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Forex Forum Archive for 08/29/2018

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lkwd jj 22:11 GMT August 29, 2018
euro
Reply   
turkey is atarting to weigh on euro again , probably would have continued direct rise to 1.18. needs to pullback , reload for that to happen.

dc CB 21:34 GMT August 29, 2018
US Treas.

con't:

Sperandeo suggests a few reasons why commercial banks are content to hold so many government securities, despite an almost continuous bearish consensus on that market. His reasons include the ability to buy bonds with money that banks create from nothing and that banks aren’t required to mark government securities to market for accounting purposes. Throw in the zero risk-weighting for government securities in required capital calculations, and in theory, banks can “infinitely buy government bonds and still not have to put up additional capital.”

In other words, heavily skewed regulations have gifted banks the proverbial money machine. And by cranking that machine, the banking sector has become a gigantic and somewhat price-insensitive government bond buyer, one on which the Treasury Department can depend even as debt spirals higher.

dc CB 21:32 GMT August 29, 2018
US Treas.
Reply   
there was a question here a day or so ago -- who will buy them.
This was on ZeroHdg --- positing one theory.

in a recent article by Victor Sperandeo:
As it happens, the biggest buyers of Treasury debt are commercial banks. Just when the Fed started tapering its purchases in December 2013 and left some issuance for private players to absorb, their Treasury and agency holdings started to skyrocket, from $1.8 trillion to $2.55 trillion, as of July 2018.

'Too Big To Fail'-Principle: United States Treasury Edition

dc CB 21:27 GMT August 29, 2018
CRUDE

it's Labor Day Weekend. End of summer, the last 3days off until Thanksgiving. what did U expect. the price to drop 10cents? :)

gasoline "drawdowns" will continue and the Algos will react to the reported numbers....as refiners reset for Winter Blends.

Dillon AL 21:15 GMT August 29, 2018
CRUDE

My local gas station jumped the base price by 10 cents a gallon

dc CB 20:31 GMT August 29, 2018
TSLA vs NIO
Reply   
NIO kicks off its IPO roadshow in Hong Kong Wednesday....NIO managers will then head to the US to give presentations to potential buyers, with stops planned in Boston, New York, Chicago and San Francisco.

IPO pricing is expected on September 11, with the first day of trading set for September 12.
Eight investment banks acted as joint bookrunners on the deal: Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Bank of America Merrill Lynch, Deutsche Bank, Citigroup, Credit Suisse and UBS.

Tesla rival

dc CB 20:12 GMT August 29, 2018
The Onion?

dc CB 19:27 GMT August 28, 2018
new John le Carré novel on the shelves in September.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Read a chapter. MUH RUSSIA the other half of the story

The Hill

HK [email protected] 20:01 GMT August 29, 2018
Buy an electric car and let Saudi Arabia keep its crude.
Reply   
!
And from what do you think is produced that electric energy to charge car batteries?
Power stations running on crude oil, may produce as a result more pollution than all the car they power had they run on gasoline.

dc CB 19:58 GMT August 29, 2018
CRUDE

ps: on my platform Brent futures - CME globex - Nov contract $77.70 vs WTI Crude futures Nov contract - $69.35

dc CB 19:53 GMT August 29, 2018
CRUDE

snookered again.
API
Crude +38k (-1.49mm exp)
Cushing +130k (+50k exp)
Gasoline +21k
Distillates +982k
DOE
Crude -2.566mm (-1.49mm exp)
Cushing +58k (+50k exp)
Gasoline -1.554mm
Distillates -837k

GVI 19:02 GMT August 29, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Pres Trump: optimistic that Canada will join the US-Mexico trade deal; Canada trade talks are going well - Believes talks are on track for Friday deadline; Canada wants to be part of trade accord

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex Blog 19:01 GMT August 29, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 29 August 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 29 August 2018

PAR 18:27 GMT August 29, 2018
CRUDE
Reply   
$ 70 . Buy an electric car and let Saudi Arabia keep its crude.

Already more than 1.000.000 ev's in Europe.

GVI Trader john 17:51 GMT August 29, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 30 August 2018

DJ +59

2.880%

GVI Forex Blog 17:01 GMT August 29, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 30 August 2018
Reply   

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Thu 30 Aug 2018
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 12:30 US- PCE Deflator
Fri 31 Aug 2018
A 06:00 DE- Retail Sales
A 07:55 DE- Jobless
AA 09:00 EZ- flash HICP
A 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Thursday Trading Checklist 30 August 2018

GVI 16:52 GMT August 29, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Germany Fin Min Scholz: No-deal Brexit is no solution because the economies are too linked - The EU must accelerate Euro Area reform efforts- Advocates for European defense mergers

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI 16:46 GMT August 29, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Canada PM Trudeau: Canada needs to reach the 'right deal' on NAFTA; there is possibility of deal being reached by Friday- Newsprint ruling is good news for Canada - Canada will defend dairy supply management

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Forex 16:24 GMT August 29, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Brexit whipsaw:

12:22(DE) Germany Foreign Ministry: there will be no special rules for a post-Brexit UK

- EU cohesion is a top priority; the EU will not diminish the single market

- Source TradeTheNews.com

PAR 15:38 GMT August 29, 2018
Spain - Hola
Reply   
Investors eye Spanish banks' EM exposure, RTRS reports. #Spain's exposure to foreign claims from most vulnerable EM econs is 170% of total country bank equity, acc to BCA research, which counts Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, South Africa, Turkey, as most vulnerable.

PAR 15:02 GMT August 29, 2018
ECB DRAGHI PONZI MAFIA

In case you missed it! #ECB Balance sheet has hit fresh life-time high at 4,619.4 as Draghi keeps printing press rumbling. Total assets now equals to 41.3% of Eurozone GDP exactly twice the Fed's 20.7%.

Fukuoka joyya 14:51 GMT August 29, 2018
short gbp!
Reply   
Sell GBPJPY
Entry: 145 Target: Stop: later

sold small one...

Livingston nh 14:47 GMT August 29, 2018
EURGBP

WORDS only by Barnier following another Kick the Can into November spike GBP - talk's cheap (unless short Cable - moi)

lkwd jj 14:35 GMT August 29, 2018
euro
Reply   
need hourly close above 1.1697 to stop out.

GVI Trader john 14:31 GMT August 29, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts






NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: -2.600 vs. -1.500 exp vs. -3.800 prev.
Distillates: -0.800 vs. +1.500 exp vs. +1.800 prev.
Gasoline: -1.600 vs. -0.500 exp vs. +1.200 prev.



Weekly Petroleum Status Report



TTN: Live News Special Offer

PAR 14:26 GMT August 29, 2018
EURGBP
Reply   
EURGBP down 0,80% on "fake" Brexit rumors ?

PAR 14:20 GMT August 29, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Pending Homes Sales Weaker in July 2018

US houses are too expensive . Same problem in France .

Real estate will cash as in 2008 .

GVI Forex Blog 14:18 GMT August 29, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Pending Homes Sales Weaker in July 2018
Reply   
July 2018 Pending Homes Sales softer than expected.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Pending Homes Sales Weaker in July 2018

Mtl JP 14:10 GMT August 29, 2018
BREAKING NEWS



euro 1.1694 player reaction to barnier's bs

GVI 14:03 GMT August 29, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Chief Brexit Negotiator Barnier: We're prepared to offer Britain a partnership unlike with any other country - We respect Britain's red lines 'scrupulously'; in return they must respect what we areSingle market means single market and it's not negotiable; there is no single market a la carte- The Norway model is available but it's part of our single market

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Mtl JP 14:03 GMT August 29, 2018
euro

above 96 is 1,1724 should 96 not resist

GVI Trader john 14:02 GMT August 29, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Pending Homes Sales July, 2018



ALERT
-0.70% vs. +0.50% exp. vs. +0.90% (r +1.00%) prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 13:59 GMT August 29, 2018
euro

now that 1.1685 POOF!

Mtl JP 13:58 GMT August 29, 2018
euro

1.1696 at risk

lkwd jj 13:31 GMT August 29, 2018
euro

below 50 on the 1 hr so odds are lower before higher

lkwd jj 13:27 GMT August 29, 2018
euro

both 15 and 60 min charts. 2 heads better then 1. (jp using futures so its 100k small whale)!

Mtl JP 13:17 GMT August 29, 2018
euro

that would be 1.1675 on the hrly

lkwd jj 13:15 GMT August 29, 2018
euro
Reply   
right up against AT trendline so selling here.

GVI Trader john 12:40 GMT August 29, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Preliminary 2Q18 GDP Revised Up Slightly

Scant USD reaction to better GDP.

GVI Forex Blog 12:39 GMT August 29, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Preliminary 2Q18 GDP Revised Up Slightly
Reply   
2Q18 Preliminary GDP revision beats expectations.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Preliminary 2Q18 GDP Revised Up Slightly

GVI Trader john 12:31 GMT August 29, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. GDP 2Q18




ALERT
+4.20% vs. +4.00% exp. vs. +4.10% prev.

RELEASE: U.S. GDP


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 12:04 GMT August 29, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 29 August 2018

TRADE OPP at bottom of hour:
USD // AA US GDP con: 4.00% pre: 4.10%

PAR 11:55 GMT August 29, 2018
VIX
Reply   
U.S. stock-index futures were slightly higher, suggesting that equities could push even deeper into record territory as major indexes aim for their fourth straight advance.

Stocks ended with only marginal gains in Tuesday's session, but that was enough to give all three major indexes their third straight daily advance, and for both the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq to close at a record for three straight days.

For the month of August, the Dow is up 2.6%, the S&P is up 2.9%, and the Nasdaq is up 4.7%. Both the S&P and the Nasdaq are on track for their fifth straight monthly gain.

Mtl JP 11:49 GMT August 29, 2018
7am NY time

Knezlikely that some genetically disturbed mouse trying to get her price while the london cats are at lunch and NY ones not yet in

GVI Trader john 11:39 GMT August 29, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 29 August 2018

10s 2.880%
DJ +23

Belgrade Knez 11:39 GMT August 29, 2018
7am NY time
Reply   

almost every day there is some nice move in forex market at 7am NY time (11am GMT-12 noon Ldn)..... Haven't been able to figure it why that happen at hour prior to NY open but it does.

Anyone knows the "secret"?

GVI 11:17 GMT August 29, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Iran Supreme leader Khamenei: Tehran should give up hope on Europe to save nuclear deal after the US withdrawal - Source TradeTheNews.com

Fukuoka joyya 11:15 GMT August 29, 2018
USDTRY

look like next is 10....

Mtl JP 11:03 GMT August 29, 2018
NORTH KOREA

problem solved = opportunity poof

PAR 10:54 GMT August 29, 2018
NORTH KOREA
Reply   
Problem solved ?

North Korea

PAR 10:31 GMT August 29, 2018
USDTRY
Reply   
Short USDTRY @ 6.3900 . Spreads are wide but we'll see .

GVI 10:04 GMT August 29, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Brexit Min Raab said to be complaining about the availability of EU's Barnier - financial press - EU negotiator allegedly keeps turning down requests to meet Brexit secretary due to diary constraints

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 09:22 GMT August 29, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 29 August 2018

For AT Trading

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GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:


POSITIVE

Spot EURUSD: 1.1670
Pivot Point: 1.1698

This Week: 1.1594-1.1733
Wed: 1.1663-1.1698
Tue: 1.1662-1.1733
Mon: 1.1594-1.1693
Fri: 1.1535-1.1640

20-day avg: 1.1529
50-day avg: 1.1613
100-day avg: 1.1768
200-day avg: 1.1965

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Sep 26: 96% (96%)

10-yr Bonds
US: 2.873% -0.7bp
DE: 0.382% -0.4bp
GB: 1.450% -0.4bp
JP: 0.099% +0.4bp

DAX: -2
Implied Open
DJ: +42
SP: +2.4




See the Amazing Trader Live!

PAR 09:04 GMT August 29, 2018
ECB DRAGHI PONZI MAFIA
Reply   
#Italy reportedly may reach out to #ECB on new bond purchase plan as 10y yields have jumped >3% since new govt came to power.


https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-08-29/italy-reportedly-reached-out-to-ecb-on-new-bond-purchase-


A PONZI SCHEME CAN NEVER BE STOPPED . IT MUST COLLAPS .

GVI Forex Blog 08:57 GMT August 29, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 29 August 2018
Reply   

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Wed 29 Aug 2018
AA 12:30 US- GDP
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Aug 2018
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 12:30 US- PCE Deflator
A 12:30 US- Pending Homes Sales
Fri 31 Aug 2018
A 06:00 DE- Retail Sales
A 07:55 DE- Jobless
AA 09:00 EZ- flash HICP
A 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Wednesday Trading Checklist 29 August 2018

HK [email protected] 08:00 GMT August 29, 2018
EUR

!
Euro targeting below 1.05!!!
Gold below 1100!!!

PAR 07:49 GMT August 29, 2018
EURJPY
Reply   
Short 129.55 on stop . Target 125.00 .

bali sja 04:57 GMT August 29, 2018
EUR

JP, sure..loading zone for me 11720 and above, looking for 115 and below

Mtl JP 04:06 GMT August 29, 2018
EUR

I am gunning for 1.1785-ish unles under 1,1625
state your target
and we can see who/what gets hit first
for educational fun

bali sja 03:02 GMT August 29, 2018
EUR

JP, a bit steep to my liking, waiting for sign of exhaustion and ready to kill it

dc CB 00:15 GMT August 29, 2018
The Onion?

Oh nooooo! Will the US get a Refund on all that cash we(the taxpayers, cough cough)....er er....Obama paid....????????
________________________________________
Iran's parliament has censured President Hassan Rouhani, voting on Tuesday to reject his explanations for why the country's economy is crumbling. Reuters reports this came after Rouhani underwent a grilling in front of parliament on live TV as hardliners gain the upper hand after crippling rounds of US sanctions.
It's but the latest sign of deep fissures that run to the top of Iran's government after parliament sacked the minister of economy and finance over the weekend.

This followed the labor ministers sacking as well — both were blamed for not staving off the collapse of the rial and surging inflation.

Fissures Grow At Top Of Iran's Government

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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