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Forex Forum Archive for 07/06/2018

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Caribbean! Rafe... 20:38 GMT July 6, 2018
US ECONOMY

Or if i may expand on that a little then civil meltdown or civil war or simply vagabonds running up and down throwing things everywhere, things like a lotta lawsuits, probes and stuff like that.

Caribbean! Rafe... 20:31 GMT July 6, 2018
US ECONOMY

Besides existing macro trends are not sustainable because then if the markets run flat then we just may have increased chances for wars to break out. Not necessarily invasions etc but wars nevertheless trade wars, tarrif wars. The status quo may just as well go belly-up..

Caribbean! Rafe... 20:26 GMT July 6, 2018
US ECONOMY

Trying to live up to the bond image... Who knows maybe there may be another invitation to a shrimp cocktail and all the fish you can eat buffet...

GVI 20:19 GMT July 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Prime Min May reportedly has told Foreign Min Johnson that she will fire him if he undermines Brexit deal - Times - Source TradeTheNews.com

Mtl JP 20:14 GMT July 6, 2018
US ECONOMY

And while trump is tariffing some of Xi's exports
justin "woman who accused PM of groping may have had ‘different’ experience" trudeau is spotted aping vladimir by jogging shirtless in Toronto

Caribbean! Rafe... 20:08 GMT July 6, 2018
US ECONOMY

The main stream economists fear their lashings... Besides they dont really stand a chance against real money if the real money folks decide on 'their other options'.

GVI 20:02 GMT July 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Prime Min May: proposes EU, UK to be like a combined customs territory - 3-page Brexit outline - Source TradeTheNews.com

Mtl JP 19:57 GMT July 6, 2018
US ECONOMY

sounds like u r painting outstanding trade opportunities PAR
NOTE: not one mainstream economist is predicting your kind crash and darkness. Which - naturally - does not mean that u , nor they, are wrong. Only that both r right until proven otherwise.
-
Coming soon:
trump to meet w/vlad
- crazed dems freaking out

trump to meet w/juncker
- should be entertaining

-

Caribbean! Rafe... 19:57 GMT July 6, 2018
US ECONOMY

Not recession but another war... This time trading partners just may and i say just may partly boycott the US economy. Hence if they have snubbed their neighbours then those neighbours may naturally form deeper trade links with the other asian economies. The US will be in those meetings but will not benefit really, this may force the asians to simply dump dollar in favor of other more profitable alternatives.

PAR 19:47 GMT July 6, 2018
US ECONOMY
Reply   
US economy heading into recession .

Yield inversion . Rising unemployment . Real estate bubble. Tariffs .
Costs of wars . Unstable presidency .

Not looking to good.

Mtl JP 19:46 GMT July 6, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 6 JuLY 2018

COT not sooo critical afteral...
absence not a threat to national security
as day off by the prepares trumps everything else
-
15 minutes to stox close lets see if some folks will want to bag some juicy profits

GVI Trader john 19:36 GMT July 6, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 6 JuLY 2018

COT data delayed until Monday July 9 due to Wednesday holiday

Caribbean! Rafe... 19:25 GMT July 6, 2018
The kids, coach and rescue teams.
Reply   
Hey guys it took time for me to get back here. Way too much rain and falling trees, riding a bike over long distances with injuries didn't make things easier in this type of weather.

I missed making the euro call, what a failure!

GVI Forex Blog 19:15 GMT July 6, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 6 July 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 6 July 2018

GVI Trader john 17:02 GMT July 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Baker Hughes Rig Count


NEWS ALERT
U.S.
Total: 1052 vs. 1047 (+5) prev.
Oil: 863 vs. 858 (+5) prev.

Canada: 182 vs. 172 (+10)


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trader john 16:36 GMT July 6, 2018
German Chancellor Merkel Survives Leadership Crisis. Bank Of England to Hike?

View.com


Merkel To Survive? Late Monday, word got out that German Chancellor Angela Merkel and Interior Minister Horst Seehofer had reached an agreement which ended a two-week face-off over immigration. The dispute between two parties in the ruling coalition had threatened to break up the government. Merkel has staked her legacy on welcoming hundreds of thousands of migrants into Germany. She agreed on Monday on camps for those seeking asylum and to tighten the border with Austria to rescue her government. The plan envisions setting up holding centers at the German border for refugees already registered in other European Union countries

German Chancellor Merkel Survives Leadership Crisis. Bank Of England to Hike?

PAR 15:39 GMT July 6, 2018
GBPUSD
Reply   
Taking profit on long GBPUSD at 1.3270. Off to the beach .

Mtl JP 15:18 GMT July 6, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 6 JuLY 2018



sofar , via SnP for example, ws s giving President Trump a loud cheer

Mtl JP 14:36 GMT July 6, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 6 JuLY 2018

"Theresa May warns ministers they’ll be stripped of official cars if they quit after Brexit summit at her country home Chequers" - The Sun
boo-wa-haha how stupid - where IS her stupidity's bottom ?

the joker in GBP's deck is the good potential for May loosing ministers from her cabinet AND that a new attack on May's leadership too has good odds.

GVI Trader john 14:30 GMT July 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

EIA U.S. Natural Gas

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
(BCF) +78 vs: +75 expected

TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trader john 14:06 GMT July 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Canadian PMIs (Ivey and RBC-Markit). Ivey PMI in line. It is hard to trust the Ivey PMI.



GVI Trader john 14:00 GMT July 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Canada Ivey PMI (sa) June 2018




ALERT
63.1 vs. 63.2 exp. vs. 62.5 prev.

RELEASE: Ivey Purchasing Managers Report


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 13:54 GMT July 6, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 6 JuLY 2018

CAD$ 1.3105ish
at top of hour: Ivey Purchasing Managers Index
unlikely to get a reaction exceeding +/-20pip
IF any at all

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 13:53 GMT July 6, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 6 JuLY 2018

JP, look at your AT chart. HOD is around 1.1763 (where stops would be) so someone is selling ahead of it.

Mtl JP 13:46 GMT July 6, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 6 JuLY 2018

euro 1,1761 2nd touch
the more times a level is attacked the weaker - generally - becomes its defense

Mtl JP 13:37 GMT July 6, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 6 JuLY 2018

dc CB current british leadership : strong but not entirely stable

HK [email protected] 13:33 GMT July 6, 2018
Any news about China immediate reaction as seen on TV?
Reply   
*
Still a potential bombshell.

Amman wfakhoury 13:32 GMT July 6, 2018
EURUSD

Amman wfakhoury 10:58 GMT 07/06/2018
Buy stop at 11730
Sell stop at 11680
and see what happen
NOW 11707
__________________
EXit here for 30 pips profit.


The only one in the world who confirms the next level and every hour movement

dc CB 13:27 GMT July 6, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 6 JuLY 2018



THIS is what passes for British leadership today ??

london red 13:26 GMT July 6, 2018
Euro a bit O.B., but likely will come close to 1.1800+-10

would agree. 55/60 is near by res. may or may not yield a positive fade, but 118 and 11855 likely bridges too far for today in terms of closing lvls.

HK [email protected] 13:24 GMT July 6, 2018
Euro a bit O.B., but likely will come close to 1.1800+-10

*
Better take profits if seen. Can't be sure for higher than 1.1800

Mtl JP 13:20 GMT July 6, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 6 JuLY 2018

with no more data on the economists' calendar to feed cartoons , time soon to decide what - if anything - to trade and in which direction.

DJ closed 24,356.74 yesty

GVI Trader john 13:10 GMT July 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. Trade Deficit smaller in May 2018. Good for next GDP revision.

GVI Forex Blog 13:04 GMT July 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: Canada Employment Data Mixed in June 2018
Reply   
Canada Jobs: Beat expectations, in full-time employment June 2018.

BREAKING NEWS: Canada Employment Data Mixed in June 2018

Mtl JP 13:01 GMT July 6, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 6 JuLY 2018

kids .. a reminder:
u r supposed to not forget that both jerome and mark want you to think that they are on a rate-raising path, sooner than later.

and that next week: poloz gets to set rate in canada.

GVI Forex Blog 12:58 GMT July 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Employment Data Mixed in June 2018
Reply   


June 2018 U.S. payroll employment beats street estimates. Average Hourly Earnings 0.2% (2.70% y/y)


Click on chart for more than 10-yr history

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Employment Data Mixed in June 2018

Mtl JP 12:52 GMT July 6, 2018
TRUMP IS WINNING

PAR better n more relevant Qtn is
are U filling your account with posi-tive tickets ?

PAR 12:50 GMT July 6, 2018
TRUMP IS WINNING
Reply   
US Trade Deficit Plunges Most In 10 Years - Is Trump Winning?

GVI Trader john 12:46 GMT July 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. (USD bn) & Canada (CAD bn) Trade May 2018



ALERT
-43.18 vs. -44.0b exp. vs. -46.2b (r) prev.
Canada Trade C$ bln
-2.88 vs. -2.1 exp. vs. -1.90 (r )prev.

U.S. Balance on Goods and Services

Mtl JP 12:45 GMT July 6, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 6 JuLY 2018

to borrow for 10yrs it now costs 2.820% for each year. down 2bps
stox like that

PAR 12:43 GMT July 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

September rate hike more and more unlikely . Rising unemployment and low wages put pressure on US dollar .

GVI Trader john 12:36 GMT July 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Canada EMPLOYMENT June 2018



NEWS ALERT

Jobs: +31.8K vs. +17.5K exp. vs. =1.1K prev.
Full-Time +9.1K vs. n/a exp. vs. +30 exp
Rate: 6.00% vs. 5.80% exp. vs. 5.80% prev.



RELEASE: StatCan Monthly Employment Report





TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 12:36 GMT July 6, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 6 JuLY 2018

theory says
Euro bursting thru and N of 1.1720 ->-> hello 1.1850 ish

GVI Trader john 12:34 GMT July 6, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. Employment June 2018







ALERT

NFP Jobs:
+213K vs. +195K exp. vs. +223K (r +244% ) prev.
Rate: 4.00% vs. 3.80% exp. vs. 3.80% prev.

Avg earnings: 0.20% vs. +0.30% exp. vs. +0.30% prev.
BLS: Employment Situation Summary


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Mtl JP 12:32 GMT July 6, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 6 JuLY 2018

213K vs 195K exptd

Mtl JP 12:26 GMT July 6, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 6 JuLY 2018

re NFP at bottom of the hour

AA US Payrolls con: 195 pre: 223
would likely need to see at least a +/- 50K jobs deviation from the 195K expected reading to get players to move prices 50 or more pips

75K deviation would probably be better yet at generating some exchange rate price reactionary violence

got my speedy robot loaded, she is lurking and waiting now to be triggered

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 12:07 GMT July 6, 2018
Think Like Our Algo, Trade Like a Pro
Reply   

Click below for details


Think Like Our Algo, Trade Like a Pro

PAR 11:29 GMT July 6, 2018
TRUMPS TWEET
Reply   
Dollar lower as Trump keeps info on US labor data secret or at least doesn't publicly brag about its strength.

PAR 11:08 GMT July 6, 2018
Deutsche Bank

The German government, UBS and JPMorgan had no immediate comment. Deutsche Bank declined to comment. ICBC could not immediately be reached for comment.

PAR 11:04 GMT July 6, 2018
Deutsche Bank

Takeover rumors coming from ECB sources ? ECB trying to rescue DB ?

Amman wfakhoury 10:58 GMT July 6, 2018
EURUSD
Reply   
Buy stop at 11730
Sell stop at 11680
and see what happen
NOW 11707


The only one in the world who confirms the next level and every hour movement


PAR 10:29 GMT July 6, 2018
ECB DRAGHI PONZI MAFIA

Wall Street indexes fell last week and are not moved by the trade war and the news coming from China and the US today?

The reason is that we have passed the period of reducing the Fed's balance sheet

ECB re-acquisitions provide support at the moment

PAR 10:19 GMT July 6, 2018
Deutsche Bank

European banks jump on takeover speculation .

PAR 10:12 GMT July 6, 2018
Deutsche Bank
Reply   
Deutsche Bank shares jump and default probability falls on report JPM and ICBC interested in stakes BUT JPMorgan denies report of interest in Deutsche Bank.

FAKE NEWS ?

Mtl JP 09:49 GMT July 6, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 6 JuLY 2018

futures currently turning down
reminder yesty close: 2,736.61 snp

GVI Trader john 09:35 GMT July 6, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 6 JuLY 2018

As for the employment report today, there is always a lot of noise in payrolls, but recently they seem to have stabilized ROUGHLY at just below the 200K level (+/- 50K). However, you have to allow for a wide range of error in the report. The focus recently has been on Average Hourly Earnings. They are seen at +0.30% m/m.

The Fed is already on a tightening path. They are likely only to be influenced by a sharply weaker than expected outcome.

Mtl JP 09:22 GMT July 6, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 6 JuLY 2018

yipee yaah yo !

2 minutes ago
China Premier Li: Trade war is never a solution - rtrs
- A trade war is never a solution.
- China will never start a trade war.
- There will no winner emerging from a trade war.
- China will be committed to further opening up its market to foreign countries.

GVI Trader john 09:07 GMT July 6, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 6 JuLY 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO Bias:

NEGATIVE-NEUTRAL
Spot EURUSD: 1.1680
Pivot Point: 1.1683

This Week: 1.1591-1.1727
Fri: 1.1680-1.1727
Thu: 1.1650-1.1720
Wed: 1.1621-1.1682
Tue: 1.1621-1.1673

20-day avg: 1.1655
50-day avg: 1.1754
100-day avg: 1.2036
200-day avg: 1.1989


Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Sep 26: 88% (82%)

10-yr Bonds
US: 2.835% +0.2bp
DE: 0.302% -0.1bp
GB: 1.264% +0.8bp

DAX: +14
Implied Open
DJ: -4
SP: +2.0


PAR 08:50 GMT July 6, 2018
ECB DRAGHI PONZI MAFIA

BUBA continues to finance the Southern European financial partying.

Were going to Ibiza https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MXXRHpVed3M

GVI Forex Blog 08:47 GMT July 6, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 6 JuLY 2018
Reply   

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 6 Jul 2018
AA 12:30 CA/US- Employment
A 12:30 US/CA- Trade


Tue 10 July 2018
AA 08:30 GB- Ind/Prod Output, Trade
AA 09:00 DE- ZEW Survey
Wed 11 July 2018
A 12:30 US- PPI
A 14:00 CA- Bank Of Canada Decision
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 12 July 2018
AA 12:30 US- CPI
Fri 13 July 2018
A 14:00 US- Prelim University of Michigan
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Friday Trading Checklist For 6 JuLY 2018

PAR 08:42 GMT July 6, 2018
MERKEL
Reply   
European shares rise as Merkel is ready to do "whatever it takes" to help German car companies .

PAR 08:36 GMT July 6, 2018
ECB DRAGHI PONZI MAFIA
Reply   
Oops! #Bundesbank's Target2 claims hit fresh high at €976bn in Jun on way to €1tn, meaning inbalances and risks within the Eurosystem keep rising and rising. (via @guado77)

Mtl JP 08:27 GMT July 6, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 6 JuLY 2018

hood·lum - noun
a person who engages in crime and violence; a hooligan or gangster.
synonyms: thug, lout, delinquent, vandal, ruffian, hooligan, lowlife;
-
Takes one to know one eh Xi ? The gall of the chinese is impressive
--
1 ) China Daily changes its report, now says China will respond to U.S. tariffs - RTRS

That after some schmuck PBOC Adviser: Trade war with US to slow GDP by 0.2 percent tried to make light of President Trump's initial gentle message.

And so in a display of being tone deaf:

2) China hits back with tariffs, accusing the US of launching the 'largest trade war in history'
At midnight Washington time, the U.S. imposed new tariffs on $34 billion of annual imports from China.
This prompted Beijing to respond in kind with levy tariffs on 545 items of U.S. imports — also worth $34 billion, state-run newspaper The China Daily reported Friday.

As chinese editorial in xinghua screams like some out-of-control 3-yr old that
Commentary: Cul-de-sac awaits U.S. tariff bullying against China Chinese Premier Li Keqiang is prancing around in ... wait for it... bulgaria.

and so after much paint spilled that Armageddon is near
3) China leads rebound by Asia shares as U.S. tariffs kick in
DUH !

4) Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump
Follow Follow @realDonaldTrump
Thanks to REPUBLICAN LEADERSHIP, America is WINNING AGAIN - and America is being RESPECTED again all over the world. Because we are finally putting AMERICA FIRST!

So what do you do with an unbehaving rebellious brat ?
5) Trump says China could face more than $500 billion in US tariffs - RTRS

.... Trump warned that subsequent rounds could see tariffs on more than $500 billion of goods, or roughly the total amount that the United States imported from China last year.

“You have another 16 (billion dollars) in two weeks, and then, as you know, we have $200 billion in abeyance and then after the $200 billion, we have $300 billion in abeyance. Ok? So we have 50 plus 200 plus almost 300,” Trump told reporters aboard Air Force One.

"Could." Means china has some time to repent and ponder its behavior.
---
S&P 500 closed uP yesty at 2736.61
Currently futures look to open about even.

(USA ZEUS 11:57 GMT October 5, 2017
Trading Basics - Volatility: Reply
In order to make money from trading you need to have price movement. In order to have price movement you need volatility. ... Volatility is the fuel that drives the engine!
)
Thing is ... that is young children's fairy tale's vision of seeing only the happy forever thereafter part.

Adults' reality is that price movement is bi-directional: sometimes it works in one's favor and sometimes against.
And that kids, requires your undivided attention to the "against" part.

kl fs 07:41 GMT July 6, 2018
sell euro, buy usd

shawn, stop above day's high?

kl shawn 07:28 GMT July 6, 2018
sell euro, buy usd
Reply   
no stop above 11720, so sell euro now?

HK [email protected] 06:18 GMT July 6, 2018
“gang of hoodlums” eh! Sounds like N.Korea style:)
Reply   
*
Now it is really serious.

PAR 05:05 GMT July 6, 2018
VIX
Reply   
VIX drops as US tariffs take effect .

PAR 05:00 GMT July 6, 2018
CHINS USA
Reply   
Both countries to benefit from less globalization.

Stocks to.move higher.

HK [email protected] 02:02 GMT July 6, 2018
Todays morning market seems relaxed, or in a grinning-smile mode?
Reply   
*
Silence B4 a possible Friday storm.
Avoiding scaring the grazing sheep in the meadow.

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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