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Forex Forum Archive for 01/29/2020

Pick a date from the header above to view forum postings for that day.
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HK [email protected] 23:45 GMT January 29, 2020
Please lock me away.
Reply   
.
Hong Kong nurses call in sick in protest at government refusal to close borders

At least 90 nurses took sick leave on Wednesday at three Hong Kong hospitals, ahead of a potential strike planned by a health care workers’ union in protest at the government’s response to the coronavirus.

3,000 medical staff sign petition backing strike action next week

*****

HK [email protected] 23:35 GMT January 29, 2020
7,158/170
Reply   
.
Communist Party group, led by Premier Li Keqiang, calls situation ‘complicated and grave’

Israel MacroMicro 23:35 GMT January 29, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 29 Jan 2020

a yellow one?

Mtl JP 23:31 GMT January 29, 2020
Coronavirus: Whole world 'must take action', warns WHO ...
- bbc

I am looking for a room on a nuclear sub, one than can stay autonomous and submerged ~3yrs

Israel MacroMicro 22:15 GMT January 29, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 29 Jan 2020

hilarious

FARAGE says bye

dc CB 21:36 GMT January 29, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 29 Jan 2020

the F, G, and one A in FAANG r dwn aftr hrs

dc CB 21:34 GMT January 29, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 29 Jan 2020

the F, G, and one A in FAANG r dwn aftr hrs

dc CB 21:26 GMT January 29, 2020
Life in the insane lane
Reply   
TSLA reported. Trading either side of $620 currently.

(FWIW/imho Tesla's Big Ho(y)pe is factories and sales in CHINA!!!!>... what could possibly go wron)

Israel MacroMicro 20:56 GMT January 29, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 29 Jan 2020

wrong about LOD
but profitable :)

AT Trader 20:52 GMT January 29, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 30 Jan 2020

Late Wednesday
DJ: +12
SP: -2.8


2-yr 1.415% -4.2
Spread 10s-2s 16.5 bps (+16.4)
10-yr
US: 1.580% -6.1
UK: 0.517% -0.1
DE: -0.377% -0.6


EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEGATIVE
Spot Rate (Pivot Point)
EURUSD 1.1010 (1.1010)
GBPUSD 1.3013 (1.3011)
EURGBP 0.8459 (0.8458)
USDJPY 109.06 (109.10)

this week 1.0993-1.1038 (45) pips

wed: 1.0993-1.1028 (35)
tue: 1.0998-1.1026 (28)
mon: 1.1010-1.1038 (28)
fri: 1.1020-1.1062 (42)
thu: 1.1037-1.1109 (72)


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20-day avg: 1.1101
50-day avg: 1.1094
100-day avg: 1.1069
200-day avg: 1.1127

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dc CB 20:25 GMT January 29, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 30 Jan 2020

doubling the numbers out of china tonite will soon see the 30Y following

AT Trader john 20:12 GMT January 29, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 30 Jan 2020

10s 1.587% -5.4bp

dc CB 20:02 GMT January 29, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

The part you may have not read---yet.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

The Federal Reserve has made the following decisions to implement the monetary policy stance announced by the Federal Open Market Committee in its statement on January 29, 2020

*As part of its policy decision, the Federal Open Market Committee voted to authorize and direct the Open Market Desk at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, until instructed otherwise, to execute transactions in the System Open Market Account in accordance with the following domestic policy directive:

Implementation Note issued January 29, 2020

dc CB 19:51 GMT January 29, 2020
Pre FOMC
Reply   
Earlier - Dudley DoRight did a 'frontrun' via Bloomberg

Equities are being driven by low rates and a healthy economy, not central bank T-bill purchases.
Bill Dudley(former Head, FedReserve Bank of New York, aka THE DESK)

Fed’s Repo Response Isn’t Fueling the Stock Market

Israel MacroMicro 19:42 GMT January 29, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 29 Jan 2020

indices to print new LOD
imo

AT Trader 19:16 GMT January 29, 2020
BREAKING NEWS
Reply   
U.S. Fed Policy Decision January 29, 2020






NEWS ALERT
Fed Funds Target Range unchanged at 1.50% to 1.75%

RELEASE: Policy Statement


Mtl JP 19:00 GMT January 29, 2020
FOMC Rate: unch'gd

Mtl JP 18:49 GMT January 29, 2020
Winners and Losers

MaMi 18:37 - regardless of who I hug, I like the order of hug/hygene reversed. just personal preference.

Israel MacroMicro 18:48 GMT January 29, 2020
Winners and Losers

open-minded Chinese?
pork as national dish in Saudi Arabia first :)

Mtl JP 18:45 GMT January 29, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 29 Jan 2020

dear john,
at the last meeting, I have gone out of my way to try make it clear that we, the Fed gang, are sitting tight unless our outlook changes in some major way and that only a significant and persistent rise in inflation would would kick us out dozing in bed and run to tighten.

we are sensitive to the markets thirst for liquidity altho we try to ignore the screetching out of the W/House.

we have tried - gosh did we ever try - to make you think that when I Chairman Powell comment I do so to remind you of our prudence in sage stewardship. Please also remember that we are fans of little higher inflation for little longer ... lest you start to doubt our comittement to low rates for next while.

yours,
brother jerome

Minneapolis DRS2 18:45 GMT January 29, 2020
Winners and Losers

On the latest ADVChina video on YouTube, the hosts address a situation where no Africans are allowed in the hotels in some Chinese city. Racism indeed.

Truth be told, not everyone in China wants it this way...it will take a generation or two or three to be more open. Chinese kids are going out into the world, and the world is slowly going into China.

Is the mandate of heaven moving away from Xi and/or the CCP?

Israel MacroMicro 18:37 GMT January 29, 2020
Winners and Losers

JP 18:30

this is so sad, hug them and teach them basic hygiene.

HK [email protected] 18:37 GMT January 29, 2020
Hiding the real numbers of the infected is a real world conspiracy.
Reply   
.
No Gov. in the world would like to hear that the infection has already spread to hundred thousand individuals.

World panic is the last thing world leaders want.
It will just put on them public pressure to take more dramatic actions against the spread of the virus. It can also have implications on the financial system.

Here is a recorded phone conversation I made secretly between Trump and Xi.

Trump: Hello my best friend Xi

Xi: Hello to you too my friend Trump. Greetings from me and the CCP.

Trump: I would like to ask you sincerely, how many confirmed cases of N-Corona virus infections do you have in China?

Xi: about half a million.

Trump: Oy shut up!!! Don't ever mention it to the public. And I too never heard it.

Xi: Why? What bothers you I want to disclose the truth to the world.
We are blamed of hiding the real numbers.

Trump: Don't do that, because my Baby-Dow will crash and I can lose the next elections.

Mtl JP 18:30 GMT January 29, 2020
Winners and Losers

winners and losers
---------------------
‘No Chinese allowed’: Racism and fear are now spreading along with the coronavirus

As Chinese health officials and citizens struggle to contain the coronavirus, people in countries including South Korea, Malaysia, the U.K. and Canada are reporting the spread of anti-Chinese racism.

AT Trader john 18:29 GMT January 29, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 30 Jan 2020
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Thu 30 Jan 2019
A 09:00 DE- Employment
AA 19:00 GB- BOE Decision
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 13:30 US- GDP
Fri 31 Jan 2019
A 07:00 DE- Retail Sales
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 13:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 15:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


AT Trader john 18:28 GMT January 29, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 29 Jan 2020

Pre-Fed 10s 1.617% -2.4bp

Mtl JP 18:17 GMT January 29, 2020
How Many?

Chinese authorities = Chinese communists

HK [email protected] 18:14 GMT January 29, 2020
How Many?
Reply   
.
At press time, Chinese authorities have documented 6,061 cases of coronavirus infection within its borders. Of those, 132 people have died, all within China. Scientists contend, however, that this number is significantly smaller than the actual number of people infected. Northeastern University estimates suggest that as many as 25,000 people are currently infected within China alone. University of Hong Kong’s medical school nearly doubled that amount, revealing that its mathematical estimates reveal as many as 44,000 people in China alone are carriers.

HK [email protected] 18:00 GMT January 29, 2020
For such a statement, there is no need to waste public funds.
Reply   
.
Human spread of virus in three countries outside China worrying: WHO chief

Minneapolis DRS2 16:47 GMT January 29, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 29 Jan 2020

Heh...call me when Coronavirus impacts iPhone production.

Mtl JP 16:35 GMT January 29, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 29 Jan 2020

New Headline:
Growing number of airlines cancel flights to contain global spread of coronavirus

like countryside firemen... arriving to save the basement

Mtl JP 16:34 GMT January 29, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 29 Jan 2020

New Headline:
Growing number of airlines cancel flights to contain global spread of coronavirus

like countryside firemen... arriving to save the basement

PAR 16:29 GMT January 29, 2020
TRUMP
Reply   
Looks like Trump will start to talk down the US dollar as usual.

PAR 16:20 GMT January 29, 2020
Negative Rates
Reply   
Too many drugs kill the patient.


Ouch! ECB's M3 growth rate sharply decreased to 5% in Dec from 5.6% in Nov. Credit growth to firms slowed to 3.2% from 3.4%, the slowest growth since 2017 and way short of the 4.5% target necessary for decent Eurozone GDP growth.

Mtl JP 16:17 GMT January 29, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 29 Jan 2020

Airlines around the world are suspending flights to China as the coronavirus spreads - CNN.com·15 mins ago

Airlines Suspend Flights to China Amid Coronavirus Fears - Time·5 hrs ago
***
****
Should they not be suspending flights OUT of china instead ?
Blockade maritime ports and land routes ?

Mtl JP 15:53 GMT January 29, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 29 Jan 2020

ahead of FOMC and jerome's mushroom feeding
EURO 1.10050
-
In case of EURO popping over 1.1020/30 would mean jerome's spew being perceived - willfully or not - by players as depressing (or dovish if u prefer)

AT Trader 15:34 GMT January 29, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

US EIA Weekly Inventories

U.S. Data Charts






NEWS ALERT
Crude Oil: +3.540 vs. +0.500 vs. -0.400 prev.
Distillates: -1.290 vs. -1.300 vs. -1.200 prev.
Gasoline: +1.200 vs. +1.200 exp vs. +1.800 prev.



Weekly Petroleum Status Report



Mtl JP 15:31 GMT January 29, 2020
2020 - I PREDICT -

I predict
FOMC
-
that the next move - not stay pat but move - the FEDs will make will be a rate cut.

GVI Forex Blog 15:25 GMT January 29, 2020
How to Trade in a Low Volatility Forex Market
Reply   

I wrote this article last year and given the lack of volatility so far this year, it is worth reading again. Note the updated table indicates that there is little difference between the past 20 days and one year averages ranges for the major currencies, which suggests you need to adapt to a low volatility market as there is little indication that it will change anytime soon. The following suggestions should help in this regard.

How to Trade in a Low Volatility Forex Market

Mtl JP 15:22 GMT January 29, 2020
Pending Homes Sales = nasty absence of would-be albatross wearers

AT Trader 15:03 GMT January 29, 2020
U.S. Pending Homes Sales December, 2019



ALERT
-4.9% vs. +0.70% exp. vs. +1.20% (r ) prev.



Israel MacroMicro 14:19 GMT January 29, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 29 Jan 2020

two facts about today's FED meeting

no policy changes
no news in statements and during the presser

so, enjoy trading

HK [email protected] 13:33 GMT January 29, 2020
AUS/USD targeting 0.6640

.
If you want to be safer 0.67 is more probable to reach.

AT Trader 13:32 GMT January 29, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

U.S. (USD bn) Advance Goods Balance December 2019



ALERT
-68.33 vs. -64.5 exp. vs. -63.2 prev.
U.S. Balance on Goods and Services


HK [email protected] 13:31 GMT January 29, 2020
AUS/USD targeting 0.6640
Reply   
.
Any long position is risky.

Still trending down.

HK [email protected] 13:05 GMT January 29, 2020
A bit of History, for those who point to a cover up of the 2019-Corona virus by the Chinese administ
Reply   
.
The Tuskegee Syphilis Experiment.

Of all of the breaches of medical ethics in history, it's hard to think of one more heinous than the "Tuskegee Study of Untreated Syphilis in the Negro Male," which was conducted by the U.S. Public Health Service (PHS), working with the Tuskegee Institute, from 1932 to 1972. Researchers initially recruited 600 men, including 399 who tested positive for syphilis ...
Researchers didn't tell the infected men that they had the disease or that the purpose of the study was to document how the disease destroyed their bodies. The men were only told they would receive free medical care for "bad blood," a vague term that didn't imply a specific medical condition. And even when penicillin, an effective treatment for syphilis, became available in 1947, the researchers didn't offer it to them [source: CDC]. Between 28 and 100 of the participants died from syphilis, but the death toll may have been higher, since they may have infected others unknowingly [source: Tuskegee Syphilis Legacy Committee].
The resulting outcry forced PHS to shut down the study in 1972 [source: Beech].
The following summer, the government settled a $10 million lawsuit brought by survivors and their families and provided them with lifetime medical care [source: CDC].

AT Trader john 13:01 GMT January 29, 2020
10s 1.634% -0.7bp
DJ +162
SP +14.9

Modest risk on

Fed Decision this afternoon No change in rates expected, but expect Powell to reassure markets that the Fed is closely monitoring the impact of the Corona Virus and stands ready to act on policy if needed.

USA ZEUS 12:55 GMT January 29, 2020
CHF/JPY Reversal

USA ZEUS 16:26 GMT January 15, 2020
CHF/JPY is ready to reverse.
Short at 114.12
Cheers!
______________________________________
Now 111.xx Take gains at your liesure.

Cheers!

HK [email protected] 12:09 GMT January 29, 2020
Take your time babY.
Reply   
.
Swiss drugmaker Novartis believes it will take at least 12 months to find a new vaccine to treat the coronavirus, given the fast spread of the outbreak, according to CEO Vasant Narasimhan.

LINK

Minneapolis DRS2 11:59 GMT January 29, 2020
From UK Telegraph. Another story(video).

Unfortunately, the fact of the matter is that like many things in life, the people who talk (like us and the media) don't know what's really going on, and the people who know what's really going on aren't talking. That is what happens in closed societies, where speculation isn't very enlightening. Posting videos of construction workers running around is useful for public image, but IMHO it's a little late for dealing with the current public health crisis.



AT Trader 11:57 GMT January 29, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 29 Jan 2020

Early Wednesday
DJ: +101
SP: +12.7


2-yr 1.461% +2.6
Spread 10s-2s 16.4bps (+18.8)
10-yr
US: 1.625% -1.6
UK: 0.536% -1.6
DE: -0.372% +0.6


EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEGATIVE
Spot Rate (Pivot Point)
EURUSD 1.1002 (1.1013)
GBPUSD 1.3012 (1.3016)
EURGBP 0.8455 (0.8460)
USDJPY 109.05 (109.04)

this week 1.0994-1.1038 (44) pips

wed: 1.0994-1.1028 (34) tue: 1.0998-1.1026 (28)
mon: 1.1010-1.1038 (28)
fri: 1.1020-1.1062 (42)
thu: 1.1037-1.1109 (72)
wed: 1.1075-1.1095 (20)


Sign up now for your invaluable report

How To Turn Your Forex Trading Into A Business

20-day avg: 1.1112
50-day avg: 1.1096
100-day avg: 1.1069
200-day avg: 1.1127

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points





Amman wfakhoury 11:36 GMT January 29, 2020
EURUSD 10988
Reply   
10988 is coming
now 11000

AT Trader john 11:31 GMT January 29, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 29 Jan 2020

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Thu 30 Jan 2019
A 09:00 DE- Employment
AA 19:00 GB- BOE Decision
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 13:30 US- GDP
Fri 31 Jan 2019
A 07:00 DE- Retail Sales
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 13:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 15:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


HK [email protected] 11:05 GMT January 29, 2020
Zerohedge a main source for AliBaba stories.
Reply   
.
British news papers very yellow.

HK [email protected] 11:00 GMT January 29, 2020
It has been said that the hole they were digging is ...
Reply   
.
Fake news.

Dead bodies should be cremated to avoid spread of the virus through underground water system.

HK [email protected] 10:59 GMT January 29, 2020
It has been said that the hole they were digging is ...
Reply   
.
Fake news.

Dead bodies should be cremated to avoid spread of the virus through underground water system.

Mtl JP 10:58 GMT January 29, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 29 Jan 2020

..."cover everything up"... thks for the hint

Mtl JP 10:57 GMT January 29, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 29 Jan 2020

EU GE 10:25 do you feel friski ? try playing dlrjpy 109-ish either side .
your choice

Minneapolis DRS2 10:55 GMT January 29, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 29 Jan 2020

It was a UK Telegraph story as I recall...unconfirmed commentary appeared on other places like Zero Hedge. Official CCP policy is to cover everything up to save face, so who knows what the facts are...

Mtl JP 10:49 GMT January 29, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 29 Jan 2020

DRS2 10:45 Jan 27 Is China really building a hospital? It has been said that the hole they were digging is ...

What is the source of that report ?


****
****
Does china have an equivalent to Corporal Dwayne Hicks of United States Colonial Marine Corp ?

EU GE 10:25 GMT January 29, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 29 Jan 2020

Any trade ideas?

PAR 09:40 GMT January 29, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA

ECB just keeps squeezing the European bond markets.

ECB will not stop till it pushes Italian 10 years below ZERO.

A massive transfer of capital from Northern Europe to Southern Europe has been going on since Draghi's last meeting.

HK [email protected] 09:16 GMT January 29, 2020
British Airways suspends all flights to China as coronavirus spreads
Reply   
.
"We have suspended all flights to and from mainland China with immediate effect following advice from the Foreign Office against all but essential travel," the company said in a statement Wednesday.
The UK's Foreign Office warned people against traveling to mainland China in all but essential cases on Tuesday.
It's the most drastic action yet by a major airline as the deadly coronavirus continues to spread.

Will the US follow?

Maybe no, because the Baby-Dow may crush, as it can draw panic reaction.

LINK

PAR 09:14 GMT January 29, 2020
BANCO SANTANDER
Reply   
Ana Botin on negative rates.

The negatives from negative rates outweigh the positives.
It is no longer working. Its is hurting savers, especially small saver.

Loans are coming down in Europe.

I don't know what the ECB is looking at, but it is not working anymore.

hk win10 08:17 GMT January 29, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA

Conclusion: US has got biggest room to increase balance sheet

PAR 07:59 GMT January 29, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA
Reply   
ECB balance sheet jumps by a whopping €14bn as Lagarde continues the monetary policy of her predecessor Draghi and keeps printing press rumbling. Total assets now at €4,674.4bn, equal to 40.4% of Eurozone GDP vs Fed's 19.2% and BoJ's 102.6%.

jkt abel 03:44 GMT January 29, 2020
China's Hubei province has reported another 840 new confirmed coronavirus cases

Thanos in action, no need infinity stones, just a virus

Mtl JP 02:04 GMT January 29, 2020
winners and losers
---------------------
Tim Hortons halts sales of Beyond Meat products in Canada, report

POOF! beginning of the end

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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