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Forex Forum Archive for 01/02/2020

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dc CB 22:57 GMT January 2, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Jan 2020

Y2K - Fin de siècle
2020 - Fin de cycle
??????????????????????????

"Welcome to the Roaring 20's"

dc CB 22:43 GMT January 2, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 2 January 2020

Mtl JP 18:51 GMT 01/02/2020
On the other hand ..

DJT

A hell of a lot

dc CB 22:31 GMT January 2, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Jan 2020

LATE Thursday

Later Thursday
Dow + 330
S&P + 27

AT Trader 20:27 GMT January 2, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Jan 2020

LATE Thursday
DJ: +238
SP: +18.0


2-yr 1.573% +1.2 bp
Spread 10s-2s +30.8 (+35.5 bp)
10-yr
US: 1.881% -2.9
UK: 0.807% +1.3
DE: -0.218% +0.3


EURUSD MACRO TREND: POSITIVE
Spot Rate (Pivot Point)
EURUSD 1.1165 (1.1185)
GBPUSD 1.3130 (1.3214)
EURGBP 0.8500 (0.8491)
USDJPY 108.54 (108.54)

This Week 1.1198-1.1240 (42) pips

thu: 1.1164-1.1225 (44)
tue: 1.1198-1.1240 (42)
mon: 1.1198-1.1223 (52)
fri: 1.1096-1.1186 (90)


Sign up now for your invaluable report

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20-day avg: 1.1121
50-day avg: 1.1087
100-day avg: 1.1060
200-day avg: 1.1140

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points





AT Trader 20:18 GMT January 2, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 3 Jan 2020
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 3 January 2020
A 09:00 DE- Employment
AA 15:00 US- ISM PMI
A 11:00 US- EIA Crude
AA 19:00 US- Fed Minutes


GVI Forex Blog 20:15 GMT January 2, 2020
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 2 January 2020
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 2 January 2020

Mtl JP 18:51 GMT January 2, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 2 January 2020

On the other hand ...
Donald J. Trump
Verified account
@realDonaldTrump
Follow Follow @realDonaldTrump
....Iran will be held fully responsible for lives lost, or damage incurred, at any of our facilities. They will pay a very BIG PRICE! This is not a Warning, it is a Threat. Happy New Year!

1:19 PM - 31 Dec 2019


threat.. warning ... Powell should be wetting his panties about pronto-reaching / exceeding his gang's 2% + price inflation IF President Trump delivers on responsibilizing for protecting "our facilities" as it appears that getting out of m/e and coming home does not occur to the self-declared genius. (haha - confucius say: avoid big wars far away)

c'mon donald ... help crude to 200+ bux !
see who "will pay" and
who ll get paid

Mtl JP 18:30 GMT January 2, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 2 January 2020

the Burn piece By Julianne Geiger is dated Jan 01, 2020
in it she claims that "Oil production in the United States has increased by 1 million barrels per day from the beginning of the year" Really ?

Mtl JP 18:18 GMT January 2, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 2 January 2020

CB if u feel friski or in the mood for a contra-greta trade:
Alliance Resource Partners, L.P.
NASDAQ: ARLP
11.45 USD +0.63 (5.82%) today

n/b: own due diligence a must

dc CB 17:58 GMT January 2, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 2 January 2020

Eliminate the use of fossil fuels...lol

Burn, Pay, Or Shut It Down: Three Evils For Permian Drillers

Mtl JP 16:58 GMT January 2, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 2 January 2020

today is turning out scalpers' delight

Mtl JP 16:53 GMT January 2, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 2 January 2020

euro back 1.1170 again after a little detour to clean up some short sls. letsee if 1.1160/50 still in the cards

Mtl JP 15:28 GMT January 2, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 2 January 2020

euro 1.1172
1.1160/50 trgt currently blocked by 1.1170

GVI Forex 15:16 GMT January 2, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 2 January 2020

I posted this earlier on the AT Fprum

Thursday Amazing Trader 2 January 2020
GVI Forex 12:49 GMT 01/02/2020 - My Profile
As a rule I used to not trade in the first week of the year where whipsaws and false starts are more common than not until the market restores full liquidity.

However AT makes it easier to trade during this time but still suggest taking it one day at a time.

The Amazing Trader

AT Trader 14:46 GMT January 2, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Final MKT Mfg PMI in line for U.S.

AT Trader 14:45 GMT January 2, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. Markit final Mfg PMI December 2019





ALERT
52.4 vs. 52.5 exp. vs. 52.5 prev.


AT Trader john 14:45 GMT January 2, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 2 January 2020

Its been liquidating markets in EURUSD and GBPUSD. Always tough to trade imho.

AT Trader 14:30 GMT January 2, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Canada RBC-Markit PMI (sa) December 2019





ALERT
50.4 vs. n/a exp. vs. 51.4 prev.


Mtl JP 14:26 GMT January 2, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 2 January 2020

euro 1.1182
another 5 pips down and if no repulsive pop
puppy should tumble to 1.1160/50

Mtl JP 14:23 GMT January 2, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 2 January 2020

EURO 1.1186
sub 1.12 support at 1.1180-ish
Low sofar 1.1182 (2x)

swiss frank 14:00 GMT January 2, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 2 January 2020

Hello. Happy 2020.

Per Johns Q whether mkt is long €. According to Dec 24 CFTC data it looks like leveraged money is still pretty short. Dealer and real money more or less flat. For me € is still a sell but preferably from higher levels (1.13ish) or time proves it has no upside.
https://www.cftc.gov/dea/futures/financial_lf.htm

CHF maybe a sell on current strength and then you hope SNB agrees.

Other stuff like GBP, AUD, NZD maybe easier sells than buys.

That said maybe it will be a slow start to the year.

Martin Armstrong had some interesting thoughts on the 12 year cycle going into the year of the rat. Beware.
https://www.armstrongeconomics.com/armstrongeconomics101/opinion/happy-new-year-2020/

Equities on the year end melt up maybe the most vulnerable from these levels and possibly a touch higher. See how they react if/when Hillary announces she wants to have another go....

Good Luck in the New Year!

dc CB 13:49 GMT January 2, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 2 January 2020

REPO
2 --- Overnight and a Term

Term 14 Days 27.668Bln (due Jan 16) at 1.55%
Single day. 29bln

AT Trader 13:30 GMT January 2, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Weekly Jobless Claims



ALERT
222J vs: 222K expected vs. 222K (r 224K )

AT Trader john 13:20 GMT January 2, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 2 January 2020

10s 1.902% -0.8bp
DJ +167
SP +1.3

AT Trader john 12:20 GMT January 2, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 2 January 2020

typically books are all "cleaned up" BEFORE the calendar yearend. Early bird trading for the new year takes place after Christmas and before New Years.

Mtl JP 11:46 GMT January 2, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 2 January 2020

GVI Forex 14:01 GMT December 19, 2019
Keep in mind that the pre-Xmas time is usually one of book squaring and this has played out once again. Those looking to position for the new year usually do that between XMAS and New Year.


IF most players are off for the holiday and those that are around are cleaning up the books, how does that morph into positioning for the new year ?

london red 11:40 GMT January 2, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 2 January 2020

IF 113-114 seen early jan, then could be high for YEAR.
dec close suggests test higher at some point in jan, but likely to leave a wick. early test suggestive of such. a late test argues for another strong close. but even so, i think it will be a question of waiting for the month with the first monthly wick to confirm high for year.

AT Trader john 11:34 GMT January 2, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 2 January 2020

FX Market already set up long EURUSD for start of new year?

Your thoughts??

GVI Forex Blog 10:54 GMT January 2, 2020
BREAKING NEWS: U.K Final Mfg PMI Revised Up in Devember 2019
Reply   
December 2019 Final U.K. Manufacturing PMI revised higher. Still below the 50 expansion/contraction line. U.K. PMI Data Chart

BREAKING NEWS: U.K Final Mfg PMI Revised Up in Devember 2019

GVI Forex Blog 10:44 GMT January 2, 2020
BREAKING NEWS: EZ Final Mfg PMIs Revised Up slightly for December 2019
Reply   

EZ December 2019 final Manufacturing PMIs. Minor upward revisions.



BREAKING NEWS: EZ Final Mfg PMIs Revised Up slightly for December 2019

Mtl JP 10:35 GMT January 2, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 2 January 2020

euro 1.1194
sub 1.12 support at 1.1180-ish

jkt abel 10:14 GMT January 2, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

no flash crash, attack as usual

Mtl JP 10:03 GMT January 2, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

GB PMI just one amongst crappy european collective's prospects under the leadership of PhDs and and other experts.

But have no fear, would-be dirigiste frenchwoman lagarde is here !

AT Trader 09:30 GMT January 2, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

GB Final Manufacturing PMI December 2019

U.K. Charts







-- NEWS ALERT --

47.5 vs. 47.4 exp. vs. 47.4 (r ) prev.





AT Trader 09:06 GMT January 2, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 2 January 2020

EARLY Thutsday
DJ: +115
SP: +11.4


2-yr 1.587% +2.6 bp
Spread 10s-2s +35.5 (+34.8 bp)
10-yr
US: 1.942% +3.2
UK: 0.874% +4.9
DE: -0.167% +1.7


EURUSD MACRO TREND: POSITIVE
Spot Rate (Pivot Point)
EURUSD 1.1207 (1.1220)
GBPUSD 1.3217 (1.3214)
EURGBP 0.8480 (0.8491)
USDJPY 108.80 (108.61)

This Week 1.1198-1.1245 (47) pips

thu: 1.1201-1.1245 (44)
tue: 1.1198-1.1240 (42)
mon: 1.1198-1.1223 (52)
fri: 1.1096-1.1186 (90)
thu: 1.1082-1.1106 (24)


Sign up now for your invaluable report

How To Turn Your Forex Trading Into A Business

20-day avg: 1.1116
50-day avg: 1.1086
100-day avg: 1.1080
200-day avg: 1.1141

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points





AT Trader 09:02 GMT January 2, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Final EZ PMis revised mostly up slightly...

AT Trader 08:45 GMT January 2, 2020
BREAKING NEWS
Reply   
EZ Final Manufacturing PMIs December 2019





ALERT
09:00 EZ
mfg: 46.3 vs. 45.9 exp. vs. 45.9 flash
08:55 Germany
mfg: 43.7 vs. 43.4 exp. vs. 43.4 flash
08:50 France
mfg: 50.4 vs. 50.3 exp. vs. 50.3 flash
08:45 Italy
mfg:46.2 vs. 47.5 vs. 47.6




Markit PMI Press Release



 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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