh...

European stocks drop sharply as trade fears lead to ‘dark mood

weighed down by another bout of trade-related angst

GVI Trader john 08:43 GMT June 25, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 25 June 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO Bias:

NEGATIVE

Spot EURUSD: 1.1660
Pivot Point: 1.1645

Last Week: 1.1509-1.1675
Mon: 1.1629-1.1673
Fri: 1.1601-1.1675
Thu: 1.1509-1.1633
Wed: 1.1537-1.1600

20-day avg: 1.1675
50-day avg: 1.1868
100-day avg: 1.2099
200-day avg: 1.1999

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Sep 26: 84% (88%)

10-yr Bonds
US: 2.878% -3.3bp
DE: 0.322% -1.5bp
GB: 1.296% +2.1bp
IT: 2.793% +8.1bp

DAX: -130
Implied Open
DJ: -129
SP: -13.7




See the Amazing Trader Live!

SaaR KaL 08:32 GMT June 25, 2018
Bullish today

Gold shorts above 1270 is good
for 1258

SaaR KaL 08:19 GMT June 25, 2018
Bullish today

EURNZD Buying below
1.6867
adding every 32 pips
tgt 1.6941 to 1.7000

GVI Forex Blog 08:17 GMT June 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: German IFO Survey Mixed in June 2018
Reply   
German IFO from April 2018 changed to include Services, so earlier data are not comparable. June mixed vs. forecasts on the new basis. April data revised up slightly

BREAKING NEWS: German IFO Survey Mixed in June 2018

SaaR KaL 08:10 GMT June 25, 2018
Bullish today

USDJPY wants 110 today

SaaR KaL 08:08 GMT June 25, 2018
Bullish today

gbpjpy wants more 146.6

SaaR KaL 08:06 GMT June 25, 2018
Bullish today

cable wants above 1.3310

GVI Trader john 08:03 GMT June 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

IFO mixed to weaker

SaaR KaL 08:01 GMT June 25, 2018
Bullish today

Buying eurusd 1.1680 adding every 29 pips is good
Pt above 1.1695 with every 29 pips

GVI Trader john 08:01 GMT June 25, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:
Reply   
BREAKING NEWS: German IFO Survey June 2018



NEWS ALERT

Climate: 101.8 vs. 101.8 exp. vs. 102.2 prev.
Current: 105.1 vs. 105.7 exp. vs. 106.0 prev.
Expectations: 98.6 vs. 99.0 exp. vs. 98.5 prev.


IFO Climate Survey



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Blog 07:57 GMT June 25, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 25 June 2018
Reply   

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 25 June 2018
A 08:00 DE IFO Survey
A 14:00 US- New Homes Sales
Tue 26 Jun 2018
A 14:00 US- CB Consumer Confidence
Wed 27 Jun 2018
A 12:30 US- Durable Goods
A 14:00 US- Pending Homes Sales
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 28 June 2018
A 06:00 DE- Retail Sales
AA 12:30 US- GDP
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 29 Jun 2018
AA 07:55 DE- Jobless
AA 09:00 EZ- HICP
A 12:30 US- PCE Deflator
A 14:00 US- Final University of Michigan


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Monday Trading Checklist 25 June 2018

SaaR KaL 06:30 GMT June 25, 2018
Bullish today
Reply   
Buying EURUSD here tgt 1.1710
GBPUSD Long
EURJPY GBPJPY USDJPY all buying

Mtl JP 01:05 GMT June 25, 2018
Election Pressing

How is this for a mistake ?

Trump seeks curbs on Chinese investment in U.S. tech firms, exports to China

New initiatives set to be announced this week

Mtl JP 01:00 GMT June 25, 2018
Election Pressing

CB 23:28 what trade risk / (opp ?) exactly do u c ?

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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