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Forex Forum Archive for 04/1/2019

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
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GVI Forex Jay Meisler 21:38 GMT April 1, 2019
Amazing Trader Says...

AT has 6 layers of supports from 1.2976-1.3026 so this is the zone. So far the top of it is holding.

The Amazing Trader

london red 21:31 GMT April 1, 2019
Amazing Trader Says...

wait for it to bottom out, mkt will continue to buy dips in hope hard brexit will be avoided...200dma key sup

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 21:25 GMT April 1, 2019
Amazing Trader Says...
Reply   
Trading GBP is like being in the Twilight Zone. The only one who can make sense of it is the Amazing Trader.

The Amazing Trader

GVI 21:09 GMT April 1, 2019
BREAKING NEWS:

Parliament rejects all motions; Brexit Min Barclay: Default positions continues to be UK to leave EU in 11 days; still will seek a deal - Motion 'C' calls for the govt to negotiate a permanent Customs Union; Votes 273 in favor, 276 against- Motion 'D' calls for govt to seek an enhanced Norway-style Brexit deal, known as 'Common Market 2.0' ; Votes 261 in favor, 282 against - Motion 'E' calls for a confirmatory referendum to approve the Brexit deal; Votes 280 in favor, 292 against - Motion 'G' calls for the govt to revoke Article 50 as a last resort to prevent a 'no deal' Brexit ('emergency break' motion); Votes 191 in favor, 292 against

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Mtl JP 21:08 GMT April 1, 2019
Monday Trading Checklist 1 April 2019

Trader 15:00 time to redefine "leap"
*,-,*

london red 21:06 GMT April 1, 2019
Monday Trading Checklist 1 April 2019

mays mv3 got the most votes compared to this lot.

Livingston nh 20:57 GMT April 1, 2019
Monday Trading Checklist 1 April 2019

10 mins to go-- still everything up to EU

london red 20:50 GMT April 1, 2019
Monday Trading Checklist 1 April 2019

dup said to have voted against all 4 options, rather than abstained as was expected earlier in the day. this boosts all reject votes by 10 across the board. air does appear to be leaving the balloon. CU vote going to be v close, some talk now of a minor victory for rejection.

Mtl JP 20:21 GMT April 1, 2019
Monday Trading Checklist 1 April 2019

personally , in 10 minutes, I am not going to listen to

Poloz presser and Q&A

Mtl JP 20:17 GMT April 1, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist

that SnP is a TYPO
s/b +32.79

Mtl JP 20:15 GMT April 1, 2019
BREAKING NEWS:

practical and meaningful news:

"Amazon Cuts More Prices at Whole Foods"
- WSJ 32 mins ago

GVI Trader john 20:08 GMT April 1, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist

Late
DJ: +330
SP: +338

10-yr
US: 2.492% +7.8
DE: -0.024% +0.2
UK: 1.047% +0.1

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!
GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND:

NEGATIVE
Spot EURUSD: 1.1211
Pivot Point: 1.1222

Last Week 1.1210-1.1333 (123 pips)
Mon: 1.1204-1.1250 (46)

Fri: 1.1210-1.1248 (38)
Thu: 1.1215-1.1263 (48)
Wed: 1.1242-1.1286 (31)

20-day avg: 1.1293
50-day avg: 1.1334
100-day avg: 1.1360
200-day avg: 1.1466

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Next FOMC Odds 25bp funds rate change (+/-) on May 1, 2019 = 0% (0%)



GVI Forex Jay Meisler 20:04 GMT April 1, 2019
BREAKING NEWS:

BBC just reported the results will come out in well over an hour

6 hour cabinet meeting tomorrow

GVI Forex Jay Meisler 20:01 GMT April 1, 2019
BREAKING NEWS:

BBC just reported the results will come out in about 1-1/2 hours

GVI Forex Blog 19:19 GMT April 1, 2019
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 1 April 2019
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 1 April 2019

Mtl JP 19:15 GMT April 1, 2019
BREAKING NEWS:

as I have posted before , this PhD U Of Wstrn Ont will hold a presser at 16:30NYT w/Q&A

One thing , regardless of who should be held accountable for the "stricter mortgage guidelines" that are giving real-estate an indigestion, one thing is for sure:
Poloz aint going hugry tonite and
his paycheck on Friday is a sure thing

Mtl JP 19:05 GMT April 1, 2019
BREAKING NEWS:

from the horses paper:

..."it is clear that the global economy is performing less well than we believed only a few months ago, and Canada is feeling the effects. In addition, our housing sector is taking longer than previously expected to digest the combined effects of stricter mortgage guidelines and higher interest rates.

That is why we said at our last interest rate announcement in March that the economic outlook continues to warrant a policy interest rate that is below the neutral range, to help the economy work through this downshift in growth and keep inflation close to target...."

link

GVI 18:57 GMT April 1, 2019
BREAKING NEWS:

Bank of Canada (BOC) Gov Poloz: period of below-potential growth will be transitory; outlook continues to warrant rates below neutral rate - Sees many areas of encouraging economic growth- Despite challenges faced by the Canadian oil industry; energy products remain Canada's number one export category - Clear signs that Canada is adjusting to challenges- Global economy doing worse than expected a few months ago; Canada is feeling the effects - Source TradeTheNews.com

Mtl JP 18:51 GMT April 1, 2019
Monday Trading Checklist 1 April 2019



usdcad 1.3305
with 5 minutes to the release of Poloz's paper that he will be reading at 15:10

yellow = 100dma
gold = 50dma

GVI 18:49 GMT April 1, 2019
BREAKING NEWS:

Northern Ireland's DUP's Wilson: DUP won't support any alternative Brexit options today - Source TradeTheNews.com

GVI 18:48 GMT April 1, 2019
BREAKING NEWS:

Labour Brexit spokesperson Starmer: Labour Party will support motions on customs union, public vote, and Common Market 2.0 - Labour will vote against SNP's Motion G to block 'no deal' Brexit

- Source TradeTheNews.com

london red 18:39 GMT April 1, 2019
Monday Trading Checklist 1 April 2019

its looking like CU, C2.0, then ref in that order (there is also the revoke option if no deal). if none of the 4 options gets a majority it will create more chaos but in a way will give life to mays deal, so they would still buy the dip tomorrow i expect. however, its looking like CU is going to get a majority although I believe its much closer than was thought earlier in the day.

london red 18:25 GMT April 1, 2019
Monday Trading Checklist 1 April 2019

yes its a sure thing, but its only indicative at this stage, they cannot force the pm to go to the eu with it yet, but that would be their next step.

Mtl JP 18:12 GMT April 1, 2019
Monday Trading Checklist 1 April 2019

to help cope with the overwhelming challenge
of how to trade BoC Poloz speech:

USCDCAD 1.3312
100dma: 1.3322 -- what should have been Support
is now POOF!

GVI Trader john 17:40 GMT April 1, 2019
Monday Trading Checklist 1 April 2019

Hearing Parliamentary voting is set to commence at 20:00 BST, or 15:00 EDT. Please let me know if I have this wrong.

GVI Trader john 17:28 GMT April 1, 2019
Tuesday Trading Checklist
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 2 Apr 2019
A all day Final PMIs
AA 01:30 AU- RBA Decision
AA 11:00- EZ- flash HICP
AA 12:30- US- Durable Goods
Wed 3 Apr 2019
A all day Final PMIs
A 12:15- US- ADP Jobs
A 13:15 US- ADP Payrolls
A 16:00 EZ- EIA Crude
Thu 4 Apr 2019
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 5 Apr 2019
AA 13:30 US/CA- Employment


NY JM 17:08 GMT April 1, 2019
Monday Trading Checklist 1 April 2019

Red are you saying odds are 1:4 that the customs union vote will pass? That is as close to s sure thing then??

dc CB 16:51 GMT April 1, 2019
Monday Trading Checklist 1 April 2019

forum needs an april fool joke

it was set up on Friday. hahahahahahahaha
(Sell SToX - Buy Bonds. It's Over)
*****National Economic Council chairman Larry Kudlow said Friday he thinks the Federal Reserve should immediately cut interest rates by 50 basis points**********

MarkIT Watch - DowJone Prop-O-ganda

london red 16:43 GMT April 1, 2019
Monday Trading Checklist 1 April 2019

fwiw odds on (1/4) for customs union to get majority this is why sterlibg has steadily moved higher all day. Today its only indicative but there is a procedure to force may to go with any result to the eu. so mkt believes in a softer brexit.

GVI 16:26 GMT April 1, 2019
BREAKING NEWS:

Parliament Speaker Bercow selects motions C, D, E, and G for indicative votes tonight - Motion 'C' calls for the govt to negotiate a permanent Customs Union - Motion 'D' calls for govt to seek an enhanced Norway-style Brexit deal, known as 'Common Market 2.0' - Motion 'E' calls for a confirmatory referendum to approve the Brexit deal - Motion 'G' calls for the govt to revoke Article 50 as a last resort to prevent a 'no deal' Brexit ('emergency break' motion

- Source TradeTheNews.com

Mtl JP 15:24 GMT April 1, 2019
Monday Trading Checklist 1 April 2019

re poloz trade plan

what if you knew that he will be talking like an "on the other hand" typical economist, in other words out of both corners of his mouth cautiously optimistic ?

London Trader 15:00 GMT April 1, 2019
Monday Trading Checklist 1 April 2019

April fools joke is on anyone who is short gbp.

I am watching local news and cannot find anything triggering this leap to the upside but eurgbo says it is brexit related floiw.

dc CB 14:58 GMT April 1, 2019
Monday Trading Checklist 1 April 2019

Guess Justin Trudeau learned nothing from why the Yellow Vests have been in the streets for, what is it now, 21 weekends and counting.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
*Prime Minister Justin Trudeauís carbon tax went into effect in four Canadian provinces Monday.
*Canadian drivers raced to the pumps Sunday to fill up their tanks before gas prices spiked 12 cents per gallon.
*Ontario Premier Doug Ford and other conservatives oppose the carbon tax.

Canadian drivers raced to gas stations to fill up their tanks Sunday before the Trudeau administrationís carbon tax went into effect at midnight and raised prices at the pump roughly 12 cents per gallon.

The carbon tax went into effect Monday in four Canadian provinces resisting Prime Minister Justin Trudeauís climate change agenda. Canadians in Ontario, Manitoba, New Brunswick and Saskatchewan will see fuel prices increase.
The carbon tax is part of Trudeauís plan to cut Canadaís carbon footprint in line with the Paris climate accord. Trudeauís plan calls for levying a federal carbon tax on Canadian provinces that donít already price emissions.

Mtl JP 14:42 GMT April 1, 2019
Monday Trading Checklist 1 April 2019

forum needs an april fool joke

dc CB 14:34 GMT April 1, 2019
Monday Trading Checklist 1 April 2019

I actually posted it last week

Mtl JP 14:31 GMT April 1, 2019
Monday Trading Checklist 1 April 2019

it is poof !
got to post earlier bro
-
10-yr 2.479
3-mnt 2.391

dc CB 14:20 GMT April 1, 2019
Monday Trading Checklist 1 April 2019



This Gap is for you JP

GVI Trader john 14:16 GMT April 1, 2019
BREAKING NEWS:

10s 2.472% post ISM PMI.

GVI Trader john 14:13 GMT April 1, 2019
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI March 2019

U.S. Data Charts




News ALERT

55.3 vs. 54.6 exp. vs. 54.2 prev.
RELEASE: ISM Manufacturing PMI


TTN: Live News Special Offer

dc CB 14:12 GMT April 1, 2019
Monday Trading Checklist 1 April 2019

This past Wednesday morning 5 Year US Treas Futures - ZFM(june), traded at 116 14. 5Y Futures just tagged 115 18

That is a HUGE HUGE HUGE move on the "simple" change in attitude, that 'no Virginia', the Great Depression II is not here!!!

Or was there a Collusion, nay dare I say a CONspriacy to drive rates to Unpossible Lows for the $100++BLN that the Treas Auctioned off last week. Naaa cudn't be these people a "honest".

Mtl JP 13:48 GMT April 1, 2019
Monday Trading Checklist 1 April 2019



john 12:59 re poloz:

in Baffin Regional Chamber of Commerce and Nunavut Mining Symposium, Iqaluit, NU
(I guess where he yaks does not matter - 2085Km North of Ottawa, by plane only)
15:10 (ET)
Remarks will be published on the Bankís website at 14:55 (ET).
Live audio and video webcasts of the speech will be available on the Bankís website.
There will be press conference following this event. - BoC website

-
Maybe the calendar maker deliberately preceded the chronological order of the text (at 14:55 (ET) with the speech which is scheduled for 15:10 (ET) to make taking advantage by market participants of his yak on the topic of TRADE as rocky as possible.

Presser and Q&A at 16:30pm ET

Pray tell: what is your trade plan for the "key speech"
tia

GVI Trader john 13:45 GMT April 1, 2019
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. Markit final Mfg PMI March 2019





ALERT
52.4 vs. 52.5 exp. vs. 52.5 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer


GVI Trader john 13:31 GMT April 1, 2019
BREAKING NEWS:

RBC Markit PMI March 2019




ALERT
50.5 vs. n/a exp. vs. 52.6 prev.

Mtl JP 13:15 GMT April 1, 2019
BREAKING NEWS:

next thing having trade-able potential is
US ISM Mfg PMI 54.6 54.2
at 10:00NYT

Why? Because ISM tells the tale of activity by buyers in the manufacturing sector.

release above 50 = buying is uP
Just need to see a rising trend however
to also see USD posi-reaction
from the fundy-trading algo

Livingston nh 13:11 GMT April 1, 2019
BREAKING NEWS:

Dec retail sales dragged down Q4 Gdp - so far first 2 mos of Q1 are better than last year ~2.2% -- see what March brings

GVI Trader john 12:59 GMT April 1, 2019
Monday Trading Checklist 1 April 2019

Later today BOC Gov Poloz speaks at 14:55 EDT. Seen as a key speech.

GVI Forex Blog 12:54 GMT April 1, 2019
BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Retail Sales For February 2019 Weak, but Mixed
Reply   

U.S. Retail Sales
U.S. Advance Retail Sales for February 2019 miss. Previous data revised higher.

BREAKING NEWS: U.S. Retail Sales For February 2019 Weak, but Mixed

Mtl JP 12:54 GMT April 1, 2019
BREAKING NEWS:

that makes this morn's release all that nastier
ret sales are what ... 65% GDP component ?

lower ret sales -> lower GDP -> lower "inflation" (haha) -> lower ccy
put that in your trading fundamentals algo pipe

Livingston nh 12:49 GMT April 1, 2019
BREAKING NEWS:

Big revisions on sales -- stats still screwed up as govvie employees try to focus

Mtl JP 12:40 GMT April 1, 2019
Monday Trading Checklist 1 April 2019

contradicting the President AND Kudlow:
Fedís Kashkari Says It Isnít Time to Cut Rates
WSJ - 3 hours ago

GVI Trader john 12:38 GMT April 1, 2019
BREAKING NEWS:

U.S. Retail Sales February 2019



ALERT
Headline: -0.20% vs. 0.30% exp. vs. +0.20% (r +0.70%) prev.
Core (x-a) -0.40 vs. 0.40% exp. vs. +0.90% (r +1.40%)prev.




TTN: Live News Special Offer

Mtl JP 12:31 GMT April 1, 2019
Monday Trading Checklist 1 April 2019

nasty ret sales
-0.2% vs +0.3%

Mtl JP 12:23 GMT April 1, 2019
Monday Trading Checklist 1 April 2019

how ironique:
some analyst bubbling this a.m. about TSX 12% jan 1 - march 31 rise allegedly due primarily to "higher oil prices"

Livingston nh 12:20 GMT April 1, 2019
Monday Trading Checklist 1 April 2019

A new month watch OIL - the Fed follows OIL // Powell began losing his nerve as crude price slipped away

Mtl JP 12:19 GMT April 1, 2019
Monday Trading Checklist 1 April 2019

ahead of NY session
Pivot
EURUSD 1.1227
USDJPY 110.76
USDCHF 0.9959
GBPUSD 1.3043
USDCAD 1.3380
srce.: the pros at Global-View.com

GVI Trader john 12:18 GMT April 1, 2019
Monday Trading Checklist 1 April 2019

Pre -data U.S. 10-ye 2.446% +3.2bp

GVI Trader john 11:33 GMT April 1, 2019
BREAKING NEWS:

Tankan Survey weak. Final point to each line is forecast for 2Q19.

GVI Trader john 11:27 GMT April 1, 2019
BREAKING NEWS:
Reply   
BREAKING NEWS: Japan Quarterly Tankan Survey 2Q19




EARLIER: News ALERT
Big Mfg +8 vs. +12 exp. vs. +15 prev.


TTN: Live News Special Offer





The Tankan Survey is conducted by Bank of Japan on business confidence and the status of the Japanese economy. It is used to guide monetary policy decisions.

EARLIER; BOJ Tankan Survey. Slowing Economic Prospects.


GVI Trader john 11:02 GMT April 1, 2019
BREAKING NEWS

Analysts blaming "stockpiling" ahead of Brexit for the surge in the March manufacturing PMI today.

GVI Forex Blog 09:17 GMT April 1, 2019
BREAKING NEWS: EZ Flash HICP Misses in March 2019
Reply   
EZ flash February 2019 Headline HICP (CPI) weak. Final data usually sees minor changes. Core HICP weaker.

BREAKING NEWS: EZ Flash HICP Misses in March 2019

GVI Trader john 09:01 GMT April 1, 2019
BREAKING NEWS

Eurozone final HICP (CPI)
March 2019





ALERT
Headline
yy: 1.40% vs. +1.50% exp. vs. +1.40% prev.
CORE
yy: 0.80% vs. +1.00% exp. vs. +1.00% prev.



TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Forex Blog 08:38 GMT April 1, 2019
BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Manufacturing PMI Beats For March 2019
Reply   
March 2019 U.K. Manufacturing PMI big beat. U.K. PMI Data Chart

BREAKING NEWS: U.K. Manufacturing PMI Beats For March 2019

GVI Trader john 08:31 GMT April 1, 2019
BREAKING NEWS

Big beat

GVI Trader john 08:31 GMT April 1, 2019
BREAKING NEWS

GB Manufacturing PMI March 2019

U.K. Charts







-- NEWS ALERT --

55.1 vs. 51.2 exp. vs. 52.0 (r ) prev.





TTN: Live News Special Offer

GVI Trader john 08:25 GMT April 1, 2019
Monday Trading Checklist 1 April 2019

Early
DJ: +176
SP: +19.1

10-yr
US: 2.442% +2.8
DE: -0.037% +3.1
UK: 1.56% +0.6

For AT Trading

See the Amazing Trader Live!
GVI EURUSD MACRO TREND:

NEGATIVE
Spot EURUSD: 1.1242
Pivot Point: 1.1227

Last Week 1.1210-1.1333 (123 pips)
Mon: 1.1220-1.1246 (26)

Fri: 1.1210-1.1248 (38)
Thu: 1.1215-1.1263 (48)
Wed: 1.1242-1.1286 (31)

20-day avg: 1.1297
50-day avg: 1.1337
100-day avg: 1.1361
200-day avg: 1.1468

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points


Next FOMC Odds 25bp funds rate change (+/-) on May 1, 2019 = 0% (0%)



GVI Forex Blog 08:05 GMT April 1, 2019
BREAKING NEWS: E.Z. Final Mfg PMIs Weaker Revisions in March 2019
Reply   
EZ March 2019 final Manufacturing PMIs. weaker from flash reports.



BREAKING NEWS: E.Z. Final Mfg PMIs Weaker Revisions in March 2019

PAR 08:05 GMT April 1, 2019
TURKEY
Reply   
Ouch! Turkey Lira plunges 2.5% as Erdogan has lost key Cities in municipal elections upended by a raging recession and a recent run on the currency.

GVI Trader john 07:51 GMT April 1, 2019
BREAKING NEWS
Reply   
EZ Final Manufacturing PMIs March 2019





ALERT
EZ
mfg: 47.5 vs. 47.6 exp. vs. 47.6 flash
Germany
mfg: 44.1 vs. 44.7 exp. vs. 44.9 flash
France
mfg: 49.7 vs. 49.8 exp. vs. 49.8 flash

Italy 47.4 vs. 47.5 exp. vs. 47.7



Markit PMI Press Release



TTN: Live News Special Offer

HK [email protected] 01:32 GMT April 1, 2019
Will or will not 111.60? better think few pips lower.
Reply   
.
HK [email protected]
06:30 GMT March 29, 2019
USD/JPY : Reply
Buy USDJPY
Entry: 110.40 to 110.50 Target: 111.60 Stop: yours

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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