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Forex Forum Archive for 02/12/2020

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Perth Wtr 23:51 GMT February 12, 2020
EUR/USD

10890-10920 now resistance for a leg down to 104xx? Maybe a flash crash next monday given the stage of the trend.

AT Trader 20:12 GMT February 12, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 13 Feb 2020

Late Wednesday
DJ: +275
SP: +21.7


2-yr 1.438% +2.1
Spread 10s-2s +18.7 (+18.1)
10-yr
US: 1.625% +1.9
UK: 0.608% -0.5
DE: -0.378% -0.5


EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEGATIVE
Spot Rate (Pivot Point)
EURUSD 1.0867 (1.0886)
GBPUSD 1.2961 (1.2968)
EURGBP 0.8381 (0.8990)
USDJPY 110.07 (109.99)

this week 1.0865-1.1057 (192) pips

wed: 1.0865-1.0926 (61)
tue: 1.0892-1.0925 (11)
mon: 1.0942-1.0957 (13)
fri: 1.0942-1.0986 (36)
thu: 1.0965-1.1028 (27)


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GVI Forex Blog 19:49 GMT February 12, 2020
Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 12 February 2020
Reply   

forex rate database image

Global-View Free FX Database. High-Low-Close data for more than a dozen currency pairs for over seventeen years of data in an Excel spreadsheet format.

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Chart Points: Free Forex Database For 12 February 2020

USA ZEUS 19:48 GMT February 12, 2020
EUR/USD

There can be no waiting. Buy program initiated.
Cheers!

london red 19:42 GMT February 12, 2020
EUR/USD

wait for the gap, just a fig to go

USA ZEUS 19:33 GMT February 12, 2020
EUR/USD
Reply   
Initiated long EUR/USD at 1.0867 for a nice bounce.

Cheers!

Mtl JP 19:05 GMT February 12, 2020
Life in the insane lane

WHO Director General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus
strikes me as mendacious. probably just me and my suspicious mind
***
China's new virus cases fall again, deaths now exceed 1,100

CBC.ca, borrowed from AP

dc CB 18:26 GMT February 12, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 12 Feb 2020

10Y notes at a sharply lower yield compared to January: stopping out at 1.622%, today's 10Y issuance stopped through the 1.623% When Issued, and was almost 25bps lower than January's 1.8690%; the bid to cover of 2.58 was not only far above last month's 2.45, but also the highest since June 2018.

Blistering Demand For Stellar 10Y Auction As Yield Tumbles

AT Trader john 18:17 GMT February 12, 2020
Thursday Amazing Trader 13 Feb 2020
Reply   

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Thu 13 Feb 2020
AA 10:00 US- CPI
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 14 Feb 2020
A 10:00 EZ- GDP
AA 13:30 US- Retail Sales
A 14:15 US- Industrial Production
AA 15:00 US- Prelim Univ of Michigan

Mon 17 Feb 2020
US- Holiday


Chicago CS 18:13 GMT February 12, 2020
Euro
Reply   
Euro sell-a-thon vs all

Mtl JP 18:10 GMT February 12, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 12 Feb 2020

bears watching markets for potential reaction to further news about
FEBRUARY 12, 2020

Researchers identify new 'universal' target for antiviral treatment by Massachusetts General Hospital

IF n when the so-far fantasy 'universal' antiviral treatment comes close to being...

Minneapolis DRS2 17:46 GMT February 12, 2020
Eliminate Buttigieg and Klobuchar immediately. Sanders is a communist retread, leaving only Bloomberg as someone who could sit at the adults table and not come across looking like a fool.

dc CB 17:42 GMT February 12, 2020
another one bites the dust

It looks right now like Sanders, Klobuchar, Buttigieg and maybe Bloomberg.
_________________________________________

OK now play a What If game...on the mind of the voter-in-the-booth Nov 2020 ---
Imagine ___________________ sitting across the table from (Putin, Xi, BOJO, Macron, Merkle, (fill in your fav World Leader).
Now vote.

Minneapolis DRS2 17:35 GMT February 12, 2020
another one bites the dust
Reply   
Deval Patrick out of presidential race.

It looks right now like Sanders, Klobuchar, Buttigieg and maybe Bloomberg are the survivors.

GVI Forex 17:32 GMT February 12, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 12 Feb 2020

1.0978 hit

Following the Amazing Trader, I posted last week following the break of 1.0980as well

GVI Forex 15:58 GMT February 10, 2020
Monday Amazing Trader 10 Feb 2020: Reply
Below 1.0940 targets 1.0878

The Amazing Trader

Minneapolis DRS2 17:31 GMT February 12, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 12 Feb 2020

I agree with your perspective, but that is not how much of the world thinks. They are dependent on government, and they are dependent on all those intergovernmental organizations that we like to laugh at.

That's why people like Donald Trump and Boris Johnson are HATED so much...because they make it possible for us to think the unthinkable...what it could be like to be independent AGAIN.

Mtl JP 17:26 GMT February 12, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 12 Feb 2020

DRS2 when you are international (wo)man - own more than one passeport for ex - you are NOT concerned with any one country.

Being concerned only for our own well-being is not a luxury: it is an obligation.

Only putzes rely on and demand gov't provided "well-being".

Mtl JP 17:19 GMT February 12, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 12 Feb 2020

BBC on Brexit: EU Parliament makes tough demands for talks

Adam Fleming BBC News report

Minneapolis DRS2 17:16 GMT February 12, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 12 Feb 2020

I am merely commenting on world economic relationships. We in the west, along with Russia, have the luxury if you will of being concerned only for our own well-being.

If you are in one of those other countries, then you are just as concerned with China as you are concerned about your own country. That's the effect of OBOR.

Mtl JP 17:12 GMT February 12, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 12 Feb 2020

DRS2 gravy trains to a bunch of other places gets shut down
there is ONLY ONE gravy train that I am concerned with

maybe I am the anti-PAR

Minneapolis DRS2 17:07 GMT February 12, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 12 Feb 2020

Hell, now it's working again...the Garcia link re Walmart and Target.

Mtl JP 17:05 GMT February 12, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 12 Feb 2020

drs2 which link ?

Minneapolis DRS2 17:01 GMT February 12, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 12 Feb 2020

JP that link is broken...maybe it was taken down for some reason?

When reading all these exhortations, the concern is probably not for Walmart, Target nor any of their customers. Because of OBOR, the economic fates of many countries are tightly bound to that of China. If Chinese workers get shut down, then the gravy trains to a bunch of other places gets shut down too.

So keep quiet, keep on buying that excess junk that you don't need, and use lots of hand sanitizer! Those starving people in Ethiopia need you to do your duty as a world citizen!

Mtl JP 16:49 GMT February 12, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 12 Feb 2020

coronavirus (now re-named by WHO as "COVID-19") and "exhortations"
(ex�hor�ta�tion: an address or communication emphatically urging someone to do something)
a tic-toc timeline
-------------------
.. The virus can contaminate door handles and elevator buttons according to the Chinese expert. A sick person with the virus on their hands could contaminate a door handle, train seat or elevator button. The person could also cough out virus-containing droplets onto a surface which could then be touched by another person..." - HK [email protected] 22:58 Feb 4, 2020

ffwrd: Coronaviruses can remain on surfaces for up to 9 days, and remain infectious study finds Friday, February 7th

Coronavirus could drive up out-of-stocks at stores by April: Wells Fargo
By Tonya Garcia, Feb 12, 2020
Wells Fargo says Walmart and Target may be first to suffer supply issues related to coronavirus

suffer... Garcia is concerned with Wlmrt and Trgt suffering ...

1) out-of-stock might just be the break the undisciplined $14 trillion indebted householder needs
2) should I - me - be unconcerned about touching some BBQ, iPhone or lawnmower handle that a few days ago was handled by a chinese laborer, now that the COVID-19 is know to jump from ship to shore ... what else can it do ?

Mtl JP 16:20 GMT February 12, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 12 Feb 2020

coronavirus (now re-named by WHO as "COVID-19") and "exhortations"
(ex·hor·ta·tion: an address or communication emphatically urging someone to do something)
a tic-toc timeline
-------------------
A $20 Trillion Problem: More Than Half Of China's Banks Fail ...
Nov 26, 2019 - Worse, more than 13% of China's 4379 banks are now considered “high risk” by the central bank. - zh

China's Banks Face $6 Trillion Coronavirus ... - Zero Hedge
1 day ago - In a little noticed post back in November, we reported that as part of a stress test conducted by China's central bank in the first half of 2019, ..

U.S. household debt tops $14 trillion and reaches new record rtrs

Coronavirus Updates: China Seeks to Restart Economy While Fighting Outbreak - NYT

The orders issued to provincial and municipal leaders included exhortations to fight the virus, along with fairly specific economic policy moves.

Mtl JP 15:35 GMT February 12, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 12 Feb 2020

EURO 1.0890
-
puppy sits at 1.0890/80 S zone.
good entry point either way because ...
it will not take many pips to find out if one on the right side or not
no matter which side one takes.

I d be a buyer only if I see puppy's price prancing above >1.0925

GVI Forex Blog 14:18 GMT February 12, 2020
Forex Trading Checklist
Reply   

I have been asked to elaborate on what is the AT Ladder Strategy. Watch this short video for my forex trading checklist using the logic behind the AT Ladder Strategy.

 

Forex Trading Checklist

AT Trader john 14:15 GMT February 12, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 12 Feb 2020

change in scheduled start

A 14:30 US- Powell Senate Testimony
Prepared text usually as the same as the previous day. Senators usually ask better Qs than House members...

dc CB 13:54 GMT February 12, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 12 Feb 2020

from yesterday ICYMI

Federal Trade Commission announced that it will issue special orders to Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Facebook, and Microsoft in order to probe the purpose of acquisitions they made between January 2010 and December 31, 2019.

FTC

dc CB 13:35 GMT February 12, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 12 Feb 2020

Powell before the Senate Finance Com...Humphrey Hawkins Pt 2.

10 Year auction 27Bln. This is a New 10Year issue.

Trump withdraws the nomination of former US attorney for DC, Jessie Liu to the #3 spot at the Treasury. (leave it to you'all to find out Why)

SaaR KaL 13:33 GMT February 12, 2020
day's US Close
Reply   
Trend and US Session Close
Max and Min
EUR/USD Sell 1.0952 1.0870
USD/CAD Sell 1.3307 1.3227
USD/JPY Buy 110.1416 109.6874
NAS100 Buy 9,713.6294 9,412.0877
GBP/USD Buy 1.3057 1.2918
SPX500 Buy 3,403.8143 3,328.6834
USOil Buy 51.6103 49.5661

AT Trader john 12:33 GMT February 12, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 12 Feb 2020

U.S. equities up plus 10-yr is a touch higher. This is generally a risk on scenario. However the EURUSD is weaker, which is not.

Israel MacroMicro 12:05 GMT February 12, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 12 Feb 2020

NG & CL longs currently having nice gains since started collecting those on Monday. yuppie the lucky

swiss frank 11:28 GMT February 12, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA

Sorry thats just for the inflation goal. For the review as a whole, Lagarde has indicated the results could be revealed around December.

Too funny.

swiss frank 11:20 GMT February 12, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA

My favorite part- Rushing things forward they may have a decision as early as July......

Israel MacroMicro 11:17 GMT February 12, 2020
FAX and other indices

hehehe

of course FDAX

Israel MacroMicro 11:16 GMT February 12, 2020
FAX and other indices
Reply   
Sell
Entry: 13730 Target: 13385/550 Stop: 13835

with US indices I assume that roughly 0.5% stop above yesterday's high is safe to hold.


that's all and risk is known :)

yes, can collect some scalping baby pips during the process

AT Trader 10:47 GMT February 12, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 12 Feb 2020

Early Wednesday
DJ: -107
SP: +10.5


2-yr 1.428% +1.1
Spread 10s-2s +18.1 (+17.3)
10-yr
US: 1.609% +1.9
UK: 0.591% +2.1
DE: -0.379% +1.2


EURUSD MACRO TREND: NEGATIVE
Spot Rate (Pivot Point)
EURUSD 1.0920 (1.0912)
GBPUSD 1.2982 (1.2942)
EURGBP 0.8410 (0.8463)
USDJPY 109.92 (109.83)

this week 1.0892-1.1057 (65) pips

wed: 1.0902-1.0926 (24)
tue: 1.0892-1.0925 (11)
mon: 1.0942-1.0957 (13)
fri: 1.0942-1.0986 (36)
thu: 1.0965-1.1028 (27)
wed: 1.0994-1.1048 (54)


Sign up now for your invaluable report

How To Turn Your Forex Trading Into A Business

20-day avg: 1.1036
50-day avg: 1.1088
100-day avg: 1.1065
200-day avg: 1.1118

Global-View Daily Trading Chart Points





AT Trader john 10:28 GMT February 12, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 12 Feb 2020

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Wed 12 Feb 2020
A 10:00 EZ- Industrial Production
A 15:00 US- Powell Senate Testimony
A 15:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 13 Feb 2020
AA 10:00 US- CPI
A 13:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 14 Feb 2020
A 10:00 EZ- GDP
AA 13:30 US- Retail Sales
A 14:15 US- Industrial Production
AA 15:00 US- Prelim Univ of Michigan


Mon 17 Feb 2020
US- Holiday


AT Trader 10:26 GMT February 12, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Industrial Production December 2019





ALERT
-2.10% vs. -1.70% exp. vs. +0.20% prev.




jkt abel 10:22 GMT February 12, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 12 Feb 2020

JP, Switzerxit?

GVI Forex 10:10 GMT February 12, 2020
BREAKING NEWS

Weaker than expected EZ Industrial Production, little reaction in EURUSD so far.

Mtl JP 09:32 GMT February 12, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 12 Feb 2020

The Swiss government has warned today its citizens through a press conference that a pro vote on the referendum set to be held on May 17, would have grave consequences not only for the security of the country but also for border traffic and freedom of travel.

Switzerland May Lose Access to Schengen If May’s Referendum Outcome Is Positive

PAR 08:22 GMT February 12, 2020
ECB LAGARDE PONZI MAFIA
Reply   
ECB President Lagarde (a lawyer, not an economist) testified yesterday. There was little of market relevance. There was some defensive commentary around the ECB's policy of taxing savers and some financial institutions via negative interest rates. Lagarde did acknowledge that the damage of negative rates could increase over time, which is a statement of the obvious.

Christine Lagarde and two ECB colleagues separately defended their monetary stimulus program, underlining the pressure they're under over the failure of unconventional measures to meet inflation targets

SaaR KaL 06:39 GMT February 12, 2020
EURUSD day trade
Reply   
Pair Trend
EUR/USD Sell

Date Max Min Avg
2/12/20 1:00 AM 1.0965 1.0867 1.0916
2/13/20 12:38 PM 1.0959 1.0862 1.0910


Pair Trend
GBP/USD Buy

Date Max Min Avg
2/12/20 1:00 AM 1.3032 1.2909 1.2970
2/13/20 12:38 PM 1.3112 1.2988 1.3050

Mtl JP 01:14 GMT February 12, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 12 Feb 2020

RBNZ ... stays pat

Mtl JP 00:13 GMT February 12, 2020
Wednesday Amazing Trader 12 Feb 2020

At top of the hour:
NZ RBNZ Official Cash Rate
good luck!

 




Actionable trading levels delivered LIVE to YOUR charts

GVI Trading. Potential Price Risk Scale
AA: Major, A: High, B: Medium

Mon 27 May 2019
AAGB/US- Holiday
Tue 28 May 2019
A 14:00 US- Consumer Confidence
C 13:00 US- Case-Shiller
Wed 29 May 2019
A 08:55 DE- Employment
AA 18:00 US- BOC Decision
A 18:30 US- EIA Crude
Thu 30 Mar 2019
AAEZ/CH- Holiday
A 12:30 US- Weekly Jobless
Fri 31 Mar 2019
AA 10:00 EZ- Flash HICP
A 12:30 US- Personal Income, Spending, Deflator
AA 14:00 US- Final Univ of Michigan


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