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Forex Forum Archive for 12/10/2020

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dc CB 23:04 GMT December 10, 2020
Vax win
FDA Panel Recommends Approval Of Pfizer/BioNTech COVID Vaccine

dc CB 21:55 GMT December 10, 2020

hahahahahaha---dude, dude, buy some of this kindbud.

Weedmaps To Go Public Through $1.5 Billion Merger

Weedmaps, a popular website where users can learn about different strains of marijuana and locate local dispensaries, has agreed to go public by merging with Silver Spike Acquisition Corp. in a deal which values the webstie at approximately $1.5 billion, according to Reuters - which adds that it's a "rare example of a business focused on the cannabis sector listing on a U.S. stock exchange."

dc CB 21:45 GMT December 10, 2020
this is good one...

File under: It's OUR turn now.
They screamed that Trump is only in it for himself, and he's making all his friend rich....

the California connection.
At least eight companies affiliated to California Gov. Gavin Newsom collectively received millions of dollars from the coronavirus-related Paycheck Protection Program (PPP), according to reports released by the US government and analyzed by ABC7.

Vice President Elect Kammy Harris - last two 'jobs' - Senator form California, before that Attorney General State of California.

Biden's Top choice for head of HHS - Xavier Becerra . Current 'job' - Attorney General State of California

Yesterday, Speaker of the House---Nancy Pelosi (D-California) nixed the latest Covid relief package---NO SOUP FOR YOU!!!!!

as seen at the supermarket parking lot---bumper sticker on a Porsche Cayenne SUV --- BOHICA

Tallinn viies 19:03 GMT December 10, 2020
I know ECB wants it but I have a feeling they calculate it wrongly.

I have not seen a thing in my world which is going cheaper YoY.

they want to print money. this is clear. because it is easy for them to do that. everybody happy.

Mtl JP 18:49 GMT December 10, 2020

viies - ECB wants inflation. Higher prices screw the pesants.
higher euro thwarts price inflation

dc CB 18:47 GMT December 10, 2020


dc CB 18:40 GMT December 10, 2020

good luck

Tallinn viies 18:29 GMT December 10, 2020
Mtl JP 18:21 GMT - Im not sure what are saying. personally have not read at all what ECB did. was busy with brent and stg.
as euro is where it is then market probably interpreted bullishly.
more money, more upside for world stocks, more negative yields and more everthing.
so buy euro :)

dc CB 18:27 GMT December 10, 2020
Directional Risk

the last Bond auction of 2020---they came, they bought.
All cheer the Long Bond.
And Thank You Madame Lagarde for the Christmas present.

It had been a while since the US had a blockbuster auction, especially after two mediocre treasury sales earlier this year. Today's 30Y was just the stellar auction the bond market needed.

With $24BN in 30Y paper for sale, down from last month's record $27BN, demand was blistering perhaps in light of the shaky equity market, and the high yield of 1.665% stopped through the 1.684% When Issued by 1.9bps, the biggest stop through since July 's 2.7bps.

The bid to cover of 2.481 was not only well above the 2.292 from November, but the highest since July.

The internals were also stellar, with Indirects jumping to 65.9% from 61.9% last month and the highest since July. And with Directs taking down 16.8% or the most since February, Dealers were left holding just 17.4% of the auction, the second lowest on record and only the 15.5% last December was a lower Dealer takedown.

Mtl JP 18:21 GMT December 10, 2020

viies 17:45 - ..."very bullish"... you are going to give lagarde's ECB a fit.

stronger euro still going to further quell lagarde's pursuit of screwing the pesants under ECB via higher inflation

Tallinn viies 17:45 GMT December 10, 2020
move today above previous day high very bullish for me as we hade yesterday higher high and lower low and very weak close at the lows of the day. so as currently weekly trading range too tight. only 107 pips. normal would be close to 160-190 pips.
so close today above previous day high could be very bullish.
immidiate target for tommrow 1,2177 previous week high. which is also yearly high. if this taken out then next target quickly 50 pips higher. all this possible before week is over.
if trades below 1,2055 then totally new picture.

dc CB 17:02 GMT December 10, 2020
Directional Risk

In a wide-ranging interview in the New York Times, Melinda Gates made the following remarkable statement: “What did surprise us is we hadn’t really thought through the economic impacts.” A cynic might observe that one is disinclined to think much about matters than do not affect one personally.

It’s a maddening statement, to be sure, as if “economics” is somehow a peripheral concern to the rest of human life and public health. The larger context of the interview reveals the statement to be even more confused. She is somehow under the impression that it is the pandemic and not the lockdowns that are the cause of the economic devastation that includes perhaps 30% of restaurants going under, among many other terrible effects.

She doesn’t say that outright but, like many articles in the mainstream press over this year, she very carefully crafts her words to avoid the crucial subject of lockdowns as the primary cause of economic disaster. It’s possible that she actually believes this virus is what tanked the world economy on its own but that is a completely unsustainable proposition.

"We Hadn’t Really Thought Through the Economic Impacts” ~ Melinda Gates

Mtl JP 16:42 GMT December 10, 2020

PAR 15:49 no.
players are pricing the value of the names (contacts) that doordash / AIRBNB have in their cloud database. digital world.
arguably amazon copycats

HK Kevin 16:07 GMT December 10, 2020

PAR 15:49 GMT, up only 1 time. I also have 1 lot of new shares to be listed tmr in HKSE. The share price gone up from HK$38.5 to over HK$80 in the grey market this late afternoon.

Israel MacroMicro 15:49 GMT December 10, 2020

most important PAR

you will share here BEFORE all your actions will be official, you are hired!

PAR 15:49 GMT December 10, 2020
Indication $ 150. INSANE

People are smoking funny cigarettes?

HK Kevin 15:41 GMT December 10, 2020

PAR 15:11 GMT , you only need to do one thing. Dissolve the European Union and back to the old days of trading Deutsche Mark and French Franc, etc.

Tallinn viies 15:35 GMT December 10, 2020
long euros again at 1,2124.
target 1,2174
stop 1,2074

FW CS 15:34 GMT December 10, 2020

Par those actions woudl start a depression in the EZ but is needed to truly heal. Nobody will do it willingly

PAR 15:11 GMT December 10, 2020

I would stop negative interests immediately.

I would clean up the melting pot of existing QE and stimulus programs.

I would sell the immensely expensive ECB building in Frankfurt.

I would cut the workforce by half.

I would slowly reduce the ECB balance sheet from it € 7 trillion sizes and growing towards€ 10 trillion.

But I am not running for the ECB presidency, just looking on from the sideline how they run into a wall.

Belgrade Knez 14:56 GMT December 10, 2020


you should run for ECB president on next term!

PAR 14:52 GMT December 10, 2020
Christine Lagarde again killing the European banking sector.

Negative rates are here to stay and could be lowered.

Banks must lend to everybody but banks are responsible for NPL's.

Banks will not be allowed to pay dividends.

Israel MacroMicro 14:42 GMT December 10, 2020

NQ 12480 start selling point worked kind of okay

Israel MacroMicro 14:41 GMT December 10, 2020

extra patience Kevin ?

HK Kevin 14:38 GMT December 10, 2020

May be, harvest time for my reverse index ETFs .

PAR 14:32 GMT December 10, 2020
Low openings most likely will be bought by algos.

GVI Forex 14:22 GMT December 10, 2020

Cost is not $249 per month. See

Amazing Trader subscribe

PAR 14:10 GMT December 10, 2020
-1% is not at all an attractive rate if you have to pay the ECB 0,50% on
a record amount of bank deposits.

This is FAKE NEWS.

Israel MacroMicro 14:07 GMT December 10, 2020

there is a way Knez, and it costs $249 monthly to get access to that road. pay it or stay out!

Belgrade Knez 14:02 GMT December 10, 2020

Israel MacroMicro 14:00 GMT 12/10/2020

I don't need to spend anything for any new system ..... my trading and my method are great, was only wondering is there a way how to trade running train trades

Israel MacroMicro 14:00 GMT December 10, 2020

Knez, you cannot spend $249 monthly on a better thing than AT to improve your trading!

london red 13:56 GMT December 10, 2020

watch yest high on euro. a failure to breach may see all gains on day lost

Belgrade Knez 13:41 GMT December 10, 2020

Jkt Abel 13:29 GMT December 10, 2020

Good luck Knez, AT is your friend
I have a holy grail for normal trading condition, only don't have for running train one

PAR 13:36 GMT December 10, 2020
Looks like all ECB programs just became permanent.

Probably will not end as long as Lagarde is in charge.

So no more need for press conferences.

Jkt Abel 13:29 GMT December 10, 2020

Good luck Knez, AT is your friend

GVI Forex 13:19 GMT December 10, 2020

Knez, contact me and I will share my thoughts on this

Belgrade Knez 13:12 GMT December 10, 2020

never been good to jump on to running train (eurusd).... always questioning: if/when? ....... wish I have SM friend to tell me when to jump in

Israel MacroMicro 13:01 GMT December 10, 2020

ECB "will continue to monitor exchange rate developments."

Tallinn viies 12:53 GMT December 10, 2020
eurusd square now.
plan to sell at 1,2174.
target back to 200 hour sma

Singapore SC 12:50 GMT December 10, 2020
Why is eurusd higher? What did ECB say?

london red 12:50 GMT December 10, 2020

its possible but boris wont grant them another referndum. in any case scotlands biggest revs have been oil. it will be dumped with its share of national debt and a dwindling asset (oil). only so far scotch will take you. besides they do not have their own currency nor CB. these are requirements to join eu. its a non starter. krankie only uses it to pi$$ off the british when she cant get her way.

Belgrade Knez 12:44 GMT December 10, 2020

what are the chances that Scotland separate from UK?

london red 12:39 GMT December 10, 2020

cannot rejoin eu without taking the euro on entry. no will for that to lose the pound. its a british thing which europeans dont understand. maybe in ten years if the lefties take over its a chance, but while pound has to go, sub zero chace of rejoining.

london red 12:30 GMT December 10, 2020

jpm down to 60% from 66% for a deal. still massively on the wrong side.

jkt abel 12:25 GMT December 10, 2020

i go with ab on 1.5-1.6 cable
1.32-1.38 is enough for now, maybe 13240 was the bottom already

jkt abel 12:24 GMT December 10, 2020

agree, why not rejoin EU and censored all the brexiters? after all that expensive meetings and dinners and lunches and this and that, back to zero is fun
they can always blame covid to kick the can down the road, endless BS

Israel MacroMicro 12:23 GMT December 10, 2020
this is good one...

kind of normal for 2020

the COVID robber

london red 12:13 GMT December 10, 2020

ftse250 falling housing stocks cratering. like i said gunfire not partypoppers

london red 12:12 GMT December 10, 2020


Belgrade Knez 12:12 GMT December 10, 2020

first EU said Wednesday is dead line ..... then they agree end of the weekend is ....... then they will probably postpone until end of the year ..... guess for UK would be better to re-join EU as this looks like will never end!

london red 12:06 GMT December 10, 2020

no chance of 1.5 on annoucement. they would need to rejoin eu. 1.5 may happen over next year or two if dollar declines so cable would climb with euro. but 10-1% decline first on no deal.

hk ab 12:01 GMT December 10, 2020
Gut feeling is still the repeat of 2016 story, but opposite direction.....


Tallinn viies 11:57 GMT December 10, 2020
Officials says dinner between UK/EU leaves a no deal scenario more likely

France says ready for Brexit checks 'whatever happens'

jkt abel 11:51 GMT December 10, 2020

Boris should just fck Ursula and walk away. Show some balls, Boris

Israel MacroMicro 11:29 GMT December 10, 2020

yes red, I am looking to see how much lower than 3660 it will pull (if at all). when that 3680 turns into respected resistance things may start rolling down much faster.

london red 11:18 GMT December 10, 2020

my daily pivot is 3680, thats my bull bear line for the day so far

PAR 11:09 GMT December 10, 2020
Guess algos will sell high US stocks opening. We'll see.

Israel MacroMicro 11:04 GMT December 10, 2020
this is good one...

by the way JP, those bunch of crooks created two sets of rules regarding the COVID enforcement, one for "jewish" population and another for the rest. officially!

Mtl JP 10:52 GMT December 10, 2020

they just won't give up, will they

"European Commission proposes one-year fishing deal if no U.K. trade pact reached"

Mtl JP 10:45 GMT December 10, 2020
Directional Risk

GBP 1.330-ish
puppy at support on the hrly

PAR 09:43 GMT December 10, 2020
New all-time low on Italian 10-year yields.

Before we know they will go negative.

Mtl JP 09:26 GMT December 10, 2020
this is good one...

this is good one...
nutandyahoo, vaccine, green passport
- "encourage vaccinations"...

Netanyahu's Remarks at the Health Ministry

Tallinn viies 09:19 GMT December 10, 2020
200 hour simple moving average holds so far.
plan to sell long euro near 1,2140.
stop at break even currently.
if taken out then plan buy back euros at 1,2020-25 area.

Mtl JP 09:19 GMT December 10, 2020
Directional Risk

PAR 09:13 maybe need to practice a ruse
(a la Russian pranksters w/trudeau ?)

Mtl JP 09:16 GMT December 10, 2020
Directional Risk

Directional Risk
in comparisson is consolation. apparently:
Economic forecasts haven’t accelerated after good vaccine news.

That’s puzzling, experts say

PAR 09:13 GMT December 10, 2020
Directional Risk

Just called them and they were just able to tell that the meeting starts at 2.30 CET.

Mtl JP 09:07 GMT December 10, 2020
Directional Risk

For information about the ECB’s activities, please contact us by email or phone from Monday to Friday between 08:30 and 17:30 CET.
[email protected]
+49 69 1344 1300

give it a try ? ... maybe they slip

PAR 09:03 GMT December 10, 2020
Directional Risk

Question is which of those banks have been called by Philip Lane and whether they want to share that info with the public or just keep it for their own trading desks.

Mtl JP 08:55 GMT December 10, 2020
Directional Risk

European stocks inch up ahead of ECB meeting, with FTSE 100 boosted by lack of progress on trade talks

The ECB has a crucial decision to make —
(to be announced at 1:45 p.m. local time, which is 7:45 a.m. Eastern)

here’s what analysts expect

PAR 08:54 GMT December 10, 2020
Paul Donovan

"The European Central Bank meets, with expectations of more bond buying. But the ECB has two challenges. First, you cannot stimulate a restricted economy—the ski resorts of Europe will not do more business if the ECB offers more accommodation, because most of the ski resorts of Europe are closed.

Second, the longer-term structural challenges require fiscal policy. The ECB can ensure orderly financial markets, offer sufficient liquidity, and keep interest rate expectations low. It is a supporting, not a leading, role."

Mtl JP 08:46 GMT December 10, 2020
Directional Risk

Directional Risk
lets see that 10-30-50% BoD as
JPMorgan says

‘We are only in the middle of the bull market’ and a buying opportunity could come soon

PAR 08:41 GMT December 10, 2020
Eightfold Risk On
1 More Corona vaccines coming

2 Fiscal Policy: Reducing taxes and increasing spending everywhere.

3 Monetary Policy: Zero and even crazy negative rates QE, Bond, Stocks, ETF buying everywhere

4. BlackRock advising central banks and parliaments on policies and creating ETF to benefit from that.

5 Seldom seen M&A activities

6. Better than expected Chinese growth

7 Tariffs- Corona-President Trump leaving the white house

8 Possible Brexit deal by Sunday.

dc CB 05:08 GMT December 10, 2020
Directional Risk

Spots are coming.

link below to gif...go to ZH for the rest of the story

The Terminator Event

lakewood jjlkwd 04:44 GMT December 10, 2020
looks like a 4 day poker tournament . who is bluffing and who has the nuts ? does the UK need the EU ? or vise versa ? getting the drift with the negotiations that some sort of agreement has been reached ie Irish border, that its the EU whos desperate, as Boris can do the hard brexit and go home. They need him and he knows it....
from the FT
Negotiations are deadlocked over EU demands intended to preserve fair competition for businesses and over the fate of EU fishing rights in UK waters.
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Ahead of the dinner, Mr Johnson had tweeted that the UK would “prosper mightily as an independent nation” irrespective of whether the talks succeeded or failed. Earlier on Wednesday, he set out his red lines to the House of Commons, centred around his familiar themes of sovereignty and regulatory freedom. 

Mr Johnson told MPs that the EU wanted to leave Britain as “the only country in the world not to have sovereign control over its own fishing waters”. 

He also alleged that Brussels wanted to “automatically have the right to punish us and retaliate” if the UK deviated from future EU rules in areas such as labour standards and environmental policy. 
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The commission’s decision to treat their British guest to a seafood-heavy menu featuring a starter of scallops and a main course of turbot with mashed potato raised some eyebrows in Brussels, with the two sides sparring over the fate of the €650m of fish that EU boats catch in UK waters every year. 

One particularly thorny issue is the fate of centuries-old EU rights in the waters close to the British coast, where scallops are one of the most lucrative catches. Under a no-deal Brexit, scallop exports to the EU would be subject to a 20 per cent tariff.

seems like the last chance to eat scallop before the price shoots up

dc CB 04:35 GMT December 10, 2020
Directional Risk



dc CB 04:33 GMT December 10, 2020
Directional Risk

when asked about that Chinese Prof (aka-'we've got people at the very top' -for nearly 30 years).

John le Carré, quipped: 'maybe you ought to consider calling Smiley out of retirement'.

all you need is the right crew for the job

dc CB 03:49 GMT December 10, 2020

The University of Pittsburgh Medical Center (UPMC) won't require its health care employees to take the upcoming COVID-19 vaccine, which the medical provider expects to begin offering as soon as this month, according to PennLive.

The reason are several-fold, according to UPMC medical director of infection prevention and epidemiology, Dr. Graham Snyder. For starters, general uncertainty over the vaccine. And while the $21 billion nonprofit organization (which employs 89,000 people) has a mandatory flu vaccination policy, it's "based on decades of experience with the influenza vaccine," according to Snyder.

But there’s no comparable data for a COVID-19 vaccine, or on whether a mandate is the best way to get large numbers of people to become vaccinated, Snyder said on Tuesday.

The first COVID-19 vaccine, from Pfizer, is expected to soon receive emergency approval. A second vaccine, from Moderna, is also expected to soon receive emergency approval. Distribution of at least one vaccine is expected to begin this month.

Snyder said UPMC is “very excited about the preliminary information we have about how safe the vaccine is and how it will work.”

Still, he said UPMC will conduct its own review of the vaccines before injecting any of its employees. -PennLive

"Until we learn more and build our own experience with this vaccine, plus, until we see the uptake of vaccine in our communities, and have an understanding about the role that vaccination has in ending this pandemic, it’s not the right thing to make it mandatory," said Snyder - who added that UPMC's independent review won't slow down their plans to distribute the vaxx.

GVI 00:58 GMT December 10, 2020

BRUSSELS/LONDON (Reuters) - British Prime Minister Boris Johnson and the European Union’s chief executive gave themselves until the end of the weekend to seal a new trade pact after failing to overcome persistent rifts over a “frank” and “lively” dinner of turbot on Wednesday.

Have your turbot and eat it? UK, EU set weekend deadline for new Brexit pact


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