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Forex Forum Archive for 07/10/2018

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


Mtl JP 23:15 GMT July 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS



whoever the anonymous babbler was should be found out, outed, tarred, feathered, put on a donkey facing rear-ward and paraded around in public.
-
in the meantime , seeing as I am biased to .85 on cadyen...
lets see if this shenanigan is a lure to inflict more pain or an opp to load uP on a lower price print

dc CB 22:37 GMT July 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Futures Open
Dow(YM) - dn 205
ES - dn 21
NQ - dn 49

mission accomp... Trump in Brussels

dc CB 21:59 GMT July 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

"folks with lots to lose have lots to fear"

that my friend is it in a nutshell.
there's going to be YUGE amts of $$$$ thrown around.

DNC Deputy chair Keith Ellison told attendees at a Supreme Court Community Forum in Minneapolis Monday that Democrats could theoretically impeach Supreme Court justices if the party regains a majority following the 2018 midterm elections

Mtl JP 21:34 GMT July 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

IF tru bloomberg is an idiot
and needs to be drained out of the swamp

"folks with lots to lose have lots to fear"

Dillon AL 21:14 GMT July 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

re who spoke on condition of anonymity because the matter isn’t public


Then stop leaking it. Trump talks about leaks fix your own frigging ship first

dc CB 21:13 GMT July 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

a well timed release by the Anti Trump Other NYC Billionaire controlled Finac Media Terminal owner.... (ex)Mayor Michael Bloomberg. (the Battle of the Global Billionaires)

TinHat---I think not.

Bloomberg reports that President Donald Trump is preparing to release a list of an additional $200 billion in Chinese products to be hit with tariffs, according to two people familiar with the matter.

The list could be released as soon as Tuesday, and likely this week, according to the people, who spoke on condition of anonymity because the matter isn’t public.

Mtl JP 21:11 GMT July 10, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 10 July 2018

CB 20:26 ya u r adressing something I initiated a Q to PAR for discussion - not sure she saw.

Basically it is not a matter of some GUT model equation to try to figure out what will happen to lot of folks / corps who use "one" credit card to pay off (sometimes just the interest on) the previous one and then u reduce the limit on the "one" and raise its interest rate. LoL

U r familiar with the old concept of when "cash is king" I expect. Its time is a-coming

GVI Trader 21:06 GMT July 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

6:53 (CN) US reportedly preparing release of new $200B China tariff list - press
**NOTE: The US initiated $34B in tariffs against China on July 6, which China immediately matched; both sides will add another $16B about two weeks, rounding the first round of tariffs out to $50B each.

- 06/18 (CN) China Commerce Ministry (MOFCOM): US threats on $200B tariffs list disobeys negotiation and consensus reached previously between the two countries: to take qualitative and quantitative measures if US publishes additional tariffs list

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Mtl JP 21:01 GMT July 10, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 10 July 2018

basically we are witness to shark hanki panki bitting and spitting out just before NY session close
I could not trade this without my robot
coz she can patiently lurk, wait, observe and trigger trade on a sudden acceleration in pricing dynamic



Mtl JP 20:50 GMT July 10, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 10 July 2018

USDCAD 1.3103
finally !
what a cruel nasty slow price dynamic
but at least I am bagging some
hope u 2
-

dc CB 20:36 GMT July 10, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 10 July 2018

dc CB 20:18 GMT
First set of the weekly Crude Pick 4 Numbers at the Half.

and the winning API Ticket is LONG
Crude: -6.796MM
Distillate: +1.952MM
Gasoline: -1.59MM
Cushing -1.925MM

dc CB 20:26 GMT July 10, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 10 July 2018

JP
this one's for you

the second post from UberBear Phoenix Capital that point to the FED's QT. Another who's seen that trade idea.

see my: July 1 post --- QT day ---- 200pts in dow futures- YM---Sun nite Open to 8AM --- equiv gains in ES and NQ.

Last Four Times the Fed Did This... Stocks Took a Dive

dc CB 20:18 GMT July 10, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 10 July 2018

First set of the weekly Crude Pick 4 Numbers at the Half.

Ignored here: 3Y auction ---- poor
Tomrow 10Y
Thurs 30Y.
Guess the Amazing Trader algo dismisses US auction rates from it's calc.

Mtl JP 20:13 GMT July 10, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 10 July 2018

USDCAD 1.3110 ish
someone just betrayed their interest that the level holds
for the 4th time by my count
as for now 1.3122 caps

GVI Forex Blog 20:00 GMT July 10, 2018
Forex Trading Alerts
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Forex Trading Alerts

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 19:44 GMT July 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

UK politics has been like a wrecking ball again this week with news algos reacting and sending those caught the wrong way running for cover.

What we continue to see from our Amazing Trader is directional risk shown by its patterns highlighting the vulnerable side, which is where you see the big reactions take place.

The Amazing Trader

PAR 19:05 GMT July 10, 2018
VIX

Just keep selling VIX if you want to be a rich men .


You can buy a Palmer Johnson yachts if you sell enough VIX and buy a few $ billion of S& P futures before US bank futures.

Suggestion : Open a $ 20.000 demo account .

GVI Forex Blog 19:01 GMT July 10, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 10 July 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 10 July 2018

PAR 18:58 GMT July 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Keep buying EURUSD. Russia may join European Union making Europe the strongest economy in the world and making UK really look stupid.

Mtl JP 18:49 GMT July 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

why ? coz it peddles the fiction of a beacon of democratic institution exercising democracy

dc CB 18:24 GMT July 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

every regional bank but New York Fed voted in favor of raising discount rate ahead of June meeting
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
shud read:

every regional bank but New York Fed voted in favor of raising THE rate PAID ON EXCESS RESERVES HELD AT THE FED BY the member banks.......ahead of June meeting.

The NYFED did not need to vote as it was a done dea. And since the NYFRB is known to be THE deciding FED Bank, why push that, better to seem to hang back and make it seem to be a "regional choice".

Mtl JP 18:16 GMT July 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

that is a politburo kind of vote
i.e fearful of losing job

GVI Forex Blog 18:14 GMT July 10, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 10 July 2018
Reply   

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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Wed 11 July 2018
A 12:30 US- PPI
A 14:00 CA- Bank Of Canada Decision
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 12 July 2018
AA 12:30 US- CPI
Fri 13 July 2018
A 14:00 US- Prelim University of Michigan
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Wednesday Trading Checklist 10 July 2018

GVI 18:01 GMT July 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Fed Discount Rate minutes: every regional bank but New York Fed voted in favor of raising discount rate ahead of June meeting - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI 18:01 GMT July 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Fed Discount Rate minutes: every regional bank but New York Fed voted in favor of raising discount rate ahead of June meeting - Source TradeTheNews.com

dc CB 17:21 GMT July 10, 2018
Not the Onion
Reply   
Lopez Obrador and the left-wing party he formed in 2014 won a landslide victory in last week’s election after voters disgusted with rising crime, corruption and poverty kicked the nation’s established parties out of power. AMLO, as he’s known, also got a boost from pledges to protect Mexicans against an immigrant crackdown by U.S. President Donald Trump.

Mexico’s President-elect Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador is planning his own border police force to stop undocumented immigrants, drugs and guns from crossing into the country from Central America

"We’re going to create a border police force that will be highly specialized," .... "They need to apply the law," including stopping undocumented migrants and human traffickers from crossing into Mexico

Mexico’s Next President Plans His Own Border Police Force

Mtl JP 17:12 GMT July 10, 2018
VIX

Every morning
TO DO LIST
1 - Make
2 - More
3 - Money

PAR 17:00 GMT July 10, 2018
VIX
Reply   
VIX sub zero before midterm elections . Weimar syndrome .

GVI 16:55 GMT July 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

UK PM May: reiterates her Chequers plan keeps faith with the referendum on Brexit; expect Brexit to be smooth and orderly

- Germany Chancellor Merkel: It's good that latest proposals are now on the table

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Mtl JP 16:36 GMT July 10, 2018
ECB DRAGHI PONZI MAFIA

It it the eu GDP's fault => IT is too low

PAR 15:56 GMT July 10, 2018
ECB DRAGHI PONZI MAFIA
Reply   
#ECB balance sheet has hit fresh highs. Total assets rose by another €744mln to €4,593.3bn as Draghi keeps printing press rumbling. Balance sheet now equates to 41.1% of #Eurozone GDP while Fed's balance sheet has shrank to 21.5% of US GDP.

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 15:51 GMT July 10, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 10 July 2018

Here's the UK news

11:51 (UK) Maria Caulfield and Ben Bradley to quit as Conservative party vice chairs - UK press Related ()

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 15:46 GMT July 10, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 10 July 2018

15 minute AT trendline tested at 1.1739, holding. Look at EURGBP for source of EURUSD buying just now.

NY JM 15:38 GMT July 10, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 10 July 2018

Hi Red, any thoughts whether May will stay in office and odds that she can get a soft Brexit passed?

london red 15:35 GMT July 10, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 10 July 2018

euro res 11730/33. While 11760 not beaten odds for 117 and under test.

dc CB 15:32 GMT July 10, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 10 July 2018

Mtl JP 15:13

That's BMW move is also a threat to Trump's base (workers).
imho, the entire Western world north of the equator would like to see this guy Gone. With the Putin meeting, he is now threatening the biggest cash cow --- The Defenss/Intelligence Machine. He has suggested not only that cooperation with Russia is a good thing, but also that Russia should join NATO....

Oh the horror. Oceania and Eurasia make "peace".

dc CB 15:18 GMT July 10, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 10 July 2018

that's why it's called a Trade War.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Elon Musk plays the China Card again. the player's have new hands and maybe he'll win the pot this time.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

According to Bloomberg, Tesla is expected to sign a memorandum of understanding with local authorities regarding building the factory. While investors responded enthusiastically to the news, the fact remains that the Wall Street Journal published a nearly identical story roughly a year ago while Engadget covered Musk's China ambitions all the way back in 2015, a tradition as Musk has waved the China strawman flag any time he needs a Hail Mary to push the stock price higher (like now).

Much has changed since WSJ published its false-alarm report last year: China has taken steps to liberalize its auto industry by making it easier for foreign companies like Tesla to establish a foothold in the Chinese market. And China's retaliatory tariffs on US automobiles and auto parts recently forced Tesla to hike the prices of its Tesla Model S and Model X sedans by roughly 20%, ratcheting up the incentive to manufacture locally.

Tesla Planning Shanghai Factory With Capacity For 500,000 Vehicles A Year

Mtl JP 15:13 GMT July 10, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 10 July 2018

CB that sounds like a deliberate provocation
BMW sold some 85k units ytd march 2018
-
https://www.reuters.com/...bmw/bmw-sees-slower-growth-in-china-this-year-local-jv-t...
Apr 24, 2018 - German luxury carmaker BMW (BMWG.DE) expects the pace of growth of its China sales to almost halve this year, the firm's chief executive

dc CB 15:06 GMT July 10, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 10 July 2018

One of the A's in FAANG.
++++++++++++++++++++++++++==
According to Bloomberg, the FTC has hired Lina Khan, the director of legal policy at Washington think tank Open Markets Institute, who will serve as a legal fellow for the next few months for FTC Commissioner Rohit Chopra as the agency prepares to "increase anti-trust scrutiny of technology firms."

Khan has gained widespread notoriety thanks to her trenchant criticisms of Amazon. As a student at Yale Law School, she wrote a paper for the Yale Law Journal entitled "Amazon's Antitrust Paradox", in which she argued that the modern anti-trust enforcement framework isn't equipped to challenge Amazon's dominance and the harm it poses to competition. Her work was cited by the head of the DOJ's antitrust division in a speech in April as an example of "fresh thinking"

Outspoken Amazon Critic Joins Staff At FTC

dc CB 14:58 GMT July 10, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 10 July 2018

According to The Post and Courier in South Carolina, BMW said Monday that it would move production for some of its SUVs out of the U.S. as a result of new tariffs placed on the vehicles.
BMW is the largest U.S. auto exporter, and employs 10,000 people at a plant in Spartanburg, S.C. The brand’s key SUV models are produced there.

As The Hill reports, the Germany-based automobile manufacturer signed an agreement with its Chinese partner, Brilliance Automotive Group Holdings, to increase the number of vehicles produced in the country, according to the Charleston newspaper, with the total reaching 520,000 by 2019.

America's Largest Auto Exporter To Move Production Out Of US, Blames Tariffs

GVI Forex Blog 14:13 GMT July 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. JOLTS Survey Solid in May 2018
Reply   
Fed's preferred Jobs statistic. Data lower, but remains at a lofty level.

U.S. JOLTS Survey

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. JOLTS Survey Solid in May 2018

GVI Trader john 14:00 GMT July 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. BLS JOLTS Survey May 2018



ALERT
mln: 6.638 vs. 6.900 exp. vs. 6.700 prev (r 6.840 ) rev.

BLS: Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Mtl JP 13:55 GMT July 10, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 10 July 2018

AT TOP OF hour: JOLTS
should not be a pricing mover
but that is all we have this a.m.

Oklahoma City al 13:51 GMT July 10, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 10 July 2018

Of course Putin will be easiest Chump Trump...All he will be thinking about was how lucky he was to avoid England banging their own nerve agents in the back of the Russian net. The money from FIFA will keep him thinking he's got away with murder!

Mtl JP 13:49 GMT July 10, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 10 July 2018

euro 1.1707
puppy has s/t nega bias while under 1.1720
needs to hold 1.17 here else
hello mid 1.16teens

dc CB 13:38 GMT July 10, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 10 July 2018

"I really can’t say right now. As far as I’m concerned, he’s a competitor," Trump told reporters on his way out of the White House for a multi-leg European tour that will also include confrontations meetings with NATO leaders and also his first visit to the U.K as president. In fact, Trump suggested that his July 16 meeting with the Russian leader could be the easiest of the three, saying "frankly, Putin may be the easiest of them all."

ZH

Mtl JP 13:28 GMT July 10, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 10 July 2018

haha President Trump is like a poorly disciplined dog pissing on a host's livingroom floor as he offers next to none words of support for theresa (people should decide) while squealing in delight about being friends with boris (“Boris Johnson is a friend of mine, he’s been very, very nice to me, very supportive. And I maybe will speak to him when I get over there. I like Boris Johnson, I’ve always liked him,”)

the crassness of this character is remarkable

Mtl JP 13:15 GMT July 10, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 10 July 2018

dono these two characters but seeing that they are on ECB's board and
are scheduled to yak
Board member:Ignazio Angeloni
Time:18:30 CET

Board member:Sabine Lautenschläger
Event:Dinner speech by Ms Lautenschläger at 9th ECB Statistics Conference "20 years of ESCB statistics: What’s next?" in Frankfurt, Germany.
Time:19:00 CET

and given that EU and ECB are all about consensus (i.e groupthink) and co-operation I deem it highly unlikely these two pups will diss mario's yesty sunny comments so expecting more good econo-weather babble

ECB schedule

UK JY 13:14 GMT July 10, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 10 July 2018

Looking at the quiet here and elsewhere you would think everyone is watching the World Cup. Whatever it feels like the market is trading with half a deck even for a summer day.

Mtl JP 12:29 GMT July 10, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 10 July 2018

Only low tier JOLTS (Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey is conducted by the Bureau of Labor Statistics of the U.S. Department of Labor) on data docket this morn

No FED yakkers on horizon, so went to twitter to see what the fearless leader is up to.... wow:

Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
1h1 hour ago
Thank you to all of my great supporters, really big progress being made. Other countries wanting to fix crazy trade deals. Economy is ROARING. Supreme Court pick getting GREAT REVIEWS. New Poll says Trump, at over 90%, is the most popular Republican in history of the Party. Wow!


Wow! indeed

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 12:18 GMT July 10, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 10 July 2018

JP, look at your AT charts: 1.3150/61/75 blue line resistance so a nice cluster overhead. Look for cautious trading ahead of tomorrow's BoC rate decision.

Mtl JP 12:10 GMT July 10, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 10 July 2018

USDCAD 1.3133ish
-
I continue biased down
Bottom Line
short
against 1.3145/50

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 11:33 GMT July 10, 2018
New! Global-View Feature

This is our update for today.

EURUSD trading outlook

GVI Forex Blog 11:32 GMT July 10, 2018
New! Global-View Feature
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GVI Trader john 09:40 GMT July 10, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 10 July 2018


For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO Bias:

NEUTRAL
Spot EURUSD: 1.1724
Pivot Point: 1.1758

This Week: 1.1715-1.1791
Tue: 1.1715-1.1763
Mon: 1.1733-1.1791
Fri: 1.1680-1.1768
Thu: 1.1650-1.1720


20-day avg: 1.1652
50-day avg: 1.1739
100-day avg: 1.2023
200-day avg: 1.1989


Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Sep 26: 88% (88%)

10-yr Bonds
US: 2.867% +1.6bp
DE: 0.322% +1.9bp
GB: 1.297% +3.9bp

DAX: +8
Implied Open
DJ: +52
SP: +3.8




See the Amazing Trader Live!

GVI Forex Blog 09:08 GMT July 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: German ZEW Survey Weak in July 2018
Reply   
German July 2018 ZEW Survey data misses forecasts. Economy softening?

BREAKING NEWS: German ZEW Survey Weak in July 2018

GVI Trader john 09:02 GMT July 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Big misses for Germany.

GVI Trader john 09:01 GMT July 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

German ZEW Survey July 2018



NEWS ALERT

Current Situation: 72.4 vs. 79.5 exp. vs. 80.6 prev.
Expectations: -24.7 vs. -18.0 exp. vs. -16.1 prev.





TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trader john 08:36 GMT July 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

New statistic:

May GDP +0.30% m/m +1.50% y/y

GVI Trader john 08:33 GMT July 10, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

UK Output/trade May 2018




-- NEWS ALERT --

Industrial: +0.50% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. -1.08% (r) prev.
Manufacturing: +0.70% vs. +0.90% exp. vs. -1.40% prev (r )
Visible Trade
Total: vs. -12.0 exp. vs. -14.0 (r) prev



TTN: Live News Special Offer




BREAKING NEWS: UK Trade April 2018



-- NEWS ALERT --

Total: -12.48 vs. -11.35 exp. vs. -12.29 (r) prev



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Blog 08:22 GMT July 10, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 10 July 2018
Reply   

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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 10 July 2018
AA 08:30 GB- Ind/Prod Output, Trade
AA 09:00 DE- ZEW Survey
Wed 11 July 2018
A 12:30 US- PPI
A 14:00 CA- Bank Of Canada Decision
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 12 July 2018
AA 12:30 US- CPI
Fri 13 July 2018
A 14:00 US- Prelim University of Michigan
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Tuesday Trading Checklist 10 July 2018

Mtl JP 00:03 GMT July 10, 2018
Equities Higher. 10-Yr Bond Yields Mixed. FX: USD And EUR Mixed

eh eh Equities Higher ...

ZH has an interesting question that IF you answer and BET on correctly odds are good of either some very good profits or an unmitigated disaster:

Who Will Win in the War of Policy... President Trump or Jerome Powell?

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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