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Forex Forum Archive for 08/19/2018

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Dillon AL 22:36 GMT August 19, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 20 August 2018

Russia and China sign currency swap agreement to double $100 bln trade

Trump risks being isolated that if so eventually becomes marginalized and then becomes outmaneuvered.
His (Trump's) antagonistic approach could/will/is creat-e-(ing) a united and yet multiple front
As I have said before Trump's poker style is to bully the table at every hand and of course at same time to bluff. Once he is all in especially with China then he may be the one to go visit

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 22:23 GMT August 19, 2018
Amazing Trader Update
Reply   
EURUSD 1.1437

Fri high 1.1444

Key AT res 1.1482 and 1.1536

Former highs 1.1433 and 1,1420

AT supports 1.1400-7

The Amazing Trader

NY JM 21:43 GMT August 19, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 20 August 2018

EURUSD 1.1438

While it wiped out 5 days of shorts on Friday it is still below a 38.2% level of 1.1488 (1.1790-1.1301)

Dillon AL 21:26 GMT August 19, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 20 August 2018

re : In early August, Washington froze the assets of Turkish Justice Minister Abdulhamit Gul and Interior Minister Suleyman Soylu over their alleged "leading roles" in Brunsonís imprisonment, as well as other human rights abuses.


What assets???????? Did he have money in US Banks ? Did he have money outside of Turkey?

Mtl JP 21:06 GMT August 19, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 20 August 2018

Trump+munchkin vs Erdogan turkey + Qatar Central Banks Sign Currency Swap Agreement
-
Even IF erdogan releases the pastor (be it in one piece at once or little piece by piece) President Trump would maybe only NOT increase tariff or apply other kind of pain.

To think that releasing the pastor is a precondition for ending tariffs is a mis-perception and mis-understanding.

Mtl JP 20:37 GMT August 19, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 20 August 2018



COT is useless outdated data set. A waste of time as tea leaves for trading.

Daily chart shows on Wed , the day after COT sum-totals its report, eurdlr established its week low at 1.1298 and thru Wed - Th - Fr went only uP . Only folks who care about COT are those whose positions actually make up the report. Subsequent day price-action for the rest of the week tells substantially more.

The way I read the daily action suggests that players would like Euro uP and USD down some BUT remain as yet more careful than enthusiastic. For eurusd to show uPward leg it will need to see 1.1450 and preferably above 1.15 to heat up player sentiment.

Amazing Trader - which claims to be fresh and actionable signaler - appears to corroborate as it is not yet showing an uP red rung'ed ladder starting.

Bottom Line
Prudence loading long eur/usd
probably the better tactic.


-

Bali Sja 18:20 GMT August 19, 2018
Korea

Since when Korea is in Atlantic?

PAR 18:15 GMT August 19, 2018
Korea
Reply   
A united Korea could become a NATO member ?

Bali Sja 18:10 GMT August 19, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 20 August 2018

Agree with john, need to be careful with that premature hysteria. Just one slide will ruin the whole effort as happened before, we'll see. Good luck with that euphoria.

Kl Fs 17:47 GMT August 19, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 20 August 2018

Spot euro 11392? No way, it closed way above pivot on friday. It should go much higher next. Your bias indicator is lagging and backward looking.

GVI Trader john 17:31 GMT August 19, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 20 August 2018

Still this far BELOW the 20 day avg (1.1562)
so OBJECTIVE EURUSD bias remains negative. EURUSD has fallen a long way recently. I try to keep my personal sentiment out of this determination...

GVI Trader john 17:27 GMT August 19, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 20 August 2018


For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:

NEGATIVE-NEUTRAL
Spot EURUSD: 1.1438
Pivot Point: 1.1415

This Week: 1.1301-1.1442
Fri: 1.1366-1.1442
Thu: 1.1301-1.1409
Wed: 1.1301-1.1355
Tue: 1.1330-1.1433

20-day avg: 1.1562
50-day avg: 1.1624
100-day avg: 1.1816
200-day avg: 1.1972

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Sep 26: 94% (92%)

GVI Forex Blog 17:24 GMT August 19, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 20 August 2018
Reply   

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 20 Aug 2018
No Major Data
Tue 21 Aug 2018
No Major Data
Wed 22 Aug 2018
AA 12:30 CA- Retail Sales
A 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
AA 18:00 US- Fed Policy Minutes
Thu 23 Aug 2018
AFlash Service PMIs
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 24 Aug 2018
A 12:30 US- Durable Goods


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Monday Trading Checklist 20 August 2018

Kl Fs 16:54 GMT August 19, 2018
Canada CPI

John, time to upgrade the euro bias to neutral-positive, real money demand for euro right?

GVI Trader john 14:37 GMT August 19, 2018
Canada CPI
Reply   
Inflation comes in hot in July, rising to 3.0%

Consumer prices rose 3.0% year-on-year in Canada in July, up from 2.5% in June and well ahead of median expectations for an unchanged print. Prices rose 0.5% month-on-month.

Key Implications Headline inflation jumped unexpectedly in July. The jump in air transportation was a big factor, adding over 0.3 percentage points to price growth over the past year. This looks to be a one-off, reflecting the impact of higher fuel and labour costs on the airline industry.

The relative stability of core inflation measures may give the Bank of Canada some solace. Still, with an economy beating expectations and a range of indicators pointing to limited excess capacity, maintaining stable inflation is likely to require further rate hikes by the central bank with the next one likely coming in October.



Canada CPI July 2018 TD Economics

Fukuoka joyya 12:51 GMT August 19, 2018
Winners and Losers

Putin, Merkel meet amid rift with US

Kl Fs 11:30 GMT August 19, 2018
Winners and Losers

Joyya, sell usd at market open, may gap down.

Fukuoka joyya 04:50 GMT August 19, 2018
Winners and Losers

Trump is Pushing US Into Scripted and Pre-Planned World War III

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1suZ3PM97pM&t=264s

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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