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Forex Forum Archive for 11/16/2020

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AT Trader john 21:09 GMT November 16, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 17 November 2020

LATE Monday: RISK ON
DJ: 29,950 +471
SP: 3,627 +42
NQ: 11,924 +57

2-yr 0.177% -0.2 bp
Spread 10s-2s +72.4 bp (+70.2)
10-yr

US: 0.901% -0.8 bp
UK: 0.351% 0.0 bp
DE: -0.548% -0.3 bp

EURUSD MACRO TREND: POSITIVE
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.1840 (1.1841)
GBPUSD 1.3189 (1.3199)
EURGBP 0.8976 (0.8976)
USDJPY 104.56 (104.68)

LAST Week 1.1921-1.1746 (175 pips)
mon: 1.1869-1.1815 (54)
fri: 1.1835-1.1799 (36)
thu: 1.1823-1.1759 (64)
wed: 1.1834-1.1746 (88)
tue: 1.1844-1.1780 (64)

20-d avg: 1.1783
50-day avg: 1.1769
100-day avg: 1.1722
200-day avg: 1.1370

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points





Israel MacroMicro 19:34 GMT November 16, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 16 November 2020

news :)

WHO fights COVID

GVI Forex Blog 19:10 GMT November 16, 2020
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 16 November 2020
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

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Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 16 November 2020

Mtl JP 18:58 GMT November 16, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 16 November 2020

someone is spreading rumours that jerome s got good chance to get re-appointed

4days ago on cnbc:
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said he worries about the long-term impacts from the coronavirus pandemic.
Specifically, he cited women out of work involuntarily, children whose education is suffering and small business owners who have lost “generations of intellectual capital.”
Speaking at a European Central Bank forum Thursday, he said “we’re not going back to the same economy.”
Powell said Thursday he worries about women, children and business owners who face long-term consequences from the coronavirus pandemic.

3 days ago:
Chairman of the Federal Reserve Jerome Powell warns that the Covid-19 pandemic has changed the economy.
Source: CNN

Israel MacroMicro 18:30 GMT November 16, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 17 November 2020

ES: 3580 area filled with buyers

Israel MacroMicro 18:20 GMT November 16, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 17 November 2020

news flow goes on:

FOX reports that Warren and Sanders not to be part of the Biden administration.

this is rally setup

Israel MacroMicro 18:11 GMT November 16, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 17 November 2020

tomorrow 1PM EST: the FED added Powell to public speech/announcement.

my gut tells me maybe related in certain way to president elect becomes official.

good luck

Mtl JP 17:42 GMT November 16, 2020
eurusd

viies - normally he has Gold rules.
but hungary and poland dont like to be told how to dance IF they take the money from brussels.

eu princess have not yet tought them a behavioural lesson

Tallinn viies 17:08 GMT November 16, 2020
eurusd
Reply   
OPEC+ meeting ends with broad support for extension to oil cuts: sources

AT Trader john 16:49 GMT November 16, 2020
Tuesday Amazing Trader 17 November 2020
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Tue 17 NOV 2020
AA 12:30 US- Retail Sales
A 13:15 US- Industrial Production
B 14:00 US- NAHB
Wed 18 Jun 2020
A 07:00 GB- CPI
AA 09:00 EZ- Final HICP
AA 12:30 CA- CPI
A 12:30 US- House Starts/Permits
A 16:00 US- EIA Crude
Thu 19 Jun 2020
AA 20:30 AU- Employment
AA 12:30 US- Philly Fed
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 14:00 US- LEI
A 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
Fri 20 Jun 2020
A 07:00 GB- Retail Sales
A 12:30 CA- Retail Sales


Mtl JP 16:28 GMT November 16, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 16 November 2020

I alread posted about the FED gang's mid-dec meeting.

what they do either at or even possibly prior to the meeting will hint at how they see the vaccine (as savior), economic and financial conditions situation.

IMO odds are building that they see econo/financial schit deluge bubbling in spite of janet's june '17 "hope that it (financial crisis) will not be in our lifetimes and I don’t believe it will be”

Tallinn viies 16:18 GMT November 16, 2020
eurusd
Reply   
Poland and Humgary vetod EU budget.
is this something serious or just small political ping pong?

haifa ac 16:14 GMT November 16, 2020
UK, Ireland say breakthrough needed in Brexit talks this week

"effective widely available vaxxine possible till at least nov next year. "

Maybe "this time it is different". But historic evidence shows that most reliable vaccine took 2 to 10 years for . You have to wait a long time to sift thru all the side effects that emerge along the way (some of which are deadly). Thalidomide is a good example.

So your alma matter is not far from the truth.

Israel MacroMicro 16:05 GMT November 16, 2020
UK, Ireland say breakthrough needed in Brexit talks this week

JP 15:50

are you calling that all politicians promising 90% of people getting vaccine before Q2/21 ends as not a realistic call?

Israel MacroMicro 16:00 GMT November 16, 2020
UK, Ireland say breakthrough needed in Brexit talks this week

after you READ, maybe joining AT to help you to understand what you was READING. good luck!

Israel MacroMicro 15:58 GMT November 16, 2020
UK, Ireland say breakthrough needed in Brexit talks this week

jjlkwd

just READ what JP wrote, he mentioned specific period of time for the market to enter decision making window. getting ready to an event have nothing to do with short term scalping/trading.

lakewood jjlkwd 15:50 GMT November 16, 2020
UK, Ireland say breakthrough needed in Brexit talks this week

10 big figures, no big deal . do you trade micro fx ? what good are those ranges if one is trading full size.........

Mtl JP 15:50 GMT November 16, 2020
UK, Ireland say breakthrough needed in Brexit talks this week

red 12:21 imo pesants are being gamed:
objective scientific sources from my alma matter suggest there is no reliably safe and effective widely available vaxxine possible till at least nov next year.

In the meantime, politicians and selected market cowboys play free games with folks' hopes.

Israel MacroMicro 15:46 GMT November 16, 2020
UK, Ireland say breakthrough needed in Brexit talks this week

IMO Bottom line: whatever to be the official "outcome" we stay inside 1.25-1.35 OR 1.30-1.40 range for now

Mtl JP 15:42 GMT November 16, 2020
UK, Ireland say breakthrough needed in Brexit talks this week

GBP 1.3188-ish
-
yakings till wednesday, then other yakkings for 10 days, then some more yakkings to early december...
all bullsh!t imo to keep pesantry distracted.
IMO Bottom Line:
there will be NO brexit "agreement".

GBPUSD demonstrated tuff time keep uP N of 1.32(40) , a bridge needed to be crossed for 1.33 and beyond.
S around 1.3165ish, 1.3150 ahead of 1.3100

Hk Ab 14:38 GMT November 16, 2020
Gold
Reply   
Exit 1/2 1890

AT Trader john 13:30 GMT November 16, 2020
News

Empire PMI November 2020



NEWS ALERT

6.3 vs. 13.8 exp. vs. 10.5 prev.


haifa ac 13:26 GMT November 16, 2020
Rule of 3

"but mkts wont care by then. this rule of three works for terrorism, financial incidents and now health incidents."

You forgot sex.

GVI Forex Blog 13:21 GMT November 16, 2020
Rule of 3
Reply   

The following are posts from one of our highly respected forex forum members regarding what he refers to as the Rule of 3. It is worth noting in a market that remains highly sensitive to news headlines. The posts have been reposted on the Amazing Trader subscriber forum as shown below:

Rule of 3

haifa ac 13:02 GMT November 16, 2020
Next please. Georgia on my mind

Sorry CB
Trump is gone. Not worth a second of my time. So I stop relating to this subject.
The thing that matters now is how Biden acts. I am praying he is not senile and he does well.

Hk Ab 12:36 GMT November 16, 2020
Gold
Reply   
Trail the stop in gold. Dynamic $3 down.

Can buy more later seems.

Pity that all xau crosses were well guarded

AT Trader john 12:23 GMT November 16, 2020
News

Fauci: "Moderna news as good as it gets".

kl shawn 12:21 GMT November 16, 2020
UK, Ireland say breakthrough needed in Brexit talks this week

much depends on cable's support strength for now

london red 12:21 GMT November 16, 2020
UK, Ireland say breakthrough needed in Brexit talks this week

remember rule of 3. pfzier vaccine mkts up loads, todays moderna will not see anywhere near such gains. third vaccine news you will not notice. s&p already given up most gains. as for brexit, volatility may get you whatever side you stand on a deal. it maybe be better to open a trade after a bout of volatility rather than before, then your stop has a chance.

kl shawn 12:20 GMT November 16, 2020
UK, Ireland say breakthrough needed in Brexit talks this week

below 137.90 me out completely

bali sja 12:19 GMT November 16, 2020
UK, Ireland say breakthrough needed in Brexit talks this week

be careful, could be a trap

jkt abel 12:14 GMT November 16, 2020
UK, Ireland say breakthrough needed in Brexit talks this week

yeah i like that long gbpjpy idea very much, kl shawn
above 137.70 definitely a long for me, no doubt

kl shawn 12:05 GMT November 16, 2020
UK, Ireland say breakthrough needed in Brexit talks this week

buy gbpjpy 138.43, stop 137.70, target 140-142

kl fs 12:03 GMT November 16, 2020
News

looks like stox market and jpy pairs will go up forever because the news going forward will be all about vaccines' success
buy stocks forever and jpy pairs

Hk Ab 12:00 GMT November 16, 2020
Gold
Reply   
SAR all 1866. Add layers till 1850, tight stop 1845

AT Trader john 12:00 GMT November 16, 2020
News
Reply   
Moderna vaccine 94.5% efficacy rate. Does not have to be refrigerated to a temperature as low as Pfizer's...

Source:
Newsquawk.com

Hk Ab 11:56 GMT November 16, 2020
Gold
Reply   
Lol exit 1868 for 3/4

AT Trader john 11:44 GMT November 16, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 16 November 2020

UK, Ireland say breakthrough needed in Brexit talks this week
london red 11:10 GMT 11/16/2020

Just below a MUST READ

GVI Forex 11:43 GMT November 16, 2020
UK, Ireland say breakthrough needed in Brexit talks this week

kl fs (and others) EURGBP is a better indicator of Brexit sentiment than GBPUSD

AT Trader john 11:38 GMT November 16, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 16 November 2020

Observations:
Markets feeling their way, which is fairly typical for the start of a new week. Also the the end of year holiday period is fast approaching, which means legislatures, politicians, etc. have a lot to accomplish (budgets, Brexit, et al) before the start of the new year. This suggests there will be a lot of decisions being made. Of course, the U.S. is in the messy process of forming a new government. Don't fret it will all get done by January 20. It always is.

As for Covid-19, There is a light at the end of the tunnel (vaccine), the focus now is building a bridge to that point.

Market sentiment is that the USD is heading into a period of softness. The forex market has a knack for upsetting consensus forecasts, so be cautious.

SURUSD is on a range above its its 1.1783 20 day average. EURGBP is just below the pivotal .9000 line and the GBPUSD is testing 1.3200.

U.S. equities are did while the Aussie and USDCAD are mixed.





Amazing Trader Reviews

london red 11:10 GMT November 16, 2020
UK, Ireland say breakthrough needed in Brexit talks this week

if you read post the ehadlines, there has been no progress on the 3 keys issues since the summer ie fishing, state aid and governance. the eu has now been releasing officials statements trying to split the uk by saying uk chief negotiators frost isnt sure how far he can go due to the goings on at no.10. for those not in the know, there has been a power struggle led by the pm other half, labelled as princess nut nut by the right, which has seen the pm take her side and dump dominic cummings as chief advisor, who was intrumental in getting mps to accept brexit needed to be done. in what was initially thought as a move to the left and to a brexit deal (cummings was hard line against a soft deal), has been obliterated by boris today when he said he is confident the uk can prosper without a deal.
much of the mkt expects a deal to happen before time runs out, so sterling doesnt really get hit on these headlines much and stays near its high. however as we get closer to the end, some hesitation will creep in and the downside moves will get larger. stops will run and the move will feed itself. the conclusion will be a deal of sorts, which will take sterling back to around 5% higher than current levels, or if they fail to get a deal across the line, you will see the move continue quite sharply downwards (for sterling). so if you feel a deal is going to happen it would be advantageous to buy those bigger dips. but be aware that if one isnt forthcoming, the downside is large since most are on the wrond side of the boat.

kl fs 11:03 GMT November 16, 2020
UK, Ireland say breakthrough needed in Brexit talks this week

cable above 1.31 says brexit deal to be reached?

Mtl JP 10:59 GMT November 16, 2020
UK, Ireland say breakthrough needed in Brexit talks this week

GVI 23:48 ONDON (Reuters) - There has to be a breakthrough this week on a post-Brexit trade agreement ....
ELSE what -
- "around $1 trillion worth of trade would be at risk of disruption"
(individuals and businessess would adapt and innovate. horror!)

- "would deliver a fresh economic shock"
(is that not what gov't thrives on: propaganda and "I am from govt and I have a solution for you" bullh!t)

Mtl JP 10:45 GMT November 16, 2020
GBP



GBP 1.3175/80
Do you think current GBP is a political currency ?
-
How to Trade a Political Forex Market ?
"Don't Overstay Your Welcome" - Jay

AT Trader john 10:23 GMT November 16, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 16 November 2020

Monday: MILD RISK ON
DJ: 28,710 +304
SP: 3,614 +38
NQ: 12,003 +70

2-yr 0.175% -0.4 bp
Spread 10s-2s +70.2 bp (+71.6)
10-yr

US: 0.877% -1.6 bp
UK: 0.332% -0.8 bp
DE: -0.562% -1.4 bp

EURUSD MACRO TREND: POSITIVE
Spots (Pivot Point prev day)
EURUSD 1.1840 (1.1822)
GBPUSD 1.3174 (1.3161)
EURGBP 0.8985 (0.8982)
USDJPY 104.56 (104.76)

LAST Week 1.1921-1.1746 (175 pips)
mon: 1.1869-1.1822 (47)
fri: 1.1835-1.1799 (36)
thu: 1.1823-1.1759 (64)
wed: 1.1834-1.1746 (88)
tue: 1.1844-1.1780 (64)

20-d avg: 1.1783
50-day avg: 1.1768
100-day avg: 1.1716
200-day avg: 1.1365

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points





Dubai MA 10:00 GMT November 16, 2020
GBP
Reply   
Brexit ness?

AT Trader john 09:59 GMT November 16, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 16 November 2020

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 16 Nov 2020
A 12:30 US- Empire PMI
Tue 17 NOV 2020
AA 12:30 US- Retail Sales
A 13:15 US- Industrial Production
B 14:00 US- NAHB
Wed 18 Jun 2020
A 07:00 GB- CPI
AA 09:00 EZ- Final HICP
AA 12:30 CA- CPI
A 12:30 US- House Starts/Permits
A 16:00 US- EIA Crude
Thu 19 Jun 2020
AA 20:30 AU- Employment
AA 12:30 US- Philly Fed
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
A 14:00 US- LEI
A 14:00 US- Existing Homes Sales
Fri 20 Jun 2020
A 07:00 GB- Retail Sales
A 12:30 CA- Retail Sales


kl fs 06:56 GMT November 16, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 16 November 2020

suddenly, Trump looks better LOL
well america just...i dont know what to say
bottom line, same old story, deficit will be skyrocketing, budget is gonna be sucked up dry for little benefit and sell usd forever

Mtl JP 05:46 GMT November 16, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 16 November 2020

Here comes Santa Klaus
-
Joe Biden’s pandemic plan:

Restore Obamacare, mandatory masks, paid sick leave and free COVID-19 tests

Minneapolis DRS2 04:14 GMT November 16, 2020
Bernie Sanders as Labor Secretary
Reply   
From ZH...Bernie Sanders as Labor Secretary.

This gets better and better...a genuine Communist as Labor Secretary.

Let's see if Harris and Biden gives it to him.

dc CB 02:21 GMT November 16, 2020
Risk On



get it yet....GVI (US based?)

dc CB 02:06 GMT November 16, 2020
Risk On

Trump is gone Obama's back....checkmate

Asia-Pacific Countries Sign World's Largest Free Trade Deal In "Coup For China"

waiting for confirmation from 'trusted sources' MarketPlace? NYT?

dc CB 00:30 GMT November 16, 2020
UK, Ireland say breakthrough needed in Brexit talks this week

London Calling

it actually happened....How THF did that happen?

The Clash - Clampdown (Official Audio)

dc CB 00:05 GMT November 16, 2020
UK, Ireland say breakthrough needed in Brexit talks this week

Trump lost, or didn't you hear.
Do you thing Bojo has the stones...????
Bookdeals worth millions, folllow Tony Blair to billions of pounds "if he does the right thing'.

Stiff upper-lip and all that. Country Estate is just the first taste...'at least I didn't have to bomb the sheit out of anyone"
(haifa ac sez)

missing me now? DJT.

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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