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Forex Forum Archive for 08/07/2018

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Caribbean! Rafe... 23:36 GMT August 7, 2018
The kids, coach and rescue teams.

good thing the kids are safe... the coach'll mother 'em up and get them back alright.

PAR 23:15 GMT August 7, 2018
TSLA
Reply   
Please buy all my Tesla shares at $ 420 and go privarely bankrupt .

Thank you very much .

dc CB 20:41 GMT August 7, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 8 August 2018

API
Crude -6MM
Gasoline +3.1MM
Distillate +1.8MM
Cushing -576K

GVI Trader john 20:35 GMT August 7, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 8 August 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:

NEUTRAL-NEGATIVE
Spot EURUSD: 1.1594
Pivot Point: 1.1584

This Week: 1.1530-1.1608
Tue: 1.1551-1.1608
Mon: 1.1530-1.1571
Fri: 1.1560-1.1510
Thu: 1.1584-1.1667

20-day avg: 1.1659
50-day avg: 1.1670
100-day avg: 1.1888
200-day avg: 1.1980

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Sep 26: 94% (94%)

Mtl JP 20:33 GMT August 7, 2018
USD

pas de bonbon encore
10yr 2.979% uP 0.041

GVI Forex Blog 19:06 GMT August 7, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 8 August 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 8 August 2018

dc CB 18:11 GMT August 7, 2018
USD

typo---my bad
2.98 - 2.99X

Mtl JP 18:09 GMT August 7, 2018
USD

10yr 2.973% uP some 0.035

dc CB 17:43 GMT August 7, 2018
USD

dc CB 12:21 GMT
US Treas Auctions. How well will they go?

The 3 went: 3Y Note Yields Most Since May 2007 In Ugly, Tailing Auction As Foreign Buyers Flee (ZerHedge)

sooooo, maybe the 10Y Yield will creep up to the 2.8 - 2.9X range to attract MoBuyers?....And that will do what to STOX-R-US and the USD

Dillon AL 17:18 GMT August 7, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

3% no irrelevant but 2 billion is

dc CB 17:14 GMT August 7, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

just like Bezos makes most of the money from AWS (the Cloud) which has supersecret Gov contracts with the CIA/Defense Dept,
there is more to Musk and SpaceX than "space tourism".

Mtl JP 17:10 GMT August 7, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Is 3% stake "significant" in any manner of metric ?

dc CB 17:09 GMT August 7, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

The Saudis took a $2bl stake in TSLA, deal done by JPM...

see ZeroHedge for story

PAR 17:07 GMT August 7, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Can Tesla survive as a private company ? Can you manipulate stock prices with fake statements ?

Mtl JP 17:07 GMT August 7, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

before musk
Tesla shares rise on report Saudi Arabia sovereign wealth fund has $2 billion stake - headlined cnbc

Livingston nh 17:06 GMT August 7, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Musk has a success at SpaceX - Bezos trying to break thru that market /// so MAYBE funding is secured by a merger of sorts in Space

GVI Trader john 17:03 GMT August 7, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Many skeptical about the Tesla item. They say it sounds far-fetched. Source is a tweet on Twitter. Beware of the going private possibility.

GVI 16:59 GMT August 7, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

CEO Musk tweets: Considering taking Tesla private at $420/shr; funding secured ** NOTE: CEO Musk can at times be sarcastic on his Twitter account;


- Source TradeTheNews.com

Livingston nh 16:54 GMT August 7, 2018
EUROPE

EU warns companies -- from UK's Guardian

"At the same time a blocking statute – last used to protect EU firms from sanctions against Cuba – was brought into force in an attempt to insulate European firms by threatening legal repercussions should they comply with Washington’s diktats and offering them a chance to sue the US for interference."

BUT --

"The efficacy of the blocking statue remains in serious doubt. The German carmaker Daimler AG said on Tuesday that it was suspending its “very limited” activities in Iran. In early 2016 the company announced plans for local truck production and cooperation with an Iranian partner. On Tuesday it said a representative office “will not be continued”."

If the EU mandates (and enforces) non-compliance this gets interesting

GVI Forex Blog 16:53 GMT August 7, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 8 August 2018
Reply   

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Wed 8 Aug 2018
A 12:30 US- PPI
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
A 21:00 NZ- RBNZ Decision
Thu 9 Aug 2018
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 23:50 JP- GDP
Fri 10 Aug 2018
A 08:30 GB- GDP
AA 12:30 US- CPI
A 12:30 CA- Employment


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Wednesday Trading Checklist 8 August 2018

Mtl JP 16:52 GMT August 7, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 7 August 2018

Two sided (hedged) opinion,
courtesy Bank of America Merrill Lynch�s Thanos Vamvakidis:
This could be the �most interesting� trade in the world right now

In the meantime bbrg reports that

Foreign Bankers Are Fleeing Before Brexit, BOE's McCafferty Says

Livingston nh 16:42 GMT August 7, 2018
US STOCKS

Par - buyers run out at bottoms - sellers run out at tops

GVI Forex Blog 16:14 GMT August 7, 2018
Forex: Evolution of a Winning EURCAD Trade
Reply   

This trade call, posted by one of our valued members on the Global-view Forex Forum (see posts below), was supported by the Amazing Trader chart (see above and how it hit a target) and its directional indicator that highlighted the shift in risk to the upside.

 

Forex: Evolution of a Winning EURCAD Trade

USA ZEUS 16:02 GMT August 7, 2018
EUR/CAD

Dillon AL 15:13 GMT 08/07/2018

Hi AL. Thank you and glad things worked out for you!
Cheers!

Fukuoka joyya 16:01 GMT August 7, 2018
US STOCKS

PAR 15:55 GMT 08/07/2018
stox seems up some time......

us threat to turkey wont work usa wont put sancstions on turkey sanctions panic things alot faster in the world turkey is seriours usa is just threats
these tactics wont work they have to talk to both iran and turkey thats only solution.....

PAR 15:55 GMT August 7, 2018
US STOCKS
Reply   
Momentum is up , just no sellers left . Only buyers .

Fukuoka joyya 15:46 GMT August 7, 2018
EUROPE

do not think so but maybe but have other buyer china russia india.....

PAR 15:39 GMT August 7, 2018
EUROPE
Reply   
European companies cowardly stop doing business with Iran despite € billions of investments .

Fukuoka joyya 15:35 GMT August 7, 2018
CHINA

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6QgwwBAj8Ow


usa and trump old story ....

happy trade,

PAR 15:28 GMT August 7, 2018
CHINA

Tesla's Chinese factory ? I don't think so .

PAR 15:22 GMT August 7, 2018
CHINA
Reply   
Trumps Great Gatsby government is no match for the Chinese .

Dillon AL 15:13 GMT August 7, 2018
EUR/CAD

Thankyou Zeus Was a nice weekend for sure which when I looked at your trades on Friday I was in total agreement and just reinforced what was a nice contra trade. Way 2 go mate

USA ZEUS 15:02 GMT August 7, 2018
EUR/CAD

Take gains at your leisure.

Happy Turnaround Tuesday!

PAR 14:53 GMT August 7, 2018
China Beware
Reply   
New Details About Wilbur Ross’ Business Point To Pattern Of Grifting

A

multimillion-dollar lawsuit has been quietly making its way through the New York State court system over the last three years, pitting a private equity manager named David Storper against his former boss: Secretary of Commerce Wilbur Ross. The pair worked side by side for more than a decade, eventually at the firm, WL Ross & Co.—where, Storper later alleged, Ross stole his interests in a private equity fund, transferred them to himself, then tried to cover it up with bogus paperwork. Two weeks ago, just before the start of a trial with $4 million on the line, Ross and Storper agreed to a confidential settlement, whose existence has never been reported and whose terms remain secret.

Wilbur Ross

Dillon AL 14:53 GMT August 7, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 7 August 2018

5th wave but not complete held 50 ma and it looks like theres a gap. close that and its all over. keep it and the moon is the tgt

Mtl JP 14:46 GMT August 7, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 7 August 2018

CB 14:34 I suspect some "wave" counting type would have a few things to say about the chart

Mtl JP 14:44 GMT August 7, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 7 August 2018

suggest one look at the dynamics of s/t rate spreads between US and its peers. see for yourself what is undercutting the USD

dc CB 14:34 GMT August 7, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 7 August 2018



SPY, the SnP ETF New ATH, on very low volume

Livingston nh 14:29 GMT August 7, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 7 August 2018

STOX - watch NDX for a clue today - I think this one breaks first // earnings are done - President may have bit off too much w/ sanctions boast - PPI (thurs) and CPI (fri)

Mkt internals are balanced but w/o upside driver

GVI Forex Blog 14:15 GMT August 7, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. JOLTS Survey Solid in June 2018
Reply   
Fed's preferred Jobs statistic. Data lower, but remains at a lofty level.

U.S. JOLTS Survey

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. JOLTS Survey Solid in June 2018

GVI Trader john 14:03 GMT August 7, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Canada Ivey PMI (sa) July 2018





ALERT
61.8 vs. 64.2 exp. vs. 63.1 prev.
RELEASE: Ivey Purchasing Managers Report


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trader john 14:00 GMT August 7, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:
Reply   

June 2018 JOLTS Survey



ALERT

6.660 vs. 6.465mn exp vs. 6.640 mn prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer



PAR 13:57 GMT August 7, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 7 August 2018

One Good Trade: Inside the Highly Competitive World of Proprietary Trading


Editors(s):Mike Bellafiore
First published:26 September 2015
Print ISBN:9780470529409 -Online ISBN:9781119203063 -DOI:10.1002/9781119203063
Copyright © 2010 by Mike Bellafiore. All rights reserved

Fukuoka joyya 13:50 GMT August 7, 2018
TURKEY

best place to invest for future turkey must grow faster....

Mtl JP 13:32 GMT 08/07/2018


maybe

Mtl JP 13:42 GMT August 7, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 7 August 2018



S&P 2859
Resistance is Futile

PAR 13:38 GMT August 7, 2018
VIX

Guess only BlackRock selling VIX . You can't fight BlackRock , but the downside potential becomes limited . Ie ZERO .

Mtl JP 13:32 GMT August 7, 2018
USD

the one thing that has been , and is likely to be again, entertaining is Asian propensity to :

1) outright lie / deny / posture at any cost to save face and
2) panic when SHTF

it is a cultural thing.

Fukuoka joyya 13:20 GMT August 7, 2018
USD

bali sja 10:36 GMT 08/07/2018


2020/2030 big shift will come usa have to leave all countriies esp when they lose middle east japan south korea losing middle east hurt max hurt .....

leaving middle east is only way for usa no other way.....

usa face visa problems to do business other countries bcoz america most hated....

asia will grow much faster than west....


PAR 13:02 GMT August 7, 2018
TURKEY
Reply   
Time to buy Turkish bonds .

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:55 GMT August 7, 2018
Amazing Trader Update

More from the GVI Forex/AT forum

Tuesday Trading Checklist
GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:50 GMT 08/07/2018 - My Profile
EURUSD 1,1605

1.1610 is the make or break level. Make it and you see stops get run, fail to test it and rally will fizzle.

Risk is generally on side where there are stops to run but it has been more of a slow slog up so far.

The Amazing Trader

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 12:25 GMT August 7, 2018
Amazing Trader Update

I posted this as well earlier on the GVI Forex/AT forum (high so far has been 1.1604)

So far still just corrections

AT EURUSD res 1.1602/19/20/32 if looking for possible stops but upside contained as long as 1.1610 stays intact.

38.2% = 1.1612

Back below 1.1550-70 would be needed to shift focus back towards lows, finds some support while above it

Note EURGBP firmer and providing some demand.

dc CB 12:21 GMT August 7, 2018
USD

US Treas Auctions. How well will they go?

$34Bln in 3Y notes - today. 1PM ET results
$26Bln in 10Y notes - tomr.
$18Bln in 30Y bonds - thurs

Mtl JP 12:20 GMT August 7, 2018
VIX

PAR u have to play to find out

PAR 12:15 GMT August 7, 2018
VIX
Reply   
VIX keeps tumbling . Is there still a market or is it FAKE .

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 11:18 GMT August 7, 2018
Amazing Trader Update
Reply   
As I posted on the GVI/AT forum last week and so far proving to be on target

GVI Trader Jay Meisler 10:31 GMT August 2, 2018
Thursday AT Trading Checklist: Reply

One characteristic of the EURUSD is that moves outside of 1.16-1.17 (1.15xx and 1.17xx) have failed to follow through

The Amazing Trader

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 10:52 GMT August 7, 2018
USD

I am not a fortune teller. For NOW I use the Amazing Trader and its strategies to guide my trading.

bali sja 10:36 GMT August 7, 2018
USD

future? how soon, how long? future is NOW

NY JM 10:34 GMT August 7, 2018
USD

The US nightmare scenario would be if the yield curve steepens due to a flight from Treasuries given the endless rising budget deficits and supply of government paper. This would lead to stagflation but would probably need to see an end to QE globally to dry up liquidity.

This is for a future discussion so just keep it on the back end of your blotter.

GVI Trader john 10:28 GMT August 7, 2018
USD

I saw the Dimon interview late last week. He was talking about sharply higher rates some time in the (indefinite) future. I was expecting 5 years ago that the 10-yr would be at the 5% level by this time and since I have had to re-calibrate. Shockingly, even 3.00%, has become a difficult target. There is no doubt that central bank manipulation (Quantitative Ease-QE) has distorted the "normal" functioning of the marketplace. Keep in mind that Dimon is not an impartial observer. Banks will make a lot more money if the yield curve steepens lending long and funding short. the "newsreaders" are not aware of this!

GVI Trader john 09:59 GMT August 7, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 7 August 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:

NEUTRAL-NEGATIVE
Spot EURUSD: 1.1591
Pivot Point: 1.1552

This Week: 1.1530-1.1571
Tue: 1.1551-1.1594
Mon: 1.1530-1.1571
Fri: 1.1560-1.1510
Thu: 1.1584-1.1667

20-day avg: 1.1667
50-day avg: 1.1669
100-day avg: 1.1895
200-day avg: 1.1980

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Sep 26: 98% (98%)

10-yr Bonds
US: 2.951% +1.9bp
DE: 0.402% +1.1bp
GB: 1.315% +1.4bp
JP: 0.110% +0.5bp

DAX: +110
Implied Open
DJ: +84
SP: +5.9




See the Amazing Trader Live!


Mtl JP 09:51 GMT August 7, 2018
USD

"Dimon sees US yields rising sharply."
really , rising sharply ? what is "sharply" ?

"I think rates should be 4 percent today," Dimon said
ref 21:51 quote
BUT , dear jamie, they are not. (at 2.949 25% below where jamie thinks they should be today)

and folks wonder why President Trump uses Twitter to by-pass "interpreters" / propaganda peddlers

GVI Forex Blog 09:33 GMT August 7, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 7 August 2018
Reply   

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 7 Aug 2018
AA Reserve Bank Of Australia
Wed 8 Aug 2018
A 12:30 US- PPI
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
A 21:00 NZ- RBNZ Decision
Thu 9 Aug 2018
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 23:50 JP- GDP
Fri 10 Aug 2018
A 08:30 GB- GDP
AA 12:30 US- CPI
A 12:30 CA- Employment


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Tuesday Trading Checklist 7 August 2018

PAR 09:06 GMT August 7, 2018
USD
Reply   
USD drops as USA tries to sell bonds while Jamie Dimon sees US yields rising sharply.

PAR 08:58 GMT August 7, 2018
GERMANY
Reply   
Econ power house #Germany w/weak banks. Commerzbank shares fall on cautios outlook. Sees lower risk result & higher cost expectation. 1H highlights challenging revenue environment: Private & small business customers division rev up 1% QoQ, Corp Clients division rev down 1% QoQ.

Fukuoka joyya 08:41 GMT August 7, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 6 August 2018

more worry is natural disasters around and climate chaging esp in japan and europe etc...

Fukuoka joyya 08:36 GMT August 7, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 6 August 2018

looks to me short usd vs em markeet....em markeet down alot good long term option or gold silver eur long long term.....

Fukuoka joyya 08:34 GMT August 7, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 6 August 2018

Mtl JP 08:18 GMT 08/07/2018
i think soon china dominate super power nothing can stop.....

Mtl JP 08:18 GMT August 7, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 6 August 2018

joyya

Xi character now parades around as China's President. For an indefinite term. Note that: indefinite term. Now this clown is full of himself, it has gotten into his head.

One of the first signs of that was his full-of-himself-ness in Davos where he peddled the idea that china stands a-stride some great era and that his - the chinese way - is a new option for others to follow.

President Trump is asking Xi to sober up a bit but Xi is friggen drunk on his own hallucination visions as some leading global champion of free trade that his hubris does not only not allow him to pause and consider but his ego continues to pour fuel on his domineering posture as he keeps on digging in his heels. Xi's china is not the blemish-less benevolent alternative player as Xi would like be perceived. Xi's china is not universally around the world as welcome as the beatles might have been with screaming adoring and fainting girls.... Xi's - and "news" peddlers such as BBRG should be using his name - politics resembles more a display of �overweening pride� and �vanity politics� that Tsinghua law professor Xu Zhangrun faulted Mr. Xi for and called �odious.�

It all seems to boils down to a long-term trading opportunity betting on two elephants. Or many little trades over a sustained period.

I like pips-making opportunities come they out of Donald's or Xi's donkey.

Fukuoka joyya 08:11 GMT August 7, 2018
TRUMP

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5zD7xR0DGuE&t=483s

Fukuoka joyya 08:08 GMT August 7, 2018
TRUMP

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zMOo73qKZQs&t=162s

Fukuoka joyya 08:04 GMT August 7, 2018
TRUMP

PAR 07:57 GMT 08/07/2018

never can possible win even from n korea......
no one telling truth....
iran sanctions 100% backfire end of petrodollar...



PAR 08:00 GMT August 7, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 6 August 2018

Is Jamie Dimon short US treasuries . I don't thinks so .

No skin in the game . Just paroles , paroles, paroles .

PAR 07:57 GMT August 7, 2018
TRUMP
Reply   
Trump thinks he is winning the trade war with China ?

Not so sure . When was the last time America won a war ?

Fukuoka joyya 07:37 GMT August 7, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 6 August 2018

south africa facing black white problem again....

Fukuoka joyya 07:35 GMT August 7, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 6 August 2018

Mtl JP 22:06 GMT 08/06/2018
do not waste time to this fool man world is changed no one listen to him even not n korea come on do not talk about china india russia japan turkey iran..... what usa got in afghan iraq etc?if he is man attack n korea.....

usa wont get iran oil china and russia get.....


america have very bad future maybe next somlia soon black and white problems come 2025 suffer alot....

i read that and im totaly agree i knew when trump elected that time collapse of usa....


PAR 07:30 GMT August 7, 2018
RISK ON
Reply   
The sky is the limit .

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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