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Forex Forum Archive for 01/29/2019

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Livingston nh 23:52 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

There's a choice for the EU -- Ireland doesn't want a time limit on Backstop but if the EU doesn't concede that point UK is out in March w/o any backstop -- Ireland and the North both take this possibility very seriously - so seriously that Ireland may need to negotiate a separate peace - an EU nightmare

So EU do ya feel lucky?

Cable test thru 1.31 tomorrow when markets open

HK [email protected] 23:26 GMT January 29, 2019
GBP/USD last two days candle raising Q. until where correction may go.
Reply   
.
Especially when hitting a long term Res. Zone(1.32 to 1.33).

london red 21:45 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

for eu its about survival. any compromise here gives others in the future (italy?) food for thought. you cant have anyone leaving. thats rule a. rule b is see rule a. rule c is, if they do leave, they must be visibly crippled to avoid others taking same route.

GVI Trader john 21:43 GMT January 29, 2019
Wednesday Trading Checklist 30 January 2019

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:
NEUTRAL
Spot EURUSD: 1.1433
Pivot Point: 1.1432

This Week: 1.1390-1.1450
Tue: 1.1412-1.1450
Mon: 1.1390-1.1446

Fri: 1.1289-1.1351
Thu: 1.1289-1.1391

20-day avg: 1.1412
50-day avg: 1.1389
100-day avg: 1.1449
200-day avg: 1.1570

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Odds 25bp funds hike on Jan 30, 2019 = 0% (0%).


See the Amazing Trader Live!

Mtl JP 21:24 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

red u think from EU point it is about economics ?
I more inclined it is about a modern day castle for the princes - economics is just a smokescreen
resistance is futile assimilation is certain EU moto - remember barnier

Mtl JP 21:18 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

exactly two months to Britain leaving the EU on march 29th
can t come fast nuff

london red 21:17 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

eu wants to push the uk into no brexit or at least a second referendum. they are likely to hold this no movement stance until the eleventh hour, at which point a no deal brexit may get too much to bare, as while the uk will suffer more initially certainly, the eu will not get thru it without significant unheavel, gdp reducing unheavel, likely pushing many of the group into recessions.

GVI Forex Blog 21:10 GMT January 29, 2019
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 29 January 2019
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 29 January 2019

Mtl JP 21:06 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

Ladies and gents .. take your position and place your bets:

A spokesman for the European Council President Donald Tusk has tonight said that the backstop is part of the Withdrawal Agreement and the Withdrawal Agreement is not open for renegotiation.

"The Withdrawal Agreement is and remains the best and only way to ensure an orderly withdrawal of the United Kingdom from the European Union.

"The backstop is part of the Withdrawal Agreement, and the Withdrawal Agreement is not open for re-negotiation. The December European Council conclusions are very clear on this point.

"We will continue our preparations for all outcomes, including a no-deal scenario. We will also continue the EU's process of ratification of the agreement reached with the UK Government," said the statement.

Mtl JP 21:02 GMT January 29, 2019
Brexit Updates -- GBPUSD moves lower

the eu princes are sly
many hundreds of years of machinations intrigue in their genes
not to be underestimated
as should be sly the british too (should)

london red 20:54 GMT January 29, 2019
Brexit Updates -- GBPUSD moves lower

brady got thru cooper failed but that aside, may can now throw ball into eu court. if eu fails to move, it essentially owns moving everyone towards the no deal door.

Livingston nh 20:49 GMT January 29, 2019
Brexit Updates -- GBPUSD moves lower

So NOW PM May armed w/ a landslide 16 vote mandate can convince the EU (already rejected Brady earlier) that the only DEAL available must be renegotiated --- ??

Mtl JP 20:48 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

to get a 5 or 10% move would probably require a solid headline of no deal brexit

Mtl JP 20:43 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

10-15-20 pip blast up / down
gunslingers r in heaven

GVI Forex 20:41 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

Brady amendment passes.

Mtl JP 20:35 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

close under 200day
would change tech bias

GVI Forex 20:34 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

Chatter is the Btady amendment will pass by a small margin (seen as a loss for the government)

GVI Jay 20:25 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

Double bottom at 1.3064

The Amazing Trader

Livingston nh 20:23 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

Ruling out No Deal is not up to UK -- the EU have to compromise but the Irish tail will start wagging Barnier et al
The EUR will get its turn

Mtl JP 20:22 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

red - as an aside do u think teresa is having fun and relishes what she does or is she aging prematurely

Mtl JP 20:19 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

non-binding ...
also known as advisory

london red 20:19 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

its indicitive of how mps will vote come mid feb when may is expected to return from eu. any cooper type binding amendment will likely go thru then. this spelman one is essentially a free vote allowing tory mps to say what they think (ie no wanting no deal) without doing damage to gov.

GVI Forex 20:15 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

GBPUSD moving up ahead of it even though as you say it is non binding.

london red 20:13 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

sterling could spike initially on this but since non binding wouldnt expect it to hold on to all gains.

london red 20:12 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

spelman one that could squeeze thru. rules out no deal but its non binding

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 20:06 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

Amazing Trader key support is at GBPUSD 1.3061 vs. 1.3064 low

The Amazing Trader

Mtl JP 20:06 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

200day point = low risk trade

Mtl JP 19:58 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

GBP 200 day 1.3071

GVI Forex 19:58 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

14:56 (UK) Pound moves to lows after UK lawmakers reject Cooper amendment to Brexit deal

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Mtl JP 19:49 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

trading GBP while voting goes on
means one s got to be fast to react

GVI Forex 19:49 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

Chatter is Cooper amendment will fail

Mtl JP 19:47 GMT January 29, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist

nh - IF jerome FED gang harps over that they are patient ...
what would the market take it to mean : 3 - 4 months worth ?
and then there is the reaction to figure out
and trade

GVI Jay 19:44 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

tks Red for keeping us updated

london red 19:43 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

grieve shot down, but very close. would have given MP's a free reign in terms of indictive votes. cooper nxt, this is a big one in terms of movement of sterling.

london red 19:27 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

the key ones are brady (now officially stamped by may) and cooper. cooper taking essentially power away from may by allow mp's to put forward and vote on legislation. this amendment would also delay brexit for up to a year if nothing has been agreed by feb 26, essentially taking no deal off the table. this amendment would boost sterling the most i would expect. brady getting through is less positive since no deal is still on the table and requires may to go back to the eu, something the eu has said today it will not revisit.

Mtl JP 19:18 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

corbyn rejected.. poof

Mtl JP 19:14 GMT January 29, 2019
haha u must be jesting ?
and then the trader lived happily forever thereafter

GVI Jay 19:05 GMT January 29, 2019
JP, what is so hard to see. You have two accounts. You are short EURUSD in broker #1 when the platform goes down and cannot trade. Market moves your way and you take profit in broker #2 by buying EURUSD. When broker #1 platform goes back online you unwind the positions.

Not ideal but using broker #2 as a backup.

Mtl JP 19:01 GMT January 29, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist

careful of the source....

Why the Fed may not announce a change to its balance sheet plan on Wednesday

MarketWatch

london red 19:00 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

speaker bercow starts the voting. first up corbyn amendment. likely to fail.

Mtl JP 19:00 GMT January 29, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist

careful of the source....

Why the Fed may not announce a change to its balance sheet plan on Wednesday

MarketWatch

Mtl JP 18:58 GMT January 29, 2019
two independent brokers... I do not understand how
can u explain in detail how that works plz
tia

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 18:55 GMT January 29, 2019
I can;t speak for the trader but if one platform goes down and you are stuck in a position you can manage it by trading using the other broker.

Mtl JP 18:42 GMT January 29, 2019
not asking about Oanda
-
I m curious how accounts at two different independent shops protect you from anything - seems a novel concept to me

GVI Jay 18:37 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

Thanks Red. 1.3071 = 200 day mva. Posted daily on

FX Chart Points

london red 18:34 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

looking for 200dma to hold on a closing basis on cable. not had a test since break higher, ought to happen this wk...

GVI Forex 18:34 GMT January 29, 2019
JP, that post is for the broker review section

Mtl JP 18:31 GMT January 29, 2019
NY Trader re oanda and
I am opening an account with that broker to protect me if Oanda’s platform goes down again.
-
does that mean you mirror your trades between the two bucket shops ?
or
how exactly does opening an account with that broker protect you and from what in specific detail ?

GVI Forex Blog 18:26 GMT January 29, 2019
Wednesday Trading Checklist 29 January 2019
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium



Wed 30 Jan 2019
A 12:15 US- ADP Payrolls
A 15:00 US- EIA Crude
A 14:00 US- Fed Decision
Thu 31 Jan 2019
A 07:00 DE- Retail Sales
A 08:55 DE- Employment
A 10:00 EZ- GDP
A 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 15:00 US- Personal Income/PCE
Fri 1 Fed 2019
A all day Flash PMIs
AA 08:30 US- Employment
A 10:00 EZ- GDP


Wednesday Trading Checklist 29 January 2019

Oanda Reviews 18:05 GMT January 29, 2019 Reply   

A Broker Review for Oanda has just been added.

Mtl JP 17:44 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

GBP sub 1.3130/28 next trgt 1.3115 under that 1.3080

london red 17:37 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

ERG brexit group meeting in half an hour to decide whether to support Brady amendment. It does appear very likely that they will as it kicks the can towards the cut off date and does put the hot potato in the hands of the EU - it would be the EU that would be the side now refusing to move after months of wanting the UK to crystalise its position.

GVI Forex 17:26 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

12:25 (UK) Northern Ireland's DUP Dep Leader Dodds: party will now support the Brady amendment

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Mtl JP 17:12 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

nh maybe u played my 14:54 trade

Mtl JP 17:06 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

nh usdcad is a lemming atm
tried to go sub 1.3250 support on that confidence release
went a bit and saw no interest
so retrieved to the whiski drinking corner

Livingston nh 17:03 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

jp - been short and shorter on Cable -- dumped a few a bit above 1.27 but short above 1.2850 and up as range expanded// tempted to reduce but AIR Pocket moves beckon

worse than CAD now

dc CB 16:42 GMT January 29, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist

Gold. Back in the day, the FMOC under Ben and Gammy, meeting weeks always included a Real Good Wacking of Gold and Silver.
So whot's changed? O Yeh --- cud it be?

dc CB 16:16 GMT January 29, 2019
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Conference Board Survey Weaker And Misses Estimates For January2019

no matter what the FOMC does tom, in the next 20 days this is still going to happen.
QT, TBonds and TNotes
*Jan 31 - $12bln
***Feb 15 - $44bln.

SOMA

GVI Forex 16:12 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

11:11 (UK) EU's Juncker reportedly reiterated to Prime Min May that no Brexit deal renegotiations are possible and Brady amendment will not work

- Source TradeTheNews.com

london red 16:10 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

buy gbp dips until we get to no deal stage. at that point let it settle then buy the dip. in meantime mkt will fall over itself to buy gbp dips since it believes no deal is next to impossible and a second referendum getting more possible. regardless of what happens, this is what the mkt presently belives.

Mtl JP 15:27 GMT January 29, 2019
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Conference Board Survey Weaker And Misses Estimates For January2019

john.. I see it differently
twas related to the furlough
no big deal - not tradable

players in a lull waiting for jerome

GVI Trader john 15:22 GMT January 29, 2019
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Conference Board Survey Weaker And Misses Estimates For January 2019

Not a positive picture for U.S. Economy Ahead of the Fed tomorrow.

GVI Forex Blog 15:20 GMT January 29, 2019
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Conference Board Survey Weaker And Misses Estimates For January2019
Reply   
Conference Board data for January 2019 misses expectations. Prior Data revised down.

Conference Board Survey Chart

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Conference Board Survey Weaker And Misses Estimates For January2019

Mtl JP 15:14 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

nh - then try to short the gbp
until next ~ good ~ news
as the pound continues to be tied to Brexit s twists

Livingston nh 15:09 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

Seems to me there is nothing of substance in the Parliament amendments relative to the EU position -- more time ? to what end? -- there is no PLAN except more negotiation

GVI Trader john 15:01 GMT January 29, 2019
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. Conference Board Survey January 2019




NEWS ALERT
120.2 vs. 125.0 exp. vs. 128.1 (r 126.6) prev.

RELEASE: Consumer Confidence Data



TTN: Live News Special Offer



Mtl JP 14:56 GMT January 29, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist



forgot sell GBP supporting chart

Mtl JP 14:54 GMT January 29, 2019
GBP 1.3178
I ll be selling 1.32 / 1.3205 / 1.3210 if seen
trgt 1.3130/28

Amman wfakhoury 14:51 GMT January 29, 2019
GBPUSD Brexit vote signal

13170 reached several times .
13200 confirmed will be reached

The only one in the world who confirms the next level and every hour movement

Mtl JP 14:49 GMT January 29, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist

players probably sipping whisky as they play w/jerome and gang

Mtl JP 14:42 GMT January 29, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist

DJIA uP by skin of teeth

Mtl JP 14:33 GMT January 29, 2019
BREAKING NEWS:

BUT .... to trade the gbp
as long as there is some sign that UK will not hard brexit
players push GBP uP

Mtl JP 14:29 GMT January 29, 2019
BREAKING NEWS:

basically teresa wants to negotiate some more w/the european princes
she does not appear to realize how strong a hand she has

london red 14:17 GMT January 29, 2019
BREAKING NEWS:

Brady and Cooper amendments chosen by Bercow. No Graham amendment, something May was being drawn to.

PAR 14:12 GMT January 29, 2019
EUROPE

Time to elect some real leaders in may.

GVI Trader john 14:00 GMT January 29, 2019
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. Case Shiller-20 November 2019

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT
4.68%vs. 5.00% exp. vs. +5.00% prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer

PAR 13:59 GMT January 29, 2019
EUROPE
Reply   
The only club in the world where members who leave think they have more to say and more power than members who stay member .

INSANE

GVI 13:51 GMT January 29, 2019
BREAKING NEWS:

Commons Speaker Bercow on Brexit amendments to be voted on - Source TradeTheNews.com

London Trader 13:49 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

wtf happened in gbp? Brexit news or an algo reacting to a keyword? Haven;t seen anything here.

Mtl JP 13:41 GMT January 29, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist

US stocks looking to open tiny bit uP

london red 13:34 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

they will vote on amendments followed by mays deal. vote C is one of many amendments on offer. even if amendments get through that give parliament say on order of business after today, its not binding. and at the end of the day, anything the MP's vote for must be agreed on by the EU, for it to have any weight. art50 revoke is the only unilateral option the uk has. even a second ref or GE would require an extension from the EU, which must be unanimous.

Mtl JP 13:20 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

voting on something they call plan C
google it if u want more specs

Mtl JP 12:53 GMT January 29, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist



paper Gold
at Res pt
-
when Gold uP = usd DOwn

Amman wfakhoury 12:49 GMT January 29, 2019
GBPUSD Brexit vote signal
Reply   
13170 is strong consolidation level ..any rise or decline will return to it.
Buy below it add buy
sell above it ..add sell
movement 100-120 pips

The only one in the world who confirms the next level and every hour movement

GVI Trader john 12:30 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

They are voting on amendments to the Brexit bill.

Dubai MA 12:23 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

What is the meaning of the Brexit vote today?

GVI Trader john 11:54 GMT January 29, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!


GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND Bias:
NEUTRAL
Spot EURUSD: 1.1433
Pivot Point: 1.1421

This Week: 1.1390-1.1450
Tue: 1.1420-1.1450
Mon: 1.1390-1.1446

Fri: 1.1289-1.1351
Thu: 1.1289-1.1391

20-day avg: 1.1412
50-day avg: 1.1387
100-day avg: 1.1451
200-day avg: 1.1574

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Odds 25bp funds hike on Jan 30, 2019 = 0% (0%).

DAX: +8
Implied Open
DJ: -58
SP: -3.5



See the Amazing Trader Live!

PAR 11:47 GMT January 29, 2019
APPLE HUAWEI
Reply   
Apple lobbying for more sanctions against Huawei ?

Apple investing more in financial engineering than in technical engineering . IPhones are losing against the Chinese and Korean competition . That's a fact .

GVI Forex 11:39 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT

06:16 (UK) Northern Ireland DUP Leader Foster said back the Malthouse Compromise for the Brexit plan which lays out an alternative to the backstop - financial press - Proposal is comprised of two parts.

- Plan A is to reopen the Withdrawal Agreement and renegotiate the backstop. This would see May go back to Brussels and attempt to transform the backstop into the version set out in a Brexiterr report last year.
- The transition period would also then be extended so there was more time to agree the future relationship.

- Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI Trader john 11:13 GMT January 29, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium


Tue 29 Jan 2019
A 15:00 US- CB Consumer Confidence
Wed 30 Jan 2019
A 12:15 US- ADP Payrolls
A 15:30 US- EIA Crude
A 14:00 US- Fed Decision
Thu 31 Jan 2019
A 07:00 DE- Retail Sales
A 08:55 DE- Employment
A 10:00 EZ- GDP
A 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 15:00 US- Personal Income/PCE
Fri 1 Fed 2019
A all day Flash PMIs
AA 08:30 US- Employment
A 10:00 EZ- GDP


Mtl JP 10:29 GMT January 29, 2019
CHINA

re the two sides remain sharply divided.
only because one - choose - side is not suffering nuff yet to tap the floor (concede)

PAR 10:13 GMT January 29, 2019
CHINA
Reply   
Big Divides Remain as U.S.-China Trade Talks Resume
Cabinet-level delegations from the U.S. and China will resume trade negotiations Wednesday, but early indications are that the two sides remain sharply divided.

PAR 07:52 GMT January 29, 2019
BREXIT
Reply   
UK European parliamentarians don' t want to lose their well paid jobs .

Let's delay Brexit till after the European elections .

May just wants to stay a little longer in power . Let's delay Brexiy.

Europe is powerless and clueless. Let's kick the UK out of the club before they ask for new membership with more goodies .

haifa ac 05:46 GMT January 29, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist

Watch Chicago.

“The dreaded polar vortex. It is back…It will feel like -48 in Chicago [on Wednesday].” @alroker has the latest on the deep freeze impacting millions

https://twitter.com/TODAYshow/status/1089857608792657923

Mtl JP 05:30 GMT January 29, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist



usdcad
I am gunning for 1.3180 and the 200day
while the blue lines hold res

USA JW 00:48 GMT January 29, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist

risk off

USA JW 00:48 GMT January 29, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist

Is this contributing to ridknoff in Asia?

U.S. charges China's Huawei with bank fraud, stealing trade secrets

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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