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Forex Forum Archive for 07/26/2018

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Mtl JP 23:32 GMT July 26, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Often , it is not the news that you see that matters as the discreet news that appears ever so innocent:

Putin arrives in Johannesburg for BRICS summit - TASS
...On Thursday, BRICS leaders will participate in private and expanded meetings and sign documents. (private only because ... some stuff is just not your business)

On the same day, Putin is scheduled to hold talks with the summit’s host, South African President Cyril Ramaphosa, as well as bilateral meetings with the leaders of Argentina, Angola, Turkey, Zambia,

China

and India

Livingston nh 21:19 GMT July 26, 2018
AMZN

PAR - see what happened to AMZN in 2001 -- will you live 200 years to see the stock earnings hit the number?

WMT vs AMZN - revenues/earnings???

Livingston nh 21:08 GMT July 26, 2018
US GDP

WSJ has a 4.4% Gdp (median) - so a 2.2% deflator says 6.6% nominal (good luck)
__
as an aside the economy is a post industrial service based government mandated entity - no longer an industrial/manufacturing economy // service consumption is by its nature non productive

PAR 20:40 GMT July 26, 2018
AMZN
Reply   
Best quarter ever. The sky is the limit .

GVI Trader john 20:32 GMT July 26, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 27 July 2018

Trump just said he would LIKE to see a "4" handle. He'd be happy with a "3" in front. He said he's seen a 5.3% forecast but does not believe it. He claims he has NOT seen the number yet. My best guess is that it would not have been available before late today (Thursday), but they probably have seen partial data.

All I can say is there must be a reason why they are touting the report. They will not want egg on their face early Friday.

PAR 20:17 GMT July 26, 2018
US GDP

The sky is the limit

Livingston nh 20:10 GMT July 26, 2018
US GDP

Par - the foolish quest for inflation limits GDP - so a deflator of 2.2% caps GDP to 3.?? // Fed is still on a Mission

PAR 19:52 GMT July 26, 2018
US GDP
Reply   
Imho US 2Q. GDP will be reported at 6.7 % to.show that USA is growing as fast as CHINA . YES WE.CAN

Mtl JP 19:48 GMT July 26, 2018
Trading: The Irresistible Call
Reply   
another trader, another saga

One millennial options trader was killing it

Livingston nh 19:43 GMT July 26, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

this is why the Russian sanctions are so "important" - LNG pipelines are easy - LNG imports via tanker, not so much

Do gooders end up starving in the cold caves - see Neanderthal

Commodities are fungible - demand is not as elastic as supply

Mtl JP 19:33 GMT July 26, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Reuters had this to say

Trump's plan for U.S. LNG in Europe to face reality check

and bbrg' s Anna Shiryaevskaya , Elena Mazneva , and Mathew Carr wrote: Trump Says Europe to Buy Boatloads of U.S. LNG. Don’t Bet on It

GVI Trader john 19:21 GMT July 26, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

nh- you are the first person I have heard mentioning GMO's. I had thought they were effectively banned throughout Europe?

Who is going to buy those soybeans?

Mtl JP 19:21 GMT July 26, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

it is said the harsher the lesson the better it is learnt

According to Martin Armstrong,
Governments now assume ALL money is illegal gains and they will confiscate 100% forcing the burden to you to PROVE it is yours and was obtained legally. If you are ever going to send money to someone overseas, you can mail a check from your account, but NEVER get a bank check/draft. If you are in the USA and try to wire money to an individual overseas, you will quickly discover the limit is not $10,000, but $3,000.

NEVER send anything of value internationally using FedEx.

US Border Seizes $500,000 Inheritance Mailed from Canada to USA

GVI Trader john 19:18 GMT July 26, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 27 July 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:

NEUTRAL
Spot EURUSD: 1.1645
Pivot Point: 1.1677

THIS Week: 1.1640-1.1751
Thu: 1.1640-1.1744
Wed: 1.1664-1.1739
Tue: 1.1655-1.1717
Mon: 1.1684-1.1751
Fri: 1.1626-1.1739

20-day avg: 1.1684
50-day avg: 1.1681
100-day avg: 1.1943
200-day avg: 1.1982


Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Sep 26: 98% (96%)

Livingston nh 19:13 GMT July 26, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

The EU do gooders like Macron want no GMO and Paris Climate signatory -- and where is the US LNG going to be offloaded?

So if you think the silly spike in stox from yesterday was real you might want to hedge that at SPX 2830

GVI 19:07 GMT July 26, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

France Pres Macron: Doesn't currently favor a vast trade agreement with the US because context isn't right at the moment; opposes discussing agriculture as part of trade talks with US - press - Some points in the Juncker-Trump trade deal need clarification

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Blog 19:05 GMT July 26, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 26 July 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 26 July 2018

GVI Trader john 18:57 GMT July 26, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 27 July 2018

10s 2.973%
DJ +143

Livingston nh 18:55 GMT July 26, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Food Stamps are a lot more cost effective than Medicaid and it doesn't enrich the 20% GDP "healthcare providers"

Mtl JP 18:51 GMT July 26, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

socialists to left...
socialists to the right ....

Most American voters don’t want food stamps to be stamped out.

Some 61% of registered voters say they are against reducing funding for the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program (SNAP), commonly known as food stamps. That’s according to a survey commissioned by the Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health’s Center for a Livable Future, in June.

Of those who were opposed, 73% said they were “strongly opposed” to any cuts in funding.

About 1,000 registered voters responded to the survey in total.

GVI Trader john 18:51 GMT July 26, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

We wonder what Kudlow means by "big".

He has set up the markets short EURUSD.


Questions:
1) Does Kudlow know the actual number?
2) if so, what are the market and Kudlow definitions of "big"?

GVI Forex Blog 17:19 GMT July 26, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 27 July 2018
Reply   

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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 27 July 2018
AA 12:30 US- GDP
A 14:00 US- Final University of Michigan


Tue 31 July 2018
AA JP- Bank of Japan
A 06:00 DE- Retail Sales
A 09:00 EZ- flash HICP/GDP
AA 12:30 US- Core PCE Deflator
A 14:00 US- CB Consumer Confidence
Wed 1 Aug 2018
A Final Mfg PMIs
AA 12:15 US- ADP Private Payrolls
A 15:00 US- EIA Crude
AA 18:00 US- Federal Reserve Decision
Thu 2 Aug 2018
AA 11:00 GB- Bank of England Decision
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 3 Aug 2018
A Final Services PMIs
AA 12:30 US- Employment
A 12:30 US/CA- Trade


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Friday Trading Checklist For 27 July 2018

GVI 16:02 GMT July 26, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

White House Econ Adviser Kudlow: Number on US GDP growth due on Friday 'will be big'

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI 14:35 GMT July 26, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

EARLIER:
Atlanta Fed cuts Q2 GDP forecast to 3.8% from 4.5% prior

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 14:33 GMT July 26, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

EIA U.S. Natural Gas

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
(BCF) +24 vs: +40 expected

TTN: Live News Special Offer

Kl Shawn 14:33 GMT July 26, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 26 July 2018

JP, no need complicated reason. This euro has an incurable disease 1.17phobia. A call to short around 1.1710-30 was perfection. Just keep selling on rallies and earning nice swaps daily. Come september better seaps. It just blew up its chance to even touch 11750. Bye euro see you at parity.

GVI Forex Blog 14:16 GMT July 26, 2018
Markets Trying To Digest Trump Dollar Policy; ECB Meeting
Reply   

John M. Bland, MBA, co-founder, Global-View.com


Trump Statements Opposing Strong Dollar Still Being Absorbed A week ago U.S. President Trump took the unprecedented step in recent history of talking down the USD and opposing further policy tightening by the Federal Reserve. The last President to jawbone the Fed not to raise interest rates was Richard Nixon in the early 1970’s. Since then its been taboo for a President to encroach on the independence of the Fed by commenting on monetary policy. As for his comments on forex, after too many misstatements by untrained government officials, it has become the bipartisan policy of U.S. governments since the late 1970’s for only the Treasury Secretary to comment on forex... MORE...

Markets Trying To Digest Trump Dollar Policy; ECB Meeting

Mtl JP 13:43 GMT July 26, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 26 July 2018

even DJ is uP +.5% already
barely 15 mins out of gate
-
players likely pricing just one jerome for all of next 12months

Mtl JP 13:26 GMT July 26, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 26 July 2018

wanna know why eur has truble rallying ?

US 2YR 2.669% +.012
2 yr Bund -.6177% -.011

maybe there is some other better reason

Mtl JP 13:18 GMT July 26, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 26 July 2018

nothing on calendar worth waiting for till possibly tom's
12:30 AA US GDP 4.10% 2.00%

GVI Trader john 13:17 GMT July 26, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Press Conference done. Surprisingly little news.

Mtl JP 13:12 GMT July 26, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

john plz keep an ear out for mario swapping long / short term debt
I suspect 2yr spread dynamic is going to determine which way euro takes off
tia !

GVI Trader john 13:11 GMT July 26, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

ECB meeting over.

Mtl JP 12:42 GMT July 26, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

mario smiling as data matching w/forecasts (ieeha high 5)

also "growth" should continue as buying overpriced LNG from Trump-nation likely to contribute to GDP growth (GDP = sumtotal monetary measure of the market value of all goods and services in a period of time)

GVI Trader john 12:34 GMT July 26, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Nothing surprising out of Draghi yet...

PAR 12:00 GMT July 26, 2018
Deutsche Bank
Reply   
DB up 12% since S&P downgrade .

Rating agencies among the most dangerous companies in the world ?

Mtl JP 11:51 GMT July 26, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

now some players wait for the
12:30 AA EZ ECB Webcast n/a n/a

GVI Trader john 11:47 GMT July 26, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

European Central Bank (ECB) July 26, 2018





NEWS ALERT

Refi Rate Steady at 0.00%
Marginal Lending Rate steady at 0.25%
Deposit Rate steady At -0.40%

Asset Purchases (QE) per mo unchanged at 15bn

Press Release: ECB Decision



TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 11:44 GMT July 26, 2018
JUNCKER

soyabean and eu

European Union (EU-27) Soybean Meal Domestic Consumption by Year

Mtl JP 11:37 GMT July 26, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 26 July 2018

ACHTUNG !
potential for price move from reaction to
11:45 AA EZ Europe Cntl Bank con: 0.00% pre: 0.00%

PAR 11:34 GMT July 26, 2018
JUNCKER

We try to avoid as much as possible everything related to soybeans .

But you really need to be careful with processed food which often includes some form soybeans .

Mtl JP 11:04 GMT July 26, 2018
JUNCKER

what soybeans are not turned to TOFU are turned into animal feed

Bali Sja 10:37 GMT July 26, 2018
JUNCKER

PAR, do you eat a lot of soybeans in Europe?

PAR 10:29 GMT July 26, 2018
JUNCKER
Reply   
All of a sudden Juncker becomes a soybean trader ?

Mtl JP 09:57 GMT July 26, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 26 July 2018

USDCAD 1.3044
-----------------
50day 1.3070
Pivot 1.3077

manila tom 09:53 GMT July 26, 2018
sell euro, buy usd

lets give it a try also, short euro 11714, adding later, stop all 11779

singapore td 09:35 GMT July 26, 2018
sell euro, buy usd

agree, euro looks heavy
maybe sell rallies forever and earning swap ;)

kl shawn 09:32 GMT July 26, 2018
sell euro, buy usd
Reply   
while below 11750 still sell rallies, 11710-30 can try

GVI Trader john 09:25 GMT July 26, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 26 July 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:

NEUTRAL
Spot EURUSD: 1.1706
Pivot Point: 1.1712

THIS Week: 1.1655-1.1751
Thu: 1.1706-1.1744
Wed: 1.1664-1.1739
Tue: 1.1655-1.1717
Mon: 1.1684-1.1751
Fri: 1.1626-1.1739

20-day avg: 1.1680
50-day avg: 1.1684
100-day avg: 1.1951
200-day avg: 1.1983


Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Sep 26: 98% (96%)

DAX: +188
Implied Open
DJ: +40
SP: -6.9



See the Amazing Trader Live!

GVI Forex Blog 09:09 GMT July 26, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 26 July 2018
Reply   

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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Thu 26 July 2018
AA 11:45 EZ- European Central Bank Decision
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 12:30 US- Durable Goods
Fri 27 July 2018
AA 12:30 US- GDP
A 14:00 US- Final University of Michigan


Tue 31 July 2018
AA JP- Bank of Japan
A 06:00 DE- Retail Sales
A 09:00 EZ- flash HICP/GDP
AA 12:30 US- Core PCE Deflator
A 14:00 US- CB Consumer Confidence
Wed 1 Aug 2018
A Final Mfg PMIs
AA 12:15 US- ADP Private Payrolls
A 15:00 US- EIA Crude
AA 18:00 US- Federal Reserve Decision
Thu 2 Aug 2018
AA 11:00 GB- Bank of England Decision
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 3 Aug 2018
A Final Services PMIs
AA 12:30 US- Employment
A 12:30 US/CA- Trade


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Thursday Trading Checklist 26 July 2018

PAR 09:02 GMT July 26, 2018
ECB DRAGHI PONZI MAFIA

Mr Draghi’s term does not end until October 2019. But the jostling to replace him has already started. His successor will be chosen after much horse-trading between the 19 euro-zone members. By comparison, last year’s choice of Jerome Powell to lead America’s Federal Reserve looks a breeze.

Complicating the negotiations over the next presidency is the fact that other big jobs are at stake, too. Vacancies at the top of the European Commission and European Council will also open up next year. And there are other spots at the bank that need filling. This week it began its search for a chief bank supervisor to replace Danièle Nouy, a Frenchwoman. Peter Praet, a Belgian member of the bank’s executive board, will leave in May.

Member states need to decide which roles they want and what to concede to get them. At the ECB, a balance between northerners and southerners is considered essential. The choice in March of Luis de Guindos, a Spaniard, as its vice-president, for example, is thought to leave the field open for a northern president.

With the euro area’s largest and most populous economy yet to hold the post, most observers agree that it is Germany’s turn. The obvious candidate would be the boss of the Bundesbank, Jens Weidmann. A survey last month of economists by Bloomberg, a news agency, put him as the most likely choice.

manila tom 08:38 GMT July 26, 2018
buy usdjpy
Reply   
let's try 110.70, stop 100p

PAR 08:02 GMT July 26, 2018
ECB DRAGHI PONZI MAFIA

Euro supported by Trumps capitulation on tariffs on German cars .

jkt abel 07:43 GMT July 26, 2018
ECB DRAGHI PONZI MAFIA

euro's greatwall 11750 resistance, make or break

PAR 06:57 GMT July 26, 2018
GERMANY
Reply   
No US tariffs on German cars big boost for German stock market .

PAR 06:55 GMT July 26, 2018
ECB DRAGHI PONZI MAFIA
Reply   
#ECB balance sheet has hit fresh highs. Total assets rose by another €5.15bn to €4,605bn as Draghi keeps printing press rumbling. Balance sheet now equates to 41.2% of #Eurozone GDP while Fed's balance sheet has shrank to 21.5% of US GDP.

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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