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Forex Forum Archive for 08/17/2018

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Mtl JP 21:07 GMT August 17, 2018
Winners and Losers

Feel free to take a position:

"Turkey's incomplete policy response to the lira's depreciation is unlikely on its own to sustainably stabilise the currency and the economy," Fitch Ratings

and to load heavy or not is a personal decision

Caribbean! Rafe... 20:35 GMT August 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

markets have been running in equilibrium... this is not good for the world. Equilibrium predates sudden wars... uncertainty is what makes us our money nothing else... so trum being certain to cut the deficit with china is not a sabre rattling announcement, they are gonna sign documents to make that a reality...

Caribbean! Rafe... 20:31 GMT August 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

welfare of the people has to be discounted too...

Mtl JP 20:22 GMT August 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

u see , for u and me who trade FX and /or other instuments is not about what fundamentally should or not happen.

Out task is to make preferably posi-pips off how the market is or will react to reports about some low-level trade meeting that - allegedly - are preparatory steps towards a Xi and Trump november meeting as current market mood demostrated.

Seeing as who is giving orders Trump however and imo would be a fool to give audience to Xi in november.

Feel free to take a position.

Caribbean! Rafe... 20:13 GMT August 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

JP// Referring to me mate..

Mtl JP 20:08 GMT August 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

The only way possible .... only way for what: __ ?

GVI 20:08 GMT August 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

S&P cuts Turkey sovereign rating one notch to B+ from BB-; outlook stable

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Caribbean! Rafe... 20:01 GMT August 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

The only way possible is to trade with south america and mexico, but then the spanish speaking countries in the western hemisphere are in problems, mexico has a massive drug problem and venezuela is faced with high inflation... it will take them about 10 years I feel before they will be ready to do decent business according to "the standard", brazil etc... well will they be able to supply US economic demands that may reduce china supplies?. Maybe just a little, however, I doubt... Maybe the real money folks are way ahead of the curve but that is to be seen what they do with their cash... besides that, I don't think the US government would be able to cope with assigning countless squadrons of people each allocated to ensuring exports from a specific country are up to their mark... that's a just polygamous deficit in the making, better to have a monagamous trade deficit and the chinese on top.

Mtl JP 19:53 GMT August 17, 2018
Winners and Losers

Livingston nh jerome is scheduled to yak in jackson hole
8/24
10:00 a.m.
Speech - Chairman Jerome H. Powell
Monetary Policy in a Changing Economy
At the Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Economic Policy Symposium, Jackson Hole, Wyo.
---------------------
Sofar he is on record being ambivalent what happens to the likes of turkey (EMs). I think regardless of his poetry, he is watching w/accute interest.

I suspect his 2nd point of focus has to be interest -- nterest as a FED tool to fight next econ downturn. It makes me rofl just thinking about it and how "they" / he is worried about having or not the ammunition for their (his) tool to "fight" (haha) the next econ downturn as night follows day.

They (he jerome) ONLY have/has not even 2% to play with atm in light of their / his benchmark interest in 1.75% to 2% range.

GVI Trader john 19:41 GMT August 17, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 17 August 2018
Reply   
COT report position highlights:
EURUSD longs gone
USDJPY short JPY
GBPUSD shorts steadily growing
USDCAD shorts declining
AUDUSD shorts expanding


EURUSD Commitment of Traders Chart




USDJPY Commitment of Traders Chart




GBPUSD Commitment of Traders Chart




USDCAD Commitment of Traders Chart




AUDUSD Commitment of Traders Chart

Mtl JP 19:28 GMT August 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS



... nine-member delegation from Beijing, led by Vice Commerce Minister Wang Shouwen, will hold meetings with U.S. officials led by the Treasury undersecretary, David Malpass, on Aug. 22 and Aug. 23. ....

who wants to be courts jester ?

Caribbean! Rafe... 19:19 GMT August 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Sorry I meant to say, how are they gonna reduce trade levels with china whilst other countries close the supply gap with what they need to import. China is a great part of the world economy, and if china collapses then so will a major part of the world economy, anything that happens in this side of the world has repercussions on that side of the world too.

Mtl JP 19:19 GMT August 17, 2018
Winners and Losers

looking today at Donald J. TrumpVerified account

@realDonaldTrump
I can not help thinking about “Banning Donald Trump From Twitter Is a Misguided Liberal Fantasy,” Twitter C.E.O. Jack Dorsey's possible change of mind.

Caribbean! Rafe... 19:16 GMT August 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

I don't think slashing the deficit is possible and it's not worth it to change their relationship unless of course USA wants to go begging the whole world for financing an overburdened economy on the brink of another collapse, in other words big brother now has to face the big stick. The reason to say that is while the USA touted their relationship with china as their trading partner, the USA simply started depending too heavily on them and snubbed other smaller economies: The result was was economic stagnation for many countries that had good employment levels and income from exporting to the USA. Now how they gonna restart production without a world econmic collapse taking place.

Livingston nh 19:12 GMT August 17, 2018
Winners and Losers

jp- CB types might worry that rates (weapon of choice) will be ineffective in the event of recession // disruptive is the uncoordinated retreat from the Money Swamp

GVI Forex Blog 19:02 GMT August 17, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 17 August 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 17 August 2018

Mtl JP 18:57 GMT August 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

there is only ONE thing that matters
and that is President Trump getting Xi to HEEL
( to heel. (transitive, idiomatic) To compel someone to obey; to force someone into a submissive condition.)

To heel means to "stop the theft of intellectual property and to stop the forced transfer of technology” and
to improve market access for US firms and slash a $375 billion trade deficit with China

Mtl JP 18:42 GMT August 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

what a KROK-O-SH!T about talks announced with China

nothing but a f-king joke
giving time to a very low level / grade delegation
see Mtl JP 21:17 GMT August 16

"with China" ... as IF some low level / grade puppets ... arrgghhh

GVI 18:29 GMT August 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

White House Chief Economist Hassett: we are very close to trade deal with Mexico - television interview

- Still a few sticking points in trade discussions with Mexico
- Says talks announced with China schedule for next week a 'positive sign'
- Looking forward to what SEC will find on company reporting study

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 17:04 GMT August 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS


Baker Hughes Rig Count


NEWS ALERT
U.S.
Total: 1057 vs. 1057 (0) prev.
Oil: 869 vs. 869 (0) prev.

Canada: 212 vs. 209 (+3)


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Kl Fs 16:56 GMT August 17, 2018
Winners and Losers

I was betting on short the puppy from 13150ish down to 12950, protected at BE now and taking some off for weekend. Hoping to see target early next week

Mtl JP 16:52 GMT August 17, 2018
Winners and Losers

Fs 16:31 what exxatly is ur bet ?

Mtl JP 16:47 GMT August 17, 2018
Winners and Losers

yes... a very very warm feeling indeed
-
Livingston nh earlier Jamie suggested "You better be prepared to deal with rates 5 percent or higher."

yesty rba's lowe allowed that he is not relaxed about ... "possibly disruptive consequences in financial markets."

Can u please explain what is wrong with "possibly disruptive consequences in financial markets" -- what is the(ir) fear ?

Kl Fs 16:31 GMT August 17, 2018
Winners and Losers

JP, puppy seems to be heading to 12940-50

Livingston nh 16:09 GMT August 17, 2018
turkish lira

fwiw - S&P rating on Turkey after close -- ratings no surprise likely but maybe an excuse for some

GVI Trader john 15:53 GMT August 17, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 17 August 2018

DJ +58
10s 2.861%

Risk On bias persists


Looking to me like there is "real money" demand for the EURUSD.

Livingston nh 15:50 GMT August 17, 2018
Winners and Losers

jp - well played gap

lkwd jj 15:28 GMT August 17, 2018
turkish lira
Reply   
can this pair be added to AT until the tumult is over ? that would be amazing ! lol

lkwd jj 15:16 GMT August 17, 2018
Winners and Losers

like they say "trade 'em like you see 'em". nice one Jp.

Mtl JP 15:07 GMT August 17, 2018
Winners and Losers



that GAP .... I ve been yapping about
one of the nicest I have ever played !

GVI Forex Blog 14:18 GMT August 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: Canada CPI Stronger than Expected in July 2018
Reply   
EARLIER: CPI July 2018 hotter than expected.

BREAKING NEWS: Canada CPI Stronger than Expected in July 2018

GVI Trader john 14:11 GMT August 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Preliminary University Of Michigan Survey Misses in August 2018

University of Michigan survey down yr/yr. CB Sentiment continues to outperform Michigan.

Fukuoka joyya 14:09 GMT August 17, 2018
turkish lira

Merkel and qatar Enters Fray to Calm Turkey Turmoil

GVI Forex Blog 14:08 GMT August 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Preliminary University Of Michigan Survey Misses in August 2018
Reply   
Preliminary August 2018 Michigan Survey miss expectations. Data revision in two weeks.
University of Michigan Sentiment Survey chart

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Preliminary University Of Michigan Survey Misses in August 2018

GVI Trader john 14:00 GMT August 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Preliminary University of Michigan Sentiment Index August, 2018



NEWS ALERT
95.3 vs. 98.0 exp. vs. 97.9 prev


RELEASE: Index of Consumer Sentiment


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:19 GMT August 17, 2018
Amazing Trader Update
Reply   


FS, good alert on USDCAD. We saw the setup on our AT one hour chart

By the way, we have been working on simplifying a trading system for AT users that anyone can use and put into practice right away and perhaps most important without having to use large stops. It is based on logic that we explain so users will understand why it works.

If anyone would like details, send me an EMAIL

The Amazing Trader

Kl Fs 12:46 GMT August 17, 2018
turkish lira

Enjoy shorting usdcad at resistance mentioned. Cheers.bye usd.

turkish lira
Kl Fs 04:26 GMT 08/17/2018
Ww3 on pastor, yeah right
By the way usdcad hitting resistance line. Good r/r to short usdcad

GVI Trader john 12:42 GMT August 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Canada: CPI July 2018

Canada Charts





NEWS ALERT

mm: +0.50% vs. +0.10% exp. vs. +0.10% prev.
yy: 3.00% vs. +2.50% exp. vs. +2.50% prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI 12:09 GMT August 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Turkish Court said to again reject US Pastor Andrew Brunson appeal for release

- press - Source TradeTheNews.com

Fukuoka joyya 11:21 GMT August 17, 2018
turkish lira

why not erdogan be friend with jew?he was good friend israel bfore....

GVI Trader john 10:23 GMT August 17, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 17 August 2018

USDTRY up strongly at this hour (6.14-6.15). Weighing on EURUSD?
EM currencies falling in response.

U.S. Equities were up earlier, but are flat now. Something expected over the weekend?

10s 2.852%
DJ -2

Fukuoka joyya 10:02 GMT August 17, 2018
turkish lira

im not fan of him i do not know him personaly.....

looks to me try crash more usa wont change policy

Kl Fs 09:47 GMT August 17, 2018
turkish lira

You lost hope on erdogan, joyya? You were his biggest supporter

Fukuoka joyya 09:47 GMT August 17, 2018
turkish lira

Sell EURJPY
Entry: 125.96 Target: Stop: 127

next this baby collapse....

Fukuoka joyya 09:43 GMT August 17, 2018
turkish lira

turkey next zimbabwe and argentina...

Fukuoka joyya 09:40 GMT August 17, 2018
turkish lira

look like next usdtry 10/15 great trump punish turks badly......

Kl Fs 09:35 GMT August 17, 2018
turkish lira

Erdogan gonna punish all usd bulls. Usdtry to close lower later.

Mtl JP 09:27 GMT August 17, 2018
turkish lira



usdtry 6.10
adding a new short ?

haifa ac 09:26 GMT August 17, 2018
Turkish Lira a very good sale here

Above 6.07 it is an ADD situation. Stop now is simply below yesterday low==5.68.

Fukuoka joyya 09:24 GMT August 17, 2018
turkish lira

this man is ready man erdogan...

Mtl JP 09:24 GMT August 17, 2018
Winners and Losers



in relation to the GAP - still has 35 bux in it - I mentioned few times

elon in NYT (where else) fluff piece:

... “I thought the worst of it was over — I thought it was,” he said. “The worst is over from a Tesla operational standpoint.” He continued: “But from a personal pain standpoint, the worst is yet to come.”...

... He blamed short-sellers — investors who bet that Tesla’s shares will lose value — for much of his stress. He said he was bracing for “at least a few months of extreme torture from the short-sellers, who are desperately pushing a narrative that will possibly result in Tesla’s destruction.” ...

Referring to the short-sellers, he added: “They’re not dumb guys, but they’re not supersmart. They’re O.K. They’re smartish.”

GVI Trader john 09:13 GMT August 17, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 17 August 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:

NEGATIVE
Spot EURUSD: 1.1392
Pivot Point: 1.1359

This Week: 1.1301-1.1433
Fri: 1.1366-1.1419
Thu: 1.1301-1.1409
Wed: 1.1301-1.1355
Tue: 1.1330-1.1433
Mon: 1.1365-1.1433



20-day avg: 1.1576
50-day avg: 1.1631
100-day avg: 1.1824
200-day avg: 1.1973

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Sep 26: 94% (92%)

10-yr Bonds
US: 2.859% -2.7bp
DE: 0.301% -1.6bp
GB: 1.212% -2.7bp
JP: 0.096% -0.5bp

DAX: -1
Implied Open
DJ: +56
SP: +2.9




See the Amazing Trader Live!

GVI Forex Blog 09:05 GMT August 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: E.Z. Final HICP Unrevised For July 2018
Reply   
EZ final July 2018 HICP (CPI) unrevised.

final Eurozone HICP Chart

BREAKING NEWS: E.Z. Final HICP Unrevised For July 2018

GVI Trader john 09:01 GMT August 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Eurozone final HICP (CPI) July 2018





ALERT
Headline
yy: +2.10% vs. +2.10% exp. vs. +2.10% prev.
CORE
yy: +1.10% vs. +1.10% exp. vs. +1.10% prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Blog 08:46 GMT August 17, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 17 August 2018
Reply   

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 17 Aug 2018
A 09:00 EZ- Final HICP
AA 12:30 CA- CPI
AA 14:00 US- Final University Of Michigan
A 14:00 US- Leading Indicators




Mon 20 Aug 2018
No Major Data
Tue 21 Aug 2018
No Major Data
Wed 22 Aug 2018
AA 12:30 CA- Retail Sales
A 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
AA 18:00 US- Fed Policy Minutes
Thu 23 Aug 2018
AFlash Service PMIs
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 24 Aug 2018
A 12:30 US- Durable Goods


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Friday Trading Checklist For 17 August 2018

Fukuoka joyya 06:04 GMT August 17, 2018
turkish lira

not yet but soon buy when go more down real gold not online bcoz online very danger.....

Kl Fs 05:59 GMT August 17, 2018
turkish lira

You buy gold and sell usd joyya?

Fukuoka joyya 05:42 GMT August 17, 2018
turkish lira

Gold Abandoned By World’s Top Mutual Fund; Frank Holmes Says Rebound Still Possible

whats going on?

Fukuoka joyya 04:35 GMT August 17, 2018
turkish lira

many peoples predicting internet close this year and we at end time plan and new world order....

turkey is accordiing to zionist Illuminati plan going on....

Kl Fs 04:26 GMT August 17, 2018
turkish lira

Ww3 on pastor, yeah right
By the way usdcad hitting resistance line. Good r/r to short usdcad

Fukuoka joyya 04:22 GMT August 17, 2018
turkish lira

we are in difficult period things not looks good maybe ww3 about to break...

lkwd jj 03:42 GMT August 17, 2018
turkish lira

nikkei will follow yen or world stox ?

Fukuoka joyya 03:32 GMT August 17, 2018
turkish lira

no idea about makeet very complicated...

lkwd jj 03:31 GMT August 17, 2018
turkish lira

where is yen going my friend ?

Fukuoka joyya 03:30 GMT August 17, 2018
turkish lira

where erdogan take lira next 3?0r 15/30/100?

heard that erdogan wife is jew so this is just darama making money...

more sanctions coming from great trump...

lkwd jj 03:24 GMT August 17, 2018
turkish lira
Reply   
whats the tick size on 100k? i know its $10 but for which number to change ? i see 5.8255 bid and 5.8755 ask . so 5.8255 to 5.8256 is $10 or 5.82 to 5.83 ? anybody can help here.

Singapore Td 02:52 GMT August 17, 2018
Buy euro

The stop looks good Tom, i will go long as well between 60-70

Manila Tom 02:35 GMT August 17, 2018
Buy euro
Reply   
Bought 11379, stop 11339, target open

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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