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Forex Forum Archive for 08/24/2018

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GVI 21:02 GMT August 24, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Weaker competition may require looser central bank policy - BoE's Haldane.

---Wire Service

GVI 21:00 GMT August 24, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Reportedly deadline to reach agreement on Brexit has been pushed back by 4 weeks to a "hard" deadline in mid-November - Telegraph

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI 20:59 GMT August 24, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Bank of Canada's (BOC) Poloz: inflation increase is due to one time transitory effects - CNBC interview - We are in the process of normalization - Economy is back to full strength; Canada economy is sensitive to higher rates today- Tariffs are a major risk to the Canadian economy, which is more leveraged to trade than many other economies- Believe there is every reason to believe that a NAFTA deal can be reached

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 20:29 GMT August 24, 2018
For Amazing Trader Users: COT Position Report For August 21 Data

Wonder why there is no one to absorb this week's EURUSD buyers? Answer:There are no natural sellers (pre-existing longs).

GVI Forex Blog 20:22 GMT August 24, 2018
For Amazing Trader Users: COT Position Report For August 21 Data
Reply   
For Amazing Traders monitoring levels on stops for trading strategies...

COT report position highlights:
EURUSD longs gone
USDJPY shorts stable
GBPUSD shorts steadily growing
USDCAD shorts declining
AUDUSD shorts expanding


EURUSD Commitment of Traders Chart

USDJPY Commitment of Traders Chart

GBPUSD Commitment of Traders Chart

USDCAD Commitment of Traders Chart

AUDUSD Commitment of Traders Chart

For Amazing Traderr Users: COT Position Report For August 21 Data

Mtl JP 20:04 GMT August 24, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 24 August 2018

USCAD 1.3025
----------------
Bank of Canada Media Interview � CNBC
August 24, 2018
Stephen S. Poloz, Governor of the Bank of Canada, will give an interview to CNBC�s Steve Liesman at approximately 16:15 (Eastern Time). Please check local listings for channel information or go to https://www.cnbc.com/closing-bell/

Mtl JP 19:31 GMT August 24, 2018
Trump to invest US taxpayers money in Italian debt . Better than US infrastructure ?

Current 10yr Italian pays piddly 3.142%

once the italian gets downgraded to "JUNK", by law ECB can not buy the crap anymore , regardless of alleged december ending of its bond-buying program.

It would be nice to be "In the Moody's Circle"
just dreaming ...

GVI Forex Blog 19:02 GMT August 24, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 24 August 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 24 August 2018

GVI 17:46 GMT August 24, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Pres Trump asks Sec of State Pompeo to cancel North Korea trip at this time due to lack of denuclearization progress; says China is not helping with denuclearization process 'as they once were'

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI 17:34 GMT August 24, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Mexico Pres-elect Lopez Obrador reportedly holds position on oil policy that is hindering new NAFTA agreement - press

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 17:08 GMT August 24, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Baker Hughes Rig Count


NEWS ALERT
U.S.
Total: 1044 vs. 1057 (0) prev.
Oil: 860 vs. 869 (0) prev.

Canada: 229 vs. 212 ( )


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Fukuoka joyya 17:07 GMT August 24, 2018
TRUMP

yes abe and trump same thing printing money higher stox....

both control cb but peoples more blame erdogan turkey cb not have independce.....

turkey have less debt crazy world...

PAR 17:02 GMT August 24, 2018
TRUMP
Reply   
Trump could stay president but will go bankrupt.

A real patriot ?

Mtl JP 16:27 GMT August 24, 2018
Fed Fear Factor

nh... fwiw from just little while ago ->>
USDCAD 1.3038
sticking w/ down while sub 1.3050
trgt mid to low 1.29
-
play it or be square *..^

Fukuoka joyya 16:15 GMT August 24, 2018
long gold.........

yes jpy and euro both dangerours.....japan and europe both debt problems....usa too..

gbpjpy lost 90% value in 50years 1050/116 range maybe next euro or jpy get hit.....
turk lira lost 85% in ten years.....

other currencies also lost alot value..

so far eurjpy range 170/90

Livingston nh 16:10 GMT August 24, 2018
Fed Fear Factor
Reply   
2/10 spread back under 20

HK RF@! 16:04 GMT August 24, 2018
long gold.........

!
Yes, because eventually euro will reach 1.05

Fukuoka joyya 15:49 GMT August 24, 2018
long gold.........

next europe hyperinflation?

HK RF@ 15:30 GMT August 24, 2018
When gold targets longer term another 100$ lower
Reply   
!
Taking profits is expected.

Mtl JP 15:24 GMT August 24, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 24 August 2018

1.1625-ish
EURO high this week was on wed 22nd (1.1622)
IF the puppy closes above that odds are
trend bias will have changed

GVI 15:21 GMT August 24, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Belgian Bus Cofidence

Frequently a very reliable forecaster of German IFO Survey due on Monday...

GVI 15:19 GMT August 24, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

BELGIUM AUG BUSINESS CONFIDENCE: -0.3% V -0.5E - Source TradeTheNews.com

PAR 15:18 GMT August 24, 2018
TRUMP
Reply   
Very pleased with Powells show in Jackson Hole .

Fukuoka joyya 15:15 GMT August 24, 2018
long gold.........

Sell EURJPY
Entry: Target: Stop: later

short 129.3....happy trade,

PAR 15:09 GMT August 24, 2018
US DEBT not going away * 104 billion . IN ONE WEEK

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell just said the US fiscal policy is on an "unsustainable path". He says we need the economy to grow faster than the US debt and that is not happening

Fukuoka joyya 15:05 GMT August 24, 2018
long gold.........

Sell S&P
Entry: Target: Stop:

add some 2871 looks to me about to crash gold shining....

HK RF@ 14:56 GMT August 24, 2018
Dove sounds milly hawkish= Trump effect.
Reply   
!
Markets will need time to finish analyzing it.

PAR 14:52 GMT August 24, 2018
TRUMP ORGANIZATION
Reply   
JUST IN: Longtime Trump Organization CFO Weisselberg granted immunity in Cohen probe: DJ, citing sources.


CFO may have Trump tax filings ?

PAR 14:47 GMT August 24, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Has more to do with China than with the summer camp in jackson Hole .

PAR 14:45 GMT August 24, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Rate hike september done deal .

Rate hike december very likely .


Agree with you definitely not dovish considering rising inflation environment . Crude $ 70 and rising , wages rising , real estate very expensive and rising etc

GVI 14:43 GMT August 24, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Atlanta Fed raises Q3 GDP forecast to 4.6% from 4.3% prior

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 14:38 GMT August 24, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Not that anyone should care, but I read Powell's comments as MILDLY hawkish. Markets trading as though they were dovish.

Basically he said nothing that we all did not know already.

PAR 14:30 GMT August 24, 2018
US DEBT not going away * 104 billion . IN ONE WEEK

Who owns the huge and growing U.S. national debt? By and large, Americans.

Some 70% of the national debt is owned by domestic government, institutions investors and the Federal Reserve. A shade under 30% is owned by foreign entities, according to the latest information from the U.S. Treasury.

The nation�s debt climbed to a record $21.21 trillion at the end of June, a 6.9% increase from a year earlier.

American institutions such as private and state pension funds as well as individual investors were the biggest holders. They owned $6.89 trillion in debt and absorbed about four-fifths of the increase over the past year.

GVI 14:25 GMT August 24, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Fed Chair Powell: Gradual hikes are likely appropriate if growth stays strong; US economy is strong - Jackson Hole symposium speech - No clear sign of inflation acceleration above 2%; does not seem to be elevated risk of overheating; Inflation has become much less responsive to changes in resource utilization - Confident that FOMC would do whatever it takes if inflation became a threat - Anchoring inflation expectations is vital; Need to look beyond inflation for signs of excesses - Most who want a job can find one - Estimates of natural unemployment and neutral interest rates are imprecise - Economic mobility has declined - There are risk factors abroad and at home that, in time, could demand a different policy response, but today I will step back from these.

- Source TradeTheNews.com

PAR 14:09 GMT August 24, 2018
EURUSD
Reply   
Sell EURUSD 1.1650 . Stop 1.1750 . Target 1.1250 .

london red 14:07 GMT August 24, 2018
GBP

re brexit no deal is a done deal
euro. stops abv 30/45. while under 11655/60, can still move lower, otherwise forget below 116 for today.

Fukuoka joyya 14:00 GMT August 24, 2018
long gold.........
Reply   
Buy Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

time for shine gold silver and platinum?time to buy?

peoples sayng soon end of paper money maybe next month new system coming....

stocks crash hard.....

Dillon AL 13:58 GMT August 24, 2018
GBP

Actually October could never have been considered the deadline considering the total lack of talk time between the UK and EU last 18 months up until last week when Barnier announced continuous talks.
Lets face it we shall arrive in March next year still with multiple issues unresolved

PAR 13:56 GMT August 24, 2018
US DEBT not going away * 104 billion . IN ONE WEEK
Reply   
U.S. Treasury to sell $104 bln in notes
Reuters Staff

1 MIN READ

NEW YORK, Aug 23 (Reuters) - For details of the U.S. Treasury�s auction of 2-year, 5-year and 7 year notes next week,

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 13:28 GMT August 24, 2018
EURUSD

Nice trade. Well presented.

PAR 13:26 GMT August 24, 2018
EURUSD

Profit taken at 1.1600 . We'll see .

Livingston nh 12:32 GMT August 24, 2018
GBP
Reply   
"October is no longer the deadline for a Brexit agreement with the EU, David Lidington, the Cabinet Office minister has indicated." Guardian
What a surprise - kick the can!!

GVI Trader john 12:31 GMT August 24, 2018
BREAKING NEWS


Durable Goods Orders July 2018




NEWS ALERT
Headline: -1.70% vs. -0.30% exp. vs. +0.80% prev.
Ex-Trans: +0.20% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. 0.20% prev.






TTN: Live News Special Offer

PAR 11:45 GMT August 24, 2018
EURUSD

Raise stop to entry level . We'll see .

GVI 11:45 GMT August 24, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Fed�s Bullard (dove, non-voter): agree should not knowingly invert yield curve - CNBC - Believe market (lower long rates) is signaling not seeing that much growth or inflation pressure out in the future - Growth in 2018 aided by fiscal stimulus and other factors but to slow in 2019 - Sluggish productivity is hampering wage gains - Just not seeing inflation pressures and must take yield curve signal seriously (favor TIPS inflation measures because they encompass a range of factors including global interest rates) - Do not think Phillips curve is the best way to look at inflation in this environment

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 11:41 GMT August 24, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 24 August 2018

Pre-Durable Goods (13:30 GMT) and Powell (14:00 GMT)
U.S. 10-yr 2.833%

DJ +94



PAR 10:30 GMT August 24, 2018
Trump to invest US taxpayers money in Italian debt . Better than US infrastructure ?

Trump

Our Economy is setting records on virtually every front - Probably the best our country has ever done. Tremendous value created since the Election. The World is respecting us again! Companies are moving back to the U.S.A.

Cape Island mb 10:16 GMT August 24, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 24 August 2018

News in GBP?

PAR 09:44 GMT August 24, 2018
Trump to invest US taxpayers money in Italian debt . Better than US infrastructure ?
Reply   
Trump has reportedly offered US funds to buy Italian debt
Italian media claim the President Trump has offered to buy Italian government bonds in 2019.
Borrowing costs for Italy have risen as investors have dumped the country's debt.
The end of the ECB's asset purchase program and political instability are cited as reasons for selling Italian bonds.

Trump fall in love with Italy ?

GVI Trader john 09:35 GMT August 24, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

7.1 Earthquake off Peru- CNBC.

Many quakes in the "Ring Of Fire" in the past two days.

GVI Trader john 09:13 GMT August 24, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 24 August 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:


POSITIVE-NEUTRAL

Spot EURUSD: 1.1561
Pivot Point: 1.1556

This Week: 1.1394-1.1623
Fri: 1.1535-1.1580
Thu: 1.1529-1.1599
Wed: 1.1553-1.1623
Tue: 1.1481-1.1601
Mon: 1.1394-1.1481


20-day avg: 1.1532
50-day avg: 1.1609
100-day avg: 1.1786
200-day avg: 1.1967

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Sep 26: 96% (94%)

10-yr Bonds
US: 2.830% +0.4bp
DE: 0.343% -0.5bp
GB: 1.269% -1.4bp
JP: 0.098% +0.3bp

DAX: +4
Implied Open
DJ: +57
SP: +6.1




See the Amazing Trader Live!

GVI Forex Blog 08:49 GMT August 24, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 24 August 2018
Reply   

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 24 Aug 2018
A 12:30 US- Durable Goods
AA 14:00 US- Powell @ Jackson Hole


Mon 27 Aug 2018
A GB- Holiday
A 08:00 DE- IFO Survey
Tue 28 Aug 2018
A 14:00 US- CB Consumer Confidence
Wed 29 Aug 2018
AA 12:30 US- GDP
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Aug 2018
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 12:30 US- PCE Deflator
A 12:30 US- Pending Homes Sales
Fri 31 Aug 2018
A 06:00 DE- Retail Sales
A 07:55 DE- Jobless
AA 09:00 EZ- flash HICP
A 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Friday Trading Checklist For 24 August 2018

PAR 08:25 GMT August 24, 2018
Jackson Hole
Reply   
Jerome Powell to cheerlead US stocks to new records and follow the advice of his supreme leader Trump .

PAR 08:19 GMT August 24, 2018
EURUSD

Everyday is different . Small profit is better than big loss .

When profitable, adjust your stop .

Principles .

Mtl JP 05:59 GMT August 24, 2018
EURUSD

hedging earlier
Short EURUSD 1.1570. Stop 1.1605 . Target 1.1250 ?

PAR 05:34 GMT August 24, 2018
EURUSD
Reply   
Long EURUSD 1.1560. Stop 1.1530 . Target 1.1650 .

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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