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Forex Forum Archive for 01/09/2020

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HK [email protected] 23:23 GMT January 9, 2020
Iran in a total state of confusion(domestic+international)
Reply   
.

The death of Imama Q.S., the downing of the Ukra. plane and mess of reorganization within the administration.

Iran not in the position to take military action in the near future.

GOLD.
It is a clear SELL(after a daily key reversal candle, and a brewing shooting star on the wkly).

Best support for gold the patient trader at 1450.

............................................................................................

dc CB 23:03 GMT January 9, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 10 Jan 2020


Sven Henrich

@NorthmanTrader

The Fed's BS dance:
1. Repo is just a temporary thingy for a couple of weeks.
2. Oops, let's raise it to $120B
3. Oops, let's do it through January
4. Oops, let's do it through April

Don't believe a word they say.
Don't believe me? Check their dot plots for the past 10 years.
469
9:49 AM - Jan 9, 2020

The lunatics are running the asylum and they pretend to be the sane ones.

Mtl JP 22:32 GMT January 9, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 10 Jan 2020

"Ayes 330" / "Noes 231"
beaten out by massively more "meghexit" headlines
on my screen

Mtl JP 22:01 GMT January 9, 2020
A missile

fill in the blanks
-----------------
Air Flight _ _ _, a commercial jet shot down by _ _ _ _._. _. by mistake on July 3, 1988, killing all 290 civilians and crew on board, including 66 children. "we, _ _ _, do not admit anything, do not give explanation and do not offer any excuses."

AT Trader 22:00 GMT January 9, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 10 Jan 2020

Late Thursday
DJ: +212
SP: +21.7


2-yr 1.583% 0.0 bp
Spread 10s-2s +27.3 (+28.4 bp)
10-yr
US: 1.856% -1.8
UK: 0.812% -1.2
DE: -0.225% -0.4


EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEUTRAL-NEGATIVE
Spot Rate (Pivot Point)
EURUSD 1.1106 (1.1107)
GBPUSD 1.3064 (1.3117)
EURGBP 0.8501 (0.8502)
USDJPY 109.50 (109.37)

This Week 1.1093-1.1206 (113) pips

thu: 1.1093-1.1121 (28)
wed: 1.1108-1.1168 (60)
tue: 1.1141-1.1198 (57)
mon: 1.1156-1.1206 (50)
fri: 1.1125-1.1181 (56)


Sign up now for your invaluable report

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20-day avg: 1.1135
50-day avg: 1.1090
100-day avg: 1.1063
200-day avg: 1.1139

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points





Israel MacroMicro 20:14 GMT January 9, 2020
A missile

the number of Canadians on board, facts to range between suspicious and doubtful.

Israel MacroMicro 20:10 GMT January 9, 2020
A missile

167 lives

there will be many accusations and "secret" reports from various sources. why such happened, probably we will never know.

AT Trader john 18:45 GMT January 9, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 9 January 2020

Markets cautious ahead of US/CA Employment data Friday
U.S.10s 1.856 -1.8bp
Dj +178
SP +1.75%

dc CB 18:41 GMT January 9, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 9 January 2020

Al-Sumaria reports that rockets hit the Balad Air Base, about 40 miles north of Baghdad, where US troops are stationed.

The source said in an interview with Alsumaria News, "A missile, whose type was not specified, fell this evening, to the Fadlan area of ​​the Dujail district near Balad Air Base," without giving further details.

Local news also reports no people were harmed.

dc CB 18:33 GMT January 9, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 9 January 2020

re: cart and horse

China Deal on/off Algo Trigger has been changed for 2020

New Algo Trigger --- approved for use 2 to 3 times daily:
ROCKET(S).

*ROCKET HITS NEAR BALAD AIRBASE NORTH OF BAGHDAD: SUMARIA

AT Trader john 18:27 GMT January 9, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 10 Jan 2020
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 10 Jan 2019
A 13:30 US/CA- Employment


dc CB 18:04 GMT January 9, 2020
A missile

big win for the long ball.

30Y 2.341%, WI 2.358%. Huge

dc CB 18:01 GMT January 9, 2020
A missile

30Y yield trading at 2.357 as the auction closes

Tallinn viies 17:41 GMT January 9, 2020
eurusd
Reply   
last month low at 1.1003 is a target for this move.
plan to go long in front of it and stop below previous year low 1.0879

nw kw 17:35 GMT January 9, 2020
A missile

30Y yield trading currently 2.372

cpi not hot

nw kw 17:32 GMT January 9, 2020
A missile

Next: Gold has Pus8y Power for gbpusd monthly faded,xgbp mid range gives xusa time to move up,nzd over powers aud,

The only one not in this world confirmed.........

dc CB 17:16 GMT January 9, 2020
A missile

BBC graphic

passengers home countries

Jkt Abel 17:12 GMT January 9, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 9 January 2020

Gold has finished correction?

dc CB 17:07 GMT January 9, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 9 January 2020

last of the week 30Y 16bln worth offered by Treas ongoing now
Results in an hour

30Y yield trading currently 2.372

Jkt Abel 16:49 GMT January 9, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 9 January 2020

JP, euro 1.11 and gbp 13050 to be defended for the close today?

haifa ac 16:48 GMT January 9, 2020
A missile

No.
We should just realize how stupid this Iranian dog is.

Jkt Abel 16:46 GMT January 9, 2020
A missile
Reply   
So we should be buying gold now and sell usd right?

SaaR KaL 16:27 GMT January 9, 2020
USDCAD Shorts

109.90 to 110.6164
is good Kevin for 106 tgt

SaaR KaL 16:26 GMT January 9, 2020
USDCAD Shorts

Pair Pr(Buy) High (Est) Low (Est) Tgt Date
USD/JPY 4.90% 109.8521 106.0095 2-Mar-20

dc CB 16:25 GMT January 9, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 8 Jan 2020

IRANIAN MISSILE SYSTEM SHOT DOWN UKRAINE FLIGHT, PROBABLY BY MISTAKE, SOURCES SAY

how many Canadians on that flight???
Justin Justin???? anyone home

haifa ac 16:23 GMT January 9, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 8 Jan 2020

It WAS a Missile1


Amichai Stein
‏Verified account @AmichaiStein1

#BREAKING: Ukrainian flight that crashed just outside the Iranian capital of Tehran was struck by an anti-aircraft missile system - 2 Pentagon officials and an Iraqi intelligence official told @Newsweek

HK Kevin 16:15 GMT January 9, 2020
USDCAD Shorts

SaaR KaL, your views on USD/JPY, pls. Worth a short near 109.60?

HK Kevin 16:15 GMT January 9, 2020
USDCAD Shorts

SaaR KaL, your views on USD/JPY, pls. Worth a short near 109.60?

dc CB 16:03 GMT January 9, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 9 January 2020

today's POMO done -- a small one TIPS purchased

Total Par Amt Accepted blns : $1.601
Total Par Amt Submitted blns : $6.233

SaaR KaL 15:53 GMT January 9, 2020
USDCAD Shorts
Reply   
Pair Pr(Buy) High (Est) Low (Est) Tgt Date
USD/CAD 7.64% 1.3122 1.2958 2-Mar-20


Probably next day
till 1.3240

SaaR KaL 15:46 GMT January 9, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 9 January 2020

Pair Pr(Buy) High (Est) Low (Est) Tgt Date
EUR/USD 79.76% 1.1209 1.1051 2-Mar-20

will buy 1.1050 to 1.0978

Mtl JP 15:36 GMT January 9, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 9 January 2020

EURO 1.11
threat or promise of 100-day 1.1063 next ?

dc CB 15:35 GMT January 9, 2020
GBP

the real reason behind the fall of the pound

NY Post Cover

SaaR KaL 14:09 GMT January 9, 2020
EURUSD and Cable
Reply   
Pair Pr(Buy) High (Est) Low (Est) Tgt Date
EUR/USD 28.49% 1.1254 1.0853 13-Sep-20


Pair Pr(Buy) High (Est) Low (Est) Tgt Date
GBP/USD 7.09% 1.3255 1.1693 13-Sep-20

Both Bearish

Mtl JP 14:08 GMT January 9, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 9 January 2020

CB 13:48 who (other than scott) and why says "wean" ?

SaaR KaL 14:07 GMT January 9, 2020
2 pairs for a while
Reply   
Pair Pr(Buy) High (Est) Low (Est) Tgt Date
Bullish
USD/CAD 97.04% 1.3779 1.3037 13-Sep-20

Bearish
XAU/USD 5.24% 1,573.3878 1,315.6817 13-Sep-20

GVI Forex Blog 14:04 GMT January 9, 2020
Warning: Beware of a New Year Whipsaw
Reply   

I published this article five years ago and repeat the warning each year. This year is no different with price action over the past week full of false starts and whipsaws. This has been helped by a near crisis in the Middle East but also by a market that came into the new year short dollars that have been squeezed by a lack of followthrough.

Warning: Beware of a New Year Whipsaw

dc CB 13:53 GMT January 9, 2020
GBP

EU sez---hey BOJO, you thought you were getting out the easy way. No Way
++++++++++++++++++++++

During a speech at the London School of Business early on Wednesday ahead of a meeting with British PM Boris Johnson, new European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen warned that it will be "basically impossible" for the UK to negotiate the entirety of a hoped-for trade deal with the European Union

Brussels Warns BoJo Full Trade Deal By Year's End Is "Basically Impossible"

dc CB 13:48 GMT January 9, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 9 January 2020

It's not about the mouths.
It's about the juice.

Today's REPO
Term 14 days Due Jan 23--34.3Bln
Single Day 48.825Bln
________________

Indeed, something appears amiss, because as Curvature Securities' Scott Skyrm writes in his daily Repo Market Commentary note, the total overnight and term Fed RP operations on Friday were greater than on year end! On year-end, the Fed had pumped a total of $255.95 billion into the market verses $258.9 billion on Friday.

Repo Expert Warns Fed Is Now Trapped: "It Will Take Pain To Wean The Repo Market Off Easy Cash"

Mtl JP 13:41 GMT January 9, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 9 January 2020

re CB "communications"
--------------------------
BoC's "Fireside Chat"s and FED's "Fed Listens Events" examples
make me think of "lipstick on pig"
a subtle propaganda exercise attempt at making something that is dark and evil appear cute and cuddly to the peasants

AT Trader 13:32 GMT January 9, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Weekly Jobless Claims



ALERT
214K vs: 220K expected vs. 222K (r )

Mtl JP 13:31 GMT January 9, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 9 January 2020

jobless claims 214K vs 220K expt

Mtl JP 13:17 GMT January 9, 2020
SP500 a good correction south



KaL 13:08 gutsy move against the momo crowd
that still appears to be in charge

gl !

AT Trader 13:10 GMT January 9, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 9 January 2020

Early Thursday
DJ: +155
SP: +17.2


2-yr 1.576% -0.7 bp
Spread 10s-2s +28.4 (+28.7 bp)
10-yr
US: 1.860% -1.4
UK: 0.791% -2.9
DE: -0.242% +1.4


EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEUTRAL
Spot Rate (Pivot Point)
EURUSD 1.1115 (1.1129)
GBPUSD 1.3040 (1.3117)
EURGBP 0.8525 (0.8484)
USDJPY 109.35 (108.08)

This Week 1.1096-1.1206 (110) pips

thu: 1.1096-1.1120 (24)
wed: 1.1108-1.1168 (60)
tue: 1.1141-1.1198 (57)
mon: 1.1156-1.1206 (50)
fri: 1.1125-1.1181 (56)


Sign up now for your invaluable report

How To Turn Your Forex Trading Into A Business

20-day avg: 1.1136
50-day avg: 1.1091
100-day avg: 1.1063
200-day avg: 1.1139

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points





SaaR KaL 13:08 GMT January 9, 2020
SP500 a good correction south
Reply   
I am very much convinced this is now a sell Market

Pair Pr(Buy) High (Est) Low (Est)
SPX500 0.17% 3,220.4670 3,017.6035

Mtl JP 13:02 GMT January 9, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 9 January 2020

lest I be delinquent:
January 9, 2020
Fireside Chat Stephen S. Poloz, Governor
Greater Vancouver Board of Trade Vancouver, British Columbia
14:15 (ET)

I am expecting stephen to be boringly cautiously dull (just as he was in dec)

Mtl JP 12:47 GMT January 9, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 9 January 2020

mushroom feeders on deck today:
Clarida - Bullard - Evans

Trump's debt peddler munchkin going to peddle 30-yr paper promises (as if yesty's 10-yr were not nuff)

AT Trader john 12:29 GMT January 9, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 9 January 2020

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Thu 9 Jan 2019
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 10 Jan 2019
A 13:30 US/CA- Employment


London Trader 12:08 GMT January 9, 2020
GBP

Carney is a lame duck.

Amman wfakhoury 11:37 GMT January 9, 2020
GBPUSD 13000
Reply   
13000 confirmed will be reached.
Any rise above 13033 will return to it.
Sell ad sell if rise.
price now 13024

The only one in the world who confirms the next level and every hour movement

HK Kevin 10:38 GMT January 9, 2020
GBP

Dovish comments by BOE Governor Mark Carney

haifa ac 10:24 GMT January 9, 2020
GBP

GBP was repelled by the Monthly 55MA. Should now retest 1.22

Dubai MA 09:57 GMT January 9, 2020
GBP
Reply   
News on gbp meltdown?

HK [email protected] 09:27 GMT January 9, 2020
Not everyone around Trump is a blithering idiot

.
Indeed a bunch of smart people, that shows about a deep understanding with deep historical perspective.
Because the killing of Qasem Soleimani, is equivalent of assassinating Adolf Hitler, while still budding in the beer halls of Munich.

Had Q.Sul. lived to become the next leader of Iran with nuclear weapons, the future of Israel would be questionable.
And Haifa is saved.

So far it is the best project of Trump.
No one in Russsia or China will shade tears for another dead Islamic terrorist.

haifa ac 08:55 GMT January 9, 2020
Not everyone around Trump is a blithering idiot
Reply   
A woman. Head of CIA. CLEVER. Reminds you of Nikki Haley and other smart women around this man. IMPULSIVE? Shooting from the hip? irresponsible?---- NO. Surrounded by some clever and talented personnel.



Amy Fiscus
‏Verified account @amyfiscus

Gina Haspel told Trump that Suleimani was a bigger risk alive than whatever Iran would do to avenge his death, and she basically predicted their exact response https://nyti.ms/35wHh4N

In the days before General Suleimani's death , Ms. Haspel had advised Mr. Trump that the threat the Iranian general presented was greater than the threat of Iran's response if he was killed, according to current and former American officials. Indeed, Ms. Haspel had predicted the most likely response would be a missile strike from Iran to bases where American troops were deployed, the very situation that appeared to be playing out on Thursday afternoon.

As long as Trump is President--Netflix is better investment than Oil.
6:21 PM - 8 Jan 2020 AM

SaaR KaL 07:36 GMT January 9, 2020
Pr(Buy) Mean Probability of a Buy

EUR/CAD 91.10% 1.4624 1.4469
a good buy

SaaR KaL 07:27 GMT January 9, 2020
Pr(Buy) Mean Probability of a Buy

CAD/JPY 6.92% 84.1936 80.9993
a good short somewhere

SaaR KaL 07:25 GMT January 9, 2020
Pr(Buy) Mean Probability of a Buy
Reply   
Pair Pr(Buy) High (Est) Low (Est)
EUR/USD 67.08% 1.1209 1.1052
GBP/USD 50.90% 1.3384 1.2836
USD/CAD 50.55% 1.3120 1.2958
USD/JPY 8.22% 109.8335 106.0095

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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