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Forex Forum Archive for 09/19/2018

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
Click here to join the Live Forex Forum.


Dillon AL 22:18 GMT September 19, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

EU needs to understand that The UK is a major source of tourism into The EU. UK families could easily be persuaded to go elsewhere. Then how would The Costas and Balearic isles look relying solely on Germans with beach bagging towels

Tourism stats

GVI 21:33 GMT September 19, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Prime Min May reportedly told EU leaders that extending Brexit talks is not an option; there will not be a second referendum; Northern Ireland cannot have a separate customs regime - Prepared to tell EU leaders to drop the unacceptable Brexit demands and the onus is on all of us to get deal done - Source TradeTheNews.com

Mtl JP 20:57 GMT September 19, 2018
The Australian dollar could surge in all-out trade war, RBA study finds

correcting typo: 20day = 0.7205

Mtl JP 20:55 GMT September 19, 2018
The Australian dollar could surge in all-out trade war, RBA study finds

ya... I saw the amateur's rescinding whipsaw in nzd
ref my 21:42 Sept 17
what a turkey

Mtl JP 20:49 GMT September 19, 2018
The Australian dollar could surge in all-out trade war, RBA study finds

aud 7265
aud is currently likely riding on a pro-risk expectation euphoria
20day at 7502 = supp

Sydney ACC 20:48 GMT September 19, 2018
The Australian dollar could surge in all-out trade war, RBA study finds

There's high expectations of a good GDP figure to be released this morning.
Jacinda Ardern (NZ PM) had to refute suggestions earlier this week that she already new the figure. Kiwi had appreciated earlier on the back of it.

Always best to wait for Kiwi announcements movements can sometimes be exaggerated in response to a surprise.

Mtl JP 20:42 GMT September 19, 2018
The Australian dollar could surge in all-out trade war, RBA study finds

NZD 0.6615 - on a bit of a tear uP
ACC do u plan on trading NZD's Q2 GDP ?
I am wondering if has been climbing "the wall of worry"

Mtl JP 20:37 GMT September 19, 2018
Mobile phones

It may appear strange...
to unprepared / inflexible / convention - tradition expecting mind(s)

Part of trump's tactics is to let the counterparty deliver that which it was already going to offer. In exchange, trump agrees not to do what he hasn�t done yet.

Sydney ACC 20:35 GMT September 19, 2018
The Australian dollar could surge in all-out trade war, RBA study finds
Reply   
Australia's real exchange rate could surge and gross domestic product drop in the event of an all-out global trade war, Reserve Bank research conducted in March suggested.

Link - SMH

GVI Trader john 20:31 GMT September 19, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 20 September 2018

Late Wednesday
10-yr 3.072%
DJ +159

PAR 20:15 GMT September 19, 2018
Mobile phones
Reply   
Mobile phones are the biggest cause of the USA trade deficit with China and are exempted from tariffs.

Strange world Trump lives in .

GVI Forex Blog 20:13 GMT September 19, 2018
Fed to Hike Rates By 25bps On September 26
Reply   

John M. Bland, MBA, co-founder, Global-View.com


Futures Markets Running Dead Certain 100% Odds on a +25bp Fed Funds Hike The silence on Fed policy has been deafening for the past month or so. If the central bank had been worried about the markets pricing in with complete certainty a 25bp rate hike at this meeting, it would have been getting the story out in the press that there are serious doubts about this outcome. The current Fed Funds target range of 1.75-2.00% will be raised to 2.00%-2.25% as the central bank attempts to get rates to what they perceive to be market neutrality of 2.50%.

Fed to Hike Rates By 25bps On September 26

Mtl JP 20:07 GMT September 19, 2018
Tulips

Winners and Losers
----------------------
TLRY volatility trading today should - but will not - cure folks from love of volatility. A trading day one could call Sunshine and Shitshower:

Tilray stock halted several times amid rollercoaster final hour of trading

GVI Trader john 19:47 GMT September 19, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 20 September 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:


POSITIVE

Spot EURUSD: 1.1673
Pivot Point: 1.1680

This Week: 1.1618-1.1718
Wed: 1.1650-1.1715
Tue: 1.1652-1.1724
Mon: 1.1618-1.1698
Fri: 1.1623-1.1721

20-day avg: 1.1633
50-day avg: 1.1605
100-day avg: 1.1670
200-day avg: 1.1950

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Sep 26: 100% (100%), and for Dec 19 (second 25bp hike): 74% (74%).

Mtl JP 19:40 GMT September 19, 2018
Tulips

Winners and Losers
----------------------
TLRY volatility: NOT for the faint of heart

"what does not kill or maim you disappoints me"

Mtl JP 19:14 GMT September 19, 2018
Tulips

Winners and Losers
----------------------
and now meddlers:
Tilray shares halted for volatility, restarted, and paused again in past 15 minutes - maketwatch

Mtl JP 18:57 GMT September 19, 2018
Winners and Losers

USDCAD 1.2913
puppy continues sneaking down
likely to test 1.2886 previous low
200day at 1.2854 = support

PAR 18:39 GMT September 19, 2018
TIPS
Reply   
Why a 5 year TIPS is yielding more than a 10 year TIPS.?

why would anyone by 10 year tips ?

Livingston nh 18:26 GMT September 19, 2018
VIX

second day in a row more stox down than up, more new lows than new highs, 10 yr yield @ 3.08 and Dow up 200 pts, NDX down

just sayin'

PAR 18:19 GMT September 19, 2018
USDTRY
Reply   
Time to take profit . We' all see .

GVI 18:10 GMT September 19, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Brexit Minister Raab: need to see EU move in our direction in Brexit talks, if we don't get that it will be a lose-lose situation - Brexit negotiations can be intense but have been professional - Source TradeTheNews.com

Mtl JP 18:03 GMT September 19, 2018
ECB DRAGHI= PONZI

and problems = opportunities
think !
how problem solvers juice 'em for profits

PAR 17:57 GMT September 19, 2018
ECB DRAGHI= PONZI
Reply   
Draghi is finished and he created more problems than he solved.

Mtl JP 17:42 GMT September 19, 2018
VIX

hehe zero
it is good to dream...
as an internal conflict resolution

PAR 17:38 GMT September 19, 2018
VIX
Reply   
Down another 7 %. In 12 days we are at ZERO. ZERO

PAR 17:38 GMT September 19, 2018
VIX
Reply   
Down another 7 %. In 12 days we are at ZERO. ZERO

PAR 17:35 GMT September 19, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Brexit . There is just NO Brexit deal .

May just wants to stay in Europe club without paying membership fee.

It makes no sense. Go and enjoy the Commonwealth . Please leave Europe asap .

GVI 17:27 GMT September 19, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Irish PM Varadkar: we are no closer to a Brexit deal than we were in March - Ireland would suffer in a no-deal Brexit situation - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI 17:22 GMT September 19, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Prime Min May: reiterates EU will need to evolve its position, too, like the UK has done; will talk to EU leaders about the Chequers plan, believes it is the right proposal - Chequers is the only credible plan to ensure frictionless trade and no hard Irish border - Welcomes EU's Barnier's recognition that a new proposal on Irish border is needed; original EU plan was not acceptable - My govt will never accept a second referendum on Brexit - We cannot accept Northern Ireland being carved away- Our proposal is a fair arrangement that will work for EU and UK economy without undermining single market - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI 17:21 GMT September 19, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

EU's Juncker: EU and UK are still far away from a Brexit deal - press - Germany Chancellor Merkel: There won't be any decisions made at the Salzburg summit; hopes there will be a Brexit in a good atmosphere with mutual respect- We're slowly moving into Brexit's final phase of negotiations - Source TradeTheNews.com

Mtl JP 17:05 GMT September 19, 2018
Tulips

dc CB so short the whole pot complex ex TLRY

GVI Forex Blog 15:57 GMT September 19, 2018
Thursday Trading Checklist 20 September 2018
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Thu 20 Sep 2018
AA 06:30 CH- Swiss National Bank Decision
AA 08:30 GB- Retail Sales
A 12:30 US- Philly Fed/LEI
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
Fri 21 Sep 2018
AFlash PMIs
AA 12:30 CA- CPI/Retail Sales


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Thursday Trading Checklist 20 September 2018

Mtl JP 15:46 GMT September 19, 2018
Winners and Losers

Abel 14:32 it is better to trade vs discuss
"theory meets the road"

dc CB 15:33 GMT September 19, 2018
Tulips

It's more of a cmmnt on the state of the MaRK-IT, than a rec to short. Similar to the counfounding moves in and the high price of Elon Musk's bulletproof personnal piggy bank TSLA, This Canadian dude has created his own verson. when he took TLRY public this summer.

SToX --- esp FAANG stox are likewise structured. The original owners of those companies have already taken their billions out, so they now have nothing to lose--
Take with that. the fact that they are ALL 'democrats" and are now putting their companies into the service of "liberal/progressive" ideas, both in the US and Worldwide----You have been paying attention to all the "censorship" chatter, haven't you?? These Billionaires are more than ready to put their money where their mouth is.

My Stage 3 in the getting rid of Trump operation, has still not been triggered. Crash the Markets and Blame Trump.

Again these big players have got their money out and safely stashed. It's the little people riding the Trumpian Miracle that will be crushed. With so much money concentrated in a very few stock and with so much IRA/401K Pension money put in ETFs which are all again concentrated in those same 'safe" hi-perfromance stocks....U Do the Math.
IMHO

Mtl JP 15:32 GMT September 19, 2018
TRUMP

dc CB Thks. Could it go as far as President Trump actually walking into the office under guard protection, media lights, mikes and cameras trailing and start rifling through filing cabinets, make photocopies and hand them out to the newshounds ? Without shots being fired ?

Mtl JP 15:15 GMT September 19, 2018
Tulips

dc CB when will you be shorting ?

Mtl JP 15:15 GMT September 19, 2018
Tulips

dc CB when will you be shorting ?

dc CB 15:15 GMT September 19, 2018
TRUMP



JP, you asked about Odds the other day.
IMHO it's time to start paying attn to US election politics and put the Brexit BS aside. It's GAME-ON.
also (chart) last nite on MSNBC

FBI, DOJ To Defy Trump Order; Redactions Planned As Top 'Deep State' Dems Demand Insubordination

dc CB 15:03 GMT September 19, 2018
Tulips



Tulipllly Insane.
Market Cap Hits $20 Billion.

TLRY CEO Brendan Kennedy�s Privateer Holdings, holds more than 58 million of the total 76 million shares outstanding - BBG


Mtl JP 15:00 GMT September 19, 2018
Winners and Losers

now protecting usdcad 1.2980 short
looking for ~100 pips, maybe bit more

GVI 15:00 GMT September 19, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

Austria Chancellor Kurz: we need to reach a Brexit agreement; anything else would hurt both sides

- EU Negotiator Barnier has made a step toward the UK; we expect a reciprocal action from the UK

- Both sides will need to try to find compromise; I'm still optimistic

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Mtl JP 14:50 GMT September 19, 2018
CRUDE

I d have tot refinery maintenance is bullish for crude inventory
as it sits in pipeline as demand for crude should be lower during downtime
so price-wise: crude down (curr 70.10) as less places for it to flow

GVI Trader jay 14:49 GMT September 19, 2018
Must See: Think Like Our Algo, Trade Like a Pro

I am going to keep this simple and to the point.�We have perfected a� system to go along with the Amazing Trader and� are utilizing an education platform to make it available to you.

Watch the following video and then scroll below for a SPECIAL INTRODUCTORY OFFER

Must See: Think Like Our Algo, Trade Like a Pro

dc CB 14:46 GMT September 19, 2018
CRUDE

as noted on ZeroHed////////////////
We're coming into a tricky time of year when refinery maintenance is starting, which should be bearish for crude inventories. At the same time, throughput has been high for week and it's hard to judge when the maintenance will translate into a build.

Mtl JP 14:39 GMT September 19, 2018
Winners and Losers

usdcad 1.2980
short here, sl 1.30+

Jkt Abel 14:32 GMT September 19, 2018
Winners and Losers

Cheers JP, very ideal entry. We discussed about this 11650 being solid support

GVI Trader john 14:31 GMT September 19, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts






NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: -2.100 vs. -0.800 exp vs. -5.300 prev.
Distillates: +0.800 vs. +0.200 exp vs. -5.300 prev.
Gasoline: -1.700 vs. -0.500 exp vs. +1.300 prev.



Weekly Petroleum Status Report



TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 14:16 GMT September 19, 2018
Winners and Losers



EURDLR 1.1652
I am going long here
see chart why

Amman wfakhoury 14:14 GMT September 19, 2018
Very nice fall to make big profit 13195 and 13213 still active

Possible to drop the price to 13100 again.

GVI 13:04 GMT September 19, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

EU's Tusk: Brexit negotiations are entering a decisive phase - UK must rework proposals on Northern Ireland and future trade- There is more hope but less and less time - There is readiness to cooperate closely on certain issues

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Amman wfakhoury 12:59 GMT September 19, 2018
Very nice fall to make big profit 13195 and 13213 still active

For pro. traders only ..continue scalp buy till 13195 and 13213

GVI Forex Blog 12:47 GMT September 19, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Housing Starts And Permits Mixed in August 2018
Reply   
Housing Starts mixed in August 2018 after revisions.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Housing Starts And Permits Mixed in August 2018

PAR 12:37 GMT September 19, 2018
Russia
Reply   
Ruble getting stronger and stronger . Putin doing really a great job.
A tremendous success!

Amman wfakhoury 12:34 GMT September 19, 2018
Very nice fall to make big profit 13195 and 13213 still active



sorry to hear that >.I am doing well with the fall

GVI Trader john 12:33 GMT September 19, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. House Starts & Permits (000) August 2018




NEWS ALERT
Starts: 1.280 vs. 1.230 exp. vs. 1.170 (r 1.303) prev.
Permits: 1.230 vs. 1.300 exp. vs. 1.310 (r 1.311) prev.


New Residential Construction



TTN: Live News Special Offer



--------------


U.S. Current Account 2Q18 (USD bln)



ALERT
-101.5 vs. -103.0 exp. vs. -124.0 (-121.7) prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


Mtl JP 11:39 GMT September 19, 2018
Winners and Losers

Winners and Losers
---------------------
FWIW here is my take on Jay's Amazing Trader's epiphany:
(lest you think I get an endorsement fee: perish the thought)

A Brief Summary About Amazing Trader and
about trading opps (quotes pulled from Archive):
> AT not only gives you a strategy and patterns to trade but its trading lines give you levels to trade in all types of market conditions.
> AT always gives you a level and pattern to trade, no matter what the trend or market condition
> AT gives you trading opportunities all the time for all types of traders, whether a scalper, daytrader, swing trader or position trader. We even have a strategy for trading binary options.
> AT charts often presage market momentum shifts. AT support (red) and resistance (blue) levels can change before sentiment.
> Note how the news algos and CB speak are driving air pocket trading. This is where the Amazing Trader can be invaluable as it gives levels to trade against in what would otherwise seem like a black hole.
> the Amazing Trader is dynamic and gives you a clear picture of the structure of the market at any time.
> Take a look at the blue resistance line and how it checked the upside. It was drawn well in advance as a key level and is an example how Amazing Trader levels are amazing across all time frames.
> "The Amazing Trader if used correctly is one of the best tools one can use to trade. It truly gives you an idea of the different levels the market may hit in a bearish or bullish market when sometimes we have no clue. Most important it gives great entry and exit points."

The last point is , chronologically in the Archive, is one of the earlier ones Jay made.
I think, from my experience with AT, it is the best one.

It is a tuff offer to beat: comes with 30 day moneyback

HK RF@ 11:36 GMT September 19, 2018
Very nice fall to make big profit 13195 and 13213 still active
Reply   
:(((

:((((
Unfortunately deposit gone!!!!!!!!:((((

Amman wfakhoury 11:26 GMT September 19, 2018
GBPUSD scalp 13213

Very nice fall to make big profit 13195 and 13213 still active

Ternopil SMV 11:12 GMT September 19, 2018
GBPUSD scalp 13213

Unfotunately deposit gone!!!!!!!!

GVI 11:11 GMT September 19, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

UK PM May reportedly rejecting EU Barniers improved Irish Border offer - press - Reportedly set to reject as Mr Barnier has not dropped his insistence that NI to be treated as a separate customs jurisdiction from the rest of the UK.

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Amman wfakhoury 10:38 GMT September 19, 2018
GBPUSD scalp 13213

13195 reached

wfakhoury 09:55 GMT September 19, 2018
GBPUSD scalp 13213 -----zjYQA9qpsnz3j Content-Disposition: form-data; name="city" Amman

13195 and 13213 ..will be reached 100% ..trade accordingly.



The only one in the world who confirms the next level and every hour movement

Amman wfakhoury 09:36 GMT September 19, 2018
GBPUSD scalp 13213

you can enter at any price until 13213 reached.

GVI Trader john 09:29 GMT September 19, 2018
Must See: Think Like Our Algo, Trade Like a Pro

I am going to keep this simple and to the point.�We have perfected a� system to go along with the Amazing Trader and� are utilizing an education platform to make it available to you.

Watch the following video and then scroll below for a SPECIAL INTRODUCTORY OFFER

Must See: Think Like Our Algo, Trade Like a Pro

Amman wfakhoury 09:10 GMT September 19, 2018
GBPUSD scalp 13213

13213 still active 13195 first

GVI Trader john 09:08 GMT September 19, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 19 September 2018

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:


POSITIVE

Spot EURUSD: 1.1700
Pivot Point: 1.1653

This Week: 1.1618-1.1718
Wed: 1.1656-1.1715
Tue: 1.1652-1.1724
Mon: 1.1618-1.1698
Fri: 1.1623-1.1721

20-day avg: 1.1629
50-day avg: 1.1605
100-day avg: 1.1673
200-day avg: 1.1950

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Fed 25bp hike odds for Sep 26: 100% (100%), and for Dec 19 (second 25bp hike): 74% (70%).

10-yr Bonds
US: 3.065% +2.8bp
DE: 0.496% +1.5bp
GB: 1.609% +3.9bp
JP: 0.121% +0.6bp

DAX: +25
Implied Open
DJ: +24
SP: +0.1




See the Amazing Trader Live!



Ternopil SMV 09:08 GMT September 19, 2018
GBPUSD scalp 13213

Still active?

Amman wfakhoury 08:42 GMT September 19, 2018
GBPUSD scalp 13213
Reply   
scalp buy hurry

jkt abel 08:42 GMT September 19, 2018
sell usd
Reply   
goodie

Jkt Abel 13:52 GMT September 17, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:: Reply
Above 13150 heading to 13290

Jkt Abel 02:16 GMT September 11, 2018
BREXIT: Reply
So how do we take advantage of this AL? Buy cable for 1.38-1.40?

GVI Forex Blog 08:42 GMT September 19, 2018
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. CPI Much Higher Than Estimates In August 2018
Reply   

U.K. CPI and RPIX chart

U.K. Headline August 2018 y/y CPI much than expected +2.70% rise. RPIX +3.40% y/y.

BREAKING NEWS: U.K. CPI Much Higher Than Estimates In August 2018

Amman wfakhoury 08:40 GMT September 19, 2018
GBPUSD 13175 for scalpers



Here the scalping after data movement

GVI Trader john 08:34 GMT September 19, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

CPI much hotter than expected. GBP higher.

GVI Trader john 08:32 GMT September 19, 2018
BREAKING NEWS:

U.K. CPI August 2018

U.K. Charts





-- NEWS ALERT --

CPI m/m: 0.70% vs. 0.50% exp. vs. 0.00% prev.
CPI y/y: +2.70% vs. +2.40% exp. vs. +2.50% prev.




TTN: Live News Special Offer

Ternopil SMV 08:28 GMT September 19, 2018
GBPUSD 13175 for scalpers

PERFECT!!!!

Amman wfakhoury 08:27 GMT September 19, 2018
GBPUSD 13175 for scalpers



13175 reached ..and here is the art of scalping



The only one in the world who confirms the next level and every hour movement

london red 08:26 GMT September 19, 2018
GBPUSD 13175 for scalpers

13175 reached well done, but now double top long wicks on hourlies. not sure we can move higher (100dma) without +ve salzburg news

GVI Forex Blog 08:22 GMT September 19, 2018
Wednesday Trading Checklist 19 September 2018
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
Wed 19 Sep 2018
AA 03:00 GB- Bank of Japan Decision
AA 08:30 GB- CPI
A 12:30 US- House Permits/Starts
B 12:30 US- Current Account
A 14:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 20 Sep 2018
AA 06:30 CH- Swiss National Bank Decision
AA 08:30 GB- Retail Sales
A 12:30 US- Philly Fed/LEI
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
Fri 21 Sep 2018
AFlash PMIs
AA 12:30 CA- CPI/Retail Sales


John M. Bland, MBA
co-founding Partner, Global-View.com

Wednesday Trading Checklist 19 September 2018

Amman wfakhoury 07:51 GMT September 19, 2018
GBPUSD 13175 for scalpers
Reply   
13175 will be reached ..scalp buy.

PAR 06:57 GMT September 19, 2018
USDJPY
Reply   
Trumps golfing buddy Abe may manipulate the Japanese yen as much as he wants ?

PAR 06:55 GMT September 19, 2018
BREXIT
Reply   
Looks like at the moment only France and Germany decide on the Brexit deal and the rest of Europe ( Italy , Spain , The Netherlands etc ) have no influence .

I guess it doesn't work like that .

PAR 06:19 GMT September 19, 2018
USDTRY
Reply   
Sell USDTRY @ 6.4000 .

PAR 06:09 GMT September 19, 2018
EURUSD
Reply   
Sell EURUSD @ 1.1630 stop . Brexit less smooth than Barnier says .
May will side step Barnier as she has enough of him .

Let's see .

jkt abel 03:11 GMT September 19, 2018
Winners and Losers

yes kl fs, buy dips scaling in can be tried IMO

kl fs 02:59 GMT September 19, 2018
Winners and Losers

euro seems bottoming in this 1.15-1.16 for mid term

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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