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Forex Forum Archive for 07/12/2018

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GVI Trader 23:52 GMT July 12, 2018

Trump trashes May's Brexit plan... GBP lower

PAR 21:08 GMT July 12, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 12 July 2018


Making decent money on a short VIX . Going to Bodrium, Bali, Cape Town and any other country which currency collapses.

Couldd be Canada , could be USA . Enjoy

GVI Trader john 19:27 GMT July 12, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 13 July 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


Spot EURUSD: 1.1666
Pivot Point: 1.1671

This Week: 1.1650-1.1791
Thu: 1.1650-1.1696
Wed: 1.1665-1.1759
Tue: 1.1690-1.1763
Mon: 1.1733-1.1791
Fri: 1.1680-1.1768

20-day avg: 1.1649
50-day avg: 1.1722
100-day avg: 1.2005
200-day avg: 1.1988

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Fed 25bp hike odds for Sep 26: 90% (90%)

GVI Forex Blog 19:14 GMT July 12, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 12 July 2018

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 12 July 2018

GVI 18:13 GMT July 12, 2018

Fed Chair Powell: the economy's in a really good place - press interview

- If we wind up having high tariffs on a lot of products and a lot of traded goods and services, let's say, and that they become sustained for a long period of time, then yes, that could be be a negative for our economy

- I'm more concerned about longer term issues that the U.S. economy, we face some real longer-term challenges, again associated with how fast the economy can grow and also how much the benefits of that growth can be spread through the population. We're an aging population, so workforce growth is going to be slower. That's going to mean slower growth. Productivity growth has been slow, but I expect that to pick up over time.

- I think it's really important that we protect and extend the main pillars of what we did: higher capital, higher liquidity, better risk management, stress testing, living wills and resolution plans, in case banks do fail. We're not going to forget those lessons, but we're going to try to make sure that the things that we’ve done have been right and efficient too.

- I think we don't directly look so much at wages as we do price inflation, but I think we're looking very carefully at maximum employment, and that is one of the things that pushes up wages and price inflation.

- We will do business in a strictly nonpolitical way; the Fed is independent of political considerations

- Source

GVI Forex Blog 17:51 GMT July 12, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 13 July 2018

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 13 July 2018
A 14:00 US- Prelim University of Michigan
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner,

Friday Trading Checklist For 13 July 2018

GVI Trader john 17:26 GMT July 12, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 12 July 2018

Powell to speak at 17:30 gmt

Bali Sja 17:25 GMT July 12, 2018
Sell euro buy usd
Euro is well below 11720. You know what to do....

GVI 15:56 GMT July 12, 2018

Toronto police have received information about a "potential risk" to the city - media briefing - Confirm increased police presence for today; more officers deployed on foot patrol and on bikes

- Source

GVI Trader john 14:36 GMT July 12, 2018

EIA U.S. Natural Gas

U.S. Data Charts

(BCF) +51 vs: +55 expected

TTN: Live News Special Offer

dc CB 14:32 GMT July 12, 2018
Brexit Developments Continue To Drive Sterling

UK Prime Minister has been accused of violating "constitutional norms" during the preparation of the Brexit White Paper that was released this morning after reports surfaced that May ran the text of the paper by German Chancellor Angela Merkel before sharing it with her own MPs.

According to Express, when asked about possible alterations to the Brexit blueprint, May is said to have responded "no that’s not possible". When asked why, May said "because I've already cleared the existing text with Mrs. Merkel."

Tory MP Jacob Rees-Mogg said it would be unconstitutional for May to discuss British policy with EU leaders before her own Cabinet: "I think they might have been taken to Brussels and to Berlin before they were presented at Chequers which is a serious question."

"And there’s another question about how they were drawn up because they were drawn up in secret without telling the Secretary of State for leaving the European Union David Davis what was going on, whilst his department was working on a White Paper."

"I don’t think it has been handled in a proper governmental system and in accordance with our constitutional norms."

GVI Forex Blog 14:07 GMT July 12, 2018
Brexit Developments Continue To Drive Sterling
Brexit Developments Continue To Drive Sterling

John M. Bland, MBA, co-founder,

U.K. Prime Minister May On The Defensive  PM Theresa May remains on the defensive as she serves as head of a party divided. Some feel she might have emerged from the latest Brexit-triggered crisis safely as U.K. prime minister. However “hard Brexit” lawmakers were warning that she could split the Conservative Party when she tries to get her plan through Parliament. Two of her most senior ministers resigned in one day. This was an event without parallel in recent decades. May’s plan is seen as a “soft Brexit” proposal ...MORE...

Brexit Developments Continue To Drive Sterling

Mtl JP 13:39 GMT July 12, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 12 July 2018

john 13:28 - after mid-week 1.1750-sh chopchop with euro sub 1.17 and staying there u ll have to wait for COT tomorrow to (dis)prove what priceaction is currently telling namely that Mario/praet team's peddling of things getting rosy(ier) is just not being bought and swallowed hook, line and sinker by those who trade. (no appetite = no momentum)

so we wait for 1.15 - 1.17 resolution

GVI Trader john 13:28 GMT July 12, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 12 July 2018

We see nothing in the CPI data that is going to impact Fed policy. Question is whether the markets are ACTUALLY trading on the news or just using the report as a scalping opportunity when prices temporarily get out of whack?

Mtl JP 13:09 GMT July 12, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 12 July 2018

"trade wars are good, and easy to win," Trump tweet in March

Now dissing the President :
'The US is on track to lose this trade war,' economist Stephen Roach says on cnbc

but ... as every coin has two sides (for us to be able to bet on) Other economists disagree:

"In relative terms, we are winning and we will win the trade war," El-Erian said Monday on "Fast Money." El-Erian is considered one of the most influential financial market thinkers in the world.

GVI Forex Blog 13:04 GMT July 12, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Low
U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims Down.

U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims Chart
<Click on chart for over seventeen-year history

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Weekly Jobless Low

GVI Trader john 13:02 GMT July 12, 2018

U.S. CPI Chart

U.S. CPI in July 2018 generally mixed to higher.

GVI Trader john 12:33 GMT July 12, 2018

U.S. CPI June 2018

m/m: +0.10% vs. +0.20% exp. v +0.20% pre
y/y: +2.90% vs. +2.90% exp. v +2.80% pre
y/y: +2.30% vs. +2.30% exp. v +2.20% pre

RELEASE: Consumer Price Index

TTN: Live News Special Offer

US Weekly Jobless Claims


214K vs. 225K exp vs. 231K (r. 232K ) prev.

TTN: Live News Special Offer

dc CB 12:27 GMT July 12, 2018

French President Emmanuel Macron stated the following:
“Everyone agreed to raise spending as they agreed in 2014, and everyone agreed to respect the commitments they made,” Macron said. “We reaffirmed a credible budget strategy that meets our needs.”

Merkel full quote:
“We’ll have to talk about to what extent we can do more on defense. We presented the current situation. But considering the discussion among the European allies, not only he Americans, I think we need to ask ourselves consistently what more we can do.”

Mtl JP 12:18 GMT July 12, 2018

French President Macron denies Trump claim that NATO powers agreed to increase defense spending beyond ...
ABC News

HK [email protected] 12:17 GMT July 12, 2018
Lot of politics today, but Euro may have a sharp bounce...

Mtl JP 12:13 GMT 07/12/2018
If I would have commented on all of many trash posts you place here, it will not be nice for the forum.

No one is asking you to place your repeated rubbish responding posts to my posts.
Sit silent at the corner and behave bad boy!!!

Mtl JP 12:13 GMT July 12, 2018
Lot of politics today, but Euro may have a sharp bounce...

may ...
may not ...
loves me...
loves me not ...
amateur trader wants to be right
professional wants to make money

HK [email protected] 11:58 GMT July 12, 2018
Lot of politics today, but Euro may have a sharp bounce...
From the present level, based on Tech.
Support now is just very strong. Needs only a trigger.

GVI 11:54 GMT July 12, 2018

UK Governement publishes Brexit Whitepaper - Plan to end free movement of people- To leave EU's common agriculture, fisheries policies- Seeks Equal, competitive access with EU to telecom networks- Leaving energy single market is option- Calls on EU to keep on sharing Cyber security and data- Seeks maritime safety cooperation, bilateral rail deal- It would meet our shared commitments to Northern Ireland and Ireland through the overall future relationship, in a way that respects the EU’s autonomy without harming the UK’s constitutional and economic integrity. - Source

dc CB 11:49 GMT July 12, 2018

NATO -- Germany, the economic powerhouse of the EU.
It has a budget Surplus, a YUGE trade surplus. It has about 100 tanks, 6 Jets , a 180K member army. Seems that Angela will be spending some of those tightly held euros...on Defense.

Mtl JP 11:35 GMT July 12, 2018

... NATO allies are raising their defense spending (after crisis meeting) - I hope that we're going to be able to get along with Russia ...

spending by one = revenue to another

but hope for "getting along" means you do not get to waste some of your "inventory" so that you make space for more more new one replenishing,

unless the "hope" part is just for PR purposes trying to look good

GVI 11:34 GMT July 12, 2018

ECB ACCOUNT OF JUN POLICY MEETING (MINUTES): QE end follows predictable patter of past policy shifts - ECB rate guidance strikes balance between precision and flexibility - Council was concerned about trade spat impact on confidence

- Source

GVI Trader john 11:07 GMT July 12, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 12 July 2018

Re CPI in about 1-1/2 hours. Key is whether the data will have any impact on the Fed's thinking. Markets have been pricing in a near certain Fed rate hike in September (90% odds). It will take a lot to shake that perception. Fed targets Core PCE Deflator, but the CPI is another inflation indicator they certainly monitor.

GVI Trader john 10:51 GMT July 12, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 12 July 2018

10s 2.866%
DJ +172

equities have been volatile today

GVI 10:33 GMT July 12, 2018

President Trump: US commitment to NATO remains very strong; NATO allies are raising their defense spending (after crisis meeting) - I hope that we're going to be able to get along with Russia, I think we will be able to - NATO Secretary General will give estimates of new numbers on defense spending commitments today - Tole Nato allies he would be very unhappy if they did not increase their defense spending substantially, Nato much stronger now than two days ago - we are in talks with the EU and will meet with them next week on trade

- Source

GVI 10:11 GMT July 12, 2018

"Emergency" NATO statement by Trump presumably to discuss member military spending??


GVI 10:08 GMT July 12, 2018

Fed's Mester (hawk, FOMC voter): strong economy justifies two more interest rate increases this year - expects officials would need to raise fed-funds rate to 3% to reach a neutral level that neither stimulates nor slows economic activity - Source

GVI Trader john 09:17 GMT July 12, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 12 July 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


Spot EURUSD: 1.1675
Pivot Point: 1.1700

This Week: 1.1670-1.1791
Thu: 1.1670-1.1693
Wed: 1.1665-1.1759
Tue: 1.1690-1.1763
Mon: 1.1733-1.1791

20-day avg: 1.1646
50-day avg: 1.1739
100-day avg: 1.2015
200-day avg: 1.1988

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Fed 25bp hike odds for Sep 26: 90% (88%)

10-yr Bonds
US: 2.860% 0.0bp
DE: 0.310% +0.3bp
GB: 1.290% -0.4bp

DAX: +41
Implied Open
DJ: +149
SP: +7.9

GVI Forex Blog 08:54 GMT July 12, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 12 July 2018

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Thu 12 July 2018
AA 12:30 US- CPI
Fri 13 July 2018
A 14:00 US- Prelim University of Michigan
John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner,

Thursday Trading Checklist 12 July 2018

SINGAPORE 08:38 GMT July 12, 2018
GBP/USD Forecast July 9-13 – White Paper on Brexit eyed
GBP/USD relish some easygoing PMI figures to retrieve but things became more complex afterward.(forex Signals)The White Paper on Brexit, manufacturing production, and other statistics await the pound. Here are the important events and an updated technical analysis for GBP/USD.

Challenging reports about the government’s stance on Brexit makes the pound underside and forth as well as the PMI data. In the US, data was positive and fears regarding trade were attenuate for a while.(forex singapore)

1.White Paper on Brexit:
The British government is having hard thought over Brexit and is set to create its White Paper on future relations on Monday. This comes after a gathering at Chequers on Friday. The EU is very disillusioned with the UK's conduct on Brexit and the clock is ticking. The affirmation by Chief EU arbitrator, Michel Barnier is no less vital than the substance of the report. A speedy; achievement is very far-fetched.

2.BRC Retail Sales Monitor:
The British Retail Consortium's measure of offers at its individuals' stores expanded by 2.6% y/y in May. The figure for June will probably be perky too.

3.Manufacturing Production:
Yield in the assembling part dropped pointedly by 1.4% in April. The long stretch of May was presumably better and an expansion is likely. The more extensive modern generation measures fell by a more direct 0.8%.(forex picks)

4.Goods Trade Balance:
England's exchange adjusts deficiency enlarged to no under 14 billion in April, a stressing level. We could see it limit in May.

5.Construction Output:
The construction sector enjoyed an expansion in activity in the spring with an inflation of 0.5% in output. We could see another favorable, yet more average increase in May.

6.RICS House Price Balance:
The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors reported an appropriate balance in prices in May: only -3%. This is still in negative territory, but better than in previous months.

7. BOE Credit Conditions Survey:
The survey is conducted by the Bank of England discussed increasing credit in previous quarters. We will now get the report for Q2 2018.(xau usd trading tips)

GBP/USD Technical analysis

Pound/dollar commenced the week in a perky state of mind, testing the 1.3200 level said a week ago.

Technical lines from top to bottom:

1.3615 topped the match in late 2017. 1.3470 was a swing high toward the beginning of June.

The round number of 1.34 could give additionally bolster. Additionally down, 1.3315 was a swing high in late June.

1.3250 was a swing low toward the beginning of June. Indeed, even lower, 1.3205 was the low point in late May. 1.3100 was a swing low in mid-June and 1.3050 is the most recent 2018 low. The round number of 1.3000 anticipates beneath.(daily forex signals)

I remain bearish on GBP/USD

It is difficult to trust that the EU will acknowledge anything that the UK proposes. Regardless of whether they respect the recommendations, time is running out for Brexit and the UK economy is lingering behind the American one.source

dc CB 08:25 GMT July 12, 2018
A Bridge too far ?????
, Deputy AG Rod Rosenstein has asked the offices of all 93 U.S. attorneys to each provide up to three federal prosecutors to assist the Justice Department in reviewing government records of President Trump’s Supreme Court nominee Brett Kavanaugh.

Even The New York Times admits this move is "an unusual insertion of politics into federal law enforcement."

Rosenstein Asks 100s Of Prosecutors To Review SCOTUS Pick's Records

PAR 06:36 GMT July 12, 2018
Trump and his Russian friends
Tower of secrets: the Russian money behind a Donald Trump skyscraper

The Trump Toronto reveals the links between a shadowy world of post-Soviet money and a future president

Trump and the Russians


Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

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