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Forex Forum Archive for 01/14/2020

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Israel MacroMicro 21:30 GMT January 14, 2020
2020 - I PREDICT -

McAfee definitely ready to turn into professional politician

Mtl JP 21:23 GMT January 14, 2020
2020 - I PREDICT -

I predict ... this WILL BE
a dick eating year (not sure about the on TV part tho)

When I predicted Bitcoin at $500,000 by the end of 2020, it used a model that predicted $5,000 at the end of 2017. BTC has accelerated much faster than my model assumptions. I now predict Bircoin at $1 million by the end of 2020. I will still eat my dick if wrong. pic.twitter.com/WVx3E71nyD

— John McAfee (@officialmcafee) November 29, 2017

if not, I will eat my dick on national television.

— John McAfee (@officialmcafee) July 17, 2017


Me baadd... I have missed mcafee walking out on his word:

John McAfee
@officialmcafee

Eat my dick in 12 months?

A ruse to onboard new users. It worked.

Bitcoin was first. It's an ancient technology. All know it.

Newer blockchains have privacy, smart contracts, distributed apps and more.

Bitcoin is our future?

Was the Model T the future of the automobile?

John McAfee
@officialmcafee
Wake the censored up. What idiot thinks anyone is going to eat their own dick ever? Especially in TV!! Are you that idiot? God .. I hope none of my followers are that stupid.
7:23 - 5. 1. 2020

I hope none of my followers are that stupid.

AT Trader 21:08 GMT January 14, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 15 Jan 2020

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Wed 15 Jan 2019
A 09:30 GB- CPI
A 10:00 EZ- Production
A 13:30 US- PPI
B 15:00 US- Lead Indicators
A 15:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 16 Jan 2019
A 10:00 EZ- ECB Minutes
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
AA 13:30 US- Retail Sales
A 13:30 US- Philly Fed
A 15:00 US- NAHB
Fri 17 Jan 2019
A 09:30 GB- Retail Sales
A 10:00 EZ- Final HICP
A 13:30 US- House Starts/Permits
B 13:30 US- Empire PMI
A 14:15 US- Industrial Production
A 15:00 US- JOLTS
AA 15:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


AT Trader 21:06 GMT January 14, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 15 Jan 2020
Reply   
Late Tuesday
DJ: +32
SP: -5.2


2-yr 1.578% -0.8 bp
Spread 10s-2s +24.5 (+26.0 bp)
10-yr
US: 1.827% -2.1
UK: 0.731% +0.9
DE: -0.167% +0.5


EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEUTRAL
Spot Rate (Pivot Point)
EURUSD 1.1129 (1.1126)
GBPUSD 1.3029 (1.3006)
EURGBP 0.8538 (0.8535)
USDJPY 110.00 (110.02)

this week 1.1105-1.1147 (42) pips

tue: 1.1105-1.1145 (40)
mon: 1.1113-1.1147 (34)
fri: 1.1086-1.1130 (44)
thu: 1.1093-1.1121 (28)
wed: 1.1108-1.1168 (60)


Sign up now for your invaluable report

How To Turn Your Forex Trading Into A Business

20-day avg: 1.1135
50-day avg: 1.1089
100-day avg: 1.1064
200-day avg: 1.1137

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dc CB 20:34 GMT January 14, 2020
Forex View: Don't Fight the Central Banks

The long lasting 14 Day TERM Pina Coladas will have a slightly reduced alcohol content.
AVB 30bln reduced from 35bln

The 14 course Term Repo Menu --- special invitation only.

Mtl JP 20:30 GMT January 14, 2020
Forex View: Don't Fight the Central Banks

CB from your past experience , re "OPERATION TIME (EST)", is it better front-run the "operation" or fade it and for the cherry, which is best instrument to juice ?
tia

dc CB 20:07 GMT January 14, 2020
Forex View: Don't Fight the Central Banks

When to 'belly up' to the Juice Bar, and how much juice to expect.
The new Menu.

New POMO (not QE) Schedule thru 2-11

Mtl JP 19:26 GMT January 14, 2020
Forex View: Don't Fight the Central Banks



looks like sudden kinetic impact by gravity

Mtl JP 19:23 GMT January 14, 2020
Forex View: Don't Fight the Central Banks

CB 19:09 - what is : momentum ?
tia

ac 19:06 - thky for the light. I shall go to bed a bit more enlightened.

Mtl JP 19:10 GMT January 14, 2020
Forex View: Don't Fight the Central Banks



maybe IF we see more of these vertical lines
esther's modal outlook will suddenly become blindingly obvious to her

dc CB 19:09 GMT January 14, 2020
Forex View: Don't Fight the Central Banks

One could posit that FED's signal of holding (as opposed to raising) rates (ie current interest rates trend) is the driver behind stocks' direction.

and you would be totally wrong in that assessment of what is moving SToX

haifa ac 19:06 GMT January 14, 2020
Forex View: Don't Fight the Central Banks

"esther's "Modal outlook" is ?"

It is rather simple and basic: "Kill Haman!"

Mtl JP 18:57 GMT January 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 January 2020



no fat finger:
something spooked yen players short while ago

Mtl JP 18:54 GMT January 14, 2020
Forex View: Don't Fight the Central Banks

Modal outlook
---------------
anyone know exactly what specifically esther's "Modal outlook" is ?
tia

Mtl JP 18:47 GMT January 14, 2020
Forex View: Don't Fight the Central Banks

forgot esther's bottom line:
..."Keeping rates on hold for now is appropriate
in my view as we assess.../."

Mtl JP 18:44 GMT January 14, 2020
Forex View: Don't Fight the Central Banks

of course esther...

"We will need to assess whether the 2019 rate cuts prove to be “insurance cuts” that will need to be reversed if headwinds fade. On the other hand, the 2019 rate cuts may turn out to be..." ... .. ... "It could be the case that downside risks and uncertainties persist in a way that keeps investment spending weak and spills over to the consumer, altering the modal outlook and requiring further policy easing" ...

for her full drivel:

2020 Vision: Solid Growth in a Challenging Low-Interest-Rate World Remarks by Esther L. George (pdf)

Mtl JP 18:20 GMT January 14, 2020
Forex View: Don't Fight the Central Banks

heading into afternoon and close
DJIA 29038.26 +131 pts or 0.45%

another day - sofar at least - when “Do not fight the FED" track holds.

One could posit that FED's signal of holding (as opposed to raising) rates (ie current interest rates trend) is the driver behind stocks' direction.

Mtl JP 17:34 GMT January 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 January 2020

GBP abouve 1.3020 looms 20 day 1.3063

Amman wfakhoury 16:24 GMT January 14, 2020
GBPUSD 1.3002 and 12995

again price at 13002 from 13012

Mtl JP 16:09 GMT January 14, 2020
Winners and Losers

winners and losers
--------------------
Support for Windows 7 is nearing the end
After 10 years, support for Windows 7 is coming to an end on 14 January 2020.

We know change can be difficult, so we are here to help you with recommendations for what to do next and to answer questions about end of support.

Amman wfakhoury 16:05 GMT January 14, 2020
GBPUSD 1.3002 and 12995

13002 still active
12995 expired

Mtl JP 16:01 GMT January 14, 2020
As stupid as a politician can be!

apparently Trump (along w/munchkin) is heading to the davos shindig (missing greta?). Then, as if to poke the non-flying population segment, he ll be moving on to India.

Has not yet made the reason but it is likely to focus on trying to sell weapons and escape from his impeachement comedy.

Amman wfakhoury 15:55 GMT January 14, 2020
GBPUSD 1.3002 and 12995

again price at 13002 from 13013

Mtl JP 15:54 GMT January 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 January 2020

GBP 1.3014 high just touched ... no BoE cut enthusiasts around
or just playing cagey. see if the high holds
or not

Amman wfakhoury 15:45 GMT January 14, 2020
GBPUSD 1.3002 and 12995

Both 13002 and 12995 reached

Mtl JP 15:44 GMT January 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 January 2020

GBP 1.2995
-
be nice to see BoE rate cut speculants to re-emerge
take puppy down to 55/50, maybe lower

Amman wfakhoury 15:34 GMT January 14, 2020
GBPUSD 1.3002 and 12995
Reply   
GBPUSD into buy mood ..with football motion pattern.
any rise will return to 13002 and 12995.
price now 13006

The only one in the world who confirms the next level and every hour movement

Mtl JP 15:24 GMT January 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 January 2020

USDCAD still looking for reason to bust South
current S ~1.3060
***
this general rangy trading is need of a catalyst to bolt

Mtl JP 15:12 GMT January 14, 2020
$TSLA

$546.75-ish
-
"Musk is coming close to earning the first $346 million tranche of options in a record-breaking pay package, after the electric vehicle maker’s stock more than doubled in the last three months. Shares of Tesla surged 9% to a record high on Monday. They need to rise another 6% to put Tesla’s stock market value at $100 billion and then be sustained at that level for both a one-month and six-month average in order to trigger the vesting of the first of 12 tranches of options granted to Musk to buy Tesla stock.

Musk has already hit an operational target that is also necessary for the options to vest." rtrs

Mtl JP 15:08 GMT January 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 January 2020

smells like someone powerful nuff wanted to have GBP at or N of 1.30 at UK cut

Mtl JP 14:58 GMT January 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 January 2020

GBP 1.3002
prev high at 1.3013

Mtl JP 14:55 GMT January 14, 2020
As stupid as a politician can be!

pardon me if I rofl

"China has pledged to buy $50 billion more in U.S. energy supplies, and will raise U.S. agriculture purchases by some $32 billion over two years above 2017’s $24 billion baseline, according to a source briefed on the deal to be signed on Wednesday. The deal also stipulates purchases of an additional $80 billion in manufactured goods."

Mtl JP 14:47 GMT January 14, 2020
As stupid as a politician can be!

“If there were no tensions, if there was no escalation recently in the region, those Canadians would be right now home with their families,” Trudeau 13/01/2020

He spoke with Trump about the incident:

“I have spoken to him and I have talked about the need to de-escalate tensions. I’ve talked about the tremendous grief and loss that Canadians are feeling, and the need for clear answers on how this happened and how we’re going to make sure it never happens again.”

Trump did not bother to give justin the coalition partner any heads-up.

and POOF! goes justin's idea of holding the one responsible for tensions. escalation responsible.

Talking of "partners" : there some 20 water-bombers sitting in hangars in various canadian provincial hangars. It is currently deep-freeze here and NO forest fires. dumb as frozen buffalo turd

Mtl JP 14:29 GMT January 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 January 2020

GBP 1.2990-ish
-
last time the puppy tried N of 1.30 it got whacked rather unceremoniously. see if it gets a second whack and a concussion
Sup off the 1.30 pivot at 1.2958

Belgrade Knez 14:22 GMT January 14, 2020
Tehran ready for nuclear deal!?
Reply   

*Walter Bloomberg
@DeItaOne
IRAN'S FOREIGN MIN SPOX SAYS TEHRAN IS READY TO WELCOME ANY MEASURE BASED ON GOODWILL TO SAVE THE 2015 NUCLEAR DEAL

2:41 PM - Jan 14, 2020

Mtl JP 14:21 GMT January 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 January 2020

EURO 1.1105
-
other than playful algo trying to probe the recent range
no fuel

lagarde yaks on Th

Mtl JP 14:13 GMT January 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 January 2020

USDCAD 1.3071
currently capped by 1.3080 R

Mtl JP 13:45 GMT January 14, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

mushroom feeders Williams (on top of the hour) and George on deck
just in case

AT Trader 13:40 GMT January 14, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. CPI in line with expectations. Should have no impact on Fed policy.

PAR 13:38 GMT January 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 January 2020

Low inflation makes debt more real ?


According to the latest figures from the Treasury Department, the U.S. fiscal deficit exceeded $1T in 2019, marking the first time it has passed that level in a calendar year since 2012. The future is not looking better. For the fiscal year, which began in October, the shortfall is already at $356.6B, an 11.7% increase from a year ago. As deficits have swelled, so has the national debt, which now stands at $23.2T.

PAR 13:35 GMT January 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 January 2020

Inflation no longer exists. The way inflation is calculated has changed so much since the 1970 s that inflation is dead.

AT Trader 13:34 GMT January 14, 2020
BREAKING NEWS
Reply   
U.S. CPI December 2019



ALERT
Headline:
m/m: +0.20% vs. +0.20% exp. v +0.20% pre
y/y: +2.30% vs. +2.40% exp. v +2.10% pre
Core:
y/y: +2.30% vs. +2.30% exp. v +2.30% pre


RELEASE: Consumer Price Index


Mtl JP 13:30 GMT January 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 January 2020

CPI 2.3

Mtl JP 13:25 GMT January 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 January 2020

CPI next
what numbers would you like sir ?

Mtl JP 12:51 GMT January 14, 2020
Forex View: Don't Fight the Central Banks



“Don’t Fight the Fed.”

Statistically - most of the time - it is profitable to front-guess and front-run the FED.

Except when Black Swan appears. Then it sucks.

BIG TIME

haifa ac 12:27 GMT January 14, 2020
Insanity be thy name
Reply   
The Fed has increased its balance sheet over 500% in the past decade; The Bank of Japan is printing money to buy bonds and stock ETFs; and The European Central Bank is mired in insane negative interests. And, according to legendary investor Jim Rogers, they will continue this "madness" as long as its necessary.

https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/insanity-jim-rogers-warns-horrible-time-ahead

london red 12:14 GMT January 14, 2020
eurgbp

8530 is key sup. while in place upside test of neck line by 8582 in play.

GVI Forex 11:30 GMT January 14, 2020
Forex View: Don't Fight the Central Banks


There is an old adage in forex trading, which is “don’t fight the central banks.” John Bland, co-founder of global-view.com, reminds me of this every time a central bank signals a surprise or potential change in monetary policy. One reason is that the forex market trades on expectations and when they change markets adjust accordingly.


Forex View: Don't Fight the Central Banks

AT Trader 11:06 GMT January 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 January 2020

Early Tuesday
DJ: +9
SP: +0.1


2-yr 1.580% -0.6 bp
Spread 10s-2s +26.0 (+25.9 bp)
10-yr
US: 1.839% -0.9
UK: 0.735% -1.6
DE: -0.169% -1.5


EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEUTRAL
Spot Rate (Pivot Point)
EURUSD 1.1133 (1.1133)
GBPUSD 1.2978 (1.3063)
EURGBP 0.8578 (0.8558)
USDJPY 110.05 (109.79)

this week 1.1113-1.1147 (34) pips

tue: 1.1128-1.1145 (17)
mon: 1.1113-1.1147 (34)
fri: 1.1086-1.1130 (44)
thu: 1.1093-1.1121 (28)
wed: 1.1108-1.1168 (60)


Sign up now for your invaluable report

How To Turn Your Forex Trading Into A Business

20-day avg: 1.1135
50-day avg: 1.1089
100-day avg: 1.1063
200-day avg: 1.1138

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points





AT Trader john 10:37 GMT January 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 January 2020

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 14 Jan 2020
AA 13:30 US- CPI
Wed 15 Jan 2019
A 09:30 GB- CPI
A 10:00 EZ- Production
A 13:30 US- PPI
B 15:00 US- Lead Indicators
A 15:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 16 Jan 2019
A 10:00 EZ- ECB Minutes
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
AA 13:30 US- Retail Sales
A 13:30 US- Philly Fed
A 15:00 US- NAHB
Fri 17 Jan 2019
A 09:30 GB- Retail Sales
A 10:00 EZ- Final HICP
A 13:30 US- House Starts/Permits
B 13:30 US- Empire PMI
A 14:15 US- Industrial Production
A 15:00 US- JOLTS
AA 15:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


london red 07:55 GMT January 14, 2020
eurgbp
Reply   
neckline tested yesterday while today briefly breached. may need to backfill today. if neckline breached on close, expect the full move to play out.

london red 07:27 GMT January 13, 2020
GBPUSD 13000: Reply
eurgbp. failure to close at or below 8532 channel risks move up to inverse shs neck at 8582. a successful break higher there can see 88 cents targeted.

dc CB 06:06 GMT January 14, 2020
OK here's a Test

you didn't even bother to look----right in front of you face

Operation Date: 01/13/2020
Operation Type: Outright Coupon Purchase

look at the list of the issues The DESK bought---
Seems to be they are all 30Year Bonds.

but the FED swore up and down they were only buying short term Bills --- no Notes and def NOT the Long Bond.

So you just keep fussing about Mouths and will thye raise rates.

HK [email protected] 05:45 GMT January 14, 2020
As stupid as a politician can be!
Reply   
.
Trudeau said Canada did not receive a heads up before the United States killed Soleimani, and that he "obviously" would have preferred one.

"The U.S. makes its determinations. We attempt to work as an international community on big issues. But sometimes countries take actions without informing their allies," he said.

LINK

Israel MacroMicro 02:56 GMT January 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 January 2020

US TREASURY ADDS SWISS FRANC BACK TO ITS CURRENCY WATCH LIST - BLOOMBERG
14 January 2020, 02:03
The US Treasury on Monday added Swiss Franc (CHF) back to its currency watch list and urged Switzerland to adjust its macroeconomic policies to more forcefully support domestic economic activity, according to Bloomberg.

The Treasury report released Monday said:

Despite borrowing costs for the Swiss government being among the lowest in the world, fiscal policy remains underutilized, even within the constraints of Switzerland’s existing fiscal rules.

The Swiss Franc is currently trading at 0.9705 against the US dollar, having gained 0.2% on Monday. The Swiss currency is less than 1% away from the 15-month high of 0.9665 reached last week.

Mtl JP 00:51 GMT January 14, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 14 January 2020

asia is showing no fear:
USDJPY N of 110

Mtl JP 00:48 GMT January 14, 2020
OK here's a Test

why could these clowns just step aside, poof! - stop polluting the planet flying around - and let folks trade amongst themselves as they see fit ?

noooo ... oh no!
U.S., Japan, EU to meet on China ahead of Wednesday trade deal signing -USTR

WASHINGTON, Jan 13 (Reuters) - Top trade officials from the United States, Japan and the European Union will huddle in Washington on Tuesday to address non-market-oriented trade policies and subsidies by China, a day before Washington and Beijing finalize a preliminary trade deal.

Mtl JP 00:32 GMT January 14, 2020
OK here's a Test

CB 21:44 today mushroom feeder bostic said (here I am bostic-whispering) : no hike on 29th

now... lots can in two weeks so I will attempt an update on the day prior to their rate announcement if only for my own interest

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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