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Forex Forum Archive for 08/31/2018

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Dillon AL 22:45 GMT August 31, 2018
BREAKING NEWS



nh there is one simple fact Brussels has a budget deficit. They need our money. The issues about open borders is nonsense cc the map where it shows that in 2015 at the height of the crisis the issue was European in nature not UK
As to trade.... well with Trump mixing it up then in reality it favors The UK in terms of timing. The UK is in essence still the most powerful bloc in the world. Its called the Commonwealth.

Livingston nh 21:50 GMT August 31, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

al - agree but this the problem for the UK folks - play HARDBALL w/ the mopes and see how far they can stray from the political needs of Merkel, Macron et al

Dillon AL 21:32 GMT August 31, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

and that jp will force the eastern bloc's hands led by Hungary followed by Poland and then reluctantly Czech. No amount of appeasement re appointments to leading EU institutions by nationals from those nations to try to induce the opposite reaction will work.
The die is cast and with Junker and Draghi going next year (and others) this will leave the mantle squarely upon Macron's shoulders to lead the charge and shape future policy however his comments in Denmark shows that he is as mad as the rest of the EU autocrats and thus is doomed before he even tries
The issue is was never IF but WHEN the union breaks up properly

I would remind Barnier another whose time is limited that The UK is the 2nd largest in Europe the 5th largest in the world...Screw Her Majesty and that places yet another nail in the coffin

Language

Mtl JP 21:22 GMT August 31, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

nh at least the italian would care
-
BUT it brings forth the reminder of ECB's need to mutualize the currency union. The crazy fakks - the princes - need absolutely and with increasing urgency access to every increasing amounts of money - in the billions and billions upon billions - which means only one thing: press, squeeze and juice the EU taxpayers.

Livingston nh 20:30 GMT August 31, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

This is the problem with debt in the EU -- Sovereign debt.?? --where is the benchmark rate?? IF ECB buys italian debt who cares

GVI 20:24 GMT August 31, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Fitch revises Italy sovereign debt rating outlook to Negative from Stable; affirms BBB rating

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Livingston nh 20:11 GMT August 31, 2018
SPX

But not on the open - money flow is not that bigga deal at this level

dc CB 20:09 GMT August 31, 2018
SPX

don't forget the "manditory Auto Invest" 401K etc OPM that hits on the first of the month.

GVI Trader john 20:07 GMT August 31, 2018
Commitment Of Traders Report For 28 August 2018 Data
Reply   
For Amazing Traders monitoring levels on stops for trading strategies...
COT report position highlights:


EURUSD longs gone

USDJPY shorts narrowing

GBPUSD shorts steadily growing

USDCAD shorts steady

AUDUSD shorts leveling




EURUSD Commitment of Traders Chart




USDJPY Commitment of Traders Chart




GBPUSD Commitment of Traders Chart




USDCAD Commitment of Traders Chart




AUDUSD Commitment of Traders Chart


Livingston nh 20:07 GMT August 31, 2018
SPX

ITALY nega by ratings agency ECB ??

Livingston nh 20:02 GMT August 31, 2018
SPX
Reply   
Into the close - buying puts on spx for Tuesday open

dc CB 19:48 GMT August 31, 2018
so what who cares



the Treas MarkIT heads to the beach ---humming Pink Floyd's - Comfortably Numb.

Livingston nh 19:34 GMT August 31, 2018
so what who cares
Reply   
NONE of the NAFTA is critical to anything because it's still in effect

dc CB 19:30 GMT August 31, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Gaming to get "the last story out" on a Friday before a 3 day weekend for the US NUZ cycle-Weekend Talking Heads (bash Trump Fest) -----'cauz after The Last Word....nuttin' 'til Tueday....Clock runs thu to 11:45PM give or take

Livingston nh 19:29 GMT August 31, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

USELESS idiot news about Argentina - S&P may cut //pretty helpful after the last two weeks

GVI 19:24 GMT August 31, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

CANADA-US NAFTA TALKS END WITH NO AGREEMENT; TRUMP TO NOTIFY CONGRESS OF PLANS TO PROCEED WITH MEXICO-ONLY DEAL TO REPLACE NAFTA - Announcement expected to say Canada can still join the revised NAFTA

- Source TradeTheNews.com

dc CB 19:23 GMT August 31, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Battle of the Billionaires:

Tweeter in Chief:
Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump
Wow, I made OFF THE RECORD COMMENTS to Bloomberg concerning Canada, and this powerful understanding was BLATANTLY VIOLATED. Oh well, just more dishonest reporting. I am used to it. At least Canada knows where I stand!
2:37 PM - Aug 31, 2018



Trump Erupts At Bloomberg

GVI Forex Blog 19:13 GMT August 31, 2018
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 31 August 2018
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 31 August 2018

Livingston nh 19:10 GMT August 31, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

1.3140 is a target --adding here

GVI Trader john 19:02 GMT August 31, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Interesting its not a joint press conference as far as we know. Could that be a hint?

Mtl JP 19:02 GMT August 31, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

what about 1.3140:
long target or
wait to sell or ....

GVI Trader john 19:00 GMT August 31, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

No word on what, if anything, was decided in the talks. Something undoubtedly will leak before the 4:30 EDT presser with the Canadian Foreign Minister.

Livingston nh 18:57 GMT August 31, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

USD/CAD 1.3140

GVI 18:56 GMT August 31, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Canadian Official: US/Canadian trade talks have concluded - press - Canadian Foreign Minister Freeland to hold news conference at 16:30EDT/20:30GMT


- Source TradeTheNews.com

dc CB 18:51 GMT August 31, 2018
Winners and Losers

Mtl JP 14:04 GMT
ya ... political gamesmanship alright
trudeau pizzing away MY money (on some merikan-owned)..

in some merikan-owned niteclub.
What IS The Donald thinking -----

Back in The Donald's heyday

Livingston nh 18:40 GMT August 31, 2018
euro

jp - for now see if 1.13 holds

Mtl JP 18:37 GMT August 31, 2018
euro

lower end of the range = _____
zero ?

Livingston nh 18:36 GMT August 31, 2018
euro

Thanx abel -- re: EURO nothing's changed so the lower end of the range is still valid

Mtl JP 18:31 GMT August 31, 2018
Winners and Losers

Winners and Losers
----------------------
time for heuristic economists to step up
or maybe time soon for magnanimity from Pres Trump as

"Hog Prices Rise as Disease Strikes Pigs in China"

but in typically chinese manner

“the press and government there may be understating the problem

Jkt Abel 18:13 GMT August 31, 2018
euro

Nh, expecting intervention above 15k.
Has euro bottomed for the year?

Mtl JP 18:10 GMT August 31, 2018
Winners and Losers

what is wrong w/mixing missiles and oil ?
-
maybe the russian - in his own brand of humor - would celebrate john - “I have no illusions or worry about the long-term future of Russia. Russia is now a gas station masquerading as a country" - mccain and see things differently 3 yrs later.

The russian has known for a while now that the US is a crap paper factory.

Bali Sja 18:07 GMT August 31, 2018
euro

Lets see first if 11570 survives the test

lkwd jj 17:34 GMT August 31, 2018
euro

I use a tissue to pick bottom. in fx you go long or short where you want not top or bottom picking but entry level picking. macd on daily showing up for 1 and 2 this move down is needed so there will be stops on top of here to run to 1.18 !!!

Livingston nh 17:19 GMT August 31, 2018
euro

abel - any thots on IDR?

Bali Sja 17:17 GMT August 31, 2018
euro

You must be nuts picking bottom, good luck

Jkt Abel 17:15 GMT August 31, 2018
euro

Good call lkwd jj, euro has bottomed you reckon?

lkwd jj 17:15 GMT August 31, 2018
euro
Reply   
last monthly close below 1.16 was last year june. fwiw

GVI Trader john 17:02 GMT August 31, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Baker Hughes Rig Count


NEWS ALERT
U.S.
Total: 1048 vs. 1044 (+4) prev.
Oil: 862 8vs. 860 (+2) prev.

Canada: 228 vs. 229 (-1)


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Fukuoka joyya 17:02 GMT August 31, 2018
markets

turkey taking pastor to european court and trump leaving wto......

lkwd jj 16:45 GMT August 31, 2018
markets
Reply   
looks like im only one not going on vacation...lonely here.

lkwd jj 16:35 GMT August 31, 2018
euro
Reply   
1.1594 on 1h and 4hr potential support for those who want to buy this thing..

lkwd jj 16:19 GMT August 31, 2018
Winners and Losers

crude may rally .... missiles and oil not good combo.

Mtl JP 16:09 GMT August 31, 2018
Winners and Losers

c mon bolton ... RESPOND !!

just in time for long week-end:

Sink the destroyers – they will not start a war: Bagdasarov calls for a powerful Russian response to a US strike on Syria

Russia must respond to US strikes against Syria by destroying not only missiles, but also the ships that launch them.

Bogdasarov: A Russian Response To A New US Attack On Syria Should Include Sinking The Warships
Destroy not just the missiles, but the ships that launch them.

Mtl JP 15:56 GMT August 31, 2018
Winners and Losers

when IMF says it is confident about meddling in argentina
when President Trump lets it be percieved that he prefers nafta to go way of the dodo...
reasonable traders get skittish

Fukuoka joyya 15:49 GMT August 31, 2018
Winners and Losers

usdtry possible next 10....

Mtl JP 15:44 GMT August 31, 2018
Winners and Losers

usdtry approach to 6.7 violently repulsed
draw u r own view of that

Fukuoka joyya 15:42 GMT August 31, 2018
Winners and Losers

collapse of aud nzd cad eur gbp?

Fukuoka joyya 15:27 GMT August 31, 2018
Winners and Losers

maybe big move tonight 10/30% in jpy.....

Mtl JP 15:18 GMT August 31, 2018
Winners and Losers

usd in demand

Mtl JP 15:07 GMT August 31, 2018
Winners and Losers

time ripe to start ripping nuts off usdtry shorts

Mtl JP 14:54 GMT August 31, 2018
Winners and Losers

some last minute hanki panki going on into london close

GVI Forex Blog 14:07 GMT August 31, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. University Of Michigan Data Revised Higher For August 2018
Reply   
University of Michigan Sentiment Survey. Final August 2018 preliminary data revised higher.

University of Michigan Survey Chart

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. University Of Michigan Data Revised Higher For August 2018

Mtl JP 14:04 GMT August 31, 2018
Winners and Losers

ya ... political gamesmanship alright
trudeau pizzing away MY money on some merikan-owned pipeline so he can try to sell alberta's crap to china (rofl), his carbon tax scheme pizzing ME off as he's trying to tax me OUT of my boat while he flies his donkey around the world on MY dime in a 737... claiming that he will always protect canadian milk producers supply side (luckily for him I do not drink milk (just wine) because milk makes folks aggressive and ADD'red, so currently I am happy to report that his current popularity standing is approx even w/opposition.

Expect some funny stuff come out of justin/christia's donkey if n when Pres Trump starts to talk "fair" milk deal and auto tariffs.

GVI Trader john 14:02 GMT August 31, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

UM revision beats.

GVI Trader john 14:00 GMT August 31, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

University of Michigan Sentiment Index Final August 2018



ALERT
96.2 vs. 95.7 exp. vs. 95.3 preliminary

RELEASE: Index of Consumer Sentiment


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Livingston nh 13:51 GMT August 31, 2018
Winners and Losers

jp - IMO Canada likely to drag its feet as they understand President better than most -- this is political gamesmanship

Mtl JP 13:45 GMT August 31, 2018
Winners and Losers

I think President Trump trumps anything coming out of "canadian officials" donkey:
“Canada’s going to make a deal at some point. It may be by Friday or it may be within a period of time, but ultimately they have no choice,” Trump said Thursday in an interview with Bloomberg News in Washington as bargainers struggled to resolve critical issues. “I think we’re close to a deal.”
-
DLRX still under 95
looking to go short USDCAD under 1.3050
preferably with help from euro back N of 1.1640/50

GVI Trader john 13:45 GMT August 31, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Chicago PMI August 2018



NEWS ALERT
63.6 vs. 63.0 exp. vs. 65.5 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 13:40 GMT August 31, 2018
Winners and Losers

nh there is a need for panic to "go contagious"
need to fill boat with gas (burns ~$600worth/day) for the long week-end !

Livingston nh 13:34 GMT August 31, 2018
Winners and Losers

Erdogan looks at Argentina rate hike and feels vindicated as peso declines further so Turkish CB stays out of play -- Brazil intervenes at 4.20 and gets temporary reprieve

Bigger risk is India and Indonesia // Italy yield rises a bit as German yield drops again -- EU has a lot on its plate --Barnier unmasked as GBP held hostage to Ireland deal

TURKEY still on the MENU @7

Mtl JP 13:29 GMT August 31, 2018
Winners and Losers

wanna buy some Italian crap paper ?

GBTPGR10:IND
Italy Generic Govt 10Y Yield

GVI 12:29 GMT August 31, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

EU’s Barnier: Worked on the future relationship and have broad convergence on ambition of future ties - press conference with UK Brexit Min Raab in Brussels - Discussed the subject of security of citizens and guaranteed rights - Brexit must not lead to loss of intellectual rights - Need detailed backstop solution for Ireland; NO backstop then NO Brexit agreement

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Fukuoka joyya 11:58 GMT August 31, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

usdcad 1.45/1.5 seems good target....

GVI Forex 11:52 GMT August 31, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

USDCAD spikes higher

07:50(CA) Canada govt officials said to doubt having a NAFTA deal by today (Friday, Aug 31st)

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Fukuoka joyya 11:51 GMT August 31, 2018
Winners and Losers

look like audjpy easly reach 75/65 area....

Fukuoka joyya 11:18 GMT August 31, 2018
Winners and Losers

audtry short doing well....

aud nzd gbp eur more bearish than turk lira now...

Fukuoka joyya 11:16 GMT August 31, 2018
Winners and Losers

just sold usdtry 6.57 seems turkey ok...

Mtl JP 11:03 GMT August 31, 2018
Winners and Losers

Winners and Losers
----------------------
Good odds of market gaining in perception that turkey will default.
Maybe not today or next week. Or even in a month or two.

What matters as a trade-able is the growth in player perceptions.

Mtl JP 10:34 GMT August 31, 2018
Winners and Losers

Trump Threatens to Pull U.S. Out of WTO If It Doesn’t ‘Shape Up’ - BBRG August 30, 2018

GVI Trader john 09:25 GMT August 31, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 31 August 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:


POSITIVE

Spot EURUSD: 1.1666
Pivot Point: 1.1675

This Week: 1.1594-1.1733
Fri: 1.1660-1.1690
Thu: 1.1642-1.1718
Wed: 1.1652-1.1708
Tue: 1.1662-1.1733

20-day avg: 1.1535
50-day avg: 1.1616
100-day avg: 1.1754
200-day avg: 1.1963

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Sep 26: 96% (96%), and for Dec 19 (second 25bp hike): 72% (68%).

10-yr Bonds
US: 2.848% -2.2bp
DE: 0.356% +0.6bp
GB: 1.452% -0.6bp
JP: 0.106% -0.8bp

DAX: -111
Implied Open
DJ: +11
SP: +1.1




See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI Trader john 09:09 GMT August 31, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: E.Z. Flash HICP Misses In August 2018

Not Much of a Reaction to EZ HICP. German CPI missed yesterday as well.

GVI Forex Blog 09:07 GMT August 31, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: E.Z. Flash HICP Misses In August 2018
Reply   
EZ flash August 2018 HICP (CPI) misses estimates. Final data usually sees minor changes.

BREAKING NEWS: E.Z. Flash HICP Misses In August 2018

GVI Trader john 09:01 GMT August 31, 2018
BREAKING NEWS

Eurozone flash HICP (CPI) August 2018





ALERT
Headline
yy: +2.00% vs. +2.10% exp. vs. +2.10% prev.
CORE
yy: +1.00% vs. +1.10% exp. vs. +1.10% prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Blog 08:43 GMT August 31, 2018
Friday Trading Checklist For 31 August 2018
Reply   
Fri 31 Aug 2018
A 06:00 DE- Retail Sales
AA 09:00 EZ- flash HICP
A 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan
Mon 3 Sep 2018
All Day- CA/US Holiday All Day- Final Mfg PMIs
Tue 4 Sep 2018
All Day- Final Mfg PMIs
Wed 5 Sep 2018
All Day- Final SVC PMIs
AA AU- RBA Decision, GDP
A 12:30- CA/US- Trade
A 14:00 CA- Bank Of Canada Decision
Thu 6 Sep 2018
All Day- Final SVC PMIs
A 12:15 US- ADP Payrolls
A 12:30 US- Productivity
A 15:00 US- EIA Crude
Fri 7 Sep 2018
A 09:00 EZ- GDP
AA 08:30 CA/US- Employment


Friday Trading Checklist For 31 August 2018

Fukuoka joyya 07:24 GMT August 31, 2018
markets

look like black friday and monday nice crash ready....

haifa ac 07:10 GMT August 31, 2018
markets

Eggcorns and mondegreens
Mondegreens are MISHEARD versions of phrases, sayings, lyrics, poetic phrases, or slogans. The term comes from the Scottish author Sylvia Write, who wrote a 1954 article in Harper’s Magazine in which she mentioned misinterpreting a Scottish ballad. The original line, “They hae slain the Earl o’ Moray and laid him on the green,” she misheard as, “They hae slain the Earl o’ Moray and Lady Mondegreen.”

doggy-dog world is an eggcorn because it’s used in roughly the same way as the original phrase, dog-eat-dog world.

this is my reaction to yours:
For all intents and purposes is the usual form of the phrase meaning in every practical sense. For all INTENSIVE PURPOSES is a fairly common eggcorn derived from the original phrase. It’s often heard in speech, but it’s rare in published writing because it generally doesn’t pass through the editorial process.


just to be a little intellectual in deference to Columbus (Monday) day who gave us Amerigo Vespucci's shining light on the hill.

lkwd jj 00:15 GMT August 31, 2018
markets
Reply   
markets
lkwd jj 13:18 GMT 08/30/2018
for all intensive purposes id treat today as end of month, who wants to be busy on fri trading as opposed to traveling for weekend? expecting some profit taking then short squeeze of the new shorts then slow drop to close
------------------------------------------------------------------
trumpet man helped with the profit taking, i guess short squeeze still in the air ? then slow drop into close, unless trumpet man does some more tweeting...

 




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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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