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Forex Forum Archive for 08/13/2018

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HK [email protected] 23:36 GMT August 13, 2018
7 is the top? On condition of crisis solving

*
The TRY has stopped falling exactly on a Fibo. target. per calculation.
The next if breached is above 8.
According to Mr. Fibo. the higher a target breached, the next target will be far on a bigger gap than the last one. There are infinite Fibo. numbers, and some of them are very big:)

Kl Fs 23:12 GMT August 13, 2018
There will be a way out of the pastor crisis.

7 is the top?

HK [email protected] 23:07 GMT August 13, 2018
There will be a way out of the pastor crisis.
Reply   
*
a. The Sultan may release him on request of EU or some Muslim counrtries.
b. The pastor will have to apologize.

And the most important; Not by a direct yield to Trump's pressure.

Mtl JP 20:50 GMT August 13, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 14 August 2018

winner

GVI Trader john 20:47 GMT August 13, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 14 August 2018

late Mon
10s 2.877%
DJ -125
USDTRY 6.9255

GVI TRADER Jay Meisler 20:18 GMT August 13, 2018
Forex: Is There a Hidden Hand Defending USDTRY 7.00?

USDTRY closes below 7.00, still pivotal

GVI Trader john 19:29 GMT August 13, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 14 August 2018

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GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:

NEGATIVE
Spot EURUSD: 1.1392
Pivot Point: 1.1397

This Week: 1.1365-1.1433
Mon: 1.1365-1.1433
Fri: 1.1388-1.1553
Thu: 1.1525-1.1619
Wed: 1.1573-1.1628

20-day avg: 1.1620
50-day avg: 1.1655
100-day avg: 1.1855
200-day avg: 1.1977

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Sep 26: 90% (90%)

GVI Forex Blog 19:16 GMT August 13, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 13 August 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

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Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 13 August 2018

GVI Forex Blog 17:49 GMT August 13, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 14 August 2018
Reply   

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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 14 Aug 2018
AA 08:30 GB- Employment
A 09:00 DE- ZEW Survey
Wed 15 Aug 2018
AA 08:30 GB- CPI
AA 12:30 US- Retail Sales
A 12:30 US- Productivity
A 13:15 US- Industrial Production
A 15:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 16 Aug 2018
A 01:30 AU-Employment
AA 08:30 GB- Retail Sales
A 12:30 US- House Permits
A 12:30 US- Philly Fed
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 17 Aug 2018
A 09:00 EZ- Final HICP
AA 08:30 CA- CPI
AA 14:00 US- Final University Of Michigan
A 14:00 US- Leading Indicators


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Tuesday Trading Checklist 14 August 2018

Mtl JP 16:23 GMT August 13, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

oh NO ! dear watson

Consumers turning more pessimistic about wages, stocks, home prices, taxes

A monthly survey conducted on consumer expectations showed a notable pessimistic trend in July.

The New York Fed’s survey of consumer expectations — based on a panel of 1,300 household heads across the United States — found declines in one-year expectations on earnings growth , household spending, stock prices and house prices.

PAR 16:00 GMT August 13, 2018
TURKEY

FUNDING SECURED

Mtl JP 15:56 GMT August 13, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

uh uh ECB been reading my JP 15:20 so they send out a trumpet in a "what me worry?" type of cavalier shrug of shoulders

Odds are the truth is they staining their pants on the prospect of CONTAGION

GVI 15:48 GMT August 13, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Bundesbank's Wuermeling: ECB hasn't seen a need for a meeting about Turkey bank risks; let's not overdramatize the risk of Euro Area infection - Urges Turkey to take bold action to stop its spiral

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Mtl JP 15:48 GMT August 13, 2018
DEBT

"make suffer"
IS a form of dialogue

not every dialogue is the old "canadian version"
(lets sit down, have some tea and biscuits and talk about it)

Fukuoka joyya 15:41 GMT August 13, 2018
DEBT

why not these 2 countries sit and dialogue...
why making suffer turk.....
hopefully soon solve problem....
happy trade,

Mtl JP 15:36 GMT August 13, 2018
DEBT

It is actually one those rare market near-certainties (or practical certainty) that you can count on

Mtl JP 15:22 GMT August 13, 2018
DEBT

PAR 15:11 it is been like that for decades and it is NOT likely to change.
Good trade opportunities there.

Mtl JP 15:20 GMT August 13, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 13 August 2018

Turkey finance minister out earlier:

“From Monday morning onwards our institutions will take the necessary steps and will share the announcements with the market,” Albayrak said.
“All our action plan and measures are ready,”

---------------------------------------------------
Has anyone seen the announcements yet ?
TIA

Fukuoka joyya 15:15 GMT August 13, 2018
DEBT

yes usa and japan have more debt but they are not just playing politics bcoz giants...markeet bcame political areena miss use...

PAR 15:11 GMT August 13, 2018
DEBT
Reply   
Nowadays debt never gets repaid . They just roll it over into new debt .

All over the world . Debt is no problem .

PAR 15:01 GMT August 13, 2018
TURKEY

Imho Turkish bonds offer more potential than US treasuries .

Fukuoka joyya 14:52 GMT August 13, 2018
Usdtry

i think so turkey is good place usdtry shud be 3.3/4 come on turkish peoples work hard and u take half of wealth for just own goals taking sweat unjustice very sad they serve nato many years come on show some loyality to these peoples...

PAR 14:39 GMT August 13, 2018
TURKEY
Reply   
Turkish crisis has become a non event and Turkey always has been and will be a fantastic holiday destination .

Fukuoka joyya 14:33 GMT August 13, 2018
Usdtry

usdtry shud be around 3.3/4

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 14:18 GMT August 13, 2018
Usdtry

Joyva, please cool it with the political posts unless they have a relevance to trading.

Dubai MA 14:16 GMT August 13, 2018
Amazing Trader Update

Anyone selling the eurusd or eurhpy?

Fukuoka joyya 14:16 GMT August 13, 2018
Usdtry

is it trump going to face tough time?trump is not good politicaly obama was better geopolitical....trump just businessman...
im not fan of erdogan but legaly he is right tumroil was plot as have tweet proof....and if they have proof against pastor they can sent to jail ..
turkish peoples lost 50% value this year nato ally....

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:43 GMT August 13, 2018
Amazing Trader Update
Reply   
Profit taking without any news, maybe hope Erdogan will blink

EURUSD AT res 1.1437/47/57/70/82

The Amazing Trader

SaaR KaL 13:25 GMT August 13, 2018
GBPUSD

happy gbpjpy shorts above 141.4
expecting 132 next month

Mtl JP 13:20 GMT August 13, 2018
Usdtry

nh 12:47 usdyen pop uP = market anxiety down somewhat

SaaR KaL 12:55 GMT August 13, 2018
GBPUSD
Reply   
Cable shorts for a month

Livingston nh 12:47 GMT August 13, 2018
Usdtry

This last hour it seems clear this is a dollar issue -- somebody buying EUR/USD and EUR/TRY ? -- a stronger EUR/TRY is ok for now ??

HK [email protected] 12:47 GMT August 13, 2018
US Embassies usually don't care about detained citizens.
Reply   
*
The most they do is giving a name of a trusted lawyer to defend the accused.
So likely this pastor is not a regular innocent American.

Livingston nh 12:36 GMT August 13, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Freeing a hostage is not going to bring down the inflation rate, raise interest rates or move Erdogan back into the western orbit

HK [email protected] 12:35 GMT August 13, 2018
Usdtry

*
Too many whores are suppose to make big money on the pastor release...So he will be released. haha
Give away dignity for cash, accompanied by many excuses. haha

GVI Trader john 12:34 GMT August 13, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 13 August 2018

10s 2.875%
DJ +19
USDTRY 2.8680

Kl Fs 12:32 GMT August 13, 2018
Usdtry

Release the pastor and usdtry prints below 5

HK [email protected] 12:29 GMT August 13, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

*
This was on Sunday.

HK [email protected] 12:24 GMT August 13, 2018
Now; If the Sultan will not release the pastor TRY will collapse!
Reply   
.
Expectationa were created!

GVI Trader john 12:13 GMT August 13, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Embassy denies it released report about U.S. pastor release.

PAR 12:12 GMT August 13, 2018
From the internet!

U.S. EMBASSY OFFICIAL IN ANKARA SAYS HAS NOT PUT OUT STATEMENT REGARDING U.S. PASTOR BRUNSON

HK [email protected] 12:10 GMT August 13, 2018
From the internet!
Reply   
*
Corruption in Turkey is an issue affecting the accession of Turkey to the European Union. Transparency International's 2016 Corruption Perception Index ranks the country 75th place out of 176 countries.

So the Sultan....

PAR 12:08 GMT August 13, 2018
Probably the Sultan is shorting USD/TRY

Maybe Elon Musk is involved ?

HK [email protected] 12:04 GMT August 13, 2018
Probably the Sultan is shorting USD/TRY

*
Maybe the Sultan and his friends using their personal money(or borrow big time) to laugh all the way to the bank later:))

PAR 12:04 GMT August 13, 2018
Probably the Sultan is shorting USD/TRY

USDTRY 7.0000 is line in the sand for Turkish central bank .

Will do whatever it takes .

PAR 12:02 GMT August 13, 2018
Probably the Sultan is shorting USD/TRY

Central bank intervention ?

Mtl JP 12:01 GMT August 13, 2018
Usdtry

nh 'traders on the run'
the HFT "traders on the run" to the bank w/posipips
this is no prisoners time for the brutally fast types

HK [email protected] 12:01 GMT August 13, 2018
Probably the Sultan is shorting USD/TRY
Reply   
*
Then release the pastor and make a big buck!
Just remember the pastor is already transfered to a house arrest.
Maybe released on humanitarian background and kickout from Turkey.

GVI Forex 11:58 GMT August 13, 2018
Usdtry

Some chatter on Twitter

07:56 (TR) Speculation that Turkey could release the US Pastor - twitter Related ()

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI 11:57 GMT August 13, 2018
BREAKING NEWS
Reply   
Speculation that Turkey could release the US Pastor held under house arrest - twitter

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Livingston nh 11:57 GMT August 13, 2018
Usdtry

ECB to the rescue?

Livingston nh 11:55 GMT August 13, 2018
Usdtry

Forex traders on the run as CB strikes back

Mtl JP 11:50 GMT August 13, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 13 August 2018



Xi still screwing w/exchange rate
I do not expect President Trump not noticing.

HK [email protected] 11:43 GMT August 13, 2018
Forex: Is There a Hidden Hand Defending USDTRY 7.00?

*
Today TRY HI is a significant Res. point.
One can believe that Specs. are taking profits at that Hi.
A breach of this Hi can end the TRY at above 8 to the USD.

So when the Sultan will finish collecting the gold and us$ from those silly citizen, he may close a deal with the US.
The pastor will be released, as afterall what is the use of ruining a whole country for a pastor.

Mtl JP 11:43 GMT August 13, 2018
Usdtry

various reports:
"ERDOGAN SAYS LIRA WOULD SETTLE AT RATIONAL LEVEL SOON"

rational.... 14 ? 21 ? ....
soon... = quicker than one can trade their short usdtry to avoid margin call

Livingston nh 11:26 GMT August 13, 2018
Usdtry

The Forces of Darkness are gathering for another run at USD/TRY 7 - murmurs of "is that all ya got?" are increasing - a breach before the US stox open would be welcome
___
Spanish banks have a Trifecta w/ Argentina, Venezuela and now Turkey (w/ 5x the exposure of Italian banks) -- Brazil up next?

GVI Trader john 10:16 GMT August 13, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 13 August 2018

REPORT Russia said it reduced USD Treasury holdings by 84% from $96 bln to $15bln in the March to May period. Hard to find this trade in EURUSD. It traded from ~1.24 to ~1.18 over that period. Someone is buying those Treasuries, but I don't see why??

Mtl JP 09:54 GMT August 13, 2018
Usdtry

the source : ______ ?

Fukuoka joyya 09:49 GMT August 13, 2018
Usdtry

i heard that bcoz turkey is best in energy europe need energy badly so thats delibrate move same like egypt right now egypt top of american list for investment...and next power shifting to isreal from usa thats why trump came turkey so important place bcoz of oldest churchs and usa never like ottoman ...usa peoples next face hyperinflaton...

GVI Trader john 09:49 GMT August 13, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 13 August 2018

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GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:

NEGATIVE
Spot EURUSD: 1.1388
Pivot Point: 1.1443

Last Week: 1.1388-1.1628
Mon: 1.1365-1.1418
Fri: 1.1388-1.1553
Thu: 1.1525-1.1619
Wed: 1.1573-1.1628

20-day avg: 1.1636
50-day avg: 1.1661
100-day avg: 1.1865
200-day avg: 1.1978

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Sep 26: 90% (94%)

10-yr Bonds
US: 2.866% -0.5bp
DE: 0.320% +0.1bp
GB: 1.243% -0.2bp
JP: 0.101% 0.0bp

DAX: -76
Implied Open
DJ: -58
SP: -3.6




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Mtl JP 09:40 GMT August 13, 2018
Usdtry

joyya 09:25 - who is the source of that ?

Fukuoka joyya 09:25 GMT August 13, 2018
Usdtry

i heard that try devalue another 50/80 than american companies going to invest in many field esp energey to europe that plan allready have....

GVI Forex Blog 09:18 GMT August 13, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 13 August 2018
Reply   

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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 14 Aug 2018
AA 08:30 GB- Employment
A 09:30 DE- ZEW Survey
Wed 15 Aug 2018
AA 08:30 GB- CPI
AA 12:30 US- Retail Sales
A 12:30 US- Productivity
A 13:15 US- Industrial Production
A 15:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 16 Aug 2018
A 01:30 AU-Employment
AA 08:30 GB- Retail Sales
A 12:30 US- House Permits
A 12:30 US- Philly Fed
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 17 Aug 2018
A 09:00 EZ- Final HICP
AA 08:30 CA- CPI
AA 14:00 US- Final University Of Michigan
A 14:00 US- Leading Indicators


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Monday Trading Checklist 13 August 2018

Fukuoka joyya 08:56 GMT August 13, 2018
Usdtry

or turkey face hyperinflation?turkish peoples get more poor...

look like trump win all wars america again great....

Fukuoka joyya 06:46 GMT August 13, 2018
Usdtry

look like turkey soon relaese pastor and soon problem solve...

bali sja 05:19 GMT August 13, 2018
Usdtry

JP, your gappity gap closing got another hit with usdtry

dc CB 03:34 GMT August 13, 2018
O Canada

So It Goes

the launch pad

bali sja 03:29 GMT August 13, 2018
Usdtry

Soros is coming surely. Erdogan has sensed it by blaming foreign operation

dc CB 03:22 GMT August 13, 2018
O Canada

OOOOOOOO
OOOOOO LOL
Shut Down the Internet....Shut it down...NO INFORMATION
Beyond What WE Tell YOU
LOL

Sorry Not IN THE NEWS (cough cough)

Heard About This ??? NO?

dc CB 03:05 GMT August 13, 2018
O Canada
Reply   
O Just In...U be playin' with people Out of your league

a Pic worth 1000 words

Livingston nh 03:02 GMT August 13, 2018
Usdtry

Maybe this IS the plan - defend 7 at all costs

Where's Soros when you need him?

bali sja 02:56 GMT August 13, 2018
Usdtry

ahahaha sumo match, thats a good description, i wonder if China will stupidly get involved too

Livingston nh 02:43 GMT August 13, 2018
Usdtry

sja -- 5min chart on this one looks like a sumo match _ CB vs the World @7

Livingston nh 02:02 GMT August 13, 2018
Usdtry

ok 7 again - let's see if somebody shows up

Fukuoka joyya 01:23 GMT August 13, 2018
Will EURUSD gap lower on Turkey fears?

relation will get better bcoz both need each other do worry....
trump just putting presure but usa can not leave turkey that geopolitical fact....

Livingston nh 01:16 GMT August 13, 2018
Will EURUSD gap lower on Turkey fears?

jp - market seems getting impatient -- Erdogan sleeping in? // contagion maybe in Brazil(BRL) thru Spain// HUF or PLN if the hostages are released into the wild


Turkey has about $70 bio in reserves to play with and little likelihood of increasing -- we shall see if the market buys the PLAN

Fukuoka joyya 01:12 GMT August 13, 2018
Will EURUSD gap lower on Turkey fears?

sold now 6.92 bcoz turkey have more cards trump risking too much....

Mtl JP 01:02 GMT August 13, 2018
Will EURUSD gap lower on Turkey fears?

nh 20:53- so the bigger play and bet is IF the turk can tilt the 2nd (and 3rd and so on) CONTAGION dominos

What is CONTAGION ?
google leads to some funny some less so explenations

Mtl JP 00:36 GMT August 13, 2018
Will EURUSD gap lower on Turkey fears?

forgot Xi

 




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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
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AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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