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Forex Forum Archive for 01/08/2020

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Mtl JP 22:47 GMT January 8, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 8 Jan 2020

spookies:
FBI, Homeland Security warn of Iranian terror and cyber threat in new intelligence bulletin - CNN.com

AT Trader 21:36 GMT January 8, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 9 January 2020

Late WEDNESDAY
DJ: +161
SP: +15.9


2-yr 1.583% +3.7 bp
Spread 10s-2s +28.7 (+28.3 bp)
10-yr
US: 1.870% +4.5
UK: 0.824% +0.3
DE: -0.241% +0.6


EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEUTRAL
Spot Rate (Pivot Point)
EURUSD 1.1110 (1.1129)
GBPUSD 1.3101 (1.3117)
EURGBP 0.8480 (0.8484)
USDJPY 109.15 (108.08)

This Week 1.1108-1.1206 (98) pips

wed: 1.1108-1.1168 (60)
tue: 1.1141-1.1198 (57)
mon: 1.1156-1.1206 (50)
fri: 1.1125-1.1181 (56)
thu: 1.1164-1.1225 (44)


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20-day avg: 1.1136
50-day avg: 1.1091
100-day avg: 1.1063
200-day avg: 1.1139

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dc CB 21:35 GMT January 8, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 8 Jan 2020

algos saw the headlines and sold.

I think there will be more of these 'spooks'
Attacks may not come from the Iranian Military per se. but there are plenty of other groups, many set-up by Sol the Magnificent. He's be working on this since 1998.

GVI Forex Blog 21:18 GMT January 8, 2020
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 8 January 2020
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 8 January 2020

Mtl JP 21:11 GMT January 8, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 8 Jan 2020

CB 20:56 ya think that is what spookied the nervous flighty momos ? If so shows how "on the margin" (vulnerable) the market is.

Mtl JP 20:57 GMT January 8, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 8 Jan 2020



now that Gold closed the gap

dc CB 20:56 GMT January 8, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 8 Jan 2020

*SEVERAL ROCKETS HIT GREEN ZONE IN BAGHDAD: SKY REPORTS

Mtl JP 20:55 GMT January 8, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 8 Jan 2020

stocks taking a hit into the close
does not look profit-taking inspired to me

Mtl JP 20:44 GMT January 8, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 8 Jan 2020

john 17:02 It all seems almost scripted, a somewhat harsher version of laurel n hardy slapstick style diplomacy

Mtl JP 20:39 GMT January 8, 2020
2020 - I PREDICT -

I predict ...
------------
some juicy ones:
An unusual 2020 forecast: an ‘existential test’?
...“The European Central Bank has a new chief in Christine Lagarde,” the DataTrek analysts wrote. “While not superstitious, we do give credence to the idea that freshly installed central bank heads see an existential test in their first year or two.”.../..

If market participants all realize the empress has no clothes, what then?

haifa ac 20:02 GMT January 8, 2020
Daily OKR in bonds?

Bonds should now seek the 154 area.

Israel MacroMicro 19:42 GMT January 8, 2020
kashkari pushes education

he means good for his own agenda.I think that meditation classes are much cheaper and more effective solution.

after all, education cannot help within illogical society.

Ahmed

AT Trader john 19:25 GMT January 8, 2020
kashkari pushes education

generally, I believe that Fed officials are "expected" to steer clear of politics. Kashkari strikes me as a very political figure. He seems to have political ambitions. We will see.

Minneapolis DRS2 18:50 GMT January 8, 2020
kashkari pushes education

What we have is a voting member of the FOMC encouraging massive increases in state spending, in a state that is already lax on fiscal discipline.

dc CB 18:44 GMT January 8, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 8 Jan 2020

After a poorly accepted 3Y auction to start the new decade's issuance of coupon paper, moments ago the US Treasury sold $24BN in 10Y notes (CUSIP YS3) which was a tailing clunker which priced at a high yield of 1.869%, the highest since July 2019, up from December's 1.842%, and tailing the When Issued 1.853% by 1.6bps

First 10 Year Auction Of The Decade Is A Tailing Clunker

dc CB 18:41 GMT January 8, 2020
kashkari pushes education

what is a voting member of the FOMC doing getting involved in state politics politics...A State Constitutional Amendment.

Minneapolis DRS2 18:32 GMT January 8, 2020
kashkari pushes education
Reply   
The Fed is getting into fiscal and social issues in addition to their traditional roles in monetary issues.

Some background: The state of Minnesota has one of the highest educational disparity rates in the US. Simply put, the high achieving kids do well, and the low achieving kids don't.

Neel Kashkari and Alan Page (a state supreme court judge) are pushing for an amendment to the Minnesota state constitution to "require a quality education for all kids".

Practically speaking...this means a lot more money for K-12 education in the state, a special interest that already has a lot of money and IMHO wastes most of it.

The Fed is exploring social and fiscal and not just monetary issues. I can't see this turning out well. (Minnesota is already one of the highest taxed states in the country, most of it going to education.)

kashkari proposes amendment

Mtl JP 17:22 GMT January 8, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 8 Jan 2020

CB 17:17 ADP came in 22.5% above estimate
ADP usually (statistically) comes under NFP

haifa ac 17:21 GMT January 8, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 8 Jan 2020

That is pretty good:

John 17:02

" For you granted him authority over all people that he might give eternal life to all those you have given him."

dc CB 17:17 GMT January 8, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 8 Jan 2020

24bln in 10s for sale by the Treas this hour.

1:30 - 2PM Todays 2nd POMO (there was a small one this morning) 7.5Bln is Bills will be bought back by the DESK.
Wonder which of the most recently auctioned issues will be offered for sale by the Primary Dealer.

And yes this is NOT QE -- it's in-your-face Monetization by the FRBNY Operations Desk. IMHO

Also this scheduled series of POMOs ends on Jan 13. The FED's NY Desk will be issuing another schedule soon. I think they'll wait until after the UnEmployment Numbers ... and if true to form, issue the sched around 5PM ET.

Israel MacroMicro 17:07 GMT January 8, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 8 Jan 2020

john 17:02

sums up

AT Trader john 17:04 GMT January 8, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 9 January 2020
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Thu 9 Jan 2019
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 10 Jan 2019
A 13:30 US/CA- Employment


AT Trader john 17:02 GMT January 8, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 8 Jan 2020

In essence, by intentionally missing U.S. personnel in Iraq, Iran has blinked. Now Trump has allowed this episode to go. Unless Iran acts against the U.S. again, imho this entire episode is over.

Note the 10yr note is now 1.860% +3.5bp. this is close to neutrality. The S&P 500 is back in record high territory.

Mtl JP 16:53 GMT January 8, 2020
Nasdaq at 8900

DJIA uP 0.59%
Raytheon uP 1.02%
on the day sofar

haifa ac 16:41 GMT January 8, 2020
Nasdaq at 8900
Reply   
sort of a Fibo number. Tickling.

haifa ac 16:11 GMT January 8, 2020
live speech
Reply   
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2dsxHjbHP1Y&feature=youtu.be

dc CB 15:49 GMT January 8, 2020
Sometimes it's different

The fire resulted in air traffic being grounded and an evacuation of the facilities.

Scattered unconfirmed social media reports have pinned the blame on an electric vehicle catching fire, though many details have been unconfirmed.

The official statement from authorities is that the cause of the fire is "unknown" despite being notified first that an electric vehicle was on fire, according to Bloomberg.

Norway Airport Parking Garage Fire Destroys Hundreds Of Cars And Grounds Flights

AT Trader 15:36 GMT January 8, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts






NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: +1.160 vs. -4.100 vs. -11.5 prev.
Distillates: +5.33 vs. +4.000 vs. +1.500 prev.
Gasoline: +9.14 vs. +2.700 exp vs. +3.200 prev.



Weekly Petroleum Status Report


haifa ac 14:42 GMT January 8, 2020
Sometimes it's different

Morning Consult/Politico survey finds fewer than 3 in 10 registered voters can identify the Islamic republic on an unlabeled map.

https://morningconsult.com/2020/01/08/can-you-locate-iran-few-voters-can/

66% of Americans do not know where Iran is. Funny.

Mtl JP 14:41 GMT January 8, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 8 Jan 2020

President Trump to yak at 11a.m.
- msm

AT Trader 14:20 GMT January 8, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 8 Jan 2020

WEDNESDAY
DJ: -34
SP: -3.7


2-yr 1.538% -0.1 bp
Spread 10s-2s +28.3 (+27.9 bp)
10-yr
US: 1.821% -0.5
UK: 0.796% +0.2
DE: -0.272% +0.1


EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEUTRAL
Spot Rate (Pivot Point)
EURUSD 1.1120 (1.1158)
GBPUSD 1.3125 (1.3142)
EURGBP 0.8472 (0.8498)
USDJPY 108.70 (108.47)

This Week 1.1111-1.1206 (95) pips

wed: 1.1111-1.1168 (57)
tue: 1.1141-1.1198 (57)
mon: 1.1156-1.1206 (50)
fri: 1.1125-1.1181 (56)
thu: 1.1164-1.1225 (44)


Sign up now for your invaluable report

How To Turn Your Forex Trading Into A Business

20-day avg: 1.1135
50-day avg: 1.1091
100-day avg: 1.1063
200-day avg: 1.1140

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points





Amman wfakhoury 13:56 GMT January 8, 2020
GBPUSD

Amman wfakhoury 13:24 GMT 01/08/2020
exit here 13113..
re buy again at better price for 13118
_________________________________
13118 reached
and That is all talk for today

haifa ac 13:50 GMT January 8, 2020
Daily OKR in bonds?
Reply   
Too early to call but if it occurs ---it is bearish (considering its location on the graph)

haifa ac 13:43 GMT January 8, 2020
300 points Nasdaq swing before market open
Reply   
This is a strong swing. It shows BIG money is on the keyboard
Many times it is a hint for some significant moves coming

haifa ac 13:27 GMT January 8, 2020
Sometimes it's different

"point to wars US has won since 1945"

when did America declare war on anyoned after Vietnam?

America won the war against

high unemployment
high interest rates
AI winter
cold war
several horrible presidents like Carter
raping powerful men

THe biggest war the US has still to win is the war on PC.

and of course US is still (and for the foreseeable future) the shining city ono the hill when it comes to scientific research and best educational facilities in the world

Show ONE contribution of Islam to the world in the last 799 years!

Amman wfakhoury 13:24 GMT January 8, 2020
GBPUSD

exit here 13113..
re buy again at better price for 13118

AT Trader 13:23 GMT January 8, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. ADP Private Employment December 2019

U.S. Data Charts




ALERT

+202 vs. +165K exp. vs. +67K (r +124) prev.

Mtl JP 13:19 GMT January 8, 2020
Sometimes it's different

point to wars US has won since 1945

haifa ac 13:11 GMT January 8, 2020
Sometimes it's different

ןIran is a zero. They do not win wars. They underestimated Trump.
The question is whether they are losing their cunning sense. Dogs that bark do not bite.
But they are hiding the black box. wonder why

Iran will not give black box from crashed Ukrainian airliner to Boeing: Mehr
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-iran-crash-black-box-idUSKBN1Z71C7

Israel MacroMicro 13:03 GMT January 8, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 8 Jan 2020

unbelievable, the world is waiting for a tweet to know what the US will do next. Trump turned his personal tweeter account into channel of announcements about official US policies and strategies.

Amman wfakhoury 12:56 GMT January 8, 2020
GBPUSD

now 13084 buy here tp 13118

Amman wfakhoury 12:53 GMT January 8, 2020
GOLD

Amman wfakhoury 11:07 GMT 01/08/2020
Gold into weak buy mood within 10$ movement.
But any decline below 1580 will return to it.
_______________________________________
First time returned to 1580

Amman wfakhoury 12:48 GMT January 8, 2020
GBPUSD

Amman wfakhoury 11:03 GMT 01/08/2020
As it is in sell mood ..we can sell at 13125 too
Possible reach 13090 again.
_______________________
1.3090 reached

AT Trader john 12:46 GMT January 8, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 8 Jan 2020

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Wed 8 Jan 2019
A 13:15 US- ADP Payrolls
A 16:00 US- EIA Crude
Thu 9 Jan 2019
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 10 Jan 2019
A 13:30 US/CA- Employment


Mtl JP 12:37 GMT January 8, 2020
Sometimes it's different

hosted ?

Bloomberg 7:02 AM:
There were no American casualties in Iranian missile strikes targeting bases in Iraq that hosted U.S. and Iraqi soldiers ...

The attacks used guided missiles and in this instance, Iran appeared to be shooting to miss, the official said

Mtl JP 11:58 GMT January 8, 2020
Sometimes it's different

asian stocks closed in the red
europeans currently slightly uP after initial puke
ditto for US stocks atm

crude actually down atm after initial pop up
whole move now retraced

Mtl JP 11:28 GMT January 8, 2020
Sometimes it's different

nh "Iran NEEDS to keep US in M/E" <- typo ?
-
perhaps unrelated flash from the past:
Greenspan clarifies Iraq war and oil link - rtrs

Livingston nh 11:18 GMT January 8, 2020
Sometimes it's different

Ac - Iran NEEDS to keep US in M/E but Prez seemed willing to leave (Syria pullout) -- Iran did not farm out the job to proxies because control was critical (Iran says "proportionate") and now says US must leave (the taunt Prez can't resist) so pullout looks to be meeting IRAN demands -- if no FAST and HARD response (FAST is gone so we wait to see if HARD is still in the building) we go back to "Same old same old" until the next time // Reagan had the better excuse w/ the barracks but NADA // KIM is watching

Amman wfakhoury 11:07 GMT January 8, 2020
GOLD
Reply   
Gold into weak buy mood within 10$ movement.
But any decline below 1580 will return to it.

Amman wfakhoury 11:03 GMT January 8, 2020
GBPUSD

As it is in sell mood ..we can sell at 13125 too
Possible reach 13090 again.

Amman wfakhoury 10:52 GMT January 8, 2020
GBPUSD

First return to 13125 from 13136

Amman wfakhoury 10:27 GMT January 8, 2020
GBPUSD

Sell above 13125.

buy below 13125
tp both at 13125

Amman wfakhoury 10:20 GMT January 8, 2020
GBPUSD

movement 100-120 pips.
Direction :into sell mood any rise avobe 13125 will return to it.
actually movement will be ziz zac pattern..down then up.

Amman wfakhoury 09:51 GMT January 8, 2020
GBPUSD
Reply   
How many pips is the movement?
What is the direction ?

haifa ac 08:48 GMT January 8, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 8 Jan 2020


Amichai Stein
‏Verified account @AmichaiStein1
14m14 minutes ago

Amichai Stein Retweeted Amichai Stein

#BREAKING: Ukraine president says instructed prosecutor general to open criminal proceedings over iran air crash

haifa ac 07:19 GMT January 8, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 8 Jan 2020

" So far, so good!"
What if one of those missiles destroyed the Ukrainian plane with 180 aboard. All dead. Iran rushed to declare mechanical failure (it was a 737) before any evidence from the ground. Who knows?!

haifa ac 07:13 GMT January 8, 2020
Sometimes it's different

There are signs that for the first time since 1979 when the average pleb in the streets of Iran preferred Religious rule over the monarchy (and developing economy) of the Shah.
There are now many voices in Iran that prefer food over demented Ayatollahs.
It is not there yet-- but the trend is clear. We need to be patient---The religious dictators will vanish.

hk win10 06:50 GMT January 8, 2020
Gold

Gold is in bull run, buy and hold on dips of $70-100 may work.


Mtl JP 05:32 GMT January 8, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 8 Jan 2020

Donald J. Trump
@realDonaldTrump
All is well! Missiles launched from Iran at two military bases located in Iraq. Assessment of casualties & damages taking place now. So far, so good! We have the most powerful and well equipped military anywhere in the world, by far! I will be making a statement tomorrow morning.

Minneapolis DRS2 03:27 GMT January 8, 2020
Trading in 2020

An algo would skip the 2nd step?

dc CB 03:09 GMT January 8, 2020
Trading in 2020
Reply   
1st. Set your Algo Bias
2nd. Hesitate second guess or not
3rd. Execute ?
T/F

Mtl JP 02:12 GMT January 8, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 8 Jan 2020

stocks uP from their earlier bottom
usdjpy back N of 108

looks like iran got its retaliation jollies, trump likely to let it pass (afterall he is a genius - even if only self-proclaimed)
everybody can claim their own sort of victory

too bad for those triggered sls

HK [email protected] 01:53 GMT January 8, 2020
Iran wants to be nuked.
Reply   
.
Codes in the Suitcase delivered!

Livingston nh 01:45 GMT January 8, 2020
Sometimes it's different
Reply   
40 years this has been dragging on - Iran has always used proxies and hostages to attack the US (et al) but NEVER from Iran directly -- first time since Prez Eisenhower that 'proportional response' may be off the Table -- Turkey, Iraq and others have been warned today not to assist US in any way -- Europe and UK ??

The Home base has to be destroyed because proxies are everywhere from Lebanon south to East Africa

Buy on the Cannon Roar

dc CB 01:28 GMT January 8, 2020
Tunes for the end of the World

HK [email protected] 01:15 GMT

next week Jan 16/17-- 1991 Operation Desert Storm. Bush 41 Save Kuwait fron Sadam. Live on TV...Scuds(?) had me glued to the Scotch.

WTF

dc CB 01:21 GMT January 8, 2020
Tunes for the end of the World

I beg your pardon, but in my Ignorance, I was only attempeing to point out that this same stuff has been going on since those performances ---- 1980...1976?
But then memories are short...

HK [email protected] 01:15 GMT January 8, 2020
Tunes for the end of the World

.
dc CB 00:08 GMT 01/08/2020

You are posting songs music when war is raging and people are killed.

So beware of the agent of the 'International Moral Police' on this forum.
You will be castigated!!!

dc CB 01:13 GMT January 8, 2020
"Unencumbered by the thought process"

so enough free stuff
plz contact my agent for the fees charged onward

Trade Da NUZ
only $39.95/mo

Spwcia discount for ForexMadw EZY
(Amazing..the money we've made)
ForexMadw Ezy. orgMI)

dc CB 01:08 GMT January 8, 2020
"Unencumbered by the thought process"
Reply   
White House making plans for Trump to address the nation from the Oval Office tonight - CNN


PS I Don't Read ZeroHedge

dc CB 00:58 GMT January 8, 2020
Tunes for the end of the World

the only tooper for the nite would be
Noody Girl
posts glibness

or perhaps the Vatican trader
(mistaken for Vienna Virginia...Yes Virginia there is a )

Mtl JP 00:41 GMT January 8, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 8 Jan 2020

just slow moves
dlryen now sub 108 at 107.68

dc CB 00:40 GMT January 8, 2020
Tunes for the end of the World

The Apprentice - The White House - Season 4

Sneak preview

Mtl JP 00:39 GMT January 8, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 8 Jan 2020

not so tame reaction afterall

US stocks: -375 -1.31%
GOLD uP ~2.5% N of 1600

dc CB 00:31 GMT January 8, 2020
Tunes for the end of the World

Thermopoli redux!

we got robots to do that stuff.
No animals hurt in the filming of this (animated CGI)film

Hk Ab 00:19 GMT January 8, 2020
Gold
Reply   
Stopped 1603, finally, first defeat after 20 wins

Mtl JP 00:18 GMT January 8, 2020
eurusd

Abb 00:03 before... what ?

dc CB 00:08 GMT January 8, 2020
Tunes for the end of the World
Reply   
enjoy
for tomorrow we die

life in wartim

Toronto Abb 00:03 GMT January 8, 2020
eurusd
Reply   
eurusd maybe about to change trend ??
let see if will aproach 1.11 before

Mtl JP 00:02 GMT January 8, 2020
Dear Greta

Indigenous leaders give go-ahead for massive cull of 10,000 feral camels in remote South Australia -

Shooters will take to the skies in helicopters this week to hunt down and kill thousands of feral camels tormenting remote communities.

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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