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Forex Forum Archive for 08/30/2018

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Mtl JP 23:19 GMT August 30, 2018
Winners and Losers

Winners and Losers
----------------------
Federal court quashes Trans Mountain approval in setback for Trudeau

haha, allegedly a setback for the boy also known for his selfies, pretty sox and hair and.... spending OPM

and making Kinder Morgan executives and shareholders double over rofl

Market Reaction
Shares of Canadian oil companies

Dillon AL 22:43 GMT August 30, 2018
Vive la France!

Macron in some respects is right about

France

but not about Denmark

history of Denmark

lkwd jj 21:12 GMT August 30, 2018
crude
Reply   
took 7 weeks to close above $70. last one was on 7/12. demand going forward coming from somewhere

dc CB 20:55 GMT August 30, 2018
Vive la France!
Reply   
French politicians have reacted with anger after Emmanuel Macron asserted that “true” Frenchmen and Danes “do not exist”, and attacked the people he rules over as stubbornly resistant to change while on an official visit to Denmark.

Breitbart London

dc CB 20:38 GMT August 30, 2018
Sept weather

NOAA Satellites
‏Verified account @NOAASatellites

A year ago today, #Irma formed in the eastern Atlantic and rapidly intensified into one of the strongest Atlantic hurricanes on record. Learn how data from satellites helped forecasters track Hurricane Irma's path toward Florida: http://go.usa.gov/xPqg4

Irma

GVI Trader john 20:01 GMT August 30, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 31 August 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:


POSITIVE

Spot EURUSD: 1.1664
Pivot Point: 1.1675

This Week: 1.1594-1.1733
Thu: 1.1642-1.1718
Wed: 1.1652-1.1708
Tue: 1.1662-1.1733
Mon: 1.1594-1.1693

20-day avg: 1.1535
50-day avg: 1.1616
100-day avg: 1.1754
200-day avg: 1.1963

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Sep 26: 96% (96%), and for Dec 19 (second 25bp hike): 72% (68%).

Livingston nh 19:17 GMT August 30, 2018
SPX
Reply   
Next gap @2875 - down on words not deeds

GVI Forex Blog 18:59 GMT August 30, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 30 August 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 30 August 2018

lkwd jj 18:34 GMT August 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

soon theyll call him Tarriif man instead of Trumpet man !!!

Mtl JP 18:30 GMT August 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Is that fully thought thru ?
what IF tariffs on that additional 200 bio do not produce desired result - what then - naval blockade of made-in-china teddybears ?

GVI 18:23 GMT August 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Pres Trump reportedly supports implementing the proposed $200B in new China tariffs as soon as next week, though final decision is still pending - press - US could impose tariffs after end of the public comment period on Sept 6th- "Trump has told aides he wants to move ahead with a plan to impose tariffs on $200 billion in Chinese imports as soon as the public-comment period concludes next week"

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Mtl JP 18:21 GMT August 30, 2018
Winners and Losers

Argentine peso going direction of H3LL
will make for good holiday / medical destination

lkwd jj 17:53 GMT August 30, 2018
Sept weather

CB this one is fine and its free ! https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/

showing one storm potential

Mtl JP 17:41 GMT August 30, 2018
Winners and Losers

Text of a Letter from the President to the Speaker of the House of Representatives and the President of the Senate

I have determined that for 2019, both across‑the‑board pay increases and locality pay increases will be set at zero.

Mtl JP 17:36 GMT August 30, 2018
Winners and Losers

Trump cancels pay raises for civilian federal workers in 2019

lkwd jj 17:23 GMT August 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

buy brooklyn bridge better, even with no tolls...

haifa ac 17:16 GMT August 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

so if interest rates in Argentina are now 60% (from 15% just yesterday)--is it a good investment?
60% is the highest rate in the world.

lkwd jj 17:06 GMT August 30, 2018
crude

70.18 is r1 fwiw. hod 70.08

lkwd jj 16:48 GMT August 30, 2018
crude

now finding support above 69.85 line...

dc CB 16:28 GMT August 30, 2018
Food for Thought - Not the Onion
Reply   


Elections 2018 - The Battle of the Billionaires.

If there were any doubts about whether Jeff Bezos is the world’s richest man, Wednesday’s $67 surge in the price of Amazon stock should have dispelled them. As the owner of a reported 79 million shares, the rally will have added more than $5B to his net worth – not bad for a single day’s passive income. (as of 8/29 Close)

https://www.rickackerman.com/
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Data from states shows thousands of Amazon employees are on food stamps
Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, a prominent critic of Amazon, announced plans to introduce legislation that would tax companies when their employees are on government assistance.

(link to Business Insider story --- passes paywall)
https://outline.com/WZc5MW.

Livingston nh 16:27 GMT August 30, 2018
Complacency
Reply   
With wkly and monthly close tomorrow the USD/BRL is at record - Brazil bracketed by two very large basket cases w/ election and big refugee problem
DITTO for Turkey and India levels -- IDR and ZAR pushing against the 2015 levels // the complacency MAVENS say it isn't contagion because in each case the problem is unique (Forest and trees syndrome)
___________
Noticed my earlier post about EUR was truncated (typing on a foreign object in an alien location) -- also mentioned Serbia/Kosovo, Greece and refugee/immigration

festering problems remain as the August silly season ends

GVI Forex Blog 16:14 GMT August 30, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 31 August 2018
Reply   

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 31 Aug 2018
A 06:00 DE- Retail Sales
A 07:55 DE- Jobless
AA 09:00 EZ- flash HICP
A 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


Mon 3 Sep 2018
All Day- CA/US Holiday All Day- Final Mfg PMIs
Tue 4 Sep 2018
All Day- Final Mfg PMIs
Wed 5 Sep 2018
All Day- Final SVC PMIs
AA AU- RBA Decision, GDP
A 12:30- CA/US- Trade
A 14:00 CA- Bank Of Canada Decision
Thu 6 Sep 2018
All Day- Final SVC PMIs
A 12:15 US- ADP Payrolls
A 12:30 US- Productivity
A 15:00 US- EIA Crude
Fri 7 Sep 2018
A 09:00 EZ- GDP
AA 08:30 CA/US- Employment

Friday Trading Checklist For 31 August 2018

lkwd jj 15:36 GMT August 30, 2018
crude

exactly all the downdrafts so far have been bought

lkwd jj 15:34 GMT August 30, 2018
euro
Reply   
bad result , decent trade. bottom line = no lunch...yet!

dc CB 15:34 GMT August 30, 2018
crude

don't know about that---70 may be the top today.
But all the pushes down have had no follow thru, can't break 69.50. Daily pivot 69.28 on my chart.
Noon, 1PM, and 2PM into the close at 2:30. For some reason Crude trades-moves off a clock on most days.
I'm not playing here today.

Rather consider whether tomor's QT day of $21++bln will send Stocks and the Euro down more into Fri's cash open.

Fukuoka joyya 15:16 GMT August 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

looks to aud nzd 10% down today.....

lkwd jj 15:12 GMT August 30, 2018
crude

so you think well close higher than where she is now ?

dc CB 15:03 GMT August 30, 2018
crude

Funds that are Long wud like to have the Month close out as high as they can get it --- to chalk up the win column. not a time to bet against those betting OtherPeoplesMoney.

dc CB 14:59 GMT August 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Evita!
Argentina's 100Y bonds hit 70 cents on the dollar

lkwd jj 14:59 GMT August 30, 2018
euro

AT 1 hr chart has old line support at 1.1651 as well

lkwd jj 14:56 GMT August 30, 2018
euro

AT 15 min showing new uptrend line...

GVI Trader john 14:56 GMT August 30, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 30 August 2018

2.869%
DJ -66

lkwd jj 14:55 GMT August 30, 2018
euro

long from 1.1657 looking for some lunch money. will need new lod to take me out..

lkwd jj 14:39 GMT August 30, 2018
euro
Reply   
where are the stops ? below 43 ? i think we've seen both lod and hod for today...chop meat on menu now, steaks are gone !

Mtl JP 14:38 GMT August 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

did not argentine CB hike rate to 60% and not because its gdb is running searing hot ?

lkwd jj 14:33 GMT August 30, 2018
crude
Reply   
69.85 resistance , if we get above it theres room to run to 71.13

Fukuoka joyya 14:33 GMT August 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

whats going on in argentina and turkey?

usdars 40

GVI Trader john 14:30 GMT August 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

EIA U.S. Natural Gas

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
(BCF) +70 vs: +63 expected

TTN: Live News Special Offer

dc CB 14:19 GMT August 30, 2018
Sept weather

"Without hurricanes, we'll probably see prices soften to $2.75 or so, and maybe a little bit more before election day," Kloza said. The national average stood at nearly $2.84 on Thursday.
The next two months are the peak of hurricane season, posing a threat to the U.S. fuel refining hub on the Gulf Coast. Last year, Hurricane Harvey devastated the Houston region and nearby areas, knocking out a quarter of U.S. refining capacity.

The National Hurricane Center has flagged a low pressure area forming off the west coast of Africa. The Center put the odds of a cyclone forming over the next five days at 90 percent on Thursday.

Labor Day gas prices hit 4-year high — and probably won't drop much after the holiday

Mtl JP 14:05 GMT August 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

almost 11% reduction
but.... does jerome care ?

dc CB 14:04 GMT August 30, 2018
Sept weather
Reply   
the Atlantic is coming alive. Gulf of Mexico next week. The bowling balls off Africa are showing a return longer range.
In the Pacific a Super Typhoon cud hit Japan. Time to watch the weather.
Scroll down fro Free Daily video update: Joe Bastardi

Weatherbell

GVI 13:58 GMT August 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Atlanta Fed cuts Q3 GDP forecast to 4.1% from 4.6% prior - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI 13:58 GMT August 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Atlanta Fed cuts Q3 GDP forecast to 4.1% from 4.6% prior - Source TradeTheNews.com

lkwd jj 13:57 GMT August 30, 2018
euro

upside less potential

Mtl JP 13:49 GMT August 30, 2018
euro

why not close and turn ?

lkwd jj 13:41 GMT August 30, 2018
euro

hit AT trendline on 1hr chart.thats why i closed

lkwd jj 13:40 GMT August 30, 2018
euro
Reply   
Wednesday Trading Checklist
lkwd jj 02:22 GMT 08/30/2018
macd divergence in 4hr time zone 1.1733 temporary top until taken out...

lkwd jj 13:38 GMT August 30, 2018
euro
Reply   
covered euro short as per my turkey post last night.

Mtl JP 13:36 GMT August 30, 2018
markets

long euro 1.1645
staying nimble
and keeping risk close

lkwd jj 13:29 GMT August 30, 2018
markets

oil prices might support energy sector i see $75 sooner than you think. its a drag on economy but , heck so are interest rates(they dont move down fast either).

lkwd jj 13:27 GMT August 30, 2018
markets

use pivots if your lazy, otherwise 2906 -2912 range. 2904 55ma on 1hr could support(not should but could)....thats all without a nafta press conference/announcement. all bets off with that wild card

Livingston nh 13:27 GMT August 30, 2018
EUR
Reply   
BIG difference in moves between German (+13) and Italian (-28) 10 yr // Hungary, Italy and Poland

Mtl JP 13:21 GMT August 30, 2018
markets

JJ can u puts some numbers on that
tks

lkwd jj 13:18 GMT August 30, 2018
markets
Reply   
for all intensive purposes id treat today as end of month, who wants to be busy on fri trading as opposed to traveling for weekend? expecting some profit taking then short squeeze of the new shorts then slow drop to close

Fukuoka joyya 13:10 GMT August 30, 2018
CRUDE

if war with iran then 200/300 also possible and gold 8000$..

Fukuoka joyya 13:09 GMT August 30, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 30 August 2018

short audtry 4.94...

hk win10 13:09 GMT August 30, 2018
CRUDE

Can crude revisit $150 level in 2 years time?

Fukuoka joyya 13:03 GMT August 30, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 30 August 2018

aud nzd next get big hit in devolp markeet...

em already down alot...

Fukuoka joyya 13:02 GMT August 30, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 30 August 2018

soon other also crash

Mtl JP 13:00 GMT August 30, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 30 August 2018

expecting euro 1.1650-40 supp to hold
you ?

Amman wfakhoury 12:53 GMT August 30, 2018
Today signals

All signals closed at tp point except EURJPY still open

GVI Forex Blog 12:50 GMT August 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Core PCE Deflator Hits its Fed Target In July 2018
Reply   
U.S. July 2018 Core PCE Deflator hits its L-T target level. Fed Targets the core PCE Deflator at 2.00%.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Core PCE Deflator Hits its Fed Target In July 2018

Fukuoka joyya 12:39 GMT August 30, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 30 August 2018

argentina and turkey wont stop.....

GVI Trader john 12:32 GMT August 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Personal Income/PCE Deflator August, 2018



ALERT
Personal Income +0.30% vs. +0.40% exp v +0.40% prev.
Core PCE Defl +2.00% vs. +2.00% exp. vs. +1.90% prev.


RELEASE: Personal Income



TTN: Live News Special Offer


----------------------------------

US Weekly Jobless Claims



ALERT

213K vs. 215K exp vs. 210K (r. ) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer



Mtl JP 12:24 GMT August 30, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 30 August 2018

USDCAD 1.2930-ish
those having trading interest in things Canadian probably already know that at bottom of hour come out:
GDP (Quarterly Annualized) (q/q ann) 3.1% vs 1.3%
and
GDP (m/m) 0.1% vs 0.5%
and GDP y/y 2.3% vs 2.2%
-
m/m gdp probably most important to risk

Mtl JP 12:24 GMT August 30, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 30 August 2018

USDCAD 1.2930-ish
those having trading interest in things Canadian probably already know that at bottom of hour come out:
GDP (Quarterly Annualized) (q/q ann) 3.1% vs 1.3%
and
GDP (m/m) 0.1% vs 0.5%
and GDP y/y 2.3% vs 2.2%
-
m/m gdp probably most important to risk

Mtl JP 12:12 GMT August 30, 2018
Winners and Losers

Winners and Losers
---------------------
Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
47m47 minutes ago
The news from the Financial Markets is even better than anticipated. For all of you that have made a fortune in the markets, or seen your 401k’s rise beyond your wildest expectations, more good news is coming!
-
hint hint ?

Mtl JP 12:01 GMT August 30, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 30 August 2018

Ger Aug CPI +0.1% vs +0.1% m/m expt'd

Mtl JP 11:59 GMT August 30, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 30 August 2018

USDTRY 1.6830 = 6.7% move in one day from yesty's 6.39
shorts getting killed.
at least and gracefully it is not slow

Mtl JP 11:42 GMT August 30, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 30 August 2018

usdtry 6.7650ish
Livingston nh 21:37 GMT August 28, 2018
EUR: Reply
if USD/TRY pops above 6.7 - EUR reacts nega

-
contagion ? impotent german "from the outside" ?
red carpet treatement for erdogan next month on his state visit to germany

rofl

losers to the , winners to the right
NH ... today u are a winner !!

GVI Trader john 10:45 GMT August 30, 2018
Amazing Trader Update

10-yr 2.888%
DJ -55

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 10:41 GMT August 30, 2018
Amazing Trader Update
Reply   


Look at the AT GBPUSD 4 hour chart and how it hit dead on at next resistance/target at 1.3042. This was targeted following the 1.2937 and then 1.2975 break yesterday. This is not a coincidence.

I do not like to post with hindsight but our directional indicator signaled the risk to the upside starting at 1.1680. If you would like to see how send me an EMAIL

The Amazing Trader

GVI 10:37 GMT August 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

EU said would agree with zero tariffs on industrial goods (including cars) if US agree - financial press - beyond what was agreed in July in the joint statement between European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker and U.S. President Donald Trump

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Livingston nh 10:06 GMT August 30, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 30 August 2018

contagion complacency seems to be fading as EM risks spread - will EU save Turkey from itself? US has S. America problems again but a non intervention president

GVI Trader john 09:10 GMT August 30, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 30 August 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:


POSITIVE

Spot EURUSD: 1.1687
Pivot Point: 1.1686

This Week: 1.1594-1.1733
Thu: 1.1675-1.1718
Wed: 1.1652-1.1708
Tue: 1.1662-1.1733
Mon: 1.1594-1.1693

20-day avg: 1.1531
50-day avg: 1.1615
100-day avg: 1.1781
200-day avg: 1.1965

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Sep 26: 96% (96%), and for Dec 19 (second 25bp hike): 72% (68%).

10-yr Bonds
US: 2.875% -1.4bp
DE: 0.391% -1.5bp
GB: 1.480% -1.2bp
JP: 0.109% +0.5bp

DAX: -151
Implied Open
DJ: -75
SP: -6.0




See the Amazing Trader Live!

Amman wfakhoury 09:07 GMT August 30, 2018
Today signals
Reply   


Just copy paste

The only one in the world who confirms the next level and every hour movement

GVI Trader john 08:06 GMT August 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: German Unemployment Data As Forecast For August 2018

German State CPI data on the soft side EURUSD weaker...

GVI Forex Blog 08:02 GMT August 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: German Unemployment Data As Forecast For August 2018
Reply   
German August 2018 Jobless data as expected. (lower is better). Unemployment rate steady.

BREAKING NEWS: German Unemployment Data As Forecast For August 2018

GVI Trader john 07:56 GMT August 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Jobs data in line.

GVI Trader john 07:56 GMT August 30, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

German Unemployment August 2018




NEWS ALERT
Rate: 5.20% vs. 5.20% exp. vs. 5.20% prev.
Change: -8 vs. -9K exp. vs. -6K (r ) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Blog 07:51 GMT August 30, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 30 August 2018
Reply   

Register To Test Your Amazing Trader

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Thu 30 Aug 2018
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 12:30 US- PCE Deflator
Fri 31 Aug 2018
A 06:00 DE- Retail Sales
A 07:55 DE- Jobless
AA 09:00 EZ- flash HICP
A 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Thursday Trading Checklist 30 August 2018

Fukuoka joyya 05:52 GMT August 30, 2018
long jpy!
Reply   
Sell AUDJPY
Entry: 81.26 Target: Stop: 81.86

short for big gain....

haifa ac 05:00 GMT August 30, 2018
Turkish Lira a very good sale here

6.34 is a correct 4 hour stop now. 6.80 is 4 hour creek and should provide some resistance- so partial profit taking around that level is a conservative idea.

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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