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Forex Forum Archive for 07/03/2018

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Mtl JP 21:52 GMT July 3, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 4 July 2018

PAR merkel is just an "inbetween" reason for euro to pop on occasion. merkel induced pops only exhaust the would be parity enthusiasts. For the grander scheme of things consult my 12:42.

PAR 20:33 GMT July 3, 2018
Merkel
Reply   
How many times can the markets go higher on yet a smoky Merkel agreement ?

Mtl JP 19:43 GMT July 3, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 4 July 2018



USDCAD 1.3138
------------------
Potential trade developing:
I am biased down
I ll be biased even more IF n when priceaction should go below the red line and stay there (see chart)
Targets would be 150 - 200 - 250 pips

Mtl JP 17:31 GMT July 3, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 3 July 2018

YIIIINNNGG
ZTE > MICRON
PAR 16:33 GMT 07/03/2018
Blowback - Nasdaq Plunges After China Blocks Micron Chip Sales


YAAANNG
Micron says has not received Chinese injunction on chip sales
https://www.cnbc.com/.../reuters-america-micron-says-has-not-received-chinese-injun...
20 mins ago
-------------
Not the first time n probably not the last time either this sort of bs happens

GVI Trader john 17:17 GMT July 3, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 4 July 2018

For AT Trading

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GVI EURUSD MACRO Bias:

NEGATIVE-Neutral
Spot EURUSD: 1.1652
Pivot Point: 1.1649

This Week: 1.1591-1.1673
Tue: 1.1621-1.1673
Mon: 1.1591-1.1692
Fri: 1.1558-1.1683
Thu: 1.1527-1.1601

20-day avg: 1.1667
50-day avg: 1.1773
100-day avg: 1.2052
200-day avg: 1.1990


Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Sep 26: 82% (82%)

10-yr Bonds
US: 2.875% +1.8bp
DE: 0.323% +1.4bp
GB: 1.278% +1.3bp
IT: 2.628% -3.4bp

DAX: +71
Implied Open
DJ: +54
SP: +4.7




See the Amazing Trader Live!


Mtl JP 17:17 GMT July 3, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 4 July 2018

Risk of US markets on holiday is worth - Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major ? +_+
-
Asia and europe markets will operate normal schedules.

GVI Forex Blog 17:08 GMT July 3, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 3 July 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 3 July 2018

Mtl JP 16:51 GMT July 3, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 3 July 2018

things could go rather fast into into US markets early close ahead of tom's holiday in a scramble to leave less profits on the table than the next type
-
not predicting it but it can not be a surprise either

GVI Forex Blog 16:43 GMT July 3, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 4 July 2018
Reply   

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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Wed 4 Jul 2018
AA US- Holiday
AFinal Service PMIs
Thu 5 Jul 2018
A Final Service PMIs
A 12:15 US- ADP Payrolls
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
AA 18:00 US- Fed Policy Minutes
Fri 6 Jul 2018
AA 12:30 CA/US- Employment
A 12:30 US/CA- Trade


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Wednesday Trading Checklist 4 July 2018

PAR 16:33 GMT July 3, 2018
ZTE > MICRON
Reply   
Blowback - Nasdaq Plunges After China Blocks Micron Chip Sales

GVI Trader 15:00 GMT July 3, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

EURGBP just slipped on this (pushing EURUsD lower and GBPUSD higher)

0:54 (UK) UK Customs proposal would include collecting EU tariffs at the border - ITV News
- PM May's plan would keep EU rules on goods and agricultural goods ]- Source TradeTheNews.com

Mtl JP 14:48 GMT July 3, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 3 July 2018

dc CB why dont u want oil - why r u dumping it ?
what do u want... $20-35bbl ?

GVI Trader john 14:01 GMT July 3, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Factory Orders May 2018




ALERT
+0.40% vs. 0.00% exp. vs. -0.80% (r )prev. rev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer



lkwd jj 13:40 GMT July 3, 2018
swissy
Reply   
usdchf looks like its attracted to par with bounces off there getting higher .unless it breaks down below .9800

GVI Forex Blog 13:37 GMT July 3, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: Canada Markit PMI Higher in June 2018
Reply   
Canada Markit PMI. Stronger.

 Canada Markit PMI Chart

BREAKING NEWS: Canada Markit PMI Higher in June 2018

GVI Trader john 13:33 GMT July 3, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Canada Markit Mfg PMI June 2018





ALERT
57.1 vs. n/a exp. vs. 56.2 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

lkwd jj 13:27 GMT July 3, 2018
euro
Reply   
since 11505-11850 range its narrowed down to 11535 11720 . if 11590 lows hold its coiling as opposed to staying in descending triangle ( as shown by AT blue diagnal on daily ). no reason to jump the gun ,but gut feeling is going higher. seeing too many red support lines below as opposed to blue ones above.

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 13:03 GMT July 3, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 3 July 2018



I know it is after the fact but AT subscribers had it in real-time. Look how USDCAD held AT resistance at 1,3168 like a wall.

The Amazing Trader

Mtl JP 12:42 GMT July 3, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 3 July 2018

To the draghi whisperers:

from my earlier posts: "Our assessment will be based on three criteria for the inflation outlook: convergence, confidence and resilience." praet 29 January
-
june 14 Draghi: our mantra is to be patient, prudent, and persistent


EZ's growth continues even if at a bit slowed down pace
Keep an eye/ear out for
1) noises about ECB culling their asset buying purchases and
2) rate tightening thereafter
The above is not for the 5-60minute bar artist, rather for the "patient, prudent" crowd.
Bottom Line
is that currently on the longer term the above adds up to bullish euro bias.

Break out N of 1.1840/50 and holding would likely be an early signal.

bali sja 11:45 GMT July 3, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 3 July 2018

Draghi wants euro at parity and below for not raising rates nor ending QE, just follow the game plan, short euro and earn swaps daily on the way to parity and below

Mtl JP 11:31 GMT July 3, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 3 July 2018

seems like earlier "merkel survives to live another day" euro euphoria has petered out.

probably opens up an opportunity to playful sharks to snack on morsels of stops here n there

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 11:25 GMT July 3, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 3 July 2018



Here is a follow up on USDCAD and see AT support (one hour) at 1.3130

The Amazing Trader

PAR 11:23 GMT July 3, 2018
WTO
Reply   
USA may be expelled from if it doesn't abide to the rules .

Mtl JP 11:20 GMT July 3, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 3 July 2018

President Donald Trump: "Many good conversations with North Korea-it is going well! In the meantime, no Rocket Launches or Nuclear Testing in 8 months. All of Asia is thrilled. Only the Opposition Party, which includes the Fake News, is complaining. If not for me, we would now be at War with North Korea!" earlier this morning

yeaah !

GVI Trader john 11:14 GMT July 3, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 3 July 2018

10-yr 2.878%
DJ +94

Scant U.S. data today. Markets close about noon (U.S.) for tomorrow's holiday. Busy calendar at the back end of the week.

Mtl JP 11:01 GMT July 3, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 3 July 2018

EURDLR 1.1650-ish
to expand on john's 08:12 Pivot:

Res 3 1.1793
Res 2 1.1743
Res 1 1.1692

Pivot 1.1642

Sup 1 1.1591
Sup 2 1.1541
Sup 3 1.1490
Pivot Points by the pros at Global-View.com

Whether to sell against R1 (the "standard" - or textbook - assumption) or expect priceaction to bulldoze thru it is... a matter of Art of Trading (some call it "nose")

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 10:53 GMT July 3, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 3 July 2018

USDCAD so far holding just above key AT support at 1.3130

The Amazing Trader

Mtl JP 10:48 GMT July 3, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 3 July 2018

PAR 08:04 before euro can think of 1.18 it will have to deal with 1.1720
i.e break N of it and hold it

GVI Trader john 09:00 GMT July 3, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Eurozone PPI May 2018





ALERT
Headline
mm: +0.80% vs. +0.20% exp. vs. +0.10% (r ) prev.



TTN: Live News Special
Offer

GVI Forex Blog 08:43 GMT July 3, 2018
Breaking News: U.K. Construction PMI Beats mo/mo In June 2018
Reply   
U.K. June 2018 Construction PMI beats estimates. This is more of a domestic measure.

U.K. Construction PMI

Breaking News: U.K. Construction PMI Beats mo/mo In June 2018

PAR 08:40 GMT July 3, 2018
RISK ON / VIX

Start of a big summer rally ?

GVI Trader john 08:39 GMT July 3, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Construction PMI June 2018




-- NEWS ALERT --

53.1 vs. 52.5 exp. vs. 52.5 prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer

Amman wfakhoury 08:35 GMT July 3, 2018
EURUSD

PAR
EURUSD will reach 11670 this hour now11660

GVI Trader john 08:12 GMT July 3, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 3 July 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO Bias:

NEGATIVE-Neutral
Spot EURUSD: 1.1669
Pivot Point: 1.1642

This Week: 1.1591-1.1673
Tue: 1.1621-1.1673
Mon: 1.1591-1.1692
Fri: 1.1558-1.1683
Thu: 1.1527-1.1601

20-day avg: 1.1671
50-day avg: 1.1784
100-day avg: 1.2059
200-day avg: 1.1991


Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Sep 26: 82% (82%)

10-yr Bonds
US: 2.875% +1.8bp
DE: 0.323% +1.4bp
GB: 1.278% +1.3bp
IT: 2.628% -3.4bp

DAX: +71
Implied Open
DJ: +54
SP: +4.7




See the Amazing Trader Live!

PAR 08:04 GMT July 3, 2018
EURUSD
Reply   
Long EURUSD 1.1665 . Stop 1.1635 . Target 1.1800 .

What can't go down must go up ?

GVI Forex Blog 07:46 GMT July 3, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 3 July 2018
Reply   

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 3 Jul 2018
AA 04:30 AU- RBA Decision
Wed 4 Jul 2018
AA US- Holiday
AFinal Service PMIs
Thu 5 Jul 2018
A Final Service PMIs
A 12:15 US- ADP Payrolls
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
AA 18:00 US- Fed Policy Minutes
Fri 6 Jul 2018
AA 12:30 CA/US- Employment
A 12:30 US/CA- Trade


Tuesday Trading Checklist 3 July 2018

PAR 06:38 GMT July 3, 2018
GERMANY

SPD will weiter verhandeln


Reaktionen auf die Einigung von CDU und CSU blockieren die Genossen den Kompromiss? ++ Um 18 Uhr kommen Koalitions-Spitzen heute wieder zusammen

SPD wants to continue negotiations Reactions to the unification of the CDU and CSU - are the comrades blocking the compromise? ++ Coalition tips are coming together again at 6 pm today

PAR 06:19 GMT July 3, 2018
RISK ON / VIX
Reply   
The day before a US holiday markets always go higher whatever .

PAR 06:17 GMT July 3, 2018
GERMANY

The EU's bailout of Germany seems to be holding, if in a shaky fashion. German Chancellor Merkel and the junior coalition partner, the CSU, agreed to a deal on immigration. There is the minor matter of getting the middle coalition partner, the SPD, to agree.

PAR 05:50 GMT July 3, 2018
GERMANY

Germany closes its borders .

PAR 05:48 GMT July 3, 2018
GERMANY
Reply   
Good morning from #Germany where Merkel crisis is resolves, at least for now.

Chancellor Merkel and her Interior Min Horst Seehofer have reached an agreement to resolve their bitter row over migration pol. Risk is that Bavaria truce only temporary.

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 01:23 GMT July 3, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 3 July 2018

Key AT levels:
111.18 (minor)
111.39
111.48

The Amazing Trader

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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