Forex Forum Archive for 08/27/2018

PAR 20:29 GMT August 27, 2018
Dollar Weakness

Dollar drops to 4 week low as US economy is the strongest it has ever been in history and great deals are being concluded .

GVI 20:22 GMT August 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Mexico official: it's 'almost certain' there will be a NAFTA announcement today - press ** NOTE: Earlier: (MX) Mexican official �we�ve concluded� talks with the US; announcement will come today - CNBC

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 20:15 GMT August 27, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 28 August 2018

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GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:


POSITIVE

Spot EURUSD: 1.1678
Pivot Point: 1.1656

Last Week: 1.1394-1.1640
Mon: 1.1594-1.1693
Fri: 1.1535-1.1640
Thu: 1.1529-1.1599
Wed: 1.1553-1.1623

20-day avg: 1.1529
50-day avg: 1.1610
100-day avg: 1.1774
200-day avg: 1.1966

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Fed 25bp hike odds for Sep 26: 96% (96%)

Livingston nh 20:02 GMT August 27, 2018
Dollar Weakness

Par - you are basing weakness on the "TWIN DEFICIT" bogeyman that has been scaring small children and Republicans for 30+ yrs

Livingston nh 19:49 GMT August 27, 2018
TRY
Reply   
Market made a probing run at the lira this AM - maybe market leaves Turkey alone but experience says probably not

GVI Forex Blog 19:09 GMT August 27, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 27 August 2018
Reply   

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 27 August 2018

GVI Forex Blog 18:55 GMT August 27, 2018
Tuesday Trading Checklist 28 August 2018
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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 28 Aug 2018
A 14:00 US- CB Consumer Confidence
Wed 29 Aug 2018
AA 12:30 US- GDP
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Aug 2018
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 12:30 US- PCE Deflator
A 12:30 US- Pending Homes Sales
Fri 31 Aug 2018
A 06:00 DE- Retail Sales
A 07:55 DE- Jobless
AA 09:00 EZ- flash HICP
A 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

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Tuesday Trading Checklist 28 August 2018

PAR 18:42 GMT August 27, 2018
Dollar Weakness

Interest rates are in favor of US dollar .

Gigantic US debt , US budget and trade deficits are a negative for US dollar.


Guess between 1.000 and 1.2000 Euro is fairly valued against USD .

Pasig evan 17:05 GMT August 27, 2018
Is the USDX now at a turning point to become stronger?

usdx
Entry: Target: Stop:

Usd index below 94.923 could cause a loss towards 93.649 per Reuters Tech Dollar index Comments.

lkwd jj 17:01 GMT August 27, 2018
markets
Reply   
JP when your right you never have enough on and when your wrong its always too many... so goes it.

Mtl JP 16:59 GMT August 27, 2018
Is the USDX now at a turning point to become stronger?



USDX 94.60-ish
Something for everyone: Either
H&S measured targets OR
S trend line bet

low risk trade either way as one will find out relatively soon be they right or wrong

lkwd jj 16:41 GMT August 27, 2018
crude
Reply   
not sure which way wind is blowing in this market but weaker usd cant hurt....

GVI Forex Blog 16:39 GMT August 27, 2018
Equities Higher. 10-Yr Bond Yields Mixed. FX: USD Down; EUR Up
Reply   

Equities Higher. 10-Yr Bond Yields Mixed. FX: USD Down; EUR Up

Livingston nh 16:35 GMT August 27, 2018
Dollar Weakness

Par - nothing new from Powell but folks see what their positioning and/or Hope dictates - still confused about inflation and the unknowable R* and U*

Rate hikes in US still the only GAME in town

lkwd jj 16:32 GMT August 27, 2018
usdcad
Reply   
JP your all over it !! push it to 10 be the "whale" !

PAR 16:30 GMT August 27, 2018
EURUSD
Reply   
Short EURUSD 1.1685 . Stop 1.1750 . Target 1.1250 .

PAR 16:05 GMT August 27, 2018
NAFTA
Reply   
NAFTA finished . Yes or no ?

Mtl JP 15:49 GMT August 27, 2018
Is the USDX now at a turning point to become stronger?

nh 15:27 EM still a problem (TRY, BRL, ZAR et al) =
OPPORTUNITY to emotionless forex players

all one has to remember is that forex is about relativity: something goes uP versus xyz.

PAR 15:34 GMT August 27, 2018
Dollar Weakness
Reply   
Powell at Jackson Hole created a general worldwide aversion for the US dollar .

Livingston nh 15:27 GMT August 27, 2018
Is the USDX now at a turning point to become stronger?

RF - -USD in demand - ECB a year away from hikes, BoE Brexit, EM still a problem (TRY, BRL, ZAR et al)

Livingston nh 15:22 GMT August 27, 2018
USA

jp - based on balance sheets it looks like bank buyers // some of the Fed balance sheet reduction is just maturity run-off

Fukuoka joyya 15:07 GMT August 27, 2018
short stocks

usdtry next 10 or 3.0?7 or 5?

Fukuoka joyya 14:57 GMT August 27, 2018
short stocks
Reply   
Sell S&P
Entry: Target: Stop:

add 2895....

Fukuoka joyya 14:54 GMT August 27, 2018
Is the USDX now at a turning point to become stronger?

looks to me end of usd rally.....

HK RF@ 14:49 GMT August 27, 2018
Is the USDX now at a turning point to become stronger?
Reply   
!
Or usd will continue it's recent decline?
Ant ideas?

Mtl JP 14:48 GMT August 27, 2018
USA

nh who is buying that of which the fed is divesting self ?

Livingston nh 14:32 GMT August 27, 2018
USA

Fed is divesting its Treasurys and raising rates // still negative real yields out to 30 yrs

Mtl JP 14:28 GMT August 27, 2018
USA

ticdata end of june 2018

MAJOR FOREIGN HOLDERS OF TREASURY SECURITIES

Mtl JP 14:24 GMT August 27, 2018
USA



"Most of US debt is bought by the FED"
us treasury disagrees
see pie chart

HK RF@ 14:21 GMT August 27, 2018
Is USD going to turn strong from now this week?
Reply   
!
Any ideas?

Livingston nh 14:16 GMT August 27, 2018
USA

2 yr auction continues yields at twice last year yield in the face of another 50 bps in Fed funds by yr end -- my simplistic view is another 30 to 40 bps on 2yr by yr end (2.94 to 3.04)

If yield on 2s doesn't rise the problem is worse

PAR 13:53 GMT August 27, 2018
USA
Reply   
USA no longer needs the rest of the world . Most of US debt is bought by the FED , US government and private institutions .

I think that is great .

GVI 13:43 GMT August 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

US and Mexico reportedly come to partial agreement on NAFTA trade deal; would leave some issues unresolved - Wash Post

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI 13:41 GMT August 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Pres Trump tweets: "A big deal looking good with Mexico!"

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Mtl JP 13:07 GMT August 27, 2018
TSLA

"TSLA shares to rally sharply as company wants to stay public ."
Friday close $323,25-ish

Lets how/what posi/nega lesson the market will deliver to mr elon on corporate governance , regardless (or because) of personal issues with women and weed, business planning hallucinations and friday late-night press releases

HK RF@ 12:59 GMT August 27, 2018
Trump will bankrupt the whole world
Reply   
!

link

Mtl JP 12:53 GMT August 27, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 27 August 2018

typo 770 = 70pips

Mtl JP 12:53 GMT August 27, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 27 August 2018

Sell GBPUSD
Entry: Mrkt Target: +/- 50-770 Stop: >1.29

GBPUSD 1.2880
double top on the hourly
I am biased down vs 1.2890

Mtl JP 12:48 GMT August 27, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 27 August 2018

Al it makes me chuckle to see macron play statesman

Brexit latest news:
Emmanuel Macron issues threat to Theresa May
Express.co.uk�54 mins ago

Macron wants special relationship with UK post-Brexit but EU unity...
Reuters�1 hour ago

Macron says Brexit cannot divide EU, criticizes Trump's isolationism
Reuters�1 hour ago

Mtl JP 12:27 GMT August 27, 2018
Winners and Losers

It is designed to destroy aircraft, cruise and ballistic missiles, and can also be used against ground installations. The S-400 can engage targets at a distance of 400 km and at an altitude of up to 30 km.
-
Maybe the S-400 commands respect but how the heck is one supposed to make pips off just gumflap ?

PM praises Russia-Israel dialogue on Middle East

"We are colleagues with Russia that respect each other and conduct a sincere dialogue," Lithuanian National Radio and Television quoted Netanyahu as saying on Monday.

Fukuoka joyya 12:25 GMT August 27, 2018
Winners and Losers

Buy Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

just keep buying gold silver......

stox go down some time lots debt around the world.....

HK RF@ 12:13 GMT August 27, 2018
Winners and Losers

!
Trump with classical bold capitalism will impoverish the whole world first.
And if removed from office and stox indeed will crash, the US will be added to the list:(

Mtl JP 12:09 GMT August 27, 2018
Winners and Losers

Usd/TurkLira 6.2445
lira is down about 4.7% from earlier 5.9634-ish base
good sized move
odds are more good sized moves a-coming
and elsewhere too
brazil, s/africa, agrentina, italy...

kids... feel free to take positions

HK RF@ 12:05 GMT August 27, 2018
deploying nuclear weapons in Syria
Reply   
!
That is a silly and useless suggestion. Anyway nukes could be carried on ships.

Imagine a nuclear bomb got hit by mistake by a missile from a drone.

Mtl JP 11:56 GMT August 27, 2018
is it ww3 coming?

lets see bolton piffle

Russian lawmaker suggests deploying nuclear weapons in Syria to respond to US sanctions

MOSCOW, August 24. /TASS/. The US policy of putting pressure on Russia has crossed the "red line," and Moscow should think about an asymmetric response, such as the deployment of its tactical nuclear weapons abroad, a senior Russian lawmaker told TASS on Friday. More: http://tass.com/politics/1018605

PAR 11:48 GMT August 27, 2018
is it ww3 coming?

Results of $26B, 2-Year Note Auction

PAR 11:40 GMT August 27, 2018
is it ww3 coming?

No way .

HK RF@ 11:34 GMT August 27, 2018
is it ww3 coming?
Reply   
!
Maybe 20 years from now.
And now you can relax

Fukuoka joyya 11:13 GMT August 27, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 27 August 2018

eu going away from usa?germany france russia saying same thing....

also shooting in usa died some peoples....

is it ww3 coming?

Fukuoka joyya 11:07 GMT August 27, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 27 August 2018

BREAKING - U.S. Heavy Hardware's And Troops Arrived In ROMANIA Amid Regional Tensions

EU's security must no longer depend on US: Macron
PARIS: French President Emmanuel Macron said Monday (Aug 27) that he would put forward new proposals for the European Union to boost its security, saying the bloc must stop depending on American might.

PAR 10:34 GMT August 27, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 27 August 2018

It was the weather . Best summer ever .

GVI Trader john 08:47 GMT August 27, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 27 August 2018

Unusual recently for EURUSD to respond much to the IFO data. The August report was much stronger than expected. Perhaps the data will start to become more a top-tier report again?

GVI Trader john 08:42 GMT August 27, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 27 August 2018

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GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:


POSITIVE

Spot EURUSD: 1.1614
Pivot Point: 1.1580

Last Week: 1.1394-1.1653
Mon: 1.1594-1.1653
Fri: 1.1535-1.1640
Thu: 1.1529-1.1599
Wed: 1.1553-1.1623

20-day avg: 1.1531
50-day avg: 1.1609
100-day avg: 1.1780
200-day avg: 1.1966

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Fed 25bp hike odds for Sep 26: 96% (94%)

10-yr Bonds
US: 2.815% -0.6bp
DE: 0.334% -0.9bp
GB: 1.274% -0.1bp
JP: 0.093% -1.3bp

DAX: +45
Implied Open
DJ: +45
SP: +2.6

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GVI Forex Blog 08:35 GMT August 27, 2018
Equities Higher. 10-Yr Bond Yields Down. FX: USD And EUR Mixed
Reply   

Equities Higher. 10-Yr Bond Yields Down. FX: USD And EUR Mixed

GVI Forex Blog 08:14 GMT August 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: German IFO Survey Better in August 2018
Reply   
German IFO from April 2018 were changed to include Services, so earlier data are not comparable. August better vs. forecasts on the new basis.

BREAKING NEWS: German IFO Survey Better in August 2018

GVI Trader john 08:10 GMT August 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

German IFO Survey beats

GVI Trader john 08:00 GMT August 27, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

German IFO Survey July 2018

NEWS ALERT

Climate: 103.8 vs. 101.6 exp. vs. 101.7 prev.
Current: 106.4 vs. 105.3 exp. vs. 105.3 prev.
Expectations: 101.2 vs. 98.5 exp. vs. 98.5 prev.


IFO Climate Survey

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GVI Forex Blog 07:53 GMT August 27, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 27 August 2018
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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 Aug 2018
A GB- Holiday
A 08:00 DE- IFO Survey
Tue 28 Aug 2018
A 14:00 US- CB Consumer Confidence
Wed 29 Aug 2018
AA 12:30 US- GDP
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Aug 2018
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 12:30 US- PCE Deflator
A 12:30 US- Pending Homes Sales
Fri 31 Aug 2018
A 06:00 DE- Retail Sales
A 07:55 DE- Jobless
AA 09:00 EZ- flash HICP
A 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan

John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

---

Monday Trading Checklist 27 August 2018

PAR 07:27 GMT August 27, 2018
NAFTA - MEXICO
Reply   
What are the differences between the new Nafta deal and the previous Nafta deal . Just cosmetic differences ?

Dillon AL 03:50 GMT August 27, 2018
Monday Trading Checklist 27 August 2018

UK Bank Holiday