GVI Forex 23:10 GMT November 4, 2020
GBP
Reply
Taking a hit on reports the BOE may increase QE and evff Ed n consider negative rates at Thursday�s BOE meeting.
Israel MacroMicro 21:31 GMT November 4, 2020
Vote
still some cannabis stocks are attractive to buy
Biden will legalize the industry.
happy potting
GVI Forex 21:27 GMT November 4, 2020
Vote
Reply
CNN calls Michigan for Biden
AT Trader john 21:08 GMT November 4, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 November 2020
LATE Wednesday: RISK ON
DJ: 27,850 +370
SP: 3,443 +74
NQ: 11,591 +430
2-yr 0.145% -2.3 bp
Spread 10s-2s +63.1 bp (+62.0)
10-yr
US: 0.776% -10.6 bp
UK: 0.211% +0.3 bp
DE: -0.637% +0.1 bp
EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEGATIVE
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.1711 (1.1695)
GBPUSD 1.2981 (1.3012)
EURGBP 0.9021 (0.9001)
USDJPY 104.48 (104.66)
THIS Week 1.1771-1.1603 (168 pips)
wed: 1.1771-1.1603 (168)
tue: 1.1740-1.1636 (104)
mon: 1.1656-1.1623 (23)
fri 1.1705-1.1640 (65)
thu: 1.1760-1.1650 (110)
20-d avg: 1.1765
50-day avg: 1.1778
100-day avg: 1.1676
200-day avg: 1.1333
Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points
NY JM 20:26 GMT November 4, 2020
Sell USD (if Harris wins)
Don�t get carried away. Biden will make it to the inauguration Reserve your judgement until you see who he chooses for his cabinet.
london red 19:16 GMT November 4, 2020
Sell USD (if Harris wins)
forget harris for a while, who is making the decisions for biden while he is still alive. after mixing up his kids again today, its certainly not him. we may never find out if senate stays red. which may well be a good thing.
lakewood jjlkwd 19:13 GMT November 4, 2020
Sell USD (if Harris wins)
so nancy pelosi isnt too high on the totem pole, and has no shot. maybe the senator feinstein from california or gov coumo from ny.
going from bad to worse....
Minneapolis DRS2 19:03 GMT November 4, 2020
Sell USD (if Harris wins)
Call it fundamentals (if you still believe in that sort of thing). In the grand scheme of things, the USD is held together by three things...trade, military force and government competence.
All three elements would be significantly diminished in a Harris administration. There would be believers who would try to prop her up (for the good of the country and all that) but they would fail, and miserably so.
Israel MacroMicro 18:53 GMT November 4, 2020
Sell USD (if Harris wins)
sell USD because it is cycle of nature
why to use Harris as an excuse?
Minneapolis DRS2 18:40 GMT November 4, 2020
Sell USD (if Harris wins)
My understanding (which I admit may be erroneous) is that if Biden didn't make it to the inauguration, then it would be up to the actual electors in the Electoral college to choose a successor. While this could quite likely be Harris, there would be nothing stopping the electors from choosing someone else. The electors are in all cases party loyalists, and they could choose Harris or even Hilary Clinton (!) if they so choose.
Realistically speaking, there would be a negotiation within the Democrat party as to who Biden's successor would be if he didn't make it. That negotiation has probably already taken place, TBH.
The bigger issue (from a trading perspective) is that the Democrat party is chock-full of old people who would be considered incompetent by any reasonable standard. They simply don't have a bench of young and SKILLFUL people to work with...yet another reason to sell the USD if Biden and Harris win. It is one thing to have vicious government when they are skilled and competent, but it is entirely different when the government is both vicious and unskilled.
lakewood jjlkwd 18:26 GMT November 4, 2020
Sell USD (if Harris wins)
anything in the constitution if he cant be inaugurated , will she be the prez or is there new elections?
has it happened before? dont think so
Minneapolis DRS2 18:24 GMT November 4, 2020
Sell USD (if Harris wins)
Reply
Sell USD against all major currencies if Biden/Harris wins.
Even if Biden is elected, he is old and not expected to last very long. In that case, Kamala Harris would become president.
Whatever your politics are, the word "competence" is not something associated with Harris or anyone else associated with her. The US with her as president will turn into even more of a s***show real fast.
Look for sharp spikes in USD, and use them as selling opportunities. The entire worldwide currency structure may collapse due to other factors, but for now you may focus on USD.
PAR 18:15 GMT November 4, 2020
Recounts
Reply
Here we go again. History repeats itself.
london red 17:39 GMT November 4, 2020
gold
gridlock in washington (blues house reds senate) means less stimulus, later. looks imposs for big stimulus until after january. caveat is if covid starts killing off at a faster rate/ second wave. maybe it gets them together. but maybe not.
AT Trader john 17:34 GMT November 4, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 5 November 2020
Reply
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium
Thu 5 Mov 2020
AA 12:00 GB- BOE Decision
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 13:30 US- Productivity
AA 19:00 US- Fed Decision
Fri 5 Nov 2020
A 13:30 US/CA- Employment
PAR 17:32 GMT November 4, 2020
ITALIA
Reply
Italian rates on new record low as Christine is cheerleading central bank buying of every Italian bond she can find. Italian market up over 1000 point on ECB
intervention.
lakewood jjlkwd 17:16 GMT November 4, 2020
gold
Reply
diving on news of wisconsin for biden....
PAR 16:37 GMT November 4, 2020
winners and losers
Some big hedge funds short S&P having a difficult day.
Never fight the central banks.
lakewood jjlkwd 16:25 GMT November 4, 2020
winners and losers
cant answer you as i dont have one.
Israel MacroMicro 16:23 GMT November 4, 2020
winners and losers
Mikey will turn those $1.1B into $1,1T
make no worries about Mikey
Israel MacroMicro 16:09 GMT November 4, 2020
winners and losers
$27'500 per year, per terminal Israeli taxes included
Israel MacroMicro 16:08 GMT November 4, 2020
winners and losers
you are a genius
Xi will call you soon and ask you to be his advisor
london red 15:54 GMT November 4, 2020
winners and losers
fwiw tesla is flat on the day of big winners and big losers
london red 15:52 GMT November 4, 2020
winners and losers
biden wins contested but republicans keep senate. they said the worst result for stocks. i said 5% bottom to top for stocks today. am i a genius or is the game rigged?
PAR 15:51 GMT November 4, 2020
winners and losers
Maybe he bought a massive amount of S&P calls and made everything back?
Mtl JP 15:42 GMT November 4, 2020
winners and losers
jjlkwd 15:27 - what does it cost to have a bbrg terminal on one's desk ?
is there a volume discount ?
AT Trader john 15:34 GMT November 4, 2020
NEWS
US EIA Weekly Inventories
-- LATEST NEWS --
Crude Oil: +7.998 v +2.000 exp v +4.500 prev.
Distillates: -1.585 v -1.200 exp v -0.900 prev.
Gasoline: +1.541 v -2.000 exp v -4.500 prev.
Weekly Petroleum Status Report
lakewood jjlkwd 15:27 GMT November 4, 2020
winners and losers
Reply
One Big Loser: Mike Bloomberg
He spent ONE BILLION DOLLARS to win the presidency in the Democrat primary and lost badly. He then blew 100 MILLION to have Biden win Florida. He lost that too.
Just something to think about!
PAR 15:16 GMT November 4, 2020
VIX
Reply
VIX down 10%.
Is everybody just happy that the election is over?
AT Trader john 15:00 GMT November 4, 2020
NEWS
U.S. ISM Services PMI October 2020
LATEST Data
56.6 vs. 57.4 vs. 57.8 prev. (r. )
AT Trader john 14:46 GMT November 4, 2020
NEWS
U.S. Markit final Services PMI October 2020
LATEST Data
56.9 vs. 56.0 exp. vs. 56.0(flash)
Markit PMI Press Release
london red 14:38 GMT November 4, 2020
US DEBT
11500 a poss buy in for nasdaq. its tricky as a gap to fill to 11350 odd if not.
PAR 14:37 GMT November 4, 2020
Blue Wave
Reply
The blue wave was a fata morgana.
Israel MacroMicro 14:26 GMT November 4, 2020
248-216
#Free_Melania
haifa ac 14:22 GMT November 4, 2020
248-216
264-216
Last few minutes seems that Michigan turned around.
Iffy but the short term trend is for Biden.
Looks like it goes to court!. Trump will claim mail fraud.
Israel MacroMicro 14:14 GMT November 4, 2020
US DEBT
so why gold is so cheap?
PAR 13:35 GMT November 4, 2020
US DEBT
Reply
TREASURY QUARTERLY REFUNDING - Q4 auction sizes (USD): 3-year 54bln (exp. 52bln vs 48bln in August); 10-year 41bln (exp. 38bln vs 38bln in August ); 30-year 27bln (exp. 26bln vs 26bln in August)
PAR 13:25 GMT November 4, 2020
US elections
Reply
Best of both worlds with Trump and Biden both winning the elections.
What a wonderful day.
london red 13:22 GMT November 4, 2020
VIX
gridlock in washington means big tech up (no antitrust) so vix down!
haifa ac 13:21 GMT November 4, 2020
VIX
To shakeout all who bought above 38.3.
That can actually be rather bearish. Market that devotes time and energy to on shakeouts, usually indicates intention to go much further, but only with STRONG holders.
PAR 13:18 GMT November 4, 2020
VIX
Reply
Why is the VIX tumbling down?
haifa ac 12:33 GMT November 4, 2020
S & P Options
Former banker bets $5 million on Trump winning � the largest-ever political bet
He used private bookmakers registered in Cura�ao for the bet at odds of 37/20 � meaning he could get a $15 million payout.
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/former-banker-bets-5-million-on-trump-winning-the-largest-ever-political-bet-11604421643
Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose.
PAR 12:26 GMT November 4, 2020
S & P Options
Reply
Someone has been buying a massive amount of S&P call options.
This is helping the market rally.
haifa ac 12:06 GMT November 4, 2020
248-216
betfair - 1.67 Biden, 2.2 Trump
bwin - 1.65 Biden, 2.2 Trump
GVI Forex 12:00 GMT November 4, 2020
248-216
ac keep us updated on the betting sites
haifa ac 11:27 GMT November 4, 2020
248-216
Reply
with chance to win Nevada, Georgia.
Betting sites flipped to Biden (slightly) last 2 hours. (betfair)
Seems the envelopes ARE more democratic.
PAR 10:14 GMT November 4, 2020
US Elections
As seen in France the elections could increase the Corona cases in the USA in the coming weeks.
AT Trader john 10:00 GMT November 4, 2020
NEWS
EZ PPI October 2020
LATEST DATA
0.30% vs. 0.30% exp. vs. +0.10% (r ) prev.
PAR 09:55 GMT November 4, 2020
RISK ON
World markets are rallying on expectations of unlimited stimulus whoever becomes president.
AT Trader john 09:30 GMT November 4, 2020
NEWS
UK Final Services PMI October 2020
-- LATEST DATA -
51.4 vs. 52.3 exp vs. 52.3 flash.
Minneapolis DRS2 09:26 GMT November 4, 2020
The real tie between Trump and Bibi
Political differences become grounds for imprisonment.
It's easy to guess where this leads.
In the end, there will be no political or legal solution to this problem.
haifa ac 09:23 GMT November 4, 2020
The real tie between Trump and Bibi
Reply
"President Donald Trump is reportedly telling his advisers that he is becoming increasingly nervous about the fact that he could be indicted if he loses the election on Tuesday."
https://www.mediaite.com/uncategorized/trump-reportedly-telling-advisers-hes-increasingly-spooked-at-the-prospect-of-being-indicted-if-he-loses/
Same situation.
PAR 09:21 GMT November 4, 2020
RISK ON
Reply
Central banks stepped in to stabilize the markets.
Coronavirus is forgotten.
Fiscal stimulus is coming everywhere as loans need not be repaid.
Israel MacroMicro 09:12 GMT November 4, 2020
It is a FAUDE!
long corn
popcorn will be in a huge demand with this film
AT Trader john 09:08 GMT November 4, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 4 November 2020
Personal Observations:
There has been no resolution yet to the U.S. Presidential election. We do know for certain that there was no "Blue Wave" victory for the Democrats, because as usual the polls were wrong. Changes in the House and Senate will likely be minimal. The Democrats will continue to control the House while the Republicans are likely to continue to control the Senate. As for the Presidency, that race is too close to call. Hopefully that race could be called by the end of the week. That is by no means certain.
U.S. equity markets are now recovering from losses suffered initially when Biden did not win early last night.
The Risk-ON trade (selling USD) was unwound initially and since then EURUSD had recovered. EURGBP is higher as well.
Amazing Trader Reviews
PAR 08:54 GMT November 4, 2020
US Elections
Reply
" There is no evil in things changing, just as there is no good in persisting in a new state"
AT Trader john 08:50 GMT November 4, 2020
NEWS
Reply
Final Service PMIs October 2020
--LATEST DATA --
Final Service PMIs
France (07:50 GMT)
46.5 vs. 45.6 exp. vs. 45.6 (flash)
Germany (07:55 GMT)
49.5 vs. 48.9 exp. vs. 48.9 (flash)
Eurozone (08:00 GMT)
46.9 vs. 46.2 exp. vs. 46.2 (flash)
Markit PMI Press Release
PAR 08:17 GMT November 4, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 4 November 2020
By Paul Donovan
Wednesday 04 November
The waiting game
There will be a delay before the US election outcomes are known. Pennsylvania may take a couple of days to give its presidential result (because why hurry?), and of course lawyers are getting involved. The composition of the Senate may not be known until the end of today.
Markets are likely to focus on actual votes, and actual law suits, rather than on announcements from either candidate.
Investors should not look to betting markets for guidance. Betting is plutocratic rather than democratic. Betting requires passion (as there is a potential personal loss), while a blas� vote counts the same as a passionate vote at the ballot box.
The election results so far indicate a continued polarisation of US politics. That is troubling for the longer term. Making the US fiscal deficit sustainable will eventually need compromise. Economic success in the fourth industrial revolution needs less prejudice, and thus less polarisation.
Investors' near term focus is around fiscal policy. A fiscal stimulus before the end of this year is plausible if US President Trump is re-elected, unlikely if former US Vice-President Biden is elected. The scale of fiscal stimulus in 2021 is likely to depend on the Senate races and whether there is divided government.
AT Trader john 08:14 GMT November 4, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 4 November 2020
Wednesday: MIXED RISK
DJ: 27,370 -284
SP: 3,361 -16
NQ: 11,388 +146
2-yr 0.155% -1.3 bp
Spread 10s-2s +62.0 bp (+70.9)
10-yr
US: 0.775% -1.1 bp
UK: 0.274% +0.1 bp
DE: -0.662% -0.4 bp
EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEGATIVE
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.1658 (1.1693)
GBPUSD 1.2933 (1.3002)
EURGBP 0.8905 (0.8992)
USDJPY 104.57 (104.61)
THIS Week 1.1771-1.1603 (168 pips)
wed: 1.1771-1.1603 (168)
tue: 1.1740-1.1636 (104)
mon: 1.1656-1.1623 (23)
fri 1.1705-1.1640 (65)
thu: 1.1760-1.1650 (110)
20-d avg: 1.1768
50-day avg: 1.1780
100-day avg: 1.1672
200-day avg: 1.1327
Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points
Minneapolis DRS2 08:09 GMT November 4, 2020
It is a FAUDE!
The election situation was always going to result in conflict, and it is pointless to blame Trump for calling it as he sees it. Ever since Bush vs Gore (and even before then), the Democrats have believed that they are the rightful rulers of the US and the people within it. Only the US constitution and occasionally crafty individuals stood in their way.
What you have now are two political parties who have been setting up the board for legal action ever since 2016. If "everyone" wanted a fair and decent electoral process, they would have set up transparent, consistent and efficient processes that worked well across the country. They don't want it, and they didn't set things up that way. The media, for their part, want consistent conflict (for continued viewership) with the appearance of being impartial observers. The public has caught on to this game for quite some time, and what used to be incredulousness has turned to disgust and seething anger.
The only questions are how the public will deal with this, and how to trade it. Don't get wedded to a single market view...it will change from day to day.
PAR 08:04 GMT November 4, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA
Is ECB using PEPP to stabilize the stock markets?
Can they do that? Yes, they can.
PAR 08:02 GMT November 4, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA
Reply
ECB is very busy in trying to stabilize markets by buying Italian bonds as many as they can find. German yields collapsing.
An emergency rate cut by the ECB not far away?
AT Trader john 07:50 GMT November 4, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 4 November 2020
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium
Wed 4 Nov 2020
Final Service PMIs all day
AA 03:30 AU- RBA Decision
A 08:55 DE- Employment
A 10:00 EZ- PPI
A 13:15 US- ADP Payrolls
A 13:30 US/CA- Trade
A 15:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 5 Mov 2020
AA 12:00 GB- BOE Decision
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 13:30 US- Productivity
AA 19:00 US- Fed Decision
Fri 5 Nov 2020
A 13:30 US/CA- Employment
dc CB 07:42 GMT November 4, 2020
It is a FAUDE!
The Biden Family Song
if I told you what went down
it would burn off both of your ears.
don't you let that deal go down
(killer guitar)
enjoy the election chaos
Deal
haifa ac 07:41 GMT November 4, 2020
It is a FAUDE!
Dow turned down all of a sudden.
Another FRAUD????
haifa ac 07:32 GMT November 4, 2020
It is a FAUDE!
Reply
most mailed votes not counted yet and Trump already declares it is a fraude.
Shyster.
dc CB 05:48 GMT November 4, 2020
How to Trade a Political Forex Market
WaPo HEADLINES posted @ 4pm ET
�A political powder keg�: Voters in the Washington region face an Election Day like no other
Threats of violence, mistrust in the integrity of the election and a deadly pandemic that makes voting physically risky have conjured a bleak mood among those casting ballots in the District, Maryland and Virginia.
By Lola Fadulu, Laura Vozzella, Ovetta Wiggins, Rachel Chason and Peter Jamison ●
_____________________________________________
Maryland voters turn out in force for election: �He needs to go�
More than 2.3 million people voted early in deep-blue Maryland, which is expected to support Biden.
By Rebecca Tan, Ovetta Wiggins and Rachel Chason
Adliyah KaL 05:42 GMT November 4, 2020
EURUSD MO
Reply
You know it's a sell...but want to trade it...and scared...right?
just do an average of 2 big figures from any point
meaning place short orders cancel on Nov 11th
with 2 big figures... you aRE SAFE THAT WAY
Israel MacroMicro 04:30 GMT November 4, 2020
Gold
cheers cb
trading places to ripe into juice of a lifetime
good trades!
PAR 04:23 GMT November 4, 2020
Biden
Looks like Biden is too boring for the American people.
Complete lack of any charisma will make him loose the election.
dc CB 04:14 GMT November 4, 2020
Gold
I feel your sadness????????????
about what?
we knew about this sheit in High School. lmao
this my friends is the next generation
Israel MacroMicro 04:07 GMT November 4, 2020
Gold
I feel your sadness CB
Trump winning with more seats than in 2016 is something so painful you cannot stand.
dc CB 03:48 GMT November 4, 2020
Gold
choose your tunes
pop another vintage grape
Max Roach Nonet Booker Little (tp) Julian Priester (tb) Eric Dolphy (as) Clifford Jordan (ts) Mal Waldron (p) Art Davis (b) Max Roach (d) Carlos "Patato" Valdes (cga) Carlos "Totico" Eugenio (cowbell) Abbey Lincoln (vo) Rudy Van Gelder Studio, Englewood Cliffs, NJ, August 1, 1961
cheers
Mendacity - Max Roach
Israel MacroMicro 03:42 GMT November 4, 2020
Biden
cb
no matter who wins as result to be the same for the markets.
I still trust my statement long weeks ago
dc CB 03:39 GMT November 4, 2020
Biden
Jeeves,my smelling salts NOW
the 5Y---13 pips against me...told me it was safe...put on 35 contracts.
dammmmnnn that goldman broker
damm him to Hell
Israel MacroMicro 03:13 GMT November 4, 2020
Gold
try instant noodles with caviar, I am serious!
Kl Shawn 03:01 GMT November 4, 2020
Gold
Buy 1893
Hk Ab 02:59 GMT November 4, 2020
Gold
Examine the strengths of the two sides in the coming hours.
I still think 1850 more viscous
Kl Fs 02:59 GMT November 4, 2020
Gold
Hourly whiskers, 1890 to hold ground? Unless 1875 taken down quickly....
Kl Fs 02:58 GMT November 4, 2020
Gold
Ok then, how about buy again with no stop mentioned.
Hk Ab 02:57 GMT November 4, 2020
Gold
Reply
Rule #2 place contra entry at the stop and place real stops below, excuse of my honesty
Hk Ab 02:25 GMT November 4, 2020
Gold
Rule #1 : don�t talk too loud about stop in gvi....
Kl Fs 01:42 GMT November 4, 2020
Gold
Try long 1897.80, stop under spike low
Kl Shawn 01:40 GMT November 4, 2020
Gold
Ab, you wanna bet 1920 first to be taken?
dc CB 01:34 GMT November 4, 2020
Biden
tune to trade by
Ute
Kl Shawn 01:28 GMT November 4, 2020
Gold
Both sides i think ab, but which one first?
Hk Ab 00:33 GMT November 4, 2020
Gold
Reply
Guess which side bangsters like to collect the stops? 1850 or 1920?
GVI Forex 00:26 GMT November 4, 2020
Biden
Trump seems to be getting the edge in Florida.
dc CB 00:07 GMT November 4, 2020
USa today: it's not Orwell or Huxley, it's Bernays on display
PS:' Bernays came up with a marketing plan that tied smoking to the sexual dominance tensions between Men and Women-----------Virginia Slims, ciggies with the female in mind.
fast forward to 2020----
The Bernays' method
90,000,000 WOMEN died from LUNG CANCER-smoking ciggies ---- Trumps fault.
dc CB 00:02 GMT November 4, 2020
USa today: it's not Orwell or Huxley, it's Bernays on display
the major 'feather in the cap' of Bernays' successes.
Working with the cigarette manufactures hoping to capture 50% of of the US population--- the potential market for their products---women, Bernays came up with a marketing plan that tied smoking to the sexual dominance tensions between Men and Women-----------Virginia Slims, ciggies with the female in mind.
fast forward to 2020
real time applications of Bernays' methods in action.
*****The Century of the Self - Top Documentary Films--BBC*****
Bernays died in 1995; this documentary was released in 2002. Had it not been for this documentary, most of us probably still would never have heard of him. He was powerful enough to make serious trouble for anyone who dared to do an expos� on him like this series. People like him work best behind the scenes, and don't want anyone knowing about
______________________________________
aside. If Trump is really the modern day incarnation of H(censored), Then why haven't all his enemies been grabbed and skirted off to the present day equiv of
Prinz-Albrecht-Stra�e No.8.
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