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Forex Forum Archive for 11/02/2020

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dc CB 22:28 GMT November 2, 2020
USa today: it's not Orwell or Huxley, it's Bernays on display
Reply   


Early Life, “Uncle Sigi” and first experiences in Public Relations

Edward Bernays was born in 1891 in Vienna, Austria, but emigrated at the age of two with his family to New York, USA. He was a nephew of the famous neurologist and founder of psychoanalysis, Sigmund Freud.

Bernays finished High School at the age of 16 and started to study agriculture at the Cornell University to placate his father. After getting his degree in 1912, Bernays abandoned farm products and found work editing a medical review. He continued to work as a journalist for three years, until he switched sides and became a press-agent.

Influenced by his famous uncle Sigmund Freud, to whom he often referred to as “uncle Sigi”, Bernays developed an interest in the human psych and the functions of decision making. Freud had taught Bernays the importance of group psychology when influencing humans. Bernays, interested in advertising and propaganda, understood at an early age that the notions, longings, questions and unconscious desires of human beings have to be known, shaped and led in order to influence them accordingly.

dc CB 21:58 GMT November 2, 2020
Is Joe Biden Good or Bad for the Dollar?

the genius of the democrats, another great move the day before the election.....ya thinks dat this make give Trump and the republicans a few more votes.......????
And yes, Michigan is an important 'swing state'.
__________________________________________________

Democratic Governor Gretchen Whitmer has moved her state one step closer to a true Orwellian paradise, asking her citizens to surrender their privacy every time they want a cheeseburger and a coke at their local diner.

Effective this week, diners in Michigan are now going to be required to produce their full name and contact information simply for wanting to eat out at a restaurant or bar.

A new release from the Michigan Department of Health and Human Services said: “Like many other businesses in Michigan, bars and restaurants will also be required to take names and contact information to support effective contact tracing if necessary.”

Violating the order could result in a $1,000 fine, a misdemeanor, and potentially imprisonment, the DHS said: “Violations are punishable by a civil fine up to $1,000 and may also be treated as a misdemeanor punishable by imprisonment for not more than six months or a fine of not more than $200, or both. In addition, failure to comply with orders may violate a business or professional’s licensure requirements or present a workplace safety violation.”

https://www.zerohedge.com/political/michigan-governor-whitmer-goes-full-orwell-demands-full-names-phone-numbers-all

AT Trader john 21:07 GMT November 2, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 3 November 2020

LATE Monday: MIXED RISK
DJ: 26,924 +423
SP: 3,310 +40
NQ: 10,958 +46

2-yr 0.158% +0.6 bp
Spread 10s-2s +68.2 bp (+71.6)
10-yr

US: 0.840% -0.3 bp
UK: 0.217% -0.9 bp
DE: -0.637% +0.2 bp

EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEGATIVE
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.1629 (1.1636)
GBPUSD 1.2901 (1.2900)
EURGBP 0.9013 (0.9099)
USDJPY 104.83 (104.75)

THIS Week 1.1656-1.1623 (23 pips)
mon: 1.1656-1.1623 (23)
fri 1.1705-1.1640 (65)
thu: 1.1760-1.1650 (110)
wed: 1.1798-1.1718 (80)
tue: 1.1839-1.1796 (43)

20-d avg: 1.1775
50-day avg: 1.1784
100-day avg: 1.1666
200-day avg: 1.1327

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points





GVI Forex Blog 19:44 GMT November 2, 2020
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 2 November 2020
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points

Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 2 November 2020

dc CB 19:22 GMT November 2, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 3 November 2020

Trading the markets Nov 2 thru 6 2020, in 5 pictures.
The 5th shot - Friday.

riding the Big Stuff ---1-5

Israel MacroMicro 18:26 GMT November 2, 2020
Is Joe Biden Good or Bad for the Dollar?

CB 18:06

BRENT CRUDE @ 150++

dc CB 18:06 GMT November 2, 2020
Is Joe Biden Good or Bad for the Dollar?


price that !

as seen

AT Trader john 17:44 GMT November 2, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 3 November 2020
Reply   
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium
Tue 3 Nov 2020
AA US Elections all day
Wed 4 Nov 2020
Final Service PMIs all day
AA 03:30 AU- RBA Decision
A 08:55 DE- Employment
A 10:00 EZ- PPI
A 13:15 US- ADP Payrolls
A 13:30 US/CA- Trade
A 15:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 5 Mov 2020
AA 12:00 GB- BOE Decision
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 13:30 US- Productivity
AA 19:00 US- Fed Decision
Fri 5 Nov 2020
A 13:30 US/CA- Employment


dc CB 17:38 GMT November 2, 2020
Is Joe Biden Good or Bad for the Dollar?

lockdowns, shut schools???

time to re-purpose Greta Thunberg's most famous line from her UN speach.

'How dare you!, I should be in school!'

Israel MacroMicro 17:34 GMT November 2, 2020
Is Joe Biden Good or Bad for the Dollar?

Biden wants to be a president
so?

Mtl JP 17:27 GMT November 2, 2020
Is Joe Biden Good or Bad for the Dollar?

biden's covid scientific advisor Dr wants a total 8 week-long shutdown.

price that !

PAR 17:26 GMT November 2, 2020
Is Joe Biden Good or Bad for the Dollar?

Imho. Y€$ a Biden victory should be good for $ . Bigger deficits ultimately will lead to higher rates and a higher $.

Lagarde on the other hand is not allowed by Macron to raise rates and is even pushed to lower rates further into negative territory.

Mtl JP 17:11 GMT November 2, 2020
How to Trade a Political Forex Market

EURO 1.1631-ish
-
unenthusistically bullish
Resisted 1.1650 already
S at 1.1620/10/00

dc CB 16:58 GMT November 2, 2020
Is Joe Biden Good or Bad for the Dollar?

'Historians of the future, pan-frying sowbugs over their campfires, will recollect in wonder and nausea the election of 2020 and the attempted controlled demolition of the USA by the Woke Rebellion and its incongruous avatar, Joe Biden, the Holy Ghost of Grift and Gaslight. All the forces of empire were arrayed in his support, as behind some sacred effigy of an obscure saint in a church processional, and yet all the voting public saw was a pitiful figure ranting at an audience of cars, an old dog barking pointlessly in a parking lot in the gathering darkness.'

Clusterf^k Nation 11-2-20

The Awful Reckoning - J H Kunstler

GVI Forex 16:54 GMT November 2, 2020
Is Joe Biden Good or Bad for the Dollar?

Should work in all browsers.

Israel MacroMicro 16:52 GMT November 2, 2020
Is Joe Biden Good or Bad for the Dollar?

it is asking for another browser than we use

Israel MacroMicro 16:51 GMT November 2, 2020
Is Joe Biden Good or Bad for the Dollar?

huh means sidelines?

GVI Forex 16:51 GMT November 2, 2020
Is Joe Biden Good or Bad for the Dollar?

Put it in the survey.

Israel MacroMicro 16:50 GMT November 2, 2020
Is Joe Biden Good or Bad for the Dollar?

DOWN

Mtl JP 16:50 GMT November 2, 2020
Is Joe Biden Good or Bad for the Doillar?

Is the dollar likely to go up or down over time under a Biden administration?

Yes

No

huh ?

GVI Forex 16:48 GMT November 2, 2020
Is Joe Biden Good or Bad for the Doilar?

The question is

. Is the dollar likely to go up or down over time under a Biden administration?


This is why we add a comments section as this is where we get the real sense of sentiment.

Israel MacroMicro 16:45 GMT November 2, 2020
Is Joe Biden Good or Bad for the Dollar?

I do not understand the question

GVI Forex 16:29 GMT November 2, 2020
Is Joe Biden Good or Bad for the Dollar?
Reply   


Click below to state your view.

Is Joe Biden good or bad for the dollar?

Mtl JP 15:53 GMT November 2, 2020
Debt all over the world

PAR but BUT ... just have a look at the results the

ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA
delivered earlier today:
EZ Final Manufacturing PMIs (ref john 08:46)

how can one not be a euro bull, even if only mild and tame ?
1.16265 as I type

Mtl JP 15:35 GMT November 2, 2020
How to Trade a Political Forex Market

FWIW AND FYI
biden - covid - scientist
-
just in case biden takes the presidency
biden is on record claiming he would listen to
Dr. Ezekiel J. Emanuel
-
Below link to op by BETSY MCCAUGHEY at BostonHerald:

Beware Joe Biden’s coronavirus advisers

PAR 15:15 GMT November 2, 2020
Debt all over the world
Reply   
Debt-to-GDP

S&P Global Ratings sees global debt, as a percentage of GDP, swelling to a record 265% this year, and insolvencies and defaults rising to levels not seen since the 2009 crisis. A near-term crisis, though, is unlikely given the expected economic recovery, a COVID-19 vaccine by mid-2021, favorable financing conditions, and sovereign, corporate, and household spending and borrowing behaviors. "The heavier corporate debt will delay the recovery of credit metrics beyond 2022 for the hardest-hit sectors (such as airlines, leisure, and oil and gas)," according to the report.

AT Trader john 15:00 GMT November 2, 2020
NEWS

U.S. ISM Manufacturing PMI October 2020



LATEST DATA

59.3 vs. 55.6 exp. vs. 55.4 prev.
RELEASE: ISM Manufacturing PMI


AT Trader john 14:45 GMT November 2, 2020
NEWS





LATEST DATA
53.4 vs. 53.3 exp. vs. 53.3 prev.


AT Trader john 14:30 GMT November 2, 2020
NEWS
Reply   
Canada RBC-Markit PMI (sa) October 2020





LATEST DATA
55.5 vs. n/a exp. vs. 56.0 prev.


Israel MacroMicro 13:57 GMT November 2, 2020
Just a reminder from Oct/10/2020

hey habibi, no TRY updates today?

Israel MacroMicro 12:45 GMT November 2, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 2 November 2020

Kevin 12:32

in a rush to reach their belly dancing class on time?

haifa ac 12:45 GMT November 2, 2020
Just a reminder from Oct/10/2020
Reply   
Joe Biden, whose lead is widening in the polls, is up on Wall Street, too. Many investment strategists suggest that his presidency could be a blessing for the economy and the stock market.

Investment strategists at Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, and Barclays all said this week that a strong victory by Biden would be good for markets because it would reduce uncertainty and ensure more coronavirus relief spending next year.
https://www.washingtonexaminer.com/news/investment-bankers-say-a-biden-victory-could-be-great-for-wall-street-and-stocks

HK Kevin 12:32 GMT November 2, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 2 November 2020

Is it the last day of running for fire exit for equity holders?

Israel MacroMicro 11:09 GMT November 2, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 2 November 2020

Mtl JP 10:22

heaven on earth

AT Trader john 10:16 GMT November 2, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 2 November 2020

Analysts dismissing better (slightly) revisions to European PMIs today as economies face increased restrictions due to resurgence of COVID- 19.

Mtl JP 10:12 GMT November 2, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 2 November 2020

this a good one....
(reminder: "debt endures" - Carney Sep. 30 2010)
an easier to get, slashed loan :

..."The Fed announced Friday it was easing some of the conditions around its Main Street Lending Program for small- and medium-sized businesses. The central bank slashed the minimum loan to $100,000 from $250,000 and eased the debt restrictions for applicants."...

Mtl JP 09:56 GMT November 2, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 2 November 2020

EURO 1.1642, SnP 3302.75

oooooohh ....the unbearable pressure on
Thu 5 Mov 2020
AA 19:00 US- Fed Decision


KEY POINTS
- The Federal Open Market Committee holds its policy meeting Nov. 4-5.
- Market participants think the Fed probably will wait to announce more policy moves, but recent developments could change that.
- Fears of an economic slowdown due to the rise in coronavirus cases could bring more urgency.

FEDERAL RESERVE
The Fed could face more pressure to act: ‘They don’t have the luxury of time anymore’
- Jeff Cox

Mtl JP 09:52 GMT November 2, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 2 November 2020

EURO 1.1642, SnP 3302.75

oooooohh ....the unbearable pressure on
Thu 5 Mov 2020
AA 19:00 US- Fed Decision


KEY POINTS
- The Federal Open Market Committee holds its policy meeting Nov. 4-5.
- Market participants think the Fed probably will wait to announce more policy moves, but recent developments could change that.
- Fears of an economic slowdown due to the rise in coronavirus cases could bring more urgency.

AT Trader john 09:45 GMT November 2, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 2 November 2020

Personal Observations
I don't think traders will have big ideas ahead of National elections tomorrow in the U.S. The election process is a mess due to adjustments made due to the Coronavirus. Its anyone's guess when the final outcome will be known. Typically, the outcome of the vote is known before Wednesday. This time the process could be slowed significantly due to the reversion to paper ballots submitted by mail. If the results end up in the courts, It could be a good while (days, weeks?) until the final results are known.

Equity markets don't seem to care who wins. They are making a positive bet on shares, figuring no matter who wins that an economic stimulus package is likely in the next month or so. In pre-market trade, U.S. equities are up.

In Brexit talks, markets are reacting to word that progress is being made in negotiations and that some sort of agreement will be reached by mid-month. EURGBP is higher.

The USDCAD is lower and the Aussie is up. WTI is higher.

Amazing Trader Reviews

haifa ac 09:35 GMT November 2, 2020
Intresting vignette about Trump
Reply   
I saw a documentary of Trump. His father sent him to a military academy which he finished quite well.
When asked what was the most important lesson he got in that school he said: "I learned that the only way to win is to TRAMP."
That is exactly what he did all his life. So far he was rather successful.

AT Trader john 09:33 GMT November 2, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 2 November 2020

GB Final Manufacturing PMI October 2020





-- NEWS ALERT --

53.7 vs. 53.3 exp. vs. 53.3 (r ) prev.





AT Trader john 09:12 GMT November 2, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 2 November 2020

Monday: MIXED RISK
DJ: 26,417 +25
SP: 3,269 +6
NQ: 11,077 +37

2-yr 0.154% +0.0 bp
Spread 10s-2s +71.6 bp (+72.1)
10-yr

US: 0.870% +1.1 bp
UK: 0.254% -0.9 bp
DE: -0.622% +0.2 bp

EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEGATIVE
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.1640 (1.1664)
GBPUSD 1.2980 (1.2947)
EURGBP 0.9038 (0.9009)
USDJPY 104.86 (104.41)

LSST Week 1.1861-1.1640 (221 pips)
mon: 1.1651-1.1622 (29)
fri 1.1705-1.1640 (65)
thu: 1.1760-1.1650 (110)
wed: 1.1798-1.1718 (80)
tue: 1.1839-1.1796 (43)

20-d avg: 1.1780
50-day avg: 1.1788
100-day avg: 1.1664
200-day avg: 1.1324

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points





Israel MacroMicro 08:48 GMT November 2, 2020
How to Trade a Political Forex Market

in general, the markets waiting to results much more than they wait to know who is to be the president.

as once you have results you can apply a theme, so far there is no theme to apply in time frame longer than 12hrs without rechecking the theme R/R ratio.

imo

haifa ac 08:47 GMT November 2, 2020
Prince William and Kate Middlton
Reply   
begin to look like Bonny and Clyde.
They are little robbers and now the prince is hiding his corona which means he is a potential killer. Fine Royal flush.

AT Trader john 08:46 GMT November 2, 2020
News
Reply   

EZ Final Manufacturing PMIs October 2020





ALERT
08:45 Italy
mfg: 53.8 vs. 53.6 vs. 53.2

07:50 France
mfg: 51.3 vs. 51.0 exp. vs. 51.0 flash
07:55 Germany
mfg: 58.2 vs. 58.0 exp. vs. 58.0 flash
09:00 EZ
mfg: 54.8 vs. 54.4 exp. vs. 54.4 flash



AT Trader john 08:09 GMT November 2, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 2 November 2020

AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium
Sun 1 Nov 2020
US/CA- Clocks move back one hour
Mon 2 Nov 2020
Final Mfg PMIs all day
AA JP- Holiday
Tue 3 Nov 2020
AA US Elections all day
Wed 4 Nov 2020
Final Service PMIs all day
AA 03:30 AU- RBA Decision
A 08:55 DE- Employment
A 10:00 EZ- PPI
A 13:15 US- ADP Payrolls
A 13:30 US/CA- Trade
A 15:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 5 Mov 2020
AA 12:00 GB- BOE Decision
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 13:30 US- Productivity
AA 19:00 US- Fed Decision
Fri 5 Nov 2020
A 13:30 US/CA- Employment


Israel MacroMicro 07:47 GMT November 2, 2020
Riots

I think that Trump to win as the ultimate loser (=Lapid) talks about Biden winning lol

haifa ac 07:42 GMT November 2, 2020
Riots
Reply   
Here, in Israel, (people are very involved in the U.S. Elections, everyone has wish and an opinion, mostly for Trump) there is a hot debate:
Which side is going to be more violent. The Left reacting to Trump win or the Right reacting to Biden win.
It is almost funny.

Hk Ab 01:21 GMT November 2, 2020
Gold
Reply   
Very interesting volatility

Mtl JP 00:49 GMT November 2, 2020
How to Trade a Political Forex Market

How to Trade a Political Forex Market
-
Biden leads Trump by 10 percentage points in latest national poll
- MarketWatch

- The 2020 election race is still tight between Trump and Biden - cnbc

Sprinkle a bit of scientist's powder:
‘We’re in for a whole lot of hurt,’ Fauci says, warning U.S. needs ‘abrupt change’ to avoid winter coronavirus disaster - MarketWatch

**
SnP500: 3250.25
Gold: 1874.10
EURO: 1.16382
DLRx: 94.015


 




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GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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