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Forex Forum Archive for 02/06/2020

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dc CB 23:25 GMT February 6, 2020
The Happy Nation



Research in human-centered AI, deep learning, autonomous vehicles & robotics at MIT and beyond. Also, I teach courses on deep learning.

AI podcast

Israel MacroMicro 22:05 GMT February 6, 2020
The Happy Nation



CB 21:40

his answer

dc CB 21:40 GMT February 6, 2020
The Happy Nation

Quotes > Quotable Quote
“Those who vote decide nothing. Those who count the vote decide everything.”

― Joseph Stalin

dc CB 21:24 GMT February 6, 2020
The Happy Nation

dc CB 20:06
'immediate recanvass'.

so not a recount?
---Put into perspective. how many 'votes' in total could have been cast for all CandyDate? (Googled)

VOX: We don’t know much about the official Iowa caucus results just yet. But one thing we do know is that, based on early results, turnout this year is reportedly on pace to match the 2016 Democratic turnout.

In 2016, and about 170,000 people turned out in the Iowa caucuses. That was down from 2008, when excitement around figures like Barack Obama and Clinton led to a record attendance of 240,000.

https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politics/2020/2/4/21122359/iowa-democratic-caucuses-results-turnout

Israel MacroMicro 20:47 GMT February 6, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

corona may popup into primetime overnight

dc CB 20:24 GMT February 6, 2020
The Happy Nation

as the sailor on deck called up to his mate----'how's the rigging look?'

dc CB 20:06 GMT February 6, 2020
The Happy Nation

DNC Chairman Tom Perez has called for an 'immediate recanvass' of the Iowa caucuses on Thursday after an app create by former Clinton and Obama staffers botched the count.

While former South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg claimed victory, he was virtually tied with Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) at 26% with 97% of precincts reporting. According to the Associated Press, the race was too close to call.

The recount means that nobody will know exactly who won Iowa going into Friday night's Democratic debate in New Hampshire, which holds its primary Tuesday.

Vote 2020--

GVI Forex Blog 20:03 GMT February 6, 2020
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 6 February 2020
Reply   

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Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 6 February 2020

haifa ac 18:12 GMT February 6, 2020
The Happy Nation

DRS, agree with you completely. Still it is amazing how Hollywood, Pelosy, Ivy league universities, Europe---Hate his guts. Some people are blinder than bats.

Minneapolis DRS2 18:11 GMT February 6, 2020
The Happy Nation

Good! The president can live his own life, and we can live ours.

This is a major philosophical difference between "people for government" and "people who want to be left alone". It is at the core of the ideological split within the country.

Israel MacroMicro 18:06 GMT February 6, 2020
The Happy Nation

also possible to see it as: the president is so busy with himself and have no impact on people's daily life

Minneapolis DRS2 17:59 GMT February 6, 2020
The Happy Nation

I would phrase it differently than "amazing achievement for Trump". It's more like "Trump made it easier for Americans to be happy".

Who wants to be led by a scold? Do you want your country to be run by someone who you believes hates your country? By someone who you believe hates you? By someone who lives a miserable life? Is that the sort of leadership one seeks?

No, it isn't. It never was. It is why Reagan was successful, and it is why Trump is and will continue to be successful. The guy loves his life, and we in America love our lives. He makes no apologies, and neither do we.

That's as it should be.

haifa ac 17:47 GMT February 6, 2020
The Happy Nation
Reply   
New High of 90% of Americans Satisfied With Personal Life

WASHINGTON, D.C. -- Nine in 10 Americans are satisfied with the way things are going in their personal life, a new high in Gallup's four-decade trend. The latest figure bests the previous high of 88% recorded in 2003.

https://news.gallup.com/poll/284285/new-high-americans-satisfied-personal-life.aspx

This is an amazing achievement for Trump.

dc CB 17:46 GMT February 6, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Li Wenliang - who warned the public of a potential "SARS-like" disease in December 2019 - was questioned by local health authority, and warned:

"We solemnly warn you: If you keep being stubborn, with such impertinence, and continue this illegal activity, you will be brought to justice - is that understood?"

Dr, Li was later summoned by Wuhan police to sign a reprimand letter in which he was accused of "spreading rumors online" and "severely disrupting social order."

Perth Wtr 17:45 GMT February 6, 2020
Forex View: What's Next? January EURUSD Low Taken Out.

So Trump does not object usd's strength at the moment. He finally doesnt complain anymore about strong usd.

Israel MacroMicro 17:37 GMT February 6, 2020
BREAKING NEWS



https://a.msn.com/r/2/BBZIU2U

fake news?

dc CB 17:32 GMT February 6, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 6 Feb 2020



juiced up---'it's contained'---MOAR plz

swiss frank 17:32 GMT February 6, 2020
GERMANY

Who knows... Maybe they'll be right this time, Third times a charm as they say? What would be interesting to know is how they acquired the shares. If it was a direct transaction via sale of DB treasury stock maybe they'd be better off calling it a capital injection....

dc CB 17:15 GMT February 6, 2020
GERMANY



Chart -o-the-Day

swiss frank 16:35 GMT February 6, 2020
Forex View: What's Next? January EURUSD Low Taken Out.

Yes (re a long time). Today for the first time ever 1 month eur/usd vol traded below 1 month usd/sgd vol. A really long time......

AT Trader john 16:34 GMT February 6, 2020
Friday Amazing Trader 7 Feb 2020
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Fri 7 Feb 2019
A 13:30 US/CA- Employment


Minneapolis DRS2 16:31 GMT February 6, 2020
Forex View: What's Next? January EURUSD Low Taken Out.

I would think there's an awful lot of wood to chop just getting through 1.09 and 1.08...talk of anything else is premature, even in the current environment.

swiss frank 16:29 GMT February 6, 2020
Levels for me are 1.0880 ish as a recent measuring type objective, maybe. Then 1.05-1.06. It will take A LOT to get thru there, probably. If that doesn't hold parity means nothing and we'll be talking about whether the all time lows hold. Maybe.

dc CB 16:20 GMT February 6, 2020
Forex View: What's Next? January EURUSD Low Taken Out.

parity is next

dc CB 16:19 GMT February 6, 2020
Forex View: What's Next? January EURUSD Low Taken Out.

The three “inevitable” trends which had been promoted in recent decades:

the “inevitable” rise of the People’s Republic of China;

the “inevitable” decline of the United States of America; and

the “inevitable” consolidation of the European Union into a strategic superpower

...had all, by 2020, retreated into the swamps of vainglory.
.............................................................................
Western Europe After Brexit, and the Re-Shaping of the Heartland/Maritime Balance:

The myth of the European Union (EU) was finally shattered when the United Kingdom - despite ruthless pressures from the EU - left the EU on January 31, 2020. The EU was already in a delicate economic condition before that occurred, and would now lose significant traction as a result of the UK departure (Brexit). This raises questions:

OilPrice.com Brace For .....

Mtl JP 16:04 GMT February 6, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 6 Feb 2020

EURO 1.0977ish
-
I am expecting that if 1.0975/70 does not hold = hello 1.0875/50/00

Amman wfakhoury 16:00 GMT February 6, 2020
GBPUSD 12985 and 13080

Amman wfakhoury 11:35 GMT 02/06/2020
GBPUSD ...into sell mood for 100 pips unless it closed above 12960 and keeps above it.
___________________________
calculate 100 pips from 13000.

Mtl JP 15:57 GMT February 6, 2020
Winners and Losers

kirk douglas dead at 103

I should be so unlucky!

PAR 15:56 GMT February 6, 2020
GERMANY
Reply   
Political mess in Germany. CDU cooperating with AFD.

GVI Forex Blog 15:48 GMT February 6, 2020
Forex View: What's Next? January EURUSD Low Taken Out.
Reply   

When we left off last week it looked like the EURUSD was focused on the January high at 1.1225. However, with the risk pendulum swingi9ng back to on from off, positions taken towards the end of last week have been squeezed out.

Forex View: What's Next? January EURUSD Low Taken Out.

Mtl JP 15:32 GMT February 6, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 6 Feb 2020

USDCAD 1.3304-ISH
-
puppy should hold 1.3335 Res into tom`s data

PAR 14:29 GMT February 6, 2020
Europe Green Deal
Reply   
Another 5-year plan by the European Central Plan Bureau to allocate capital to non-performing sectors.

Capacity utilisation in the German renewable energy sector is around 30 %. SO 70% of the huge investment is standing idle ( no wind, no sun). So the back-up investment in traditional power plants is needed and nuclear energy needs to be bought in France.

It's only taxpayers money.

hk win10: 14:27 GMT February 6, 2020
Cable Very short now

GBP: on weekly chart, it looks like an inverted head and shoulder is under construction.

SaaR KaL 14:02 GMT February 6, 2020
Cable Very short now
Reply   
Target 1.2800

swiss frank 13:49 GMT February 6, 2020
German Elections

More on election result....

another link

swiss frank 13:39 GMT February 6, 2020
German Elections
Reply   
Not getting a lot of attention outside Germany for the moment but could be the start of a somewhat disturbing trend on the ship of German political sea change..... Keep on eye on € supports...

German Elections

Israel MacroMicro 13:34 GMT February 6, 2020
CL
Reply   
Buy Crude
Entry: $48.50-$50.50 Target: $75 Stop: $47

good luck

AT Trader 13:33 GMT February 6, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Weekly Jobless Claims



ALERT
202K vs: 210K expected vs. 216K (r )



U.S. Productivity 4Q19




ALERT

+1.40%vs. +1.40% exp. vs. -0.20% prev.



Caribbean! Rafe... 13:28 GMT February 6, 2020
Panic: Hong Kong's battle for toilet paper

Buy from Amazon.com, request someone to accept delivery on yyuor behalf.

PAR 13:27 GMT February 6, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA

Negative rates forever whatever Germans think of the ECB.

Caribbean! Rafe... 13:15 GMT February 6, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Oh! Thank God!!! what a relief!! Thank God!!! Now they will leave Trump alone and let him do his job:

hk. win10 13:15 GMT February 6, 2020
Panic: Hong Kong's battle for toilet paper

I saw you bought a lot of condom in Wellcome supermarket at around 6:30pm in Causeway Bay yesterday

HK Kevin 13:00 GMT February 6, 2020
Panic: Hong Kong's battle for toilet paper

I also saw office ladies buying large lot of sanitary napkins this morning.

HK [email protected] 12:20 GMT February 6, 2020
Panic: Hong Kong's battle for toilet paper
Reply   
.
Panic buyers in Hong Kong have descended on supermarkets to snap up toilet paper after false online claims of shortages.

Videos showed long queues of frantic shoppers packing trolleys with multiple packs of toilet rolls, with some arguments breaking out.

Rice and pasta have also become a popular target for panic buying.

Crazy people fighting for democracy and toilet paper too hahaha.
Everything must be achieved by fighting.

Amman wfakhoury 11:35 GMT February 6, 2020
GBPUSD 12985 and 13080

GBPUSD ...into sell mood for 100 pips unless it closed above 12960 and keeps above it.

AT Trader john 11:17 GMT February 6, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 6 Feb 2020

Mild risk on early. Yesterday's ADP private jobs data were exceptionally strong and are being treated as an outlier due to the mild winter we have seen in North America. The weather has thrown off the seasonal adjustments and as such markets are taking the figures with a grain of salt. We could see a similar impact on Friday's employment data as well.

GVI Forex 11:13 GMT February 6, 2020
Gold Update: Amazing Trader
Reply   


XAUUSD and XAGUSD are included with the Amazing Trader. See this 15 minute chart, which speaks for itself

The Amazing Trader

AT Trader 11:11 GMT February 6, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 6 Feb 2020

Early Thursday
DJ: +95
SP: +9.3


2-yr 1.433% -0.8
Spread 10s-2s +20.6 (+20.8)
10-yr
US: 1.639% -0.1
UK: 0.603% -1.3
DE: -0.364% +0.6


EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEUTRAL-NEGATIVE
Spot Rate (Pivot Point)
EURUSD 1.1002 (1.1012)
GBPUSD 1.2964 (1.3005)
EURGBP 0.8486 (0.8463)
USDJPY 109.82 (109.65)

this week 1.0994-1.1094 (100) pips

thu: 1.1001-1.1028 (27)
wed: 1.0994-1.1048 (54)
tue: 1.1033-1.1064 (31)
mon: 1.1059-1.1094 (35)
fri: 1.1017-1.1091 (74)
thu: 1.1007-1.1040 (33)


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20-day avg: 1.1073
50-day avg: 1.1095
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Amman wfakhoury 11:07 GMT February 6, 2020
GBPUSD 12985 and 13080

Amman wfakhoury 11:48 GMT 02/05/2020
13075 confirmed ..will be reached .
now 13060
__________________
Still active unless 1hr bar closed below 12955
signal will be reactivated if price re closed above 12960

Pisa phile500 11:03 GMT February 6, 2020
Gold

you're great!

Amman wfakhoury 10:58 GMT February 6, 2020
Gold

1567 reached

AT Trader john 10:50 GMT February 6, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 6 Feb 2020

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Thu 6 Feb 2019
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 7 Feb 2019
A 13:30 US/CA- Employment


Amman wfakhoury 09:45 GMT February 6, 2020
Gold

Amman wfakhoury 06:53 GMT February 5, 2020
Gold : Reply
Gold will reach 1567 ..as it is above 1550.
now 1559.
____________________
signal still active as same conditions
You missed to add buy above 1550
1567 is coming

Hyderabad Kishore 09:34 GMT February 6, 2020
Gold
Reply   
Gold
Entry: Target: Stop:

Amman....



Any comments on gold PlZ......

PAR 08:57 GMT February 6, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA

Lagarde doesn't care about German savers. She wants to squeeze them into bankruptcy.

PAR 08:49 GMT February 6, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA

Lagarde does not have to explain anything to the European citizens.

European citizens have been suffering from the ECB's Financial Repression for years and they understand very clearly the € billions the ECB has been stealing from them.

PAR 08:43 GMT February 6, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA
Reply   
Does Lagarde again deny that negative interest rates lead to higher housing prices?

What kind of econometric models is the ECB using?

SaaR KaL 07:10 GMT February 6, 2020
Sell
Reply   
Pair Trend Avg High Avg Low
GBP/USD Sell 1.2895 1.2851


Pair Trend Avg High Avg Low
XAU/USD Buy 1,611.2465 1,594.4813


EUR/USD Sell 1.1010 1.0979

HK [email protected] 06:43 GMT February 6, 2020
Appendix. Let's put some facts together!



.
When CCP and PPT, will lose control of the Mkts. we can think about buying Stox.

For the time things are propped up by political interests.

Market like this are subjects for generous corrections.

hk win10 06:30 GMT February 6, 2020
Appendix. Let's put some facts together!

Consider the BIG picture: The valuation of China stock market is some 50% below fair value and stock market has already lost one-eight of value from January high. The bad news are likely to be fully priced in. Both USDCNY and USDHKD are pointing downward
The disruption of global supply chain cause inflation to surge and this is driving fund outflow from esp. lowzero yield bond market to equity market

HK [email protected] 04:10 GMT February 6, 2020
All the facts I stated below say:
Reply   
.
1) Corona virus can't be defeated in the near future.

2) Things are completely out of control, for lack of information on symptoms and possible spreading mechanism of the disease.

Wait for dry and hot weather to curb the disease(May?)



HK [email protected] 02:50 GMT February 6, 2020
Appendix. Let's put some facts together!

.
Chicago IM

Correct for the moment, but I expect it to appear again when situation escalates.

manila tom 02:49 GMT February 6, 2020
Appendix. Let's put some facts together!

it will still be market concern if it hits new area/country and becoming more widespread especially in major financial and economic centres

Chicago IM 02:13 GMT February 6, 2020
Appendix. Let's put some facts together!

RF thanks for the virus updates but markets are saying this is no longer a trading concern.

HK [email protected] 01:31 GMT February 6, 2020
Appendix. Let's put some facts together!
Reply   
.
A classic example was the long distance wind-borne spread of FMD to the Isle of Wight in the South of England in 1981 from a pig farm on the North French coast . This contrasts with disease circulation within epidemics, or in and between countries where FMD is endemic, where spread occurs most readily via more predictable routes due to direct contact between animals and via traded animal products.

LINK

HK [email protected] 01:21 GMT February 6, 2020
Let's put some facts together!
Reply   
.
1) That the corona virus can survive on surfaces under certain condition for 5 days.
2) Much more the Cor. Virus can survive in a water droplets(aerosol mist) under Humidity and Temp. conditions.

So what if an infected person sneezes at a certain point A. thus producing an aerosol full with millions of viruses suspending in the air?

That aerosol will be lifted by a wind and carried away.

Under favorable conditions assume a mild wind, a speed of 20km/hr, simple computation follows.: 5*24*20= 2400 km to point B. "the most" in 5 days.

It is a known fact that Foot & Mouth disease virus can be carried to infect animals at a distance.
The furthest distance over which airborne spread
is believed to have occurred is around 250 km for spread over the sea and 60 km for spread over the land
(https://www.oie.int/doc/ged/D8576.PDF)

Depends on the Survivability of the virus, which likely declines with the distance.

So sum it up: The Cor. virus is here to stay for long time, until will disappear because of weather conditions(likely on summer).

Next panic and effect on Mkts. is very likely.

So buy gold around current prices for 2100-2200 target.

Scientists will not tell you the above facts, because it will not serve any purpose in curbing the spread of the disease much more can cause spread of anxiety, but the cold minded investors should know.

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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